P | Cincinnati Reds
Bats/Throws: L/L | 6' 4" 210 lbs | Age: 30
Draft: 2014 | Rd. 3, No. 96, Tampa Bay Rays | Evergreen (CO) HS
W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2024 2 1 5.82 34 1 0 34 41 1.56
2025 7 1 3.36 69 1 0 61.2 52 1.23
2026 4 4 2.84 59 0 2 57 53 1.28
6 Seasons 25 16 3.70 273 8 2 321.1 302 1.25
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2024 34 2-1 5.82 34 41 1.56
2025 69 7-1 3.36 61.2 52 1.23
2026 59 4-4 2.84 57 53 1.28
6 Seasons 273 25-16 3.70 321.1 302 1.25
MLB Percentile Rankings
Movement Profile (Induced Break)
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Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls
Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity
Max EV Launch
Angle
LA Sweet-
Spot %
xBA xSLG wOBA xwOBA xwOBAcon HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2019 22 476 93 7 8.8 5.8 86.6 111.1 8.7 31.2 .269 .472 .367 .350 .354 28.0 11.7 9.2 7.42 5.55
2022 25 1330 212 15 7.1 4.6 88.6 114.6 13.2 35.4 .217 .383 .278 .290 .367 39.2 27.4 7.3 1.97 3.39
2023 26 914 187 16 8.6 6.4 89.7 113.3 15.8 31.0 .267 .453 .322 .316 .389 40.1 20.8 3.6 4.37 4.21
2024 27 575 95 4 4.2 2.6 90.1 108.1 12.6 30.5 .224 .335 .352 .292 .350 41.1 26.6 10.4 5.82 3.44
2025 28 1014 184 13 7.1 5.1 89.0 113.8 8.4 31.0 .249 .393 .308 .303 .354 40.8 20.2 7.0 3.36 3.79
2026 29 905 154 12 8.2 5.0 87.3 109.8 16.4 32.5 .223 .358 .294 .307 .337 29.2 22.0 12.9 2.84 3.95
Player 5214 925 67 7.4 5.0 88.7 114.6 12.8 32.2 .239 .397 .311 .306 .361 37.1 22.4 8.1
MLB 7.6 4.9 88.6 122.9 12.5 33.3 .243 .407 .315 .316 .369 37.1 22.2 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Burke relies on 4 pitches.
Four Seamer
(40.6%) ,
Slider
(29.3%) ,
Changeup
(17.1%) ,
Sinker
(13.0%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

AIR: Fly Balls + Line Drives + Popups All Batted Balls Batted Ball Breakdown
Season GB % AIR % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Pull GB % Straight GB % Oppo GB % Pull AIR % Straight AIR % Oppo AIR %
2019 51.6 48.4 20.4 21.5 6.5 43.0 37.6 19.4 24.7 19.4 7.5 18.3 18.3 11.8
2022 39.6 60.4 28.8 24.1 7.5 26.9 43.4 29.7 10.8 19.3 9.4 16.0 24.1 20.3
2023 39.6 60.4 32.6 20.3 7.5 31.0 39.0 29.9 19.8 16.0 3.7 11.2 23.0 26.2
2024 46.3 53.7 20.0 24.2 9.5 32.6 42.1 25.3 17.9 25.3 3.2 14.7 16.8 22.1
2025 53.3 46.7 24.5 18.5 3.8 38.6 33.7 27.7 25.0 19.6 8.7 13.6 14.1 19.0
2026 41.6 58.4 30.5 20.8 7.1 33.1 44.2 22.7 16.9 20.1 4.5 16.2 24.0 18.2
Player 44.5 55.5 27.2 21.4 6.8 33.3 40.0 26.7 18.6 19.5 6.5 14.7 20.5 20.2
MLB 44.1 55.9 24.2 24.6 7.1 37.5 37.3 25.1 20.7 17.5 5.8 16.8 19.7 19.2
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Quality of Contact

Season Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2019 3.2 40.9 19.4 22.6 4.3 8.8 5.8
2022 5.2 30.7 24.1 22.2 10.4 7.1 4.6
2023 5.3 25.1 27.8 28.9 4.3 8.6 6.4
2024 5.3 32.6 25.3 27.4 5.3 4.2 2.6
2025 9.2 31.5 19.6 23.9 7.6 7.1 5.1
2026 4.5 27.3 28.6 20.1 7.1 8.2 5.0
Player 5.7 30.4 24.3 24.1 6.9 7.4 5.0
MLB 4.0 32.3 25.0 24.4 5.9 7.6 4.9
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement


How this works: This section shows two different ways to evaluate pitch movement. On the left, “Total Movement” shows the real-world movement of a pitch, including the forces of gravity, which affects every pitch thrown. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren't 'better' just because they have more time to move, a pitch's movement is compared to other pitches of the same pitch type, within +/- 2 MPH and +/- 0.5 feet of extension/release. On the right, Induced Movement (or IVB) is reported without gravity, and attempts to isolate movement created by the pitcher's ability to spin and manipulate the ball.
Total Movement (in inches, w/ gravity)Induced Movement (in inches, w/o gravity)
YearPitchTeamHand#MPHVertical
Drop
vs.
Comparable
Horizontal
Break
vs.
Comparable
Vertical
Break
vs. AvgHorizontal
Break
vs. Avg
2026 4-Seam Fastball CIN L 367 96.2 14.3 -1.4 8.6ARM 2.2 15.4 -0.2 8.6ARM 0.6
2026 Slider CIN L 265 86.4 32.3 -3.2 0.2ARM -4.1 4.4 -2.9 0.2ARM -4.7
2026 Changeup CIN L 155 87.4 28.6 -2.2 14.9ARM 1.0 7.3 -2.6 14.9ARM 1.0
2026 Sinker CIN L 118 93.5 19.8 -0.8 14.1ARM 0.2 11.5 -3.9 14.1ARM -1.2
2025 Slider LAA L 280 87.9 30.3 -2.5 1.1ARM -4.8 5.1 -3.0 1.1ARM -5.1
2025 4-Seam Fastball LAA L 430 96.1 14.0 -1.0 8.4ARM 1.8 15.8 -0.1 8.4ARM 0.3
2025 Sinker LAA L 81 93.5 20.7 -0.4 15.1ARM 0.9 10.6 -3.1 15.1ARM -0.3
2025 Changeup LAA L 223 88.8 29.7 -0.2 15.2ARM 0.9 5.1 0.1 15.2ARM 1.0
! Note: Years are in reverse order.

Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2026 4-Seam Fastball 0.1 0 367 40.6 98 .198 .358 .319 26.6 29.6 20.9 .178 .269 .275 35.8
2026 Slider 0.4 1 265 29.3 54 .163 .327 .264 38.9 27.8 24.6 .214 .422 .302 31.4
2026 Changeup -0.7 -1 155 17.1 47 .250 .432 .330 30.9 17.0 15.1 .284 .494 .355 36.1
2026 Sinker 1.2 1 118 13.0 38 .226 .226 .327 12.7 2.6 6.7 .265 .299 .333 6.7
2025 4-Seam Fastball 0.5 2 430 42.4 108 .274 .421 .334 20.4 23.1 15.7 .266 .450 .341 46.6
2025 Slider 1.2 3 280 27.6 59 .236 .400 .297 30.1 18.6 15.9 .240 .388 .280 39.1
2025 Changeup -1.6 -4 223 22.0 66 .258 .484 .363 25.6 22.7 18.8 .242 .349 .268 40.8
2025 Sinker 2.6 2 81 8.0 20 .188 .188 .253 10.0 5.0 10.0 .198 .238 .282 18.8
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: To better align with other values, positive numbers (red) are good, and negative numbers (blue) are poor.

Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2026 Changeup 155 87.4 80 16.9 10:30 9:45 45
2026 4-Seam Fastball 367 96.2 92 17.3 10:45 11:00 -15
2026 Sinker 117 93.5 90 18.2 11:00 10:15 45
2026 Slider 264 86.4 36 3.5 11:30 12:00 -30
2025 Changeup 223 88.8 78 16.5 10:15 9:30 45
2025 4-Seam Fastball 430 96.1 93 17.6 10:45 11:00 -15
2025 Sinker 80 93.5 88 18.5 10:45 10:00 45
2025 Slider 280 87.9 45 4.4 11:15 11:30 -15
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Pitcher Arm Angle

! Note: Data is available from 2020 through the present.
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Statcast Pitching Run Value

