A.J. Minter
P | Bats/Throws: L/L | 6' 0" 215LBS | Age: 30
Draft: 2015 | Rd: CB-B, #75, Atlanta Braves | Texas A&M
W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2021 3 6 3.78 61 0 0 52.1 57 1.22
2022 5 4 2.06 75 0 5 70 94 0.91
2023 3 6 3.76 70 0 10 64.2 82 1.19
7 Seasons 19 25 3.35 345 0 35 314.1 387 1.22
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2021 61 3-6 3.78 52.1 57 1.22
2022 75 5-4 2.06 70 94 0.91
2023 70 3-6 3.76 64.2 82 1.19
7 Seasons 345 19-25 3.35 314.1 387 1.22
MLB Percentile Rankings
Pitch Distribution

Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls
Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity
Max EV Launch
Angle
Sweet
Spot %
XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2017 23 248 32 2 6.3 3.3 88.6 111.0 18.3 28.1 .188 .294 .255 .220 .369 40.6 43.3 3.3 3.00 2.05
2018 24 1045 167 3 1.8 1.2 87.6 114.6 15.6 36.5 .237 .338 .285 .287 .352 35.2 26.5 8.5 3.23 3.45
2019 25 588 88 5 5.7 3.4 87.9 114.5 11.8 38.6 .264 .440 .360 .346 .410 34.1 23.8 15.6 7.06 5.41
2020 26 397 52 2 3.8 2.4 84.5 107.1 9.4 34.6 .209 .305 .260 .264 .328 23.1 28.2 10.6 0.83 2.90
2021 27 876 142 6 4.2 2.7 86.7 116.3 11.8 31.0 .212 .318 .282 .269 .314 35.2 25.8 9.0 3.78 3.01
2022 28 1111 159 14 8.8 5.2 88.3 112.2 18.0 32.1 .182 .304 .246 .242 .336 34.0 34.7 5.5 2.06 2.39
2023 29 1062 157 11 7.0 4.2 87.9 108.7 17.7 36.9 .218 .359 .283 .282 .380 36.3 31.5 8.1 3.76 3.30
Player 5327 797 43 5.4 3.3 87.5 116.3 15.1 34.5 .216 .338 .281 .276 .353 34.5 29.7 8.6
MLB 6.9 4.7 88.4 122.4 12.2 33.1 .245 .406 .316 .315 .369 36.3 22.1 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Minter relies on 3 pitches.
Four Seamer
(47.2%) ,
Cutter
(38.9%) ,
Changeup
(13.9%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

Season GB % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2017 34.4 31.3 28.1 6.3 40.6 34.4 25.0 3.1 25.0 37.5 25.0 3.1 6.3 3.3
2018 38.9 22.2 26.9 12.0 33.5 34.1 31.7 1.2 31.1 28.1 28.1 7.8 1.8 1.2
2019 39.8 23.9 33.0 3.4 31.8 45.5 22.7 2.3 26.1 23.9 34.1 6.8 5.7 3.4
2020 50.0 19.2 21.2 9.6 30.8 53.8 15.4 5.8 42.3 23.1 19.2 5.8 3.8 2.4
2021 47.9 22.5 21.8 7.7 37.3 35.9 26.8 6.3 33.1 24.6 23.9 7.7 4.2 2.7
2022 39.6 27.0 22.0 11.3 34.6 35.2 30.2 5.0 28.9 33.3 18.2 5.0 8.8 5.2
2023 36.3 28.0 27.4 8.3 36.3 34.4 29.3 6.4 24.8 26.8 25.5 8.9 7.0 4.2
Player 40.8 24.7 25.5 9.0 34.9 37.3 27.7 4.4 29.7 27.9 24.8 7.0 5.4 3.3
MLB 44.6 23.5 24.9 7.0 37.0 37.6 25.3 3.9 32.9 24.7 24.4 5.8 6.9 4.7
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement


How this works: Every pitch is affected by the forces of gravity, which means that every pitch drops on its way from the mound to the plate. These numbers are reported with gravity, which makes them larger and different than other pitch movement numbers you may have seen. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren’t ‘better’ just because they have more time to move, the movement of a pitch is compared to ‘average’ movement by comparing it to other MLB pitch types within +/- 2 MPH and from within +/- 0.5 feet of extension and release.
Vertical Movement (inches) Horizontal Movement (inches)
Year Pitch Team Hand # MPH Inches of Drop vs Avg % vs Avg Inches of Break vs Avg % Break vs Avg
2023 Cutter ATL L 409 89.4 30.9 -4.5 -17 5.4 3.0 126
2023 4-Seam Fastball ATL L 497 95.8 13.0 1.1 8 6.5 -1.4 -18
2023 Changeup ATL L 145 86.7 31.3 0.4 1 15.3 0.9 6
2022 Cutter ATL L 357 90.3 29.0 -4.2 -17 5.1 3.3 185
2022 Changeup ATL L 201 87.6 32.3 1.8 6 16.2 1.7 12
2022 4-Seam Fastball ATL L 553 96.6 12.0 1.7 13 6.5 -1.9 -22
2021 4-Seam Fastball ATL L 372 96.1 13.0 1.4 10 6.3 -2.0 -24
2021 Cutter ATL L 387 89.0 30.3 -3.7 -14 5.1 3.2 161
2021 Changeup ATL L 117 87.2 32.9 2.5 8 16.6 2.0 14
2020 Cutter ATL L 169 87.9 31.2 -3.9 -14 4.4 2.4 120
2020 Changeup ATL L 74 85.4 34.5 2.0 6 15.6 1.7 13
2020 4-Seam Fastball ATL L 154 95.5 13.2 1.6 11 8.0 -0.2 -3
2019 4-Seam Fastball ATL L 230 96.0 13.8 1.3 9 6.8 -2.0 -22
2019 Sinker ATL L 1 94.2 20.2 -2.9 -12 11.9 -3.8 -24
2019 Cutter ATL L 261 91.5 25.2 -0.3 -1 3.3 1.5 89
2019 Changeup ATL L 95 86.1 33.2 2.2 7 13.8 -0.8 -5
2019 Slider ATL L 1 86.3 30.2 -4.5 -13 4.8 0.6 13
2018 Cutter ATL L 493 91.6 25.9 -1.9 -8 4.0 2.7 209
2018 Changeup ATL L 32 86.2 37.2 4.6 14 13.1 -1.4 -10
2018 4-Seam Fastball ATL L 495 96.6 13.8 1.3 9 7.1 -1.6 -19
2017 4-Seam Fastball ATL L 127 96.1 12.8 1.2 8 6.1 -3.4 -36
2017 Cutter ATL L 120 90.0 28.3 -2.6 -10 5.6 3.7 207
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2023 4-Seam Fastball 1.4 7 501 47.2 102 .211 .367 .293 25.0 27.5 19.7 .224 .412 .319 42.9
2023 Cutter -0.7 -3 413 38.9 113 .255 .377 .309 37.6 33.6 28.6 .232 .369 .284 34.8
2023 Changeup 0.9 1 148 13.9 42 .244 .268 .223 35.4 38.1 22.9 .168 .212 .178 24.0
2022 4-Seam Fastball 2.1 12 553 49.8 141 .152 .272 .226 31.3 36.9 27.1 .161 .318 .256 48.0
2022 Cutter -0.9 -3 357 32.1 81 .338 .500 .369 36.2 28.4 24.0 .235 .331 .268 27.8
2022 Changeup 2.9 6 201 18.1 49 .102 .102 .092 30.7 38.8 23.2 .155 .224 .165 10.0
2021 Cutter 1.6 6 387 44.2 112 .182 .303 .270 31.9 25.9 25.0 .186 .315 .252 32.9
2021 4-Seam Fastball -0.3 -1 372 42.5 75 .242 .371 .329 30.3 30.7 20.7 .232 .315 .308 37.5
2021 Changeup -0.2 0 117 13.4 34 .324 .441 .332 32.3 14.7 13.2 .255 .334 .256 37.9
2020 Cutter 4.2 7 169 42.6 37 .152 .212 .203 35.2 32.4 19.4 .140 .174 .186 9.1
2020 4-Seam Fastball 1.1 2 154 38.8 28 .208 .375 .313 24.6 28.6 14.8 .262 .436 .356 37.5
2020 Changeup 2.5 2 74 18.6 18 .278 .444 .308 22.2 22.2 11.8 .266 .369 .276 28.6
2019 Cutter 1.3 3 261 44.4 72 .274 .371 .335 33.8 26.4 22.1 .231 .379 .312 34.1
2019 4-Seam Fastball -4.5 -10 230 39.1 47 .368 .684 .494 21.1 21.3 15.9 .328 .614 .449 46.4
2019 Changeup 2.8 3 95 16.2 22 .200 .200 .195 38.1 27.3 20.7 .206 .264 .218 13.3
2019 Sinker -60.3 -1 1 0.2 1 1.000 1.000 .900 0.0 0.0 -- .960 1.174 .917 0.0
2019 Slider 7.6 0 1 0.2 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
2018 4-Seam Fastball -0.6 -3 495 47.4 116 .257 .376 .342 24.5 21.6 17.7 .223 .346 .298 33.8
2018 Cutter 1.5 7 493 47.2 128 .250 .317 .274 37.7 32.0 24.3 .250 .336 .279 37.5
2018 Changeup 1.2 0 32 3.1 9 .111 .111 .200 23.5 22.2 15.4 .172 .232 .175 14.3
2017 4-Seam Fastball -0.3 0 127 51.2 28 .259 .444 .314 30.6 42.9 26.1 .217 .370 .262 40.0
2017 Cutter 2.6 3 120 48.4 32 .194 .258 .213 40.3 43.8 34.1 .163 .227 .183 41.2
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: To better align with other values, positive numbers (red) are good, and negative numbers (blue) are poor.
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Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2023 Changeup 145 86.7 91 16.7 10:00 9:30 30
2023 Cutter 409 89.4 30 6.4 1:15 2:30 -75
2023 4-Seam Fastball 498 95.8 88 17.6 11:00 11:15 -15
2022 Changeup 197 87.6 92 17.2 10:00 9:15 45
2022 Cutter 350 90.3 29 6.6 12:30 2:00 -90
2022 4-Seam Fastball 552 96.6 90 18.1 11:00 11:15 -15
2021 Changeup 115 87.2 90 17.5 10:00 9:15 45
2021 Cutter 383 89.0 29 6.5 1:00 2:15 -75
2021 4-Seam Fastball 363 96.1 88 17.4 11:00 11:15 -15
2020 Changeup 71 85.3 91 16.7 9:45 9:15 30
2020 Cutter 161 87.9 27 5.7 1:00 2:00 -60
2020 4-Seam Fastball 152 95.5 93 18.3 10:45 11:00 -15
! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Swing/Take

