P | Washington Nationals
Bats/Throws: R/R | 6' 3" 210 lbs | Age: 26
Draft: 2022 | Rd. 18, No. 531, Washington Nationals | South Florida
W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2025 5 10 4.34 48 19 0 130.2 108 1.29
2026 5 2 3.88 27 1 1 58 52 1.22
2 Seasons 10 12 4.20 75 20 1 188.2 160 1.27
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2025 48 5-10 4.34 130.2 108 1.29
2026 27 5-2 3.88 58 52 1.22
2 Seasons 75 10-12 4.20 188.2 160 1.27
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Pitch Usage
MLB Percentile Rankings
Movement Profile (Induced Break)
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Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls		 Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity		 Max EV Launch
Angle		 LA Sweet-
Spot %		 xBA xSLG wOBA xwOBA xwOBAcon HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2025 25 2128 392 28 7.1 5.1 88.5 115.3 10.1 34.4 .270 .437 .319 .335 .386 41.8 19.8 7.9 4.34 4.73
2026 26 1030 169 10 6.0 4.0 87.9 115.9 3.3 24.9 .246 .393 .291 .316 .359 40.8 21.0 8.5 3.88 4.20
Player 3158 561 38 6.8 4.8 88.3 115.9 8.1 31.6 .262 .424 .310 .329 .378 41.5 20.2 8.1
MLB 7.6 4.9 88.6 122.9 12.5 33.3 .243 .407 .316 .316 .369 37.1 22.2 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Lord relies on 5 pitches.
Four Seamer
(36.5%) ,
Sinker
(22.9%) ,
Slider
(21.0%) ,
Sweeper
(14.4%) ,
Changeup
(5.2%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

AIR: Fly Balls + Line Drives + Popups All Batted Balls Batted Ball Breakdown
Season GB % AIR % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Pull GB % Straight GB % Oppo GB % Pull AIR % Straight AIR % Oppo AIR %
2025 49.0 51.0 19.9 25.5 5.6 33.7 37.5 28.8 19.9 21.2 7.9 13.8 16.3 20.9
2026 58.6 41.4 18.9 17.2 5.3 38.5 36.7 24.9 24.3 22.5 11.8 14.2 14.2 13.0
Player 51.9 48.1 19.6 23.0 5.5 35.1 37.3 27.6 21.2 21.6 9.1 13.9 15.7 18.5
MLB 44.1 55.9 24.2 24.6 7.1 37.5 37.3 25.1 20.7 17.6 5.8 16.8 19.7 19.2
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Quality of Contact

Season Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2025 5.6 33.9 17.3 27.8 8.2 7.1 5.1
2026 7.1 43.8 15.4 21.9 4.1 6.0 4.0
Player 6.1 36.9 16.8 26.0 7.0 6.8 4.8
MLB 4.0 32.3 25.0 24.4 5.9 7.6 4.9
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement

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How this works: This section shows two different ways to evaluate pitch movement. On the left, “Total Movement” shows the real-world movement of a pitch, including the forces of gravity, which affects every pitch thrown. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren't 'better' just because they have more time to move, a pitch's movement is compared to other pitches of the same pitch type, within +/- 2 MPH and +/- 0.5 feet of extension/release. On the right, Induced Movement (or IVB) is reported without gravity, and attempts to isolate movement created by the pitcher's ability to spin and manipulate the ball.
Total Movement (in inches, w/ gravity)Induced Movement (in inches, w/o gravity)
YearPitchTeamHand#MPHVertical
Drop		vs.
Comparable		Horizontal
Break		vs.
Comparable		Vertical
Break		vs. AvgHorizontal
Break		vs. Avg
2026 Changeup WSH R 54 86.0 34.4 -1.0 16.3ARM 1.8 2.7 1.2 16.3ARM 2.0
2026 Slider WSH R 216 85.2 39.5 2.8 1.8GLV -0.3 -1.8 3.2 1.8GLV -1.9
2026 4-Seam Fastball WSH R 376 94.5 20.5 -3.9 15.9ARM 5.9 10.3 -5.4 15.9ARM 8.1
2026 Sweeper WSH R 148 83.2 39.3 0.4 11.0GLV -3.4 0.2 0.8 11.0GLV -2.7
2026 Sinker WSH R 236 94.3 27.4 1.4 18.7ARM 2.1 3.4 4.2 18.7ARM 3.6
2025 Sweeper WSH R 3 82.3 43.8 3.9 7.2GLV -7.1 -3.8 4.7 7.2GLV -6.7
2025 Sinker WSH R 384 94.3 26.0 0.5 18.2ARM 1.8 4.8 2.6 18.2ARM 3.1
2025 Changeup WSH R 278 85.9 31.7 -2.3 17.8ARM 2.4 5.6 -1.5 17.8ARM 3.3
2025 4-Seam Fastball WSH R 1032 94.8 20.1 -3.6 15.6ARM 5.4 10.5 -5.3 15.6ARM 8.0
2025 Slider WSH R 430 85.5 36.8 -0.1 0.8GLV -2.5 0.6 1.2 0.8GLV -3.4
! Note: Years are in reverse order.

Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2026 4-Seam Fastball -0.4 -1 376 36.5 74 .317 .444 .401 25.0 32.4 15.9 .253 .410 .340 57.5
2026 Sinker 4.1 10 236 22.9 72 .164 .179 .212 13.0 11.1 16.3 .218 .261 .244 32.2
2026 Slider -0.1 0 216 21.0 51 .200 .267 .298 25.3 21.6 13.9 .250 .398 .328 47.1
2026 Sweeper -2.5 -4 148 14.4 33 .172 .517 .332 21.0 24.2 13.3 .245 .539 .372 33.3
2026 Changeup -4.5 -2 54 5.2 16 .313 .563 .428 10.7 6.3 4.5 .319 .580 .382 26.7
2025 4-Seam Fastball -0.3 -3 1,032 48.5 239 .273 .463 .370 24.2 25.5 17.9 .266 .432 .350 43.5
2025 Slider -1.8 -8 430 20.2 103 .255 .469 .327 26.7 20.4 14.5 .258 .498 .337 42.9
2025 Sinker 1.5 6 384 18.1 112 .255 .321 .271 9.7 8.9 13.7 .300 .395 .316 43.4
2025 Changeup 0.2 0 278 13.1 90 .212 .353 .277 19.0 17.8 15.5 .254 .430 .314 34.8
2025 Sweeper -30.0 -1 3 0.1 2 -- -- .700 -- 0.0 0.0 -- -- .700 --
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: To better align with other values, positive numbers (red) are good, and negative numbers (blue) are poor.

Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2026 Changeup 54 86.0 98 17.2 2:45 3:00 -15
2026 4-Seam Fastball 374 94.5 97 19.2 2:15 2:00 15
2026 Sinker 234 94.3 98 19.7 2:15 2:45 -30
2026 Slider 216 85.2 20 4.3 8:30 6:45 105
2026 Sweeper 146 83.2 38 11.9 8:00 8:45 -45
2025 Changeup 278 85.9 99 19.2 2:45 2:30 15
2025 4-Seam Fastball 1,032 94.8 98 19.0 2:15 2:00 15
2025 Sinker 384 94.3 99 19.5 2:15 2:45 -30
2025 Slider 430 85.5 14 2.7 9:30 7:30 120
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Pitcher Arm Angle

! Note: Data is available from 2020 through the present.
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Statcast Pitching Run Value

