Justin Wilson
P | B/T: L/L | 6' 2" 205LBS | Age: 35

Draft: 2008 | Rd: 5, #144, Pittsburgh Pirates | Fresno State

Stats

W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2022 0 1 2.45 5 0 0 3.2 7 0.82
11 Seasons 33 24 3.41 527 0 18 467.0 510 1.28
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2022 5 0-1 2.45 3.2 7 0.82
11 Seasons 527 33-24 3.41 467.0 510 1.28

Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls
Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity
Max EV Launch
Angle
Sweet
Spot %
XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2015 27 1048 156 6 3.8 2.5 88.0 112.3 11.1 34.6 .229 .351 .271 .293 .362 37.2 27.0 8.2 3.10 3.51
2016 28 996 168 8 4.8 3.2 88.0 114.5 8.6 23.2 .213 .327 .305 .262 .323 29.8 25.9 6.8 4.14 2.84
2017 29 1130 132 6 4.5 2.4 86.6 114.2 19.1 31.8 .184 .298 .281 .271 .327 27.5 32.5 13.4 3.41 3.10
2018 30 1035 134 9 6.7 3.8 88.0 110.6 18.1 41.0 .229 .358 .304 .310 .381 32.8 29.4 13.6 3.46 4.07
2019 31 692 101 5 5.0 3.0 85.3 111.0 6.3 34.7 .203 .308 .294 .276 .314 27.7 26.7 10.9 2.54 3.31
2020 32 345 53 3 5.7 3.5 84.5 109.9 13.1 28.3 .218 .326 .282 .286 .340 28.3 27.1 9.4 3.66 3.42
2021 33 604 102 8 7.8 5.4 86.9 112.5 16.0 22.5 .232 .414 .332 .323 .353 36.3 19.5 10.7 5.29 4.45
2022 34 54 6 1 16.7 7.7 93.5 107.5 7.2 50.0 .165 .279 .262 .187 .405 33.3 53.8 0.0 2.46 1.46
Player 5904 852 46 5.4 3.3 87.1 114.5 13.1 31.2 .214 .338 .294 .286 .344 31.7 27.6 10.4
MLB 6.7 4.6 88.4 122.4 12.1 33.0 .245 .405 .316 .315 .368 35.8 22.1 8.1
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Wilson relies on 3 pitches.
4-Seam Fastball
(35.2%) ,
Cutter
(33.3%) ,
Slider
(31.5%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

Season GB % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2015 45.5 17.9 28.2 8.3 35.3 35.9 28.8 3.8 35.9 21.8 25.0 8.3 3.8 2.5
2016 56.5 17.9 17.3 8.3 36.9 35.1 26.8 4.2 39.3 20.8 25.6 3.6 4.8 3.2
2017 37.9 25.0 22.7 14.4 32.6 34.1 33.3 3.8 25.0 35.6 24.2 6.1 4.5 2.4
2018 37.3 25.4 28.4 9.0 36.6 35.1 28.4 0.0 23.9 31.3 30.6 6.0 6.7 3.8
2019 52.5 19.8 24.8 3.0 33.7 33.7 32.7 6.9 41.6 21.8 19.8 4.0 5.0 3.0
2020 47.2 18.9 22.6 11.3 32.1 35.8 32.1 7.5 34.0 24.5 22.6 5.7 5.7 3.5
2021 47.1 31.4 9.8 11.8 33.3 34.3 32.4 7.8 34.3 27.5 20.6 1.0 7.8 5.4
2022 50.0 0.0 50.0 0.0 33.3 50.0 16.7 0.0 50.0 0.0 16.7 16.7 16.7 7.7
Player 46.4 21.9 22.4 9.3 34.7 35.0 30.0 4.3 33.5 25.9 24.5 5.2 5.4 3.3
MLB 44.9 23.1 25.0 7.1 36.8 37.7 25.4 3.8 33.0 24.6 24.4 5.7 6.7 4.6
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement


How this works: Every pitch is affected by the forces of gravity, which means that every pitch drops on its way from the mound to the plate. These numbers are reported with gravity, which makes them larger and different than other pitch movement numbers you may have seen. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren’t ‘better’ just because they have more time to move, the movement of a pitch is compared to ‘average’ movement by comparing it to other MLB pitch types within +/- 2 MPH and from within +/- 0.5 feet of extension and release.
Vertical Movement (inches) Horizontal Movement (inches)
Year Pitch Team Hand # MPH Inches of Drop vs Avg % vs Avg Inches of Break vs Avg % Break vs Avg
2022 Slider CIN L 17 86.0 35.1 0.1 0 5.4 0.6 13
2022 Cutter CIN L 18 91.5 19.0 5.2 21 3.4 1.5 77
2022 4-Seamer CIN L 19 95.1 12.4 1.5 11 8.8 2.1 31
2021 4-Seamer CIN L 351 93.6 12.2 2.3 16 6.4 -0.2 -2
2021 Cutter CIN L 216 89.6 22.2 3.7 14 3.6 0.8 30
2021 Slider CIN L 37 81.7 45.5 5.0 12 5.0 -1.8 -27
2020 Slider NYM L 12 81.1 49.6 8.1 19 6.1 -1.2 -17
2020 Sinker NYM L 5 94.5 12.9 -7.0 -35 11.5 -2.9 -20
2020 Cutter NYM L 129 90.8 21.8 1.7 7 3.0 0.3 11
2020 4-Seamer NYM L 199 94.9 11.5 2.4 17 6.3 -0.6 -9
2019 4-Seamer NYM L 362 95.0 12.1 2.5 17 3.9 -3.2 -45
2019 Slider NYM L 57 83.8 43.0 4.2 11 6.9 1.7 32
2019 Cutter NYM L 271 90.1 25.4 0.5 2 5.3 3.4 171
2018 Cutter CHC L 155 91.1 22.8 2.6 10 4.1 2.0 98
2018 4-Seamer CHC L 778 94.7 12.3 2.4 17 4.2 -3.0 -42
2018 Slider CHC L 100 83.6 42.5 3.1 8 6.2 0.8 16
2017 Sinker CHC L 19 96.1 11.7 -6.1 -34 15.1 0.2 2
2017 4-Seamer CHC L 742 95.9 9.5 3.0 24 7.3 -0.9 -11
2017 Cutter CHC L 248 91.7 22.0 0.1 0 2.6 0.6 33
2017 Slider CHC L 118 84.8 39.1 3.4 10 4.5 0.1 2
2017 Changeup CHC L 2 89.9 24.6 -0.3 -1 18.1 4.7 35
2016 Cutter DET L 290 90.6 24.4 -2.4 -11 2.1 0.3 19
2016 Curveball DET L 35 81.1 45.0 -5.2 -10 5.7 -2.3 -28
2016 4-Seamer DET L 295 95.9 9.7 2.4 20 6.7 -0.7 -10
2016 Sinker DET L 357 95.4 12.7 -5.0 -28 13.7 -0.3 -2
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2022 4-Seamer -8.0 -2 19 35.2 7 .000 .000 .000 42.9 71.4 55.6 .109 .135 .105 0.0
2022 Cutter -1.5 0 18 33.3 2 .500 1.000 .625 45.5 0.0 0.0 .284 .596 .367 50.0
2022 Slider 1.3 0 17 31.5 4 .500 .750 .538 42.9 50.0 28.6 .205 .374 .240 50.0
2021 4-Seamer 2.2 8 351 58.1 87 .288 .575 .422 25.3 25.3 20.6 .271 .515 .392 43.1
2021 Cutter -1.9 -4 216 35.8 56 .208 .283 .240 12.0 10.7 13.0 .184 .299 .233 27.7
2021 Slider -1.5 -1 37 6.1 6 .000 .000 .117 23.5 16.7 3.7 .180 .196 .254 50.0
2020 4-Seamer -3.3 -6 199 57.7 45 .158 .184 .226 28.4 31.1 20.0 .199 .289 .278 32.0
2020 Cutter 2.2 3 129 37.4 35 .364 .455 .406 19.7 20.0 19.4 .248 .361 .289 23.1
