P | Atlanta Braves
Bats/Throws: L/R | 6' 0" 226 lbs | Age: 30
Draft: 2014 | Rd. 1, No. 22, Los Angeles Dodgers | Conway (SC) HS
W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2024 2 1 3.56 26 7 0 68.1 70 1.19
2025 4 9 3.99 22 21 0 115 123 1.34
2026 5 4 3.61 18 17 0 87.1 76 1.32
3 Seasons 11 14 3.76 66 45 0 270.2 269 1.29
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2024 26 2-1 3.56 68.1 70 1.19
2025 22 4-9 3.99 115 123 1.34
2026 18 5-4 3.61 87.1 76 1.32
3 Seasons 66 11-14 3.76 270.2 269 1.29
MLB Percentile Rankings
Movement Profile (Induced Break)
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Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls
Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity
Max EV Launch
Angle
LA Sweet-
Spot %
xBA xSLG wOBA xwOBA xwOBAcon HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2024 28 1024 195 13 6.7 4.6 88.7 111.7 13.9 35.9 .237 .397 .287 .295 .370 38.5 24.8 5.3 3.56 3.52
2025 29 1964 308 31 10.1 6.3 90.1 115.4 9.3 36.4 .240 .414 .316 .329 .389 41.9 25.0 11.0 3.99 4.55
2026 30 1429 258 23 8.9 6.1 90.7 111.3 13.8 34.1 .244 .416 .316 .329 .365 43.4 20.2 10.4 3.61 4.55
Player 4417 761 67 8.8 5.8 89.9 115.4 12.0 35.5 .240 .410 .309 .321 .376 41.5 23.4 9.4
MLB 7.6 4.9 88.6 122.9 12.5 33.3 .243 .407 .316 .316 .369 37.1 22.2 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Holmes relies on 6 pitches.
Slider
(37.4%) ,
Four Seamer
(32.1%) ,
Sinker
(10.7%) ,
Curveball
(7.6%) ,
Cutter
(7.1%) ,
Changeup
(5.2%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

AIR: Fly Balls + Line Drives + Popups All Batted Balls Batted Ball Breakdown
Season GB % AIR % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Pull GB % Straight GB % Oppo GB % Pull AIR % Straight AIR % Oppo AIR %
2024 44.1 55.9 27.2 22.6 6.2 34.9 35.4 29.7 24.6 13.8 5.6 10.3 21.5 24.1
2025 45.8 54.2 27.6 23.1 3.6 38.0 39.3 22.7 24.7 15.3 5.8 13.3 24.0 16.9
2026 41.9 58.1 27.5 24.4 6.2 37.6 35.7 26.7 17.1 19.0 5.8 20.5 16.7 20.9
Player 44.0 56.0 27.5 23.4 5.1 37.1 37.1 25.9 22.1 16.2 5.8 15.0 20.9 20.1
MLB 44.2 55.8 24.2 24.6 7.1 37.5 37.3 25.1 20.7 17.6 5.8 16.8 19.7 19.2
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Quality of Contact

Season Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2024 2.6 31.8 26.7 24.1 7.7 6.7 4.6
2025 3.9 32.8 23.1 25.6 4.5 10.1 6.3
2026 2.7 31.0 27.9 23.3 5.8 8.9 6.1
Player 3.2 31.9 25.6 24.4 5.8 8.8 5.8
MLB 4.0 32.3 25.0 24.4 5.9 7.6 4.9
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement


How this works: This section shows two different ways to evaluate pitch movement. On the left, “Total Movement” shows the real-world movement of a pitch, including the forces of gravity, which affects every pitch thrown. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren't 'better' just because they have more time to move, a pitch's movement is compared to other pitches of the same pitch type, within +/- 2 MPH and +/- 0.5 feet of extension/release. On the right, Induced Movement (or IVB) is reported without gravity, and attempts to isolate movement created by the pitcher's ability to spin and manipulate the ball.
Total Movement (in inches, w/ gravity)Induced Movement (in inches, w/o gravity)
YearPitchTeamHand#MPHVertical
Drop
vs.
Comparable
Horizontal
Break
vs.
Comparable
Vertical
Break
vs. AvgHorizontal
Break
vs. Avg
2026 Sinker ATL R 153 93.1 23.5 0.2 14.1ARM -1.2 8.1 -0.5 14.1ARM -1.1
2026 Changeup ATL R 74 89.6 30.2 -0.8 14.0ARM -0.7 3.9 0.0 14.0ARM -0.4
2026 Curveball ATL R 108 82.9 46.8 -2.9 2.4GLV -5.1 -7.3 -2.9 2.4GLV -6.8
2026 Cutter ATL R 101 92.2 20.2 3.6 1.1ARM -2.5 11.8 3.7 1.1ARM -3.3
2026 4-Seam Fastball ATL R 459 94.2 15.5 -0.5 7.0ARM -0.8 15.3 -0.5 7.0ARM -0.8
2026 Slider ATL R 534 85.3 40.9 4.3 1.8GLV -2.0 -3.5 4.9 1.8GLV -2.0
2025 Cutter ATL R 297 92.1 21.5 2.1 0.2ARM -1.7 10.5 2.1 0.2ARM -2.4
2025 4-Seam Fastball ATL R 641 94.5 15.5 -0.5 5.2ARM -2.6 15.2 -0.6 5.2ARM -2.4
2025 Slider ATL R 702 85.4 40.6 4.5 3.1GLV -1.1 -3.2 5.0 3.1GLV -1.1
2025 Changeup ATL R 23 90.2 32.6 2.5 12.8ARM -2.2 1.2 2.9 12.8ARM -1.6
2025 Curveball ATL R 299 83.5 49.4 0.0 4.5GLV -2.8 -10.1 -0.1 4.5GLV -4.5
2025 Sinker ATL R 2 93.9 23.7 0.9 9.1ARM -6.1 7.5 -0.1 9.1ARM -6.0
! Note: Years are in reverse order.

Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2026 Slider 0.3 1 534 37.4 153 .225 .377 .303 39.8 34.0 25.0 .223 .365 .295 40.7
2026 4-Seam Fastball 0.1 0 459 32.1 125 .267 .495 .372 16.1 11.2 12.5 .265 .477 .370 50.5
2026 Sinker 0.3 0 153 10.7 30 .208 .417 .327 14.3 0.0 0.0 .325 .498 .420 52.0
2026 Curveball -0.5 -1 108 7.6 29 .241 .276 .229 31.5 31.0 20.0 .210 .282 .212 35.0
2026 Cutter 1.4 1 101 7.1 23 .190 .476 .313 15.2 0.0 0.0 .258 .611 .392 33.3
2026 Changeup 0.3 0 74 5.2 15 .071 .071 .167 21.4 6.7 5.9 .196 .295 .244 23.1
2025 Slider 1.3 9 702 35.7 198 .183 .267 .232 42.8 34.8 26.7 .191 .330 .258 43.9
2025 4-Seam Fastball -2.1 -14 641 32.6 137 .327 .645 .462 16.7 16.8 15.5 .302 .604 .439 47.7
2025 Curveball 0.5 1 299 15.2 79 .179 .239 .253 33.1 35.4 19.0 .192 .267 .278 27.5
2025 Cutter 1.0 3 297 15.1 74 .258 .409 .343 16.3 4.1 8.8 .307 .451 .366 38.1
2025 Changeup -5.8 -1 23 1.2 3 .667 1.000 .717 16.7 0.0 0.0 .414 .918 .554 66.7
2025 Sinker -3.3 0 2 0.1 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: To better align with other values, positive numbers (red) are good, and negative numbers (blue) are poor.

Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2026 Changeup 72 89.6 89 15.0 1:45 2:45 -60
2026 Curveball 108 82.9 41 9.7 7:30 6:30 60
2026 Cutter 101 92.2 64 11.1 1:00 12:15 45
2026 4-Seam Fastball 459 94.2 84 16.4 1:00 12:45 15
2026 Sinker 152 93.1 76 16.4 1:15 2:15 -60
2026 Slider 534 85.3 25 5.8 7:45 6:45 60
2025 Changeup 20 90.1 75 14.1 2:00 3:00 -60
2025 Curveball 299 83.5 53 13.2 7:15 6:45 30
2025 Cutter 297 92.1 55 9.8 1:00 12:00 60
2025 4-Seam Fastball 641 94.5 81 15.5 1:00 12:45 15
2025 Slider 702 85.4 29 6.2 7:45 7:15 30
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Pitcher Arm Angle

! Note: Data is available from 2020 through the present.
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Statcast Pitching Run Value

