A.J. Minter
P | Bats/Throws: L/L | 6' 0" 215LBS | Age: 31
Draft: 2015 | Rd: CB-B, #75, Atlanta Braves | Texas A&M
W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2022 5 4 2.06 75 0 5 70 94 0.91
2023 3 6 3.76 70 0 10 64.2 82 1.19
2024 5 4 2.62 39 0 1 34.1 35 1.02
8 Seasons 24 29 3.28 384 0 36 348.2 422 1.20
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2022 75 5-4 2.06 70 94 0.91
2023 70 3-6 3.76 64.2 82 1.19
2024 39 5-4 2.62 34.1 35 1.02
8 Seasons 384 24-29 3.28 348.2 422 1.20
MLB Percentile Rankings
Movement Profile (Induced Break)
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Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls		 Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity		 Max EV Launch
Angle		 LA Sweet-
Spot %		 XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2017 23 248 32 2 6.3 3.3 88.6 111.0 18.3 28.1 .188 .294 .255 .220 .369 40.6 43.3 3.3 3.00 2.05
2018 24 1045 167 3 1.8 1.2 87.6 114.6 15.6 36.5 .237 .338 .285 .287 .352 35.2 26.5 8.5 3.23 3.45
2019 25 588 88 5 5.7 3.4 87.9 114.5 11.8 38.6 .264 .440 .360 .346 .410 34.1 23.8 15.6 7.06 5.41
2020 26 397 52 2 3.8 2.4 84.5 107.1 9.4 34.6 .209 .305 .260 .264 .328 23.1 28.2 10.6 0.83 2.90
2021 27 876 142 6 4.2 2.7 86.7 116.3 11.8 31.0 .212 .318 .282 .269 .314 35.2 25.8 9.0 3.78 3.01
2022 28 1111 159 14 8.8 5.2 88.3 112.2 18.0 32.1 .182 .303 .246 .242 .336 34.0 34.7 5.5 2.06 2.39
2023 29 1062 157 11 7.0 4.2 87.9 108.7 17.7 36.9 .218 .359 .283 .282 .380 36.3 31.5 8.1 3.76 3.30
2024 30 522 87 6 6.9 4.5 87.3 110.6 15.3 26.4 .208 .367 .277 .283 .346 33.3 26.1 8.2 2.62 3.31
Player 5849 884 49 5.5 3.4 87.5 116.3 15.1 33.7 .215 .341 .281 .276 .352 34.4 29.3 8.6
MLB 7.0 4.8 88.5 122.4 12.3 33.2 .245 .405 .316 .315 .368 36.5 22.2 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Minter relies on 3 pitches.
Four Seamer
(47.7%) ,
Cutter
(34.5%) ,
Changeup
(17.8%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

Season GB % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2017 34.4 31.3 28.1 6.3 40.6 34.4 25.0 3.1 25.0 37.5 25.0 3.1 6.3 3.3
2018 38.9 22.2 26.9 12.0 33.5 34.1 31.7 1.2 31.1 28.1 28.1 7.8 1.8 1.2
2019 39.8 23.9 33.0 3.4 31.8 45.5 22.7 2.3 26.1 23.9 34.1 6.8 5.7 3.4
2020 50.0 19.2 21.2 9.6 30.8 53.8 15.4 5.8 42.3 23.1 19.2 5.8 3.8 2.4
2021 47.9 22.5 21.8 7.7 37.3 35.9 26.8 6.3 33.1 24.6 23.9 7.7 4.2 2.7
2022 39.6 27.0 22.0 11.3 34.6 35.2 30.2 5.0 28.9 33.3 18.2 5.0 8.8 5.2
2023 36.3 28.0 27.4 8.3 36.3 34.4 29.3 6.4 24.8 26.8 25.5 8.9 7.0 4.2
2024 44.8 29.9 16.1 9.2 36.8 34.5 28.7 8.0 29.9 32.2 18.4 4.6 6.9 4.5
Player 41.2 25.2 24.5 9.0 35.1 37.0 27.8 4.8 29.8 28.3 24.2 6.8 5.5 3.4
MLB 44.4 23.8 24.7 7.1 37.2 37.5 25.2 3.9 32.6 24.8 24.4 5.9 7.0 4.8
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement

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How this works: This section shows two different ways to evaluate pitch movement. On the left, “Total Movement” shows the real-world movement of a pitch, including the forces of gravity, which affects every pitch thrown. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren't 'better' just because they have more time to move, a pitch's movement is compared to other pitches of the same pitch type, within +/- 2 MPH and +/- 0.5 feet of extension/release. On the right, Induced Movement (or IVB) is reported without gravity, and attempts to isolate movement created by the pitcher's ability to spin and manipulate the ball.
Total Movement (in inches, w/ gravity)Induced Movement (in inches, w/o gravity)
YearPitchTeamHand#MPHVertical
Drop		vs.
Comparable		Horizontal
Break		vs.
Comparable		Vertical
Break		vs. AvgHorizontal
Break		vs. Avg
2024 Changeup ATL L 93 86.7 30.5 -1.0 15.3ARM 1.0 5.9 0.0 15.3ARM 1.2
2024 4-Seam Fastball ATL L 249 94.5 13.5 1.4 5.3ARM -2.4 17.1 1.5 5.3ARM -2.9
2024 Cutter ATL L 180 89.4 29.4 -3.1 5.4GLV 2.9 4.6 -2.6 5.4GLV 3.3
2023 4-Seam Fastball ATL L 497 95.8 13.0 1.2 6.5ARM -1.4 16.7 1.4 6.5ARM -1.4
2023 Changeup ATL L 145 86.7 31.3 0.4 15.3ARM 0.9 5.1 1.2 15.3ARM 1.4
2023 Cutter ATL L 409 89.4 30.9 -4.5 5.4GLV 3.0 3.0 -3.9 5.4GLV 3.6
! Note: Years are in reverse order.

Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2024 4-Seam Fastball 1.5 4 249 47.7 53 .208 .396 .298 20.0 11.3 10.5 .243 .483 .344 35.7
2024 Cutter -0.1 0 180 34.5 51 .229 .458 .314 34.0 35.3 26.9 .199 .337 .259 30.0
2024 Changeup 1.3 1 93 17.8 29 .120 .120 .204 38.6 37.9 25.0 .157 .202 .216 33.3
2023 4-Seam Fastball 1.4 7 501 47.2 102 .211 .367 .293 25.0 27.5 19.7 .223 .412 .319 42.9
2023 Cutter -0.7 -3 413 38.9 113 .255 .377 .309 37.6 33.6 28.6 .233 .369 .284 34.8
2023 Changeup 0.9 1 148 13.9 42 .244 .268 .223 35.4 38.1 22.9 .167 .211 .177 24.0
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: To better align with other values, positive numbers (red) are good, and negative numbers (blue) are poor.

Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2024 Changeup 93 86.7 93 16.8 10:00 9:30 30
2024 Cutter 180 89.4 32 7.1 12:45 2:00 -75
2024 4-Seam Fastball 248 94.5 85 17.5 11:00 11:30 -30
2023 Changeup 145 86.7 91 16.7 10:00 9:30 30
2023 Cutter 409 89.4 30 6.4 1:15 2:30 -75
2023 4-Seam Fastball 498 95.8 88 17.6 11:00 11:15 -15
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Pitcher Arm Angle

! Note: Data is available from 2020 through the present.
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Statcast Pitching Run Value