2020 Slider -2.4 0 12 3.5 4 .000 .000 .175 50.0 50.0 25.0 .021 .023 .190 0.0
2020 Sinker -12.8 -1 5 1.4 1 .000 .000 .000 0.0 0.0 0.0 .547 1.503 .850 100.0
2019 4-Seamer 0.0 0 363 52.5 84 .243 .400 .357 26.4 32.1 20.6 .196 .302 .293 32.6
2019 Cutter -3.3 -9 271 39.2 66 .197 .246 .233 23.2 18.2 16.9 .222 .302 .262 22.4
2019 Slider 1.7 1 57 8.2 15 .286 .500 .321 30.8 33.3 20.0 .150 .373 .248 33.3
2018 4-Seamer -1.1 -8 778 75.2 165 .182 .328 .287 27.8 32.1 20.9 .196 .341 .305 36.5
2018 Cutter 2.2 3 155 15.0 45 .372 .488 .391 21.3 17.8 19.0 .336 .462 .362 31.4
2018 Slider 1.8 2 100 9.7 25 .182 .227 .350 26.7 32.0 15.4 .217 .258 .267 14.3
2017 4-Seamer -0.8 -6 742 65.7 154 .163 .318 .283 31.8 39.6 26.1 .148 .264 .259 29.4
2017 Cutter -1.5 -4 248 21.9 54 .224 .347 .305 20.7 11.1 8.7 .266 .377 .315 25.6
2017 Slider 1.0 1 118 10.4 30 .250 .321 .257 33.3 40.0 19.4 .225 .352 .253 29.4
2017 Sinker -1.2 0 19 1.7 7 .000 .000 .429 33.3 14.3 33.3 .037 .040 .320 0.0
2017 Changeup -0.9 0 2 0.2 -- -- -- 0.0 -- -- -- -- -- --
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2020 Cutter 118 90.8 55 11.1 12:00 12:45 -45
2020 4-Seam Fastball 195 94.9 97 19.6 11:15 11:15 0
2020 Slider 11 81.0 56 12.8 4:15 5:00 -45
2021 Cutter 216 89.6 58 11.6 11:45 12:45 -60
2021 4-Seam Fastball 351 93.6 98 19.8 11:15 11:15 0
2021 Slider 37 81.7 38 8.7 4:00 4:45 -45
2022 Cutter 18 91.5 58 13.3 11:45 12:30 -45
2022 4-Seam Fastball 19 95.1 97 19.7 11:00 11:00 0
2022 Slider 17 86.0 23 6.0 2:00 3:00 -60
! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2015 1,048 52.8 71.1 76.1 30.7 63.8 42.7 60.2 52.0 26.6 9.8 82.5
2016 996 48.7 66.8 79.0 33.7 60.5 40.7 58.6 49.8 27.0 7.7 71.4
2017 1,130 50.0 66.3 72.5 25.3 66.4 43.2 53.7 45.8 29.0 7.0 75.9
2018 1,035 54.3 71.1 77.2 26.2 58.1 42.8 59.6 50.6 26.5 8.4 82.8
2019 692 49.2 71.2 78.9 28.5 62.0 41.1 56.4 49.4 25.4 7.8 72.2
2020 345 47.8 67.9 77.7 32.2 70.7 44.1 57.6 49.3 24.7 8.1 71.4
2021 604 51.7 68.9 80.5 23.3 73.5 46.0 55.7 46.9 20.8 7.3 88.6
2022 54 48.1 61.5 50.0 32.1 66.7 53.7 61.5 46.3 44.0 5.6 66.7
Player 5,904 50.9 69.0 76.8 28.5 63.8 42.8 57.6 49.2 26.4 8.1 78.3
MLB 48.5 66.9 82.0 28.4 58.3 42.6 60.9 47.1 24.7 7.2 76.1
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA /
xERA
xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV Hard
Hit%
K% BB% Whiff% Chase
Rate
FB
Velo
FB
Spin
CB
Spin
Extension
2015 68 68 73 72 61 85 81 53 14 84 36 78 63 81 79 28 22
2016 91 86 89 84 91 82 73 65 83 81 67 79 88 72 88 14
2017 87 97 96 87 73 88 77 65 90 93 2 82 24 81 91 29
2018 46 62 73 73 19 77 42 59 72 86 2 61 28 72 83 24
2019 49 83 26
2020 74 72 81 86 61 74 65 96 92 68 38 36 85 56 61 29
2021 30 62 21
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Expected Home Runs

