P | Chicago Cubs
Bats/Throws: R/R | 6' 6" 210 lbs | Age: 26
Draft: 2017 | Rd. 33, No. 983, Philadelphia Phillies | Ward Melville (NY) HS
W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2024 1 3 3.58 15 8 0 55.1 64 1.08
2025 5 8 5.92 25 15 1 106.1 121 1.44
2026 1 1 1.60 14 2 1 33.2 34 0.86
3 Seasons 7 12 4.52 54 25 2 195.1 219 1.24
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2024 15 1-3 3.58 55.1 64 1.08
2025 25 5-8 5.92 106.1 121 1.44
2026 14 1-1 1.60 33.2 34 0.86
3 Seasons 54 7-12 4.52 195.1 219 1.24
MLB Percentile Rankings
Movement Profile (Induced Break)
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Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls
Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity
Max EV Launch
Angle
LA Sweet-
Spot %
xBA xSLG wOBA xwOBA xwOBAcon HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2024 24 849 138 15 10.9 6.8 91.8 113.7 16.2 34.1 .229 .411 .268 .321 .417 51.4 28.8 8.6 3.58 4.22
2025 25 1759 315 36 11.4 7.6 92.4 113.3 12.7 36.8 .254 .450 .345 .329 .413 47.3 25.6 6.8 5.92 4.55
2026 26 512 84 3 3.6 2.3 89.1 113.1 7.2 26.2 .196 .263 .208 .250 .292 35.7 26.4 7.8 1.60 2.42
Player 3120 537 54 10.1 6.6 91.7 113.7 12.7 34.5 .238 .411 .303 .314 .395 46.6 26.6 7.4
MLB 7.6 4.9 88.6 122.9 12.5 33.3 .243 .408 .315 .316 .369 37.0 22.2 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Brown relies on 4 pitches.
Four Seamer
(36.5%) ,
Knuckle Curve
(35.7%) ,
Sinker
(21.3%) ,
Changeup
(6.4%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

AIR: Fly Balls + Line Drives + Popups All Batted Balls Batted Ball Breakdown
Season GB % AIR % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Pull GB % Straight GB % Oppo GB % Pull AIR % Straight AIR % Oppo AIR %
2024 37.7 62.3 27.5 25.4 9.4 34.1 38.4 27.5 18.8 12.3 6.5 15.2 26.1 21.0
2025 42.9 57.1 26.7 24.8 5.7 40.0 36.5 23.5 21.3 15.9 5.7 18.7 20.6 17.8
2026 52.4 47.6 17.9 20.2 9.5 39.3 39.3 21.4 23.8 21.4 7.1 15.5 17.9 14.3
Player 43.0 57.0 25.5 24.2 7.3 38.4 37.4 24.2 21.0 15.8 6.1 17.3 21.6 18.1
MLB 44.2 55.8 24.1 24.6 7.1 37.4 37.3 25.1 20.7 17.6 5.9 16.8 19.7 19.3
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Quality of Contact

Season Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2024 2.2 26.1 27.5 23.9 9.4 10.9 6.8
2025 3.2 29.8 22.9 26.0 6.3 11.4 7.6
2026 2.4 41.7 23.8 21.4 6.0 3.6 2.3
Player 2.8 30.7 24.2 24.8 7.1 10.1 6.6
MLB 4.0 32.4 24.9 24.4 5.9 7.6 4.9
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement


How this works: This section shows two different ways to evaluate pitch movement. On the left, “Total Movement” shows the real-world movement of a pitch, including the forces of gravity, which affects every pitch thrown. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren't 'better' just because they have more time to move, a pitch's movement is compared to other pitches of the same pitch type, within +/- 2 MPH and +/- 0.5 feet of extension/release. On the right, Induced Movement (or IVB) is reported without gravity, and attempts to isolate movement created by the pitcher's ability to spin and manipulate the ball.
Total Movement (in inches, w/ gravity)Induced Movement (in inches, w/o gravity)
YearPitchTeamHand#MPHVertical
Drop
vs.
Comparable
Horizontal
Break
vs.
Comparable
Vertical
Break
vs. AvgHorizontal
Break
vs. Avg
2026 Sinker CHC R 109 96.6 15.9 -3.7 15.0ARM 0.1 13.6 -5.9 15.0ARM -0.4
2026 Changeup CHC R 33 90.4 29.9 0.5 11.0ARM -3.5 3.6 0.4 11.0ARM -3.7
2026 4-Seam Fastball CHC R 187 96.5 12.9 -0.3 7.9ARM 1.3 16.6 0.5 7.9ARM 0.1
2026 Curveball CHC R 183 87.0 39.7 -4.2 3.1GLV -2.0 -3.6 -6.8 3.1GLV -6.3
2025 4-Seam Fastball CHC R 978 95.8 12.9 0.1 7.4ARM 1.2 17.0 1.2 7.4ARM -0.2
2025 Curveball CHC R 701 87.2 38.3 -5.3 2.6GLV -1.9 -2.4 -7.8 2.6GLV -6.4
2025 Changeup CHC R 80 90.5 26.0 -2.4 11.2ARM -3.5 7.4 -3.3 11.2ARM -3.3
! Note: Years are in reverse order.

Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2026 4-Seam Fastball 0.5 1 187 36.5 39 .235 .324 .292 14.6 17.9 14.9 .223 .323 .285 39.3
2026 Curveball 3.3 6 183 35.7 55 .120 .160 .162 44.9 41.8 29.5 .177 .247 .237 39.3
2026 Sinker 1.9 2 109 21.3 28 .200 .200 .268 12.8 7.1 13.3 .191 .220 .236 26.1
2026 Changeup 4.1 1 33 6.4 7 .000 .000 .000 30.8 28.6 33.3 .219 .247 .205 40.0
2025 4-Seam Fastball -1.2 -11 978 55.6 237 .315 .526 .406 14.8 14.3 16.6 .293 .565 .394 51.1
2025 Curveball -0.5 -3 701 39.9 220 .252 .413 .305 43.1 37.7 27.4 .217 .338 .263 41.6
2025 Changeup -1.4 -1 80 4.5 15 .143 .357 .300 29.0 26.7 26.7 .206 .365 .272 50.0
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: To better align with other values, positive numbers (red) are good, and negative numbers (blue) are poor.

Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2026 Changeup 33 90.4 73 11.9 1:30 2:45 -75
2026 4-Seam Fastball 184 96.5 95 18.1 1:00 1:00 0
2026 Knuckle Curve 183 87.0 34 6.5 8:30 7:00 90
2026 Sinker 107 96.6 94 20.4 1:00 1:45 -45
2025 Changeup 70 90.5 92 14.1 1:15 2:00 -45
2025 4-Seam Fastball 948 95.9 96 18.2 1:00 12:45 15
2025 Knuckle Curve 661 87.2 26 5.2 8:45 7:15 90
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Pitcher Arm Angle

! Note: Data is available from 2020 through the present.
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Statcast Pitching Run Value

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2024 222 849 1 12 -3 -3 7
2025 472 1,759 -15 8 -1 -8 -16
2026 129 512 8 4 -1 -2 10
Player 823 3,120 -6 24 -4 -6 1
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2024 849 52.2 63.0 78.5 28.6 44.8 43.9 64.0 46.5 31.4 7.4 76.2
2025 1,759 52.4 65.3 84.7 28.7 39.2 40.6 65.5 47.9 28.3 8.0 76.6
2026 512 47.3 59.9 86.2 31.9 51.2 40.4 58.9 45.1 26.8 6.8 77.1
Player 3,120 51.5 63.8 83.2 29.2 43.0 41.5 64.0 47.1 28.9 7.7 76.6
MLB 48.7 67.0 82.6 28.5 58.0 42.7 61.1 47.3 25.0 7.3 76.2
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Run Value Pitching
Year Pitching Fastball Breaking Off
Speed
xERA Fastball
MPH
Fastball
Spin
Curve
Spin
Avg
EV
Chase% Whiff% K% BB% Barrel% Hard-
Hit%
GB% Extension
2024 71 70 72 50 38 86 42 17 1 49 88 87 40 5 1 22 77
2025 8 7 23 42 24 75 30 12 1 53 73 73 71 7 6 56 78
2026 95 76 98 75 94 81 28 19 50 62 60 77 64 89 69 86 69
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Expected Home Runs

