P | Atlanta Braves
Bats/Throws: R/R | 6' 2" 220 lbs | Age: 27
Draft: 2020 | Rd. 5, No. 156, Atlanta Braves | Texas
W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2024 2 5 6.52 10 10 0 49.2 46 1.63
2025 8 11 5.30 28 28 0 156.1 131 1.39
2026 5 3 2.66 14 14 0 84.2 71 1.05
5 Seasons 29 27 4.26 93 92 0 519.1 423 1.31
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2024 10 2-5 6.52 49.2 46 1.63
2025 28 8-11 5.30 156.1 131 1.39
2026 14 5-3 2.66 84.2 71 1.05
5 Seasons 93 29-27 4.26 519.1 423 1.31
MLB Percentile Rankings
Movement Profile (Induced Break)
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Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls
Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity
Max EV Launch
Angle
LA Sweet-
Spot %
xBA xSLG wOBA xwOBA xwOBAcon HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2022 23 873 154 9 5.8 4.0 88.2 112.8 8.8 30.5 .243 .403 .288 .323 .362 34.4 20.7 10.1 3.17 4.28
2023 24 2849 532 32 6.0 4.4 89.9 115.0 8.5 32.0 .258 .414 .309 .327 .356 41.0 17.5 8.6 3.81 4.55
2024 25 864 161 14 8.7 6.2 89.9 109.6 8.1 31.1 .281 .441 .370 .342 .399 45.3 20.4 7.5 6.52 4.87
2025 26 2514 491 38 7.8 5.6 90.0 117.6 8.5 34.0 .266 .448 .336 .335 .383 43.8 19.3 7.5 5.30 4.73
2026 27 1223 244 9 3.7 2.6 89.4 113.0 12.8 29.9 .224 .331 .261 .275 .307 38.9 20.8 7.3 2.66 3.00
Player 8323 1582 102 6.5 4.6 89.7 117.6 9.1 32.0 .256 .413 .314 .322 .362 41.3 19.2 8.1
MLB 7.6 4.9 88.6 122.9 12.5 33.3 .243 .408 .315 .316 .369 37.0 22.2 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Elder relies on 5 pitches.
Slider
(28.5%) ,
Four Seamer
(25.0%) ,
Sinker
(24.7%) ,
Cutter
(12.3%) ,
Changeup
(9.5%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

AIR: Fly Balls + Line Drives + Popups All Batted Balls Batted Ball Breakdown
Season GB % AIR % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Pull GB % Straight GB % Oppo GB % Pull AIR % Straight AIR % Oppo AIR %
2022 50.0 50.0 22.1 21.4 6.5 42.9 37.0 20.1 26.0 19.5 4.5 16.9 17.5 15.6
2023 50.6 49.4 21.1 23.7 4.7 43.0 35.0 22.0 27.1 19.0 4.5 16.0 16.0 17.5
2024 49.7 50.3 23.6 23.0 3.7 42.9 36.6 20.5 28.0 18.6 3.1 14.9 18.0 17.4
2025 48.9 51.1 25.1 23.8 2.2 44.2 36.5 19.3 24.4 18.9 5.5 19.8 17.5 13.8
2026 45.9 54.1 26.6 20.9 6.6 40.6 32.0 27.5 23.0 17.6 5.3 17.6 14.3 22.1
Player 49.2 50.8 23.5 23.0 4.3 43.0 35.3 21.7 25.6 18.8 4.8 17.4 16.6 16.9
MLB 44.2 55.8 24.1 24.6 7.1 37.4 37.3 25.1 20.7 17.6 5.9 16.8 19.7 19.3
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Quality of Contact

Season Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2022 5.8 39.6 20.8 18.8 9.1 5.8 4.0
2023 3.4 37.8 22.2 24.6 5.8 6.0 4.4
2024 2.5 35.4 19.3 30.4 3.7 8.7 6.2
2025 4.7 34.8 20.0 25.3 7.3 7.8 5.6
2026 4.5 32.4 29.1 23.4 7.0 3.7 2.6
Player 4.1 36.0 22.1 24.7 6.6 6.5 4.6
MLB 4.0 32.3 24.9 24.4 5.9 7.6 4.9
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement


How this works: This section shows two different ways to evaluate pitch movement. On the left, “Total Movement” shows the real-world movement of a pitch, including the forces of gravity, which affects every pitch thrown. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren't 'better' just because they have more time to move, a pitch's movement is compared to other pitches of the same pitch type, within +/- 2 MPH and +/- 0.5 feet of extension/release. On the right, Induced Movement (or IVB) is reported without gravity, and attempts to isolate movement created by the pitcher's ability to spin and manipulate the ball.
Total Movement (in inches, w/ gravity)Induced Movement (in inches, w/o gravity)
YearPitchTeamHand#MPHVertical
Drop
vs.
Comparable
Horizontal
Break
vs.
Comparable
Vertical
Break
vs. AvgHorizontal
Break
vs. Avg
2026 Changeup ATL R 116 85.7 33.2 2.1 11.8ARM -2.2 4.2 -0.2 11.8ARM -2.8
2026 Slider ATL R 349 83.2 42.7 4.1 3.3GLV -0.8 -3.4 4.8 3.3GLV -0.7
2026 4-Seam Fastball ATL R 306 92.6 16.3 -1.3 4.4ARM -2.6 15.5 -0.5 4.4ARM -3.4
2026 Cutter ATL R 150 88.7 23.5 3.4 1.5GLV -1.3 10.9 2.7 1.5GLV -0.7
2026 Sinker ATL R 302 91.4 24.9 2.2 14.1ARM -0.3 7.9 -0.3 14.1ARM -1.2
2025 4-Seam Fastball ATL R 309 92.8 16.4 -1.5 3.6ARM -3.1 15.3 -0.5 3.6ARM -4.0
2025 Sinker ATL R 1059 91.5 24.6 1.6 14.4ARM 0.3 8.2 -0.8 14.4ARM -0.7
2025 Changeup ATL R 263 86.6 31.7 1.2 11.8ARM -1.7 4.7 -0.6 11.8ARM -2.7
2025 Slider ATL R 883 84.3 38.7 1.7 1.9GLV -1.9 -0.1 1.9 1.9GLV -2.4
! Note: Years are in reverse order.

Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2026 Slider 1.1 4 349 28.5 107 .173 .306 .263 32.6 29.9 26.0 .183 .304 .249 37.9
2026 4-Seam Fastball 0.8 3 306 25.0 68 .267 .333 .293 18.8 14.7 15.6 .252 .342 .289 34.0
2026 Sinker 1.1 3 302 24.7 97 .239 .364 .310 15.1 23.7 31.5 .270 .388 .322 49.2
2026 Cutter 3.9 6 150 12.3 41 .139 .222 .226 16.5 0.0 0.0 .241 .360 .295 37.8
2026 Changeup 0.6 1 116 9.5 29 .172 .207 .167 29.4 20.7 16.7 .143 .198 .146 26.1
2025 Sinker -0.7 -7 1,059 42.1 272 .280 .477 .365 15.2 18.0 22.2 .255 .463 .344 49.2
2025 Slider 0.1 1 883 35.1 257 .259 .427 .326 31.8 21.8 20.1 .263 .421 .318 40.2
2025 4-Seam Fastball -0.1 0 309 12.3 73 .292 .369 .326 18.4 23.3 19.3 .287 .407 .339 36.7
2025 Changeup -3.1 -8 263 10.5 76 .261 .478 .326 17.3 11.8 10.3 .295 .530 .359 42.9
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: To better align with other values, positive numbers (red) are good, and negative numbers (blue) are poor.

Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2026 Changeup 108 85.7 70 13.1 1:45 2:30 -45
2026 Cutter 150 88.7 60 10.2 12:30 11:45 45
2026 4-Seam Fastball 306 92.6 82 15.5 12:45 12:30 15
2026 Sinker 293 91.4 76 16.3 1:00 2:15 -75
2026 Slider 349 83.2 38 6.6 7:15 7:15 0
2025 Changeup 257 86.6 64 13.1 1:15 2:30 -75
2025 4-Seam Fastball 306 92.8 82 15.1 12:45 12:30 15
2025 Sinker 997 91.5 76 16.6 1:00 2:15 -75
2025 Slider 871 84.3 23 3.5 8:00 7:45 15
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Pitcher Arm Angle

! Note: Data is available from 2020 through the present.
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Statcast Pitching Run Value