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2016 22.6 6 6.0 0 3 4 3 50.0
2017 21.7 5 5.4 0 2 6 2 40.0
2018 21.7 5 5.8 -1 2 8 0 0.0
2019 21.6 4 3.5 1 3 2 2 50.0
2020 24.7 1 1.4 0 0 2 0 0.0
2021 22.8 6 5.6 0 1 2 4 66.7
Player 22.3 27 27.6 -1 11 24 11 40.7

Expected Home Runs by Park

Year HR
2016 6 7 7 6 5 6 4 7 6 5 8 6 4 5 5 6 6 6 4 6 10 4 5 6 6 7 7 5 5 6 9
2017 5 5 9 6 3 5 5 4 8 7 6 6 2 4 5 8 7 7 3 6 8 3 3 5 5 7 6 2 4 6 7
2018 5 6 7 4 6 7 5 9 7 3 5 6 2 5 6 7 6 8 5 5 7 6 6 6 6 7 8 4 3 5 8
2019 4 4 4 2 4 2 4 4 5 4 2 3 2 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 2 2 4 3 4 3 3 4 2 5
2020 1 2 2 1 2 2 0 2 2 1 1 1 0 2 1 2 2 1 1 1 1 2 2 1 1 2 1 1 2 0 2
2021 6 5 5 5 6 6 6 6 6 6 4 5 5 5 6 6 6 5 6 6 6 5 5 6 5 6 6 5 7 5 6
Player 27 29 34 24 26 28 24 32 34 26 26 27 15 25 27 33 31 31 23 28 36 22 23 28 26 33 31 20 25 24 37
! Note: This tells how many of this player's home runs would have been out of other stadiums. This accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects. For these purposes, the 2020 Blue Jays home field was still Rogers Centre, not Sahlen Field.
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Year to Year Changes