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2019 120 476 0 1 -5 -3 -6
2022 327 1,330 16 10 -12 -5 11
2023 246 914 3 1 -3 -3 -1
2024 152 575 -2 2 -6 -2 -7
2025 253 1,014 8 6 -7 -3 4
2026 237 905 4 9 -6 -5 2
Player 1,335 5,214 30 30 -38 30 2
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2019 476 48.3 65.2 88.0 26.0 84.4 39.9 53.3 45.0 13.1 8.4 72.5
2022 1,330 48.9 67.4 79.7 27.5 65.2 41.1 60.2 47.1 24.6 6.4 82.4
2023 914 56.1 77.0 82.5 30.4 62.3 44.0 63.2 56.6 22.2 7.0 89.1
2024 575 55.5 71.8 75.1 28.5 57.5 40.7 68.0 52.5 29.1 7.8 86.7
2025 1,014 54.9 73.1 81.1 27.1 62.1 43.2 61.8 52.4 23.4 11.6 87.3
2026 905 47.5 64.2 76.8 28.8 59.9 40.7 62.9 45.6 28.8 7.0 82.5
Player 5,214 51.8 70.2 80.3 28.1 64.1 41.8 61.8 49.9 24.1 8.0 84.3
MLB 48.7 67.0 82.7 28.6 57.9 42.6 61.2 47.3 25.0 7.3 76.2
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Run Value Pitching
Year Pitching Fastball Breaking Off
Speed
xERA Fastball
MPH
Fastball
Spin
Curve
Spin
Avg
EV
Chase% Whiff% K% BB% Barrel% Hard-
Hit%
GB% Extension
2019 26 29 13 98
2022 79 78 73 64 70 68 62 47 27 42 78 55 52 37 31 93
2023 40 61 49 12 47 60 50 30 70 21 32 99 36 43 34 94
2024 76 41 88
2025 52 66 69 17 59 72 33 57 34 33 32 68 70 47 90 81
2026 49 52 59 31 54 68 52 79 32 75 44 9 41 95 44 82
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Expected Home Runs

Adjusted

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2019 22.78 6 5.6 0 1 5 1 16.7
2022 23.99 9 7.2 2 7 7 2 22.2
2023 23.96 13 10.1 3 3 10 3 23.1
2024 24.76 4 3.0 1 2 1 2 50.0
2025 23.68 8 5.8 2 5 3 3 37.5
2026 24.96 5 5.2 0 2 5 2 40.0
Player 23.94 45 37.0 8 20 31 13 28.9
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's batted balls allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Expected Home Runs by Park

Adjusted

Year HR
2019 6 7 4 6 6 6 6 6 4 5 5 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 7 6 6 5 5 5 6 6 5 3
2022 9 6 5 7 7 6 7 7 4 5 6 8 10 7 8 11 6 8 7 5 8 9 12 10 6 5 8 8 9 6 6
2023 13 10 5 9 11 8 12 11 8 9 9 7 11 10 11 13 13 11 10 12 10 9 11 12 9 9 9 10 13 11 11
2024 4 3 2 3 3 3 3 3 2 3 3 3 4 3 3 3 3 3 3 4 3 3 4 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3
2025 8 7 7 6 7 6 5 7 5 5 5 6 7 8 5 5 6 6 5 6 6 4 6 5 6 5 5 6 7 5 5
2026 5 7 4 4 4 5 5 4 6 6 4 6 3 8 5 5 7 4 6 7 5 6 6 7 2 3 4 6 5 4 7
Player 45 40 27 35 38 34 38 38 29 33 32 36 41 42 38 43 41 38 37 40 38 38 45 43 31 30 34 39 43 34 35
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's batted balls allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Year to Year Changes

