P | Kansas City Royals
Bats/Throws: R/R | 6' 1" 185 lbs | Age: 28
Draft: 2019 | Rd. 10, No. 315, New York Yankees | USC Aiken
W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2024 8 10 4.58 35 24 0 151.1 126 1.38
2025 3 6 5.10 32 8 1 84.2 66 1.44
2026 0 1 13.50 2 1 0 8 4 2.13
3 Seasons 11 17 5.05 69 33 1 244 196 1.43
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2024 35 8-10 4.58 151.1 126 1.38
2025 32 3-6 5.10 84.2 66 1.44
2026 2 0-1 13.50 8 4 2.13
3 Seasons 69 11-17 5.05 244 196 1.43
MLB Percentile Rankings
Movement Profile (Induced Break)
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Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls
Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity
Max EV Launch
Angle
LA Sweet-
Spot %
xBA xSLG wOBA xwOBA xwOBAcon HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2024 26 2481 475 40 8.4 6.1 89.5 113.7 9.6 30.9 .248 .419 .340 .318 .363 41.7 19.4 6.8 4.58 4.14
2025 27 1354 278 33 11.9 8.8 90.2 113.1 12.5 37.8 .284 .508 .350 .363 .416 42.8 17.6 6.9 5.10 5.70
2026 28 147 31 1 3.2 2.4 90.9 106.7 15.3 19.4 .278 .386 .396 .348 .325 38.7 9.8 14.6 13.50 5.10
Player 3982 784 74 9.5 6.9 89.8 113.7 10.8 32.9 .262 .449 .345 .335 .380 42.0 18.4 7.1
MLB 7.6 4.9 88.6 122.9 12.5 33.3 .243 .408 .316 .316 .369 37.1 22.2 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Spence relies on 5 pitches.
Cutter
(36.7%) ,
Sinker
(20.4%) ,
Slider
(19.0%) ,
Curveball
(13.6%) ,
Changeup
(10.2%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

AIR: Fly Balls + Line Drives + Popups All Batted Balls Batted Ball Breakdown
Season GB % AIR % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Pull GB % Straight GB % Oppo GB % Pull AIR % Straight AIR % Oppo AIR %
2024 48.4 51.6 23.8 21.9 5.9 42.3 38.7 18.9 23.8 20.2 4.4 18.5 18.5 14.5
2025 43.9 56.1 25.2 25.9 5.0 43.9 34.9 21.2 23.7 15.8 4.3 20.1 19.1 16.9
2026 51.6 48.4 16.1 22.6 9.7 54.8 32.3 12.9 29.0 19.4 3.2 25.8 12.9 9.7
Player 46.9 53.1 24.0 23.3 5.7 43.4 37.1 19.5 24.0 18.6 4.3 19.4 18.5 15.2
MLB 44.2 55.8 24.2 24.6 7.1 37.5 37.3 25.1 20.7 17.6 5.8 16.8 19.7 19.3
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Quality of Contact

Season Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2024 3.2 37.7 22.9 22.7 5.1 8.4 6.1
2025 4.0 31.7 19.4 25.9 6.8 11.9 8.8
2026 0.0 32.3 29.0 35.5 0.0 3.2 2.4
Player 3.3 35.3 21.9 24.4 5.5 9.5 6.9
MLB 4.0 32.3 25.0 24.4 5.9 7.6 4.9
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement


