P | Atlanta Braves
Bats/Throws: L/R | 6' 0" 226 lbs | Age: 30
Draft: 2014 | Rd. 1, No. 22, Los Angeles Dodgers | Conway (SC) HS
W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2024 2 1 3.56 26 7 0 68.1 70 1.19
2025 4 9 3.99 22 21 0 115 123 1.34
2026 2 1 3.62 6 6 0 32.1 25 1.21
3 Seasons 8 11 3.80 54 34 0 215.2 218 1.27
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2024 26 2-1 3.56 68.1 70 1.19
2025 22 4-9 3.99 115 123 1.34
2026 6 2-1 3.62 32.1 25 1.21
3 Seasons 54 8-11 3.80 215.2 218 1.27
MLB Percentile Rankings
Movement Profile (Induced Break)
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Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls
Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity
Max EV Launch
Angle
LA Sweet-
Spot %
xBA xSLG wOBA xwOBA xwOBAcon HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2024 28 1024 195 13 6.7 4.6 88.7 111.7 13.9 35.9 .237 .397 .287 .295 .370 38.5 24.8 5.3 3.56 3.52
2025 29 1964 308 31 10.1 6.3 90.1 115.4 9.3 36.4 .240 .414 .316 .329 .390 41.9 25.0 11.0 3.99 4.55
2026 30 489 96 7 7.3 5.2 89.9 108.3 13.6 30.2 .238 .412 .290 .322 .350 42.7 18.5 10.4 3.62 4.12
Player 3477 599 51 8.5 5.6 89.6 115.4 11.5 35.2 .239 .408 .303 .318 .377 40.9 24.0 9.1
MLB 7.2 4.9 88.6 122.9 12.4 33.3 .243 .408 .316 .316 .369 37.0 22.2 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Holmes relies on 6 pitches.
Slider
(38.9%) ,
Four Seamer
(37.4%) ,
Curveball
(10.4%) ,
Sinker
(6.3%) ,
Cutter
(3.7%) ,
Changeup
(3.3%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

AIR: Fly Balls + Line Drives + Popups All Batted Balls Batted Ball Breakdown
Season GB % AIR % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Pull GB % Straight GB % Oppo GB % Pull AIR % Straight AIR % Oppo AIR %
2024 44.1 55.9 27.2 22.6 6.2 34.9 35.4 29.7 24.6 13.8 5.6 10.3 21.5 24.1
2025 45.8 54.2 27.6 23.1 3.6 38.0 39.3 22.7 24.7 15.3 5.8 13.3 24.0 16.9
2026 41.7 58.3 28.1 20.8 9.4 34.4 43.8 21.9 16.7 22.9 2.1 17.7 20.8 19.8
Player 44.6 55.4 27.5 22.5 5.3 36.4 38.7 24.9 23.4 16.0 5.2 13.0 22.7 19.7
MLB 44.2 55.8 24.1 24.6 7.1 37.4 37.3 25.1 20.7 17.6 5.9 16.7 19.7 19.3
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Quality of Contact

Season Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2024 2.6 31.8 26.7 24.1 7.7 6.7 4.6
2025 3.9 32.8 23.1 25.6 4.5 10.1 6.3
2026 2.1 34.4 29.2 21.9 5.2 7.3 5.2
Player 3.2 32.7 25.2 24.5 5.7 8.5 5.6
MLB 4.0 32.4 24.9 24.4 5.9 7.2 4.9
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement


How this works: This section shows two different ways to evaluate pitch movement. On the left, “Total Movement” shows the real-world movement of a pitch, including the forces of gravity, which affects every pitch thrown. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren't 'better' just because they have more time to move, a pitch's movement is compared to other pitches of the same pitch type, within +/- 2 MPH and +/- 0.5 feet of extension/release. On the right, Induced Movement (or IVB) is reported without gravity, and attempts to isolate movement created by the pitcher's ability to spin and manipulate the ball.
Total Movement (in inches, w/ gravity)Induced Movement (in inches, w/o gravity)
YearPitchTeamHand#MPHVertical
Drop
vs.
Comparable
Horizontal
Break
vs.
Comparable
Vertical
Break
vs. AvgHorizontal
Break
vs. Avg
2026 Changeup ATL R 16 89.5 30.4 -0.7 13.4ARM -1.9 3.7 0.3 13.4ARM -1.3
2026 Slider ATL R 190 85.5 42.0 5.4 2.0GLV -2.0 -4.8 6.3 2.0GLV -2.2
2026 Sinker ATL R 31 93.4 24.2 1.2 14.8ARM -0.9 7.3 0.5 14.8ARM -0.7
2026 Cutter ATL R 18 91.6 20.6 3.4 0.5ARM -2.0 11.7 3.4 0.5ARM -2.8
2026 Curveball ATL R 51 83.8 47.6 -1.5 2.9GLV -3.8 -8.8 -1.5 2.9GLV -6.2
2026 4-Seam Fastball ATL R 183 94.6 14.8 -0.2 6.7ARM -1.2 15.7 -0.5 6.7ARM -1.0
2025 Cutter ATL R 297 92.1 21.5 2.1 0.2ARM -1.7 10.5 2.1 0.2ARM -2.4
2025 Sinker ATL R 2 93.9 23.7 0.8 9.1ARM -6.1 7.5 -0.1 9.1ARM -6.0
2025 Changeup ATL R 23 90.2 32.6 2.5 12.8ARM -2.2 1.2 2.9 12.8ARM -1.7
2025 4-Seam Fastball ATL R 641 94.5 15.5 -0.5 5.2ARM -2.6 15.2 -0.6 5.2ARM -2.4
2025 Slider ATL R 702 85.4 40.6 4.5 3.1GLV -1.3 -3.2 5.0 3.1GLV -1.2
2025 Curveball ATL R 299 83.5 49.4 0.0 4.5GLV -2.8 -10.1 -0.1 4.5GLV -4.5
! Note: Years are in reverse order.

Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2026 Slider 0.5 1 190 38.9 46 .175 .325 .276 51.6 39.1 25.7 .191 .356 .293 36.4
2026 4-Seam Fastball 2.2 4 183 37.4 53 .174 .370 .277 16.3 7.5 13.3 .266 .517 .374 51.2
2026 Curveball -2.8 -1 51 10.4 18 .389 .444 .369 19.2 16.7 18.8 .267 .329 .260 40.0
2026 Sinker -2.7 -1 31 6.3 6 .400 .600 .475 12.5 0.0 0.0 .341 .386 .377 40.0
2026 Cutter 4.6 1 18 3.7 6 .167 .167 .150 11.1 0.0 -- .150 .182 .145 33.3
2026 Changeup 5.4 1 16 3.3 5 .000 .000 .000 0.0 0.0 0.0 .250 .488 .317 20.0
2025 Slider 1.3 9 702 35.7 198 .183 .267 .232 42.8 34.8 26.7 .192 .330 .258 43.9
2025 4-Seam Fastball -2.1 -14 641 32.6 137 .327 .645 .462 16.7 16.8 15.5 .302 .605 .439 47.7
2025 Curveball 0.5 1 299 15.2 79 .179 .239 .253 33.1 35.4 19.0 .192 .267 .278 27.5
2025 Cutter 1.0 3 297 15.1 74 .258 .409 .343 16.3 4.1 8.8 .307 .451 .366 38.1
2025 Changeup -5.8 -1 23 1.2 3 .667 1.000 .717 16.7 0.0 0.0 .414 .918 .554 66.7
2025 Sinker -3.3 0 2 0.1 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: To better align with other values, positive numbers (red) are good, and negative numbers (blue) are poor.

Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2026 Changeup 16 89.5 93 14.3 2:00 2:45 -45
2026 Curveball 51 83.8 43 11.4 7:30 6:30 60
2026 Cutter 18 91.6 60 11.0 1:00 12:00 60
2026 4-Seam Fastball 183 94.6 81 16.7 1:00 12:45 15
2026 Sinker 30 93.5 72 16.6 1:15 2:15 -60
2026 Slider 190 85.5 29 7.0 7:30 6:45 45
2025 Changeup 20 90.1 75 14.1 2:00 3:00 -60
2025 Curveball 299 83.5 53 13.2 7:15 6:45 30
2025 Cutter 297 92.1 55 9.8 1:00 12:00 60
2025 4-Seam Fastball 641 94.5 81 15.5 1:00 12:45 15
2025 Slider 702 85.4 29 6.2 7:45 7:15 30
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Pitcher Arm Angle

! Note: Data is available from 2020 through the present.
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Statcast Pitching Run Value

