P | Detroit Tigers
Bats/Throws: R/R | 6' 4" 210 lbs | Age: 25
Draft: 2022 | Rd. 4, No. 117, Detroit Tigers | San Diego State
W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2025 3 2 2.76 16 4 0 45.2 36 1.01
2026 7 3 1.86 16 16 0 97 80 1.01
2 Seasons 10 5 2.14 32 20 0 142.2 116 1.01
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2025 16 3-2 2.76 45.2 36 1.01
2026 16 7-3 1.86 97 80 1.01
2 Seasons 32 10-5 2.14 142.2 116 1.01
MLB Percentile Rankings
Movement Profile (Induced Break)
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Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls
Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity
Max EV Launch
Angle
LA Sweet-
Spot %
xBA xSLG wOBA xwOBA xwOBAcon HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2025 24 656 128 11 8.6 6.1 90.8 109.2 14.2 32.0 .209 .406 .268 .297 .332 49.2 20.0 8.3 2.76 3.64
2026 25 1427 271 16 5.9 4.2 88.7 111.9 13.9 28.4 .229 .353 .269 .287 .324 36.9 20.9 7.3 1.86 3.41
Player 2083 399 27 6.8 4.8 89.4 111.9 14.0 29.6 .223 .370 .269 .290 .326 40.9 20.6 7.7
MLB 7.6 4.9 88.6 122.9 12.5 33.3 .243 .407 .316 .316 .369 37.1 22.2 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Melton relies on 6 pitches.
Four Seamer
(33.4%) ,
Cutter
(21.9%) ,
Slider
(17.3%) ,
Changeup
(11.4%) ,
Sinker
(8.7%) ,
Curveball
(7.3%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

AIR: Fly Balls + Line Drives + Popups All Batted Balls Batted Ball Breakdown
Season GB % AIR % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Pull GB % Straight GB % Oppo GB % Pull AIR % Straight AIR % Oppo AIR %
2025 43.8 56.3 28.9 18.8 8.6 41.4 32.8 25.8 23.4 16.4 3.9 18.0 16.4 21.9
2026 44.3 55.7 23.2 23.2 9.2 43.2 33.9 22.9 24.7 14.4 5.2 18.5 19.6 17.7
Player 44.1 55.9 25.1 21.8 9.0 42.6 33.6 23.8 24.3 15.0 4.8 18.3 18.5 19.0
MLB 44.1 55.9 24.2 24.6 7.1 37.5 37.3 25.1 20.7 17.5 5.8 16.8 19.8 19.2
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Quality of Contact

Season Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2025 3.1 32.8 26.6 15.6 13.3 8.6 6.1
2026 4.8 31.0 28.4 23.6 6.3 5.9 4.2
Player 4.3 31.6 27.8 21.1 8.5 6.8 4.8
MLB 4.0 32.2 25.0 24.4 5.9 7.6 4.9
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement


How this works: This section shows two different ways to evaluate pitch movement. On the left, “Total Movement” shows the real-world movement of a pitch, including the forces of gravity, which affects every pitch thrown. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren't 'better' just because they have more time to move, a pitch's movement is compared to other pitches of the same pitch type, within +/- 2 MPH and +/- 0.5 feet of extension/release. On the right, Induced Movement (or IVB) is reported without gravity, and attempts to isolate movement created by the pitcher's ability to spin and manipulate the ball.
Total Movement (in inches, w/ gravity)Induced Movement (in inches, w/o gravity)
YearPitchTeamHand#MPHVertical
Drop
vs.
Comparable
Horizontal
Break
vs.
Comparable
Vertical
Break
vs. AvgHorizontal
Break
vs. Avg
2026 Cutter DET R 313 92.1 24.5 -0.9 4.1GLV 2.4 7.5 -0.5 4.1GLV 1.9
2026 4-Seam Fastball DET R 477 96.3 14.3 -0.3 6.3ARM -1.6 15.1 -0.5 6.3ARM -1.5
2026 Sinker DET R 124 95.6 19.6 -2.0 14.1ARM -1.2 10.2 -2.6 14.1ARM -1.0
2026 Changeup DET R 162 89.1 32.7 1.4 10.3ARM -3.5 1.5 2.3 10.3ARM -3.9
2026 Slider DET R 247 86.7 36.5 1.6 6.9GLV 2.8 -0.3 1.7 6.9GLV 3.3
2026 Curveball DET R 104 78.9 53.3 -1.7 16.0GLV 6.8 -9.0 -1.2 16.0GLV 6.9
2025 Curveball DET R 35 78.8 54.0 0.1 14.1GLV 4.5 -9.5 -0.7 14.1GLV 5.1
2025 Cutter DET R 71 90.9 27.1 -2.7 3.5GLV 2.0 5.7 -2.7 3.5GLV 1.3
2025 Changeup DET R 53 88.2 34.4 2.2 9.7ARM -4.8 0.6 3.5 9.7ARM -4.8
2025 4-Seam Fastball DET R 274 97.1 14.1 -0.3 6.9ARM -1.5 14.9 -0.9 6.9ARM -0.7
2025 Slider DET R 154 85.5 38.6 3.0 7.2GLV 2.7 -1.3 3.1 7.2GLV 3.0
2025 Sinker DET R 69 95.4 20.2 -1.8 14.0ARM -1.5 9.7 -2.3 14.0ARM -1.1
! Note: Years are in reverse order.

Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2026 4-Seam Fastball 0.7 3 477 33.4 128 .207 .405 .300 19.6 14.8 16.4 .241 .434 .326 38.1
2026 Cutter 2.9 9 313 21.9 90 .185 .284 .252 21.5 14.4 16.7 .221 .329 .283 33.8
2026 Slider 0.7 2 247 17.3 73 .176 .353 .255 34.1 35.6 26.3 .207 .319 .260 32.6
2026 Changeup -1.2 -2 162 11.4 40 .250 .350 .260 34.2 30.0 19.4 .221 .282 .219 35.7
2026 Sinker 0.5 1 124 8.7 29 .240 .280 .357 21.0 10.3 27.3 .264 .299 .309 40.9
2026 Curveball 1.8 2 104 7.3 22 .167 .222 .212 31.1 31.8 21.9 .242 .297 .290 53.8
2025 4-Seam Fastball 1.6 4 274 41.8 80 .162 .279 .282 28.8 27.5 32.4 .180 .337 .284 44.7
2025 Slider 2.9 4 154 23.5 43 .146 .171 .187 29.3 20.9 16.1 .190 .315 .237 50.0
2025 Cutter -5.1 -4 71 10.8 20 .368 1.053 .588 12.8 5.0 9.1 .344 .836 .497 61.1
2025 Sinker -1.8 -1 69 10.5 16 .286 .500 .381 7.1 6.3 20.0 .259 .673 .424 53.8
2025 Changeup 2.7 1 53 8.1 15 .067 .067 .060 13.0 13.3 11.8 .170 .203 .161 46.2
2025 Curveball -0.3 0 35 5.3 6 .400 .400 .300 15.4 16.7 10.0 .244 .317 .261 40.0
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: To better align with other values, positive numbers (red) are good, and negative numbers (blue) are poor.

Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2026 Changeup 133 89.0 79 10.9 1:45 2:45 -60
2026 Curveball 104 78.9 84 20.4 7:15 7:45 -30
2026 Cutter 312 92.1 51 8.1 11:45 10:45 60
2026 4-Seam Fastball 477 96.3 89 16.0 1:00 12:45 15
2026 Sinker 124 95.6 90 17.5 1:00 2:00 -60
2026 Slider 247 86.7 46 7.6 9:30 8:30 60
2025 Changeup 44 88.0 71 10.3 2:00 3:00 -60
2025 Curveball 35 78.8 88 19.3 7:15 7:45 -30
2025 Cutter 71 90.9 45 6.3 11:15 10:45 30
2025 4-Seam Fastball 274 97.1 90 16.1 1:00 1:00 0
2025 Sinker 69 95.4 88 17.2 1:00 2:00 -60
2025 Slider 153 85.5 54 8.3 9:00 8:15 45
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Pitcher Arm Angle

! Note: Data is available from 2020 through the present.
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Statcast Pitching Run Value

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2025 180 656 6 4 -4 -1 5
2026 382 1,427 15 14 -9 -5 15
Player 562 2,083 21 18 -13 21 20
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2025 656 52.7 70.8 82.0 23.2 58.3 41.3 67.2 48.3 23.3 10.2 74.6
2026 1,427 48.1 68.3 85.3 32.6 54.8 41.6 59.2 49.8 25.1 6.9 73.5
Player 2,083 49.6 69.1 84.2 29.8 55.6 41.5 61.7 49.3 24.5 7.9 73.9
MLB 48.7 67.0 82.7 28.6 57.9 42.6 61.2 47.3 25.0 7.3 76.2
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Run Value Pitching
Year Pitching Fastball Breaking Off
Speed
xERA Fastball
MPH
Fastball
Spin
Curve
Spin
Avg
EV
Chase% Whiff% K% BB% Barrel% Hard-
Hit%
GB% Extension
2025 86 32 87
2026 89 96 76 21 76 76 37 30 49 72 49 37 68 76 61 59 80
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Expected Home Runs

Adjusted

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2025 23.18 9 9.6 -1 5 8 3 33.3
2026 23.03 10 7.2 3 8 5 3 30.0
Player 23.09 19 16.8 2 13 13 6 31.6
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's batted balls allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Expected Home Runs by Park

Adjusted

Year HR
2025 9 11 5 12 12 11 10 9 9 8 6 9 10 12 10 8 10 9 10 13 9 8 12 11 10 7 9 10 10 10 9
2026 10 8 4 10 6 8 6 7 12 7 5 9 7 9 7 8 6 5 7 11 4 9 9 9 5 5 6 7 8 6 6
Player 19 19 9 22 18 19 16 16 21 15 11 18 17 21 17 16 16 14 17 24 13 17 21 20 15 12 15 17 18 16 15
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's batted balls allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Year to Year Changes