How this works: This section shows two different ways to evaluate pitch movement. On the left, “Total Movement” shows the real-world movement of a pitch, including the forces of gravity, which affects every pitch thrown. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren't 'better' just because they have more time to move, a pitch's movement is compared to other pitches of the same pitch type, within +/- 2 MPH and +/- 0.5 feet of extension/release. On the right, Induced Movement (or IVB) is reported without gravity, and attempts to isolate movement created by the pitcher's ability to spin and manipulate the ball.
Total Movement (in inches, w/ gravity)Induced Movement (in inches, w/o gravity)
YearPitchTeamHand#MPHVertical
Drop
vs.
Comparable
Horizontal
Break
vs.
Comparable
Vertical
Break
vs. AvgHorizontal
Break
vs. Avg
2026 Sinker KC R 30 92.4 24.9 1.9 11.6ARM -3.3 7.3 0.3 11.6ARM -3.6
2026 Changeup KC R 15 87.9 31.6 0.1 11.0ARM -3.5 4.2 -0.3 11.0ARM -3.5
2026 Cutter KC R 54 91.6 25.2 -1.0 2.7GLV 0.7 7.2 -0.9 2.7GLV 0.4
2026 Slider KC R 28 84.2 35.5 -2.3 13.1GLV 8.9 3.3 -1.9 13.1GLV 9.3
2026 Curveball KC R 20 81.1 51.7 -0.6 10.0GLV 2.3 -9.9 -0.3 10.0GLV 0.8
2025 Changeup ATH R 17 87.9 31.8 1.0 7.7ARM -6.7 3.7 0.4 7.7ARM -6.7
2025 Cutter ATH R 610 91.1 28.5 -4.0 3.9GLV 1.8 4.3 -4.1 3.9GLV 1.7
2025 Curveball ATH R 238 81.8 51.6 -0.4 10.3GLV 3.2 -10.3 0.1 10.3GLV 1.3
2025 Slider ATH R 362 84.5 36.4 -0.3 13.7GLV 9.4 2.3 -0.5 13.7GLV 9.5
2025 Sinker ATH R 126 92.7 27.1 4.0 7.4ARM -7.4 4.7 2.7 7.4ARM -7.7
! Note: Years are in reverse order.

Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2026 Cutter 1.3 1 54 36.7 18 .231 .231 .306 18.5 5.6 9.1 .302 .344 .376 23.1
2026 Sinker -3.0 -1 30 20.4 9 .375 .625 .456 0.0 0.0 0.0 .266 .305 .302 37.5
2026 Slider -5.0 -1 28 19.0 5 .500 .750 .570 25.0 0.0 0.0 .378 .412 .420 50.0
2026 Curveball -8.6 -2 20 13.6 7 .286 .714 .414 41.7 42.9 37.5 .199 .575 .320 50.0
2026 Changeup -3.7 -1 15 10.2 2 .500 .500 .450 0.0 0.0 0.0 .248 .269 .228 100.0
2025 Cutter -0.8 -5 610 45.1 167 .315 .530 .414 19.3 12.0 15.2 .304 .540 .390 48.9
2025 Slider -1.2 -4 362 26.8 99 .253 .505 .349 32.5 22.2 19.5 .265 .513 .358 31.9
2025 Curveball 1.6 4 238 17.6 75 .189 .230 .191 35.2 32.0 19.0 .217 .299 .230 30.0
2025 Sinker -4.9 -6 126 9.3 30 .423 .769 .533 13.5 0.0 0.0 .423 .852 .559 65.4
2025 Changeup -5.6 -1 17 1.3 2 .500 1.000 .625 33.3 0.0 0.0 .378 1.147 .622 50.0
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: To better align with other values, positive numbers (red) are good, and negative numbers (blue) are poor.

Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2026 Changeup 14 88.0 53 11.6 1:45 2:30 -45
2026 Curveball 20 81.1 73 16.3 7:45 7:15 30
2026 Cutter 54 91.6 39 7.1 12:15 11:15 60
2026 Sinker 30 92.4 62 13.9 1:15 2:00 -45
2026 Slider 28 84.2 54 14.3 8:15 9:15 -60
2025 Changeup 14 87.7 66 9.2 1:30 2:15 -45
2025 Curveball 237 81.8 69 16.8 7:45 7:15 30
2025 Cutter 607 91.1 27 5.7 11:45 10:15 90
2025 Sinker 122 92.7 52 9.2 1:00 2:15 -75
2025 Slider 361 84.5 50 14.7 8:15 9:00 -45
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Pitcher Arm Angle

! Note: Data is available from 2020 through the present.
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Statcast Pitching Run Value