2026 +/-   2025 +/-   2024 +/-   2023 +/-   2022
Results
BA .205 -.049 .254 -.020 .274 +.003 .271 +.060 .211
xBA .223 -.026 .249 +.025 .224 -.043 .267 +.050 .217
OBP .317 +.006 .311 -.046 .357 +.056 .301 +.026 .275
xOBP .335 +.025 .310 -.008 .318 +.021 .297 +.017 .280
SLG .346 -.071 .417 -.050 .467 -.003 .470 +.114 .356
xSLG .358 -.035 .393 +.058 .335 -.118 .453 +.070 .383
ISO .141 -.021 .162 -.031 .193 -.006 .199 +.055 .144
xISO .135 -.009 .144 +.033 .111 -.076 .187 +.021 .166
BABIP .250 -.039 .289 -.074 .363 +.068 .295 +.024 .271
wOBA .294 -.014 .308 -.044 .352 +.030 .322 +.044 .278
xwOBA .307 +.004 .303 +.011 .292 -.024 .316 +.026 .290
wOBAcon .315 -.045 .360 -.087 .447 +.050 .397 +.049 .348
xwOBAcon .337 -.017 .354 +.004 .350 -.039 .389 +.022 .367
BACON .275 -.045 .320 -.069 .389 +.045 .344 +.041 .303
xBACON .302 -.017 .319 -.007 .326 -.013 .339 +.027 .312
Statcast Hit Metrics
Hard Hit % 29.2 -11.6 40.8 -0.3 41.1 +1.0 40.1 +0.9 39.2
Avg Exit Velocity 87.3 -1.7 89.0 -1.1 90.1 +0.4 89.7 +1.1 88.6
Launch Angle Sweet-Spot % 32.5 +1.5 31.0 +0.5 30.5 -0.5 31.0 -4.4 35.4
Barrel % 8.2 +1.1 7.1 +2.9 4.2 -4.4 8.6 +1.5 7.1
Avg Launch Angle 16.4 +8.0 8.4 -4.2 12.6 -3.2 15.8 +2.6 13.2
Statcast Bat Tracking
Bat Speed 71.8 +0.1 71.7 +0.5 71.2 +1.0 70.2 -- --
Attack Angle 11° +1° 10° 10° +1° -- --
Ideal Attack Angle % 50.0 -1.3 51.3 +3.2 48.1 +2.0 46.1 -- --
Attack Direction -2° -2° -2° -- --
Swing Path - Tilt 31° 32° -1° 32° +1° 31° -- --
Swing Length 7.3 0.0 7.3 0.0 7.3 +0.2 7.1 -- --
Statcast Pitch Metrics
Fastball Velocity 95.5 -0.2 95.7 +0.1 95.6 +1.0 94.6 -0.3 94.9
Breaking Velocity 86.4 -1.5 87.9 +0.9 87.0 -0.3 87.3 +0.1 87.2
Offspeed Velocity 87.4 -1.4 88.8 -0.1 88.9 +0.7 88.2 +0.1 88.1
Batted Ball Results
Barrels 12 -1 13 +9 4 -12 16 +1 15
Popup % 7.1 +3.3 3.8 -5.7 9.5 +2.0 7.5 0.0 7.5
Flyball % 30.5 +6.0 24.5 +4.5 20.0 -12.6 32.6 +3.8 28.8
Line Drive % 20.8 +2.3 18.5 -5.7 24.2 +3.9 20.3 -3.8 24.1
Groundball % 41.6 -11.7 53.3 +7.0 46.3 +6.7 39.6 0.0 39.6
Pull % 33.1 -5.5 38.6 +6.0 32.6 +1.6 31.0 +4.1 26.9
Straight Away % 44.2 +10.5 33.7 -8.4 42.1 +3.1 39.0 -4.4 43.4
Opposite Field % 22.7 -5.0 27.7 +2.4 25.3 -4.6 29.9 +0.2 29.7
Weak Contact % 4.5 -4.7 9.2 +3.9 5.3 0.0 5.3 +0.1 5.2
Pull Airball % 16.2 +2.6 13.6 -1.1 14.7 +3.5 11.2 -4.8 16.0
Topped Contact % 27.3 -4.2 31.5 -1.1 32.6 +7.5 25.1 -5.6 30.7
Under Contact % 28.6 +9.0 19.6 -5.7 25.3 -2.5 27.8 +3.7 24.1
Flare/Burner Contact % 20.1 -3.8 23.9 -3.5 27.4 -1.5 28.9 +6.7 22.2
Solid Contact % 7.1 -0.5 7.6 +2.3 5.3 +1.0 4.3 -6.1 10.4
HR/FB % 10.6 -7.2 17.8 -3.3 21.1 -0.2 21.3 +6.5 14.8
Popups 11 +4 7 -2 9 -5 14 -2 16
Flyballs 47 +2 45 +26 19 -42 61 0 61
Line Drives 32 -2 34 +11 23 -15 38 -13 51
Groundballs 64 -34 98 +54 44 -30 74 -10 84
Plate Discipline
In Zone % 47.5 -7.4 54.9 -0.6 55.5 -0.6 56.1 +7.2 48.9
Out of Zone % 52.5 +7.4 45.1 +0.6 44.5 +0.6 43.9 -7.2 51.1
Edge % 40.7 -2.5 43.2 +2.5 40.7 -3.3 44.0 +2.9 41.1
Zone Swing % 64.2 -8.9 73.1 +1.3 71.8 -5.2 77.0 +9.6 67.4
Out of Zone Swing % 28.8 +1.7 27.1 -1.4 28.5 -1.9 30.4 +2.9 27.5
In Zone Contact % 76.8 -4.3 81.1 +6.0 75.1 -7.4 82.5 +2.8 79.7
Out of Zone Contact % 59.9 -2.2 62.1 +4.6 57.5 -4.8 62.3 -2.9 65.2
Whiff % 28.8 +5.4 23.4 -5.7 29.1 +6.9 22.2 -2.4 24.6
First Strike % 62.9 +1.1 61.8 -6.2 68.0 +4.8 63.2 +3.0 60.2
First Pitch Swing % 29.5 -4.0 33.5 -12.9 46.4 +7.5 38.9 +8.0 30.9
Swing % 45.6 -6.8 52.4 -0.1 52.5 -4.1 56.6 +9.5 47.1
Meatball Swing % 82.5 -4.8 87.3 +0.6 86.7 -2.4 89.1 +6.7 82.4
Meatball % 7.0 -4.6 11.6 +3.8 7.8 +0.8 7.0 +0.6 6.4
Zone Swing & Miss % 23.2 +4.3 18.9 -6.0 24.9 +7.4 17.5 -2.8 20.3
Out of Zone Swing & Miss % 40.1 +2.2 37.9 -4.6 42.5 +4.8 37.7 +2.9 34.8
In Zone 430 -127 557 +238 319 -194 513 -138 651
Out of Zone 475 +18 457 +201 256 -145 401 -278 679
Edge 368 -70 438 +204 234 -168 402 -144 546
In Zone Swings 276 -131 407 +178 229 -166 395 -44 439
Out of Zone Swings 137 +13 124 +51 73 -49 122 -65 187
In Zone Swing & Misses 64 -13 77 +20 57 -12 69 -20 89
Out of Zone Swing & Misses 55 +8 47 +16 31 -15 46 -19 65
Basic
Pitches 905 -109 1,014 +439 575 -339 914 -416 1,330
PA 241 -16 257 +103 154 -96 250 -78 328
AB 205 -23 228 +93 135 -101 236 -62 298
Hits 42 -16 58 +21 37 -27 64 +1 63
Singles 25 -15 40 +20 20 -24 44 +5 39
Doubles 10 +3 7 -5 12 +6 6 -8 14
Triples 2 -1 3 +2 1 0 1 0 1
Home Runs 5 -3 8 +4 4 -9 13 +4 9
Walks 31 +13 18 +2 16 +7 9 -15 24
Strikeouts 53 +1 52 +11 41 -11 52 -38 90
K% 22.0 +1.8 20.2 -6.4 26.6 +5.8 20.8 -6.6 27.4
BB% 12.9 +5.9 7.0 -3.4 10.4 +6.8 3.6 -3.7 7.3
HBP 3 0 3 +1 2 0 2 0 2
Batted Balls 154 -30 184 +89 95 -92 187 -25 212
Fastball Percent 53.6 +3.2 50.4 -7.0 57.4 -12.6 70.0 +3.1 66.9
Offspeed Percent 17.1 -4.9 22.0 +5.3 16.7 +5.5 11.2 -2.0 13.2
Breaking Percent 29.3 +1.7 27.6 +1.7 25.9 +7.1 18.8 -1.0 19.8
Number of Fastballs 485 -26 511 +181 330 -310 640 -250 890
Number of Offspeed 155 -68 223 +127 96 -6 102 -74 176
Number of Breaking 265 -15 280 +131 149 -23 172 -92 264
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Statcast Fielder Positioning