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2022 226 873 3 9 -6 -5 1
2023 731 2,849 17 21 -21 -15 2
2024 226 864 3 -2 -8 -3 -10
2025 678 2,514 -3 11 -14 -9 -15
2026 342 1,223 14 13 -6 -5 16
Player 2,203 8,323 33 52 -54 33 -5
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2022 873 43.1 66.0 87.5 29.8 57.4 43.4 55.9 45.4 23.7 6.5 78.9
2023 2,849 45.9 66.9 86.4 28.7 56.6 42.7 63.1 46.3 23.6 6.8 76.4
2024 864 45.4 61.2 87.5 29.7 52.1 44.9 57.1 44.0 25.5 4.3 73.0
2025 2,514 47.9 65.7 89.4 28.5 52.4 44.1 59.8 46.3 22.5 6.6 75.2
2026 1,223 46.7 66.4 87.6 29.9 56.4 40.1 62.6 46.9 23.0 6.6 75.3
Player 8,323 46.3 65.8 87.7 29.1 55.0 43.0 60.7 46.1 23.4 6.4 75.9
MLB 48.7 67.0 82.6 28.5 58.0 42.7 61.1 47.3 25.0 7.3 76.2
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Run Value Pitching
Year Pitching Fastball Breaking Off
Speed
xERA Fastball
MPH
Fastball
Spin
Curve
Spin
Avg
EV
Chase% Whiff% K% BB% Barrel% Hard-
Hit%
GB% Extension
2022 51 58 58 25 32 9 10 56 52 32 35 20 75 77 80 11
2023 49 27 58 87 35 6 5 26 46 31 13 46 81 37 84 17
2024 13 13 24 66 12 8 8 21 60 50 28 57 28 6 83 11
2025 9 12 56 2 17 15 13 33 49 26 26 61 60 22 79 21
2026 99 99 87 64 83 16 20 39 44 34 39 68 92 49 66 32
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Expected Home Runs

Adjusted

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2022 26.18 4 4.8 -1 2 4 2 50.0
2023 24.32 21 20.6 0 7 19 7 33.3
2024 23.76 8 8.7 -1 2 6 5 62.5
2025 23.57 24 22.2 2 7 18 9 37.5
2026 24.64 7 7.0 0 3 5 3 42.9
Player 24.12 64 63.3 1 21 52 26 40.6
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's batted balls allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Expected Home Runs by Park

Adjusted

Year HR
2022 4 4 6 4 5 5 5 4 4 3 3 6 5 4 4 5 4 4 5 5 5 6 8 5 2 3 7 8 5 5 4
2023 21 18 14 20 23 22 24 15 18 16 19 22 23 18 24 21 27 17 19 22 19 19 30 23 19 18 19 24 22 22 20
2024 8 10 7 12 8 9 9 8 6 8 7 11 11 8 8 8 8 8 9 9 9 7 13 9 8 8 8 8 10 9 9
2025 24 26 17 17 20 23 20 24 19 18 20 19 21 29 24 20 25 23 21 26 25 20 28 27 22 18 17 23 27 24 24
2026 7 8 6 7 8 8 7 6 9 6 7 7 5 8 7 8 7 6 6 9 6 6 9 9 5 6 7 8 8 6 6
Player 64 66 50 60 64 67 65 57 56 51 56 65 65 67 67 62 71 58 60 71 64 58 88 73 56 53 58 71 72 66 63
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's batted balls allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Year to Year Changes