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2017 60 247 2 1 1 -1 3
2018 262 1,058 14 2 -4 -6 6
2019 142 588 1 1 -3 -3 -5
2020 106 496 8 6 -1 -2 11
2021 268 1,058 13 4 -5 -4 7
2022 281 1,154 8 15 -3 -5 16
2023 269 1,102 11 3 -7 -2 6
2024 133 522 -1 9 -1 -1 5
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2017 248 51.4 70.9 75.6 36.7 36.4 41.3 63.3 54.4 35.6 8.9 90.9
2018 1,045 48.9 70.9 75.7 30.8 49.1 41.1 58.7 50.0 31.8 7.8 81.3
2019 588 45.7 73.2 78.7 30.1 50.0 38.6 55.6 49.8 30.4 7.1 83.3
2020 397 47.6 72.5 77.4 28.4 55.9 41.3 59.0 49.4 29.1 6.3 80.0
2021 876 52.2 69.6 75.5 27.7 46.6 41.3 64.3 49.5 31.3 8.8 77.9
2022 1,111 49.4 69.9 74.2 33.6 51.3 45.4 66.1 51.6 33.2 6.8 77.3
2023 1,062 49.0 70.6 79.3 30.8 44.9 45.1 61.2 50.4 31.4 7.3 85.9
2024 522 51.7 72.6 80.1 31.3 48.1 45.6 75.4 52.7 28.4 7.1 83.8
Player 5,849 49.5 70.9 76.9 30.9 48.3 42.9 62.8 50.7 31.5 7.5 81.7
MLB 48.7 67.0 82.0 28.5 57.8 42.6 61.0 47.2 25.0 7.3 76.3
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA /
xERA 		xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV Hard
Hit% 		K% BB% Whiff% Chase
Rate 		FB
Velo 		FB
Spin 		CB
Spin 		Extension
2017 91 75 46
2018 72 54 82 93 53 99 99 71 51 73 45 87 82 94 82 44
2019 86 67 36
2020 89 79 90 91 71 88 87 96 99 73 29 67 56 84 64 40
2021 89 81 91 91 82 96 94 87 76 64 39 81 47 87 78 39
2022 96 96 90 75 98 58 24 55 79 96 86 91 88 89 92 40
2023 85 79 77 71 85 74 65 73 70 94 55 85 74 80 90 41
2024 56 88 36
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Expected Home Runs

Adjusted
Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2017 25.2 1 1.2 0 1 0 1 100.0
2018 24.0 3 3.8 -1 0 3 2 66.7
2019 23.5 3 4.1 -1 0 4 2 66.7
2020 23.1 3 3.7 -1 0 2 3 100.0
2021 25.7 2 2.5 -1 5 2 1 50.0
2022 21.9 5 6.3 -1 7 6 1 20.0
2023 23.6 6 7.8 -2 1 9 1 16.7
2024 23.3 6 4.9 1 1 4 2 33.3
Player 23.4 29 34.2 -5 15 30 13 44.8
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's home runs allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Expected Home Runs by Park

Adjusted
Year HR
2017 1 1 1 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 1 2 1 1 2 1 1 1
2018 3 4 3 4 4 4 4 3 4 2 4 5 4 2 4 5 2 4 4 5 4 4 5 3 2 3 4 5 5 4 4
2019 3 5 3 4 4 5 6 4 4 3 4 5 4 3 4 3 3 4 5 5 4 4 6 4 4 3 3 4 4 4 4
2020 3 4 3 3 4 4 5 4 4 3 3 4 4 3 4 3 4 4 3 4 4 3 5 3 4 3 4 4 4 4 3
2021 2 2 3 4 2 2 3 4 1 2 2 6 3 2 3 3 2 2 2 1 2 2 4 4 2 2 3 2 2 2 2
2022 5 5 7 7 8 7 8 6 4 4 5 8 6 5 6 6 5 6 6 7 6 8 8 7 4 5 8 9 7 6 4
2023 6 5 9 6 10 9 10 7 7 7 9 8 7 7 10 8 8 6 7 10 7 8 10 8 6 5 9 9 7 8 7
2024 6 5 5 5 5 5 6 5 4 4 5 4 5 4 6 5 5 5 5 6 5 4 7 5 5 5 4 5 5 5 3
Player 29 31 34 35 38 37 43 34 29 26 33 42 34 27 38 34 30 32 33 39 33 34 47 35 29 27 36 40 35 34 28
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's home runs allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Year to Year Changes