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2024 651 2,481 -15 24 -10 -8 -10
2025 373 1,354 -6 9 -10 -6 -12
2026 41 147 -1 -1 -2 -1 -4
Player 1,065 3,982 -21 32 -22 -21 -26
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2024 2,481 48.3 70.9 88.0 31.7 55.5 42.6 61.3 50.6 22.5 7.5 82.7
2025 1,354 49.2 70.9 85.8 31.4 49.1 41.2 62.7 50.8 25.7 7.7 80.8
2026 147 47.6 65.7 87.0 24.7 68.4 44.9 58.5 44.2 18.5 2.7 100.0
Player 3,982 48.6 70.7 87.2 31.3 53.7 42.2 61.7 50.5 23.5 7.4 82.3
MLB 48.7 67.0 82.6 28.5 57.9 42.7 61.2 47.3 25.0 7.3 76.2
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Run Value Pitching
Year Pitching Fastball Breaking Off
Speed
xERA Fastball
MPH
Fastball
Spin
Curve
Spin
Avg
EV
Chase% Whiff% K% BB% Barrel% Hard-
Hit%
GB% Extension
2024 13 15 37 29 39 18 1 85 30 82 25 21 67 35 25 81 15
2025 13 7 41 43 4 24 76 80 26 82 53 14 69 4 29 58 19
2026
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Expected Home Runs

Adjusted

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2024 23.23 20 18.8 1 7 19 6 30.0
2025 24.74 16 13.9 2 7 8 9 56.3
2026 24.75 1 0.4 1 0 1 0 0.0
Player 23.92 37 33.1 4 14 28 15 40.5
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's batted balls allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Expected Home Runs by Park

Adjusted

Year HR
2024 20 19 18 20 17 19 24 19 14 13 19 21 22 15 19 18 18 15 21 27 20 19 28 24 16 17 14 18 19 18 14
2025 16 15 13 12 14 12 11 14 11 12 11 11 17 19 13 11 16 15 12 15 14 14 17 17 15 13 11 14 19 15 15
2026 1 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 1 0 0 1 1 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 1 1 0 0
Player 37 34 31 33 31 32 35 33 25 25 30 32 40 35 32 30 34 30 34 43 34 33 46 42 31 30 25 33 39 33 29
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's batted balls allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Year to Year Changes