2026 +/-   2025 +/-   2024 +/-   2023 +/-   2022
Results
BA .206 -.065 .271 -.040 .311 +.066 .245 +.023 .222
xBA .224 -.042 .266 -.015 .281 +.023 .258 +.015 .243
OBP .268 -.063 .331 -.036 .367 +.051 .316 +.006 .310
xOBP .285 -.042 .327 -.013 .340 +.010 .330 .000 .330
SLG .309 -.137 .446 -.044 .490 +.100 .390 +.057 .333
xSLG .331 -.117 .448 +.007 .441 +.027 .414 +.011 .403
ISO .103 -.072 .175 -.005 .180 +.035 .145 +.034 .111
xISO .108 -.074 .182 +.021 .161 +.005 .156 -.004 .160
BABIP .243 -.065 .308 -.058 .366 +.091 .275 +.007 .268
wOBA .261 -.075 .336 -.034 .370 +.061 .309 +.021 .288
xwOBA .275 -.060 .335 -.007 .342 +.015 .327 +.004 .323
wOBAcon .288 -.097 .385 -.053 .438 +.106 .332 +.022 .310
xwOBAcon .307 -.076 .383 -.016 .399 +.043 .356 -.006 .362
BACON .264 -.078 .342 -.056 .398 +.097 .301 +.013 .288
xBACON .289 -.047 .336 -.023 .359 +.039 .320 +.002 .318
Statcast Hit Metrics
Hard Hit % 38.9 -4.9 43.8 -1.5 45.3 +4.3 41.0 +6.6 34.4
Avg Exit Velocity 89.4 -0.6 90.0 +0.1 89.9 0.0 89.9 +1.7 88.2
Launch Angle Sweet-Spot % 29.9 -4.1 34.0 +2.9 31.1 -0.9 32.0 +1.5 30.5
Barrel % 3.7 -4.1 7.8 -0.9 8.7 +2.7 6.0 +0.2 5.8
Avg Launch Angle 12.8 +4.3 8.5 +0.4 8.1 -0.4 8.5 -0.3 8.8
Statcast Bat Tracking
Bat Speed 72.3 -0.3 72.6 +0.6 72.0 -0.3 72.3 -- --
Attack Angle 11° -1° 12° 12° 11° -- --
Ideal Attack Angle % 49.0 -5.5 54.5 +1.4 53.1 +0.6 52.5 -- --
Attack Direction -3° +1° -4° -3° +1° -4° -- --
Swing Path - Tilt 33° -1° 35° +1° 34° -1° 35° -- --
Swing Length 7.4 -0.1 7.5 0.0 7.5 +0.1 7.4 -- --
Statcast Pitch Metrics
Fastball Velocity 91.3 -0.5 91.8 +1.3 90.5 +0.7 89.8 -0.8 90.6
Breaking Velocity 83.2 -1.1 84.3 +0.7 83.6 +0.9 82.7 +0.3 82.4
Offspeed Velocity 85.7 -0.9 86.6 +1.4 85.2 +0.1 85.1 -0.9 86.0
Batted Ball Results
Barrels 9 -29 38 +24 14 -18 32 +23 9
Popup % 6.6 +4.4 2.2 -1.5 3.7 -1.0 4.7 -1.8 6.5
Flyball % 26.6 +1.5 25.1 +1.5 23.6 +2.5 21.1 -1.0 22.1
Line Drive % 20.9 -2.9 23.8 +0.8 23.0 -0.7 23.7 +2.3 21.4
Groundball % 45.9 -3.0 48.9 -0.8 49.7 -0.9 50.6 +0.6 50.0
Pull % 40.6 -3.6 44.2 +1.3 42.9 -0.1 43.0 +0.1 42.9
Straight Away % 32.0 -4.5 36.5 -0.1 36.6 +1.6 35.0 -2.0 37.0
Opposite Field % 27.5 +8.2 19.3 -1.2 20.5 -1.5 22.0 +1.9 20.1
Weak Contact % 4.5 -0.2 4.7 +2.2 2.5 -0.9 3.4 -2.4 5.8
Pull Airball % 17.6 -2.2 19.8 +4.9 14.9 -1.1 16.0 -0.9 16.9
Topped Contact % 32.4 -2.4 34.8 -0.6 35.4 -2.4 37.8 -1.8 39.6
Under Contact % 29.1 +9.1 20.0 +0.7 19.3 -2.9 22.2 +1.4 20.8
Flare/Burner Contact % 23.4 -1.9 25.3 -5.1 30.4 +5.8 24.6 +5.8 18.8
Solid Contact % 7.0 -0.3 7.3 +3.6 3.7 -2.1 5.8 -3.3 9.1
HR/FB % 10.8 -8.7 19.5 -1.6 21.1 +4.1 17.0 +5.2 11.8
Popups 16 +5 11 +5 6 -19 25 +15 10
Flyballs 65 -58 123 +85 38 -74 112 +78 34
Line Drives 51 -66 117 +80 37 -89 126 +93 33
Groundballs 112 -128 240 +160 80 -189 269 +192 77
Plate Discipline
In Zone % 46.7 -1.2 47.9 +2.5 45.4 -0.5 45.9 +2.8 43.1
Out of Zone % 53.3 +1.2 52.1 -2.5 54.6 +0.5 54.1 -2.8 56.9
Edge % 40.1 -4.0 44.1 -0.8 44.9 +2.2 42.7 -0.7 43.4
Zone Swing % 66.4 +0.7 65.7 +4.5 61.2 -5.7 66.9 +0.9 66.0
