P | Washington Nationals
Bats/Throws: R/R | 6' 3" 210 lbs | Age: 26
Draft: 2022 | Rd. 18, No. 531, Washington Nationals | South Florida
W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2025 5 10 4.34 48 19 0 130.2 108 1.29
2026 3 0 2.45 19 0 1 40.1 34 0.99
2 Seasons 8 10 3.89 67 19 1 171 142 1.22
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2025 48 5-10 4.34 130.2 108 1.29
2026 19 3-0 2.45 40.1 34 0.99
2 Seasons 67 8-10 3.89 171 142 1.22
MLB Percentile Rankings
Movement Profile (Induced Break)
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Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls
Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity
Max EV Launch
Angle
LA Sweet-
Spot %
xBA xSLG wOBA xwOBA xwOBAcon HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2025 25 2128 392 28 7.1 5.1 88.5 115.3 10.1 34.4 .270 .437 .319 .335 .386 41.8 19.8 7.9 4.34 4.73
2026 26 674 116 6 5.2 3.6 88.5 115.9 4.8 23.3 .239 .378 .252 .297 .342 43.1 20.6 6.1 2.46 3.52
Player 2802 508 34 6.7 4.8 88.5 115.9 8.9 31.9 .262 .423 .303 .326 .376 42.1 20.0 7.5
MLB 7.6 4.9 88.6 122.9 12.5 33.3 .243 .408 .315 .316 .369 37.0 22.2 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Lord relies on 5 pitches.
Four Seamer
(36.6%) ,
Slider
(24.0%) ,
Sinker
(22.0%) ,
Sweeper
(11.7%) ,
Changeup
(5.6%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

AIR: Fly Balls + Line Drives + Popups All Batted Balls Batted Ball Breakdown
Season GB % AIR % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Pull GB % Straight GB % Oppo GB % Pull AIR % Straight AIR % Oppo AIR %
2025 49.0 51.0 19.9 25.5 5.6 33.7 37.5 28.8 19.9 21.2 7.9 13.8 16.3 20.9
2026 56.0 44.0 19.8 18.1 6.0 36.2 38.8 25.0 22.4 24.1 9.5 13.8 14.7 15.5
Player 50.6 49.4 19.9 23.8 5.7 34.3 37.8 28.0 20.5 21.9 8.3 13.8 15.9 19.7
MLB 44.2 55.8 24.1 24.6 7.1 37.4 37.3 25.1 20.7 17.6 5.9 16.8 19.7 19.3
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Quality of Contact

Season Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2025 5.6 33.9 17.3 27.8 8.2 7.1 5.1
2026 6.0 43.1 18.1 22.4 4.3 5.2 3.6
Player 5.7 36.0 17.5 26.6 7.3 6.7 4.8
MLB 4.0 32.3 24.9 24.4 5.9 7.6 4.9
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement


How this works: This section shows two different ways to evaluate pitch movement. On the left, “Total Movement” shows the real-world movement of a pitch, including the forces of gravity, which affects every pitch thrown. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren't 'better' just because they have more time to move, a pitch's movement is compared to other pitches of the same pitch type, within +/- 2 MPH and +/- 0.5 feet of extension/release. On the right, Induced Movement (or IVB) is reported without gravity, and attempts to isolate movement created by the pitcher's ability to spin and manipulate the ball.
Total Movement (in inches, w/ gravity)Induced Movement (in inches, w/o gravity)
YearPitchTeamHand#MPHVertical
Drop
vs.
Comparable
Horizontal
Break
vs.
Comparable
Vertical
Break
vs. AvgHorizontal
Break
vs. Avg
2026 Changeup WSH R 38 85.8 34.5 -0.8 16.5ARM 1.7 2.8 1.2 16.5ARM 1.9
2026 Slider WSH R 162 85.4 39.1 2.4 1.9GLV -0.6 -1.6 3.0 1.9GLV -2.1
2026 4-Seam Fastball WSH R 247 94.7 20.3 -3.9 15.7ARM 5.7 10.4 -5.6 15.7ARM 7.9
2026 Sweeper WSH R 79 83.4 39.2 0.3 10.6GLV -3.7 0.2 0.9 10.6GLV -3.3
2026 Sinker WSH R 148 94.4 27.3 1.3 18.6ARM 1.8 3.5 4.1 18.6ARM 3.3
2025 Sweeper WSH R 3 82.3 43.8 4.0 7.2GLV -7.2 -3.8 4.7 7.2GLV -6.7
2025 Sinker WSH R 384 94.3 26.0 0.5 18.2ARM 1.8 4.8 2.6 18.2ARM 3.1
2025 Changeup WSH R 278 85.9 31.7 -2.3 17.8ARM 2.4 5.6 -1.5 17.8ARM 3.3
2025 4-Seam Fastball WSH R 1032 94.8 20.1 -3.6 15.6ARM 5.4 10.5 -5.3 15.6ARM 8.0
2025 Slider WSH R 430 85.5 36.8 0.0 0.8GLV -3.1 0.6 1.2 0.8GLV -3.5
! Note: Years are in reverse order.

Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2026 4-Seam Fastball 0.4 1 247 36.6 51 .273 .364 .358 27.3 29.4 15.3 .255 .373 .320 60.0
2026 Slider 0.4 1 162 24.0 37 .200 .286 .286 27.5 24.3 17.0 .235 .400 .295 42.3
2026 Sinker 4.6 7 148 22.0 48 .152 .152 .164 12.5 10.4 16.7 .227 .277 .240 39.0
2026 Sweeper -1.5 -1 79 11.7 16 .077 .308 .256 24.2 25.0 13.3 .177 .441 .338 22.2
2026 Changeup -6.4 -2 38 5.6 11 .273 .636 .459 15.8 9.1 7.1 .304 .668 .408 30.0
2025 4-Seam Fastball -0.3 -3 1,032 48.5 239 .273 .463 .370 24.2 25.5 17.9 .266 .432 .350 43.5
2025 Slider -1.8 -8 430 20.2 103 .255 .469 .327 26.7 20.4 14.5 .258 .498 .337 42.9
2025 Sinker 1.5 6 384 18.1 112 .255 .321 .271 9.7 8.9 13.7 .300 .395 .316 43.4
2025 Changeup 0.2 0 278 13.1 90 .212 .353 .277 19.0 17.8 15.5 .254 .430 .314 34.8
2025 Sweeper -30.0 -1 3 0.1 2 -- -- .700 -- 0.0 0.0 -- -- .700 --
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: To better align with other values, positive numbers (red) are good, and negative numbers (blue) are poor.

Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2026 Changeup 38 85.8 99 17.4 2:45 2:45 0
2026 4-Seam Fastball 247 94.7 97 19.0 2:15 2:00 15
2026 Sinker 147 94.4 98 19.7 2:15 2:45 -30
2026 Slider 162 85.4 20 4.2 8:30 7:00 90
2026 Sweeper 79 83.4 35 11.6 8:00 8:45 -45
2025 Changeup 278 85.9 99 19.2 2:45 2:30 15
2025 4-Seam Fastball 1,032 94.8 98 19.0 2:15 2:00 15
2025 Sinker 384 94.3 99 19.5 2:15 2:45 -30
2025 Slider 430 85.5 14 2.7 9:30 7:30 120
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Pitcher Arm Angle

! Note: Data is available from 2020 through the present.
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Statcast Pitching Run Value

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2025 546 2,128 4 14 -17 -6 -6
2026 163 674 2 9 -2 -5 5
Player 709 2,802 6 23 -19 6 -1
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2025 2,128 54.8 70.2 82.0 25.5 67.8 43.4 60.1 50.0 21.3 8.8 82.4
2026 674 49.9 67.9 82.5 34.3 66.4 43.2 59.8 51.0 23.0 8.3 78.6
Player 2,802 53.6 69.6 82.1 27.8 67.3 43.3 60.0 50.2 21.7 8.7 81.6
MLB 48.7 67.0 82.6 28.5 58.0 42.7 61.1 47.3 25.0 7.3 76.2
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Run Value Pitching
Year Pitching Fastball Breaking Off
Speed
xERA Fastball
MPH
Fastball
Spin
Curve
Spin
Avg
EV
Chase% Whiff% K% BB% Barrel% Hard-
Hit%
GB% Extension
2025 23 57 6 62 17 53 54 69 17 18 28 51 70 38 80 3
2026 75 94 36 13 66 51 75 57 84 34 38 84 79 23 94 1
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Expected Home Runs

Adjusted

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2025 24.82 17 20.6 -4 5 16 7 41.2
2026 25.60 4 4.7 -1 0 4 2 50.0
Player 24.97 21 25.4 -4 5 20 9 42.9
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's batted balls allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Expected Home Runs by Park

Adjusted

Year HR
2025 17 22 12 20 21 22 21 21 21 17 20 22 20 25 23 20 23 21 22 23 18 19 24 25 20 17 20 22 21 21 16
2026 4 4 5 4 6 6 6 4 5 5 3 5 3 5 6 5 5 5 4 6 4 4 6 5 4 4 6 5 4 4 4
Player 21 26 17 24 27 28 27 25 26 22 23 27 23 30 29 25 28 26 26 29 22 23 30 30 24 21 26 27 25 25 20
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's batted balls allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Year to Year Changes

