P | Detroit Tigers
Bats/Throws: R/R | 6' 4" 210 lbs | Age: 25
Draft: 2022 | Rd. 4, No. 117, Detroit Tigers | San Diego State
W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2025 3 2 2.76 16 4 0 45.2 36 1.01
2026 8 4 2.52 19 19 0 110.2 90 1.10
2 Seasons 11 6 2.59 35 23 0 156.1 126 1.07
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2025 16 3-2 2.76 45.2 36 1.01
2026 19 8-4 2.52 110.2 90 1.10
2 Seasons 35 11-6 2.59 156.1 126 1.07
MLB Percentile Rankings
Movement Profile (Induced Break)
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Statcast Statistics

Season Age Team Pitches Batted
Balls
Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity
Max EV Launch
Angle
LA Sweet-
Spot %
xBA xSLG wOBA xwOBA xwOBAcon HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2025 24 656 128 11 8.6 6.1 90.8 109.2 14.2 32.0 .209 .406 .268 .297 .332 49.2 20.0 8.3 2.76 3.64
2026 25 1690 321 20 6.2 4.4 88.8 111.9 14.4 31.5 .236 .369 .290 .299 .332 37.4 20.0 7.5 2.52 3.74
Player 2346 449 31 6.9 4.9 89.4 111.9 14.3 31.6 .229 .379 .284 .298 .332 40.8 20.0 7.8
MLB 7.6 4.9 88.6 122.9 12.6 33.3 .244 .407 .316 .316 .368 37.1 22.2 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Melton relies on 6 pitches.
Four Seamer
(32.1%) ,
Cutter
(22.0%) ,
Slider
(17.0%) ,
Changeup
(11.5%) ,
Sinker
(9.3%) ,
Curveball
(8.0%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

AIR: Fly Balls + Line Drives + Popups All Batted Balls Batted Ball Breakdown
Season GB % AIR % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Pull GB % Straight GB % Oppo GB % Pull AIR % Straight AIR % Oppo AIR %
2025 43.8 56.3 28.9 18.8 8.6 41.4 32.8 25.8 23.4 16.4 3.9 18.0 16.4 21.9
2026 42.7 57.3 23.7 24.6 9.0 42.4 35.8 21.8 22.4 15.3 5.0 19.9 20.6 16.8
Player 43.0 57.0 25.2 22.9 8.9 42.1 35.0 22.9 22.7 15.6 4.7 19.4 19.4 18.3
MLB 44.1 55.9 24.3 24.6 7.1 37.5 37.3 25.0 20.7 17.5 5.8 16.9 19.8 19.2
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Quality of Contact

Season Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2025 3.1 32.8 26.6 15.6 13.3 8.6 6.1
2026 4.4 30.2 29.0 23.7 6.5 6.2 4.4
Player 4.0 31.0 28.3 21.4 8.5 6.9 4.9
MLB 4.1 32.2 25.0 24.4 5.9 7.6 4.9
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement


How this works: This section shows two different ways to evaluate pitch movement. On the left, “Total Movement” shows the real-world movement of a pitch, including the forces of gravity, which affects every pitch thrown. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren't 'better' just because they have more time to move, a pitch's movement is compared to other pitches of the same pitch type, within +/- 2 MPH and +/- 0.5 feet of extension/release. On the right, Induced Movement (or IVB) is reported without gravity, and attempts to isolate movement created by the pitcher's ability to spin and manipulate the ball.
Total Movement (in inches, w/ gravity)Induced Movement (in inches, w/o gravity)
SeasonPitchTeamHand#MPHVertical
Drop
vs.
Comparable
Horizontal
Break
vs.
Comparable
Vertical
Break
vs. AvgHorizontal
Break
vs. Avg
2026 Sinker R 158 95.7 19.7 -1.9 14.4ARM -0.9 10.0 -2.5 14.4ARM -0.6
2026 Changeup R 195 89.3 32.6 1.2 10.6ARM -3.2 1.5 2.3 10.6ARM -3.6
2026 4-Seam Fastball R 542 96.4 14.2 -0.2 6.5ARM -1.4 15.2 -0.4 6.5ARM -1.3
2026 Slider R 287 86.9 36.3 1.6 6.7GLV 2.7 -0.2 1.6 6.7GLV 3.1
2026 Curveball R 136 79.4 52.7 -1.7 16.1GLV 7.1 -9.0 -1.2 16.1GLV 7.1
2026 Cutter R 372 92.2 24.5 -1.0 4.0GLV 2.3 7.4 -0.6 4.0GLV 1.8
2025 Curveball R 35 78.8 54.0 0.1 14.1GLV 4.5 -9.5 -0.7 14.1GLV 5.1
2025 Cutter R 71 90.9 27.1 -2.7 3.5GLV 2.0 5.7 -2.6 3.5GLV 1.3
2025 4-Seam Fastball R 274 97.1 14.1 -0.3 6.9ARM -1.5 14.9 -0.9 6.9ARM -0.7
2025 Sinker R 69 95.4 20.2 -1.8 14.0ARM -1.5 9.7 -2.3 14.0ARM -1.1
2025 Changeup R 53 88.2 34.4 2.2 9.7ARM -4.8 0.6 3.5 9.7ARM -4.8
2025 Slider R 154 85.5 38.6 3.0 7.2GLV 2.7 -1.3 3.1 7.2GLV 3.0
! Note: Seasons are in reverse order.

