P | Atlanta Braves
Bats/Throws: R/R | 6' 2" 220 lbs | Age: 27
Draft: 2020 | Rd. 5, No. 156, Atlanta Braves | Texas
W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2024 2 5 6.52 10 10 0 49.2 46 1.63
2025 8 11 5.30 28 28 0 156.1 131 1.39
2026 5 6 4.12 18 18 0 102.2 86 1.25
5 Seasons 29 30 4.49 97 96 0 537.1 438 1.33
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2024 10 2-5 6.52 49.2 46 1.63
2025 28 8-11 5.30 156.1 131 1.39
2026 18 5-6 4.12 102.2 86 1.25
5 Seasons 97 29-30 4.49 537.1 438 1.33
MLB Percentile Rankings
Movement Profile (Induced Break)
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Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls
Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity
Max EV Launch
Angle
LA Sweet-
Spot %
xBA xSLG wOBA xwOBA xwOBAcon HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2022 23 873 154 9 5.8 4.0 88.2 112.8 8.8 30.5 .243 .403 .288 .323 .362 34.4 20.7 10.1 3.17 4.28
2023 24 2849 532 32 6.0 4.4 89.9 115.0 8.5 32.0 .258 .414 .309 .327 .356 41.0 17.5 8.6 3.81 4.55
2024 25 864 161 14 8.7 6.2 89.9 109.6 8.1 31.1 .281 .441 .370 .342 .399 45.3 20.4 7.5 6.52 4.87
2025 26 2514 491 38 7.8 5.6 90.0 117.6 8.5 34.0 .266 .448 .336 .335 .383 43.8 19.3 7.5 5.30 4.73
2026 27 1531 314 17 5.4 3.9 90.0 113.0 13.2 32.8 .247 .385 .306 .303 .343 39.8 19.8 7.4 4.12 3.79
Player 8631 1652 110 6.7 4.8 89.8 117.6 9.4 32.5 .259 .420 .321 .326 .366 41.4 19.1 8.1
MLB 7.6 4.9 88.6 122.9 12.5 33.3 .243 .407 .316 .316 .369 37.1 22.2 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Elder relies on 5 pitches.
Slider
(27.3%) ,
Sinker
(26.3%) ,
Four Seamer
(23.1%) ,
Cutter
(14.6%) ,
Changeup
(8.8%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

AIR: Fly Balls + Line Drives + Popups All Batted Balls Batted Ball Breakdown
Season GB % AIR % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Pull GB % Straight GB % Oppo GB % Pull AIR % Straight AIR % Oppo AIR %
2022 50.0 50.0 22.1 21.4 6.5 42.9 37.0 20.1 26.0 19.5 4.5 16.9 17.5 15.6
2023 50.6 49.4 21.1 23.7 4.7 43.0 35.0 22.0 27.1 19.0 4.5 16.0 16.0 17.5
2024 49.7 50.3 23.6 23.0 3.7 42.9 36.6 20.5 28.0 18.6 3.1 14.9 18.0 17.4
2025 48.9 51.1 25.1 23.8 2.2 44.2 36.5 19.3 24.4 18.9 5.5 19.8 17.5 13.8
2026 43.0 57.0 27.1 23.6 6.4 39.5 33.1 27.4 20.7 17.2 5.1 18.8 15.9 22.3
Player 48.5 51.5 23.7 23.4 4.4 42.7 35.4 21.9 25.1 18.6 4.8 17.6 16.8 17.1
MLB 44.1 55.9 24.2 24.6 7.1 37.5 37.3 25.1 20.7 17.6 5.8 16.8 19.7 19.2
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Quality of Contact

Season Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2022 5.8 39.6 20.8 18.8 9.1 5.8 4.0
2023 3.4 37.8 22.2 24.6 5.8 6.0 4.4
2024 2.5 35.4 19.3 30.4 3.7 8.7 6.2
2025 4.7 34.8 20.0 25.3 7.3 7.8 5.6
2026 4.1 30.6 28.0 25.2 6.7 5.4 3.9
Player 4.1 35.5 22.2 24.9 6.5 6.7 4.8
MLB 4.0 32.3 25.0 24.4 5.9 7.6 4.9
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement


How this works: This section shows two different ways to evaluate pitch movement. On the left, “Total Movement” shows the real-world movement of a pitch, including the forces of gravity, which affects every pitch thrown. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren't 'better' just because they have more time to move, a pitch's movement is compared to other pitches of the same pitch type, within +/- 2 MPH and +/- 0.5 feet of extension/release. On the right, Induced Movement (or IVB) is reported without gravity, and attempts to isolate movement created by the pitcher's ability to spin and manipulate the ball.
Total Movement (in inches, w/ gravity)Induced Movement (in inches, w/o gravity)
YearPitchTeamHand#MPHVertical
Drop
vs.
Comparable
Horizontal
Break
vs.
Comparable
Vertical
Break
vs. AvgHorizontal
Break
vs. Avg
2026 Slider ATL R 418 83.2 42.6 4.0 3.3GLV -0.7 -3.3 4.7 3.3GLV -0.4
2026 4-Seam Fastball ATL R 353 92.5 16.4 -1.3 4.3ARM -2.5 15.4 -0.4 4.3ARM -3.5
2026 Changeup ATL R 135 85.6 33.2 2.3 11.6ARM -2.2 4.2 -0.3 11.6ARM -2.8
2026 Cutter ATL R 223 88.6 23.9 3.2 1.7GLV -1.1 10.6 2.5 1.7GLV -0.5
2026 Sinker ATL R 402 91.2 24.9 2.1 13.7ARM -0.6 7.9 -0.3 13.7ARM -1.5
2025 4-Seam Fastball ATL R 309 92.8 16.4 -1.5 3.6ARM -3.1 15.3 -0.5 3.6ARM -4.0
2025 Sinker ATL R 1059 91.5 24.6 1.6 14.4ARM 0.3 8.2 -0.8 14.4ARM -0.7
2025 Changeup ATL R 263 86.6 31.7 1.2 11.8ARM -1.7 4.7 -0.6 11.8ARM -2.7
2025 Slider ATL R 883 84.3 38.7 1.7 1.9GLV -1.9 -0.1 1.9 1.9GLV -2.3
! Note: Years are in reverse order.

Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2026 Slider -0.5 -2 418 27.3 132 .231 .421 .326 30.8 25.8 23.3 .218 .372 .289 40.2
2026 Sinker 1.0 4 402 26.3 127 .235 .383 .308 13.8 25.2 32.0 .253 .386 .309 46.4
2026 4-Seam Fastball -0.3 -1 353 23.1 78 .319 .464 .363 17.0 14.1 13.8 .282 .389 .320 34.4
2026 Cutter 2.0 4 223 14.6 62 .185 .352 .291 20.8 4.8 17.6 .275 .426 .340 40.4
2026 Changeup -0.5 -1 135 8.8 36 .250 .306 .244 29.0 16.7 16.2 .221 .353 .244 30.0
2025 Sinker -0.7 -7 1,059 42.1 272 .280 .477 .365 15.2 18.0 22.2 .255 .463 .344 49.2
2025 Slider 0.1 1 883 35.1 257 .259 .427 .326 31.8 21.8 20.1 .263 .421 .318 40.2
2025 4-Seam Fastball -0.1 0 309 12.3 73 .292 .369 .326 18.4 23.3 19.3 .287 .407 .339 36.7
2025 Changeup -3.1 -8 263 10.5 76 .261 .478 .326 17.3 11.8 10.3 .295 .530 .359 42.9
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: To better align with other values, positive numbers (red) are good, and negative numbers (blue) are poor.

Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2026 Changeup 127 85.6 69 12.9 1:45 2:30 -45
2026 Cutter 223 88.6 60 9.9 12:30 11:30 60
2026 4-Seam Fastball 353 92.5 82 15.4 12:45 12:30 15
2026 Sinker 393 91.2 75 15.9 1:00 2:15 -75
2026 Slider 418 83.2 37 6.5 7:30 7:15 15
2025 Changeup 257 86.6 64 13.1 1:15 2:30 -75
2025 4-Seam Fastball 306 92.8 82 15.1 12:45 12:30 15
2025 Sinker 997 91.5 76 16.6 1:00 2:15 -75
2025 Slider 871 84.3 23 3.5 8:00 7:45 15
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Pitcher Arm Angle

! Note: Data is available from 2020 through the present.
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Statcast Pitching Run Value