Metric 2017 2018 +/-   2019 +/-   2020 +/-   2021 +/-   2022 +/-   2023 +/-   2024 +/-  
Fastball Velocity 93.1 94.1 1.0 ↑ 93.6 -0.5 ↓ 91.5 -2.1 ↓ 92.5 1.0 ↑ 94.2 1.7 ↑ 92.9 -1.3 ↓ 92.4 -0.5 ↓
Offspeed Velocity 0.0 86.2 0.0 86.1 -0.1 ↓ 85.4 -0.7 ↓ 87.2 1.8 ↑ 87.6 0.4 ↑ 86.6 -1.0 ↓ 86.7 0.1 ↑
Breaking Velocity 0.0 0.0 0.0 86.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Exit Velocity 88.6 87.6 -1.0 ↓ 87.9 0.3 ↑ 84.5 -3.4 ↓ 86.7 2.2 ↑ 88.3 1.6 ↑ 87.9 -0.4 ↓ 87.3 -0.6 ↓
Launch Angle 18.3 15.6 -2.7 ↓ 11.8 -3.8 ↓ 9.4 -2.4 ↓ 11.8 2.4 ↑ 18.0 6.2 ↑ 17.7 -0.3 ↓ 15.3 -2.4 ↓
Barrel % 6.3 1.8 -4.5 ↓ 5.7 3.9 ↑ 3.8 -1.9 ↓ 4.2 0.4 ↑ 8.8 4.6 ↑ 7.0 -1.8 ↓ 6.9 -0.1 ↓
Hard Hit % 40.6 35.2 -5.4 ↓ 34.1 -1.1 ↓ 23.1 -11.0 ↓ 35.2 12.1 ↑ 34.0 -1.2 ↓ 36.3 2.3 ↑ 33.3 -3.0 ↓
LA Sweet-Spot % 28.1 36.5 8.4 ↑ 38.6 2.1 ↑ 34.6 -4.0 ↓ 31.0 -3.6 ↓ 32.1 1.1 ↑ 36.9 4.8 ↑ 26.4 -10.5 ↓
xBA .188 .237 0.049 ↑ .264 0.027 ↑ .209 -0.055 ↓ .212 0.003 ↑ .182 -0.030 ↓ .218 0.036 ↑ .208 -0.010 ↓
BA .224 .244 0.020 ↑ .298 0.054 ↑ .200 -0.098 ↓ .226 0.026 ↑ .198 -0.028 ↓ .236 0.038 ↑ .198 -0.038 ↓
xwOBA .220 .287 0.067 ↑ .346 0.059 ↑ .264 -0.082 ↓ .269 0.005 ↑ .242 -0.027 ↓ .282 0.040 ↑ .283 0.001 ↑
wOBA .255 .285 0.030 ↑ .360 0.075 ↑ .260 -0.100 ↓ .282 0.022 ↑ .246 -0.036 ↓ .283 0.037 ↑ .277 -0.006 ↓
xSLG .294 .338 0.044 ↑ .440 0.102 ↑ .305 -0.135 ↓ .318 0.013 ↑ .303 -0.015 ↓ .359 0.056 ↑ .367 0.008 ↑
SLG .345 .329 -0.016 ↓ .446 0.117 ↑ .320 -0.126 ↓ .349 0.029 ↑ .306 -0.043 ↓ .354 0.048 ↑ .364 0.010 ↑
K% 43.3 26.5 -16.8 ↓ 23.8 -2.7 ↓ 28.2 4.4 ↑ 25.8 -2.4 ↓ 34.7 8.9 ↑ 31.5 -3.2 ↓ 26.1 -5.4 ↓
BB% 3.3 8.5 5.2 ↑ 15.6 7.1 ↑ 10.6 -5.0 ↓ 9.0 -1.6 ↓ 5.5 -3.5 ↓ 8.1 2.6 ↑ 8.2 0.1 ↑
Swing % 54.4 50.0 -4.4 ↓ 49.8 -0.2 ↓ 49.4 -0.4 ↓ 49.5 0.1 ↑ 51.6 2.1 ↑ 50.4 -1.2 ↓ 52.7 2.3 ↑
Whiff% 35.6 31.8 -3.8 ↓ 30.4 -1.4 ↓ 29.1 -1.3 ↓ 31.3 2.2 ↑ 33.2 1.9 ↑ 31.4 -1.8 ↓ 28.4 -3.0 ↓
In Zone % 51.4 48.9 -2.5 ↓ 45.7 -3.2 ↓ 47.6 1.9 ↑ 52.2 4.6 ↑ 49.4 -2.8 ↓ 49.0 -0.4 ↓ 51.7 2.7 ↑
Out of Zone % 48.6 51.1 2.5 ↑ 54.3 3.2 ↑ 52.4 -1.9 ↓ 47.8 -4.6 ↓ 50.6 2.8 ↑ 51.0 0.4 ↑ 48.3 -2.7 ↓
Out of Zone Swing % 36.7 30.8 -5.9 ↓ 30.1 -0.7 ↓ 28.4 -1.7 ↓ 27.7 -0.7 ↓ 33.6 5.9 ↑ 30.8 -2.8 ↓ 31.3 0.5 ↑
First Pitch Swing % 38.3 34.7 -3.6 ↓ 33.3 -1.4 ↓ 34.9 1.6 ↑ 34.8 -0.1 ↓ 42.4 7.6 ↑ 32.7 -9.7 ↓ 48.5 15.8 ↑
First Pitch Strike % 63.3 58.7 -4.6 ↓ 55.6 -3.1 ↓ 59.0 3.4 ↑ 64.3 5.3 ↑ 66.1 1.8 ↑ 61.2 -4.9 ↓ 75.4 14.2 ↑
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Statcast Fielder Positioning

