Justin Wilson
P | Bats/Throws: L/L | 6' 2" 205LBS | Age: 36
Draft: 2008 | Rd: 5, #144, Pittsburgh Pirates | Fresno State
W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2021 1 1 5.29 42 0 0 34 29 1.41
2022 0 1 2.45 5 0 0 3.2 7 0.82
2024 1 0 5.17 22 0 1 15.2 19 1.28
12 Seasons 34 24 3.47 549 0 19 482.2 529 1.28
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2021 42 1-1 5.29 34 29 1.41
2022 5 0-1 2.45 3.2 7 0.82
2024 22 1-0 5.17 15.2 19 1.28
12 Seasons 549 34-24 3.47 482.2 529 1.28
MLB Percentile Rankings
Pitch Distribution

Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls
Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity
Max EV Launch
Angle
LA Sweet-
Spot %
XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2015 27 1048 156 6 3.8 2.5 88.0 112.3 11.1 34.6 .229 .350 .271 .292 .362 37.2 27.0 8.2 3.10 3.51
2016 28 996 168 8 4.8 3.2 88.0 114.5 8.6 23.2 .213 .327 .305 .262 .323 29.8 25.9 6.8 4.14 2.84
2017 29 1130 132 6 4.5 2.4 86.6 114.2 19.1 31.8 .184 .298 .281 .271 .327 27.5 32.4 13.8 3.41 3.10
2018 30 1035 134 9 6.7 3.8 88.0 110.6 18.1 41.0 .228 .358 .304 .310 .380 32.8 29.2 14.0 3.46 4.07
2019 31 692 101 5 5.0 3.0 85.3 111.0 6.3 34.7 .203 .308 .294 .276 .314 27.7 26.5 11.4 2.54 3.31
2020 32 345 53 3 5.7 3.5 84.5 109.9 13.1 28.3 .218 .326 .282 .286 .340 28.3 26.7 10.5 3.66 3.42
2021 33 604 102 8 7.8 5.4 86.9 112.5 16.0 22.5 .232 .414 .332 .323 .353 36.3 19.5 10.7 5.29 4.45
2022 34 54 6 1 16.7 7.7 93.5 107.5 7.2 50.0 .165 .279 .262 .187 .405 33.3 53.8 0.0 2.46 1.46
2024 36 274 43 4 9.3 6.0 84.9 107.5 25.3 44.2 .194 .340 .348 .263 .327 32.6 28.4 4.5 5.17 2.69
Player 6178 895 50 5.6 3.4 87.0 114.5 13.7 31.8 .213 .338 .297 .285 .343 31.8 27.6 10.3
MLB 6.9 4.8 88.5 122.4 12.2 33.1 .245 .406 .316 .316 .369 36.4 22.1 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Wilson relies on 4 pitches.
Four Seamer
(52.2%) ,
Cutter
(24.8%) ,
Slider
(20.8%) ,
Split Finger
(2.2%) ,


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+ If Available Pitches Click to Video.


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

Season GB % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2015 45.5 17.9 28.2 8.3 34.0 35.9 25.0 3.8 35.9 21.8 25.0 8.3 3.8 2.5
2016 56.5 17.9 17.3 8.3 36.9 35.1 26.8 4.2 39.3 20.8 25.6 3.6 4.8 3.2
2017 37.9 25.0 22.7 14.4 32.6 34.1 33.3 3.8 25.0 35.6 24.2 6.1 4.5 2.4
2018 37.3 25.4 28.4 9.0 36.6 35.1 28.4 0.0 23.9 31.3 30.6 6.0 6.7 3.8
2019 52.5 19.8 24.8 3.0 33.7 33.7 32.7 6.9 41.6 21.8 19.8 4.0 5.0 3.0
2020 47.2 18.9 22.6 11.3 32.1 35.8 32.1 7.5 34.0 24.5 22.6 5.7 5.7 3.5
2021 47.1 31.4 9.8 11.8 33.3 34.3 32.4 7.8 34.3 27.5 20.6 1.0 7.8 5.4
2022 50.0 0.0 50.0 0.0 33.3 50.0 16.7 0.0 50.0 0.0 16.7 16.7 16.7 7.7
2024 30.2 32.6 20.9 16.3 27.9 25.6 46.5 11.6 23.3 27.9 18.6 9.3 9.3 6.0
Player 45.6 22.5 22.3 9.6 34.2 34.5 30.2 4.7 33.0 26.0 24.2 5.4 5.6 3.4
MLB 44.6 23.6 24.8 7.0 37.1 37.5 25.3 3.9 32.8 24.7 24.4 5.8 6.9 4.8
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement


How this works: Every pitch is affected by the forces of gravity, which means that every pitch drops on its way from the mound to the plate. These numbers are reported with gravity, which makes them larger and different than other pitch movement numbers you may have seen. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren’t ‘better’ just because they have more time to move, the movement of a pitch is compared to ‘average’ movement by comparing it to other MLB pitch types within +/- 2 MPH and from within +/- 0.5 feet of extension and release.
Vertical Movement (inches) Horizontal Movement (inches)
Year Pitch Team Hand # MPH Inches of Drop vs Avg % vs Avg Inches of Break vs Avg % Break vs Avg
2024 Split-Finger CIN L 6 86.1 28.4 -5.6 -17 10.7 1.0 10
2024 Slider CIN L 57 87.9 33.3 0.0 0 3.1 -1.1 -26
2024 4-Seam Fastball CIN L 143 95.3 12.2 1.5 11 6.0 -1.1 -16
2024 Cutter CIN L 68 91.8 20.9 2.6 11 2.6 0.3 14
2022 Cutter CIN L 18 91.5 19.0 5.3 22 3.4 1.4 68
2022 Slider CIN L 17 86.0 35.1 0.1 0 5.4 0.8 18
2022 4-Seam Fastball CIN L 19 95.1 12.4 1.5 11 8.8 2.1 31
2021 Slider CIN L 37 81.7 45.5 5.1 12 5.0 -1.1 -18
2021 Cutter CIN L 216 89.6 22.2 3.7 14 3.6 0.8 30
2021 4-Seam Fastball CIN L 351 93.6 12.2 2.3 16 6.4 -0.2 -2
2020 4-Seam Fastball NYM L 199 94.9 11.5 2.4 17 6.3 -0.6 -9
2020 Sinker NYM L 5 94.5 12.9 -7.2 -36 11.5 -3.0 -21
2020 Slider NYM L 12 81.1 49.6 8.1 19 6.1 -0.6 -9
2020 Cutter NYM L 129 90.8 21.8 1.7 7 3.0 0.3 12
2019 4-Seam Fastball NYM L 362 95.0 12.1 2.5 17 3.9 -3.2 -45
2019 Slider NYM L 57 83.8 43.0 4.2 11 6.9 1.9 38
2019 Cutter NYM L 271 90.1 25.4 0.5 2 5.3 3.3 170
2018 Cutter CHC L 155 91.1 22.8 2.6 10 4.1 2.0 96
2018 Slider CHC L 100 83.6 42.5 3.2 8 6.2 1.1 22
2018 4-Seam Fastball CHC L 778 94.7 12.3 2.4 17 4.2 -3.0 -42
2017 4-Seam Fastball CHC L 742 95.9 9.5 3.0 24 7.3 -0.9 -11
2017 Sinker CHC L 19 96.1 11.7 -6.1 -34 15.1 0.3 2
2017 Changeup CHC L 2 89.9 24.6 -0.3 -1 18.1 4.7 35
2017 Slider CHC L 118 84.8 39.1 3.5 10 4.5 0.2 6
2017 Cutter CHC L 248 91.7 22.0 0.1 0 2.6 0.6 33
2016 Sinker DET L 357 95.4 14.9 -5.2 -26 13.7 -0.3 -2
2016 Cutter DET L 290 90.6 26.2 -2.1 -9 2.1 -0.1 -4
2016 4-Seam Fastball DET L 295 95.9 11.0 3.0 22 6.7 -0.7 -10
2016 Curveball DET L 35 81.1 46.5 -5.2 -10 5.7 -2.1 -27
2015 4-Seam Fastball NYY L 505 95.9 10.4 3.2 24 6.6 -0.3 -4
2015 Sinker NYY L 280 95.7 12.7 -7.8 -38 13.2 -0.8 -6
2015 Curveball NYY L 50 83.0 43.5 -4.7 -10 4.6 -2.5 -35
2015 Slider NYY L 19 95.6 11.4 -5.3 -32 7.1 -5.1 255
2015 Cutter NYY L 179 91.0 22.5 0.2 1 0.0 -1.4 -98
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2024 4-Seam Fastball -1.1 -2 143 52.2 35 .310 .586 .414 29.3 34.3 23.1 .196 .415 .321 44.4
2024 Cutter 3.6 2 68 24.8 16 .250 .438 .294 17.1 12.5 20.0 .246 .360 .257 28.6
2024 Slider 1.3 1 57 20.8 15 .267 .333 .263 40.0 33.3 21.7 .126 .173 .129 20.0
2024 Split-Finger 0.9 0 6 2.2 1 .000 .000 .000 0.0 0.0 0.0 .309 .341 .282 0.0
2022 4-Seam Fastball 8.0 2 19 35.2 7 .000 .000 .000 42.9 71.4 55.6 .109 .135 .105 0.0
2022 Cutter 1.5 0 18 33.3 2 .500 1.000 .625 45.5 0.0 0.0 .284 .596 .367 50.0
2022 Slider -1.3 0 17 31.5 4 .500 .750 .538 42.9 50.0 28.6 .205 .374 .240 50.0
2021 4-Seam Fastball -2.2 -8 351 58.1 87 .288 .575 .422 25.3 25.3 20.6 .271 .515 .392 43.1
2021 Cutter 1.9 4 216 35.8 56 .208 .283 .240 12.0 10.7 13.0 .183 .298 .233 27.7
2021 Slider 1.5 1 37 6.1 6 .000 .000 .117 23.5 16.7 3.7 .180 .196 .254 50.0
2020 4-Seam Fastball 3.3 7 199 57.7 45 .158 .184 .226 28.4 31.1 20.0 .199 .289 .278 32.0
2020 Cutter -2.2 -3 129 37.4 35 .364 .455 .406 19.7 20.0 19.4 .248 .361 .289 23.1
2020 Slider 2.4 0 12 3.5 4 .000 .000 .175 50.0 50.0 25.0 .021 .023 .190 0.0
2020 Sinker 12.8 1 5 1.4 1 .000 .000 .000 0.0 0.0 0.0 .547 1.503 .850 100.0
2019 4-Seam Fastball 0.0 0 363 52.5 84 .243 .400 .357 26.4 32.1 20.6 .196 .302 .293 32.6
2019 Cutter 3.3 9 271 39.2 66 .197 .246 .233 23.2 18.2 16.9 .222 .302 .262 22.4
2019 Slider -1.7 -1 57 8.2 15 .286 .500 .321 30.8 33.3 20.0 .150 .373 .248 33.3
2018 4-Seam Fastball 1.1 8 778 75.2 165 .182 .328 .287 27.8 32.1 20.9 .196 .340 .305 36.5
2018 Cutter -2.2 -3 155 15.0 45 .372 .488 .391 21.3 17.8 19.0 .336 .462 .362 31.4
2018 Slider -1.8 -2 100 9.7 25 .182 .227 .350 26.7 32.0 15.4 .217 .258 .267 14.3
2017 4-Seam Fastball 0.8 6 742 65.7 154 .163 .318 .283 31.8 39.6 26.1 .148 .264 .259 29.4
2017 Cutter 1.4 4 248 21.9 54 .224 .347 .305 20.7 11.1 8.7 .265 .376 .314 25.6
2017 Slider -1.0 -1 118 10.4 30 .250 .321 .257 33.3 40.0 19.4 .225 .352 .253 29.4
2017 Sinker 1.2 0 19 1.7 7 .000 .000 .429 33.3 14.3 33.3 .037 .040 .320 0.0
2017 Changeup 0.9 0 2 0.2 -- -- -- 0.0 -- -- -- -- -- --
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: To better align with other values, positive numbers (red) are good, and negative numbers (blue) are poor.
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Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2024 Cutter 68 91.8 60 11.0 11:45 12:30 -45
2024 4-Seam Fastball 141 95.3 96 18.6 11:15 11:15 0
2024 Slider 57 87.9 23 4.3 1:15 2:45 -90
2022 Cutter 18 91.5 58 13.3 11:45 12:30 -45
2022 4-Seam Fastball 19 95.1 97 19.7 11:00 11:00 0
2022 Slider 17 86.0 23 6.0 2:00 3:00 -60
2021 Cutter 216 89.6 58 11.6 11:45 12:45 -60
2021 4-Seam Fastball 351 93.6 98 19.8 11:15 11:15 0
2021 Slider 37 81.7 38 8.7 4:00 4:45 -45
2020 Cutter 118 90.8 55 11.1 12:00 12:45 -45
2020 4-Seam Fastball 195 94.9 97 19.6 11:15 11:15 0
2020 Slider 11 81.0 56 12.8 4:15 5:00 -45
! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Swing/Take

