P | Atlanta Braves
Bats/Throws: L/R | 6' 0" 226 lbs | Age: 30
Draft: 2014 | Rd. 1, No. 22, Los Angeles Dodgers | Conway (SC) HS
W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2024 2 1 3.56 26 7 0 68.1 70 1.19
2025 4 9 3.99 22 21 0 115 123 1.34
2026 10 6 3.44 31 29 0 151.2 115 1.31
3 Seasons 16 16 3.65 79 57 0 335 308 1.29
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2024 26 2-1 3.56 68.1 70 1.19
2025 22 4-9 3.99 115 123 1.34
2026 31 10-6 3.44 151.2 115 1.31
3 Seasons 79 16-16 3.65 335 308 1.29
MLB Percentile Rankings
Movement Profile (Induced Break)
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Statcast Statistics

Season Age Team Pitches Batted
Balls
Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity
Max EV Launch
Angle
LA Sweet-
Spot %
xBA xSLG wOBA xwOBA xwOBAcon HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2024 28 1024 195 13 6.7 4.6 88.7 111.7 13.9 35.9 .237 .397 .287 .295 .370 38.5 24.8 5.3 3.56 3.52
2025 29 1964 308 31 10.1 6.3 90.1 115.4 9.3 36.4 .239 .414 .316 .329 .389 41.9 25.0 11.0 3.99 4.55
2026 30 2382 462 41 8.9 6.4 91.5 112.5 12.4 34.2 .262 .447 .314 .342 .378 45.2 17.9 9.7 3.44 5.05
Player 5370 965 85 8.8 6.0 90.5 115.4 11.7 35.2 .249 .425 .309 .328 .380 42.8 21.8 9.3
MLB 7.6 4.9 88.6 122.9 12.6 33.3 .244 .407 .316 .316 .368 37.1 22.2 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Holmes relies on 6 pitches.
Slider
(36.1%) ,
Four Seamer
(28.2%) ,
Sinker
(12.5%) ,
Cutter
(8.2%) ,
Curveball
(7.8%) ,
Changeup
(7.3%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

AIR: Fly Balls + Line Drives + Popups All Batted Balls Batted Ball Breakdown
Season GB % AIR % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Pull GB % Straight GB % Oppo GB % Pull AIR % Straight AIR % Oppo AIR %
2024 44.1 55.9 27.2 22.6 6.2 34.9 35.4 29.7 24.6 13.8 5.6 10.3 21.5 24.1
2025 45.8 54.2 27.6 23.1 3.6 38.0 39.3 22.7 24.7 15.3 5.8 13.3 24.0 16.9
2026 43.7 56.3 26.4 24.7 5.2 43.1 33.3 23.6 22.1 16.7 5.0 21.0 16.7 18.6
Player 44.5 55.5 26.9 23.7 4.9 39.8 35.6 24.6 23.4 15.6 5.4 16.4 20.0 19.2
MLB 44.1 55.9 24.3 24.6 7.1 37.5 37.3 25.0 20.7 17.5 5.8 16.9 19.8 19.2
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Quality of Contact

Season Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2024 2.6 31.8 26.7 24.1 7.7 6.7 4.6
2025 3.9 32.8 23.1 25.6 4.5 10.1 6.3
2026 2.6 32.3 24.2 25.3 6.5 8.9 6.4
Player 3.0 32.3 24.4 25.2 6.1 8.8 6.0
MLB 4.1 32.2 25.0 24.4 5.9 7.6 4.9
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement


