Justin Wilson
P | Bats/Throws: L/L | 6' 2" 205LBS | Age: 37
Draft: 2008 | Rd: 5, #144, Pittsburgh Pirates | Fresno State
W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2021 1 1 5.29 42 0 0 34 29 1.41
2022 0 1 2.45 5 0 0 3.2 7 0.82
2024 1 5 5.59 60 0 2 46.2 51 1.46
12 Seasons 34 29 3.61 587 0 20 513.2 561 1.30
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2021 42 1-1 5.29 34 29 1.41
2022 5 0-1 2.45 3.2 7 0.82
2024 60 1-5 5.59 46.2 51 1.46
12 Seasons 587 34-29 3.61 513.2 561 1.30
MLB Percentile Rankings
Movement Profile (Induced Break)
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Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls		 Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity		 Max EV Launch
Angle		 LA Sweet-
Spot %		 XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2015 27 1048 156 6 3.8 2.5 88.0 112.3 11.1 34.6 .229 .350 .271 .292 .362 37.2 27.0 8.2 3.10 3.51
2016 28 996 168 8 4.8 3.2 88.0 114.5 8.6 23.2 .213 .327 .305 .262 .323 29.8 25.9 6.8 4.14 2.84
2017 29 1130 132 6 4.5 2.4 86.6 114.2 19.1 31.8 .184 .298 .281 .271 .327 27.5 32.4 13.8 3.41 3.10
2018 30 1035 134 9 6.7 3.8 88.0 110.6 18.1 41.0 .228 .358 .304 .310 .380 32.8 29.2 14.0 3.46 4.07
2019 31 692 101 5 5.0 3.0 85.3 111.0 6.3 34.7 .203 .308 .294 .276 .314 27.7 26.5 11.4 2.54 3.31
2020 32 345 53 3 5.7 3.5 84.5 109.9 13.1 28.3 .218 .326 .282 .286 .340 28.3 26.7 10.5 3.66 3.42
2021 33 604 102 8 7.8 5.4 86.9 112.5 16.0 22.5 .232 .414 .332 .322 .353 36.3 19.5 10.7 5.29 4.42
2022 34 54 6 1 16.7 7.7 93.5 107.5 7.2 50.0 .165 .279 .262 .187 .405 33.3 53.8 0.0 2.46 1.46
2024 36 816 143 16 11.2 7.7 88.6 112.0 17.8 35.7 .245 .440 .354 .318 .394 41.3 24.4 6.2 5.59 4.25
Player 6720 995 62 6.2 3.9 87.3 114.5 13.8 31.9 .218 .351 .302 .290 .351 33.1 27.1 10.1
MLB 7.0 4.8 88.5 122.4 12.3 33.2 .245 .405 .316 .315 .368 36.5 22.2 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Wilson relies on 4 pitches.
Four Seamer
(49.5%) ,
Slider
(25.4%) ,
Cutter
(24.0%) ,
Split Finger
(1.1%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

Season GB % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2015 45.5 17.9 28.2 8.3 34.0 35.9 25.0 3.8 35.9 21.8 25.0 8.3 3.8 2.5
2016 56.5 17.9 17.3 8.3 36.9 35.1 26.8 4.2 39.3 20.8 25.6 3.6 4.8 3.2
2017 37.9 25.0 22.7 14.4 32.6 34.1 33.3 3.8 25.0 35.6 24.2 6.1 4.5 2.4
2018 37.3 25.4 28.4 9.0 36.6 35.1 28.4 0.0 23.9 31.3 30.6 6.0 6.7 3.8
2019 52.5 19.8 24.8 3.0 33.7 33.7 32.7 6.9 41.6 21.8 19.8 4.0 5.0 3.0
2020 47.2 18.9 22.6 11.3 32.1 35.8 32.1 7.5 34.0 24.5 22.6 5.7 5.7 3.5
2021 47.1 31.4 9.8 11.8 33.3 34.3 32.4 7.8 34.3 27.5 20.6 1.0 7.8 5.4
2022 50.0 0.0 50.0 0.0 33.3 50.0 16.7 0.0 50.0 0.0 16.7 16.7 16.7 7.7
2024 39.2 28.7 21.0 11.2 37.1 30.8 32.2 7.0 24.5 25.9 23.8 7.7 11.2 7.7
Player 45.3 22.9 22.2 9.5 34.9 34.4 29.7 4.7 32.2 25.9 24.4 5.5 6.2 3.9
MLB 44.4 23.8 24.7 7.1 37.2 37.5 25.2 3.9 32.6 24.8 24.4 5.9 7.0 4.8
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement

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How this works: This section shows two different ways to evaluate pitch movement. On the left, “Total Movement” shows the real-world movement of a pitch, including the forces of gravity, which affects every pitch thrown. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren't 'better' just because they have more time to move, a pitch's movement is compared to other pitches of the same pitch type, within +/- 2 MPH and +/- 0.5 feet of extension/release. On the right, Induced Movement (or IVB) is reported without gravity, and attempts to isolate movement created by the pitcher's ability to spin and manipulate the ball.
Total Movement (in inches, w/ gravity)Induced Movement (in inches, w/o gravity)
YearPitchTeamHand#MPHVertical
Drop		vs.
Comparable		Horizontal
Break		vs.
Comparable		Vertical
Break		vs. AvgHorizontal
Break		vs. Avg
2024 Slider CIN L 207 88.4 32.9 0.2 2.9GLV -0.9 2.0 -0.5 2.9GLV -2.2
2024 Cutter CIN L 196 92.3 19.3 3.8 1.8GLV -0.3 12.5 5.3 1.8GLV -0.3
2024 4-Seam Fastball CIN L 404 95.5 12.4 1.2 6.6ARM -0.6 17.6 2.0 6.6ARM -1.6
2024 Split-Finger CIN L 9 86.9 26.7 -6.0 11.0ARM 1.1 9.4 -3.2 11.0ARM 2.5
2022 Cutter CIN L 18 91.5 19.0 5.3 3.4GLV 1.4 13.4 5.4 3.4GLV 1.8
2022 Slider CIN L 17 86.0 35.1 0.1 5.4GLV 0.9 1.7 0.2 5.4GLV 0.5
2022 4-Seam Fastball CIN L 19 95.1 12.4 1.5 8.8ARM 2.1 18.1 2.1 8.8ARM 1.2
! Note: Years are in reverse order.

Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2024 4-Seam Fastball -1.5 -6 404 49.5 93 .333 .642 .454 27.6 32.3 21.0 .262 .563 .384 45.3
2024 Slider 0.1 0 207 25.4 60 .259 .362 .284 34.0 31.7 20.0 .203 .319 .239 46.2
2024 Cutter 1.3 3 196 24.0 54 .250 .423 .303 13.6 3.7 7.4 .262 .381 .293 34.0
2024 Split-Finger -0.9 0 9 1.1 1 .000 .000 .000 0.0 0.0 0.0 .366 .388 .329 0.0
2022 4-Seam Fastball 8.0 2 19 35.2 7 .000 .000 .000 42.9 71.4 55.6 .109 .135 .105 0.0
2022 Cutter 1.5 0 18 33.3 2 .500 1.000 .625 45.5 0.0 0.0 .284 .596 .367 50.0
2022 Slider -1.3 0 17 31.5 4 .500 .750 .538 42.9 50.0 28.6 .205 .374 .240 50.0
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: To better align with other values, positive numbers (red) are good, and negative numbers (blue) are poor.

Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2024 Cutter 196 92.3 64 12.1 11:45 12:15 -30
2024 4-Seam Fastball 402 95.5 97 18.5 11:00 11:15 -15
2024 Slider 207 88.4 24 4.1 1:15 2:45 -90
2022 Cutter 18 91.5 58 13.3 11:45 12:30 -45
2022 4-Seam Fastball 19 95.1 97 19.7 11:00 11:00 0
2022 Slider 17 86.0 23 6.0 2:00 3:00 -60
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Pitcher Arm Angle

! Note: Data is available from 2020 through the present.
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Swing/Take