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2012 26 104 -4 -1 -1 0 -6
2013 305 1,226 15 7 -6 -5 11
2014 254 1,024 6 11 -6 -4 7
2015 248 1,073 9 17 -7 -3 16
2016 249 988 -3 3 -4 -3 -8
2017 247 1,138 12 11 -10 -4 9
2018 236 1,037 10 5 -7 -4 4
2019 165 691 8 8 -4 -4 8
2020 85 345 6 2 -1 -2 5
2021 149 604 4 3 -8 -2 -3
2024 67 274 1 2 -1 -1 2
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2015 1,048 52.8 71.1 76.1 30.7 63.8 42.7 60.2 52.0 26.6 9.8 82.5
2016 996 48.7 66.8 79.0 33.7 60.5 40.7 58.6 49.8 27.0 7.7 71.4
2017 1,130 50.0 66.3 72.5 25.3 66.4 43.2 53.7 45.8 29.0 7.0 75.9
2018 1,035 54.3 71.1 77.2 26.2 58.1 42.8 59.3 50.6 26.5 8.4 82.8
2019 692 49.2 71.2 78.9 28.5 62.0 41.1 56.4 49.4 25.4 7.8 72.2
2020 345 47.8 67.9 77.7 32.2 70.7 44.1 57.6 49.3 24.7 8.1 71.4
2021 604 51.7 68.9 80.5 23.3 73.5 46.0 55.7 46.9 20.8 7.3 88.6
2022 54 48.1 61.5 50.0 32.1 66.7 53.7 61.5 46.3 44.0 5.6 66.7
2024 274 51.8 73.2 75.0 35.6 66.0 42.3 61.2 55.1 27.2 10.2 82.1
Player 6,178 51.0 69.2 76.7 28.8 63.9 42.8 57.7 49.4 26.5 8.1 78.5
MLB 48.6 67.0 82.0 28.4 57.9 42.6 60.9 47.2 24.8 7.3 76.2
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA /
xERA
xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV Hard
Hit%
K% BB% Whiff% Chase
Rate
FB
Velo
FB
Spin
CB
Spin
Extension
2015 69 68 74 72 61 85 81 53 14 84 36 78 63 88 82 28 23
2016 91 86 89 84 92 82 73 65 83 81 67 79 88 86 84 17
2017 87 96 96 87 73 88 77 65 90 93 2 82 24 90 91 31
2018 46 62 73 73 20 77 42 59 72 86 2 61 28 77 82 25
2019 77 76 35
2020 74 72 81 86 57 74 65 96 92 67 30 36 85 77 56 29
2021 51 55 22
2024 72 49 18
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Expected Home Runs

