P | Atlanta Braves
Bats/Throws: L/R | 6' 0" 226 lbs | Age: 30
Draft: 2014 | Rd. 1, No. 22, Los Angeles Dodgers | Conway (SC) HS
W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2024 2 1 3.56 26 7 0 68.1 70 1.19
2025 4 9 3.99 22 21 0 115 123 1.34
2026 8 5 3.64 25 24 0 123.2 100 1.32
3 Seasons 14 15 3.75 73 52 0 307 293 1.30
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2024 26 2-1 3.56 68.1 70 1.19
2025 22 4-9 3.99 115 123 1.34
2026 25 8-5 3.64 123.2 100 1.32
3 Seasons 73 14-15 3.75 307 293 1.30
MLB Percentile Rankings
Movement Profile (Induced Break)
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Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls
Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity
Max EV Launch
Angle
LA Sweet-
Spot %
xBA xSLG wOBA xwOBA xwOBAcon HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2024 28 1024 195 13 6.7 4.6 88.7 111.7 13.9 35.9 .237 .397 .287 .295 .370 38.5 24.8 5.3 3.56 3.52
2025 29 1964 308 31 10.1 6.3 90.1 115.4 9.3 36.4 .239 .414 .316 .329 .389 41.9 25.0 11.0 3.99 4.55
2026 30 1971 372 33 8.9 6.2 91.3 112.5 13.6 34.4 .256 .432 .316 .337 .372 43.5 18.9 10.2 3.64 4.84
Player 4959 875 77 8.8 5.9 90.3 115.4 12.2 35.4 .246 .417 .310 .325 .378 41.8 22.5 9.4
MLB 7.6 4.9 88.6 122.9 12.5 33.3 .243 .407 .315 .316 .369 37.1 22.2 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Holmes relies on 6 pitches.
Slider
(36.9%) ,
Four Seamer
(28.7%) ,
Sinker
(12.0%) ,
Cutter
(8.6%) ,
Curveball
(7.5%) ,
Changeup
(6.3%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

AIR: Fly Balls + Line Drives + Popups All Batted Balls Batted Ball Breakdown
Season GB % AIR % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Pull GB % Straight GB % Oppo GB % Pull AIR % Straight AIR % Oppo AIR %
2024 44.1 55.9 27.2 22.6 6.2 34.9 35.4 29.7 24.6 13.8 5.6 10.3 21.5 24.1
2025 45.8 54.2 27.6 23.1 3.6 38.0 39.3 22.7 24.7 15.3 5.8 13.3 24.0 16.9
2026 42.2 57.8 26.9 25.0 5.9 41.4 33.6 25.0 20.4 16.9 4.8 21.0 16.7 20.2
Player 43.9 56.1 27.2 23.8 5.1 38.7 36.0 25.3 22.9 15.7 5.4 15.9 20.3 19.9
MLB 44.1 55.9 24.2 24.6 7.1 37.5 37.3 25.1 20.7 17.5 5.8 16.8 19.7 19.2
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Quality of Contact

Season Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2024 2.6 31.8 26.7 24.1 7.7 6.7 4.6
2025 3.9 32.8 23.1 25.6 4.5 10.1 6.3
2026 2.4 30.6 26.1 26.3 5.4 8.9 6.2
Player 3.0 31.7 25.1 25.6 5.6 8.8 5.9
MLB 4.0 32.2 25.0 24.4 5.9 7.6 4.9
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement


How this works: This section shows two different ways to evaluate pitch movement. On the left, “Total Movement” shows the real-world movement of a pitch, including the forces of gravity, which affects every pitch thrown. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren't 'better' just because they have more time to move, a pitch's movement is compared to other pitches of the same pitch type, within +/- 2 MPH and +/- 0.5 feet of extension/release. On the right, Induced Movement (or IVB) is reported without gravity, and attempts to isolate movement created by the pitcher's ability to spin and manipulate the ball.
Total Movement (in inches, w/ gravity)Induced Movement (in inches, w/o gravity)
YearPitchTeamHand#MPHVertical
Drop
vs.
Comparable
Horizontal
Break
vs.
Comparable
Vertical
Break
vs. AvgHorizontal
Break
vs. Avg
2026 Slider ATL R 728 85.3 40.4 3.9 1.9GLV -1.8 -3.0 4.4 1.9GLV -1.7
2026 4-Seam Fastball ATL R 565 94.2 15.5 -0.4 7.0ARM -0.6 15.3 -0.4 7.0ARM -0.8
2026 Curveball ATL R 148 82.8 46.9 -2.9 2.2GLV -5.3 -7.3 -2.9 2.2GLV -6.9
2026 Cutter ATL R 170 92.1 20.1 3.7 1.1ARM -2.4 11.9 3.9 1.1ARM -3.3
2026 Sinker ATL R 236 93.0 23.5 0.2 13.8ARM -1.3 8.2 -0.6 13.8ARM -1.3
2026 Changeup ATL R 124 89.3 31.1 0.1 13.8ARM -0.7 3.1 0.7 13.8ARM -0.4
2025 Slider ATL R 702 85.4 40.6 4.5 3.1GLV -1.1 -3.2 5.0 3.1GLV -1.1
2025 Sinker ATL R 2 93.9 23.7 0.9 9.1ARM -6.1 7.5 -0.1 9.1ARM -6.0
2025 Cutter ATL R 297 92.1 21.5 2.1 0.2ARM -1.7 10.5 2.1 0.2ARM -2.4
2025 Curveball ATL R 299 83.5 49.4 0.0 4.5GLV -2.8 -10.1 -0.1 4.5GLV -4.5
2025 Changeup ATL R 23 90.2 32.6 2.5 12.8ARM -2.2 1.2 2.9 12.8ARM -1.7
2025 4-Seam Fastball ATL R 641 94.5 15.5 -0.5 5.2ARM -2.6 15.2 -0.6 5.2ARM -2.4
! Note: Years are in reverse order.

Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2026 Slider 0.5 3 728 36.9 211 .214 .375 .289 39.1 30.8 23.6 .233 .385 .300 39.8
2026 4-Seam Fastball 0.0 0 565 28.7 148 .254 .467 .364 16.3 10.8 11.3 .267 .506 .385 49.5
2026 Sinker -0.3 -1 236 12.0 49 .279 .465 .368 16.3 0.0 0.0 .355 .519 .413 56.8
2026 Cutter -1.3 -2 170 8.6 47 .333 .615 .472 16.3 0.0 0.0 .295 .585 .427 35.9
2026 Curveball -0.4 -1 148 7.5 44 .250 .295 .241 36.0 34.1 26.3 .236 .314 .237 37.9
2026 Changeup 2.3 3 124 6.3 29 .038 .038 .110 22.6 13.8 14.8 .182 .255 .234 30.4
2025 Slider 1.3 9 702 35.7 198 .183 .267 .232 42.8 34.8 26.7 .191 .330 .258 43.9
2025 4-Seam Fastball -2.1 -14 641 32.6 137 .327 .645 .462 16.7 16.8 15.5 .302 .604 .439 47.7
2025 Curveball 0.5 1 299 15.2 79 .179 .239 .253 33.1 35.4 19.0 .192 .266 .277 27.5
2025 Cutter 1.0 3 297 15.1 74 .258 .409 .343 16.3 4.1 8.8 .307 .451 .366 38.1
2025 Changeup -5.8 -1 23 1.2 3 .667 1.000 .717 16.7 0.0 0.0 .414 .918 .554 66.7
2025 Sinker -3.3 0 2 0.1 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: To better align with other values, positive numbers (red) are good, and negative numbers (blue) are poor.

Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2026 Changeup 120 89.3 88 14.7 2:00 2:45 -45
2026 Curveball 148 82.8 43 9.7 7:30 6:30 60
2026 Cutter 170 92.1 64 11.2 1:00 12:15 45
2026 4-Seam Fastball 565 94.2 85 16.4 1:00 1:00 0
2026 Sinker 235 93.0 76 16.2 1:15 2:00 -45
2026 Slider 728 85.3 24 5.4 8:00 7:00 60
2025 Changeup 20 90.1 75 14.1 2:00 3:00 -60
2025 Curveball 299 83.5 53 13.2 7:15 6:45 30
2025 Cutter 297 92.1 55 9.8 1:00 12:00 60
2025 4-Seam Fastball 641 94.5 81 15.5 1:00 12:45 15
2025 Slider 702 85.4 29 6.2 7:45 7:15 30
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Pitcher Arm Angle

! Note: Data is available from 2020 through the present.
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Statcast Pitching Run Value

