Bryce Elder
P | B/T: R/R | 6' 2" 220LBS | Age: 24
Draft: 2020 | Rd: 5, #156, Atlanta Braves | Texas

Stats

W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2023 3 0 1.92 11 11 0 65.2 56 1.16
2 Seasons 5 4 2.48 21 20 0 119.2 103 1.19
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2023 11 3-0 1.92 65.2 56 1.16
2 Seasons 21 5-4 2.48 119.2 103 1.19

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Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls		 Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity		 Max EV Launch
Angle		 Sweet
Spot %		 XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2022 23 873 154 9 5.8 4.0 88.2 112.8 8.8 30.5 .243 .388 .288 .319 .356 34.4 20.7 10.1 3.17 4.25
2023 24 1039 186 13 7.0 4.9 91.1 115.0 6.5 26.9 .262 .396 .288 .319 .367 47.3 21.1 7.2 1.92 4.15
Player 1912 340 22 6.5 4.5 89.8 115.0 7.6 28.5 .253 .392 .288 .319 .362 41.5 20.9 8.5
MLB 6.8 4.7 88.4 122.4 12.1 33.0 .245 .405 .316 .315 .368 36.0 22.1 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Elder relies on 4 pitches.
Slider
(38.5%) ,
Sinker
(36.8%) ,
4-Seam Fastball
(12.8%) ,
Changeup
(11.9%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

Season GB % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2022 50.0 22.1 21.4 6.5 42.9 37.0 20.1 5.8 39.6 20.8 18.8 9.1 5.8 4.0
2023 57.5 14.5 22.6 5.4 48.4 30.1 21.5 4.3 41.4 16.1 26.9 4.3 7.0 4.9
Player 54.1 17.9 22.1 5.9 45.9 33.2 20.9 5.0 40.6 18.2 23.2 6.5 6.5 4.5
MLB 44.8 23.2 24.9 7.1 36.8 37.7 25.4 3.9 33.0 24.6 24.4 5.8 6.8 4.7
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement

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How this works: Every pitch is affected by the forces of gravity, which means that every pitch drops on its way from the mound to the plate. These numbers are reported with gravity, which makes them larger and different than other pitch movement numbers you may have seen. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren’t ‘better’ just because they have more time to move, the movement of a pitch is compared to ‘average’ movement by comparing it to other MLB pitch types within +/- 2 MPH and from within +/- 0.5 feet of extension and release.
Vertical Movement (inches) Horizontal Movement (inches)
Year Pitch Team Hand # MPH Inches of Drop vs Avg % vs Avg Inches of Break vs Avg % Break vs Avg
2023 Changeup ATL R 123 84.4 34.4 3.8 13 11.9 -2.1 -15
2023 Slider ATL R 399 82.3 42.9 2.6 7 0.8 -6.8 -112
2023 4-Seamer ATL R 133 90.6 17.7 -1.8 -11 4.0 -1.2 -24
2023 Sinker ATL R 378 89.4 26.0 3.1 13 13.4 0.2 1
2022 Sinker ATL R 371 90.7 25.0 2.7 12 14.5 0.9 7
2022 Changeup ATL R 105 86.0 32.8 3.6 12 11.7 -1.8 -13
2022 4-Seamer ATL R 162 90.5 19.2 -2.9 -18 1.7 -4.1 -70
2022 Slider ATL R 235 82.4 44.8 4.8 12 0.5 -6.2 -92
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2023 Slider -3.2 -13 400 38.5 100 .149 .213 .199 32.0 30.0 22.1 .190 .280 .232 46.9
2023 Sinker 0.5 2 382 36.8 100 .322 .460 .404 16.3 11.0 12.4 .321 .481 .390 53.9
2023 4-Seamer -0.4 -1 133 12.8 31 .333 .593 .432 26.5 16.1 18.5 .332 .572 .425 45.5
2023 Changeup -2.7 -3 124 11.9 34 .176 .206 .169 25.9 29.4 21.7 .255 .357 .263 29.2
2022 Sinker -0.6 -2 371 42.5 114 .232 .316 .319 22.2 21.1 22.6 .250 .382 .339 34.2
2022 Slider -0.4 -1 235 26.9 49 .205 .250 .251 36.6 30.6 20.8 .202 .301 .267 34.5
2022 4-Seamer -0.9 -1 162 18.6 34 .161 .387 .283 5.9 8.8 8.6 .218 .484 .321 24.1
2022 Changeup -0.7 -1 105 12.0 29 .286 .464 .334 26.8 17.2 16.1 .308 .438 .333 47.8
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2022 Changeup 99 86.0 68 12.9 1:15 2:30 -75
2022 4-Seam Fastball 162 90.5 76 13.6 12:45 12:15 30
2022 Sinker 351 90.6 75 16.8 1:00 2:15 -75
2022 Slider 235 82.4 30 7.2 6:45 6:00 45
2023 Changeup 121 84.4 67 12.7 1:15 2:45 -90
2023 4-Seam Fastball 133 90.6 83 15.3 12:45 12:30 15
2023 Sinker 365 89.4 73 15.7 12:45 2:00 -75
2023 Slider 398 82.3 18 5.0 7:00 5:45 75
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! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Swing/Take

