Sonny Gray
P | Bats/Throws: R/R | 5' 10" 190LBS | Age: 34
Draft: 2011 | Rd: 1, #18, Oakland Athletics | Vanderbilt
W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2022 8 5 3.08 24 24 0 119.2 117 1.13
2023 8 8 2.79 32 32 0 184 183 1.15
2024 6 2 2.87 8 8 0 47 59 1.04
12 Seasons 104 87 3.45 287 278 0 1,618 1,580 1.20
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2022 24 8-5 3.08 119.2 117 1.13
2023 32 8-8 2.79 184 183 1.15
2024 8 6-2 2.87 47 59 1.04
12 Seasons 287 104-87 3.45 1,618 1,580 1.20
MLB Percentile Rankings
Pitch Distribution

Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls
Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity
Max EV Launch
Angle
LA Sweet-
Spot %
XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2015 25 3078 601 27 4.5 3.2 88.9 113.6 7.7 27.6 .235 .362 .262 .290 .332 34.6 20.3 7.1 2.73 3.44
2016 26 1947 378 24 6.3 4.7 90.2 111.0 6.1 28.6 .268 .436 .349 .333 .375 43.4 18.2 8.1 5.69 4.74
2017 27 2664 465 29 6.2 4.3 87.4 115.5 5.4 29.5 .245 .404 .290 .310 .364 38.6 22.6 8.4 3.55 4.12
2018 28 2249 394 25 6.3 4.3 88.7 114.6 7.9 30.5 .249 .385 .336 .322 .362 39.5 21.1 9.8 4.90 4.42
2019 29 2909 428 29 6.8 4.1 88.1 115.1 9.1 30.1 .209 .354 .265 .286 .356 33.3 29.0 9.6 2.88 3.56
2020 30 968 135 5 3.7 2.1 86.8 112.0 6.8 37.0 .235 .345 .275 .304 .384 32.6 30.6 11.1 3.70 3.90
2021 31 2228 361 17 4.7 3.0 86.6 115.8 8.8 31.6 .216 .325 .300 .279 .333 32.1 27.0 8.7 4.19 3.25
2022 32 1872 329 18 5.5 3.7 88.1 111.3 12.1 33.1 .240 .366 .283 .298 .354 39.8 24.0 7.4 3.08 3.67
2023 33 2818 510 35 6.9 4.6 89.1 113.7 9.6 32.9 .244 .364 .270 .296 .354 39.2 24.3 7.3 2.79 3.66
2024 34 680 118 9 7.6 4.8 89.7 109.1 10.5 37.3 .228 .387 .281 .287 .393 33.9 31.2 5.3 2.87 3.19
Player 21413 3719 218 5.9 3.9 88.4 115.8 8.2 30.8 .237 .372 .290 .300 .355 37.1 23.9 8.3
MLB 6.9 4.7 88.5 122.4 12.2 33.1 .245 .406 .316 .316 .369 36.4 22.2 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Gray relies on 6 pitches.
Four Seamer
(23.7%) ,
Sweeper
(18.8%) ,
Curveball
(18.8%) ,
Cutter
(15.9%) ,
Sinker
(15.6%) ,
Changeup
(7.2%) ,


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+ If Available Pitches Click to Video.