2026 +/-   2025 +/-   2024
Results
BA .324 +.043 .281 +.005 .276
xBA .278 -.006 .284 +.036 .248
OBP .415 +.078 .337 +.006 .331
xOBP .381 +.039 .342 +.036 .306
SLG .500 +.020 .480 +.025 .455
xSLG .386 -.122 .508 +.089 .419
ISO .176 -.023 .199 +.020 .179
xISO .108 -.116 .224 +.053 .171
BABIP .333 +.028 .305 -.014 .319
wOBA .396 +.046 .350 +.010 .340
xwOBA .348 -.015 .363 +.045 .318
wOBAcon .389 -.009 .398 +.005 .393
xwOBAcon .325 -.091 .416 +.053 .363
BACON .355 +.010 .345 -.003 .348
xBACON .310 -.042 .352 +.038 .314
Statcast Hit Metrics
Hard Hit % 38.7 -4.1 42.8 +1.1 41.7
Avg Exit Velocity 90.9 +0.7 90.2 +0.7 89.5
Launch Angle Sweet-Spot % 19.4 -18.4 37.8 +6.9 30.9
Barrel % 3.2 -8.7 11.9 +3.5 8.4
Avg Launch Angle 15.3 +2.8 12.5 +2.9 9.6
Statcast Bat Tracking
Bat Speed 73.6 +1.5 72.1 +0.1 72.0
Attack Angle 13° +1° 12° 12°
Ideal Attack Angle % 49.2 -4.1 53.3 +0.8 52.5
Attack Direction -9° -3° -6° -1° -4°
Swing Path - Tilt 33° 33° 33°
Swing Length 7.7 +0.2 7.5 +0.1 7.4
Statcast Pitch Metrics
Fastball Velocity 91.9 +0.5 91.4 +0.4 91.0
Breaking Velocity 82.9 -0.5 83.4 +0.2 83.2
Offspeed Velocity 87.9 0.0 87.9 -0.6 88.5
Batted Ball Results
Barrels 1 -32 33 -7 40
Popup % 9.7 +4.7 5.0 -0.9 5.9
Flyball % 16.1 -9.1 25.2 +1.4 23.8
Line Drive % 22.6 -3.3 25.9 +4.0 21.9
Groundball % 51.6 +7.7 43.9 -4.5 48.4
Pull % 54.8 +10.9 43.9 +1.6 42.3
Straight Away % 32.3 -2.6 34.9 -3.8 38.7
Opposite Field % 12.9 -8.3 21.2 +2.3 18.9
Weak Contact % 0.0 -4.0 4.0 +0.8 3.2
Pull Airball % 25.8 +5.7 20.1 +1.6 18.5
Topped Contact % 32.3 +0.6 31.7 -6.0 37.7
Under Contact % 29.0 +9.6 19.4 -3.5 22.9
Flare/Burner Contact % 35.5 +9.6 25.9 +3.2 22.7
Solid Contact % 0.0 -6.8 6.8 +1.7 5.1
HR/FB % 20.0 -2.9 22.9 +5.2 17.7
Popups 3 -11 14 -14 28
Flyballs 5 -65 70 -43 113
Line Drives 7 -65 72 -32 104
Groundballs 16 -106 122 -108 230
Plate Discipline
In Zone % 47.6 -1.6 49.2 +0.9 48.3
Out of Zone % 52.4 +1.6 50.8 -0.9 51.7
Edge % 44.9 +3.7 41.2 -1.4 42.6
Zone Swing % 65.7 -5.2 70.9 0.0 70.9
Out of Zone Swing % 24.7 -6.7 31.4 -0.3 31.7
In Zone Contact % 87.0 +1.2 85.8 -2.2 88.0
Out of Zone Contact % 68.4 +19.3 49.1 -6.4 55.5
Whiff % 18.5 -7.2 25.7 +3.2 22.5
First Strike % 58.5 -4.2 62.7 +1.4 61.3
First Pitch Swing % 29.3 -6.2 35.5 +1.4 34.1
Swing % 44.2 -6.6 50.8 +0.2 50.6
Meatball Swing % 100.0 +19.2 80.8 -1.9 82.7
Meatball % 2.7 -5.0 7.7 +0.2 7.5
Zone Swing & Miss % 13.0 -1.2 14.2 +2.2 12.0
Out of Zone Swing & Miss % 31.6 -19.3 50.9 +6.4 44.5
In Zone 70 -596 666 -532 1,198
Out of Zone 77 -611 688 -595 1,283
Edge 66 -492 558 -500 1,058
In Zone Swings 46 -426 472 -377 849
Out of Zone Swings 19 -197 216 -191 407
In Zone Swing & Misses 6 -61 67 -35 102
Out of Zone Swing & Misses 6 -104 110 -71 181
Basic
Pitches 147 -1,207 1,354 -1,127 2,481
PA 41 -334 375 -276 651
AB 34 -308 342 -256 598
Hits 11 -85 96 -69 165
Singles 8 -52 60 -41 101
Doubles 1 -19 20 -21 41
Triples 1 +1 0 -3 3
Home Runs 1 -15 16 -4 20
Walks 6 -20 26 -18 44
Strikeouts 4 -62 66 -60 126
K% 9.8 -7.8 17.6 -1.8 19.4
BB% 14.6 +7.7 6.9 +0.1 6.8
HBP 0 -4 4 -2 6
Batted Balls 31 -247 278 -197 475
Fastball Percent 57.1 +2.7 54.4 +0.3 54.1
Offspeed Percent 10.2 +8.9 1.3 +0.1 1.2
Breaking Percent 32.7 -11.6 44.3 -0.4 44.7
Number of Fastballs 84 -652 736 -607 1,343
Number of Offspeed 15 -2 17 -12 29
Number of Breaking 48 -552 600 -508 1,108
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Statcast Fielder Positioning

vs RHHvs LHH
YearAlignment TypePAwOBAPATotal%PATotal%
2024 Shades 651 .340 359 18 5.0 292 207 70.9
2025 Shades 373 .350 200 2 1.0 173 111 64.2
2026 Shades 41 .396 16 1 6.3 25 18 72.0
! Note: Shifts are through the 2022 season, Shaded starting from the 2023 season, Shift: three or more infielders are on the same side of second base, Shade: positioned outside of their typical responsible slices of the field.
Learn more about how positioning is defined here

Pitch Tempo

Bases EmptyRunners On Base
SeasonTeamPitchesTempoFast %Slow %PitchesTempoFast %Slow %
2024 680 16.4 18.5% 0.7% 347 19.8 0.0% 0.6%
2025 361 17.7 5.5% 0.3% 205 20.7 0.0% 1.0%
2026 32 19.5 0.0% 0.0% 33 20.1 0.0% 3.0%

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Pitch Distribution