Run Values by Pitch Type

Season Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2026 4-Seam Fastball -0.2 -1 542 32.1 142 .234 .445 .328 17.6 14.1 14.6 .255 .469 .345 38.9
2026 Cutter 2.8 10 372 22.0 108 .186 .299 .266 20.6 13.9 15.6 .221 .325 .282 34.1
2026 Slider -0.6 -2 287 17.0 85 .208 .455 .316 32.9 32.9 25.5 .220 .357 .291 34.0
2026 Changeup -0.6 -1 195 11.5 46 .217 .304 .226 31.1 26.1 15.4 .228 .288 .224 35.3
2026 Sinker 0.9 1 158 9.3 39 .242 .273 .347 21.0 10.3 28.6 .270 .331 .330 44.8
2026 Curveball 0.4 1 136 8.0 31 .222 .296 .280 31.7 35.5 22.4 .219 .274 .255 44.4
2025 4-Seam Fastball 1.6 4 274 41.8 80 .162 .279 .282 28.8 27.5 32.4 .179 .336 .284 44.7
2025 Slider 2.9 4 154 23.5 43 .146 .171 .187 29.3 20.9 16.1 .190 .315 .237 50.0
2025 Cutter -5.1 -4 71 10.8 20 .368 1.053 .588 12.8 5.0 9.1 .344 .836 .497 61.1
2025 Sinker -1.8 -1 69 10.5 16 .286 .500 .381 7.1 6.3 20.0 .259 .673 .424 53.8
2025 Changeup 2.7 1 53 8.1 15 .067 .067 .060 13.0 13.3 11.8 .170 .203 .161 46.2
2025 Curveball -0.3 0 35 5.3 6 .400 .400 .300 15.4 16.7 10.0 .244 .317 .261 40.0
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: To better align with other values, positive numbers (red) are good, and negative numbers (blue) are poor.

Spin Direction

Season Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2026 Changeup 157 89.2 80 11.1 1:45 2:45 -60
2026 Curveball 136 79.4 84 20.5 7:30 7:45 -15
2026 Cutter 371 92.2 51 8.0 11:45 10:45 60
2026 4-Seam Fastball 542 96.4 89 16.2 1:00 12:45 15
2026 Sinker 158 95.7 90 17.7 1:00 2:00 -60
2026 Slider 287 86.9 46 7.5 9:30 8:30 60
2025 Changeup 44 88.0 71 10.3 2:00 3:00 -60
2025 Curveball 35 78.8 88 19.3 7:15 7:45 -30
2025 Cutter 71 90.9 45 6.3 11:15 10:45 30
2025 4-Seam Fastball 274 97.1 90 16.1 1:00 1:00 0
2025 Sinker 69 95.4 88 17.2 1:00 2:00 -60
2025 Slider 153 85.5 54 8.3 9:00 8:15 45
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Pitcher Arm Angle

! Note: Data is available from 2020 through the present.
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Statcast Pitching Run Value

Runs
Season Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2025 180 656 6 4 -4 -1 5
2026 451 1,690 10 16 -11 -7 8
Player 631 2,346 16 20 -15 16 14
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2025 656 52.7 70.8 82.0 23.2 58.3 41.3 67.2 48.3 23.3 10.2 74.6
2026 1,690 48.1 69.1 86.7 32.4 55.6 41.7 60.3 50.1 23.8 7.1 71.7
Player 2,346 49.4 69.6 85.3 30.0 56.2 41.6 62.3 49.6 23.6 8.0 72.7
MLB 48.7 67.0 82.7 28.6 57.9 42.6 61.2 47.3 25.0 7.3 76.2
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Run Value Pitching
Season Pitching Fastball Breaking Off
Speed
xERA Fastball
MPH
Fastball
Spin
Curve
Spin
Avg
EV
Chase% Whiff% K% BB% Barrel% Hard-
Hit%
GB% Extension
2025 86 32 87
2026 71 87 39 32 65 78 38 33 46 70 42 33 64 73 57 49 81
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Expected Home Runs

Adjusted

Season Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2025 23.18 9 9.6 -1 5 8 3 33.3
2026 23.25 13 9.7 3 10 7 4 30.8
Player 23.22 22 19.3 3 15 15 7 31.8
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's batted balls allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Expected Home Runs by Park

Adjusted

Season HR
2025 9 11 5 12 12 11 10 9 9 8 6 9 10 12 10 8 10 9 10 13 9 8 12 11 10 7 9 10 10 10 9
2026 13 10 7 15 8 10 8 9 14 9 7 13 9 12 11 10 8 8 9 16 7 13 12 11 7 7 8 9 10 8 6
Player 22 21 12 27 20 21 18 18 23 17 13 22 19 24 21 18 18 17 19 29 16 21 24 22 17 14 17 19 20 18 15
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's batted balls allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Year to Year Changes