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2022 226 873 -6 -9 5 5 -5
2023 265 1,039 -11 -13 4 5 -15
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2022 873 43.3 66.1 87.2 29.5 56.2 43.4 55.9 45.4 23.7 6.5 78.9
2023 1,039 45.9 69.6 83.4 29.5 54.8 42.2 63.4 47.9 25.3 7.1 78.4
Player 1,912 44.7 68.1 85.1 29.5 55.4 42.7 60.0 46.8 24.6 6.9 78.6
MLB 48.5 66.9 82.0 28.4 58.2 42.6 60.8 47.1 24.7 7.3 76.1
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA /
xERA 		xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV Hard
Hit% 		K% BB% Whiff% Chase
Rate 		FB
Velo 		FB
Spin 		CB
Spin 		Extension
2022 32 43 44 47 22 82 75 56 77 35 20 32 50 14 9 12
2023 49 31 52 70 41 18 60 13 9 36 68 48 58 8 4 14
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Expected Home Runs

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2022 26.2 4 4.8 -1 2 4 2 50.0
2023 25.9 4 4.6 -1 2 4 2 50.0
Player 26.0 8 9.4 -1 4 8 4 50.0

Expected Home Runs by Park

Year HR
2022 4 4 6 5 5 4 5 4 4 3 3 6 5 4 4 6 4 4 5 5 5 6 8 5 2 3 7 8 5 5 4
2023 4 3 4 5 5 4 5 2 3 3 3 6 5 5 6 5 7 3 4 7 5 4 7 4 5 4 3 5 5 6 5
Player 8 7 10 10 10 8 10 6 7 6 6 12 10 9 10 11 11 7 9 12 10 10 15 9 7 7 10 13 10 11 9
! Note: This tells how many of this player's home runs would have been out of other stadiums. This accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects. For these purposes, the 2020 Blue Jays home field was still Rogers Centre, not Sahlen Field.
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Year to Year Changes

Metric 2022 2023 +/-  
Fastball Velocity 90.6 89.7 -0.9 ↓
Offspeed Velocity 86.0 84.4 -1.6 ↓
Breaking Velocity 82.4 82.3 -0.1 ↓
Exit Velocity 88.2 91.1 2.9 ↑
Launch Angle 8.8 6.5 -2.3 ↓
Barrel % 5.8 7.0 1.2 ↑
Hard Hit % 34.4 47.3 12.9 ↑
Sweet Spot % 30.5 26.9 -3.6 ↓
xBA .243 .262 0.019 ↑
BA .222 .236 0.014 ↑
xwOBA .319 .319 0.000
wOBA .288 .288 0.000
xSLG .388 .396 0.008 ↑
SLG .333 .343 0.010 ↑
K% 20.7 21.1 0.4 ↑
BB% 10.1 7.2 -2.9 ↓
Swing % 45.4 47.9 2.5 ↑
Whiff% 23.7 25.3 1.6 ↑
In Zone % 43.3 45.9 2.6 ↑
Out of Zone % 56.7 54.1 -2.6 ↓
Out of Zone Swing % 29.5 29.5 0.0
First Pitch Swing % 30.8 30.6 -0.2 ↓
First Pitch Strike % 55.9 63.4 7.5 ↑
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Statcast Shift Statistics

vs RHHvs LHH
YearPAwOBAPAShifts%PAShifts%
2022 226 .288 123 48 39.0 103 43 41.7
2023 265 .288 152 0 0.0 113 0 0.0

Pitch Tempo

Bases EmptyRunners On Base
SeasonTeamPitchesTempoFast %Slow %PitchesTempoFast %Slow %
2022 280 14.8 51.8% 1.1% 120 20.9 0.0% 7.5%
2023 132 11.9 85.6% 0.0% 81 17.4 9.9% 2.5%
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Pitch Distribution

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