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2025 546 2,128 4 14 -17 -6 -6
2026 246 1,030 4 9 -5 -7 2
Player 792 3,158 8 23 -22 8 -4
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2025 2,128 54.8 70.2 82.0 25.5 67.8 43.4 60.1 50.0 21.3 8.8 82.4
2026 1,030 51.9 66.9 84.9 31.1 66.2 43.3 64.8 49.7 20.7 8.5 79.5
Player 3,158 53.9 69.1 82.9 27.4 67.2 43.4 61.5 49.9 21.1 8.7 81.5
MLB 48.7 67.0 82.6 28.6 57.9 42.7 61.2 47.3 25.0 7.3 76.2
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Run Value Pitching
Year Pitching Fastball Breaking Off
Speed 		xERA Fastball
MPH 		Fastball
Spin 		Curve
Spin 		Avg
EV 		Chase% Whiff% K% BB% Barrel% Hard-
Hit% 		GB% Extension
2025 23 57 6 62 17 53 54 69 17 18 28 51 70 38 80 3
2026 54 89 18 17 47 48 77 66 58 14 40 50 76 34 99 1
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Expected Home Runs

Adjusted
Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2025 24.82 17 20.6 -4 5 16 7 41.2
2026 25.19 7 6.5 1 3 3 4 57.1
Player 24.93 24 27.2 -3 8 19 11 45.8
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's batted balls allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Expected Home Runs by Park

Adjusted
Year HR
2025 17 22 12 20 21 22 21 21 21 17 20 22 20 25 23 20 23 21 22 23 18 19 24 25 20 17 20 22 21 21 16
2026 7 6 7 6 5 8 6 6 7 7 5 7 5 7 7 8 7 7 7 7 7 7 8 8 5 5 5 7 7 6 6
Player 24 28 19 26 26 30 27 27 28 24 25 29 25 32 30 28 30 28 29 30 25 26 32 33 25 22 25 29 28 27 22
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's batted balls allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Year to Year Changes