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

Season GB % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2015 52.9 16.6 23.8 6.7 38.8 37.1 23.6 2.2 42.8 23.0 22.1 4.8 4.5 3.2
2016 54.2 15.9 25.1 4.8 39.9 35.4 24.6 3.2 41.0 16.9 26.2 4.2 6.3 4.7
2017 54.0 17.0 24.7 4.3 33.8 44.5 21.1 6.5 38.1 17.2 26.2 4.7 6.2 4.3
2018 52.0 19.5 24.1 4.3 31.2 42.9 25.1 2.5 39.3 19.8 24.1 5.8 6.3 4.3
2019 52.6 20.3 21.3 5.8 37.9 38.1 24.1 2.8 38.1 22.2 20.6 4.7 6.8 4.1
2020 51.9 16.3 26.7 5.2 45.9 34.8 19.3 2.2 39.3 17.0 31.1 5.9 3.7 2.1
2021 49.0 22.7 22.4 5.8 44.3 30.2 25.5 7.8 34.1 23.5 23.3 6.1 4.7 3.0
2022 44.4 22.2 25.5 7.9 40.1 40.7 19.1 4.9 34.0 24.6 24.0 7.0 5.5 3.7
2023 48.0 19.8 26.9 5.3 39.2 35.7 25.1 3.9 36.9 22.2 24.3 5.9 6.9 4.6
2024 43.2 25.4 26.3 5.1 32.2 43.2 24.6 0.8 33.9 25.4 25.4 6.8 7.6 4.8
Player 50.9 19.1 24.4 5.6 38.1 38.2 23.5 3.9 38.3 21.2 24.1 5.4 5.9 3.9
MLB 44.6 23.5 24.8 7.0 37.0 37.5 25.3 3.9 32.8 24.7 24.4 5.8 6.9 4.7
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement


How this works: Every pitch is affected by the forces of gravity, which means that every pitch drops on its way from the mound to the plate. These numbers are reported with gravity, which makes them larger and different than other pitch movement numbers you may have seen. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren’t ‘better’ just because they have more time to move, the movement of a pitch is compared to ‘average’ movement by comparing it to other MLB pitch types within +/- 2 MPH and from within +/- 0.5 feet of extension and release.
Vertical Movement (inches) Horizontal Movement (inches)
Year Pitch Team Hand # MPH Inches of Drop vs Avg % vs Avg Inches of Break vs Avg % Break vs Avg
2024 Changeup STL R 49 89.0 28.5 -2.1 -7 12.8 -2.0 -13
2024 Sweeper STL R 128 85.3 42.6 7.4 21 16.1 3.3 25
2024 4-Seam Fastball STL R 161 92.8 17.6 -1.5 -9 0.4 -8.4 -105
2024 Cutter STL R 108 88.3 32.2 -4.8 -18 5.2 2.5 92
2024 Sinker STL R 106 93.4 22.2 -1.0 -4 11.9 -3.4 -22
2024 Curveball STL R 128 80.3 57.7 5.8 11 13.5 3.6 36
2023 Sinker MIN R 443 92.8 22.1 -1.6 -7 10.6 -4.5 -30
2023 Changeup MIN R 188 87.9 29.6 -1.5 -5 13.6 -1.0 -7
2023 4-Seam Fastball MIN R 764 92.9 19.0 -2.9 -18 0.5 -8.1 -106
2023 Curveball MIN R 476 79.5 58.1 5.7 11 12.9 2.9 30
2023 Sweeper MIN R 578 84.3 44.8 7.3 20 15.6 2.4 18
2023 Cutter MIN R 369 87.6 34.6 -6.0 -21 5.4 2.6 96