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2022 226 873 3 9 -6 -5 1
2023 731 2,849 17 21 -21 -15 2
2024 226 864 3 -2 -8 -3 -10
2025 678 2,514 -3 11 -14 -9 -15
2026 435 1,531 14 4 -8 -6 4
Player 2,296 8,631 34 43 -56 34 -17
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2022 873 43.1 66.0 87.5 29.8 57.4 43.4 55.9 45.4 23.7 6.5 78.9
2023 2,849 45.9 66.9 86.4 28.7 56.6 42.7 63.1 46.3 23.6 6.8 76.4
2024 864 45.4 61.2 87.5 29.7 52.1 44.9 57.1 44.0 25.5 4.3 73.0
2025 2,514 47.9 65.7 89.4 28.5 52.4 44.1 59.8 46.3 22.5 6.6 75.2
2026 1,531 47.7 67.0 87.3 29.4 57.4 41.0 64.4 47.4 22.3 6.8 76.9
Player 8,631 46.5 65.9 87.7 29.0 55.2 43.1 61.1 46.2 23.2 6.5 76.2
MLB 48.7 67.0 82.6 28.6 57.9 42.7 61.2 47.3 25.0 7.3 76.2
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Run Value Pitching
Year Pitching Fastball Breaking Off
Speed
xERA Fastball
MPH
Fastball
Spin
Curve
Spin
Avg
EV
Chase% Whiff% K% BB% Barrel% Hard-
Hit%
GB% Extension
2022 51 58 58 25 32 9 10 56 52 32 35 20 75 77 80 11
2023 49 27 58 87 35 6 5 26 46 31 13 46 81 37 84 17
2024 13 13 24 66 12 8 8 21 60 50 28 57 28 6 83 11
2025 9 12 56 2 17 15 13 33 49 26 26 61 60 22 79 21
2026 66 86 26 36 60 12 18 24 43 28 31 65 82 40 51 33
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Expected Home Runs

Adjusted

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2022 26.18 4 4.8 -1 2 4 2 50.0
2023 24.32 21 20.6 0 7 19 7 33.3
2024 23.76 8 8.7 -1 2 6 5 62.5
2025 23.57 24 22.2 2 7 18 9 37.5
2026 25.05 15 13.1 2 6 8 7 46.7
Player 24.26 72 69.4 3 24 55 30 41.7
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's batted balls allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Expected Home Runs by Park

Adjusted

Year HR
2022 4 4 6 4 5 5 5 4 4 3 3 6 5 4 4 5 4 4 5 5 5 6 8 5 2 3 7 8 5 5 4
2023 21 18 14 20 23 22 24 15 18 16 19 22 23 18 24 21 27 17 19 22 19 19 30 23 19 18 19 24 22 22 20
2024 8 10 7 12 8 9 9 8 6 8 7 11 11 8 8 8 8 8 9 9 9 7 13 9 8 8 8 8 10 9 9
2025 24 26 17 17 20 23 20 24 19 18 20 19 21 29 24 20 25 23 21 26 25 20 28 27 22 18 17 23 27 24 24
2026 15 14 10 14 13 15 12 13 14 14 12 13 11 15 14 13 14 13 12 17 12 12 15 16 12 9 11 13 14 11 14
Player 72 72 54 67 69 74 70 64 61 59 61 71 71 74 74 67 78 65 66 79 70 64 94 80 63 56 62 76 78 71 71
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's batted balls allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Year to Year Changes