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2012 26 104 -4 -1 -1 0 -6
2013 305 1,226 15 7 -6 -5 11
2014 254 1,024 6 11 -6 -4 7
2015 248 1,073 9 17 -7 -3 16
2016 249 988 -3 3 -4 -3 -8
2017 247 1,138 12 11 -10 -4 9
2018 236 1,037 10 5 -7 -4 4
2019 165 691 8 8 -4 -4 8
2020 85 345 6 2 -1 -2 5
2021 149 604 4 3 -8 -2 -3
2024 208 816 -1 5 -4 -2 -3
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2015 1,048 52.8 71.1 76.1 30.7 63.8 42.7 60.2 52.0 26.6 9.8 82.5
2016 996 48.7 66.8 79.0 33.7 60.5 40.7 58.6 49.8 27.0 7.7 71.4
2017 1,130 50.0 66.3 72.5 25.3 66.4 43.2 53.7 45.8 29.0 7.0 75.9
2018 1,035 54.3 71.1 77.2 26.2 58.1 42.8 59.3 50.6 26.5 8.4 82.8
2019 692 49.2 71.2 78.9 28.5 62.0 41.1 56.4 49.4 25.4 7.8 72.2
2020 345 47.8 67.9 77.7 32.2 70.7 44.1 57.6 49.3 24.7 8.1 71.4
2021 604 51.7 68.9 80.5 23.3 73.5 46.0 55.7 46.9 20.8 7.3 88.6
2022 54 48.1 61.5 50.0 32.1 66.7 53.7 61.5 46.3 44.0 5.6 66.7
2024 816 52.2 74.6 79.9 33.8 62.1 43.4 64.4 55.1 25.1 9.6 80.8
Player 6,720 51.1 69.7 77.2 29.2 63.6 42.9 58.4 49.9 26.2 8.2 78.7
MLB 48.7 67.0 82.0 28.5 57.8 42.6 61.0 47.2 25.0 7.3 76.3
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA /
xERA 		xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV Hard
Hit% 		K% BB% Whiff% Chase
Rate 		FB
Velo 		FB
Spin 		CB
Spin 		Extension
2015 69 68 74 72 61 85 81 53 14 84 36 78 63 88 83 28 23
2016 91 86 89 84 92 82 73 65 83 81 67 77 88 86 84 17
2017 87 96 96 87 73 88 77 65 90 93 2 81 24 90 91 31
2018 46 62 73 73 20 77 42 59 72 86 2 61 28 77 82 25
2019 77 76 35
2020 74 72 81 86 57 74 65 96 92 67 30 36 85 76 56 29
2021 50 56 23
2024 36 39 14 7 67 50 4 56 27 61 78 46 95 73 40 16
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Expected Home Runs

Adjusted
Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2016 22.6 6 6.0 0 4 5 2 33.3
2017 21.7 5 5.2 0 2 6 2 40.0
2018 21.7 5 5.9 -1 4 8 0 0.0
2019 21.6 4 3.5 1 1 3 1 25.0
2020 24.7 1 1.3 0 0 2 0 0.0
2021 22.8 6 4.8 1 3 2 3 50.0
2024 24.3 10 8.6 1 3 6 4 40.0
Player 22.9 37 35.3 2 17 32 12 32.4
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's home runs allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Expected Home Runs by Park

Adjusted
Year HR
2016 6 7 5 7 6 5 6 6 5 5 5 8 6 6 5 6 4 5 6 8 6 5 9 7 6 5 6 10 7 6 3
2017 5 4 6 6 7 5 8 4 5 2 4 9 5 6 4 5 2 3 5 6 5 4 7 6 5 2 7 8 7 6 3
2018 5 9 2 5 7 6 8 6 5 2 4 9 6 5 6 6 5 5 7 7 7 4 8 8 5 3 6 5 8 6 6
2019 4 4 3 3 4 4 4 3 4 2 4 4 3 2 4 3 2 2 4 4 3 4 5 3 2 4 4 4 5 4 4
2020 1 2 1 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 1 2 1 1 2 1 1 1 1 2 1 2 2 1 0 1 2 1 1 1 1
2021 6 5 5 4 5 5 5 6 4 4 5 4 5 4 5 5 4 4 5 5 4 6 6 6 4 5 5 5 5 5 5
2024 10 6 7 7 8 9 11 7 8 6 9 10 8 7 9 6 9 7 11 11 11 10 11 11 7 8 10 9 10 8 7
Player 37 37 29 33 39 35 44 33 33 22 32 46 34 31 35 32 27 27 39 43 37 35 48 42 29 28 40 42 43 36 29
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's home runs allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Year to Year Changes

