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Justin Wilson
P | B/T: L/L | 6' 2" 205LBS | Age: 34

Draft: 2008 | Rd: 5, #144, Pittsburgh Pirates | Fresno State
Poor Avg Great

Stats

W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2021 1 1 5.29 42 0 0 34.0 29 1.41
10 Seasons 33 23 3.42 522 0 18 463.1 503 1.29
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2021 42 1-1 5.29 34.0 29 1.41
10 Seasons 522 33-23 3.42 463.1 503 1.29

Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted Balls Barrels Barrel % Exit Velocity Max EV Launch Angle Sweet Spot % XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2015 28 1048 156 6 3.8 87.9 112.3 11.2 35.3 .230 .351 .271 .293 .361 37.4 27 8.2 3.10 3.69
2016 29 996 168 8 4.8 87.7 114.5 9 23.2 .207 .319 .305 .255 .313 28.7 25.9 6.8 4.14 2.79
2017 30 1130 132 6 4.5 86.6 114.2 18.9 31.8 .183 .296 .281 .270 .325 27.7 32.4 13.8 3.41 3.14
2018 31 1035 134 9 6.7 88 110.6 18.1 41 .226 .354 .304 .308 .375 32.8 29.2 14 3.46 4.06
2019 32 692 101 5 5 85.3 111 6.3 34.7 .202 .306 .294 .274 .311 27.7 26.5 11.4 2.54 3.33
2020 33 345 53 3 5.7 84.5 109.9 13.1 28.3 .218 .326 .282 .286 .340 28.3 26.7 10.5 3.66 3.45
2021 34 604 102 8 7.8 86.9 112.5 16 22.5 .229 .402 .332 .319 .348 36.3 19.5 10.7 5.29 4.39
5850 846 45 5.3 87 114.5 13.2 31.2 .212 .334 .295 .285 .339 31.6 27.3 10.7
6.6 88.3 122.2 12 32.9 .242 .402 .317 .312 .363 35.6 22 8.4

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Wilson relies on 3 pitches.
4-Seam Fastball
(58.4%) ,
Cutter
(35.4%) ,
Slider
(6.1%) ,


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+ If Available Pitches Click to Video.


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Pitch Tracking

Year Pitch Type # # RHB # LHB % MPH PA AB H 1B 2B 3B HR SO BBE BA XBA SLG XSLG WOBA XWOBA EV LA Spin Ext. Whiff% PutAway%
2021 4-Seam Fastball 353 227 126 58.4 93.5 87 73 21 11 4 1 5 22 51 .288 .267 .575 .492 .410 .380 87.1 23 2250 6.0 25.3 20.6
2021 Cutter 214 155 59 35.4 89.5 56 53 11 9 1 0 1 6 47 .208 .181 .283 .298 .236 .234 84.0 9 2354 6.0 12.0 13.0
2021 Slider 37 21 16 6.1 81.7 6 5 0 0 0 0 0 1 4 .000 .171 .000 .185 .115 .249 88.6 -12 2627 6.0 23.5 3.7
2020 4-Seam Fastball 199 131 68 57.7 94.9 45 38 6 5 1 0 0 14 25 .158 .199 .184 .289 .224 .278 80.4 20 2281 6.1 28.4 20.0
2020 Cutter 129 93 36 37.4 90.8 35 33 12 11 0 0 1 7 26 .364 .248 .455 .361 .374 .289 84.2 2 2374 6.1 19.7 19.4
2020 Slider 12 8 4 3.5 81.1 4 3 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 .000 .023 .000 .026 .182 .199 77.3 -32 2643 6.1 50.0 25.0
2020 Sinker 5 3 2 1.4 94.5 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 .000 .547 .000 1.503 .000 .850 99.2 24 2280 6.1 0.0 0.0
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Batted Ball Profile