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2024 280 1,024 1 6 -3 -2 2
2025 491 1,964 7 12 -10 -10 -2
2026 134 489 3 7 -3 -2 4
Player 905 3,477 11 25 -16 11 5
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2024 1,024 49.6 73.2 82.0 35.1 38.1 41.5 64.9 54.0 32.4 7.4 86.8
2025 1,964 48.5 69.0 82.5 28.8 42.6 42.4 58.9 48.3 29.7 6.9 76.5
2026 489 44.2 66.2 86.7 31.9 41.4 37.6 57.0 47.0 30.4 6.3 77.4
Player 3,477 48.2 69.9 82.9 31.1 41.0 41.4 60.5 49.8 30.7 7.0 79.8
MLB 48.8 67.0 82.6 28.5 58.0 42.7 61.1 47.3 25.0 7.4 76.2
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Run Value Pitching
Year Pitching Fastball Breaking Off
Speed
xERA Fastball
MPH
Fastball
Spin
Curve
Spin
Avg
EV
Chase% Whiff% K% BB% Barrel% Hard-
Hit%
GB% Extension
2024 52 41 70 55 70 59 66 88 53 97 92 65 90 70 52 58 12
2025 34 8 95 40 24 52 61 88 29 55 80 69 11 20 37 68 13
2026 87 91 37 73 51 54 64 82 38 67 78 28 38 53 34 42 13
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Expected Home Runs

Adjusted

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2024 22.17 7 6.0 1 4 6 2 28.6
2025 23.63 16 14.6 1 9 10 7 43.8
2026 25.27 5 3.8 1 3 3 1 20.0
Player 23.56 28 24.5 4 16 19 10 35.7
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's batted balls allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Expected Home Runs by Park

Adjusted

Year HR
2024 7 6 5 5 5 7 8 5 3 4 6 6 7 6 7 4 5 4 7 8 7 6 10 8 5 5 4 6 7 8 7
2025 16 17 14 11 12 13 11 17 12 11 15 16 15 21 15 13 19 14 13 18 14 15 19 18 12 11 12 15 17 14 14
2026 5 6 2 4 4 4 4 3 4 4 4 4 1 3 4 4 4 3 4 5 2 5 6 6 3 3 4 4 6 3 2
Player 28 29 21 20 21 24 23 25 19 19 25 26 23 30 26 21 28 21 24 31 23 26 35 32 20 19 20 25 30 25 23
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's batted balls allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Year to Year Changes