How this works: This section shows two different ways to evaluate pitch movement. On the left, “Total Movement” shows the real-world movement of a pitch, including the forces of gravity, which affects every pitch thrown. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren't 'better' just because they have more time to move, a pitch's movement is compared to other pitches of the same pitch type, within +/- 2 MPH and +/- 0.5 feet of extension/release. On the right, Induced Movement (or IVB) is reported without gravity, and attempts to isolate movement created by the pitcher's ability to spin and manipulate the ball.
Total Movement (in inches, w/ gravity)Induced Movement (in inches, w/o gravity)
SeasonPitchTeamHand#MPHVertical
Drop
vs.
Comparable
Horizontal
Break
vs.
Comparable
Vertical
Break
vs. AvgHorizontal
Break
vs. Avg
2026 Changeup R 173 89.3 31.6 0.5 14.1ARM -0.5 2.6 1.2 14.1ARM -0.1
2026 Sinker R 297 93.2 23.5 0.4 14.2ARM -1.0 8.0 -0.4 14.2ARM -0.9
2026 Curveball R 186 83.0 47.3 -2.2 2.4GLV -5.1 -7.8 -2.4 2.4GLV -6.6
2026 Cutter R 195 92.1 20.0 3.7 1.1ARM -2.5 12.0 3.9 1.1ARM -3.3
2026 4-Seam Fastball R 672 94.2 15.4 -0.3 7.2ARM -0.4 15.4 -0.2 7.2ARM -0.6
2026 Slider R 859 85.4 40.1 3.7 1.9GLV -1.8 -2.8 4.2 1.9GLV -1.7
2025 Cutter R 297 92.1 21.5 2.2 0.2ARM -1.7 10.5 2.1 0.2ARM -2.3
2025 4-Seam Fastball R 641 94.5 15.5 -0.5 5.2ARM -2.6 15.2 -0.6 5.2ARM -2.4
2025 Slider R 702 85.4 40.6 4.6 3.1GLV -1.1 -3.2 5.1 3.1GLV -1.1
2025 Changeup R 23 90.2 32.6 2.5 12.8ARM -2.2 1.2 2.9 12.8ARM -1.7
2025 Curveball R 299 83.5 49.4 0.0 4.5GLV -2.8 -10.1 -0.1 4.5GLV -4.5
2025 Sinker R 2 93.9 23.7 0.9 9.1ARM -6.1 7.5 -0.1 9.1ARM -6.0
! Note: Seasons are in reverse order.

Run Values by Pitch Type

Season Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2026 Slider 0.8 7 859 36.1 249 .208 .354 .278 40.5 30.5 24.0 .235 .395 .304 41.4
2026 4-Seam Fastball -0.4 -2 672 28.2 177 .262 .483 .367 15.6 9.6 10.6 .267 .522 .385 48.1
2026 Sinker 0.5 2 297 12.5 68 .262 .393 .329 13.6 0.0 0.0 .350 .503 .400 62.9
2026 Cutter -1.0 -2 195 8.2 52 .341 .591 .462 14.9 0.0 0.0 .292 .552 .409 34.1
2026 Curveball -0.7 -1 186 7.8 56 .255 .345 .270 33.3 30.4 25.0 .269 .409 .297 42.1
2026 Changeup 0.6 1 173 7.3 39 .143 .171 .201 26.3 12.8 11.9 .211 .300 .264 35.5
2025 Slider 1.3 9 702 35.7 198 .183 .267 .232 42.8 34.8 26.7 .191 .330 .258 43.9
2025 4-Seam Fastball -2.1 -14 641 32.6 137 .327 .645 .462 16.7 16.8 15.5 .302 .604 .439 47.7
2025 Curveball 0.5 1 299 15.2 79 .179 .239 .253 33.1 35.4 19.0 .192 .266 .277 27.5
2025 Cutter 1.0 3 297 15.1 74 .258 .409 .343 16.3 4.1 8.8 .307 .451 .366 38.1
2025 Changeup -5.8 -1 23 1.2 3 .667 1.000 .717 16.7 0.0 0.0 .414 .918 .554 66.7
2025 Sinker -3.3 0 2 0.1 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: To better align with other values, positive numbers (red) are good, and negative numbers (blue) are poor.

