P | Washington Nationals
Bats/Throws: R/R | 6' 3" 210 lbs | Age: 26
Draft: 2022 | Rd. 18, No. 531, Washington Nationals | South Florida
W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2025 5 10 4.34 48 19 0 130.2 108 1.29
2026 2 0 3.09 15 0 0 32 26 1.09
2 Seasons 7 10 4.09 63 19 0 162.2 134 1.25
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2025 48 5-10 4.34 130.2 108 1.29
2026 15 2-0 3.09 32 26 1.09
2 Seasons 63 7-10 4.09 162.2 134 1.25
MLB Percentile Rankings
Movement Profile (Induced Break)
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Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls
Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity
Max EV Launch
Angle
LA Sweet-
Spot %
xBA xSLG wOBA xwOBA xwOBAcon HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2025 25 2128 392 28 7.1 5.1 88.5 115.3 10.1 34.4 .270 .437 .319 .335 .386 41.8 19.8 7.9 4.34 4.73
2026 26 502 91 5 5.6 4.0 88.4 115.9 3.1 23.1 .250 .397 .278 .303 .348 41.8 18.5 4.8 3.10 3.63
Player 2630 483 33 6.8 4.9 88.5 115.9 8.8 32.3 .266 .429 .311 .329 .379 41.8 19.6 7.3
MLB 7.6 4.9 88.6 122.9 12.5 33.3 .243 .408 .315 .316 .369 37.0 22.2 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Lord relies on 5 pitches.
Four Seamer
(37.3%) ,
Slider
(24.9%) ,
Sinker
(23.1%) ,
Changeup
(7.4%) ,
Sweeper
(7.4%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

AIR: Fly Balls + Line Drives + Popups All Batted Balls Batted Ball Breakdown
Season GB % AIR % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Pull GB % Straight GB % Oppo GB % Pull AIR % Straight AIR % Oppo AIR %
2025 49.0 51.0 19.9 25.5 5.6 33.7 37.5 28.8 19.9 21.2 7.9 13.8 16.3 20.9
2026 58.2 41.8 19.8 18.7 3.3 39.6 38.5 22.0 25.3 24.2 8.8 14.3 14.3 13.2
Player 50.7 49.3 19.9 24.2 5.2 34.8 37.7 27.5 20.9 21.7 8.1 13.9 15.9 19.5
MLB 44.2 55.8 24.1 24.6 7.1 37.4 37.3 25.1 20.7 17.6 5.9 16.8 19.7 19.3
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Quality of Contact

Season Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2025 5.6 33.9 17.3 27.8 8.2 7.1 5.1
2026 7.7 42.9 16.5 22.0 4.4 5.6 4.0
Player 6.0 35.6 17.2 26.7 7.5 6.8 4.9
MLB 4.0 32.4 24.9 24.4 5.9 7.6 4.9
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement


How this works: This section shows two different ways to evaluate pitch movement. On the left, “Total Movement” shows the real-world movement of a pitch, including the forces of gravity, which affects every pitch thrown. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren't 'better' just because they have more time to move, a pitch's movement is compared to other pitches of the same pitch type, within +/- 2 MPH and +/- 0.5 feet of extension/release. On the right, Induced Movement (or IVB) is reported without gravity, and attempts to isolate movement created by the pitcher's ability to spin and manipulate the ball.
Total Movement (in inches, w/ gravity)Induced Movement (in inches, w/o gravity)
YearPitchTeamHand#MPHVertical
Drop
vs.
Comparable
Horizontal
Break
vs.
Comparable
Vertical
Break
vs. AvgHorizontal
Break
vs. Avg
2026 Changeup WSH R 37 85.9 34.5 -1.0 16.3ARM 1.5 2.8 1.2 16.3ARM 1.6
2026 Slider WSH R 125 85.5 38.9 2.3 1.7GLV -0.8 -1.5 2.9 1.7GLV -2.4
2026 4-Seam Fastball WSH R 187 94.6 20.4 -4.0 15.6ARM 5.6 10.3 -5.7 15.6ARM 7.8
2026 Sweeper WSH R 37 83.2 39.3 0.1 10.3GLV -4.1 0.3 0.9 10.3GLV -3.5
2026 Sinker WSH R 116 94.3 27.5 1.3 18.5ARM 1.5 3.4 4.3 18.5ARM 3.1
2025 Sweeper WSH R 3 82.3 43.8 4.0 7.2GLV -7.2 -3.8 4.7 7.2GLV -6.7
2025 Sinker WSH R 384 94.3 26.0 0.5 18.2ARM 1.8 4.8 2.6 18.2ARM 3.1
2025 Changeup WSH R 278 85.9 31.7 -2.3 17.8ARM 2.4 5.6 -1.5 17.8ARM 3.3
2025 4-Seam Fastball WSH R 1032 94.8 20.1 -3.6 15.6ARM 5.4 10.5 -5.3 15.6ARM 8.0
2025 Slider WSH R 430 85.5 36.8 0.0 0.8GLV -3.1 0.6 1.2 0.8GLV -3.5
! Note: Years are in reverse order.

Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2026 4-Seam Fastball -0.4 -1 187 37.3 34 .333 .467 .422 26.5 29.4 13.2 .251 .403 .316 61.9
2026 Slider 0.8 1 125 24.9 31 .233 .333 .290 25.8 22.6 14.6 .242 .431 .301 43.5
2026 Sinker 3.5 4 116 23.1 40 .184 .184 .197 13.2 10.0 17.4 .249 .299 .262 35.3
2026 Changeup -4.9 -2 37 7.4 10 .300 .700 .415 16.7 10.0 7.1 .326 .724 .441 33.3
2026 Sweeper 1.8 1 37 7.4 7 .000 .000 .200 8.3 14.3 8.3 .151 .219 .315 0.0
2025 4-Seam Fastball -0.3 -3 1,032 48.5 239 .273 .463 .370 24.2 25.5 17.9 .266 .432 .350 43.5
2025 Slider -1.8 -8 430 20.2 103 .255 .469 .327 26.7 20.4 14.5 .258 .498 .337 42.9
2025 Sinker 1.5 6 384 18.1 112 .255 .321 .271 9.7 8.9 13.7 .300 .395 .316 43.4
2025 Changeup 0.2 0 278 13.1 90 .212 .353 .277 19.0 17.8 15.5 .254 .430 .314 34.8
2025 Sweeper -30.0 -1 3 0.1 2 -- -- .700 -- 0.0 0.0 -- -- .700 --
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: To better align with other values, positive numbers (red) are good, and negative numbers (blue) are poor.

Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2026 Changeup 37 85.9 99 17.3 2:45 2:45 0
2026 4-Seam Fastball 187 94.6 97 18.9 2:15 2:00 15
2026 Sinker 115 94.3 98 19.6 2:15 2:45 -30
2026 Slider 125 85.5 18 4.0 8:30 7:00 90
2026 Sweeper 37 83.2 38 11.4 8:15 8:45 -30
2025 Changeup 278 85.9 99 19.2 2:45 2:30 15
2025 4-Seam Fastball 1,032 94.8 98 19.0 2:15 2:00 15
2025 Sinker 384 94.3 99 19.5 2:15 2:45 -30
2025 Slider 430 85.5 14 2.7 9:30 7:30 120
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Pitcher Arm Angle

! Note: Data is available from 2020 through the present.
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Statcast Pitching Run Value

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2025 546 2,128 4 14 -17 -6 -6
2026 122 502 1 7 -2 -3 3
Player 668 2,630 5 21 -19 5 -3
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2025 2,128 54.8 70.2 82.0 25.5 67.8 43.4 60.1 50.0 21.3 8.8 82.4
2026 502 51.0 69.9 82.7 33.7 69.9 42.8 62.6 52.2 21.4 7.4 81.1
Player 2,630 54.1 70.1 82.1 27.2 68.3 43.3 60.5 50.4 21.3 8.6 82.2
MLB 48.7 67.0 82.6 28.5 58.0 42.7 61.1 47.3 25.0 7.3 76.2
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Run Value Pitching
Year Pitching Fastball Breaking Off
Speed
xERA Fastball
MPH
Fastball
Spin
Curve
Spin
Avg
EV
Chase% Whiff% K% BB% Barrel% Hard-
Hit%
GB% Extension
2025 23 57 6 62 17 53 54 69 17 18 28 51 70 38 80 3
2026 68 77 73 13 62 51 72 61 78 25 28 94 74 36 96 1
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Expected Home Runs

Adjusted

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2025 24.82 17 20.6 -4 5 16 7 41.2
2026 24.08 3 3.8 -1 2 4 1 33.3
Player 24.71 20 24.5 -5 7 20 8 40.0
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's batted balls allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Expected Home Runs by Park

Adjusted

Year HR
2025 17 22 12 20 21 22 21 21 21 17 20 22 20 25 23 20 23 21 22 23 18 19 24 25 20 17 20 22 21 21 16
2026 3 3 4 2 5 5 5 3 4 4 2 4 2 4 5 4 4 4 3 7 3 3 5 4 3 3 5 4 3 4 4
Player 20 25 16 22 26 27 26 24 25 21 22 26 22 29 28 24 27 25 25 30 21 22 29 29 23 20 25 26 24 25 20
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's batted balls allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Year to Year Changes