vs RHHvs LHH
YearAlignment TypePAwOBAPATotal%PATotal%
2017 Shifts 60 .255 38 1 2.6 22 4 18.2
2018 Shifts 258 .286 171 14 8.2 87 13 14.9
2019 Shifts 142 .360 86 10 11.6 56 12 21.4
2020 Shifts 83 .260 57 2 3.5 26 0 0.0
2021 Shifts 218 .286 120 19 15.8 98 27 27.6
2022 Shifts 271 .246 194 14 7.2 77 14 18.2
2023 Shades 257 .281 165 25 15.2 92 29 31.5
2024 Shades 133 .277 87 2 2.3 46 16 34.8
! Note: Shifts are through the 2022 season, Shaded starting from the 2023 season, Shift: three or more infielders are on the same side of second base, Shade: positioned outside of their typical responsible slices of the field.
Learn more about how positioning is defined here

Pitch Tempo

Bases EmptyRunners On Base
SeasonTeamPitchesTempoFast %Slow %PitchesTempoFast %Slow %
2017 69 20.1 0.0% 0.0% 32 23.7 0.0% 12.5%
2018 232 21.4 0.4% 3.0% 195 24.8 0.0% 11.3%
2019 145 22.2 0.0% 3.4% 100 25.6 0.0% 20.0%
2020 100 23.4 0.0% 11.0% 68 28.2 0.0% 41.2%
2021 206 23.9 0.0% 12.6% 177 27.6 0.0% 36.2%
2022 277 23.0 0.0% 7.2% 176 27.9 0.0% 30.1%
2023 262 17.6 1.5% 0.4% 183 20.1 0.0% 0.5%
2024 127 17.1 8.7% 0.8% 67 19.0 0.0% 0.0%

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Pitch Distribution

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