Spin Direction

Season Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2026 Changeup 167 89.3 88 15.0 2:00 2:45 -45
2026 Curveball 186 83.0 45 10.2 7:30 6:30 60
2026 Cutter 195 92.1 64 11.3 1:00 12:15 45
2026 4-Seam Fastball 672 94.2 85 16.6 1:00 1:00 0
2026 Sinker 295 93.2 76 16.4 1:15 2:15 -60
2026 Slider 859 85.4 24 5.2 8:00 7:00 60
2025 Changeup 20 90.1 75 14.1 2:00 3:00 -60
2025 Curveball 299 83.5 53 13.2 7:15 6:45 30
2025 Cutter 297 92.1 55 9.8 1:00 12:00 60
2025 4-Seam Fastball 641 94.5 81 15.5 1:00 12:45 15
2025 Slider 702 85.4 29 6.2 7:45 7:15 30
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Pitcher Arm Angle

! Note: Data is available from 2020 through the present.
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Statcast Pitching Run Value

Runs
Season Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2024 280 1,024 1 6 -3 -2 2
2025 491 1,964 7 12 -10 -10 -2
2026 641 2,382 18 13 -17 -11 3
Player 1,412 5,370 26 31 -29 26 4
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2024 1,024 49.6 73.2 82.0 35.1 38.1 41.5 64.9 54.0 32.4 7.4 86.8
2025 1,964 48.4 69.0 82.6 28.9 42.7 42.4 58.9 48.3 29.7 6.9 76.5
2026 2,382 45.1 69.1 86.5 31.8 48.1 40.6 59.0 48.7 27.3 6.6 81.5
Player 5,370 47.2 69.9 84.1 31.4 44.3 41.4 60.2 49.6 29.2 6.9 80.8
MLB 48.7 67.0 82.7 28.6 57.9 42.6 61.2 47.3 25.0 7.3 76.2
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Run Value Pitching
Season Pitching Fastball Breaking Off
Speed
xERA Fastball
MPH
Fastball
Spin
Curve
Spin
Avg
EV
Chase% Whiff% K% BB% Barrel% Hard-
Hit%
GB% Extension
2024 52 41 70 55 70 59 66 88 53 97 92 65 90 71 52 58 12
2025 34 8 95 40 24 52 61 88 29 55 80 69 11 20 37 68 13
2026 55 25 83 68 12 41 56 81 1 63 66 17 34 24 3 56 12
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Expected Home Runs

Adjusted

Season Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2024 22.17 7 6.0 1 4 6 2 28.6
2025 23.63 16 14.6 1 9 10 7 43.8
2026 24.37 23 23.6 -1 14 17 10 43.5
Player 23.78 46 44.3 2 27 33 19 41.3
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's batted balls allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Expected Home Runs by Park

Adjusted

Season HR
2024 7 6 5 5 5 7 8 5 3 4 6 6 7 6 7 4 5 4 7 8 7 6 10 8 5 5 4 6 7 8 7
2025 16 17 14 11 12 13 11 17 12 11 15 16 15 21 15 13 19 14 13 18 14 15 19 18 12 11 12 15 17 14 14
2026 23 22 16 28 25 25 24 20 26 24 22 23 17 29 25 29 23 19 25 28 21 30 28 27 17 18 20 28 28 21 21
Player 46 45 35 44 42 45 43 42 41 39 43 45 39 56 47 46 47 37 45 54 42 51 57 53 34 34 36 49 52 43 42
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's batted balls allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Year to Year Changes

