P | Cincinnati Reds
Bats/Throws: R/R | 6' 1" 200 lbs | Age: 24
Draft: 2023 | Rd. 1, No. 7, Cincinnati Reds | Wake Forest
W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2024 2 2 1.17 6 6 0 30.2 22 1.27
2026 4 7 5.26 20 17 0 89 73 1.48
2 Seasons 6 9 4.21 26 23 0 119.2 95 1.43
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2024 6 2-2 1.17 30.2 22 1.27
2026 20 4-7 5.26 89 73 1.48
2 Seasons 26 6-9 4.21 119.2 95 1.43
MLB Percentile Rankings
Movement Profile (Induced Break)
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Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls
Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity
Max EV Launch
Angle
LA Sweet-
Spot %
xBA xSLG wOBA xwOBA xwOBAcon HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2024 22 498 92 3 3.3 2.3 90.2 112.1 12.5 34.8 .267 .383 .253 .326 .349 41.3 17.2 10.9 1.17 4.37
2026 24 1414 264 24 9.4 6.4 90.8 112.8 14.7 36.7 .267 .453 .340 .350 .391 39.0 18.6 9.8 5.42 5.27
Player 1912 356 27 7.8 5.4 90.7 112.8 14.1 36.2 .267 .435 .318 .343 .380 39.6 18.3 10.1
MLB 7.6 4.9 88.6 122.9 12.5 33.3 .243 .407 .316 .316 .369 37.1 22.2 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Lowder relies on 6 pitches.
Sinker
(29.9%) ,
Slider
(27.6%) ,
Four Seamer
(21.4%) ,
Changeup
(20.0%) ,
Curveball
(1.0%) ,
Sweeper
(0.1%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

AIR: Fly Balls + Line Drives + Popups All Batted Balls Batted Ball Breakdown
Season GB % AIR % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Pull GB % Straight GB % Oppo GB % Pull AIR % Straight AIR % Oppo AIR %
2024 39.1 60.9 25.0 29.3 6.5 44.6 28.3 27.2 21.7 10.9 6.5 22.8 17.4 20.7
2026 43.6 56.4 28.4 22.7 5.3 40.5 34.8 24.6 24.6 12.9 6.1 15.9 22.0 18.6
Player 42.4 57.6 27.5 24.4 5.6 41.6 33.1 25.3 23.9 12.4 6.2 17.7 20.8 19.1
MLB 44.1 55.9 24.2 24.6 7.1 37.5 37.3 25.1 20.7 17.5 5.8 16.8 19.7 19.2
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Quality of Contact

Season Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2024 2.2 31.5 28.3 28.3 6.5 3.3 2.3
2026 1.9 29.2 26.1 25.0 5.3 9.4 6.4
Player 2.0 29.8 26.7 25.8 5.6 7.8 5.4
MLB 4.0 32.3 25.0 24.4 5.9 7.6 4.9
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement


How this works: This section shows two different ways to evaluate pitch movement. On the left, “Total Movement” shows the real-world movement of a pitch, including the forces of gravity, which affects every pitch thrown. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren't 'better' just because they have more time to move, a pitch's movement is compared to other pitches of the same pitch type, within +/- 2 MPH and +/- 0.5 feet of extension/release. On the right, Induced Movement (or IVB) is reported without gravity, and attempts to isolate movement created by the pitcher's ability to spin and manipulate the ball.
Total Movement (in inches, w/ gravity)Induced Movement (in inches, w/o gravity)
YearPitchTeamHand#MPHVertical
Drop
vs.
Comparable
Horizontal
Break
vs.
Comparable
Vertical
Break
vs. AvgHorizontal
Break
vs. Avg
2026 Curveball CIN R 14 79.9 55.7 1.9 11.7GLV 2.8 -12.3 2.1 11.7GLV 2.6
2026 4-Seam Fastball CIN R 302 93.4 18.1 -2.7 10.7ARM 3.1 13.5 -2.2 10.7ARM 2.9
2026 Sinker CIN R 423 92.7 25.2 1.0 17.3ARM 1.8 6.8 0.8 17.3ARM 2.2
2026 Changeup CIN R 283 86.3 36.8 3.6 17.5ARM 3.1 0.2 3.7 17.5ARM 3.2
2026 Slider CIN R 390 84.9 38.8 1.9 2.5GLV -1.4 -0.9 2.3 2.5GLV -1.2
2026 Sweeper CIN R 2 83.2 39.9 0.4 10.2GLV -3.8 -0.4 1.4 10.2GLV -3.4
2024 4-Seam Fastball CIN R 136 93.5 16.5 -1.2 10.4ARM 3.0 14.8 -1.0 10.4ARM 2.9
2024 Sinker CIN R 129 92.3 27.1 2.5 16.8ARM 1.5 5.0 2.2 16.8ARM 2.0
2024 Changeup CIN R 97 86.2 36.3 4.4 15.8ARM 1.5 0.5 4.4 15.8ARM 1.6
2024 Slider CIN R 136 85.0 38.9 2.5 3.4GLV -1.5 -1.3 3.0 3.4GLV -1.2
! Note: Years are in reverse order.

Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2026 Sinker 0.7 3 423 29.9 122 .275 .402 .366 8.1 10.7 14.6 .320 .522 .413 45.6
2026 Slider -1.9 -7 390 27.6 98 .301 .495 .363 35.7 30.6 25.4 .224 .381 .280 39.7
2026 4-Seam Fastball 0.9 3 302 21.4 88 .216 .311 .302 12.4 17.0 16.5 .251 .435 .353 38.3
2026 Changeup -1.3 -4 283 20.0 64 .262 .443 .335 28.8 17.2 14.5 .265 .448 .323 26.0
2026 Curveball -8.7 -1 14 1.0 1 1.000 4.000 2.000 0.0 0.0 -- .629 2.384 1.233 100.0
2026 Sweeper 5.9 0 2 0.1 1 .000 .000 .000 100.0 100.0 100.0 -- -- .000 --
2024 Slider 0.6 1 136 27.3 40 .243 .297 .295 26.7 17.5 16.3 .290 .396 .324 50.0
2024 4-Seam Fastball -0.4 -1 136 27.3 25 .222 .222 .340 27.8 12.0 6.8 .240 .352 .380 26.7
2024 Sinker 3.8 5 129 25.9 41 .263 .263 .271 6.3 17.1 28.0 .271 .354 .306 41.9
2024 Changeup 1.4 1 97 19.5 22 .095 .095 .155 19.0 22.7 14.7 .242 .441 .312 37.5
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: To better align with other values, positive numbers (red) are good, and negative numbers (blue) are poor.

Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2026 Changeup 283 86.3 91 18.5 2:30 3:15 -45
2026 Curveball 14 79.9 73 19.5 7:30 7:15 15
2026 4-Seam Fastball 302 93.4 90 16.9 1:30 1:30 0
2026 Sinker 423 92.7 91 18.9 1:45 2:30 -45
2026 Slider 390 84.9 23 4.1 8:00 7:30 30
2024 Changeup 95 86.2 87 16.9 2:30 3:00 -30
2024 4-Seam Fastball 136 93.5 90 17.8 1:30 1:15 15
2024 Sinker 129 92.3 85 18.0 1:45 2:30 -45
2024 Slider 136 85.0 28 4.9 8:15 7:45 30
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Pitcher Arm Angle

! Note: Data is available from 2020 through the present.
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Statcast Pitching Run Value

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2024 128 498 9 2 -3 -2 7
2026 374 1,414 2 10 -14 -5 -6
Player 502 1,912 12 12 -17 12 0
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2024 498 50.6 69.8 82.4 23.6 72.4 44.2 62.5 47.0 20.1 7.2 72.2
2026 1,414 49.9 62.3 89.3 26.5 54.3 42.4 58.0 44.3 21.2 8.1 73.7
Player 1,912 50.1 64.3 87.3 25.8 58.5 42.9 59.1 45.0 20.9 7.8 73.3
MLB 48.7 67.0 82.7 28.6 57.9 42.6 61.2 47.3 25.0 7.3 76.2
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Run Value Pitching
Year Pitching Fastball Breaking Off
Speed
xERA Fastball
MPH
Fastball
Spin
Curve
Spin
Avg
EV
Chase% Whiff% K% BB% Barrel% Hard-
Hit%
GB% Extension
2024 33 57 23
2026 18 76 3 9 12 26 42 8 12 17 24 31 21 47 56 23
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Expected Home Runs

Adjusted

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2024 -- 0 0.1 0 1 0 0 --
2026 24.94 10 10.8 -1 8 4 7 70.0
Player 24.94 10 10.9 -1 9 4 7 70.0
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's batted balls allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Expected Home Runs by Park

Adjusted

Year HR
2024 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2026 10 13 11 8 11 10 10 10 11 11 9 13 9 11 10 12 9 11 11 13 8 15 11 15 9 9 10 10 14 10 11
Player 10 13 12 8 11 10 10 10 11 11 9 14 9 11 10 12 9 11 11 13 8 15 11 15 9 9 10 10 14 10 11
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's batted balls allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Statcast Fielder Positioning

vs RHHvs LHH
YearAlignment TypePAwOBAPATotal%PATotal%
2024 Shades 128 .253 68 2 2.9 60 38 63.3
2026 Shades 374 .339 139 11 7.9 235 135 57.4
! Note: Shifts are through the 2022 season, Shaded starting from the 2023 season, Shift: three or more infielders are on the same side of second base, Shade: positioned outside of their typical responsible slices of the field.
Learn more about how positioning is defined here

Pitch Tempo

Bases EmptyRunners On Base
SeasonTeamPitchesTempoFast %Slow %PitchesTempoFast %Slow %
2024 143 13.2 79.7% 0.0% 80 16.6 13.8% 0.0%
2026 413 14.3 61.7% 0.5% 247 17.4 10.9% 2.0%

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Pitch Distribution