2026 +/-   2025
Results
BA .227 -.028 ↓ .255
xBA .246 -.024 ↓ .270
OBP .308 -.009 ↓ .317
xOBP .326 -.005 ↓ .331
SLG .345 -.070 ↓ .415
xSLG .393 -.044 ↓ .437
ISO .118 -.042 ↓ .160
xISO .147 -.020 ↓ .167
BABIP .265 -.028 ↓ .293
wOBA .291 -.028 ↓ .319
xwOBA .316 -.019 ↓ .335
wOBAcon .322 -.041 ↓ .363
xwOBAcon .359 -.027 ↓ .386
BACON .296 -.028 ↓ .324
xBACON .323 -.021 ↓ .344
Statcast Hit Metrics
Hard Hit % 40.8 -1.0 ↓ 41.8
Avg Exit Velocity 87.9 -0.6 ↓ 88.5
Launch Angle Sweet-Spot % 24.9 -9.5 ↓ 34.4
Barrel % 6.0 -1.1 ↓ 7.1
Avg Launch Angle 3.3 -6.8 ↓ 10.1
Statcast Bat Tracking
Bat Speed 71.4 +0.1 ↑ 71.3
Attack Angle 5° 0° ↓ 5°
Ideal Attack Angle % 36.3 -3.4 ↓ 39.7
Attack Direction 7° 0° ↑ 7°
Swing Path - Tilt 34° 0° ↑ 33°
Swing Length 7.0 0.0 7.0
Statcast Pitch Metrics
Fastball Velocity 94.4 -0.2 ↓ 94.6
Breaking Velocity 84.4 -1.1 ↓ 85.5
Offspeed Velocity 86.0 +0.1 ↑ 85.9
Batted Ball Results
Barrels 10 -18 ↓ 28
Popup % 5.3 -0.3 ↓ 5.6
Flyball % 18.9 -1.0 ↓ 19.9
Line Drive % 17.2 -8.3 ↓ 25.5
Groundball % 58.6 +9.6 ↑ 49.0
Pull % 38.5 +4.8 ↑ 33.7
Straight Away % 36.7 -0.8 ↓ 37.5
Opposite Field % 24.9 -3.9 ↓ 28.8
Weak Contact % 7.1 +1.5 ↑ 5.6
Pull Airball % 14.2 +0.4 ↑ 13.8
Topped Contact % 43.8 +9.9 ↑ 33.9
Under Contact % 15.4 -1.9 ↓ 17.3
Flare/Burner Contact % 21.9 -5.9 ↓ 27.8
Solid Contact % 4.1 -4.1 ↓ 8.2
HR/FB % 21.9 +0.1 ↑ 21.8
Popups 9 -13 ↓ 22
Flyballs 32 -46 ↓ 78
Line Drives 29 -71 ↓ 100
Groundballs 99 -93 ↓ 192
Plate Discipline
In Zone % 51.9 -2.9 ↓ 54.8
Out of Zone % 48.1 +2.9 ↑ 45.2
Edge % 43.3 -0.1 ↓ 43.4
Zone Swing % 66.9 -3.3 ↓ 70.2
Out of Zone Swing % 31.1 +5.6 ↑ 25.5
In Zone Contact % 84.9 +2.9 ↑ 82.0
Out of Zone Contact % 66.2 -1.6 ↓ 67.8
Whiff % 20.7 -0.6 ↓ 21.3
First Strike % 64.8 +4.7 ↑ 60.1
First Pitch Swing % 30.0 -1.3 ↓ 31.3
Swing % 49.7 -0.3 ↓ 50.0
Meatball Swing % 79.5 -2.9 ↓ 82.4
Meatball % 8.5 -0.3 ↓ 8.8
Zone Swing & Miss % 15.1 -2.9 ↓ 18.0
Out of Zone Swing & Miss % 33.8 +1.6 ↑ 32.2
In Zone 535 -631 ↓ 1,166
Out of Zone 495 -467 ↓ 962
Edge 446 -477 ↓ 923
In Zone Swings 358 -460 ↓ 818
Out of Zone Swings 154 -91 ↓ 245
In Zone Swing & Misses 54 -93 ↓ 147
Out of Zone Swing & Misses 52 -27 ↓ 79
Basic
Pitches 1,030 -1,098 ↓ 2,128
PA 248 -298 ↓ 546
AB 220 -274 ↓ 494
Hits 50 -76 ↓ 126
Singles 38 -46 ↓ 84
Doubles 5 -17 ↓ 22
Triples 0 -3 ↓ 3
Home Runs 7 -10 ↓ 17
Walks 21 -22 ↓ 43
Strikeouts 52 -56 ↓ 108
K% 21.0 +1.2 ↑ 19.8
BB% 8.5 +0.6 ↑ 7.9
HBP 5 +2 ↑ 3
Batted Balls 169 -223 ↓ 392
Fastball Percent 59.4 -7.1 ↓ 66.5
Offspeed Percent 5.2 -7.9 ↓ 13.1
Breaking Percent 35.3 +15.0 ↑ 20.3
Number of Fastballs 612 -804 ↓ 1,416
Number of Offspeed 54 -224 ↓ 278
Number of Breaking 364 -69 ↓ 433
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Statcast Fielder Positioning

vs RHHvs LHH
YearAlignment TypePAwOBAPATotal%PATotal%
2025 Shades 546 .319 275 1 0.4 271 100 36.9
2026 Shades 246 .291 129 0 0.0 117 68 58.1
! Note: Shifts are through the 2022 season, Shaded starting from the 2023 season, Shift: three or more infielders are on the same side of second base, Shade: positioned outside of their typical responsible slices of the field.
Learn more about how positioning is defined here

Pitch Tempo

Bases EmptyRunners On Base
SeasonTeamPitchesTempoFast %Slow %PitchesTempoFast %Slow %
2025 593 14.0 69.8% 0.0% 337 19.0 0.0% 0.0%
2026 259 15.5 38.2% 1.5% 178 20.3 0.6% 7.3%

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Pitch Distribution

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