2026 +/-   2025
Results
BA .201 +.010 .191
xBA .229 +.020 .209
OBP .265 +.002 .263
xOBP .292 +.012 .280
SLG .342 -.004 .346
xSLG .353 -.053 .406
ISO .141 -.013 .154
xISO .123 -.073 .196
BABIP .231 +.031 .200
wOBA .269 +.001 .268
xwOBA .287 -.010 .297
wOBAcon .300 +.009 .291
xwOBAcon .324 -.008 .332
BACON .259 +.015 .244
xBACON .297 +.028 .269
Statcast Hit Metrics
Hard Hit % 36.9 -12.3 49.2
Avg Exit Velocity 88.7 -2.1 90.8
Launch Angle Sweet-Spot % 28.4 -3.6 32.0
Barrel % 5.9 -2.7 8.6
Avg Launch Angle 13.9 -0.3 14.2
Statcast Bat Tracking
Bat Speed 72.8 +1.4 71.4
Attack Angle 11° +2°
Ideal Attack Angle % 57.2 +5.7 51.5
Attack Direction -5° -5°
Swing Path - Tilt 32° +1° 32°
Swing Length 7.5 +0.3 7.2
Statcast Pitch Metrics
Fastball Velocity 94.8 -1.0 95.8
Breaking Velocity 84.4 +0.2 84.2
Offspeed Velocity 89.1 +0.9 88.2
Batted Ball Results
Barrels 16 +5 11
Popup % 9.2 +0.6 8.6
Flyball % 23.2 -5.7 28.9
Line Drive % 23.2 +4.4 18.8
Groundball % 44.3 +0.5 43.8
Pull % 43.2 +1.8 41.4
Straight Away % 33.9 +1.1 32.8
Opposite Field % 22.9 -2.9 25.8
Weak Contact % 4.8 +1.7 3.1
Pull Airball % 18.5 +0.5 18.0
Topped Contact % 31.0 -1.8 32.8
Under Contact % 28.4 +1.8 26.6
Flare/Burner Contact % 23.6 +8.0 15.6
Solid Contact % 6.3 -7.0 13.3
HR/FB % 15.9 -3.0 18.9
Popups 25 +14 11
Flyballs 63 +26 37
Line Drives 63 +39 24
Groundballs 120 +64 56
Plate Discipline
In Zone % 48.1 -4.6 52.7
Out of Zone % 51.9 +4.6 47.3
Edge % 41.6 +0.3 41.3
Zone Swing % 68.3 -2.5 70.8
Out of Zone Swing % 32.6 +9.4 23.2
In Zone Contact % 85.3 +3.3 82.0
Out of Zone Contact % 54.8 -3.5 58.3
Whiff % 25.1 +1.8 23.3
First Strike % 59.2 -8.0 67.2
First Pitch Swing % 33.5 -5.4 38.9
Swing % 49.8 +1.5 48.3
Meatball Swing % 73.5 -1.1 74.6
Meatball % 6.9 -3.3 10.2
Zone Swing & Miss % 14.7 -3.3 18.0
Out of Zone Swing & Miss % 45.2 +3.5 41.7
In Zone 687 +341 346
Out of Zone 740 +430 310
Edge 594 +323 271
In Zone Swings 469 +224 245
Out of Zone Swings 241 +169 72
In Zone Swing & Misses 69 +25 44
Out of Zone Swing & Misses 109 +79 30
Basic
Pitches 1,427 +771 656
PA 382 +202 180
AB 348 +186 162
Hits 70 +39 31
Singles 42 +22 20
Doubles 17 +13 4
Triples 1 +1 0
Home Runs 10 +3 7
Walks 28 +13 15
Strikeouts 80 +44 36
K% 20.9 +0.9 20.0
BB% 7.3 -1.0 8.3
HBP 3 +2 1
Batted Balls 271 +143 128
Fastball Percent 64.1 +1.0 63.1
Offspeed Percent 11.4 +3.3 8.1
Breaking Percent 24.6 -4.2 28.8
Number of Fastballs 914 +500 414
Number of Offspeed 162 +109 53
Number of Breaking 351 +162 189
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Statcast Fielder Positioning

vs RHHvs LHH
YearAlignment TypePAwOBAPATotal%PATotal%
2025 Shades 180 .268 84 6 7.1 96 71 74.0
2026 Shades 382 .269 153 26 17.0 229 161 70.3
! Note: Shifts are through the 2022 season, Shaded starting from the 2023 season, Shift: three or more infielders are on the same side of second base, Shade: positioned outside of their typical responsible slices of the field.
Learn more about how positioning is defined here

Pitch Tempo

Bases EmptyRunners On Base
SeasonTeamPitchesTempoFast %Slow %PitchesTempoFast %Slow %
2025 176 14.1 66.5% 0.0% 105 18.1 1.0% 0.0%
2026 391 14.3 64.7% 0.5% 188 18.0 1.6% 2.7%

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Pitch Distribution