2026 +/-   2025
Results
BA .216 +.025 .191
xBA .236 +.027 .209
OBP .284 +.021 .263
xOBP .304 +.024 .280
SLG .373 +.027 .346
xSLG .369 -.037 .406
ISO .157 +.003 .154
xISO .133 -.063 .196
BABIP .244 +.044 .200
wOBA .290 +.022 .268
xwOBA .299 +.002 .297
wOBAcon .321 +.030 .291
xwOBAcon .332 .000 .332
BACON .275 +.031 .244
xBACON .302 +.033 .269
Statcast Hit Metrics
Hard Hit % 37.4 -11.8 49.2
Avg Exit Velocity 88.8 -2.0 90.8
Launch Angle Sweet-Spot % 31.5 -0.5 32.0
Barrel % 6.2 -2.4 8.6
Avg Launch Angle 14.4 +0.2 14.2
Statcast Bat Tracking
Bat Speed 72.6 +1.2 71.4
Attack Angle 11° +2°
Ideal Attack Angle % 58.7 +7.2 51.5
Attack Direction -5° -5°
Swing Path - Tilt 32° 32°
Swing Length 7.4 +0.2 7.2
Statcast Pitch Metrics
Fastball Velocity 94.8 -1.0 95.8
Breaking Velocity 84.5 +0.3 84.2
Offspeed Velocity 89.3 +1.1 88.2
Batted Ball Results
Barrels 20 +9 11
Popup % 9.0 +0.4 8.6
Flyball % 23.7 -5.2 28.9
Line Drive % 24.6 +5.8 18.8
Groundball % 42.7 -1.1 43.8
Pull % 42.4 +1.0 41.4
Straight Away % 35.8 +3.0 32.8
Opposite Field % 21.8 -4.0 25.8
Weak Contact % 4.4 +1.3 3.1
Pull Airball % 19.9 +1.9 18.0
Topped Contact % 30.2 -2.6 32.8
Under Contact % 29.0 +2.4 26.6
Flare/Burner Contact % 23.7 +8.1 15.6
Solid Contact % 6.5 -6.8 13.3
HR/FB % 17.1 -1.8 18.9
Popups 29 +18 11
Flyballs 76 +39 37
Line Drives 79 +55 24
Groundballs 137 +81 56
Plate Discipline
In Zone % 48.1 -4.6 52.7
Out of Zone % 51.9 +4.6 47.3
Edge % 41.7 +0.4 41.3
Zone Swing % 69.1 -1.7 70.8
Out of Zone Swing % 32.4 +9.2 23.2
In Zone Contact % 86.7 +4.7 82.0
Out of Zone Contact % 55.6 -2.7 58.3
Whiff % 23.8 +0.5 23.3
First Strike % 60.3 -6.9 67.2
First Pitch Swing % 35.7 -3.2 38.9
Swing % 50.1 +1.8 48.3
Meatball Swing % 71.7 -2.9 74.6
Meatball % 7.1 -3.1 10.2
Zone Swing & Miss % 13.3 -4.7 18.0
Out of Zone Swing & Miss % 44.4 +2.7 41.7
In Zone 813 +467 346
Out of Zone 877 +567 310
Edge 705 +434 271
In Zone Swings 562 +317 245
Out of Zone Swings 284 +212 72
In Zone Swing & Misses 75 +31 44
Out of Zone Swing & Misses 126 +96 30
Basic
Pitches 1,690 +1,034 656
PA 451 +271 180
AB 408 +246 162
Hits 88 +57 31
Singles 52 +32 20
Doubles 21 +17 4
Triples 2 +2 0
Home Runs 13 +6 7
Walks 34 +19 15
Strikeouts 90 +54 36
K% 20.0 0.0 20.0
BB% 7.5 -0.8 8.3
HBP 6 +5 1
Batted Balls 321 +193 128
Fastball Percent 63.4 +0.3 63.1
Offspeed Percent 11.5 +3.4 8.1
Breaking Percent 25.0 -3.8 28.8
Number of Fastballs 1,072 +658 414
Number of Offspeed 195 +142 53
Number of Breaking 423 +234 189
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Statcast Fielder Positioning

vs RHHvs LHH
SeasonAlignment TypePAwOBAPATotal%PATotal%
2025 Shades 180 .268 84 6 7.1 96 71 74.0
2026 Shades 451 .290 185 30 16.2 266 180 67.7
! Note: Shifts are through the 2022 season, Shaded starting from the 2023 season, Shift: three or more infielders are on the same side of second base, Shade: positioned outside of their typical responsible slices of the field.
Learn more about how positioning is defined here

Pitch Tempo

Bases EmptyRunners On Base
SeasonTeamPitchesTempoFast %Slow %PitchesTempoFast %Slow %
2025 176 14.1 66.5% 0.0% 105 18.1 1.0% 0.0%
2026 461 14.6 59.2% 0.9% 222 18.0 1.4% 2.3%

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Pitch Distribution