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2016 22.6 6 6.1 0 4 5 2 33.3
2017 21.7 5 5.3 0 2 6 2 40.0
2018 21.7 5 5.9 -1 4 8 0 0.0
2019 21.6 4 3.5 1 1 3 1 25.0
2020 24.7 1 1.3 0 0 2 0 0.0
2021 22.8 6 5.8 0 2 2 4 66.7
2024 21.2 3 2.0 1 2 3 0 0.0
Player 22.2 30 29.9 0 15 29 9 30.0

Expected Home Runs by Park

Year HR
2016 6 7 5 7 6 5 6 6 5 5 5 8 7 6 5 6 4 5 6 8 6 5 9 7 6 5 6 10 7 6 3
2017 5 4 6 6 7 6 8 4 5 2 4 9 5 6 5 5 2 3 5 6 5 4 7 6 5 2 7 8 7 6 3
2018 5 9 2 5 7 6 8 6 5 2 4 9 6 5 6 6 5 5 7 7 7 4 8 8 5 3 6 5 8 6 6
2019 4 4 3 3 4 4 4 4 4 2 4 4 3 2 4 3 2 2 4 4 3 4 5 3 2 4 4 4 5 4 4
2020 1 2 1 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 1 2 2 1 2 1 1 1 1 2 1 2 2 1 0 1 2 1 1 1 1
2021 6 6 6 4 6 6 6 7 5 5 6 5 6 5 6 6 5 5 6 6 5 7 7 7 5 6 6 6 6 6 6
2024 3 1 1 1 1 2 3 1 1 0 3 3 1 2 2 2 2 1 3 3 3 3 3 3 1 2 2 2 3 3 3
Player 30 33 24 27 33 30 37 29 27 17 27 40 30 27 30 29 21 22 32 36 30 29 41 35 24 23 33 36 37 32 26
! Note: This tells how many of this player's home runs would have been out of other stadiums. This accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects. For these purposes, the 2020 Blue Jays home field was still Rogers Centre, not Sahlen Field.
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Year to Year Changes

