P | Washington Nationals
Bats/Throws: R/R | 6' 3" 210 lbs | Age: 26
Draft: 2022 | Rd. 18, No. 531, Washington Nationals | South Florida
W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2025 5 10 4.34 48 19 0 130.2 108 1.29
2026 5 1 3.31 25 0 1 54.1 51 1.14
2 Seasons 10 11 4.04 73 19 1 185 159 1.25
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2025 48 5-10 4.34 130.2 108 1.29
2026 25 5-1 3.31 54.1 51 1.14
2 Seasons 73 10-11 4.04 185 159 1.25
MLB Percentile Rankings
Movement Profile (Induced Break)
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Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls
Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity
Max EV Launch
Angle
LA Sweet-
Spot %
xBA xSLG wOBA xwOBA xwOBAcon HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2025 25 2128 392 28 7.1 5.1 88.5 115.3 10.1 34.4 .270 .437 .319 .335 .386 41.8 19.8 7.9 4.34 4.73
2026 26 927 153 9 6.0 3.9 87.8 115.9 4.0 26.1 .245 .388 .280 .312 .362 42.5 22.4 7.9 3.31 4.01
Player 3055 545 37 6.8 4.8 88.3 115.9 8.4 32.1 .262 .423 .307 .328 .379 42.0 20.5 7.9
MLB 7.6 4.9 88.6 122.9 12.5 33.3 .243 .408 .316 .316 .369 37.1 22.2 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Lord relies on 5 pitches.
Four Seamer
(37.1%) ,
Sinker
(22.1%) ,
Slider
(20.8%) ,
Sweeper
(14.6%) ,
Changeup
(5.4%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

AIR: Fly Balls + Line Drives + Popups All Batted Balls Batted Ball Breakdown
Season GB % AIR % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Pull GB % Straight GB % Oppo GB % Pull AIR % Straight AIR % Oppo AIR %
2025 49.0 51.0 19.9 25.5 5.6 33.7 37.5 28.8 19.9 21.2 7.9 13.8 16.3 20.9
2026 56.9 43.1 19.6 18.3 5.2 37.9 37.9 24.2 22.9 23.5 10.5 15.0 14.4 13.7
Player 51.2 48.8 19.8 23.5 5.5 34.9 37.6 27.5 20.7 21.8 8.6 14.1 15.8 18.9
MLB 44.2 55.8 24.2 24.6 7.1 37.4 37.3 25.1 20.7 17.6 5.8 16.8 19.7 19.2
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Quality of Contact

Season Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2025 5.6 33.9 17.3 27.8 8.2 7.1 5.1
2026 7.8 42.5 15.7 22.2 4.6 6.0 3.9
Player 6.2 36.3 16.9 26.2 7.2 6.8 4.8
MLB 4.0 32.3 25.0 24.4 5.9 7.6 4.9
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement


How this works: This section shows two different ways to evaluate pitch movement. On the left, “Total Movement” shows the real-world movement of a pitch, including the forces of gravity, which affects every pitch thrown. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren't 'better' just because they have more time to move, a pitch's movement is compared to other pitches of the same pitch type, within +/- 2 MPH and +/- 0.5 feet of extension/release. On the right, Induced Movement (or IVB) is reported without gravity, and attempts to isolate movement created by the pitcher's ability to spin and manipulate the ball.
Total Movement (in inches, w/ gravity)Induced Movement (in inches, w/o gravity)
YearPitchTeamHand#MPHVertical
Drop
vs.
Comparable
Horizontal
Break
vs.
Comparable
Vertical
Break
vs. AvgHorizontal
Break
vs. Avg
2026 Changeup WSH R 50 85.9 34.5 -0.8 16.4ARM 1.7 2.7 1.2 16.4ARM 2.0
2026 Slider WSH R 193 85.2 39.5 2.7 1.9GLV -0.3 -1.9 3.3 1.9GLV -1.9
2026 4-Seam Fastball WSH R 344 94.5 20.4 -3.8 15.9ARM 6.0 10.4 -5.4 15.9ARM 8.1
2026 Sweeper WSH R 135 83.2 39.3 0.4 10.9GLV -3.6 0.3 0.8 10.9GLV -2.9
2026 Sinker WSH R 205 94.3 27.5 1.5 18.8ARM 2.1 3.4 4.2 18.8ARM 3.6
2025 Sweeper WSH R 3 82.3 43.8 4.0 7.2GLV -7.2 -3.8 4.7 7.2GLV -6.7
2025 Sinker WSH R 384 94.3 26.0 0.5 18.2ARM 1.8 4.8 2.6 18.2ARM 3.1
2025 Changeup WSH R 278 85.9 31.7 -2.3 17.8ARM 2.4 5.6 -1.5 17.8ARM 3.4
2025 4-Seam Fastball WSH R 1032 94.8 20.1 -3.6 15.6ARM 5.4 10.5 -5.3 15.6ARM 8.0
2025 Slider WSH R 430 85.5 36.8 -0.1 0.8GLV -2.6 0.6 1.2 0.8GLV -3.4
! Note: Years are in reverse order.

Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2026 4-Seam Fastball 0.4 1 344 37.1 69 .271 .356 .352 27.0 34.8 17.6 .241 .360 .316 58.3
2026 Sinker 4.0 8 205 22.1 67 .177 .194 .225 11.6 11.9 21.1 .222 .266 .250 35.2
2026 Slider 0.2 0 193 20.8 45 .195 .268 .287 26.1 22.2 15.2 .239 .395 .310 45.2
2026 Sweeper -3.2 -4 135 14.6 30 .192 .577 .365 23.2 26.7 15.7 .262 .588 .401 38.9
2026 Changeup -4.1 -2 50 5.4 15 .267 .533 .397 11.5 6.7 5.0 .335 .614 .403 28.6
2025 4-Seam Fastball -0.3 -3 1,032 48.5 239 .273 .463 .370 24.2 25.5 17.9 .266 .432 .350 43.5
2025 Slider -1.8 -8 430 20.2 103 .255 .469 .327 26.7 20.4 14.5 .258 .498 .337 42.9
2025 Sinker 1.5 6 384 18.1 112 .255 .321 .271 9.7 8.9 13.7 .300 .395 .316 43.4
2025 Changeup 0.2 0 278 13.1 90 .212 .353 .277 19.0 17.8 15.5 .254 .430 .314 34.8
2025 Sweeper -30.0 -1 3 0.1 2 -- -- .700 -- 0.0 0.0 -- -- .700 --
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: To better align with other values, positive numbers (red) are good, and negative numbers (blue) are poor.

Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2026 Changeup 50 85.9 99 17.4 2:45 3:00 -15
2026 4-Seam Fastball 342 94.5 97 19.2 2:15 2:00 15
2026 Sinker 203 94.3 98 19.8 2:15 2:45 -30
2026 Slider 193 85.2 20 4.4 8:30 7:00 90
2026 Sweeper 133 83.2 37 11.8 8:00 8:45 -45
2025 Changeup 278 85.9 99 19.2 2:45 2:30 15
2025 4-Seam Fastball 1,032 94.8 98 19.0 2:15 2:00 15
2025 Sinker 384 94.3 99 19.5 2:15 2:45 -30
2025 Slider 430 85.5 14 2.7 9:30 7:30 120
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Pitcher Arm Angle

! Note: Data is available from 2020 through the present.
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Statcast Pitching Run Value

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2025 546 2,128 4 14 -17 -6 -6
2026 226 927 5 8 -4 -6 3
Player 772 3,055 8 22 -20 8 -2
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2025 2,128 54.8 70.2 82.0 25.5 67.8 43.4 60.1 50.0 21.3 8.8 82.4
2026 927 51.3 66.0 84.1 31.5 65.5 43.1 63.4 49.2 21.7 8.8 78.0
Player 3,055 53.7 68.9 82.6 27.4 66.9 43.3 61.1 49.7 21.4 8.8 81.1
MLB 48.7 67.0 82.6 28.5 57.9 42.7 61.2 47.3 25.0 7.3 76.2
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Run Value Pitching
Year Pitching Fastball Breaking Off
Speed
xERA Fastball
MPH
Fastball
Spin
Curve
Spin
Avg
EV
Chase% Whiff% K% BB% Barrel% Hard-
Hit%
GB% Extension
2025 23 57 6 62 17 53 54 69 17 18 28 51 70 38 80 3
2026 60 93 10 20 51 47 77 69 62 23 48 58 71 24 96 1
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Expected Home Runs

Adjusted

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2025 24.82 17 20.6 -4 5 16 7 41.2
2026 24.95 6 5.7 0 2 4 3 50.0
Player 24.86 23 26.3 -3 7 20 10 43.5
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's batted balls allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Expected Home Runs by Park

Adjusted

Year HR
2025 17 22 12 20 21 22 21 21 21 17 20 22 20 25 23 20 23 21 22 23 18 19 24 25 20 17 20 22 21 21 16
2026 6 5 6 5 6 7 5 5 6 6 4 6 4 6 6 7 6 6 6 7 6 6 7 7 4 5 5 6 6 5 5
Player 23 27 18 25 27 29 26 26 27 23 24 28 24 31 29 27 29 27 28 30 24 25 31 32 24 22 25 28 27 26 21
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's batted balls allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Year to Year Changes

