Bryce Elder
P | Bats/Throws: R/R | 6' 2" 220LBS | Age: 24
Draft: 2020 | Rd: 5, #156, Atlanta Braves | Texas
W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2022 2 4 3.17 10 9 0 54 47 1.24
2023 12 4 3.81 31 31 0 174.2 128 1.28
2 Seasons 14 8 3.66 41 40 0 228.2 175 1.27
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2022 10 2-4 3.17 54 47 1.24
2023 31 12-4 3.81 174.2 128 1.28
2 Seasons 41 14-8 3.66 228.2 175 1.27
MLB Percentile Rankings
Pitch Distribution

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Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls		 Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity		 Max EV Launch
Angle		 Sweet
Spot %		 XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2022 23 873 154 9 5.8 4.0 88.2 112.8 8.8 30.5 .243 .388 .288 .319 .356 34.4 20.7 10.1 3.17 4.25
2023 24 2849 532 32 6.0 4.4 89.9 115.0 8.5 32.0 .264 .416 .309 .329 .359 41.0 17.5 8.6 3.81 4.61
Player 3722 686 41 6.0 4.3 89.5 115.0 8.6 31.6 .259 .410 .304 .327 .358 39.5 18.2 9.0
MLB 6.9 4.7 88.4 122.4 12.2 33.1 .245 .406 .316 .315 .369 36.3 22.1 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Elder relies on 4 pitches.
Sinker
(37.7%) ,
Slider
(35.3%) ,
Changeup
(13.7%) ,
4-Seam Fastball
(13.3%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

Season GB % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2022 50.0 22.1 21.4 6.5 42.9 37.0 20.1 5.8 39.6 20.8 18.8 9.1 5.8 4.0
2023 50.6 21.1 23.7 4.7 43.0 35.0 22.0 3.4 37.8 22.2 24.6 5.8 6.0 4.4
Player 50.4 21.3 23.2 5.1 43.0 35.4 21.6 3.9 38.2 21.9 23.3 6.6 6.0 4.3
MLB 44.6 23.5 24.9 7.0 37.0 37.6 25.3 3.9 32.8 24.7 24.4 5.8 6.9 4.7
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement

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How this works: Every pitch is affected by the forces of gravity, which means that every pitch drops on its way from the mound to the plate. These numbers are reported with gravity, which makes them larger and different than other pitch movement numbers you may have seen. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren’t ‘better’ just because they have more time to move, the movement of a pitch is compared to ‘average’ movement by comparing it to other MLB pitch types within +/- 2 MPH and from within +/- 0.5 feet of extension and release.
Vertical Movement (inches) Horizontal Movement (inches)
Year Pitch Team Hand # MPH Inches of Drop vs Avg % vs Avg Inches of Break vs Avg % Break vs Avg
2023 Changeup ATL R 389 85.0 34.3 3.8 12 11.2 -2.4 -18
2023 Slider ATL R 1,005 82.7 41.6 1.9 5 0.1 -5.4 -102
2023 4-Seamer ATL R 378 90.7 18.1 -1.7 -10 3.9 -1.3 -24
2023 Sinker ATL R 1,071 89.5 25.9 1.8 7 13.2 -0.3 -2
2022 Sinker ATL R 371 90.7 25.0 2.7 12 14.5 0.9 7
2022 Slider ATL R 235 82.4 44.8 4.9 12 0.5 -6.0 -92
2022 Changeup ATL R 105 86.0 32.8 3.6 12 11.7 -1.8 -13
2022 4-Seamer ATL R 162 90.5 19.2 -2.9 -18 1.7 -4.1 -70
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2023 Sinker 0.1 2 1,075 37.7 297 .278 .400 .354 13.4 11.8 14.3 .302 .444 .368 45.7
2023 Slider 0.7 7 1,006 35.3 241 .210 .393 .294 33.7 26.6 19.6 .216 .385 .287 42.2
2023 Changeup 0.9 3 390 13.7 92 .188 .235 .237 23.6 17.4 13.9 .237 .334 .280 24.6
2023 4-Seamer -0.2 -1 378 13.3 101 .289 .500 .365 19.6 12.9 13.3 .297 .492 .365 39.2
2022 Sinker 0.6 2 371 42.5 114 .232 .316 .319 22.2 21.1 22.6 .250 .381 .339 34.2
2022 Slider 0.4 1 235 26.9 49 .205 .250 .251 36.6 30.6 20.8 .202 .300 .267 34.5
2022 4-Seamer 0.9 1 162 18.6 34 .161 .387 .283 5.9 8.8 8.6 .218 .484 .321 24.1
2022 Changeup 0.7 1 105 12.0 29 .286 .464 .334 26.8 17.2 16.1 .308 .438 .333 47.8
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: To better align with other values, positive numbers (red) are good, and negative numbers (blue) are poor.
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Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2023 Changeup 373 85.0 65 12.1 1:15 2:45 -90
2023 4-Seam Fastball 377 90.7 83 14.9 12:45 12:30 15
2023 Sinker 1,050 89.5 75 15.7 1:00 2:00 -60
2023 Slider 986 82.7 15 4.2 7:00 6:00 60
2022 Changeup 99 86.0 68 12.9 1:15 2:30 -75
2022 4-Seam Fastball 162 90.5 76 13.6 12:45 12:15 30
2022 Sinker 351 90.6 75 16.8 1:00 2:15 -75
2022 Slider 235 82.4 30 7.2 6:45 6:00 45
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! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Swing/Take