2026 +/-   2025
Results
BA .201 -.054 .255
xBA .239 -.031 .270
OBP .268 -.049 .317
xOBP .303 -.028 .331
SLG .295 -.120 .415
xSLG .378 -.059 .437
ISO .094 -.066 .160
xISO .140 -.027 .167
BABIP .232 -.061 .293
wOBA .252 -.067 .319
xwOBA .297 -.038 .335
wOBAcon .279 -.084 .363
xwOBAcon .342 -.044 .386
BACON .259 -.065 .324
xBACON .308 -.036 .344
Statcast Hit Metrics
Hard Hit % 43.1 +1.3 41.8
Avg Exit Velocity 88.5 0.0 88.5
Launch Angle Sweet-Spot % 23.3 -11.1 34.4
Barrel % 5.2 -1.9 7.1
Avg Launch Angle 4.8 -5.3 10.1
Statcast Bat Tracking
Bat Speed 71.7 +0.4 71.3
Attack Angle
Ideal Attack Angle % 39.1 -0.6 39.7
Attack Direction
Swing Path - Tilt 33° 33°
Swing Length 7.0 0.0 7.0
Statcast Pitch Metrics
Fastball Velocity 94.6 0.0 94.6
Breaking Velocity 84.7 -0.8 85.5
Offspeed Velocity 85.8 -0.1 85.9
Batted Ball Results
Barrels 6 -22 28
Popup % 6.0 +0.4 5.6
Flyball % 19.8 -0.1 19.9
Line Drive % 18.1 -7.4 25.5
Groundball % 56.0 +7.0 49.0
Pull % 36.2 +2.5 33.7
Straight Away % 38.8 +1.3 37.5
Opposite Field % 25.0 -3.8 28.8
Weak Contact % 6.0 +0.4 5.6
Pull Airball % 13.8 0.0 13.8
Topped Contact % 43.1 +9.2 33.9
Under Contact % 18.1 +0.8 17.3
Flare/Burner Contact % 22.4 -5.4 27.8
Solid Contact % 4.3 -3.9 8.2
HR/FB % 17.4 -4.4 21.8
Popups 7 -15 22
Flyballs 23 -55 78
Line Drives 21 -79 100
Groundballs 65 -127 192
Plate Discipline
In Zone % 49.9 -4.9 54.8
Out of Zone % 50.1 +4.9 45.2
Edge % 43.2 -0.2 43.4
Zone Swing % 67.9 -2.3 70.2
Out of Zone Swing % 34.3 +8.8 25.5
In Zone Contact % 82.5 +0.5 82.0
Out of Zone Contact % 66.4 -1.4 67.8
Whiff % 23.0 +1.7 21.3
First Strike % 59.8 -0.3 60.1
First Pitch Swing % 26.8 -4.5 31.3
Swing % 51.0 +1.0 50.0
Meatball Swing % 78.6 -3.8 82.4
Meatball % 8.3 -0.5 8.8
Zone Swing & Miss % 17.5 -0.5 18.0
Out of Zone Swing & Miss % 33.6 +1.4 32.2
In Zone 336 -830 1,166
Out of Zone 338 -624 962
Edge 291 -632 923
In Zone Swings 228 -590 818
Out of Zone Swings 116 -129 245
In Zone Swing & Misses 40 -107 147
Out of Zone Swing & Misses 39 -40 79
Basic
Pitches 674 -1,454 2,128
PA 165 -381 546
AB 149 -345 494
Hits 30 -96 126
Singles 24 -60 84
Doubles 2 -20 22
Triples 0 -3 3
Home Runs 4 -13 17
Walks 10 -33 43
Strikeouts 34 -74 108
K% 20.6 +0.8 19.8
BB% 6.1 -1.8 7.9
HBP 4 +1 3
Batted Balls 116 -276 392
Fastball Percent 58.6 -7.9 66.5
Offspeed Percent 5.6 -7.5 13.1
Breaking Percent 35.8 +15.5 20.3
Number of Fastballs 395 -1,021 1,416
Number of Offspeed 38 -240 278
Number of Breaking 241 -192 433
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Statcast Fielder Positioning

vs RHHvs LHH
YearAlignment TypePAwOBAPATotal%PATotal%
2025 Shades 546 .319 275 1 0.4 271 100 36.9
2026 Shades 163 .252 82 0 0.0 81 45 55.6
! Note: Shifts are through the 2022 season, Shaded starting from the 2023 season, Shift: three or more infielders are on the same side of second base, Shade: positioned outside of their typical responsible slices of the field.
Learn more about how positioning is defined here

Pitch Tempo

Bases EmptyRunners On Base
SeasonTeamPitchesTempoFast %Slow %PitchesTempoFast %Slow %
2025 593 14.0 69.8% 0.0% 337 19.0 0.0% 0.0%
2026 150 15.1 46.0% 1.3% 119 20.1 0.8% 7.6%

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Pitch Distribution