Metric 2015 2016 +/-   2017 +/-   2018 +/-   2019 +/-   2020 +/-   2021 +/-   2022 +/-  
Fastball Velocity 94.9 94.1 -0.8 94.9 0.8 94.1 -0.8 92.9 -1.2 93.3 0.4 92.0 -1.3 93.4 1.4
Offspeed Velocity 0.0 0.0 0.0 89.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Breaking Velocity 86.5 81.1 -5.4 84.8 3.7 83.6 -1.2 83.8 0.2 81.1 -2.7 81.7 0.6 86.0 4.3
Exit Velocity 88.0 88.0 0.0 86.6 -1.4 88.0 1.4 85.3 -2.7 84.5 -0.8 86.9 2.4 93.5 6.6
Launch Angle 11.1 8.6 -2.5 19.1 10.5 18.1 -1.0 6.3 -11.8 13.1 6.8 16.0 2.9 7.2 -8.8
Barrel % 3.8 4.8 1.0 4.5 -0.3 6.7 2.2 5.0 -1.7 5.7 0.7 7.8 2.1 16.7 8.9
Hard Hit % 37.2 29.8 -7.4 27.5 -2.3 32.8 5.3 27.7 -5.1 28.3 0.6 36.3 8.0 33.3 -3.0
LA Sweet-Spot % 34.6 23.2 -11.4 31.8 8.6 41.0 9.2 34.7 -6.3 28.3 -6.4 22.5 -5.8 50.0 27.5
xBA .229 .213 -0.016 .184 -0.029 .228 0.044 .203 -0.025 .218 0.015 .232 0.014 .165 -0.067
BA .223 .263 0.040 .190 -0.073 .223 0.033 .228 0.005 .240 0.012 .244 0.004 .231 -0.013
xwOBA .292 .262 -0.030 .271 0.009 .310 0.039 .276 -0.034 .286 0.010 .323 0.037 .187 -0.136
wOBA .271 .305 0.034 .281 -0.024 .304 0.023 .294 -0.010 .282 -0.012 .332 0.050 .262 -0.070
xSLG .350 .327 -0.023 .298 -0.029 .358 0.060 .308 -0.050 .326 0.018 .414 0.088 .279 -0.135
SLG .309 .392 0.083 .327 -0.065 .351 0.024 .345 -0.006 .293 -0.052 .435 0.142 .385 -0.050
K% 27.0 25.9 -1.1 32.4 6.5 29.2 -3.2 26.5 -2.7 26.7 0.2 19.5 -7.2 53.8 34.3
BB% 8.2 6.8 -1.4 13.8 7.0 14.0 0.2 11.4 -2.6 10.5 -0.9 10.7 0.2 0.0 -10.7
Swing % 52.0 49.8 -2.2 45.8 -4.0 50.6 4.8 49.4 -1.2 49.3 -0.1 46.9 -2.4 46.3 -0.6
Whiff% 26.6 27.0 0.4 29.0 2.0 26.5 -2.5 25.4 -1.1 24.7 -0.7 20.8 -3.9 44.0 23.2
In Zone % 52.8 48.7 -4.1 50.0 1.3 54.3 4.3 49.2 -5.1 47.8 -1.4 51.7 3.9 48.1 -3.6
Out of Zone % 47.2 51.3 4.1 50.0 -1.3 45.7 -4.3 50.8 5.1 52.2 1.4 48.3 -3.9 51.9 3.6
Out of Zone Swing % 30.7 33.7 3.0 25.3 -8.4 26.2 0.9 28.5 2.3 32.2 3.7 23.3 -8.9 32.1 8.8
First Pitch Swing % 32.0 29.5 -2.5 24.0 -5.5 31.4 7.4 26.1 -5.3 28.2 2.1 30.2 2.0 30.8 0.6
First Pitch Strike % 60.2 58.6 -1.6 53.7 -4.9 59.3 5.6 56.4 -2.9 57.6 1.2 55.7 -1.9 61.5 5.8
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Statcast Fielder Positioning

vs RHHvs LHH
YearAlignment TypePAwOBAPATotal%PATotal%
2016 Shifts 242 .296 147 0 0.0 95 11 11.6
2017 Shifts 244 .270 168 1 0.6 76 1 1.3
2018 Shifts 235 .304 143 6 4.2 92 3 3.3
2019 Shifts 165 .294 109 4 3.7 56 7 12.5
2020 Shifts 85 .282 55 5 9.1 30 9 30.0
2021 Shifts 146 .339 98 10 10.2 48 17 35.4
2022 Shifts 13 .262 6 0 0.0 7 4 57.1
2024 Shades 67 .348 29 3 10.3 38 13 34.2
! Note: Shifts are through the 2022 season, Shaded starting from the 2023 season, Shift: three or more infielders are on the same side of second base, Shade: positioned outside of their typical responsible slices of the field.
Learn more about how positioning is defined here

Pitch Tempo

Bases Empty