P | Detroit Tigers
Bats/Throws: R/R | 6' 4" 210 lbs | Age: 25
Draft: 2022 | Rd. 4, No. 117, Detroit Tigers | San Diego State
W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2025 3 2 2.76 16 4 0 45.2 36 1.01
2026 7 4 2.20 17 17 0 102.1 84 1.03
2 Seasons 10 6 2.37 33 21 0 148 120 1.02
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2025 16 3-2 2.76 45.2 36 1.01
2026 17 7-4 2.20 102.1 84 1.03
2 Seasons 33 10-6 2.37 148 120 1.02
MLB Percentile Rankings
Movement Profile (Induced Break)
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Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls
Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity
Max EV Launch
Angle
LA Sweet-
Spot %
xBA xSLG wOBA xwOBA xwOBAcon HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2025 24 656 128 11 8.6 6.1 90.8 109.2 14.2 32.0 .209 .406 .268 .297 .332 49.2 20.0 8.3 2.76 3.64
2026 25 1523 290 19 6.6 4.7 88.8 111.9 14.6 29.3 .233 .367 .279 .293 .332 36.9 20.6 7.1 2.20 3.58
Player 2179 418 30 7.2 5.1 89.5 111.9 14.4 30.1 .226 .379 .276 .295 .332 40.7 20.4 7.5
MLB 7.6 4.9 88.6 122.9 12.5 33.3 .244 .407 .316 .316 .368 37.1 22.2 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Melton relies on 6 pitches.
Four Seamer
(33.1%) ,
Cutter
(21.9%) ,
Slider
(17.5%) ,
Changeup
(11.3%) ,
Sinker
(8.6%) ,
Curveball
(7.6%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

AIR: Fly Balls + Line Drives + Popups All Batted Balls Batted Ball Breakdown
Season GB % AIR % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Pull GB % Straight GB % Oppo GB % Pull AIR % Straight AIR % Oppo AIR %
2025 43.8 56.3 28.9 18.8 8.6 41.4 32.8 25.8 23.4 16.4 3.9 18.0 16.4 21.9
2026 43.1 56.9 23.8 23.8 9.3 42.4 35.2 22.4 23.4 14.8 4.8 19.0 20.3 17.6
Player 43.3 56.7 25.4 22.2 9.1 42.1 34.4 23.4 23.4 15.3 4.5 18.7 19.1 18.9
MLB 44.1 55.9 24.2 24.6 7.1 37.5 37.3 25.1 20.7 17.5 5.8 16.8 19.8 19.2
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Quality of Contact

Season Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2025 3.1 32.8 26.6 15.6 13.3 8.6 6.1
2026 4.5 30.7 29.0 23.4 5.9 6.6 4.7
Player 4.1 31.3 28.2 21.1 8.1 7.2 5.1
MLB 4.0 32.2 25.0 24.4 5.9 7.6 4.9
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement


How this works: This section shows two different ways to evaluate pitch movement. On the left, “Total Movement” shows the real-world movement of a pitch, including the forces of gravity, which affects every pitch thrown. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren't 'better' just because they have more time to move, a pitch's movement is compared to other pitches of the same pitch type, within +/- 2 MPH and +/- 0.5 feet of extension/release. On the right, Induced Movement (or IVB) is reported without gravity, and attempts to isolate movement created by the pitcher's ability to spin and manipulate the ball.
Total Movement (in inches, w/ gravity)Induced Movement (in inches, w/o gravity)
YearPitchTeamHand#MPHVertical
Drop
vs.
Comparable
Horizontal
Break
vs.
Comparable
Vertical
Break
vs. AvgHorizontal
Break
vs. Avg
2026 Sinker DET R 131 95.7 19.6 -2.0 14.1ARM -1.2 10.2 -2.6 14.1ARM -0.9
2026 Changeup DET R 172 89.2 32.7 1.3 10.3ARM -3.5 1.5 2.3 10.3ARM -3.9
2026 4-Seam Fastball DET R 504 96.3 14.3 -0.3 6.4ARM -1.5 15.2 -0.4 6.4ARM -1.4
2026 Slider DET R 266 86.8 36.4 1.7 6.8GLV 2.8 -0.3 1.7 6.8GLV 3.2
2026 Curveball DET R 116 79.2 53.0 -1.7 15.9GLV 6.8 -9.0 -1.2 15.9GLV 6.8
2026 Cutter DET R 334 92.2 24.6 -0.9 4.0GLV 2.4 7.4 -0.6 4.0GLV 1.8
2025 Curveball DET R 35 78.8 54.0 0.1 14.1GLV 4.5 -9.5 -0.7 14.1GLV 5.1
2025 Cutter DET R 71 90.9 27.1 -2.7 3.5GLV 2.0 5.7 -2.6 3.5GLV 1.3
2025 4-Seam Fastball DET R 274 97.1 14.1 -0.3 6.9ARM -1.5 14.9 -0.9 6.9ARM -0.7
2025 Sinker DET R 69 95.4 20.2 -1.8 14.0ARM -1.5 9.7 -2.3 14.0ARM -1.1
2025 Changeup DET R 53 88.2 34.4 2.2 9.7ARM -4.8 0.6 3.5 9.7ARM -4.8
2025 Slider DET R 154 85.5 38.6 3.0 7.2GLV 2.7 -1.3 3.1 7.2GLV 3.0
! Note: Years are in reverse order.

Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2026 4-Seam Fastball 0.1 0 504 33.1 134 .215 .438 .316 18.8 14.2 15.2 .245 .458 .337 38.2
2026 Cutter 2.7 9 334 21.9 97 .193 .307 .269 21.1 14.4 16.5 .226 .330 .282 33.8
2026 Slider -0.1 0 266 17.5 78 .194 .417 .290 34.3 34.6 25.7 .218 .360 .283 34.8
2026 Changeup -0.9 -1 172 11.3 43 .233 .326 .242 32.1 27.9 18.2 .232 .294 .228 35.5
2026 Sinker 0.8 1 131 8.6 30 .231 .269 .345 19.7 10.0 27.3 .259 .297 .304 39.1
2026 Curveball 2.0 2 116 7.6 25 .143 .190 .185 32.7 36.0 23.1 .218 .267 .263 50.0
2025 4-Seam Fastball 1.6 4 274 41.8 80 .162 .279 .282 28.8 27.5 32.4 .180 .337 .284 44.7
2025 Slider 2.9 4 154 23.5 43 .146 .171 .187 29.3 20.9 16.1 .190 .315 .237 50.0
2025 Cutter -5.1 -4 71 10.8 20 .368 1.053 .588 12.8 5.0 9.1 .344 .836 .497 61.1
2025 Sinker -1.8 -1 69 10.5 16 .286 .500 .381 7.1 6.3 20.0 .259 .673 .424 53.8
2025 Changeup 2.7 1 53 8.1 15 .067 .067 .060 13.0 13.3 11.8 .170 .203 .161 46.2
2025 Curveball -0.3 0 35 5.3 6 .400 .400 .300 15.4 16.7 10.0 .244 .317 .261 40.0
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: To better align with other values, positive numbers (red) are good, and negative numbers (blue) are poor.

Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2026 Changeup 141 89.1 79 10.9 1:45 2:45 -60
2026 Curveball 116 79.2 84 20.4 7:30 7:45 -15
2026 Cutter 333 92.2 51 8.1 11:45 10:45 60
2026 4-Seam Fastball 504 96.3 89 16.1 1:00 12:45 15
2026 Sinker 131 95.7 90 17.5 1:00 2:00 -60
2026 Slider 266 86.8 46 7.6 9:30 8:30 60
2025 Changeup 44 88.0 71 10.3 2:00 3:00 -60
2025 Curveball 35 78.8 88 19.3 7:15 7:45 -30
2025 Cutter 71 90.9 45 6.3 11:15 10:45 30
2025 4-Seam Fastball 274 97.1 90 16.1 1:00 1:00 0
2025 Sinker 69 95.4 88 17.2 1:00 2:00 -60
2025 Slider 153 85.5 54 8.3 9:00 8:15 45
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Pitcher Arm Angle

! Note: Data is available from 2020 through the present.
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Statcast Pitching Run Value

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2025 180 656 6 4 -4 -1 5
2026 407 1,523 12 15 -9 -6 11
Player 587 2,179 18 19 -13 18 16
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2025 656 52.7 70.8 82.0 23.2 58.3 41.3 67.2 48.3 23.3 10.2 74.6
2026 1,523 48.0 69.5 85.8 32.6 55.0 41.5 60.2 50.3 24.5 7.0 73.6
Player 2,179 49.4 69.9 84.6 29.9 55.8 41.4 62.4 49.7 24.2 7.9 74.0
MLB 48.7 67.0 82.7 28.6 57.9 42.6 61.2 47.3 25.0 7.3 76.2
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Run Value Pitching
Year Pitching Fastball Breaking Off
Speed
xERA Fastball
MPH
Fastball
Spin
Curve
Spin
Avg
EV
Chase% Whiff% K% BB% Barrel% Hard-
Hit%
GB% Extension
2025 86 32 87
2026 80 88 67 29 71 78 38 32 45 71 46 36 72 65 61 50 81
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Expected Home Runs

Adjusted

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2025 23.18 9 9.6 -1 5 8 3 33.3
2026 23.33 12 9.1 3 8 5 5 41.7
Player 23.27 21 18.7 2 13 13 8 38.1
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's batted balls allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Expected Home Runs by Park

Adjusted

Year HR
2025 9 11 5 12 12 11 10 9 9 8 6 9 10 12 10 8 10 9 10 13 9 8 12 11 10 7 9 10 10 10 9
2026 12 10 6 13 8 10 8 9 13 9 7 11 9 11 9 10 8 7 9 12 6 11 11 11 7 7 8 9 9 8 7
Player 21 21 11 25 20 21 18 18 22 17 13 20 19 23 19 18 18 16 19 25 15 19 23 22 17 14 17 19 19 18 16
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's batted balls allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Year to Year Changes