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2024 280 1,024 1 6 -3 -2 2
2025 491 1,964 7 12 -10 -10 -2
2026 528 1,971 14 12 -15 -8 3
Player 1,299 4,959 22 30 -28 22 3
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2024 1,024 49.6 73.2 82.0 35.1 38.1 41.5 64.9 54.0 32.4 7.4 86.8
2025 1,964 48.4 69.0 82.6 28.9 42.7 42.4 58.9 48.3 29.7 6.9 76.5
2026 1,971 46.3 68.5 86.2 30.7 46.5 40.7 59.4 48.2 27.4 7.0 80.4
Player 4,959 47.8 69.7 83.8 30.9 43.2 41.5 60.4 49.4 29.4 7.1 80.3
MLB 48.7 67.0 82.7 28.6 57.9 42.6 61.2 47.3 25.0 7.3 76.2
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Run Value Pitching
Year Pitching Fastball Breaking Off
Speed
xERA Fastball
MPH
Fastball
Spin
Curve
Spin
Avg
EV
Chase% Whiff% K% BB% Barrel% Hard-
Hit%
GB% Extension
2024 52 41 70 55 70 59 66 88 53 97 92 65 90 71 52 58 12
2025 34 8 95 40 24 52 61 88 29 55 80 69 11 20 37 68 13
2026 56 26 73 81 18 38 56 80 2 52 68 25 27 26 14 48 12
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Expected Home Runs

Adjusted

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2024 22.17 7 6.0 1 4 6 2 28.6
2025 23.63 16 14.6 1 9 10 7 43.8
2026 24.31 19 18.3 1 10 13 7 36.8
Player 23.69 42 38.9 3 23 29 16 38.1
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's batted balls allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Expected Home Runs by Park

Adjusted

Year HR
2024 7 6 5 5 5 7 8 5 3 4 6 6 7 6 7 4 5 4 7 8 7 6 10 8 5 5 4 6 7 8 7
2025 16 17 14 11 12 13 11 17 12 11 15 16 15 21 15 13 19 14 13 18 14 15 19 18 12 11 12 15 17 14 14
2026 19 18 13 22 20 19 18 17 19 20 16 18 14 22 19 22 18 15 19 22 17 22 21 21 12 14 16 20 23 15 16
Player 42 41 32 38 37 39 37 39 34 35 37 40 36 49 41 39 42 33 39 48 38 43 50 47 29 30 32 41 47 37 37
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's batted balls allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Year to Year Changes

