P | Detroit Tigers
Bats/Throws: R/R | 6' 4" 210 lbs | Age: 25
Draft: 2022 | Rd. 4, No. 117, Detroit Tigers | San Diego State
W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2025 3 2 2.76 16 4 0 45.2 36 1.01
2026 7 1 1.71 14 14 0 84.1 73 0.97
2 Seasons 10 3 2.08 30 18 0 130 109 0.98
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2025 16 3-2 2.76 45.2 36 1.01
2026 14 7-1 1.71 84.1 73 0.97
2 Seasons 30 10-3 2.08 130 109 0.98
MLB Percentile Rankings
Movement Profile (Induced Break)
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Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls
Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity
Max EV Launch
Angle
LA Sweet-
Spot %
xBA xSLG wOBA xwOBA xwOBAcon HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2025 24 656 128 11 8.6 6.1 90.8 109.2 14.2 32.0 .209 .406 .268 .297 .332 49.2 20.0 8.3 2.76 3.64
2026 25 1162 212 11 5.2 3.6 87.9 111.9 15.1 29.2 .215 .326 .243 .272 .308 34.0 22.5 7.8 1.46 3.06
Player 1818 340 22 6.5 4.5 89.0 111.9 14.7 30.3 .213 .355 .252 .281 .317 39.7 21.6 8.0
MLB 7.6 4.9 88.6 122.9 12.5 33.3 .243 .407 .315 .316 .369 37.1 22.2 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Melton relies on 6 pitches.
Four Seamer
(35.5%) ,
Cutter
(22.5%) ,
Slider
(16.4%) ,
Changeup
(11.3%) ,
Sinker
(8.2%) ,
Curveball
(6.2%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

AIR: Fly Balls + Line Drives + Popups All Batted Balls Batted Ball Breakdown
Season GB % AIR % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Pull GB % Straight GB % Oppo GB % Pull AIR % Straight AIR % Oppo AIR %
2025 43.8 56.3 28.9 18.8 8.6 41.4 32.8 25.8 23.4 16.4 3.9 18.0 16.4 21.9
2026 41.5 58.5 24.5 24.1 9.9 43.4 31.6 25.0 24.5 11.3 5.7 18.9 20.3 19.3
Player 42.4 57.6 26.2 22.1 9.4 42.6 32.1 25.3 24.1 13.2 5.0 18.5 18.8 20.3
MLB 44.1 55.9 24.2 24.6 7.1 37.5 37.3 25.1 20.7 17.5 5.8 16.8 19.7 19.2
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Quality of Contact

Season Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2025 3.1 32.8 26.6 15.6 13.3 8.6 6.1
2026 4.7 28.8 31.6 24.1 5.7 5.2 3.6
Player 4.1 30.3 29.7 20.9 8.5 6.5 4.5
MLB 4.0 32.3 25.0 24.4 5.9 7.6 4.9
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement


How this works: This section shows two different ways to evaluate pitch movement. On the left, “Total Movement” shows the real-world movement of a pitch, including the forces of gravity, which affects every pitch thrown. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren't 'better' just because they have more time to move, a pitch's movement is compared to other pitches of the same pitch type, within +/- 2 MPH and +/- 0.5 feet of extension/release. On the right, Induced Movement (or IVB) is reported without gravity, and attempts to isolate movement created by the pitcher's ability to spin and manipulate the ball.
Total Movement (in inches, w/ gravity)Induced Movement (in inches, w/o gravity)
YearPitchTeamHand#MPHVertical
Drop
vs.
Comparable
Horizontal
Break
vs.
Comparable
Vertical
Break
vs. AvgHorizontal
Break
vs. Avg
2026 Cutter DET R 261 92.2 24.4 -0.8 4.0GLV 2.4 7.5 -0.5 4.0GLV 1.8
2026 Curveball DET R 72 78.7 53.6 -1.6 16.0GLV 6.7 -9.1 -1.1 16.0GLV 6.9
2026 Changeup DET R 131 89.0 32.8 1.4 10.2ARM -3.6 1.5 2.3 10.2ARM -4.0
2026 Sinker DET R 95 95.7 19.3 -2.2 14.1ARM -1.2 10.5 -2.9 14.1ARM -1.0
2026 4-Seam Fastball DET R 412 96.3 14.3 -0.4 6.3ARM -1.6 15.1 -0.6 6.3ARM -1.5
2026 Slider DET R 191 86.8 36.7 1.9 7.0GLV 2.9 -0.5 1.9 7.0GLV 3.3
2025 4-Seam Fastball DET R 274 97.1 14.1 -0.3 6.9ARM -1.5 14.9 -0.9 6.9ARM -0.7
2025 Slider DET R 154 85.5 38.6 3.0 7.2GLV 2.7 -1.3 3.1 7.2GLV 3.0
2025 Changeup DET R 53 88.2 34.4 2.2 9.7ARM -4.8 0.6 3.5 9.7ARM -4.8
2025 Cutter DET R 71 90.9 27.1 -2.7 3.5GLV 2.0 5.7 -2.7 3.5GLV 1.3
2025 Sinker DET R 69 95.4 20.2 -1.8 14.0ARM -1.5 9.7 -2.3 14.0ARM -1.1
2025 Curveball DET R 35 78.8 54.0 0.1 14.1GLV 4.5 -9.5 -0.7 14.1GLV 5.1
! Note: Years are in reverse order.

Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2026 4-Seam Fastball 0.9 4 412 35.5 109 .194 .378 .288 22.3 17.4 17.9 .231 .397 .311 39.2
2026 Cutter 4.3 11 261 22.5 72 .123 .185 .188 23.0 15.3 16.7 .192 .261 .244 24.1
2026 Slider 0.1 0 191 16.4 62 .190 .379 .269 31.7 35.5 27.2 .201 .325 .258 35.1
2026 Changeup 1.2 2 131 11.3 33 .152 .212 .158 36.1 33.3 22.4 .207 .262 .204 31.8
2026 Sinker 0.4 0 95 8.2 18 .267 .267 .367 22.9 11.1 22.2 .273 .306 .328 30.8
2026 Curveball 1.8 1 72 6.2 13 .091 .182 .204 32.1 30.8 20.0 .237 .305 .306 57.1
2025 4-Seam Fastball 1.6 4 274 41.8 80 .162 .279 .282 28.8 27.5 32.4 .180 .337 .284 44.7
2025 Slider 2.9 4 154 23.5 43 .146 .171 .187 29.3 20.9 16.1 .190 .315 .237 50.0
2025 Cutter -5.1 -4 71 10.8 20 .368 1.053 .588 12.8 5.0 9.1 .344 .836 .497 61.1
2025 Sinker -1.8 -1 69 10.5 16 .286 .500 .381 7.1 6.3 20.0 .259 .673 .424 53.8
2025 Changeup 2.7 1 53 8.1 15 .067 .067 .060 13.0 13.3 11.8 .170 .203 .161 46.2
2025 Curveball -0.3 0 35 5.3 6 .400 .400 .300 15.4 16.7 10.0 .244 .317 .261 40.0
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: To better align with other values, positive numbers (red) are good, and negative numbers (blue) are poor.

Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2026 Changeup 105 88.9 77 10.8 1:45 2:45 -60
2026 Curveball 72 78.7 85 20.5 7:15 7:45 -30
2026 Cutter 261 92.2 51 8.2 11:45 11:00 45
2026 4-Seam Fastball 412 96.3 89 16.0 1:00 12:45 15
2026 Sinker 95 95.7 91 17.6 1:00 2:00 -60
2026 Slider 191 86.8 46 7.8 9:30 8:30 60
2025 Changeup 44 88.0 71 10.3 2:00 3:00 -60
2025 Curveball 35 78.8 88 19.3 7:15 7:45 -30
2025 Cutter 71 90.9 45 6.3 11:15 10:45 30
2025 4-Seam Fastball 274 97.1 90 16.1 1:00 1:00 0
2025 Sinker 69 95.4 88 17.2 1:00 2:00 -60
2025 Slider 153 85.5 54 8.3 9:00 8:15 45
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Pitcher Arm Angle

! Note: Data is available from 2020 through the present.
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Statcast Pitching Run Value

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2025 180 656 6 4 -4 -1 5
2026 307 1,162 18 13 -8 -4 19
Player 487 1,818 24 17 -12 24 24
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2025 656 52.7 70.8 82.0 23.2 58.3 41.3 67.2 48.3 23.3 10.2 74.6
2026 1,162 47.8 67.6 84.3 33.3 54.5 41.8 59.9 49.7 26.1 6.5 76.3
Player 1,818 49.6 68.8 83.4 29.9 55.5 41.6 62.6 49.2 25.1 7.9 75.5
MLB 48.7 67.0 82.7 28.6 57.9 42.6 61.2 47.3 25.0 7.3 76.2
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Run Value Pitching
Year Pitching Fastball Breaking Off
Speed
xERA Fastball
MPH
Fastball
Spin
Curve
Spin
Avg
EV
Chase% Whiff% K% BB% Barrel% Hard-
Hit%
GB% Extension
2025 86 32 87
2026 95 97 63 74 86 78 37 29 67 78 56 46 59 84 81 45 81
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Expected Home Runs

Adjusted

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2025 23.18 9 9.6 -1 5 8 3 33.3
2026 22.72 8 5.3 3 6 5 2 25.0
Player 22.94 17 14.9 2 11 13 5 29.4
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's batted balls allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Expected Home Runs by Park

Adjusted

Year HR
2025 9 11 5 12 12 11 10 9 9 8 6 9 10 12 10 8 10 9 10 13 9 8 12 11 10 7 9 10 10 10 9
2026 8 6 3 8 4 6 4 5 10 5 3 7 5 8 5 6 4 3 5 9 3 6 7 7 3 3 4 5 6 4 4
Player 17 17 8 20 16 17 14 14 19 13 9 16 15 20 15 14 14 12 15 22 12 14 19 18 13 10 13 15 16 14 13
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's batted balls allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Year to Year Changes