Out of Zone Swing % 29.9 +1.4 28.5 -1.2 29.7 +1.0 28.7 -1.1 29.8
In Zone Contact % 87.6 -1.8 89.4 +1.9 87.5 +1.1 86.4 -1.1 87.5
Out of Zone Contact % 56.4 +4.0 52.4 +0.3 52.1 -4.5 56.6 -0.8 57.4
Whiff % 23.0 +0.5 22.5 -3.0 25.5 +1.9 23.6 -0.1 23.7
First Strike % 62.6 +2.8 59.8 +2.7 57.1 -6.0 63.1 +7.2 55.9
First Pitch Swing % 31.3 -0.4 31.7 +7.4 24.3 -4.9 29.2 -1.6 30.8
Swing % 46.9 +0.6 46.3 +2.3 44.0 -2.3 46.3 +0.9 45.4
Meatball Swing % 75.3 +0.1 75.2 +2.2 73.0 -3.4 76.4 -2.5 78.9
Meatball % 6.6 0.0 6.6 +2.3 4.3 -2.5 6.8 +0.3 6.5
Zone Swing & Miss % 12.4 +1.8 10.6 -1.9 12.5 -1.1 13.6 +1.1 12.5
Out of Zone Swing & Miss % 43.6 -4.0 47.6 -0.3 47.9 +4.5 43.4 +0.8 42.6
In Zone 571 -633 1,204 +812 392 -917 1,309 +933 376
Out of Zone 652 -658 1,310 +838 472 -1,068 1,540 +1,043 497
Edge 490 -618 1,108 +720 388 -828 1,216 +837 379
In Zone Swings 379 -412 791 +551 240 -636 876 +628 248
Out of Zone Swings 195 -179 374 +234 140 -302 442 +294 148
In Zone Swing & Misses 47 -37 84 +54 30 -89 119 +88 31
Out of Zone Swing & Misses 85 -93 178 +111 67 -125 192 +129 63
Basic
Pitches 1,223 -1,291 2,514 +1,650 864 -1,985 2,849 +1,976 873
PA 342 -337 679 +453 226 -506 732 +505 227
AB 311 -305 616 +410 206 -448 654 +456 198
Hits 64 -103 167 +103 64 -96 160 +116 44
Singles 48 -61 109 +64 45 -61 106 +76 30
Doubles 7 -25 32 +23 9 -23 32 +22 10
Triples 2 0 2 0 2 -1 3 +3 0
Home Runs 7 -17 24 +16 8 -11 19 +15 4
Walks 25 -26 51 +34 17 -46 63 +40 23
Strikeouts 71 -60 131 +85 46 -82 128 +81 47
K% 20.8 +1.5 19.3 -1.1 20.4 +2.9 17.5 -3.2 20.7
BB% 7.3 -0.2 7.5 0.0 7.5 -1.1 8.6 -1.5 10.1
HBP 2 -4 6 +4 2 -6 8 +5 3
Batted Balls 244 -247 491 +330 161 -371 532 +378 154
Fastball Percent 62.0 +7.6 54.4 -0.9 55.3 +4.7 50.6 -10.5 61.1
Offspeed Percent 9.5 -1.0 10.5 -2.8 13.3 -0.7 14.0 +2.0 12.0
Breaking Percent 28.5 -6.6 35.1 +3.7 31.4 -4.0 35.4 +8.5 26.9
Number of Fastballs 758 -610 1,368 +890 478 -964 1,442 +909 533
Number of Offspeed 116 -147 263 +148 115 -284 399 +294 105
Number of Breaking 349 -534 883 +612 271 -737 1,008 +773 235
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Statcast Fielder Positioning

vs RHHvs LHH
YearAlignment TypePAwOBAPATotal%PATotal%
2022 Shifts 226 .288 123 48 39.0 103 43 41.7
2023 Shades 731 .309 351 78 22.2 380 173 45.5
2024 Shades 226 .370 105 13 12.4 121 54 44.6
2025 Shades 678 .336 344 1 0.3 334 276 82.6
2026 Shades 342 .261 123 0 0.0 219 63 28.8
! Note: Shifts are through the 2022 season, Shaded starting from the 2023 season, Shift: three or more infielders are on the same side of second base, Shade: positioned outside of their typical responsible slices of the field.
Learn more about how positioning is defined here

Pitch Tempo

Bases EmptyRunners On Base
SeasonTeamPitchesTempoFast %Slow %PitchesTempoFast %Slow %
2022 280 14.8 51.8% 1.1% 120 20.9 0.0% 7.5%
2023 798 12.7 78.1% 0.4% 449 18.5 3.8% 0.9%
2024 274 12.7 81.8% 0.0% 138 17.2 8.0% 0.7%
2025 745 12.5 83.0% 0.1% 357 17.3 8.1% 0.3%
2026 357 13.3 72.3% 2.0% 138 16.5 17.4% 4.3%

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Pitch Distribution