2022 Slider MIN R 186 83.2 45.1 6.9 18 8.0 1.3 19
2022 Curveball MIN R 461 78.7 58.8 5.7 11 14.4 3.6 34
2022 Changeup MIN R 19 87.1 28.2 -3.5 -11 14.0 -0.5 -4
2022 Sweeper MIN R 192 81.6 47.5 7.6 19 17.9 2.8 19
2022 Sinker MIN R 485 92.0 22.7 -1.0 -4 13.4 -1.6 -11
2022 Cutter MIN R 1 88.8 24.0 1.7 7 5.8 4.3 286
2022 4-Seam Fastball MIN R 528 92.1 16.8 -0.5 -3 1.5 -6.4 -81
2021 4-Seam Fastball CIN R 530 92.3 16.6 -0.6 -4 1.8 -5.8 -76
2021 Curveball CIN R 516 79.3 57.8 4.7 9 14.1 3.8 38
2021 Sinker CIN R 649 92.4 22.4 -0.2 -1 13.2 -1.7 -11
2021 Changeup CIN R 74 88.2 25.8 -3.8 -13 12.4 -2.0 -14
2021 Slider CIN R 107 83.6 42.7 4.8 13 5.6 -0.7 -11
2021 Sweeper CIN R 341 82.0 46.6 5.3 13 17.3 2.3 15
2021 Cutter CIN R 11 86.6 35.2 -6.2 -21 5.5 3.2 140
2020 Sinker CIN R 260 92.9 21.3 -0.6 -3 12.9 -1.8 -12
2020 4-Seam Fastball CIN R 252 93.0 16.1 -0.4 -2 2.1 -5.4 -72
2020 Curveball CIN R 275 80.8 54.5 4.0 8 15.3 6.2 67
2020 Sweeper CIN R 149 82.9 45.2 4.0 10 16.8 1.8 12
2020 Changeup CIN R 31 89.8 21.5 -6.8 -24 13.8 -0.3 -2
2019 Slider CIN R 12 84.4 45.9 8.7 23 7.9 2.9 58
2019 Changeup CIN R 143 89.8 24.0 -4.0 -14 12.7 -1.9 -13
2019 Sinker CIN R 544 93.2 21.2 -0.6 -3 11.6 -3.0 -20
2019 Curveball CIN R 707 81.9 53.9 3.2 6 15.9 7.7 93
2019 Sweeper CIN R 587 84.6 43.1 2.8 7 15.8 0.7 4
2019 Cutter CIN R 16 89.1 25.3 1.0 4 3.1 1.2 66
2019 4-Seam Fastball CIN R 798 93.3 16.1 -0.2 -1 1.9 -5.8 -75
2018 Cutter NYY R 11 89.2 27.3 -1.3 -5 2.4 0.5 29
2018 Sweeper NYY R 294 85.0 42.1 2.4 6 14.4 0.1 1
2018 Sinker NYY R 681 93.0 22.0 0.0 0 12.2 -2.4 -16
2018 Changeup NYY R 57 88.5 25.2 -4.3 -15 14.5 0.1 1
2018 Curveball NYY R 516 82.0 54.0 3.7 7 16.1 7.8 94
2018 4-Seam Fastball NYY R 604 93.3 17.5 -1.4 -9 1.0 -6.8 -88
2018 Slider NYY R 83 84.6 44.6 7.6 20 6.0 1.2 24
2017 Sinker NYY R 970 91.7 23.2 1.2 6 12.4 -2.5 -17
2017 Curveball NYY R 363 81.1 53.3 3.5 7 14.0 6.2 81
2017 Changeup NYY R 104 89.0 25.8 -1.5 -6 11.4 -3.1 -21
2017 4-Seam Fastball NYY R 787 93.4 16.9 -2.2 -15 2.8 -5.4 -66
2017 Slider NYY R 433 85.2 43.2 8.5 24 6.9 3.2 89
2017 Cutter NYY R 3 88.3 25.3 0.8 3 4.8 2.9 151
2016 4-Seam Fastball OAK R 690 93.4 17.3 -0.9 -6 0.6 -8.0 -108
2016 Sweeper OAK R 7 84.5 41.5 -0.2 0 22.2 5.7 34
2016 Cutter OAK R 41 89.5 29.9 -3.7 -14 6.8 4.4 185
2016 Slider OAK R 203 85.6 40.4 5.1 14 11.3 6.8 153
2016 Curveball OAK R 307 81.4 52.1 1.8 4 18.7 9.1 95
