Casey Mize
P | Bats/Throws: R/R | 6' 3" 212LBS | Age: 26
Draft: 2018 | Rd: 1, #1, Detroit Tigers | Auburn
W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2020 0 3 6.99 7 7 0 28.1 26 1.48
2021 7 9 3.71 30 30 0 150.1 118 1.14
2022 0 1 5.40 2 2 0 10 4 1.50
3 Seasons 7 13 4.29 39 39 0 188.2 148 1.21
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2020 7 0-3 6.99 28.1 26 1.48
2021 30 7-9 3.71 150.1 118 1.14
2022 2 0-1 5.40 10 4 1.50
3 Seasons 39 7-13 4.29 188.2 148 1.21
MLB Percentile Rankings
Pitch Distribution

Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls
Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity
Max EV Launch
Angle
Sweet
Spot %
XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2020 23 543 89 12 13.5 9.0 88.6 108.9 11.2 38.2 .293 .548 .359 .402 .458 42.7 19.5 9.8 6.99 7.45
2021 24 2357 442 44 10.0 7.2 89.1 112.5 9.3 33.0 .254 .462 .308 .338 .386 40.0 19.3 6.7 3.71 4.92
2022 25 169 39 4 10.3 8.9 92.0 109.7 17.4 25.6 .284 .547 .369 .370 .391 41.0 8.9 4.4 5.40 5.97
Player 3069 570 60 10.5 7.6 89.2 112.5 10.2 33.3 .262 .481 .320 .351 .398 40.5 18.7 7.1
MLB 6.9 4.7 88.4 122.4 12.2 33.1 .245 .406 .316 .315 .369 36.3 22.1 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Mize relies on 5 pitches.
Four Seamer
(49.1%) ,
Slider
(24.9%) ,
Split Finger
(13.6%) ,
Knuckle Curve
(10.7%) ,
Sinker
(1.8%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

Season GB % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2020 39.3 22.5 31.5 6.7 42.7 34.8 22.5 6.7 28.1 19.1 27.0 5.6 13.5 9.0
2021 48.6 27.4 19.2 4.8 38.2 36.4 25.3 4.3 36.7 21.7 22.4 5.0 10.0 7.2
2022 38.5 38.5 15.4 7.7 20.5 41.0 38.5 5.1 25.6 30.8 20.5 7.7 10.3 8.9
Player 46.5 27.4 20.9 5.3 37.7 36.5 25.8 4.7 34.6 21.9 23.0 5.3 10.5 7.6
MLB 44.6 23.5 24.9 7.0 37.0 37.6 25.3 3.9 32.9 24.7 24.4 5.8 6.9 4.7
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement


How this works: Every pitch is affected by the forces of gravity, which means that every pitch drops on its way from the mound to the plate. These numbers are reported with gravity, which makes them larger and different than other pitch movement numbers you may have seen. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren’t ‘better’ just because they have more time to move, the movement of a pitch is compared to ‘average’ movement by comparing it to other MLB pitch types within +/- 2 MPH and from within +/- 0.5 feet of extension and release.
Vertical Movement (inches) Horizontal Movement (inches)
Year Pitch Team Hand # MPH Inches of Drop vs Avg % vs Avg Inches of Break vs Avg % Break vs Avg
2022 4-Seam Fastball DET R 83 93.4 16.3 -1.1 -7 8.8 1.1 15
2022 Slider DET R 42 85.5 36.2 0.6 2 3.3 -1.7 -35
2022 Sinker DET R 3 93.1 22.6 0.3 1 16.5 1.6 11
2022 Curveball DET R 18 81.8 51.1 1.2 2 8.0 -0.9 -10
2022 Split-Finger DET R 23 84.5 38.2 5.6 17 10.6 -1.0 -8
2021 Sinker DET R 535 93.2 22.3 0.7 3 16.4 1.7 12
2021 Slider DET R 663 85.9 34.9 0.0 0 3.8 -1.6 -29
2021 4-Seam Fastball DET R 690 93.9 15.4 -0.4 -3 9.2 1.7 24
2021 Split-Finger DET R 312 85.8 36.8 3.8 11 12.1 1.0 9
2021 Curveball DET R 157 81.3 51.5 0.7 1 9.7 -0.2 -2
2020 Cutter DET R 107 88.4 29.1 -1.8 -6 1.2 -3.5 -155
2020 Curveball DET R 55 80.8 49.0 -1.7 -3 10.0 0.5 5
2020 Split-Finger DET R 97 86.0 38.1 5.0 15 12.5 1.0 9
2020 Sinker DET R 146 93.6 23.2 1.7 8 17.3 2.6 17
2020 4-Seam Fastball DET R 137 93.7 16.4 -1.1 -7 10.8 3.1 41
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2022 4-Seam Fastball -1.8 -1 83 49.1 24 .273 .636 .402 10.5 8.3 8.3 .306 .767 .472 55.0
2022 Slider -1.4 -1 42 24.9 13 .385 .538 .400 5.0 7.7 9.1 .282 .342 .277 33.3
2022 Split-Finger 1.1 0 23 13.6 3 .333 .333 .300 22.2 33.3 12.5 .470 .560 .451 50.0
2022 Curveball -3.2 -1 18 10.7 5 .200 .200 .180 22.2 0.0 0.0 .078 .108 .076 0.0
2022 Sinker -0.1 0 3 1.8 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
2021 4-Seam Fastball 0.4 3 690 29.3 155 .226 .474 .339 25.0 29.7 17.9 .228 .485 .341 48.9
2021 Slider 1.6 10 663 28.1 185 .194 .335 .266 28.1 21.6 19.2 .219 .405 .296 36.4
2021 Sinker -0.4 -2 535 22.7 169 .322 .557 .414 13.3 7.7 17.1 .312 .547 .405 40.9
2021 Split-Finger 1.1 3 312 13.2 70 .203 .304 .226 21.9 17.1 10.8 .263 .417 .300 31.6
2021 Curveball 0.2 0 157 6.7 33 .133 .200 .173 26.9 21.2 15.9 .263 .361 .311 41.7
2020 Sinker -1.6 -2 146 26.9 34 .241 .483 .390 8.8 0.0 0.0 .344 .609 .449 34.5
2020 4-Seam Fastball 1.9 3 138 25.4 26 .143 .333 .294 27.9 26.9 17.1 .183 .319 .305 42.9
2020 Cutter -1.1 -1 107 19.7 33 .241 .448 .370 26.3 21.2 25.9 .330 .694 .460 40.9
2020 Split-Finger -5.3 -5 97 17.9 34 .313 .469 .385 28.0 29.4 17.5 .275 .400 .314 50.0
2020 Curveball -4.2 -2 55 10.1 6 .500 1.500 .775 44.4 33.3 10.0 .387 1.433 .716 100.0
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: To better align with other values, positive numbers (red) are good, and negative numbers (blue) are poor.
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Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2022 4-Seam Fastball 83 93.4 95 17.2 1:15 1:00 15
2022 Splitter 20 84.5 94 11.9 2:30 3:15 -45
2022 Knuckle Curve 18 81.8 78 15.1 7:30 7:15 15
2022 Slider 42 85.5 26 3.8 10:15 9:00 75
2021 4-Seam Fastball 687 93.9 92 18.0 1:15 1:00 15
2021 Splitter 267 85.9 90 12.9 2:15 3:00 -45
2021 Knuckle Curve 155 81.3 82 16.1 7:30 7:15 15
2021 Sinker 525 93.2 93 19.1 1:30 2:15 -45
2021 Slider 661 85.9 29 4.9 10:15 9:15 60
2020 Cutter 106 88.4 32 5.4 12:15 12:30 -15
2020 4-Seam Fastball 136 93.7 92 18.1 1:30 1:15 15
2020 Splitter 83 86.1 91 13.6 2:30 3:15 -45
2020 Knuckle Curve 55 80.8 81 14.3 7:30 7:45 -15
2020 Sinker 144 93.6 95 19.5 1:45 2:15 -30
! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Swing/Take