2026 +/-   2025 +/-   2024
Results
BA .208 -.027 .235 -.017 .252
xBA .238 -.002 .240 +.003 .237
OBP .289 -.039 .328 +.034 .294
xOBP .318 -.016 .334 +.052 .282
SLG .350 -.037 .387 +.017 .370
xSLG .412 -.002 .414 +.017 .397
ISO .142 -.011 .153 +.035 .118
xISO .174 .000 .174 +.015 .159
BABIP .220 -.069 .289 -.025 .314
wOBA .290 -.026 .316 +.029 .287
xwOBA .322 -.007 .329 +.034 .295
wOBAcon .304 -.064 .368 +.009 .359
xwOBAcon .350 -.040 .390 +.020 .370
BACON .260 -.066 .326 -.012 .338
xBACON .301 -.034 .335 +.014 .321
Statcast Hit Metrics
Hard Hit % 42.7 +0.8 41.9 +3.4 38.5
Avg Exit Velocity 89.9 -0.2 90.1 +1.4 88.7
Launch Angle Sweet-Spot % 30.2 -6.2 36.4 +0.5 35.9
Barrel % 7.3 -2.8 10.1 +3.4 6.7
Avg Launch Angle 13.6 +4.3 9.3 -4.6 13.9
Statcast Bat Tracking
Bat Speed 72.8 +0.7 72.1 +0.4 71.7
Attack Angle 13° +1° 12° +1° 11°
Ideal Attack Angle % 55.3 +6.2 49.1 -2.7 51.8
Attack Direction -7° -2° -5° -4°
Swing Path - Tilt 33° 34° +1° 33°
Swing Length 7.5 0.0 7.5 0.0 7.5
Statcast Pitch Metrics
Fastball Velocity 94.3 +0.6 93.7 -0.5 94.2
Breaking Velocity 85.1 +0.3 84.8 -0.7 85.5
Offspeed Velocity 89.5 -0.7 90.2 -1.1 91.3
Batted Ball Results
Barrels 7 -24 31 +18 13
Popup % 9.4 +5.8 3.6 -2.6 6.2
Flyball % 28.1 +0.5 27.6 +0.4 27.2
Line Drive % 20.8 -2.3 23.1 +0.5 22.6
Groundball % 41.7 -4.1 45.8 +1.7 44.1
Pull % 34.4 -3.6 38.0 +3.1 34.9
Straight Away % 43.8 +4.5 39.3 +3.9 35.4
Opposite Field % 21.9 -0.8 22.7 -7.0 29.7
Weak Contact % 2.1 -1.8 3.9 +1.3 2.6
Pull Airball % 17.7 +4.4 13.3 +3.0 10.3
Topped Contact % 34.4 +1.6 32.8 +1.0 31.8
Under Contact % 29.2 +6.1 23.1 -3.6 26.7
Flare/Burner Contact % 21.9 -3.7 25.6 +1.5 24.1
Solid Contact % 5.2 +0.7 4.5 -3.2 7.7
HR/FB % 18.5 -0.3 18.8 +5.6 13.2
Popups 9 -2 11 -1 12
Flyballs 27 -58 85 +32 53
Line Drives 20 -51 71 +27 44
Groundballs 40 -101 141 +55 86
Plate Discipline
In Zone % 44.2 -4.3 48.5 -1.1 49.6
Out of Zone % 55.8 +4.3 51.5 +1.1 50.4
Edge % 37.6 -4.8 42.4 +0.9 41.5
Zone Swing % 66.2 -2.8 69.0 -4.2 73.2
Out of Zone Swing % 31.9 +3.1 28.8 -6.3 35.1
In Zone Contact % 86.7 +4.2 82.5 +0.5 82.0
Out of Zone Contact % 41.4 -1.2 42.6 +4.5 38.1
Whiff % 30.4 +0.7 29.7 -2.7 32.4
First Strike % 57.0 -1.9 58.9 -6.0 64.9
First Pitch Swing % 35.6 +3.3 32.3 -6.0 38.3
Swing % 47.0 -1.3 48.3 -5.7 54.0
Meatball Swing % 77.4 +0.9 76.5 -10.3 86.8
Meatball % 6.3 -0.6 6.9 -0.5 7.4
Zone Swing & Miss % 13.3 -4.2 17.5 -0.5 18.0
Out of Zone Swing & Miss % 58.6 +1.2 57.4 -4.5 61.9
In Zone 216 -737 953 +445 508
Out of Zone 273 -738 1,011 +495 516
Edge 184 -648 832 +407 425
In Zone Swings 143 -515 658 +286 372
Out of Zone Swings 87 -204 291 +110 181
In Zone Swing & Misses 19 -96 115 +48 67
Out of Zone Swing & Misses 51 -116 167 +55 112
Basic
Pitches 489 -1,475 1,964 +940 1,024
PA 135 -357 492 +210 282
AB 120 -306 426 +164 262
Hits 25 -75 100 +34 66
Singles 18 -50 68 +19 49
Doubles 2 -13 15 +5 10
Triples 0 -1 1 +1 0
Home Runs 5 -11 16 +9 7
Walks 14 -40 54 +39 15
Strikeouts 25 -98 123 +53 70
K% 18.5 -6.5 25.0 +0.2 24.8
BB% 10.4 -0.6 11.0 +5.7 5.3
HBP 0 -7 7 +5 2
Batted Balls 96 -212 308 +113 195
Number of Fastballs 232 -708 940 +474 466
Number of Offspeed 16 -7 23 +11 12
Number of Breaking 241 -760 1,001 +455 546
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Statcast Fielder Positioning

vs RHHvs LHH
YearAlignment TypePAwOBAPATotal%PATotal%
2024 Shades 280 .287 153 30 19.6 127 68 53.5
2025 Shades 491 .316 242 0 0.0 249 165 66.3
2026 Shades 134 .287 65 3 4.6 69 20 29.0
! Note: Shifts are through the 2022 season, Shaded starting from the 2023 season, Shift: three or more infielders are on the same side of second base, Shade: positioned outside of their typical responsible slices of the field.
Learn more about how positioning is defined here

Pitch Tempo

Bases EmptyRunners On Base
SeasonTeamPitchesTempoFast %Slow %PitchesTempoFast %Slow %
2024 257 16.1 33.1% 0.4% 143 18.1 3.5% 0.7%
2025 525 15.8 32.8% 0.2% 289 17.6 4.2% 0.3%
2026 141 17.0 12.8% 0.7% 70 18.1 2.9% 4.3%

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Pitch Distribution