2016 Sinker OAK R 472 93.3 21.1 -0.7 -3 8.5 -5.5 -39
2016 Changeup OAK R 179 88.6 28.4 -1.8 -6 8.9 -4.1 -31
2015 Changeup OAK R 220 88.1 25.8 -4.1 -14 8.3 -4.1 -33
2015 Cutter OAK R 41 90.8 26.1 -2.0 -8 6.6 4.5 207
2015 Curveball OAK R 423 81.9 50.8 1.0 2 17.3 7.7 81
2015 Sinker OAK R 743 93.5 19.0 -2.9 -13 8.4 -5.7 -40
2015 4-Seam Fastball OAK R 1,134 93.7 16.4 -0.4 -3 1.9 -9.1 -126
2015 Slider OAK R 503 86.6 36.2 1.7 5 10.2 5.5 119
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2024 4-Seam Fastball -1.5 -2 161 23.7 40 .378 .622 .450 17.2 2.5 8.3 .377 .698 .473 33.3
2024 Sweeper -0.8 -1 128 18.8 55 .160 .220 .231 45.5 58.2 29.6 .147 .255 .220 27.8
2024 Curveball 2.0 3 128 18.8 21 .143 .286 .221 35.6 33.3 41.2 .227 .313 .233 35.7
2024 Cutter 0.6 1 108 15.9 23 .350 .500 .366 29.1 4.3 16.7 .322 .464 .349 33.3
2024 Sinker 1.8 2 106 15.6 41 .132 .316 .245 18.9 41.5 36.2 .159 .306 .232 47.6
2024 Changeup 1.5 1 49 7.2 9 .222 .333 .239 36.8 11.1 33.3 .152 .184 .144 12.5
2023 4-Seam Fastball 0.7 5 764 27.1 194 .301 .422 .370 16.4 8.2 13.4 .299 .430 .354 39.5
2023 Sweeper 3.3 19 578 20.5 205 .096 .117 .114 41.3 53.2 27.4 .134 .188 .158 33.7
2023 Curveball 0.9 4 476 16.9 112 .257 .371 .307 28.2 19.6 19.5 .263 .421 .316 43.4
2023 Sinker 1.0 4 443 15.7 130 .275 .413 .369 17.7 19.2 18.4 .279 .448 .372 42.9
2023 Cutter 1.9 7 369 13.1 74 .265 .368 .297 27.8 12.2 25.7 .306 .459 .344 40.3
2023 Changeup -1.0 -2 188 6.7 39 .270 .405 .312 17.4 5.1 11.8 .306 .413 .331 31.4
2022 4-Seam Fastball 2.0 11 528 28.2 132 .246 .339 .298 15.6 8.3 17.2 .272 .358 .311 32.1
2022 Sinker 0.1 0 485 25.9 184 .216 .401 .315 17.9 32.1 27.7 .225 .380 .307 49.0
2022 Curveball 1.5 7 461 24.6 97 .191 .270 .229 24.6 25.8 21.9 .245 .373 .297 39.4
2022 Sweeper -1.8 -3 192 10.3 52 .216 .294 .232 30.8 34.6 17.0 .206 .334 .240 33.3
2022 Slider -0.8 -1 186 9.9 19 .333 .500 .376 35.3 15.8 10.0 .265 .388 .304 46.7
2022 Changeup -2.2 0 19 1.0 3 .333 .333 .300 66.7 33.3 100.0 .088 .109 .081 50.0
2022 Cutter -32.1 0 1 0.1 1 -- -- .700 -- 0.0 0.0 -- -- .700 --
2021 Sinker 0.0 0 649 29.1 229 .213 .386 .307 20.7 36.7 28.9 .193 .323 .274 40.3
2021 4-Seam Fastball 0.0 0 530 23.8 132 .281 .465 .380 17.0 9.1 16.4 .284 .400 .345 30.8
2021 Curveball 0.2 1 516 23.2 102 .258 .412 .307 30.2 26.5 24.1 .240 .332 .268 37.1
2021 Sweeper -0.5 -2 341 15.3 79 .153 .250 .242 40.5 39.2 20.1 .132 .176 .185 9.8