2026 +/-   2025
Results
BA .171 -.020 .191
xBA .215 +.006 .209
OBP .241 -.022 .263
xOBP .282 +.002 .280
SLG .300 -.046 .346
xSLG .326 -.080 .406
ISO .129 -.025 .154
xISO .111 -.085 .196
BABIP .196 -.004 .200
wOBA .243 -.025 .268
xwOBA .272 -.025 .297
wOBAcon .266 -.025 .291
xwOBAcon .308 -.024 .332
BACON .226 -.018 .244
xBACON .285 +.016 .269
Statcast Hit Metrics
Hard Hit % 34.0 -15.2 49.2
Avg Exit Velocity 87.9 -2.9 90.8
Launch Angle Sweet-Spot % 29.2 -2.8 32.0
Barrel % 5.2 -3.4 8.6
Avg Launch Angle 15.1 +0.9 14.2
Statcast Bat Tracking
Bat Speed 72.8 +1.4 71.4
Attack Angle 11° +2°
Ideal Attack Angle % 57.6 +6.1 51.5
Attack Direction -4° -5°
Swing Path - Tilt 33° +1° 32°
Swing Length 7.4 +0.2 7.2
Statcast Pitch Metrics
Fastball Velocity 94.9 -0.9 95.8
Breaking Velocity 84.5 +0.3 84.2
Offspeed Velocity 89.0 +0.8 88.2
Batted Ball Results
Barrels 11 0 11
Popup % 9.9 +1.3 8.6
Flyball % 24.5 -4.4 28.9
Line Drive % 24.1 +5.3 18.8
Groundball % 41.5 -2.3 43.8
Pull % 43.4 +2.0 41.4
Straight Away % 31.6 -1.2 32.8
Opposite Field % 25.0 -0.8 25.8
Weak Contact % 4.7 +1.6 3.1
Pull Airball % 18.9 +0.9 18.0
Topped Contact % 28.8 -4.0 32.8
Under Contact % 31.6 +5.0 26.6
Flare/Burner Contact % 24.1 +8.5 15.6
Solid Contact % 5.7 -7.6 13.3
HR/FB % 15.4 -3.5 18.9
Popups 21 +10 11
Flyballs 52 +15 37
Line Drives 51 +27 24
Groundballs 88 +32 56
Plate Discipline
In Zone % 47.8 -4.9 52.7
Out of Zone % 52.2 +4.9 47.3
Edge % 41.8 +0.5 41.3
Zone Swing % 67.6 -3.2 70.8
Out of Zone Swing % 33.3 +10.1 23.2
In Zone Contact % 84.3 +2.3 82.0
Out of Zone Contact % 54.5 -3.8 58.3
Whiff % 26.1 +2.8 23.3
First Strike % 59.9 -7.3 67.2
First Pitch Swing % 33.9 -5.0 38.9
Swing % 49.7 +1.4 48.3
Meatball Swing % 76.3 +1.7 74.6
Meatball % 6.5 -3.7 10.2
Zone Swing & Miss % 15.7 -2.3 18.0
Out of Zone Swing & Miss % 45.5 +3.8 41.7
In Zone 556 +210 346
Out of Zone 606 +296 310
Edge 486 +215 271
In Zone Swings 376 +131 245
Out of Zone Swings 202 +130 72
In Zone Swing & Misses 59 +15 44
Out of Zone Swing & Misses 92 +62 30
Basic
Pitches 1,162 +506 656
PA 307 +127 180
AB 280 +118 162
Hits 48 +17 31
Singles 29 +9 20
Doubles 10 +6 4
Triples 1 +1 0
Home Runs 8 +1 7
Walks 24 +9 15
Strikeouts 69 +33 36
K% 22.5 +2.5 20.0
BB% 7.8 -0.5 8.3
HBP 2 +1 1
Batted Balls 212 +84 128
Fastball Percent 66.1 +3.0 63.1
Offspeed Percent 11.3 +3.2 8.1
Breaking Percent 22.6 -6.2 28.8
Number of Fastballs 768 +354 414
Number of Offspeed 131 +78 53
Number of Breaking 263 +74 189
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Statcast Fielder Positioning

vs RHHvs LHH
YearAlignment TypePAwOBAPATotal%PATotal%
2025 Shades 180 .268 84 6 7.1 96 71 74.0
2026 Shades 307 .243 125 22 17.6 182 131 72.0
! Note: Shifts are through the 2022 season, Shaded starting from the 2023 season, Shift: three or more infielders are on the same side of second base, Shade: positioned outside of their typical responsible slices of the field.
Learn more about how positioning is defined here

Pitch Tempo

Bases EmptyRunners On Base
SeasonTeamPitchesTempoFast %Slow %PitchesTempoFast %Slow %
2025 176 14.1 66.5% 0.0% 105 18.1 1.0% 0.0%
2026 358 14.3 65.4% 0.6% 142 18.0 1.4% 2.8%

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Pitch Distribution