Season GB % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel %
2015 45.5 17.9 28.2 8.3 35.3 35.9 28.8 3.8 35.9 21.8 25 8.3 3.8
2016 56.5 17.9 17.3 8.3 38.7 34.5 26.8 4.2 38.1 20.2 25 3.6 4.8
2017 37.9 25 22.7 14.4 32.6 34.1 33.3 3.8 25 34.8 24.2 6.1 4.5
2018 37.3 25.4 28.4 9 36.6 35.1 28.4 0 23.9 31.3 30.6 6 6.7
2019 52.5 19.8 24.8 3 33.7 33.7 32.7 6.9 41.6 21.8 19.8 4 5
2020 47.2 13.2 28.3 11.3 32.1 35.8 32.1 7.5 34 24.5 22.6 5.7 5.7
2021 47.1 31.4 9.8 11.8 33.3 34.3 32.4 7.8 34.3 27.5 20.6 1 7.8
46.3 21.7 22.6 9.3 35.1 34.8 30.1 4.4 33.1 25.9 24.5 5.1 5.3
45.1 22.5 25.4 7.1 36.6 37.8 25.5 3.7 33.2 24.4 24.4 5.7 6.6

Pitch Movement


How this works: Every pitch is affected by the forces of gravity, which means that every pitch drops on its way from the mound to the plate. These numbers are reported with gravity, which makes them larger and different than other pitch movement numbers you may have seen. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren’t ‘better’ just because they have more time to move, the movement of a pitch is compared to ‘average’ movement by comparing it to other MLB pitch types within +/- 2 MPH and from within +/- 0.5 feet of extension and release.
Vertical Movement (inches) Horizontal Movement (inches)
Year Pitch Team Hand # MPH Inches of Drop vs Avg % vs Avg Inches of Break vs Avg % Break vs Avg
2021 Cutter CIN L 214 89.5 22.3 3.5 14 3.6 0.9 33
2021 4-Seamer CIN L 353 93.5 12.2 2.2 15 6.4 -0.2 -2
2021 Slider CIN L 37 81.7 45.5 5 12 5 -2 -29
2020 Slider NYM L 12 81.1 49.6 8.2 20 6.1 -1.3 -18
2020 4-Seamer NYM L 199 94.9 11.5 2.4 17 6.3 -0.6 -9
2020 Cutter NYM L 129 90.8 21.8 1.7 7 2.9 0.3 10
2020 Sinker NYM L 5 94.5 12.9 -7 -35 11.5 -2.9 -20
2019 Slider NYM L 57 83.8 43 4.2 11 6.9 1.7 32
2019 Cutter NYM L 271 90.1 25.4 0.4 2 5.3 3.4 172
2019 4-Seamer NYM L 362 95 12.1 2.5 17 3.9 -3.2 -45
2018 Slider CHC L 100 83.6 42.5 3.2 8 6.2 0.9 16
2018 4-Seamer CHC L 778 94.7 12.3 2.4 17 4.2 -3 -42
2018 Cutter CHC L 155 91.1 22.8 2.6 10 4.1 2.1 99
2017 Slider CHC L 116 84.8 39.1 3.4 10 4.5 0.1 1
2017 Changeup CHC L 2 89.9 24.6 -0.3 -1 18.1 4.6 34
2017 4-Seamer CHC L 733 95.9 9.5 2.9 24 7.3 -0.9 -11
2017 Sinker CHC L 19 96.1 11.7 -6.1 -34 15.1 0.3 2
2017 Cutter CHC L 241 91.7 21.9 0 0 2.5 0.6 29
2016 Sinker DET L 344 95.4 12.7 -5.1 -29 11.9 -2.7 -18
2016 4-Seamer DET L 294 95.9 9.7 2.4 20 5.5 -3.3 -37
2016 Cutter DET L 287 90.6 24.4 -2.7 -12 2.7 2.8 -5879
2016 Curveball DET L 35 81.1 45 -5.2 -10 6 0.2 4
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2021 Slider -1.5 -1 37 6.1 6 0 0 .117 23.5 16.7 3.7 .171 .185 .251 50
2021 Cutter -1.7 -4 214 35.4 56 .208 .283 .24 12 10.7 13 .181 .298 .234 27.7
2021 4-Seamer 2.3 8 353 58.4 87 .288 .575 .417 25.3 25.3 20.6 .267 .492 .385 43.1
2020 Sinker -12.6 -1 5 1.4 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 .547 1.503 .85 100
2020 Slider -2.4 0 12 3.5 4 0 0 .175 50 50 25 .023 .026 .192 0
2020 Cutter 2.3 3 129 37.4 35 .364 .455 .406 19.7 20 19.4 .248 .361 .289 23.1
2020 4-Seamer -3.1 -6 199 57.7 45 .158 .184 .226 28.4 31.1 20 .199 .289 .278 32
2019 Slider 1.7 1 57 8.2 15 .286 .5 .36 30.8 33.3 20 .139 .346 .231 33.3
2019 Cutter -3.2 -9 271 39.2 66 .197 .246 .233 23.2 18.2 16.9 .222 .302 .262 22.4
2019 4-Seamer 0.1 1 363 52.5 84 .243 .4 .357 26.4 32.1 20.6 .196 .302 .293 32.6
2018 Slider -0.8 -1 100 9.7 25 .182 .227 .278 26.7 32 15.4 .217 .258 .267 14.3
2018 Cutter 2.2 3 155 15 45 .372 .488 .391 21.3 17.8 19 .336 .462 .362 31.4
2018 4-Seamer -1 -8 778 75.2 165 .182 .328 .295 27.8 32.1 20.9 .194 .336 .301 36.5
2017 Sinker -1.2 0 19 1.7 7 0 0 .429 33.3 14.3 33.3 .037 .04 .32 0
2017 Slider 1 1 118 10.4 30 .25 .321 .257 33.3 40 19.4 .225 .352 .253 29.4
2017 Cutter -1.9 -5 248 21.9 54 .224 .347 .288 20.7 11.1 8.7 .265 .376 .314 26.2
2017 4-Seamer -0.7 -6 742 65.7 154 .163 .318 .283 31.8 39.6 26.1 .149 .264 .259 29.4
2017 Changeup -0.9 0 2 0.2 0
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2020 Cutter 118 90.8 55 11.1 12:00 12:45 -45
2020 4-Seam Fastball 195 94.9 97 19.6 11:15 11:15 0
2020 Slider 11 81 56 12.8 4:15 5:00 -45
2021 Cutter 214 89.5 57 11.6 12:00 12:45 -45
2021 4-Seam Fastball 353 93.5 98 19.8 11:15 11:15 0
2021 Slider 37 81.7 38 8.7 4:00 4:45 -45
! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Swing/Take