2021 Slider 2.9 3 107 4.8 13 .083 .083 .123 34.9 0.0 0.0 .201 .358 .273 33.3
2021 Changeup 3.1 2 74 3.3 18 .200 .467 .308 33.3 5.6 11.1 .277 .431 .339 13.3
2021 Cutter -4.9 -1 11 0.5 1 -- -- .700 100.0 0.0 0.0 -- -- .700 --
2020 Curveball 1.0 3 275 28.4 52 .222 .289 .288 34.4 21.2 18.6 .298 .405 .356 35.3
2020 Sinker 1.4 4 261 27.0 92 .147 .240 .277 26.8 35.9 29.2 .173 .287 .291 38.1
2020 4-Seam Fastball 1.1 3 252 26.0 47 .250 .477 .332 14.9 23.4 21.2 .224 .355 .275 30.3
2020 Sweeper -2.2 -3 149 15.4 35 .265 .294 .287 49.3 48.6 28.8 .275 .342 .282 11.8
2020 Changeup 6.2 2 31 3.2 9 .111 .222 .139 13.3 0.0 0.0 .341 .489 .357 44.4
2019 4-Seam Fastball -0.9 -7 798 27.4 175 .321 .550 .427 16.8 15.4 14.7 .279 .512 .393 40.7
2019 Curveball 1.9 13 707 24.3 159 .131 .200 .197 30.7 34.0 26.6 .188 .313 .249 29.0
2019 Sweeper 2.2 13 587 20.2 163 .119 .212 .178 40.1 40.5 24.0 .153 .242 .203 23.3
2019 Sinker 1.2 7 544 18.7 137 .233 .358 .311 27.2 31.4 31.2 .216 .341 .288 40.5
2019 Changeup 4.0 6 143 4.9 40 .162 .324 .254 23.5 12.5 27.8 .276 .502 .344 27.3
2019 Cutter -4.9 -1 16 0.6 5 .333 .333 .460 0.0 40.0 33.3 .200 .227 .389 100.0
2019 Slider 4.3 1 12 0.4 3 .000 .000 .000 25.0 33.3 10.0 .050 .051 .046 0.0
2018 Sinker 0.7 5 681 30.3 189 .271 .416 .352 14.9 10.1 15.8 .255 .376 .324 37.2
2018 4-Seam Fastball -1.2 -7 604 26.9 137 .342 .532 .432 20.9 10.2 14.3 .337 .532 .436 53.0
2018 Curveball -0.2 -1 516 22.9 132 .236 .333 .288 35.2 35.6 24.4 .204 .294 .254 31.6
2018 Sweeper 0.5 1 294 13.1 79 .169 .352 .249 40.8 43.0 23.6 .172 .313 .240 30.8
2018 Slider -0.1 0 83 3.7 28 .240 .280 .280 28.3 32.1 22.0 .187 .258 .245 31.3
2018 Changeup -8.4 -5 57 2.5 14 .500 .917 .614 11.1 0.0 0.0 .389 .771 .518 41.7
2018 Cutter -1.3 0 11 0.5 -- -- -- 0.0 -- 0.0 -- -- -- --
2017 Sinker 1.0 10 970 36.4 260 .237 .418 .334 22.9 13.8 17.3 .260 .412 .326 36.4
2017 4-Seam Fastball -0.4 -3 787 29.5 194 .240 .377 .358 21.4 17.5 15.7 .262 .434 .347 43.3
2017 Slider 0.8 3 433 16.3 143 .157 .243 .199 42.2 50.3 24.9 .158 .238 .189 33.8
2017 Curveball 0.1 0 363 13.6 55 .283 .415 .316 32.3 18.2 13.5 .312 .552 .376 39.5
2017 Changeup -0.4 0 105 3.9 24 .318 .636 .446 25.9 4.2 10.0 .353 .806 .496 42.9
2017 Cutter -2.3 0 3 0.1 -- -- -- -- -- 0.0 -- -- -- --
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: To better align with other values, positive numbers (red) are good, and negative numbers (blue) are poor.