2026 +/-   2025 +/-   2024
Results
BA .234 -.001 .235 -.017 .252
xBA .256 +.017 .239 +.002 .237
OBP .314 -.014 .328 +.034 .294
xOBP .337 +.003 .334 +.052 .282
SLG .401 +.014 .387 +.017 .370
xSLG .432 +.018 .414 +.017 .397
ISO .167 +.014 .153 +.035 .118
xISO .176 +.002 .174 +.015 .159
BABIP .256 -.033 .289 -.025 .314
wOBA .316 .000 .316 +.029 .287
xwOBA .337 +.008 .329 +.034 .295
wOBAcon .342 -.026 .368 +.009 .359
xwOBAcon .372 -.017 .389 +.019 .370
BACON .294 -.032 .326 -.012 .338
xBACON .326 -.009 .335 +.014 .321
Statcast Hit Metrics
Hard Hit % 43.5 +1.6 41.9 +3.4 38.5
Avg Exit Velocity 91.3 +1.2 90.1 +1.4 88.7
Launch Angle Sweet-Spot % 34.4 -2.0 36.4 +0.5 35.9
Barrel % 8.9 -1.2 10.1 +3.4 6.7
Avg Launch Angle 13.6 +4.3 9.3 -4.6 13.9
Statcast Bat Tracking
Bat Speed 72.9 +0.8 72.1 +0.5 71.6
Attack Angle 12° +1° 12° +1° 11°
Ideal Attack Angle % 51.3 +2.3 49.0 -2.0 51.0
Attack Direction -5° -5° -5°
Swing Path - Tilt 34° 34° +1° 33°
Swing Length 7.5 0.0 7.5 0.0 7.5
Statcast Pitch Metrics
Fastball Velocity 93.5 -0.2 93.7 -0.5 94.2
Breaking Velocity 84.9 +0.1 84.8 -0.7 85.5
Offspeed Velocity 89.3 -0.9 90.2 -1.1 91.3
Batted Ball Results
Barrels 33 +2 31 +18 13
Popup % 5.9 +2.3 3.6 -2.6 6.2
Flyball % 26.9 -0.7 27.6 +0.4 27.2
Line Drive % 25.0 +1.9 23.1 +0.5 22.6
Groundball % 42.2 -3.6 45.8 +1.7 44.1
Pull % 41.4 +3.4 38.0 +3.1 34.9
Straight Away % 33.6 -5.7 39.3 +3.9 35.4
Opposite Field % 25.0 +2.3 22.7 -7.0 29.7
Weak Contact % 2.4 -1.5 3.9 +1.3 2.6
Pull Airball % 21.0 +7.7 13.3 +3.0 10.3
Topped Contact % 30.6 -2.2 32.8 +1.0 31.8
Under Contact % 26.1 +3.0 23.1 -3.6 26.7
Flare/Burner Contact % 26.3 +0.7 25.6 +1.5 24.1
Solid Contact % 5.4 +0.9 4.5 -3.2 7.7
HR/FB % 19.0 +0.2 18.8 +5.6 13.2
Popups 22 +11 11 -1 12
Flyballs 100 +15 85 +32 53
Line Drives 93 +22 71 +27 44
Groundballs 157 +16 141 +55 86
Plate Discipline
In Zone % 46.3 -2.1 48.4 -1.2 49.6
Out of Zone % 53.7 +2.1 51.6 +1.2 50.4
Edge % 40.7 -1.7 42.4 +0.9 41.5
Zone Swing % 68.5 -0.5 69.0 -4.2 73.2
Out of Zone Swing % 30.7 +1.8 28.9 -6.2 35.1
In Zone Contact % 86.2 +3.6 82.6 +0.6 82.0
Out of Zone Contact % 46.5 +3.8 42.7 +4.6 38.1
Whiff % 27.4 -2.3 29.7 -2.7 32.4
First Strike % 59.4 +0.5 58.9 -6.0 64.9
First Pitch Swing % 34.2 +1.9 32.3 -6.0 38.3
Swing % 48.2 -0.1 48.3 -5.7 54.0
Meatball Swing % 80.4 +3.9 76.5 -10.3 86.8
Meatball % 7.0 +0.1 6.9 -0.5 7.4
Zone Swing & Miss % 13.8 -3.6 17.4 -0.6 18.0
Out of Zone Swing & Miss % 53.5 -3.8 57.3 -4.6 61.9
In Zone 913 -38 951 +443 508
Out of Zone 1,058 +45 1,013 +497 516
Edge 803 -29 832 +407 425
In Zone Swings 625 -31 656 +284 372
Out of Zone Swings 325 +32 293 +112 181
In Zone Swing & Misses 86 -28 114 +47 67
Out of Zone Swing & Misses 174 +6 168 +56 112
Basic
Pitches 1,971 +7 1,964 +940 1,024
PA 529 +37 492 +210 282
AB 466 +40 426 +164 262
Hits 109 +9 100 +34 66
Singles 70 +2 68 +19 49
Doubles 19 +4 15 +5 10
Triples 1 0 1 +1 0
Home Runs 19 +3 16 +9 7
Walks 54 0 54 +39 15
Strikeouts 100 -23 123 +53 70
K% 18.9 -6.1 25.0 +0.2 24.8
BB% 10.2 -0.8 11.0 +5.7 5.3
HBP 3 -4 7 +5 2
Batted Balls 372 +64 308 +113 195
Fastball Percent 49.3 +1.4 47.9 +2.4 45.5
Offspeed Percent 6.3 +5.1 1.2 0.0 1.2
Breaking Percent 44.4 -6.6 51.0 -2.3 53.3
Number of Fastballs 971 +31 940 +474 466
Number of Offspeed 124 +101 23 +11 12
Number of Breaking 876 -125 1,001 +455 546
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Statcast Fielder Positioning

vs RHHvs LHH
YearAlignment TypePAwOBAPATotal%PATotal%
2024 Shades 280 .287 153 30 19.6 127 68 53.5
2025 Shades 491 .316 242 0 0.0 249 165 66.3
2026 Shades 528 .315 214 3 1.4 314 89 28.3
! Note: Shifts are through the 2022 season, Shaded starting from the 2023 season, Shift: three or more infielders are on the same side of second base, Shade: positioned outside of their typical responsible slices of the field.
Learn more about how positioning is defined here

Pitch Tempo

Bases EmptyRunners On Base
SeasonTeamPitchesTempoFast %Slow %PitchesTempoFast %Slow %
2024 257 16.1 33.1% 0.4% 143 18.1 3.5% 0.7%
2025 525 15.8 32.8% 0.2% 289 17.6 4.2% 0.3%
2026 556 16.4 21.8% 1.3% 289 17.7 2.8% 4.5%

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Pitch Distribution