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2020 133 543 -2 0 -2 -4 -8
2021 612 2,357 12 30 -16 -11 14
2022 45 169 -3 3 -1 -1 -2
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2020 543 46.4 70.6 83.7 26.1 57.9 38.1 55.6 46.8 23.6 6.1 75.8
2021 2,357 50.3 66.5 83.4 24.9 59.2 40.9 62.3 45.8 22.6 9.3 77.6
2022 169 49.7 71.4 95.0 18.8 56.3 39.1 57.8 45.0 11.8 10.1 82.4
Player 3,069 49.6 67.5 84.1 24.8 58.9 40.3 60.9 45.9 22.2 8.8 77.7
MLB 48.6 67.0 82.0 28.5 58.0 42.6 60.9 47.1 24.8 7.3 76.1
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA /
xERA
xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV Hard
Hit%
K% BB% Whiff% Chase
Rate
FB
Velo
FB
Spin
CB
Spin
Extension
2020 3 6 4 5 3 13 4 45 19 26 37 29 34 54 39 23 80
2021 21 29 17 11 41 4 14 41 36 20 73 22 17 51 25 16 93
2022 41 3 95
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Expected Home Runs

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2020 24.1 7 7.8 -1 2 5 4 57.1
2021 23.4 24 27.5 -4 10 20 12 50.0
2022 24.7 1 1.2 0 1 0 1 100.0
Player 23.6 32 36.6 -5 13 25 17 53.1

Expected Home Runs by Park

Year HR
2020 7 8 7 7 7 8 9 9 6 6 6 10 9 7 8 8 9 8 7 9 8 8 10 7 7 7 7 10 9 8 5
2021 24 30 26 22 30 29 32 27 21 21 27 34 25 23 29 30 24 27 28 29 27 28 31 30 23 27 33 32 27 28 26
2022 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 1 1 2 2 1 1 1 2 1 2 2 1 1 1 1 2 1 1
Player 32 39 34 30 38 38 42 37 28 28 34 45 36 31 38 40 35 36 36 39 37 37 43 39 31 35 41 43 38 37 32
! Note: This tells how many of this player's home runs would have been out of other stadiums. This accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects. For these purposes, the 2020 Blue Jays home field was still Rogers Centre, not Sahlen Field.
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Year to Year Changes

Metric 2020 2021 +/-   2022 +/-  
Fastball Velocity 92.2 93.6 1.4 93.4 -0.2
Offspeed Velocity 86.0 85.8 -0.2 84.5 -1.3
Breaking Velocity 80.8 85.0 4.2 84.4 -0.6
Exit Velocity 88.6 89.1 0.5 92.0 2.9
Launch Angle 11.2 9.3 -1.9 17.4 8.1
Barrel % 13.5 10.0 -3.5 10.3 0.3
Hard Hit % 42.7 40.0 -2.7 41.0 1.0
Sweet Spot % 38.2 33.0 -5.2 25.6 -7.4
xBA .293 .254 -0.039 .284 0.030
BA .252 .234 -0.018 .302 0.068
xwOBA .402 .338 -0.064 .370 0.032
wOBA .359 .308 -0.051 .369 0.061
xSLG .548 .462 -0.086 .547 0.085
SLG .478 .418 -0.060 .535 0.117
K% 19.5 19.3 -0.2 8.9 -10.4
BB% 9.8 6.7 -3.1 4.4 -2.3
Swing % 46.8 45.8 -1.0 45.0 -0.8
Whiff% 23.6 22.6 -1.0 11.8 -10.8
In Zone % 46.4 50.3 3.9 49.7 -0.6
Out of Zone % 53.6 49.7 -3.9 50.3 0.6
Out of Zone Swing % 26.1 24.9 -1.2 18.8 -6.1
First Pitch Swing % 27.1 30.2 3.1 33.3 3.1
First Pitch Strike % 55.6 62.3 6.7 57.8 -4.5
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Statcast Fielder Positioning

vs RHHvs LHH
YearAlignment TypePAwOBAPATotal%PATotal%
2020 Shifts 133 .359 61 21 34.4 72 55 76.4
2021 Shifts 612 .308 319 82 25.7 293 220 75.1
2022 Shifts 45 .369 28 3 10.7 17 10 58.8
! Note: Shifts are through the 2022 season, Shaded starting from the 2023 season, Shift: three or more infielders are on the same side of second base, Shade: positioned outside of their typical responsible slices of the field.
Learn more about how positioning is defined here

Pitch Tempo

Bases EmptyRunners On Base
SeasonTeamPitchesTempoFast %Slow %PitchesTempoFast %Slow %
2020 152 15.6 42.1% 0.7% 99 21.9 0.0% 5.1%
2021 704 15.6 42.6% 0.7% 425 22.4 0.2% 3.5%
2022 41 16.2 31.7% 0.0% 38 23.5 0.0% 13.2%
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Pitch Distribution