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Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2024 Changeup 48 89.0 83 14.4 1:30 2:15 -45
2024 Curveball 126 80.3 91 22.7 7:00 7:15 -15
2024 Cutter 107 88.3 32 6.3 10:15 9:30 45
2024 4-Seam Fastball 160 92.8 66 13.5 12:30 12:00 30
2024 Sinker 103 93.4 64 15.1 12:45 1:45 -60
2024 Sweeper 125 85.2 60 18.4 7:30 8:15 -45
2023 Changeup 169 87.9 88 15.2 1:30 2:15 -45
2023 Curveball 462 79.5 91 22.1 7:00 7:15 -15
2023 Cutter 358 87.6 33 6.7 9:45 8:45 60
2023 4-Seam Fastball 749 92.9 68 11.8 12:30 12:00 30
2023 Sinker 424 92.8 61 14.1 12:30 1:45 -75
2023 Sweeper 569 84.4 65 18.5 7:30 8:00 -30
2022 Changeup 18 87.1 92 16.7 1:30 2:15 -45
2022 Curveball 455 78.7 89 23.0 7:00 7:30 -30
2022 4-Seam Fastball 528 92.1 77 14.8 12:45 12:15 30
2022 Sinker 451 92.0 71 16.3 12:45 2:00 -75
2022 Slider 180 83.2 47 11.6 8:00 7:30 30
2022 Sweeper 185 81.6 64 20.6 7:30 8:15 -45
2021 Changeup 72 88.2 86 15.6 1:15 2:00 -45
2021 Curveball 504 79.3 88 22.5 7:00 7:30 -30
2021 Cutter 11 86.6 31 6.4 10:00 9:00 60
2021 4-Seam Fastball 529 92.3 76 14.9 12:45 12:15 30
2021 Sinker 592 92.4 70 16.0 12:45 2:00 -75
2021 Slider 107 83.6 42 8.4 8:30 7:30 60
2021 Sweeper 328 81.9 65 19.9 7:30 8:15 -45
2020 Changeup 29 89.8 89 18.5 1:00 1:45 -45
2020 Curveball 215 80.9 83 22.0 7:00 7:30 -30
2020 4-Seam Fastball 186 93.0 79 14.8 12:45 12:15 30
2020 Sinker 239 92.9 74 16.6 12:45 1:45 -60
2020 Sweeper 115 82.7 61 19.1 7:30 8:15 -45
! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Swing/Take

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2013 313 1,202 8 16 -9 -3 13
2014 897 3,284 24 15 -15 -5 20
2015 830 3,077 39 9 -12 -5 31
2016 516 1,947 -4 6 -13 -5 -16
2017 712 2,818 13 21 -15 -9 10
2018 580 2,247 -5 17 -11 -9 -8
2019 682 2,807 15 40 -12 -11 31
2020 235 968 16 3 -7 -4 8
2021 574 2,228 8 23 -17 -10 4
2022 488 1,872 18 17 -16 -8 12
2023 797 2,986 34 25 -15 -9 36
2024 189 680 1 4 0 -2 2
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2015 3,078 50.7 65.9 85.9 27.3 55.3 42.7 59.2 46.8 22.5 7.8 74.9
2016 1,947 50.3 64.5 89.1 24.3 53.6 41.0 61.8 44.5 19.6 8.0 77.4
2017 2,664 46.7 67.8 82.9 28.0 48.9 41.1 61.7 46.6 27.2 6.8 75.1
2018 2,249 46.4 62.2 86.3 26.2 50.9 43.3 57.4 43.0 25.1 7.0 75.8
2019 2,909 44.1 59.9 84.6 27.9 47.8 39.7 55.6 42.2 28.1 6.7 73.8
2020 968 45.6 58.3 80.9 24.7 48.5 39.7 54.9 40.0 29.5 8.3 75.0
2021 2,228 47.1 61.2 84.4 26.8 51.6 42.5 59.1 43.0 26.1 6.7 74.0
2022 1,872 47.5 61.5 84.6 27.1 62.4 42.3 60.5 43.4 21.9 7.3 67.9
2023 2,818 49.4 67.5 84.6 28.4 47.7 41.0 61.0 47.7 26.0 8.4 74.7
2024 680 56.0 64.0 80.7 27.1 40.7 41.8 66.1 47.8 28.9 9.7 72.7
Player 21,413 47.9 63.8 84.9 27.0 51.3 41.6 59.5 44.7 25.1 7.5 74.3
MLB 48.6 67.0 82.0 28.4 57.9 42.6 60.9 47.2 24.8 7.3 76.2
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA /
xERA
xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV Hard
Hit%