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2012 26 104 4 1 1 0 6
2013 305 1226 -15 -6 6 5 -11
2014 254 1024 -6 -11 7 4 -7
2015 247 1058 -9 -16 7 3 -15
2016 248 987 3 -2 3 3 7
2017 244 1120 -13 -10 10 4 -9
2018 236 1037 -11 -6 7 4 -6
2019 165 691 -7 -7 4 4 -7
2020 85 345 -6 -1 1 2 -4
2021 149 604 -4 -3 8 2 4
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2015 1048 53 71.2 76.4 31.3 63.2 42.7 60.2 52 26.6 9.7 83
2016 996 49.2 67.1 78.7 33.1 60.5 40.5 58.6 49.8 27 7.8 73.1
2017 1130 50 66.3 72.6 25.4 66.7 43.3 53.4 45.8 29 7.1 75.9
2018 1035 54.2 71.3 77.2 26.2 58.1 42.7 59.3 50.6 26.5 8.7 82.2
2019 692 49.2 71.2 78.9 28.5 62 41 56 49.4 25.4 7.8 72.2
2020 345 47.8 67.9 77.7 32.2 70.7 44.1 57 49.3 24.7 8.1 71.4
2021 604 51.7 68.9 80.5 23.3 73.5 46 55.7 46.9 20.8 7.3 88.6
5850 51.1 69.2 77 28.5 63.7 42.7 57.4 49.2 26.3 8.1 78.6
48.5 66.8 82 28.3 58.5 42.6 60.6 47 24.6 7.2 76

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV HardHit% K% BB% Whiff% xERA FB Velo FB Spin CB Spin
2015 60 60 69 69 52 84 80 56 17 84 36 78 60 80 78 33
2016 93 87 90 84 92 82 73 71 89 81 67 79 93 71 88 67
2017 87 96 95 87 72 88 76 65 89 93 2 82 87 80 91
2018 47 63 72 73 19 77 44 61 71 86 2 61 47 72 82
2019 50 83
2020 72 71 81 85 56 74 65 96 92 67 30 36 72 55 59
2021 29 61
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Expected Home Runs

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2019 21.6 4 3 1 2 2 2 50
2020 24.7 1 1.2 0 0 2 0 0
2021 22.8 6 5.2 1 2 3 3 50