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2017 60 247 2 1 1 -1 3
2018 262 1,058 14 2 -4 -6 6
2019 142 588 1 1 -3 -3 -5
2020 106 496 8 6 -1 -2 11
2021 268 1,058 13 4 -5 -4 7
2022 281 1,154 8 15 -3 -5 16
2023 269 1,102 11 3 -7 -2 6
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2017 248 51.4 70.9 75.6 36.7 36.4 41.3 63.3 54.4 35.6 8.9 90.9
2018 1,045 48.9 70.9 75.7 30.8 49.1 41.1 58.7 50.0 31.8 7.8 81.3
2019 588 45.7 73.2 78.7 30.1 50.0 38.6 55.6 49.8 30.4 7.1 83.3
2020 397 47.6 72.5 77.4 28.4 55.9 41.3 59.0 49.4 29.1 6.3 80.0
2021 876 52.2 69.6 75.5 27.7 46.6 41.3 64.3 49.5 31.3 8.8 77.9
2022 1,111 49.4 69.9 74.2 33.6 51.3 45.4 66.1 51.6 33.0 6.8 77.3
2023 1,062 49.0 70.6 79.3 30.8 44.9 45.1 61.2 50.4 31.4 7.3 85.9
Player 5,327 49.2 70.8 76.5 30.9 48.3 42.6 61.6 50.5 31.7 7.5 81.5
MLB 48.6 67.0 82.0 28.5 58.0 42.6 60.9 47.1 24.8 7.3 76.1
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA /
xERA
xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV Hard
Hit%
K% BB% Whiff% Chase
Rate
FB
Velo
FB
Spin
CB
Spin
Extension
2017 91 75 46
2018 72 54 82 93 53 99 99 71 51 73 45 88 82 94 82 44
2019 86 67 36
2020 89 79 90 91 71 88 87 96 99 73 29 67 56 84 65 40
2021 89 81 91 91 82 96 94 87 76 64 39 81 47 88 78 39
2022 96 96 90 75 98 58 24 55 79 96 86 90 88 89 92 40
2023 85 79 77 71 85 74 65 73 70 94 55 86 74 80 89 41
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Expected Home Runs