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2024 280 1,024 1 6 -3 -2 2
2025 491 1,964 7 12 -10 -10 -2
2026 375 1,429 15 7 -12 -7 3
Player 1,146 4,417 23 24 -25 23 4
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2024 1,024 49.6 73.2 82.0 35.1 38.1 41.5 64.9 54.0 32.4 7.4 86.8
2025 1,964 48.4 69.0 82.6 28.9 42.7 42.4 58.9 48.3 29.7 6.9 76.5
2026 1,429 45.8 67.9 86.0 31.5 49.6 39.8 58.0 48.1 26.9 6.9 79.8
Player 4,417 47.8 69.7 83.5 31.2 43.9 41.3 60.1 49.6 29.5 7.0 80.1
MLB 48.7 67.0 82.6 28.6 57.9 42.7 61.2 47.3 25.0 7.3 76.2
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Run Value Pitching
Year Pitching Fastball Breaking Off
Speed
xERA Fastball
MPH
Fastball
Spin
Curve
Spin
Avg
EV
Chase% Whiff% K% BB% Barrel% Hard-
Hit%
GB% Extension
2024 52 41 70 55 70 59 66 88 53 97 92 65 90 71 52 58 12
2025 34 8 95 40 24 52 61 88 29 55 80 69 11 20 37 68 13
2026 60 58 60 56 32 40 58 80 9 61 64 33 25 30 19 46 13
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Expected Home Runs

Adjusted

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2024 22.17 7 6.0 1 4 6 2 28.6
2025 23.63 16 14.6 1 9 10 7 43.8
2026 24.46 15 14.2 1 9 10 5 33.3
Player 23.69 38 34.8 3 22 26 14 36.8
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's batted balls allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Expected Home Runs by Park

Adjusted

Year HR
2024 7 6 5 5 5 7 8 5 3 4 6 6 7 6 7 4 5 4 7 8 7 6 10 8 5 5 4 6 7 8 7
2025 16 17 14 11 12 13 11 17 12 11 15 16 15 21 15 13 19 14 13 18 14 15 19 18 12 11 12 15 17 14 14
2026 15 14 9 17 15 15 14 11 16 14 14 15 9 16 15 17 14 12 14 17 12 16 16 19 10 11 13 15 19 13 14
Player 38 37 28 33 32 35 33 33 31 29 35 37 31 43 37 34 38 30 34 43 33 37 45 45 27 27 29 36 43 35 35
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's batted balls allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Year to Year Changes