2026 +/-   2025 +/-   2024 +/-   2023 +/-   2022
Results
BA .243 -.028 .271 -.040 .311 +.066 .245 +.023 .222
xBA .247 -.019 .266 -.015 .281 +.023 .258 +.015 .243
OBP .301 -.030 .331 -.036 .367 +.051 .316 +.006 .310
xOBP .305 -.022 .327 -.013 .340 +.010 .330 .000 .330
SLG .397 -.049 .446 -.044 .490 +.100 .390 +.057 .333
xSLG .385 -.063 .448 +.007 .441 +.027 .414 +.011 .403
ISO .154 -.021 .175 -.005 .180 +.035 .145 +.034 .111
xISO .138 -.044 .182 +.021 .161 +.005 .156 -.004 .160
BABIP .273 -.035 .308 -.058 .366 +.091 .275 +.007 .268
wOBA .306 -.030 .336 -.034 .370 +.061 .309 +.021 .288
xwOBA .303 -.032 .335 -.007 .342 +.015 .327 +.004 .323
wOBAcon .348 -.037 .385 -.053 .438 +.106 .332 +.022 .310
xwOBAcon .343 -.040 .383 -.016 .399 +.043 .356 -.006 .362
BACON .308 -.034 .342 -.056 .398 +.097 .301 +.013 .288
xBACON .314 -.022 .336 -.023 .359 +.039 .320 +.002 .318
Statcast Hit Metrics
Hard Hit % 39.8 -4.0 43.8 -1.5 45.3 +4.3 41.0 +6.6 34.4
Avg Exit Velocity 90.0 0.0 90.0 +0.1 89.9 0.0 89.9 +1.7 88.2
Launch Angle Sweet-Spot % 32.8 -1.2 34.0 +2.9 31.1 -0.9 32.0 +1.5 30.5
Barrel % 5.4 -2.4 7.8 -0.9 8.7 +2.7 6.0 +0.2 5.8
Avg Launch Angle 13.2 +4.7 8.5 +0.4 8.1 -0.4 8.5 -0.3 8.8
Statcast Bat Tracking
Bat Speed 72.4 -0.2 72.6 +0.6 72.0 -0.3 72.3 -- --
Attack Angle 10° -1° 12° 12° 11° -- --
Ideal Attack Angle % 50.1 -4.4 54.5 +1.4 53.1 +0.6 52.5 -- --
Attack Direction -2° +2° -4° -3° +1° -4° -- --
Swing Path - Tilt 33° -1° 35° +1° 34° -1° 35° -- --
Swing Length 7.3 -0.2 7.5 0.0 7.5 +0.1 7.4 -- --
Statcast Pitch Metrics
Fastball Velocity 91.1 -0.7 91.8 +1.3 90.5 +0.7 89.8 -0.8 90.6
Breaking Velocity 83.2 -1.1 84.3 +0.7 83.6 +0.9 82.7 +0.3 82.4
Offspeed Velocity 85.6 -1.0 86.6 +1.4 85.2 +0.1 85.1 -0.9 86.0
Batted Ball Results
Barrels 17 -21 38 +24 14 -18 32 +23 9
Popup % 6.4 +4.2 2.2 -1.5 3.7 -1.0 4.7 -1.8 6.5
Flyball % 27.1 +2.0 25.1 +1.5 23.6 +2.5 21.1 -1.0 22.1
Line Drive % 23.6 -0.2 23.8 +0.8 23.0 -0.7 23.7 +2.3 21.4
Groundball % 43.0 -5.9 48.9 -0.8 49.7 -0.9 50.6 +0.6 50.0
Pull % 39.5 -4.7 44.2 +1.3 42.9 -0.1 43.0 +0.1 42.9
Straight Away % 33.1 -3.4 36.5 -0.1 36.6 +1.6 35.0 -2.0 37.0
Opposite Field % 27.4 +8.1 19.3 -1.2 20.5 -1.5 22.0 +1.9 20.1
Weak Contact % 4.1 -0.6 4.7 +2.2 2.5 -0.9 3.4 -2.4 5.8
Pull Airball % 18.8 -1.0 19.8 +4.9 14.9 -1.1 16.0 -0.9 16.9
Topped Contact % 30.6 -4.2 34.8 -0.6 35.4 -2.4 37.8 -1.8 39.6
Under Contact % 28.0 +8.0 20.0 +0.7 19.3 -2.9 22.2 +1.4 20.8
Flare/Burner Contact % 25.2 -0.1 25.3 -5.1 30.4 +5.8 24.6 +5.8 18.8
Solid Contact % 6.7 -0.6 7.3 +3.6 3.7 -2.1 5.8 -3.3 9.1
HR/FB % 17.6 -1.9 19.5 -1.6 21.1 +4.1 17.0 +5.2 11.8
Popups 20 +9 11 +5 6 -19 25 +15 10
Flyballs 85 -38 123 +85 38 -74 112 +78 34
Line Drives 74 -43 117 +80 37 -89 126 +93 33
Groundballs 135 -105 240 +160 80 -189 269 +192 77
Plate Discipline
In Zone % 47.7 -0.2 47.9 +2.5 45.4 -0.5 45.9 +2.8 43.1
Out of Zone % 52.3 +0.2 52.1 -2.5 54.6 +0.5 54.1 -2.8 56.9
Edge % 41.0 -3.1 44.1 -0.8 44.9 +2.2 42.7 -0.7 43.4
Zone Swing % 67.0 +1.3 65.7 +4.5 61.2 -5.7 66.9 +0.9 66.0