2026 +/-   2025
Results
BA .239 -.016 .255
xBA .250 -.020 .270
OBP .293 -.024 .317
xOBP .305 -.026 .331
SLG .336 -.079 .415
xSLG .397 -.040 .437
ISO .097 -.063 .160
xISO .146 -.021 .167
BABIP .273 -.020 .293
wOBA .278 -.041 .319
xwOBA .303 -.032 .335
wOBAcon .315 -.048 .363
xwOBAcon .348 -.038 .386
BACON .297 -.027 .324
xBACON .313 -.031 .344
Statcast Hit Metrics
Hard Hit % 41.8 0.0 41.8
Avg Exit Velocity 88.4 -0.1 88.5
Launch Angle Sweet-Spot % 23.1 -11.3 34.4
Barrel % 5.6 -1.5 7.1
Avg Launch Angle 3.1 -7.0 10.1
Statcast Bat Tracking
Bat Speed 71.7 +0.4 71.3
Attack Angle
Ideal Attack Angle % 39.6 -0.1 39.7
Attack Direction
Swing Path - Tilt 33° 33°
Swing Length 7.0 0.0 7.0
Statcast Pitch Metrics
Fastball Velocity 94.5 -0.1 94.6
Breaking Velocity 85.0 -0.5 85.5
Offspeed Velocity 85.9 0.0 85.9
Batted Ball Results
Barrels 5 -23 28
Popup % 3.3 -2.3 5.6
Flyball % 19.8 -0.1 19.9
Line Drive % 18.7 -6.8 25.5
Groundball % 58.2 +9.2 49.0
Pull % 39.6 +5.9 33.7
Straight Away % 38.5 +1.0 37.5
Opposite Field % 22.0 -6.8 28.8
Weak Contact % 7.7 +2.1 5.6
Pull Airball % 14.3 +0.5 13.8
Topped Contact % 42.9 +9.0 33.9
Under Contact % 16.5 -0.8 17.3
Flare/Burner Contact % 22.0 -5.8 27.8
Solid Contact % 4.4 -3.8 8.2
HR/FB % 16.7 -5.1 21.8
Popups 3 -19 22
Flyballs 18 -60 78
Line Drives 17 -83 100
Groundballs 53 -139 192
Plate Discipline
In Zone % 51.0 -3.8 54.8
Out of Zone % 49.0 +3.8 45.2
Edge % 42.8 -0.6 43.4
Zone Swing % 69.9 -0.3 70.2
Out of Zone Swing % 33.7 +8.2 25.5
In Zone Contact % 82.7 +0.7 82.0
Out of Zone Contact % 69.9 +2.1 67.8
Whiff % 21.4 +0.1 21.3
First Strike % 62.6 +2.5 60.1
First Pitch Swing % 27.6 -3.7 31.3
Swing % 52.2 +2.2 50.0
Meatball Swing % 81.1 -1.3 82.4
Meatball % 7.4 -1.4 8.8
Zone Swing & Miss % 17.3 -0.7 18.0
Out of Zone Swing & Miss % 30.1 -2.1 32.2
In Zone 256 -910 1,166
Out of Zone 246 -716 962
Edge 215 -708 923
In Zone Swings 179 -639 818
Out of Zone Swings 83 -162 245
In Zone Swing & Misses 31 -116 147
Out of Zone Swing & Misses 25 -54 79
Basic
Pitches 502 -1,626 2,128
PA 124 -422 546
AB 113 -381 494
Hits 27 -99 126
Singles 22 -62 84
Doubles 2 -20 22
Triples 0 -3 3
Home Runs 3 -14 17
Walks 6 -37 43
Strikeouts 23 -85 108
K% 18.5 -1.3 19.8
BB% 4.8 -3.1 7.9
HBP 3 0 3
Batted Balls 91 -301 392
Number of Fastballs 303 -1,113 1,416
Number of Offspeed 37 -241 278
Number of Breaking 162 -271 433
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Statcast Fielder Positioning

vs RHHvs LHH
YearAlignment TypePAwOBAPATotal%PATotal%
2025 Shades 546 .319 275 1 0.4 271 100 36.9
2026 Shades 122 .278 59 0 0.0 63 34 54.0
! Note: Shifts are through the 2022 season, Shaded starting from the 2023 season, Shift: three or more infielders are on the same side of second base, Shade: positioned outside of their typical responsible slices of the field.
Learn more about how positioning is defined here

Pitch Tempo

Bases EmptyRunners On Base
SeasonTeamPitchesTempoFast %Slow %PitchesTempoFast %Slow %
2025 593 14.0 69.8% 0.0% 337 19.0 0.0% 0.0%
2026 111 14.6 56.8% 0.9% 91 19.9 1.1% 7.7%

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Pitch Distribution