P | Atlanta Braves
Bats/Throws: L/R | 6' 0" 226 lbs | Age: 29
Draft: 2014 | Rd. 1, No. 22, Los Angeles Dodgers | Conway (SC) HS
W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2024 2 1 3.56 26 7 0 68.1 70 1.19
2025 4 9 3.99 22 21 0 115 123 1.34
2 Seasons 6 10 3.83 48 28 0 183.1 193 1.28
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2024 26 2-1 3.56 68.1 70 1.19
2025 22 4-9 3.99 115 123 1.34
2 Seasons 48 6-10 3.83 183.1 193 1.28
MLB Percentile Rankings
Movement Profile (Induced Break)
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Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls
Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity
Max EV Launch
Angle
LA Sweet-
Spot %
XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2024 28 1024 195 13 6.7 4.6 88.7 111.7 13.9 35.9 .238 .382 .287 .289 .362 38.5 24.8 5.3 3.56 3.46
2025 29 1964 308 31 10.1 6.3 90.1 115.4 9.3 36.4 .242 .406 .316 .327 .387 41.9 25.0 11.0 3.99 4.52
Player 2988 503 44 8.7 5.7 89.6 115.4 11.1 36.2 .241 .397 .305 .313 .377 40.6 24.9 8.9
MLB 7.2 4.9 88.6 122.9 12.4 33.3 .245 .404 .315 .315 .368 37.0 22.2 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Holmes relies on 6 pitches.
Slider
(35.5%) ,
Four Seamer
(32.5%) ,
Curveball
(15.4%) ,
Cutter
(15.1%) ,
Changeup
(1.2%) ,
Sinker
(0.2%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

AIR: Fly Balls + Line Drives + Popups All Batted Balls Batted Ball Breakdown
Season GB % AIR % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Pull GB % Straight GB % Oppo GB % Pull AIR % Straight AIR % Oppo AIR %
2024 44.1 55.9 27.2 22.6 6.2 34.9 35.4 29.7 24.6 13.8 5.6 10.3 21.5 24.1
2025 45.8 54.2 27.6 23.1 3.6 38.0 39.3 22.7 24.7 15.3 5.8 13.3 24.0 16.9
Player 45.1 54.9 27.4 22.9 4.6 36.8 37.8 25.4 24.7 14.7 5.8 12.1 23.1 19.7
MLB 44.2 55.8 24.0 24.7 7.1 37.4 37.4 25.1 20.6 17.6 5.9 16.7 19.7 19.3
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Quality of Contact

Season Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2024 2.6 31.8 26.7 24.1 7.7 6.7 4.6
2025 3.9 32.8 23.1 25.6 4.5 10.1 6.3
Player 3.4 32.4 24.5 25.0 5.8 8.7 5.7
MLB 4.0 32.4 24.9 24.4 5.9 7.2 4.9
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement


How this works: This section shows two different ways to evaluate pitch movement. On the left, “Total Movement” shows the real-world movement of a pitch, including the forces of gravity, which affects every pitch thrown. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren't 'better' just because they have more time to move, a pitch's movement is compared to other pitches of the same pitch type, within +/- 2 MPH and +/- 0.5 feet of extension/release. On the right, Induced Movement (or IVB) is reported without gravity, and attempts to isolate movement created by the pitcher's ability to spin and manipulate the ball.
Total Movement (in inches, w/ gravity)Induced Movement (in inches, w/o gravity)
YearPitchTeamHand#MPHVertical
Drop
vs.
Comparable
Horizontal
Break
vs.
Comparable
Vertical
Break
vs. AvgHorizontal
Break
vs. Avg
2025 Sinker ATL R 4 93.2 24.1 0.4 8.0ARM -7.3 7.5 -0.1 8.0ARM -7.1
2025 Changeup ATL R 23 90.2 32.6 2.5 12.8ARM -2.2 1.2 2.9 12.8ARM -1.6
2025 4-Seam Fastball ATL R 639 94.5 15.4 -0.4 5.2ARM -2.6 15.2 -0.6 5.2ARM -2.4
2025 Cutter ATL R 297 92.1 21.5 2.1 0.2ARM -1.7 10.5 2.2 0.2ARM -2.4
2025 Slider ATL R 698 85.4 40.5 4.4 3.1GLV -1.6 -3.1 4.8 3.1GLV -1.5
2025 Curveball ATL R 303 83.4 49.4 0.4 4.5GLV -2.7 -10.1 0.2 4.5GLV -4.6
2024 Cutter ATL R 84 92.6 21.3 1.7 0.7ARM -2.1 10.3 2.0 0.7ARM -3.4
2024 Changeup ATL R 12 91.3 21.8 -7.1 9.0ARM -6.0 11.0 -6.1 9.0ARM -5.2
2024 4-Seam Fastball ATL R 382 94.6 15.7 -1.0 6.5ARM -1.2 14.8 -0.9 6.5ARM -1.1
2024 Curveball ATL R 215 83.9 46.2 -1.4 3.5GLV -4.3 -7.6 -2.4 3.5GLV -5.9
2024 Slider ATL R 331 86.5 37.6 2.8 1.6GLV -2.7 -1.2 2.9 1.6GLV -3.2
! Note: Years are in reverse order.

Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2025 Slider 1.3 9 698 35.5 198 .188 .271 .233 42.2 33.8 25.6 .202 .330 .259 42.7
2025 4-Seam Fastball -2.2 -14 639 32.5 136 .330 .651 .466 16.9 16.9 15.5 .304 .596 .438 48.3
2025 Curveball 0.4 1 303 15.4 79 .167 .227 .250 34.8 38.0 21.0 .172 .238 .266 29.7
2025 Cutter 1.0 3 297 15.1 74 .258 .409 .343 16.3 4.1 8.8 .308 .444 .364 38.1
2025 Changeup -5.8 -1 23 1.2 3 .667 1.000 .717 16.7 0.0 0.0 .445 .874 .556 66.7
2025 Sinker 6.4 0 4 0.2 1 .000 .000 .000 0.0 0.0 -- .482 .607 .495 0.0
2024 4-Seam Fastball 1.1 4 382 37.3 108 .238 .366 .289 20.3 18.5 22.0 .250 .376 .299 39.5
2024 Slider 0.0 0 331 32.3 94 .258 .337 .280 41.6 28.7 23.7 .236 .376 .281 39.7
2024 Curveball 1.2 3 215 21.0 61 .214 .304 .241 43.6 37.7 33.3 .190 .312 .239 37.1
2024 Cutter -5.5 -5 84 8.2 16 .467 .867 .575 15.0 0.0 0.0 .359 .739 .479 33.3
2024 Changeup -0.9 0 12 1.2 1 .000 .000 .000 0.0 0.0 0.0 .105 .107 .106 0.0
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: To better align with other values, positive numbers (red) are good, and negative numbers (blue) are poor.

Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2025 Changeup 20 90.1 75 14.1 2:00 3:00 -60
2025 Curveball 303 83.4 52 13.3 7:15 6:45 30
2025 Cutter 297 92.1 55 9.8 1:00 12:00 60
2025 4-Seam Fastball 639 94.5 81 15.5 1:00 12:45 15
2025 Slider 698 85.4 30 6.1 7:45 7:15 30
2024 Changeup 12 91.3 93 14.6 1:15 1:30 -15
2024 Curveball 214 83.9 46 10.5 7:15 6:45 30
2024 Cutter 84 92.6 64 9.6 12:45 12:15 30
2024 4-Seam Fastball 382 94.6 84 15.8 1:00 12:45 15
2024 Slider 331 86.5 21 3.9 8:15 7:15 60
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Pitcher Arm Angle

! Note: Data is available from 2020 through the present.
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Statcast Pitching Run Value

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2024 280 1,024 1 6 -3 -2 2
2025 491 1,964 7 12 -10 -10 -2
Player 771 2,988 8 18 -13 8 0
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2024 1,024 49.6 73.2 82.0 35.1 38.1 41.5 64.9 54.0 32.4 7.4 86.8
2025 1,964 48.5 69.0 82.5 28.8 42.6 42.3 58.9 48.3 29.7 6.9 76.5
Player 2,988 48.9 70.5 82.3 30.9 40.9 42.0 61.1 50.3 30.7 7.1 80.2
MLB 48.9 67.0 82.5 28.4 58.0 42.7 61.1 47.3 25.0 7.3 76.3
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA /
xERA
xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV Hard
Hit%
K% BB% Whiff% Chase
Rate
FB
Velo
FB
Spin
CB
Spin
Extension
2024 72 50 56 57 82 64 70 53 52 65 90 92 97 59 66 87 12
2025 25 49 37 32 16 28 20 29 37 69 11 80 54 52 61 88 13
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Expected Home Runs

Adjusted

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2024 22.17 7 6.0 1 4 6 2 28.6
2025 23.63 16 14.6 1 9 10 7 43.8
Player 23.18 23 20.6 2 13 16 9 39.1
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's batted balls allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Expected Home Runs by Park

Adjusted

Year HR
2024 7 6 5 5 5 7 8 5 3 4 6 6 7 6 7 4 5 4 7 8 7 6 10 8 5 5 4 6 7 8 7
2025 16 17 14 11 12 13 11 17 12 11 15 16 15 21 15 13 19 14 13 18 14 15 19 18 12 11 12 15 17 14 14
Player 23 23 19 16 17 20 19 22 15 15 21 22 22 27 22 17 24 18 20 26 21 21 29 26 17 16 16 21 24 22 21
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's batted balls allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Year to Year Changes