Expected Home Runs by Park

Year HR
2019 4 3 4 2 4 2 4 4 5 4 2 2 2 4 4 4 2 2 4 4 2 2 2 4 2 4 2 2 2 2 4
2020 1 2 2 1 2 1 1 2 1 1 1 1 0 1 2 2 0 1 1 2 0 1 1 1 1 2 1 1 2 0 2
2021 6 6 5 5 6 5 5 6 5 6 5 5 4 4 5 6 4 5 6 6 4 5 5 5 5 6 5 5 7 5 6
! Note: This tells how many of this player's home runs would have been out of other stadiums. This accounts for different wall heights and distances, but does not attempt to adjust for environmental effects. For these purposes, the 2020 Blue Jays home field was still Rogers Centre, not Sahlen Field.
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Year to Year Changes

Metric 2015 2016 +/-   2017 +/-   2018 +/-   2019 +/-   2020 +/-   2021 +/-  
Fastball Velocity 94.9 94.1 -0.8 94.9 0.8 94.1 -0.8 92.9 -1.2 93.3 0.4 92 -1.3
Offspeed Velocity 0 0 0 89.9 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Breaking Velocity 86.4 81.1 -5.3 84.8 3.7 83.6 -1.2 83.8 0.2 81.1 -2.7 81.7 0.6
Exit Velocity 87.9 87.7 -0.2 86.6 -1.1 88 1.4 85.3 -2.7 84.5 -0.8 86.9 2.4
Launch Angle 11.2 9 -2.2 18.9 9.9 18.1 -0.8 6.3 -11.8 13.1 6.8 16 2.9
Barrel % 3.8 4.8 1 4.5 -0.3 6.7 2.2 5 -1.7 5.7 0.7 7.8 2.1
Hard Hit % 37.4 28.7 -8.7 27.7 -1 32.8 5.1 27.7 -5.1 28.3 0.6 36.3 8
Sweet Spot % 35.3 23.2 -12.1 31.8 8.6 41 9.2 34.7 -6.3 28.3 -6.4 22.5 -5.8
xBA .23 .207 -0.023 .183 -0.024 .226 0.043 .202 -0.024 .218 0.016 .229 0.011
BA .223 .263 0.04 .19 -0.073 .223 0.033 .228 0.005 .24 0.012 .244 0.004
xwOBA .293 .255 -0.038 .27 0.015 .308 0.038 .274 -0.034 .286 0.012 .319 0.033
wOBA .271 .305 0.034 .281 -0.024 .304 0.023 .294 -0.01 .282 -0.012 .332 0.05
xSLG .351 .319 -0.032 .296 -0.023 .354 0.058 .306 -0.048 .326 0.02 .402 0.076
SLG .309 .392 0.083 .327 -0.065 .351 0.024 .345 -0.006 .293 -0.052 .435 0.142
K% 27 25.9 -1.1 32.4 6.5 29.2 -3.2 26.5 -2.7 26.7 0.2 19.5 -7.2
BB% 8.2 6.8 -1.4 13.8 7 14 0.2 11.4 -2.6 10.5 -0.9 10.7 0.2
Swing % 52 49.8 -2.2 45.8 -4 50.6 4.8 49.4 -1.2 49.3 -0.1 46.9 -2.4
Whiff% 26.6 27 0.4 29 2 26.5 -2.5 25.4 -1.1 24.7 -0.7 20.8 -3.9
In Zone % 53 49.2 -3.8 50 0.8 54.2 4.2 49.2 -5 47.8 -1.4 51.7 3.9
Out of Zone % 47 50.8 3.8 50 -0.8 45.8 -4.2 50.8 5 52.2 1.4 48.3 -3.9
Out of Zone Swing % 31.3 33.1 1.8 25.4 -7.7 26.2 0.8 28.5 2.3 32.2 3.7 23.3 -8.9
First Pitch Swing % 32 29.5 -2.5 23.9 -5.6 31.4 7.5 25.9 -5.5 27.9 2 30.2 2.3
First Pitch Strike % 60.2 58.6 -1.6 53.4 -5.2 59.3 5.9 56 -3.3 57 1 55.7 -1.3
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Statcast Shift Statistics

vs RHHvs LHH
YearPAwOBAPAShifts%PAShifts%
2016 238 .293 145 0 0.0 93 8 8.6
2017 241 .273 165 1 0.6 76 1 1.3
2018 235 .304 143 1 0.7 92 2 2.2
2019 165 .294 109 4 3.7 56 7 12.5
2020 85 .282 55 3 5.5 30 8 26.7
2021 146 .339 98 8 8.2 48 15 31.3

Pitch Distribution