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2017 25.2 1 1.2 0 1 0 1 100.0
2018 24.0 3 3.9 -1 1 3 2 66.7
2019 23.5 3 4.1 -1 0 4 2 66.7
2020 23.1 3 3.7 -1 0 2 3 100.0
2021 25.7 2 2.5 -1 5 2 1 50.0
2022 21.9 5 6.3 -1 7 6 1 20.0
2023 23.6 6 7.9 -2 1 9 1 16.7
Player 23.4 23 29.6 -7 15 26 11 47.8

Expected Home Runs by Park

Year HR
2017 1 1 1 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 1 2 1 1 2 1 1 1
2018 3 4 3 4 4 4 4 3 4 2 4 6 4 2 4 5 2 4 4 5 4 4 5 3 2 4 4 5 5 4 4
2019 3 5 3 4 5 5 6 4 4 3 4 5 4 3 5 3 3 4 5 5 4 4 6 4 4 3 3 4 4 4 4
2020 3 4 3 3 4 4 5 4 4 3 3 4 4 3 4 3 4 4 3 4 4 3 5 3 4 3 4 4 4 4 3
2021 2 2 3 4 2 2 3 4 1 2 2 6 3 2 3 3 2 2 2 1 2 2 4 4 2 2 3 2 2 2 2
2022 5 5 7 7 8 7 8 6 4 4 5 8 6 5 6 6 5 6 6 7 6 8 9 7 4 5 8 9 7 6 4
2023 6 5 9 6 10 9 10 7 7 7 9 8 8 7 10 8 8 6 7 10 7 8 10 9 6 5 9 10 7 8 7
Player 23 26 29 30 34 32 37 29 25 22 28 39 30 23 33 29 25 27 28 33 28 30 41 31 24 23 32 36 30 29 25
! Note: This tells how many of this player's home runs would have been out of other stadiums. This accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects. For these purposes, the 2020 Blue Jays home field was still Rogers Centre, not Sahlen Field.
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Year to Year Changes