Metric 2015 2016 +/-   2017 +/-   2018 +/-   2019 +/-   2020 +/-   2021 +/-   2022 +/-  
Fastball Velocity 94.9 94.1 -0.8 94.9 0.8 94.1 -0.8 92.9 -1.2 93.3 0.4 92 -1.3 93.4 1.4
Offspeed Velocity 0 0 0 89.9 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Breaking Velocity 86.5 81.1 -5.4 84.8 3.7 83.6 -1.2 83.8 0.2 81.1 -2.7 81.7 0.6 86 4.3
Exit Velocity 88 88 0 86.6 -1.4 88 1.4 85.3 -2.7 84.5 -0.8 86.9 2.4 93.5 6.6
Launch Angle 11.1 8.6 -2.5 19.1 10.5 18.1 -1 6.3 -11.8 13.1 6.8 16 2.9 7.2 -8.8
Barrel % 3.8 4.8 1 4.5 -0.3 6.7 2.2 5 -1.7 5.7 0.7 7.8 2.1 16.7 8.9
Hard Hit % 37.2 29.8 -7.4 27.5 -2.3 32.8 5.3 27.7 -5.1 28.3 0.6 36.3 8 33.3 -3
Sweet Spot % 34.6 23.2 -11.4 31.8 8.6 41 9.2 34.7 -6.3 28.3 -6.4 22.5 -5.8 50 27.5
xBA .229 .213 -0.016 .184 -0.029 .229 0.045 .203 -0.026 .218 0.015 .232 0.014 .165 -0.067
BA .223 .263 0.04 .19 -0.073 .223 0.033 .228 0.005 .24 0.012 .244 0.004 .231 -0.013
xwOBA .293 .262 -0.031 .271 0.009 .31 0.039 .276 -0.034 .286 0.01 .323 0.037 .187 -0.136
wOBA .271 .305 0.034 .281 -0.024 .304 0.023 .294 -0.01 .282 -0.012 .332 0.05 .262 -0.07
xSLG .351 .327 -0.024 .298 -0.029 .358 0.06 .308 -0.05 .326 0.018 .414 0.088 .279 -0.135
SLG .309 .392 0.083 .327 -0.065 .351 0.024 .345 -0.006 .293 -0.052 .435 0.142 .385 -0.05
K% 27 25.9 -1.1 32.5 6.6 29.4 -3.1 26.7 -2.7 27.1 0.4 19.5 -7.6 53.8 34.3
BB% 8.2 6.8 -1.4 13.4 6.6 13.6 0.2 10.9 -2.7 9.4 -1.5 10.7 1.3 0 -10.7
Swing % 52 49.8 -2.2 45.8 -4 50.6 4.8 49.4 -1.2 49.3 -0.1 46.9 -2.4 46.3 -0.6
Whiff% 26.6 27 0.4 29 2 26.5 -2.5 25.4 -1.1 24.7 -0.7 20.8 -3.9 44 23.2
In Zone % 52.8 48.7 -4.1 50 1.3 54.3 4.3 49.2 -5.1 47.8 -1.4 51.7 3.9 48.1 -3.6
Out of Zone % 47.2 51.3 4.1 50 -1.3 45.7 -4.3 50.8 5.1 52.2 1.4 48.3 -3.9 51.9 3.6
Out of Zone Swing % 30.7 33.7 3 25.3 -8.4 26.2 0.9 28.5 2.3 32.2 3.7 23.3 -8.9 32.1 8.8
First Pitch Swing % 32 29.5 -2.5 24 -5.5 31.5 7.5 26.1 -5.4 28.2 2.1 30.2 2 30.8 0.6
First Pitch Strike % 60.2 58.6 -1.6 53.7 -4.9 59.6 5.9 56.4 -3.2 57.6 1.2 55.7 -1.9 61.5 5.8
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Statcast Shift Statistics

vs RHHvs LHH
YearPAwOBAPAShifts%PAShifts%
2016 242 .296 147 0 0.0 95 7 7.4
2017 244 .270 168 1 0.6 76 1 1.3
2018 235 .304 143 1 0.7 92 2 2.2
2019 165 .294 109 4 3.7 56 7 12.5
2020 85 .282 55 3 5.5 30 8 26.7
2021 146 .339 98 8 8.2 48 15 31.3
2022 10 .341 4 0 0.0 6 3 50.0

Pitch Tempo

Bases EmptyRunners On Base
SeasonTeamPitchesTempoFast %Slow %PitchesTempoFast %Slow %
2012 25 16.1 32.0% 4.0% 26 20.8 0.0% 19.2%
2013 304 17.8 13.5% 4.3% 206 22.7 1.0% 12.6%
2014 232 18.9 9.1% 1.7% 188 24.5 1.1% 16.0%
2015 263 21.1 7.2% 7.6% 179 26.1 6.1% 29.6%
2016 266 21.6 8.6% 9.4% 172 27.2 1.2% 33.1%
2017 314 22.1 0.0% 2.5% 223 25.5 0.0% 22.0%
2018 227 19.0 6.2% 2.6% 209 24.0 1.0% 22.5%
2019 179 19.7 2.8% 3.4% 115 24.3 0.0% 15.7%
2020 74 20.4 1.4% 4.1% 84 26.0 0.0% 22.6%
2021 152 19.8 2.6% 2.6% 124 24.3 0.0% 10.5%
2022 14 19.4 0.0% 0.0% 12 25.9 0.0% 8.3%
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Pitch Distribution