Adjusted

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2024 23.62 5 6.8 -2 3 6 1 20.0
2025 23.26 18 16.4 2 6 14 7 38.9
2026 20.06 1 1.3 0 0 2 0 0.0
Player 23.20 24 24.5 -1 9 22 8 33.3
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's batted balls allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Expected Home Runs by Park

Adjusted

Year HR
2024 5 7 3 7 6 7 8 7 6 6 7 7 8 5 7 6 7 7 8 8 8 5 9 8 6 7 6 7 8 8 6
2025 18 17 13 17 17 17 14 17 13 12 12 14 20 25 16 14 20 14 14 19 18 15 23 21 15 14 13 18 22 14 15
2026 1 1 0 1 1 2 2 1 2 1 1 2 1 1 2 1 1 1 1 2 1 1 2 1 1 1 2 2 1 1 1
Player 24 25 16 25 24 26 24 25 21 19 20 23 29 31 25 21 28 22 23 29 27 21 34 30 22 22 21 27 31 23 22
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's batted balls allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Year to Year Changes

2026 +/-   2025 +/-   2024
Results
BA .164 -.115 .279 +.071 .208
xBA .196 -.058 .254 +.025 .229
OBP .233 -.100 .333 +.057 .276
xOBP .268 -.043 .311 +.008 .303
SLG .207 -.260 .467 +.137 .330
xSLG .263 -.187 .450 +.039 .411
ISO .043 -.144 .187 +.065 .122
xISO .067 -.130 .197 +.015 .182
BABIP .217 -.131 .348 +.075 .273
wOBA .208 -.137 .345 +.077 .268
xwOBA .250 -.079 .329 +.008 .321
wOBAcon .227 -.211 .438 +.107 .331
xwOBAcon .292 -.121 .413 -.004 .417
BACON .226 -.159 .385 +.086 .299
xBACON .281 -.070 .351 +.009 .342
Statcast Hit Metrics
Hard Hit % 35.7 -11.6 47.3 -4.1 51.4
Avg Exit Velocity 89.1 -3.3 92.4 +0.6 91.8
Launch Angle Sweet-Spot % 26.2 -10.6 36.8 +2.7 34.1
Barrel % 3.6 -7.8 11.4 +0.5 10.9
Avg Launch Angle 7.2 -5.5 12.7 -3.5 16.2
Statcast Bat Tracking
Bat Speed 71.0 -0.9 71.9 +0.6 71.3
Attack Angle -3° 11° +2°
Ideal Attack Angle % 44.2 -9.3 53.5 +3.7 49.8
Attack Direction +5° -3° -3°
Swing Path - Tilt 32° +1° 31° -1° 32°
Swing Length 7.2 -0.2 7.4 +0.1 7.3
Statcast Pitch Metrics
Fastball Velocity 96.5 +0.7 95.8 -0.6 96.4
Breaking Velocity 87.0 -0.2 87.2 +0.7 86.5
Offspeed Velocity 90.4 -0.1 90.5 -0.1 90.6
Batted Ball Results
Barrels 3 -33 36 +21 15
Popup % 9.5 +3.8 5.7 -3.7 9.4
Flyball % 17.9 -8.8 26.7 -0.8 27.5
Line Drive % 20.2 -4.6 24.8 -0.6 25.4
Groundball % 52.4 +9.5 42.9 +5.2 37.7
Pull % 39.3 -0.7 40.0 +5.9 34.1
Straight Away % 39.3 +2.8 36.5 -1.9 38.4
Opposite Field % 21.4 -2.1 23.5 -4.0 27.5
Weak Contact % 2.4 -0.8 3.2 +1.0 2.2
Pull Airball % 15.5 -3.2 18.7 +3.5 15.2
Topped Contact % 41.7 +11.9 29.8 +3.7 26.1
Under Contact % 23.8 +0.9 22.9 -4.6 27.5