K% BB% Whiff% Chase
Rate
FB
Velo
FB
Spin
CB
Spin
Extension
2015 71 59 66 67 72 16 64 24 35 49 55 48 24 63 82 89 55
2016 24 21 28 36 31 30 41 6 1 29 44 21 6 57 85 93 66
2017 53 51 48 47 59 15 44 43 8 58 49 73 57 44 56 96 61
2018 33 35 53 66 22 28 51 37 16 43 25 53 28 52 86 94 74
2019 77 84 82 73 73 23 53 65 75 81 27 68 36 49 95 97 79
2020 58 54 75 84 41 56 89 77 78 83 24 70 22 45 90 93 66
2021 83 78 88 90 71 50 92 88 91 72 43 49 37 29 82 84 69
2022 57 47 58 69 55 47 78 59 30 60 54 20 24 21 96 89 63
2023 72 49 75 83 63 16 68 47 49 56 67 48 44 31 96 71 57
2024 76 70 58 50 85 28 50 29 79 89 83 74 40 33 95 75 64
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Expected Home Runs

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2016 21.8 18 18.1 0 8 15 6 33.3
2017 22.7 20 21.2 -1 5 16 10 50.0
2018 22.8 14 15.8 -2 4 13 7 50.0
2019 22.3 17 16.8 0 6 16 4 23.5
2020 22.6 4 3.5 1 3 3 1 25.0
2021 23.0 19 14.8 4 5 6 10 52.6
2022 27.3 11 10.9 0 6 6 5 45.5
2023 24.9 10 13.6 -4 6 11 6 60.0
2024 22.8 6 5.5 1 1 5 2 33.3
Player 23.2 119 120.3 -1 44 91 51 42.9

Expected Home Runs by Park

Year HR
2016 18 20 15 21 20 16 20 16 20 11 18 25 14 15 19 19 9 15 20 21 16 17 23 22 13 18 20 25 19 20 17
2017 20 23 18 23 22 19 26 21 16 19 19 23 22 21 22 22 20 17 23 20 23 19 26 24 22 20 18 25 25 21 17
2018 14 20 14 14 16 15 18 13 14 10 17 19 18 13 14 19 14 14 15 21 15 15 21 17 13 12 16 18 18 18 13
2019 17 20 17 18 16 17 19 18 7 12 12 16 23 17 17 20 17 13 18 18 18 19 20 21 18 15 12 20 23 15 9
2020 4 4 6 4 3 4 4 4 2 2 2 4 4 4 3 4 4 4 3 3 4 3 5 4 3 2 2 4 4 3 2
2021 19 14 15 17 14 13 15 14 12 13 13 15 16 14 14 16 14 15 15 16 15 14 18 16 15 13 18 18 14 14 15
2022 11 9 9 12 11 11 11 10 10 9 10 12 11 11 11 12 11 11 14 11 12 12 11 13 10 9 12 10 12 11 10
2023 10 11 10 17 14 14 15 16 17 9 11 17 10 12 17 16 17 11 13 18 13 11 19 15 11 9 15 14 13 12 11
2024 6 6 5 5 4 5 6 8 4 5 5 7 6 5 7 6 6 5 5 7 5 5 8 7 4 5 5 3 6 5 6
Player 119 127 109 131 120 114 134 120 102 90 107 138 124 112 124 134 112 105 126 135 121 115 151 139 109 103 118 137 134 119 100
! Note: This tells how many of this player's home runs would have been out of other stadiums. This accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects. For these purposes, the 2020 Blue Jays home field was still Rogers Centre, not Sahlen Field.
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Year to Year Changes

Metric 2015 2016 +/-   2017 +/-   2018 +/-   2019 +/-   2020 +/-   2021 +/-   2022 +/-   2023 +/-   2024 +/-  
Fastball Velocity 93.6 93.3 -0.3 92.5 -0.8 93.1 0.6 93.2 0.1 93.0 -0.2 92.3 -0.7 92.1 -0.2 91.6 -0.5 91.7 0.1
Offspeed Velocity 88.1 88.6 0.5 89.0 0.4 88.5 -0.5 89.8 1.3 89.8 0.0 88.2 -1.6 87.1 -1.1 87.9 0.8 89.0 1.1
Breaking Velocity 84.4 83.1 -1.3 83.3 0.2 83.2 -0.1 83.1 -0.1 81.6 -1.5 80.7 -0.9 80.4 -0.3 82.2 1.8 82.8 0.6
Exit Velocity 88.9 90.2 1.3 87.4 -2.8 88.7 1.3 88.1 -0.6 86.8 -1.3 86.6 -0.2 88.1 1.5