2026 +/-   2025 +/-   2024
Results
BA .239 +.004 ↑ .235 -.017 ↓ .252
xBA .262 +.023 ↑ .239 +.002 ↑ .237
OBP .314 -.014 ↓ .328 +.034 ↑ .294
xOBP .336 +.004 ↑ .332 +.055 ↑ .277
SLG .398 +.011 ↑ .387 +.017 ↑ .370
xSLG .447 +.033 ↑ .414 +.017 ↑ .397
ISO .160 +.007 ↑ .153 +.035 ↑ .118
xISO .186 +.012 ↑ .174 +.015 ↑ .159
BABIP .260 -.029 ↓ .289 -.025 ↓ .314
wOBA .314 -.002 ↓ .316 +.029 ↑ .287
xwOBA .342 +.013 ↑ .329 +.034 ↑ .295
wOBAcon .338 -.030 ↓ .368 +.009 ↑ .359
xwOBAcon .378 -.011 ↓ .389 +.019 ↑ .370
BACON .295 -.031 ↓ .326 -.012 ↓ .338
xBACON .328 -.007 ↓ .335 +.014 ↑ .321
Statcast Hit Metrics
Hard Hit % 45.2 +3.3 ↑ 41.9 +3.4 ↑ 38.5
Avg Exit Velocity 91.5 +1.4 ↑ 90.1 +1.4 ↑ 88.7
Launch Angle Sweet-Spot % 34.2 -2.2 ↓ 36.4 +0.5 ↑ 35.9
Barrel % 8.9 -1.2 ↓ 10.1 +3.4 ↑ 6.7
Avg Launch Angle 12.4 +3.1 ↑ 9.3 -4.6 ↓ 13.9
Statcast Bat Tracking
Bat Speed 73.0 +0.9 ↑ 72.1 +0.5 ↑ 71.6
Attack Angle 12° 0° ↑ 12° +1° ↑ 11°
Ideal Attack Angle % 51.8 +2.8 ↑ 49.0 -2.0 ↓ 51.0
Attack Direction -5° 0° ↓ -5° 0° ↓ -5°
Swing Path - Tilt 34° 0° ↑ 34° +1° ↑ 33°
Swing Length 7.5 0.0 7.5 0.0 7.5
Statcast Pitch Metrics
Fastball Velocity 93.6 -0.1 ↓ 93.7 -0.5 ↓ 94.2
Breaking Velocity 85.0 +0.2 ↑ 84.8 -0.7 ↓ 85.5
Offspeed Velocity 89.3 -0.9 ↓ 90.2 -1.1 ↓ 91.3
Batted Ball Results
Barrels 41 +10 ↑ 31 +18 ↑ 13
Popup % 5.2 +1.6 ↑ 3.6 -2.6 ↓ 6.2
Flyball % 26.4 -1.2 ↓ 27.6 +0.4 ↑ 27.2
Line Drive % 24.7 +1.6 ↑ 23.1 +0.5 ↑ 22.6
Groundball % 43.7 -2.1 ↓ 45.8 +1.7 ↑ 44.1
Pull % 43.1 +5.1 ↑ 38.0 +3.1 ↑ 34.9
Straight Away % 33.3 -6.0 ↓ 39.3 +3.9 ↑ 35.4
Opposite Field % 23.6 +0.9 ↑ 22.7 -7.0 ↓ 29.7
Weak Contact % 2.6 -1.3 ↓ 3.9 +1.3 ↑ 2.6
Pull Airball % 21.0 +7.7 ↑ 13.3 +3.0 ↑ 10.3
Topped Contact % 32.3 -0.5 ↓ 32.8 +1.0 ↑ 31.8
Under Contact % 24.2 +1.1 ↑ 23.1 -3.6 ↓ 26.7
Flare/Burner Contact % 25.3 -0.3 ↓ 25.6 +1.5 ↑ 24.1
Solid Contact % 6.5 +2.0 ↑ 4.5 -3.2 ↓ 7.7
HR/FB % 18.0 -0.8 ↓ 18.8 +5.6 ↑ 13.2
Popups 24 +13 ↑ 11 -1 ↓ 12
Flyballs 122 +37 ↑ 85 +32 ↑ 53
Line Drives 114 +43 ↑ 71 +27 ↑ 44
Groundballs 202 +61 ↑ 141 +55 ↑ 86
Plate Discipline
In Zone % 45.1 -3.3 ↓ 48.4 -1.2 ↓ 49.6
Out of Zone % 54.9 +3.3 ↑ 51.6 +1.2 ↑ 50.4
Edge % 40.6 -1.8 ↓ 42.4 +0.9 ↑ 41.5
Zone Swing % 69.1 +0.1 ↑ 69.0 -4.2 ↓ 73.2
Out of Zone Swing % 31.8 +2.9 ↑ 28.9 -6.2 ↓ 35.1
