Bryce Elder
P | Bats/Throws: R/R | 6' 2" 220LBS | Age: 25
Draft: 2020 | Rd: 5, #156, Atlanta Braves | Texas
W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2022 2 4 3.17 10 9 0 54 47 1.24
2023 12 4 3.81 31 31 0 174.2 128 1.28
2024 1 2 6.46 5 5 0 23.2 19 1.94
3 Seasons 15 10 3.92 46 45 0 252.1 194 1.33
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2022 10 2-4 3.17 54 47 1.24
2023 31 12-4 3.81 174.2 128 1.28
2024 5 1-2 6.46 23.2 19 1.94
3 Seasons 46 15-10 3.92 252.1 194 1.33
MLB Percentile Rankings
Pitch Distribution

Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls
Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity
Max EV Launch
Angle
LA Sweet-
Spot %
XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2022 23 873 154 9 5.8 4.0 88.2 112.8 8.8 30.5 .242 .387 .288 .319 .356 34.4 20.7 10.1 3.17 4.25
2023 24 2849 532 32 6.0 4.4 89.9 115.0 8.5 32.0 .264 .416 .309 .329 .359 41.0 17.5 8.6 3.81 4.61
2024 25 421 81 8 9.9 7.1 90.3 109.6 6.8 28.4 .304 .485 .413 .379 .417 49.4 16.8 9.7 6.46 6.06
Player 4143 767 49 6.4 4.6 89.6 115.0 8.4 31.3 .263 .418 .316 .332 .364 40.5 18.1 9.0
MLB 6.9 4.8 88.5 122.4 12.3 33.1 .245 .406 .316 .315 .369 36.4 22.2 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Elder relies on 4 pitches.
Sinker
(46.6%) ,
Slider
(26.6%) ,
Four Seamer
(14.5%) ,
Changeup
(12.4%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

Season GB % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2022 50.0 22.1 21.4 6.5 42.9 37.0 20.1 5.8 39.6 20.8 18.8 9.1 5.8 4.0
2023 50.6 21.1 23.7 4.7 43.0 35.0 22.0 3.4 37.8 22.2 24.6 5.8 6.0 4.4
2024 51.9 27.2 19.8 1.2 35.8 38.3 25.9 1.2 37.0 17.3 32.1 2.5 9.9 7.1
Player 50.6 21.9 22.8 4.7 42.2 35.7 22.0 3.7 38.1 21.4 24.3 6.1 6.4 4.6
MLB 44.6 23.6 24.8 7.0 37.1 37.5 25.3 3.9 32.8 24.7 24.4 5.8 6.9 4.8
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement


How this works: Every pitch is affected by the forces of gravity, which means that every pitch drops on its way from the mound to the plate. These numbers are reported with gravity, which makes them larger and different than other pitch movement numbers you may have seen. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren’t ‘better’ just because they have more time to move, the movement of a pitch is compared to ‘average’ movement by comparing it to other MLB pitch types within +/- 2 MPH and from within +/- 0.5 feet of extension and release.
Vertical Movement (inches) Horizontal Movement (inches)
Year Pitch Team Hand # MPH Inches of Drop vs Avg % vs Avg Inches of Break vs Avg % Break vs Avg
2024 Changeup ATL R 52 84.7 32.2 2.9 10 11.8 -1.9 -14
2024 4-Seam Fastball ATL R 61 90.8 16.9 -1.3 -9 4.0 -1.9 -32
2024 Sinker ATL R 196 89.5 23.1 0.1 0 13.6 -0.3 -2
2024 Slider ATL R 112 83.1 38.8 0.0 0 1.0 -3.3 -76
2023 Sinker ATL R 1,067 89.5 25.9 1.8 7 13.3 -0.3 -2
2023 Slider ATL R 1,005 82.7 41.6 1.8 5 0.1 -5.3 -102
2023 Changeup ATL R 389 85.0 34.3 3.8 12 11.2 -2.4 -18
2023 4-Seam Fastball ATL R 382 90.7 18.1 -1.8 -11 4.0 -1.3 -24
2022 Sinker ATL R 371 90.7 25.0 2.7 12 14.5 0.9 7
2022 Slider ATL R 235 82.4 44.8 4.8 12 0.5 -5.9 -92
2022 4-Seam Fastball ATL R 162 90.5 19.2 -3.0 -19 1.7 -4.2 -71
2022 Changeup ATL R 105 86.0 32.8 3.6 12 11.7 -1.8 -13
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2024 Sinker -1.1 -2 196 46.6 60 .365 .423 .396 9.1 13.3 25.0 .328 .442 .382 56.8
2024 Slider -3.6 -4 112 26.6 23 .381 .762 .500 38.5 34.8 18.2 .316 .639 .427 46.2
2024 4-Seam Fastball -3.5 -2 61 14.5 16 .357 .786 .506 20.0 6.3 9.1 .304 .660 .441 46.2
2024 Changeup 1.2 1 52 12.4 14 .231 .231 .243 25.0 14.3 10.5 .192 .221 .219 27.3
2023 Sinker 0.2 2 1,071 37.6 295 .280 .402 .354 13.4 11.9 14.5 .303 .446 .368 45.9
2023 Slider 0.7 7 1,006 35.3 241 .210 .393 .294 33.7 26.6 19.6 .216 .385 .287 42.2
2023 Changeup 0.9 3 390 13.7 92 .188 .235 .237 23.6 17.4 13.9 .237 .335 .281 24.6
2023 4-Seam Fastball -0.3 -1 382 13.4 103 .286 .495 .365 19.4 12.6 12.9 .294 .487 .365 38.8
2022 Sinker 0.6 2 371 42.5 114 .232 .316 .319 22.2 21.1 22.6 .250 .381 .339 34.2
2022 Slider 0.4 1 235 26.9 49 .205 .250 .251 36.6 30.6 20.8 .202 .300 .267 34.5
2022 4-Seam Fastball 0.9 1 162 18.6 34 .161 .387 .283 5.9 8.8 8.6 .217 .484 .320 24.1
2022 Changeup 0.7 1 105 12.0 29 .286 .464 .334 26.8 17.2 16.1 .308 .438 .333 47.8
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: To better align with other values, positive numbers (red) are good, and negative numbers (blue) are poor.
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Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2024 Changeup 52 84.7 71 13.2 1:15 2:15 -60
2024 4-Seam Fastball 61 90.8 86 16.2 12:45 12:30 15
2024 Sinker 194 89.5 81 17.5 12:45 1:45 -60
2024 Slider 112 83.1 7 2.4 11:45 7:30 255
2023 Changeup 373 85.0 65 12.1 1:15 2:45 -90
2023 4-Seam Fastball 381 90.7 83 14.9 12:45 12:30 15
2023 Sinker 1,046 89.5 75 15.7 1:00 2:00 -60
2023 Slider 986 82.7 15 4.2 7:00 6:00 60
2022 Changeup 99 86.0 68 12.9 1:15 2:30 -75
2022 4-Seam Fastball 162 90.5 76 13.6 12:45 12:15 30
2022 Sinker 351 90.6 75 16.8 1:00 2:15 -75
2022 Slider 235 82.4 30 7.2 6:45 6:00 45
! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Swing/Take

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2022 226 873 6 9 -5 -5 5
2023 745 2,905 19 22 -20 -15 8
2024 113 421 2 -4 -5 -1 -8
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2022 873 43.3 66.1 87.2 29.5 56.2 43.4 55.9 45.4 23.7 6.5 78.9
2023 2,849 46.1 67.0 85.8 28.5 56.2 42.5 63.1 46.3 23.5 6.8 76.3
2024 421 46.1 62.4 89.3 27.3 56.5 45.6 55.8 43.5 21.3 3.8 87.5
Player 4,143 45.5 66.3 86.4 28.6 56.2 43.0 60.8 45.8 23.4 6.4 77.5
MLB 48.6 67.0 82.0 28.4 57.9 42.6 61.0 47.2 24.8 7.3 76.2
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA /
xERA
xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV Hard
Hit%
K% BB% Whiff% Chase
Rate
FB
Velo
FB
Spin
CB
Spin
Extension
2022 32 44 44 47 22 82 75 56 77 35 20 32 50 9 10 12
2023 31 24 38 59 26 20 81 26 37 13 46 30 45 6 5 17
2024 3 2 8 25 2 49 17 18 2 14 29 23 42 4 8 12
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Expected Home Runs