2026 +/-   2025 +/-   2024
Results
BA .230 -.005 .235 -.017 .252
xBA .244 +.004 .240 +.003 .237
OBP .314 -.014 .328 +.034 .294
xOBP .330 -.004 .334 +.052 .282
SLG .402 +.015 .387 +.017 .370
xSLG .416 +.002 .414 +.017 .397
ISO .172 +.019 .153 +.035 .118
xISO .172 -.002 .174 +.015 .159
BABIP .251 -.038 .289 -.025 .314
wOBA .316 .000 .316 +.029 .287
xwOBA .329 .000 .329 +.034 .295
wOBAcon .346 -.022 .368 +.009 .359
xwOBAcon .365 -.024 .389 +.019 .370
BACON .295 -.031 .326 -.012 .338
xBACON .317 -.018 .335 +.014 .321
Statcast Hit Metrics
Hard Hit % 43.4 +1.5 41.9 +3.4 38.5
Avg Exit Velocity 90.7 +0.6 90.1 +1.4 88.7
Launch Angle Sweet-Spot % 34.1 -2.3 36.4 +0.5 35.9
Barrel % 8.9 -1.2 10.1 +3.4 6.7
Avg Launch Angle 13.8 +4.5 9.3 -4.6 13.9
Statcast Bat Tracking
Bat Speed 72.6 +0.5 72.1 +0.4 71.7
Attack Angle 12° 12° +1° 11°
Ideal Attack Angle % 49.1 0.0 49.1 -2.7 51.8
Attack Direction -5° -5° -4°
Swing Path - Tilt 34° 34° +1° 33°
Swing Length 7.5 0.0 7.5 0.0 7.5
Statcast Pitch Metrics
Fastball Velocity 93.7 0.0 93.7 -0.5 94.2
Breaking Velocity 84.9 +0.1 84.8 -0.7 85.5
Offspeed Velocity 89.6 -0.6 90.2 -1.1 91.3
Batted Ball Results
Barrels 23 -8 31 +18 13
Popup % 6.2 +2.6 3.6 -2.6 6.2
Flyball % 27.5 -0.1 27.6 +0.4 27.2
Line Drive % 24.4 +1.3 23.1 +0.5 22.6
Groundball % 41.9 -3.9 45.8 +1.7 44.1
Pull % 37.6 -0.4 38.0 +3.1 34.9
Straight Away % 35.7 -3.6 39.3 +3.9 35.4
Opposite Field % 26.7 +4.0 22.7 -7.0 29.7
Weak Contact % 2.7 -1.2 3.9 +1.3 2.6
Pull Airball % 20.5 +7.2 13.3 +3.0 10.3
Topped Contact % 31.0 -1.8 32.8 +1.0 31.8
Under Contact % 27.9 +4.8 23.1 -3.6 26.7
Flare/Burner Contact % 23.3 -2.3 25.6 +1.5 24.1
Solid Contact % 5.8 +1.3 4.5 -3.2 7.7
HR/FB % 21.1 +2.3 18.8 +5.6 13.2
Popups 16 +5 11 -1 12
Flyballs 71 -14 85 +32 53
Line Drives 63 -8 71 +27 44
Groundballs 108 -33 141 +55 86
Plate Discipline
In Zone % 45.8 -2.6 48.4 -1.2 49.6
Out of Zone % 54.2 +2.6 51.6 +1.2 50.4
Edge % 39.8 -2.6 42.4 +0.9 41.5
Zone Swing % 67.9 -1.1 69.0 -4.2 73.2
Out of Zone Swing % 31.5 +2.6 28.9 -6.2 35.1
In Zone Contact % 86.0 +3.4 82.6 +0.6 82.0
Out of Zone Contact % 49.6 +6.9 42.7 +4.6 38.1
Whiff % 26.9 -2.8 29.7 -2.7 32.4
First Strike % 58.0 -0.9 58.9 -6.0 64.9
First Pitch Swing % 33.0 +0.7 32.3 -6.0 38.3
Swing % 48.1 -0.2 48.3 -5.7 54.0
Meatball Swing % 79.8 +3.3 76.5 -10.3 86.8
Meatball % 6.9 0.0 6.9 -0.5 7.4
Zone Swing & Miss % 14.0 -3.4 17.4 -0.6 18.0
Out of Zone Swing & Miss % 50.4 -6.9 57.3 -4.6 61.9
In Zone 654 -297 951 +443 508
Out of Zone 775 -238 1,013 +497 516
Edge 569 -263 832 +407 425
In Zone Swings 444 -212 656 +284 372
Out of Zone Swings 244 -49 293 +112 181
In Zone Swing & Misses 62 -52 114 +47 67
Out of Zone Swing & Misses 123 -45 168 +56 112
Basic
Pitches 1,429 -535 1,964 +940 1,024
PA 376 -116 492 +210 282
AB 331 -95 426 +164 262
Hits 76 -24 100 +34 66
Singles 50 -18 68 +19 49
Doubles 10 -5 15 +5 10
Triples 1 0 1 +1 0
Home Runs 15 -1 16 +9 7
Walks 39 -15 54 +39 15
Strikeouts 76 -47 123 +53 70
K% 20.2 -4.8 25.0 +0.2 24.8
BB% 10.4 -0.6 11.0 +5.7 5.3
HBP 3 -4 7 +5 2
Batted Balls 258 -50 308 +113 195
Fastball Percent 49.9 +2.0 47.9 +2.4 45.5
Offspeed Percent 5.2 +4.0 1.2 0.0 1.2
Breaking Percent 44.9 -6.1 51.0 -2.3 53.3
Number of Fastballs 713 -227 940 +474 466
Number of Offspeed 74 +51 23 +11 12
Number of Breaking 642 -359 1,001 +455 546
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Statcast Fielder Positioning

vs RHHvs LHH
YearAlignment TypePAwOBAPATotal%PATotal%
2024 Shades 280 .287 153 30 19.6 127 68 53.5
2025 Shades 491 .316 242 0 0.0 249 165 66.3
2026 Shades 375 .315 159 3 1.9 216 48 22.2
! Note: Shifts are through the 2022 season, Shaded starting from the 2023 season, Shift: three or more infielders are on the same side of second base, Shade: positioned outside of their typical responsible slices of the field.
Learn more about how positioning is defined here

Pitch Tempo

Bases EmptyRunners On Base
SeasonTeamPitchesTempoFast %Slow %PitchesTempoFast %Slow %
2024 257 16.1 33.1% 0.4% 143 18.1 3.5% 0.7%
2025 525 15.8 32.8% 0.2% 289 17.6 4.2% 0.3%
2026 398 16.4 22.1% 1.3% 207 17.9 1.4% 5.8%

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Pitch Distribution