2026 +/-   2025
Results
BA .217 -.038 .255
xBA .245 -.025 .270
OBP .295 -.022 .317
xOBP .322 -.009 .331
SLG .330 -.085 .415
xSLG .388 -.049 .437
ISO .113 -.047 .160
xISO .143 -.024 .167
BABIP .259 -.034 .293
wOBA .280 -.039 .319
xwOBA .312 -.023 .335
wOBAcon .314 -.049 .363
xwOBAcon .362 -.024 .386
BACON .288 -.036 .324
xBACON .327 -.017 .344
Statcast Hit Metrics
Hard Hit % 42.5 +0.7 41.8
Avg Exit Velocity 87.8 -0.7 88.5
Launch Angle Sweet-Spot % 26.1 -8.3 34.4
Barrel % 6.0 -1.1 7.1
Avg Launch Angle 4.0 -6.1 10.1
Statcast Bat Tracking
Bat Speed 71.6 +0.3 71.3
Attack Angle
Ideal Attack Angle % 38.0 -1.7 39.7
Attack Direction
Swing Path - Tilt 33° 33°
Swing Length 7.0 0.0 7.0
Statcast Pitch Metrics
Fastball Velocity 94.4 -0.2 94.6
Breaking Velocity 84.4 -1.1 85.5
Offspeed Velocity 85.9 0.0 85.9
Batted Ball Results
Barrels 9 -19 28
Popup % 5.2 -0.4 5.6
Flyball % 19.6 -0.3 19.9
Line Drive % 18.3 -7.2 25.5
Groundball % 56.9 +7.9 49.0
Pull % 37.9 +4.2 33.7
Straight Away % 37.9 +0.4 37.5
Opposite Field % 24.2 -4.6 28.8
Weak Contact % 7.8 +2.2 5.6
Pull Airball % 15.0 +1.2 13.8
Topped Contact % 42.5 +8.6 33.9
Under Contact % 15.7 -1.6 17.3
Flare/Burner Contact % 22.2 -5.6 27.8
Solid Contact % 4.6 -3.6 8.2
HR/FB % 20.0 -1.8 21.8
Popups 8 -14 22
Flyballs 30 -48 78
Line Drives 28 -72 100
Groundballs 87 -105 192
Plate Discipline
In Zone % 51.3 -3.5 54.8
Out of Zone % 48.7 +3.5 45.2
Edge % 43.1 -0.3 43.4
Zone Swing % 66.0 -4.2 70.2
Out of Zone Swing % 31.5 +6.0 25.5
In Zone Contact % 84.1 +2.1 82.0
Out of Zone Contact % 65.5 -2.3 67.8
Whiff % 21.7 +0.4 21.3
First Strike % 63.4 +3.3 60.1
First Pitch Swing % 29.5 -1.8 31.3
Swing % 49.2 -0.8 50.0
Meatball Swing % 78.0 -4.4 82.4
Meatball % 8.8 0.0 8.8
Zone Swing & Miss % 15.9 -2.1 18.0
Out of Zone Swing & Miss % 34.5 +2.3 32.2
In Zone 476 -690 1,166
Out of Zone 451 -511 962
Edge 400 -523 923
In Zone Swings 314 -504 818
Out of Zone Swings 142 -103 245
In Zone Swing & Misses 50 -97 147
Out of Zone Swing & Misses 49 -30 79
Basic
Pitches 927 -1,201 2,128
PA 228 -318 546
AB 203 -291 494
Hits 44 -82 126
Singles 33 -51 84
Doubles 5 -17 22
Triples 0 -3 3
Home Runs 6 -11 17
Walks 18 -25 43
Strikeouts 51 -57 108
K% 22.4 +2.6 19.8
BB% 7.9 0.0 7.9
HBP 5 +2 3
Batted Balls 153 -239 392
Fastball Percent 59.2 -7.3 66.5
Offspeed Percent 5.4 -7.7 13.1
Breaking Percent 35.4 +15.1 20.3
Number of Fastballs 549 -867 1,416
Number of Offspeed 50 -228 278
Number of Breaking 328 -105 433
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Statcast Fielder Positioning

vs RHHvs LHH
YearAlignment TypePAwOBAPATotal%PATotal%
2025 Shades 546 .319 275 1 0.4 271 100 36.9
2026 Shades 226 .280 117 0 0.0 109 62 56.9
! Note: Shifts are through the 2022 season, Shaded starting from the 2023 season, Shift: three or more infielders are on the same side of second base, Shade: positioned outside of their typical responsible slices of the field.
Learn more about how positioning is defined here

Pitch Tempo

Bases EmptyRunners On Base
SeasonTeamPitchesTempoFast %Slow %PitchesTempoFast %Slow %
2025 593 14.0 69.8% 0.0% 337 19.0 0.0% 0.0%
2026 235 15.4 40.4% 1.3% 161 20.3 0.6% 6.8%

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Pitch Distribution