Out of Zone Swing % 29.4 +0.9 28.5 -1.2 29.7 +1.0 28.7 -1.1 29.8
In Zone Contact % 87.3 -2.1 89.4 +1.9 87.5 +1.1 86.4 -1.1 87.5
Out of Zone Contact % 57.4 +5.0 52.4 +0.3 52.1 -4.5 56.6 -0.8 57.4
Whiff % 22.3 -0.2 22.5 -3.0 25.5 +1.9 23.6 -0.1 23.7
First Strike % 64.4 +4.6 59.8 +2.7 57.1 -6.0 63.1 +7.2 55.9
First Pitch Swing % 33.8 +2.1 31.7 +7.4 24.3 -4.9 29.2 -1.6 30.8
Swing % 47.4 +1.1 46.3 +2.3 44.0 -2.3 46.3 +0.9 45.4
Meatball Swing % 76.9 +1.7 75.2 +2.2 73.0 -3.4 76.4 -2.5 78.9
Meatball % 6.8 +0.2 6.6 +2.3 4.3 -2.5 6.8 +0.3 6.5
Zone Swing & Miss % 12.7 +2.1 10.6 -1.9 12.5 -1.1 13.6 +1.1 12.5
Out of Zone Swing & Miss % 42.6 -5.0 47.6 -0.3 47.9 +4.5 43.4 +0.8 42.6
In Zone 731 -473 1,204 +812 392 -917 1,309 +933 376
Out of Zone 800 -510 1,310 +838 472 -1,068 1,540 +1,043 497
Edge 628 -480 1,108 +720 388 -828 1,216 +837 379
In Zone Swings 490 -301 791 +551 240 -636 876 +628 248
Out of Zone Swings 235 -139 374 +234 140 -302 442 +294 148
In Zone Swing & Misses 62 -22 84 +54 30 -89 119 +88 31
Out of Zone Swing & Misses 100 -78 178 +111 67 -125 192 +129 63
Basic
Pitches 1,531 -983 2,514 +1,650 864 -1,985 2,849 +1,976 873
PA 435 -244 679 +453 226 -506 732 +505 227
AB 395 -221 616 +410 206 -448 654 +456 198
Hits 96 -71 167 +103 64 -96 160 +116 44
Singles 67 -42 109 +64 45 -61 106 +76 30
Doubles 12 -20 32 +23 9 -23 32 +22 10
Triples 2 0 2 0 2 -1 3 +3 0
Home Runs 15 -9 24 +16 8 -11 19 +15 4
Walks 32 -19 51 +34 17 -46 63 +40 23
Strikeouts 86 -45 131 +85 46 -82 128 +81 47
K% 19.8 +0.5 19.3 -1.1 20.4 +2.9 17.5 -3.2 20.7
BB% 7.4 -0.1 7.5 0.0 7.5 -1.1 8.6 -1.5 10.1
HBP 2 -4 6 +4 2 -6 8 +5 3
Batted Balls 314 -177 491 +330 161 -371 532 +378 154
Fastball Percent 63.9 +9.5 54.4 -0.9 55.3 +4.7 50.6 -10.5 61.1
Offspeed Percent 8.8 -1.7 10.5 -2.8 13.3 -0.7 14.0 +2.0 12.0
Breaking Percent 27.3 -7.8 35.1 +3.7 31.4 -4.0 35.4 +8.5 26.9
Number of Fastballs 978 -390 1,368 +890 478 -964 1,442 +909 533
Number of Offspeed 135 -128 263 +148 115 -284 399 +294 105
Number of Breaking 418 -465 883 +612 271 -737 1,008 +773 235
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Statcast Fielder Positioning

vs RHHvs LHH
YearAlignment TypePAwOBAPATotal%PATotal%
2022 Shifts 226 .288 123 48 39.0 103 43 41.7
2023 Shades 731 .309 351 78 22.2 380 173 45.5
2024 Shades 226 .370 105 13 12.4 121 54 44.6
2025 Shades 678 .336 344 1 0.3 334 276 82.6
2026 Shades 435 .306 156 0 0.0 279 68 24.4
! Note: Shifts are through the 2022 season, Shaded starting from the 2023 season, Shift: three or more infielders are on the same side of second base, Shade: positioned outside of their typical responsible slices of the field.
Learn more about how positioning is defined here

Pitch Tempo

Bases EmptyRunners On Base
SeasonTeamPitchesTempoFast %Slow %PitchesTempoFast %Slow %
2022 280 14.8 51.8% 1.1% 120 20.9 0.0% 7.5%
2023 798 12.7 78.1% 0.4% 449 18.5 3.8% 0.9%
2024 274 12.7 81.8% 0.0% 138 17.2 8.0% 0.7%
2025 745 12.5 83.0% 0.1% 357 17.3 8.1% 0.3%
2026 469 13.2 75.7% 1.7% 199 16.8 14.6% 3.0%

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Pitch Distribution