Metric 2015 2016 +/-   2017 +/-   2018 +/-   2019 +/-   2020 +/-   2021 +/-   2022 +/-  
Fastball Velocity 94.9 94.1 -0.8 ↓ 94.9 0.8 ↑ 94.1 -0.8 ↓ 92.9 -1.2 ↓ 93.3 0.4 ↑ 92.0 -1.3 ↓ 93.4 1.4 ↑
Offspeed Velocity 0.0 0.0 0.0 89.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Breaking Velocity 86.5 81.1 -5.4 ↓ 84.8 3.7 ↑ 83.6 -1.2 ↓ 83.8 0.2 ↑ 81.1 -2.7 ↓ 81.7 0.6 ↑ 86.0 4.3 ↑
Exit Velocity 88.0 88.0 0.0 86.6 -1.4 ↓ 88.0 1.4 ↑ 85.3 -2.7 ↓ 84.5 -0.8 ↓ 86.9 2.4 ↑ 93.5 6.6 ↑
Launch Angle 11.1 8.6 -2.5 ↓ 19.1 10.5 ↑ 18.1 -1.0 ↓ 6.3 -11.8 ↓ 13.1 6.8 ↑ 16.0 2.9 ↑ 7.2 -8.8 ↓
Barrel % 3.8 4.8 1.0 ↑ 4.5 -0.3 ↓ 6.7 2.2 ↑ 5.0 -1.7 ↓ 5.7 0.7 ↑ 7.8 2.1 ↑ 16.7 8.9 ↑
Hard Hit % 37.2 29.8 -7.4 ↓ 27.5 -2.3 ↓ 32.8 5.3 ↑ 27.7 -5.1 ↓ 28.3 0.6 ↑ 36.3 8.0 ↑ 33.3 -3.0 ↓
LA Sweet-Spot % 34.6 23.2 -11.4 ↓ 31.8 8.6 ↑ 41.0 9.2 ↑ 34.7 -6.3 ↓ 28.3 -6.4 ↓ 22.5 -5.8 ↓ 50.0 27.5 ↑
xBA .229 .213 -0.016 ↓ .184 -0.029 ↓ .228 0.044 ↑ .203 -0.025 ↓ .218 0.015 ↑ .232 0.014 ↑ .165 -0.067 ↓
BA .223 .263 0.040 ↑ .190 -0.073 ↓ .223 0.033 ↑ .228 0.005 ↑ .240 0.012 ↑ .244 0.004 ↑ .231 -0.013 ↓
xwOBA .292 .262 -0.030 ↓ .271 0.009 ↑ .310 0.039 ↑ .276 -0.034 ↓ .286 0.010 ↑ .322 0.036 ↑ .187 -0.135 ↓
wOBA .271 .305 0.034 ↑ .281 -0.024 ↓ .304 0.023 ↑ .294 -0.010 ↓ .282 -0.012 ↓ .332 0.050 ↑ .262 -0.070 ↓
xSLG .350 .327 -0.023 ↓ .298 -0.029 ↓ .358 0.060 ↑ .308 -0.050 ↓ .326 0.018 ↑ .414 0.088 ↑ .279 -0.135 ↓
SLG .309 .392 0.083 ↑ .327 -0.065 ↓ .351 0.024 ↑ .345 -0.006 ↓ .293 -0.052 ↓ .435 0.142 ↑ .385 -0.050 ↓
K% 27.0 25.9 -1.1 ↓ 32.4 6.5 ↑ 29.2 -3.2 ↓ 26.5 -2.7 ↓ 26.7 0.2 ↑ 19.5 -7.2 ↓ 53.8 34.3 ↑
BB% 8.2 6.8 -1.4 ↓ 13.8 7.0 ↑ 14.0 0.2 ↑ 11.4 -2.6 ↓ 10.5 -0.9 ↓ 10.7 0.2 ↑ 0.0 -10.7 ↓
Swing % 52.0 49.8 -2.2 ↓ 45.8 -4.0 ↓ 50.6 4.8 ↑ 49.4 -1.2 ↓ 49.3 -0.1 ↓ 46.9 -2.4 ↓ 46.3 -0.6 ↓
Whiff% 26.6 27.0 0.4 ↑ 29.0 2.0 ↑ 26.5 -2.5 ↓ 25.4 -1.1 ↓ 24.7 -0.7 ↓ 20.8 -3.9 ↓ 44.0 23.2 ↑
In Zone % 52.8 48.7 -4.1 ↓ 50.0 1.3 ↑ 54.3 4.3 ↑ 49.2 -5.1 ↓ 47.8 -1.4 ↓ 51.7 3.9 ↑ 48.1 -3.6 ↓
Out of Zone % 47.2 51.3 4.1 ↑ 50.0 -1.3 ↓ 45.7 -4.3 ↓ 50.8 5.1 ↑ 52.2 1.4 ↑ 48.3 -3.9 ↓ 51.9 3.6 ↑
Out of Zone Swing % 30.7 33.7 3.0 ↑ 25.3 -8.4 ↓ 26.2 0.9 ↑ 28.5 2.3 ↑ 32.2 3.7 ↑ 23.3 -8.9 ↓ 32.1 8.8 ↑
First Pitch Swing % 32.0 29.5 -2.5 ↓ 24.0 -5.5 ↓ 31.4 7.4 ↑ 26.1 -5.3 ↓ 28.2 2.1 ↑ 30.2 2.0 ↑ 30.8 0.6 ↑
First Pitch Strike % 60.2 58.6 -1.6 ↓ 53.7 -4.9 ↓ 59.3 5.6 ↑ 56.4 -2.9 ↓ 57.6 1.2 ↑ 55.7 -1.9 ↓ 61.5 5.8 ↑
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Statcast Fielder Positioning

