Bryce Elder
P | Bats/Throws: R/R | 6' 2" 220LBS | Age: 25
Draft: 2020 | Rd: 5, #156, Atlanta Braves | Texas
W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2022 2 4 3.17 10 9 0 54 47 1.24
2023 12 4 3.81 31 31 0 174.2 128 1.28
2024 2 5 6.52 10 10 0 49.2 46 1.63
3 Seasons 16 13 4.17 51 50 0 278.1 221 1.33
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2022 10 2-4 3.17 54 47 1.24
2023 31 12-4 3.81 174.2 128 1.28
2024 10 2-5 6.52 49.2 46 1.63
3 Seasons 51 16-13 4.17 278.1 221 1.33
MLB Percentile Rankings
Movement Profile (Induced Break)
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Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls
Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity
Max EV Launch
Angle
LA Sweet-
Spot %
XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2022 23 873 154 9 5.8 4.0 88.2 112.8 8.8 30.5 .242 .387 .288 .319 .355 34.4 20.7 10.1 3.17 4.25
2023 24 2849 532 32 6.0 4.4 89.9 115.0 8.5 32.0 .263 .416 .309 .329 .359 41.0 17.5 8.6 3.81 4.61
2024 25 864 161 14 8.7 6.2 89.9 109.6 8.1 31.1 .285 .442 .370 .343 .400 45.3 20.4 7.5 6.52 5.04
Player 4586 847 55 6.5 4.6 89.6 115.0 8.5 31.5 .264 .416 .317 .330 .366 40.6 18.6 8.7
MLB 7.0 4.8 88.5 122.4 12.3 33.2 .245 .405 .316 .315 .368 36.5 22.2 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Elder relies on 4 pitches.
Sinker
(42.6%) ,
Slider
(31.5%) ,
Changeup
(13.2%) ,
Four Seamer
(12.7%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

Season GB % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2022 50.0 22.1 21.4 6.5 42.9 37.0 20.1 5.8 39.6 20.8 18.8 9.1 5.8 4.0
2023 50.6 21.1 23.7 4.7 43.0 35.0 22.0 3.4 37.8 22.2 24.6 5.8 6.0 4.4
2024 49.7 23.6 23.0 3.7 42.9 36.6 20.5 2.5 35.4 19.3 30.4 3.7 8.7 6.2
Player 50.3 21.7 23.1 4.8 43.0 35.7 21.4 3.7 37.7 21.4 24.7 6.0 6.5 4.6
MLB 44.4 23.8 24.7 7.1 37.2 37.5 25.2 3.9 32.6 24.8 24.4 5.9 7.0 4.8
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement


How this works: This section shows two different ways to evaluate pitch movement. On the left, “Total Movement” shows the real-world movement of a pitch, including the forces of gravity, which affects every pitch thrown. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren't 'better' just because they have more time to move, a pitch's movement is compared to other pitches of the same pitch type, within +/- 2 MPH and +/- 0.5 feet of extension/release. On the right, Induced Movement (or IVB) is reported without gravity, and attempts to isolate movement created by the pitcher's ability to spin and manipulate the ball.
Total Movement (in inches, w/ gravity)Induced Movement (in inches, w/o gravity)
YearPitchTeamHand#MPHVertical
Drop
vs.
Comparable
Horizontal
Break
vs.
Comparable
Vertical
Break
vs. AvgHorizontal
Break
vs. Avg
2024 Sinker ATL R 368 90.2 23.0 0.6 13.2ARM 0.0 10.7 -3.4 13.2ARM -1.6
2024 Slider ATL R 272 83.7 38.7 0.8 0.8GLV -3.3 0.4 1.2 0.8GLV -4.3
2024 Changeup ATL R 114 85.1 31.5 2.0 11.7ARM -1.8 6.0 -1.1 11.7ARM -2.5
2024 4-Seam Fastball ATL R 110 91.5 16.9 -1.6 3.8ARM -2.2 15.7 -0.1 3.8ARM -3.7
2023 Sinker ATL R 1067 89.5 25.9 1.8 13.3ARM -0.3 8.3 -0.7 13.3ARM -1.7
2023 Slider ATL R 1005 82.7 41.6 1.9 0.1ARM -5.1 -1.7 3.2 0.1ARM -5.4
2023 4-Seam Fastball ATL R 382 90.7 18.1 -1.8 4.0ARM -1.3 15.0 -0.8 4.0ARM -3.4
2023 Changeup ATL R 389 85.0 34.3 3.8 11.2ARM -2.4 3.3 2.1 11.2ARM -3.2
! Note: Years are in reverse order.

Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2024 Sinker -1.2 -4 368 42.6 107 .344 .458 .386 8.6 14.0 22.4 .320 .458 .373 55.6
2024 Slider -1.4 -4 272 31.5 58 .278 .593 .375 41.2 32.8 20.4 .269 .497 .341 36.1
2024 Changeup 0.1 0 114 13.2 32 .258 .258 .247 28.3 15.6 17.2 .236 .271 .239 26.9
2024 4-Seam Fastball -3.2 -4 110 12.7 29 .320 .680 .457 28.6 24.1 25.0 .243 .472 .356 44.4
2023 Sinker 0.2 2 1,071 37.6 295 .280 .402 .354 13.4 11.9 14.5 .303 .446 .368 45.9
2023 Slider 0.7 7 1,006 35.3 241 .210 .393 .294 33.9 26.6 19.6 .216 .385 .287 42.2
2023 Changeup 0.9 3 390 13.7 92 .188 .235 .237 23.6 17.4 13.9 .237 .335 .280 24.6
2023 4-Seam Fastball -0.3 -1 382 13.4 103 .286 .495 .365 19.4 12.6 12.9 .294 .487 .365 38.8
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: To better align with other values, positive numbers (red) are good, and negative numbers (blue) are poor.

Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2024 Changeup 114 85.1 73 13.3 1:15 2:15 -60
2024 4-Seam Fastball 110 91.5 85 15.6 12:45 12:30 15
2024 Sinker 366 90.2 81 16.9 1:00 1:45 -45
2024 Slider 272 83.7 10 2.6 7:45 7:15 30
2023 Changeup 373 85.0 65 12.1 1:15 2:45 -90
2023 4-Seam Fastball 381 90.7 83 14.9 12:45 12:30 15
2023 Sinker 1,046 89.5 75 15.7 1:00 2:00 -60
2023 Slider 986 82.7 15 4.2 7:00 6:00 60
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Pitcher Arm Angle

! Note: Data is available from 2020 through the present.
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Swing/Take

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2022 226 873 6 9 -5 -5 5
2023 745 2,905 19 22 -20 -15 8
2024 226 864 2 -3 -8 -3 -12
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2022 873 43.3 66.1 87.2 29.5 56.2 43.4 55.9 45.4 23.7 6.5 78.9
2023 2,849 46.1 67.0 85.8 28.5 56.2 42.5 63.1 46.3 23.6 6.8 76.3
2024 864 45.6 60.9 86.7 29.8 52.1 44.8 57.1 44.0 25.5 4.3 73.0
Player 4,586 45.5 65.7 86.2 29.0 55.4 43.1 60.6 45.7 24.0 6.3 76.4
MLB 48.7 67.0 82.0 28.5 57.8 42.6 61.0 47.2 25.0 7.3 76.3
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA /
xERA
xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV Hard
Hit%
K% BB% Whiff% Chase
Rate
FB
Velo
FB
Spin
CB
Spin
Extension
2022 32 44 45 47 22 82 75 56 77 35 20 32 50 9 10 11
2023 31 24 38 59 26 20 81 26 37 13 46 31 45 6 5 17
2024 10 4 13 39 10 61 28 21 6 28 57 50 62 8 8 10
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Expected Home Runs

Adjusted

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2022 26.2 4 4.8 -1 2 4 2 50.0
2023 24.3 21 20.5 1 7 19 7 33.3
2024 23.8 8 8.7 -1 3 5 5 62.5
Player 24.4 33 34.0 -1 12 28 14 42.4
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's home runs allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Expected Home Runs by Park

Adjusted

Year HR
2022 4 4 6 5 5 4 5 4 4 3 3 6 5 4 4 6 4 4 5 5 5 6 8 5 2 3 7 8 5 5 4
2023 21 19 14 20 23 22 24 15 18 15 18 22 21 18 24 21 27 18 19 22 19 19 29 23 19 18 18 25 22 22 20
2024 8 10 7 11 8 9 9 8 6 9 7 11 11 8 8 8 8 8 9 9 9 7 13 9 8 8 9 8 10 8 9
Player 33 33 27 36 36 35 38 27 28 27 28 39 37 30 36 35 39 30 33 36 33 32 50 37 29 29 34 41 37 35 33
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's home runs allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Year to Year Changes

Metric 2022 2023 +/-   2024 +/-  
Fastball Velocity 90.6 89.8 -0.8 90.5 0.7
Offspeed Velocity 86.0 85.0 -1.0 85.1 0.1
Breaking Velocity 82.4 82.7 0.3 83.7 1.0
Exit Velocity 88.2 89.9 1.7 89.9 0.0
Launch Angle 8.8 8.5 -0.3 8.1 -0.4
Barrel % 5.8 6.0 0.2 8.7 2.7
Hard Hit % 34.4 41.0 6.6 45.3 4.3
LA Sweet-Spot % 30.5 32.0 1.5 31.1 -0.9
xBA .242 .263 0.021 .285 0.022
BA .222 .245 0.023 .311 0.066
xwOBA .319 .329 0.010 .343 0.014
wOBA .288 .309 0.021 .370 0.061
xSLG .387 .416 0.029 .442 0.026
SLG .333 .390 0.057 .490 0.100
K% 20.7 17.5 -3.2 20.4 2.9
BB% 10.1 8.6 -1.5 7.5 -1.1
Swing % 45.4 46.3 0.9 44.0 -2.3
Whiff% 23.7 23.6 -0.1 25.5 1.9
In Zone % 43.3 46.1 2.8 45.6 -0.5
Out of Zone % 56.7 53.9 -2.8 54.4 0.5
Out of Zone Swing % 29.5 28.5 -1.0 29.8 1.3
First Pitch Swing % 30.8 29.2 -1.6 24.3 -4.9
First Pitch Strike % 55.9 63.1 7.2 57.1 -6.0
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Statcast Fielder Positioning

vs RHHvs LHH
YearAlignment TypePAwOBAPATotal%PATotal%
2022 Shifts 226 .288 123 48 39.0 103 43 41.7
2023 Shades 731 .309 351 78 22.2 380 173 45.5
2024 Shades 226 .370 105 13 12.4 121 54 44.6
! Note: Shifts are through the 2022 season, Shaded starting from the 2023 season, Shift: three or more infielders are on the same side of second base, Shade: positioned outside of their typical responsible slices of the field.
Learn more about how positioning is defined here

Pitch Tempo

Bases EmptyRunners On Base
SeasonTeamPitchesTempoFast %Slow %PitchesTempoFast %Slow %
2022 280 14.8 51.8% 1.1% 120 20.9 0.0% 7.5%
2023 798 12.7 78.1% 0.4% 449 18.5 3.8% 0.9%
2024 274 12.7 81.8% 0.0% 138 17.2 8.0% 0.7%

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Pitch Distribution