In Zone Contact % 86.5 +3.9 ↑ 82.6 +0.6 ↑ 82.0
Out of Zone Contact % 48.1 +5.4 ↑ 42.7 +4.6 ↑ 38.1
Whiff % 27.3 -2.4 ↓ 29.7 -2.7 ↓ 32.4
First Strike % 59.0 +0.1 ↑ 58.9 -6.0 ↓ 64.9
First Pitch Swing % 34.9 +2.6 ↑ 32.3 -6.0 ↓ 38.3
Swing % 48.7 +0.4 ↑ 48.3 -5.7 ↓ 54.0
Meatball Swing % 81.5 +5.0 ↑ 76.5 -10.3 ↓ 86.8
Meatball % 6.6 -0.3 ↓ 6.9 -0.5 ↓ 7.4
Zone Swing & Miss % 13.5 -3.9 ↓ 17.4 -0.6 ↓ 18.0
Out of Zone Swing & Miss % 51.9 -5.4 ↓ 57.3 -4.6 ↓ 61.9
In Zone 1,075 +124 ↑ 951 +443 ↑ 508
Out of Zone 1,307 +294 ↑ 1,013 +497 ↑ 516
Edge 966 +134 ↑ 832 +407 ↑ 425
In Zone Swings 743 +87 ↑ 656 +284 ↑ 372
Out of Zone Swings 416 +123 ↑ 293 +112 ↑ 181
In Zone Swing & Misses 100 -14 ↓ 114 +47 ↑ 67
Out of Zone Swing & Misses 216 +48 ↑ 168 +56 ↑ 112
Basic
Pitches 2,382 +418 ↑ 1,964 +940 ↑ 1,024
PA 642 +150 ↑ 492 +210 ↑ 282
AB 570 +144 ↑ 426 +164 ↑ 262
Hits 136 +36 ↑ 100 +34 ↑ 66
Singles 91 +23 ↑ 68 +19 ↑ 49
Doubles 21 +6 ↑ 15 +5 ↑ 10
Triples 2 +1 ↑ 1 +1 ↑ 0
Home Runs 22 +6 ↑ 16 +9 ↑ 7
Walks 62 +8 ↑ 54 +39 ↑ 15
Strikeouts 115 -8 ↓ 123 +53 ↑ 70
K% 17.9 -7.1 ↓ 25.0 +0.2 ↑ 24.8
BB% 9.7 -1.3 ↓ 11.0 +5.7 ↑ 5.3
HBP 3 -4 ↓ 7 +5 ↑ 2
Batted Balls 462 +154 ↑ 308 +113 ↑ 195
Fastball Percent 48.9 +1.0 ↑ 47.9 +2.4 ↑ 45.5
Offspeed Percent 7.3 +6.1 ↑ 1.2 0.0 1.2
Breaking Percent 43.9 -7.1 ↓ 51.0 -2.3 ↓ 53.3
Number of Fastballs 1,164 +224 ↑ 940 +474 ↑ 466
Number of Offspeed 173 +150 ↑ 23 +11 ↑ 12
Number of Breaking 1,045 +44 ↑ 1,001 +455 ↑ 546
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Statcast Fielder Positioning

vs RHHvs LHH
SeasonAlignment TypePAwOBAPATotal%PATotal%
2024 Shades 280 .287 153 30 19.6 127 68 53.5
2025 Shades 491 .316 242 0 0.0 249 165 66.3
2026 Shades 641 .313 265 3 1.1 376 115 30.6
! Note: Shifts are through the 2022 season, Shaded starting from the 2023 season, Shift: three or more infielders are on the same side of second base, Shade: positioned outside of their typical responsible slices of the field.
Learn more about how positioning is defined here

Pitch Tempo

Bases EmptyRunners On Base
SeasonTeamPitchesTempoFast %Slow %PitchesTempoFast %Slow %
2024 257 16.1 33.1% 0.4% 143 18.1 3.5% 0.7%
2025 525 15.8 32.8% 0.2% 289 17.6 4.2% 0.3%
2026 662 16.6 19.2% 1.1% 357 17.8 2.5% 5.0%

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Pitch Distribution