Metric 2017 2018 +/-   2019 +/-   2020 +/-   2021 +/-   2022 +/-   2023 +/-  
Fastball Velocity 93.1 94.1 1.0 93.6 -0.5 91.5 -2.1 92.5 1.0 94.2 1.7 92.9 -1.3
Offspeed Velocity 0.0 86.2 0.0 86.1 -0.1 85.4 -0.7 87.2 1.8 87.6 0.4 86.6 -1.0
Breaking Velocity 0.0 0.0 0.0 86.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Exit Velocity 88.6 87.6 -1.0 87.9 0.3 84.5 -3.4 86.7 2.2 88.3 1.6 87.9 -0.4
Launch Angle 18.3 15.6 -2.7 11.8 -3.8 9.4 -2.4 11.8 2.4 18.0 6.2 17.7 -0.3
Barrel % 6.3 1.8 -4.5 5.7 3.9 3.8 -1.9 4.2 0.4 8.8 4.6 7.0 -1.8
Hard Hit % 40.6 35.2 -5.4 34.1 -1.1 23.1 -11.0 35.2 12.1 34.0 -1.2 36.3 2.3
Sweet Spot % 28.1 36.5 8.4 38.6 2.1 34.6 -4.0 31.0 -3.6 32.1 1.1 36.9 4.8
xBA .188 .237 0.049 .264 0.027 .209 -0.055 .212 0.003 .182 -0.030 .218 0.036
BA .224 .244 0.020 .298 0.054 .200 -0.098 .226 0.026 .198 -0.028 .236 0.038
xwOBA .220 .287 0.067 .346 0.059 .264 -0.082 .269 0.005 .242 -0.027 .282 0.040
wOBA .255 .285 0.030 .360 0.075 .260 -0.100 .282 0.022 .246 -0.036 .283 0.037
xSLG .294 .338 0.044 .440 0.102 .305 -0.135 .318 0.013 .304 -0.014 .359 0.055
SLG .345 .329 -0.016 .446 0.117 .320 -0.126 .349 0.029 .306 -0.043 .354 0.048
K% 43.3 26.5 -16.8 23.8 -2.7 28.2 4.4 25.8 -2.4 34.7 8.9 31.5 -3.2
BB% 3.3 8.5 5.2 15.6 7.1 10.6 -5.0 9.0 -1.6 5.5 -3.5 8.1 2.6
Swing % 54.4 50.0 -4.4 49.8 -0.2 49.4 -0.4 49.5 0.1 51.6 2.1 50.4 -1.2
Whiff% 35.6 31.8 -3.8 30.4 -1.4 29.1 -1.3 31.3 2.2 33.0 1.7 31.4 -1.6
In Zone % 51.4 48.9 -2.5 45.7 -3.2 47.6 1.9 52.2 4.6 49.4 -2.8 49.0 -0.4
Out of Zone % 48.6 51.1 2.5 54.3 3.2 52.4 -1.9 47.8 -4.6 50.6 2.8 51.0 0.4
Out of Zone Swing % 36.7 30.8 -5.9 30.1 -0.7 28.4 -1.7 27.7 -0.7 33.6 5.9 30.8 -2.8
First Pitch Swing % 38.3 34.7 -3.6 33.3 -1.4 34.9 1.6 34.8 -0.1 42.4 7.6 32.7 -9.7
First Pitch Strike % 63.3 58.7 -4.6 55.6 -3.1 59.0 3.4 64.3 5.3 66.1 1.8 61.2 -4.9
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Statcast Fielder Positioning

vs RHHvs LHH
YearAlignment TypePAwOBAPATotal%PATotal%
2017 Shifts 60 .255 38 1 2.6 22 4 18.2
2018 Shifts 258 .286 171 21 12.3 87 16 18.4
2019 Shifts 142 .360 86 10 11.6 56 14 25.0
2020 Shifts 83 .260 57 8 14.0 26 2 7.7
2021 Shifts 218 .286 120 19 15.8 98 27 27.6
2022 Shifts 271 .246 194 15 7.7 77 14 18.2
2023 Shades 257 .281 165 25 15.2 92 29 31.5
! Note: Shifts are through the 2022 season, Shaded starting from the 2023 season, Shift: three or more infielders are on the same side of second base, Shade: positioned outside of their typical responsible slices of the field.
Learn more about how positioning is defined here

Pitch Tempo

Bases EmptyRunners On Base
SeasonTeamPitchesTempoFast %Slow %PitchesTempoFast %Slow %
2017 69 20.1 0.0% 0.0% 32 23.7 0.0% 12.5%
2018 232 21.4 0.4% 3.0% 195 24.8 0.0% 11.3%
2019 145 22.2 0.0% 3.4% 100 25.6 0.0% 20.0%
2020 100 23.4 0.0% 11.0% 68 28.2 0.0% 41.2%
2021 206 23.9 0.0% 12.6% 177 27.6 0.0% 36.2%
2022 277 23.0 0.0% 7.2% 176 27.9 0.0% 30.1%
2023 262 17.6 1.5% 0.4% 183 20.1 0.0% 0.5%
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Pitch Distribution