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2022 26.2 4 4.8 -1 2 4 2 50.0
2023 24.3 21 20.8 0 8 19 7 33.3
2024 23.0 4 4.5 -1 2 2 3 75.0
Player 24.4 29 30.2 -1 12 25 12 41.4

Expected Home Runs by Park

Year HR
2022 4 4 6 5 5 4 5 4 4 3 3 6 5 4 4 6 4 4 5 5 5 6 8 5 2 3 7 8 5 5 4
2023 21 19 15 20 23 22 24 15 18 17 20 23 22 18 25 21 27 19 20 22 19 19 29 23 19 19 18 25 22 22 20
2024 4 5 3 5 5 5 5 6 4 4 3 5 6 4 4 3 4 4 5 5 5 3 7 6 4 4 4 4 6 4 4
Player 29 28 24 30 33 31 34 25 26 24 26 34 33 26 33 30 35 27 30 32 29 28 44 34 25 26 29 37 33 31 28
! Note: This tells how many of this player's home runs would have been out of other stadiums. This accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects. For these purposes, the 2020 Blue Jays home field was still Rogers Centre, not Sahlen Field.
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Year to Year Changes

Metric 2022 2023 +/-   2024 +/-  
Fastball Velocity 90.6 89.8 -0.8 89.8 0.0
Offspeed Velocity 86.0 85.0 -1.0 84.7 -0.3
Breaking Velocity 82.4 82.7 0.3 83.1 0.4
Exit Velocity 88.2 89.9 1.7 90.3 0.4
Launch Angle 8.8 8.5 -0.3 6.8 -1.7
Barrel % 5.8 6.0 0.2 9.9 3.9
Hard Hit % 34.4 41.0 6.6 49.4 8.4
LA Sweet-Spot % 30.5 32.0 1.5 28.4 -3.6
xBA .242 .264 0.022 .304 0.040
BA .222 .245 0.023 .350 0.105
xwOBA .319 .329 0.010 .379 0.050
wOBA .288 .309 0.021 .413 0.104
xSLG .387 .416 0.029 .485 0.069
SLG .333 .390 0.057 .520 0.130
K% 20.7 17.5 -3.2 16.8 -0.7
BB% 10.1 8.6 -1.5 9.7 1.1
Swing % 45.4 46.3 0.9 43.5 -2.8
Whiff% 23.7 23.5 -0.2 21.3 -2.2
In Zone % 43.3 46.1 2.8 46.1 0.0
Out of Zone % 56.7 53.9 -2.8 53.9 0.0
Out of Zone Swing % 29.5 28.5 -1.0 27.3 -1.2
First Pitch Swing % 30.8 29.2 -1.6 24.8 -4.4
First Pitch Strike % 55.9 63.1 7.2 55.8 -7.3
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Statcast Fielder Positioning

vs RHHvs LHH
YearAlignment TypePAwOBAPATotal%PATotal%
2022 Shifts 226 .288 123 50 40.7 103 43 41.7
2023 Shades 731 .309 351 78 22.2 380 173 45.5
2024 Shades 113 .413 47 0 0.0 66 33 50.0
! Note: Shifts are through the 2022 season, Shaded starting from the 2023 season, Shift: three or more infielders are on the same side of second base, Shade: positioned outside of their typical responsible slices of the field.
Learn more about how positioning is defined here

Pitch Tempo

Bases EmptyRunners On Base
SeasonTeamPitchesTempoFast %Slow %PitchesTempoFast %Slow %
2022 280 14.8 51.8% 1.1% 120 20.9 0.0% 7.5%
2023 798 12.7 78.1% 0.4% 449 18.5 3.8% 0.9%
2024 130 13.3 79.2% 0.0% 69 17.8 2.9% 0.0%
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Pitch Distribution