2025 +/-   2024
Results
BA .235 -.017 .252
xBA .242 +.004 .238
OBP .328 +.034 .294
xOBP .336 +.053 .283
SLG .387 +.017 .370
xSLG .406 +.024 .382
ISO .153 +.035 .118
xISO .164 +.020 .144
BABIP .289 -.025 .314
wOBA .316 +.029 .287
xwOBA .327 +.038 .289
wOBACON .368 +.009 .359
xwOBACON .387 +.025 .362
BACON .326 -.012 .338
xBACON .338 +.016 .322
Statcast Hit Metrics
Hard Hit % 41.9 +3.4 38.5
Avg Exit Velocity 90.1 +1.4 88.7
Launch Angle Sweet-Spot % 36.4 +0.5 35.9
Barrel % 10.1 +3.4 6.7
Avg Launch Angle 9.3 -4.6 13.9
Statcast Bat Tracking
Bat Speed 72.1 +0.4 71.7
Attack Angle 12° +1° 11°
Ideal Attack Angle % 49.1 -2.7 51.8
Attack Direction -5° -4°
Swing Path - Tilt 34° +1° 33°
Swing Length 7.5 0.0 7.5
Statcast Pitch Metrics
Fastball Velocity 93.7 -0.5 94.2
Breaking Velocity 84.8 -0.7 85.5
Offspeed Velocity 90.2 -1.1 91.3
Batted Ball Results
Barrels 31 +18 13
Popup % 3.6 -2.6 6.2
Flyball % 27.6 +0.4 27.2
Line Drive % 23.1 +0.5 22.6
Groundball % 45.8 +1.7 44.1
Pull % 38.0 +3.1 34.9
Straight Away % 39.3 +3.9 35.4
Opposite Field % 22.7 -7.0 29.7
Weak Contact % 3.9 +1.3 2.6
Pull Airball % 13.3 +3.0 10.3
Topped Contact % 32.8 +1.0 31.8
Under Contact % 23.1 -3.6 26.7
Flare/Burner Contact % 25.6 +1.5 24.1
Solid Contact % 4.5 -3.2 7.7
HR/FB % 18.8 +5.6 13.2
Popups 11 -1 12
Flyballs 85 +32 53
Line Drives 71 +27 44
Groundballs 141 +55 86
Plate Discipline
In Zone % 48.5 -1.1 49.6
Out of Zone % 51.5 +1.1 50.4
Edge % 42.3 +0.8 41.5
Zone Swing % 69.0 -4.2 73.2
Out of Zone Swing % 28.8 -6.3 35.1
In Zone Contact % 82.5 +0.5 82.0
Out of Zone Contact % 42.6 +4.5 38.1
Whiff % 29.7 -2.7 32.4
First Strike % 58.9 -6.0 64.9
First Pitch Swing % 32.3 -6.0 38.3
Swing % 48.3 -5.7 54.0
Meatball Swing % 76.5 -10.3 86.8
Meatball % 6.9 -0.5 7.4
Zone Swing & Miss % 17.5 -0.5 18.0
Out of Zone Swing & Miss % 57.4 -4.5 61.9
In Zone 954 +446 508
Out of Zone 1,011 +495 516
Edge 831 +406 425
In Zone Swings 658 +286 372
Out of Zone Swings 291 +110 181
In Zone Swing & Misses 115 +48 67
Out of Zone Swing & Misses 167 +55 112
Basic
Pitches 1,964 +940 1,024
PA 492 +210 282
AB 426 +164 262
Hits 100 +34 66
Singles 68 +19 49
Doubles 15 +5 10
Triples 1 +1 0
Home Runs 16 +9 7
Walks 54 +39 15
Strikeouts 123 +53 70
K% 25.0 +0.2 24.8
BB% 11.0 +5.7 5.3
HBP 7 +5 2
Batted Balls 308 +113 195
Number of Fastballs 940 +474 466
Number of Offspeed 23 +11 12
Number of Breaking 1,001 +455 546
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Statcast Fielder Positioning

vs RHHvs LHH
YearAlignment TypePAwOBAPATotal%PATotal%
2024 Shades 280 .287 153 30 19.6 127 68 53.5
2025 Shades 491 .316 242 0 0.0 249 165 66.3
! Note: Shifts are through the 2022 season, Shaded starting from the 2023 season, Shift: three or more infielders are on the same side of second base, Shade: positioned outside of their typical responsible slices of the field.
Learn more about how positioning is defined here

Pitch Tempo

Bases EmptyRunners On Base
SeasonTeamPitchesTempoFast %Slow %PitchesTempoFast %Slow %
2024 257 16.1 33.1% 0.4% 143 18.1 3.5% 0.7%
2025 525 15.8 32.8% 0.2% 289 17.6 4.2% 0.3%

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Pitch Distribution