Flare/Burner Contact % 21.4 -4.6 26.0 +2.1 23.9
Solid Contact % 6.0 -0.3 6.3 -3.1 9.4
HR/FB % 6.7 -14.7 21.4 +8.2 13.2
Popups 8 -10 18 +5 13
Flyballs 15 -69 84 +46 38
Line Drives 17 -61 78 +43 35
Groundballs 44 -91 135 +83 52
Plate Discipline
In Zone % 47.3 -5.1 52.4 +0.2 52.2
Out of Zone % 52.7 +5.1 47.6 -0.2 47.8
Edge % 40.4 -0.2 40.6 -3.3 43.9
Zone Swing % 59.9 -5.4 65.3 +2.3 63.0
Out of Zone Swing % 31.9 +3.2 28.7 +0.1 28.6
In Zone Contact % 86.2 +1.5 84.7 +6.2 78.5
Out of Zone Contact % 51.2 +12.0 39.2 -5.6 44.8
Whiff % 26.8 -1.5 28.3 -3.1 31.4
First Strike % 58.9 -6.6 65.5 +1.5 64.0
First Pitch Swing % 30.2 -6.2 36.4 +4.9 31.5
Swing % 45.1 -2.8 47.9 +1.4 46.5
Meatball Swing % 77.1 +0.5 76.6 +0.4 76.2
Meatball % 6.8 -1.2 8.0 +0.6 7.4
Zone Swing & Miss % 13.8 -1.5 15.3 -6.2 21.5
Out of Zone Swing & Miss % 48.8 -12.0 60.8 +5.6 55.2
In Zone 242 -680 922 +479 443
Out of Zone 270 -567 837 +431 406
Edge 207 -507 714 +341 373
In Zone Swings 145 -457 602 +323 279
Out of Zone Swings 86 -154 240 +124 116
In Zone Swing & Misses 20 -72 92 +32 60
Out of Zone Swing & Misses 42 -104 146 +82 64
Basic
Pitches 512 -1,247 1,759 +910 849
PA 129 -343 472 +250 222
AB 116 -317 433 +236 197
Hits 19 -102 121 +80 41
Singles 16 -64 80 +53 27
Doubles 2 -17 19 +10 9
Triples 0 -4 4 +4 0
Home Runs 1 -17 18 +13 5
Walks 10 -22 32 +13 19
Strikeouts 34 -87 121 +57 64
K% 26.4 +0.8 25.6 -3.2 28.8
BB% 7.8 +1.0 6.8 -1.8 8.6
HBP 1 -3 4 +3 1
Batted Balls 84 -231 315 +177 138
Number of Fastballs 296 -682 978 +446 532
Number of Offspeed 33 -47 80 +66 14
Number of Breaking 183 -518 701 +398 303
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Statcast Fielder Positioning

vs RHHvs LHH
YearAlignment TypePAwOBAPATotal%PATotal%
2024 Shades 222 .268 104 0 0.0 118 37 31.4
2025 Shades 472 .345 257 2 0.8 215 88 40.9
2026 Shades 129 .208 66 0 0.0 63 38 60.3
! Note: Shifts are through the 2022 season, Shaded starting from the 2023 season, Shift: three or more infielders are on the same side of second base, Shade: positioned outside of their typical responsible slices of the field.
Learn more about how positioning is defined here

Pitch Tempo

Bases EmptyRunners On Base
SeasonTeamPitchesTempoFast %Slow %PitchesTempoFast %Slow %
2024 257 15.1 48.6% 0.4% 130 18.8 1.5% 0.0%
2025 468 14.6 56.8% 0.2% 283 18.2 2.5% 0.4%
2026 124 16.3 25.0% 3.2% 101 19.2 1.0% 7.9%

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Pitch Distribution