2026 +/-   2025
Results
BA .205 +.014 .191
xBA .233 +.024 .209
OBP .268 +.005 .263
xOBP .295 +.015 .280
SLG .364 +.018 .346
xSLG .367 -.039 .406
ISO .159 +.005 .154
xISO .134 -.062 .196
BABIP .231 +.031 .200
wOBA .279 +.011 .268
xwOBA .293 -.004 .297
wOBAcon .312 +.021 .291
xwOBAcon .332 .000 .332
BACON .263 +.019 .244
xBACON .301 +.032 .269
Statcast Hit Metrics
Hard Hit % 36.9 -12.3 49.2
Avg Exit Velocity 88.8 -2.0 90.8
Launch Angle Sweet-Spot % 29.3 -2.7 32.0
Barrel % 6.6 -2.0 8.6
Avg Launch Angle 14.6 +0.4 14.2
Statcast Bat Tracking
Bat Speed 72.7 +1.3 71.4
Attack Angle 11° +2°
Ideal Attack Angle % 57.6 +6.1 51.5
Attack Direction -5° -5°
Swing Path - Tilt 32° +1° 32°
Swing Length 7.4 +0.2 7.2
Statcast Pitch Metrics
Fastball Velocity 94.8 -1.0 95.8
Breaking Velocity 84.5 +0.3 84.2
Offspeed Velocity 89.2 +1.0 88.2
Batted Ball Results
Barrels 19 +8 11
Popup % 9.3 +0.7 8.6
Flyball % 23.8 -5.1 28.9
Line Drive % 23.8 +5.0 18.8
Groundball % 43.1 -0.7 43.8
Pull % 42.4 +1.0 41.4
Straight Away % 35.2 +2.4 32.8
Opposite Field % 22.4 -3.4 25.8
Weak Contact % 4.5 +1.4 3.1
Pull Airball % 19.0 +1.0 18.0
Topped Contact % 30.7 -2.1 32.8
Under Contact % 29.0 +2.4 26.6
Flare/Burner Contact % 23.4 +7.8 15.6
Solid Contact % 5.9 -7.4 13.3
HR/FB % 17.4 -1.5 18.9
Popups 27 +16 11
Flyballs 69 +32 37
Line Drives 69 +45 24
Groundballs 125 +69 56
Plate Discipline
In Zone % 48.0 -4.7 52.7
Out of Zone % 52.0 +4.7 47.3
Edge % 41.5 +0.2 41.3
Zone Swing % 69.5 -1.3 70.8
Out of Zone Swing % 32.6 +9.4 23.2
In Zone Contact % 85.8 +3.8 82.0
Out of Zone Contact % 55.0 -3.3 58.3
Whiff % 24.5 +1.2 23.3
First Strike % 60.2 -7.0 67.2
First Pitch Swing % 35.1 -3.8 38.9
Swing % 50.3 +2.0 48.3
Meatball Swing % 73.6 -1.0 74.6
Meatball % 7.0 -3.2 10.2
Zone Swing & Miss % 14.2 -3.8 18.0
Out of Zone Swing & Miss % 45.0 +3.3 41.7
In Zone 731 +385 346
Out of Zone 792 +482 310
Edge 632 +361 271
In Zone Swings 508 +263 245
Out of Zone Swings 258 +186 72
In Zone Swing & Misses 72 +28 44
Out of Zone Swing & Misses 116 +86 30
Basic
Pitches 1,523 +867 656
PA 407 +227 180
AB 371 +209 162
Hits 76 +45 31
Singles 43 +23 20
Doubles 19 +15 4
Triples 2 +2 0
Home Runs 12 +5 7
Walks 29 +14 15
Strikeouts 84 +48 36
K% 20.6 +0.6 20.0
BB% 7.1 -1.2 8.3
HBP 4 +3 1
Batted Balls 290 +162 128
Fastball Percent 63.6 +0.5 63.1
Offspeed Percent 11.3 +3.2 8.1
Breaking Percent 25.1 -3.7 28.8
Number of Fastballs 969 +555 414
Number of Offspeed 172 +119 53
Number of Breaking 382 +193 189
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Statcast Fielder Positioning

vs RHHvs LHH
YearAlignment TypePAwOBAPATotal%PATotal%
2025 Shades 180 .268 84 6 7.1 96 71 74.0
2026 Shades 407 .279 164 27 16.5 243 171 70.4
! Note: Shifts are through the 2022 season, Shaded starting from the 2023 season, Shift: three or more infielders are on the same side of second base, Shade: positioned outside of their typical responsible slices of the field.
Learn more about how positioning is defined here

Pitch Tempo

Bases EmptyRunners On Base
SeasonTeamPitchesTempoFast %Slow %PitchesTempoFast %Slow %
2025 176 14.1 66.5% 0.0% 105 18.1 1.0% 0.0%
2026 410 14.4 63.2% 0.7% 202 18.0 1.5% 2.5%

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Pitch Distribution