vs RHHvs LHH
YearAlignment TypePAwOBAPATotal%PATotal%
2019 Shifts 120 .367 94 24 25.5 26 14 53.8
2022 Shifts 327 .278 238 49 20.6 89 50 56.2
2023 Shades 246 .322 166 16 9.6 80 49 61.3
2024 Shades 152 .352 89 25 28.1 63 36 57.1
2025 Shades 253 .308 158 79 50.0 95 50 52.6
2026 Shades 237 .294 131 13 9.9 106 27 25.5
! Note: Shifts are through the 2022 season, Shaded starting from the 2023 season, Shift: three or more infielders are on the same side of second base, Shade: positioned outside of their typical responsible slices of the field.
Learn more about how positioning is defined here

Pitch Tempo

Bases EmptyRunners On Base
SeasonTeamPitchesTempoFast %Slow %PitchesTempoFast %Slow %
2019 131 17.8 12.2% 2.3% 104 22.3 0.0% 9.6%
2022 387 18.7 9.3% 4.4% 231 22.8 0.4% 10.0%
2023 214 14.7 54.7% 0.0% 135 18.6 1.5% 0.7%
2024 118 16.1 28.8% 1.7% 99 18.1 4.0% 0.0%
2025 227 15.7 36.1% 0.4% 182 17.5 8.2% 2.2%
2026 214 16.0 30.4% 1.4% 177 18.0 1.1% 4.5%

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Pitch Distribution