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2022 226 873 6 9 -5 -5 5
2023 745 2,905 19 22 -20 -15 8
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2022 873 43.3 66.1 87.2 29.5 56.2 43.4 55.9 45.4 23.7 6.5 78.9
2023 2,849 46.1 67.0 85.8 28.5 56.2 42.5 63.1 46.3 23.5 6.8 76.3
Player 3,722 45.5 66.8 86.1 28.8 56.2 42.7 61.4 46.1 23.6 6.7 76.9
MLB 48.6 67.0 82.0 28.5 58.0 42.6 60.9 47.1 24.8 7.3 76.1
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA /
xERA 		xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV Hard
Hit% 		K% BB% Whiff% Chase
Rate 		FB
Velo 		FB
Spin 		CB
Spin 		Extension
2022 32 43 44 47 22 82 75 56 77 35 20 32 50 9 10 12
2023 32 24 38 59 26 20 81 26 37 13 46 30 45 6 5 17
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Expected Home Runs

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2022 26.2 4 4.8 -1 2 4 2 50.0
2023 24.3 21 20.8 0 8 19 7 33.3
Player 24.6 25 25.6 -1 10 23 9 36.0

Expected Home Runs by Park

Year HR
2022 4 4 6 5 5 4 5 4 4 3 3 6 5 4 4 6 4 4 5 5 5 6 8 5 2 3 7 8 5 5 4
2023 21 19 15 20 23 21 24 15 18 15 20 23 22 19 25 21 27 19 20 22 19 19 29 23 19 19 19 25 22 22 20
Player 25 23 21 25 28 25 29 19 22 18 23 29 27 23 29 27 31 23 25 27 24 25 37 28 21 22 26 33 27 27 24
! Note: This tells how many of this player's home runs would have been out of other stadiums. This accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects. For these purposes, the 2020 Blue Jays home field was still Rogers Centre, not Sahlen Field.
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Year to Year Changes

Metric 2022 2023 +/-  
Fastball Velocity 90.6 89.8 -0.8 ↓
Offspeed Velocity 86.0 85.0 -1.0 ↓
Breaking Velocity 82.4 82.7 0.3 ↑
Exit Velocity 88.2 89.9 1.7 ↑
Launch Angle 8.8 8.5 -0.3 ↓
Barrel % 5.8 6.0 0.2 ↑
Hard Hit % 34.4 41.0 6.6 ↑
Sweet Spot % 30.5 32.0 1.5 ↑
xBA .243 .264 0.021 ↑
BA .222 .245 0.023 ↑
xwOBA .319 .329 0.010 ↑
wOBA .288 .309 0.021 ↑
xSLG .388 .416 0.028 ↑
SLG .333 .390 0.057 ↑
K% 20.7 17.5 -3.2 ↓
BB% 10.1 8.6 -1.5 ↓
Swing % 45.4 46.3 0.9 ↑
Whiff% 23.7 23.5 -0.2 ↓
In Zone % 43.3 46.1 2.8 ↑
Out of Zone % 56.7 53.9 -2.8 ↓
Out of Zone Swing % 29.5 28.5 -1.0 ↓
First Pitch Swing % 30.8 29.2 -1.6 ↓
First Pitch Strike % 55.9 63.1 7.2 ↑
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Statcast Fielder Positioning

vs RHHvs LHH
YearAlignment TypePAwOBAPATotal%PATotal%
2022 Shifts 226 .288 123 50 40.7 103 43 41.7
2023 Shades 731 .309 351 78 22.2 380 173 45.5
! Note: Shifts are through the 2022 season, Shaded starting from the 2023 season, Shift: three or more infielders are on the same side of second base, Shade: positioned outside of their typical responsible slices of the field.
Learn more about how positioning is defined here

Pitch Tempo

Bases EmptyRunners On Base
SeasonTeamPitchesTempoFast %Slow %PitchesTempoFast %Slow %
2022 280 14.8 51.8% 1.1% 120 20.9 0.0% 7.5%
2023 798 12.7 78.1% 0.4% 449 18.5 3.8% 0.9%
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Pitch Distribution

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