vs RHHvs LHH
YearAlignment TypePAwOBAPATotal%PATotal%
2016 Shifts 242 .296 147 0 0.0 95 7 7.4
2017 Shifts 244 .270 168 1 0.6 76 1 1.3
2018 Shifts 235 .304 143 1 0.7 92 2 2.2
2019 Shifts 165 .294 109 4 3.7 56 7 12.5
2020 Shifts 85 .282 55 3 5.5 30 8 26.7
2021 Shifts 146 .339 98 8 8.2 48 15 31.3
2022 Shifts 13 .262 6 0 0.0 7 4 57.1
2024 Shades 208 .354 114 10 8.8 94 40 42.6
! Note: Shifts are through the 2022 season, Shaded starting from the 2023 season, Shift: three or more infielders are on the same side of second base, Shade: positioned outside of their typical responsible slices of the field.
Learn more about how positioning is defined here

Pitch Tempo

Bases EmptyRunners On Base
SeasonTeamPitchesTempoFast %Slow %PitchesTempoFast %Slow %
2012 25 16.1 32.0% 4.0% 24 20.6 0.0% 16.7%
2013 303 17.8 13.5% 4.0% 197 22.4 1.0% 9.1%
2014 232 18.9 9.1% 1.7% 176 24.1 1.1% 10.2%
2015 263 21.1 7.2% 7.6% 171 26.0 6.4% 26.9%
2016 265 21.6 8.7% 9.1% 164 27.0 1.2% 30.5%
2017 313 22.1 0.0% 2.6% 210 25.0 0.0% 18.1%
2018 227 19.0 6.2% 2.6% 202 24.0 1.0% 20.8%
2019 179 19.7 2.8% 3.4% 103 23.8 0.0% 7.8%
2020 74 20.4 1.4% 4.1% 80 25.7 0.0% 18.8%
2021 152 19.8 2.6% 2.6% 116 23.9 0.0% 5.2%
2022 14 19.4 0.0% 0.0% 12 25.9 0.0% 8.3%
2024 185 16.4 20.5% 0.5% 120 19.1 0.0% 0.0%

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Pitch Distribution

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