Bryce Elder
P | Bats/Throws: R/R | 6' 2" 220LBS | Age: 26
Draft: 2020 | Rd: 5, #156, Atlanta Braves | Texas
W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2023 12 4 3.81 31 31 0 174.2 128 1.28
2024 2 5 6.52 10 10 0 49.2 46 1.63
2025 2 3 4.45 11 11 0 60.2 51 1.27
4 Seasons 18 16 4.22 62 61 0 339 272 1.32
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2023 31 12-4 3.81 174.2 128 1.28
2024 10 2-5 6.52 49.2 46 1.63
2025 11 2-3 4.45 60.2 51 1.27
4 Seasons 62 18-16 4.22 339 272 1.32
MLB Percentile Rankings
Movement Profile (Induced Break)
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Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls
Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity
Max EV Launch
Angle
LA Sweet-
Spot %
XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2022 23 873 154 9 5.8 4.0 88.2 112.8 8.8 30.5 .242 .387 .288 .318 .355 34.4 20.7 10.1 3.17 4.23
2023 24 2849 532 32 6.0 4.4 89.9 115.0 8.5 32.0 .263 .416 .309 .329 .358 41.0 17.5 8.6 3.81 4.61
2024 25 864 161 14 8.7 6.2 89.9 109.6 8.1 31.1 .284 .441 .370 .343 .400 45.3 20.4 7.5 6.52 5.04
2025 26 967 181 16 8.8 6.3 89.5 117.6 6.9 29.8 .279 .475 .334 .351 .407 47.0 20.1 7.5 4.45 4.76
Player 5553 1028 71 6.9 4.9 89.6 117.6 8.2 31.2 .266 .426 .320 .333 .373 41.7 18.9 8.5
MLB 7.1 4.8 88.5 122.9 12.4 33.2 .245 .405 .316 .315 .369 36.7 22.2 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Elder relies on 4 pitches.
Sinker
(39.8%) ,
Slider
(38.8%) ,
Four Seamer
(11.5%) ,
Changeup
(9.9%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

AIR: Fly Balls + Line Drives + Popups All Batted Balls Batted Ball Breakdown
Season GB % AIR % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Pull GB % Straight GB % Oppo GB % Pull AIR % Straight AIR % Oppo AIR %
2022 50.0 50.0 22.1 21.4 6.5 42.9 37.0 20.1 26.0 19.5 4.5 16.9 17.5 15.6
2023 50.6 49.4 21.1 23.7 4.7 43.0 35.0 22.0 27.1 19.0 4.5 16.0 16.0 17.5
2024 49.7 50.3 23.6 23.0 3.7 42.9 36.6 20.5 28.0 18.6 3.1 14.9 18.0 17.4
2025 51.9 48.1 23.8 23.2 1.1 43.6 36.5 19.9 25.4 19.3 7.2 18.2 17.1 12.7
Player 50.6 49.4 22.1 23.2 4.2 43.1 35.8 21.1 26.8 19.1 4.8 16.3 16.7 16.3
MLB 44.4 55.6 23.9 24.7 7.1 37.2 37.4 25.2 20.6 17.7 5.9 16.6 19.7 19.3
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Quality of Contact

Season Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2022 5.8 39.6 20.8 18.8 9.1 5.8 4.0
2023 3.4 37.8 22.2 24.6 5.8 6.0 4.4
2024 2.5 35.4 19.3 30.4 3.7 8.7 6.2
2025 5.5 39.2 15.5 22.1 8.8 8.8 6.3
Player 4.0 37.9 20.3 24.2 6.5 6.9 4.9
MLB 3.9 32.6 24.9 24.4 5.9 7.1 4.8
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement


How this works: This section shows two different ways to evaluate pitch movement. On the left, “Total Movement” shows the real-world movement of a pitch, including the forces of gravity, which affects every pitch thrown. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren't 'better' just because they have more time to move, a pitch's movement is compared to other pitches of the same pitch type, within +/- 2 MPH and +/- 0.5 feet of extension/release. On the right, Induced Movement (or IVB) is reported without gravity, and attempts to isolate movement created by the pitcher's ability to spin and manipulate the ball.
Total Movement (in inches, w/ gravity)Induced Movement (in inches, w/o gravity)
YearPitchTeamHand#MPHVertical
Drop
vs.
Comparable
Horizontal
Break
vs.
Comparable
Vertical
Break
vs. AvgHorizontal
Break
vs. Avg
2025 Changeup ATL R 96 86.5 32.3 1.3 12.7ARM -1.1 4.3 -0.2 12.7ARM -2.1
2025 Sinker ATL R 385 91.5 24.7 1.3 14.3ARM -0.2 8.0 -0.7 14.3ARM -1.0
2025 4-Seam Fastball ATL R 111 92.2 17.4 -2.1 3.6ARM -3.0 14.7 -1.2 3.6ARM -4.1
2025 Slider ATL R 375 84.5 37.5 0.5 2.0GLV -1.9 0.8 0.9 2.0GLV -2.9
2024 4-Seam Fastball ATL R 107 91.5 16.8 -1.5 3.6ARM -2.4 15.7 0.0 3.6ARM -4.0
2024 Changeup ATL R 115 85.2 31.5 2.0 11.8ARM -1.8 6.0 -1.1 11.8ARM -2.4
2024 Cutter ATL R 1 86.8 32.2 -3.8 3.8GLV -0.3 3.8 -4.5 3.8GLV 1.1
2024 Sinker ATL R 370 90.2 22.9 0.5 13.1ARM -0.1 10.7 -3.5 13.1ARM -1.8
2024 Slider ATL R 271 83.6 38.8 0.9 0.8GLV -3.3 0.4 1.2 0.8GLV -4.1
! Note: Years are in reverse order.

Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2025 Sinker -1.1 -4 385 39.8 94 .274 .488 .363 12.4 22.3 25.6 .279 .449 .352 55.6
2025 Slider 1.8 7 375 38.8 112 .200 .352 .266 29.0 24.1 22.5 .239 .408 .295 43.0
2025 4-Seam Fastball -1.3 -1 111 11.5 23 .368 .474 .426 11.9 8.7 9.1 .362 .485 .424 35.3
2025 Changeup -7.9 -8 96 9.9 25 .318 .773 .454 11.6 4.0 2.9 .401 .888 .529 45.5
2024 Sinker -1.3 -5 370 42.8 107 .344 .458 .386 8.5 14.0 22.1 .320 .458 .373 55.6
2024 Slider -0.9 -3 271 31.4 57 .283 .604 .382 41.5 33.3 20.4 .272 .505 .345 37.1
2024 Changeup 0.7 1 115 13.3 32 .258 .258 .247 28.3 15.6 17.2 .236 .270 .238 26.9
2024 4-Seam Fastball -3.0 -3 107 12.4 29 .320 .680 .457 29.1 24.1 25.9 .243 .472 .356 44.4
2024 Cutter 21.7 0 1 0.1 1 .000 .000 .000 0.0 0.0 -- .091 .091 .082 0.0
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: To better align with other values, positive numbers (red) are good, and negative numbers (blue) are poor.

Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2025 Changeup 90 86.6 64 13.9 1:30 2:30 -60
2025 4-Seam Fastball 108 92.2 82 14.5 12:45 12:30 15
2025 Sinker 373 91.5 77 16.5 1:00 2:15 -75
2025 Slider 363 84.5 18 2.9 8:15 8:15 0
2024 Changeup 115 85.2 73 13.3 1:15 2:15 -60
2024 4-Seam Fastball 107 91.5 85 15.6 12:45 12:30 15
2024 Sinker 368 90.2 81 16.9 1:00 1:45 -45
2024 Slider 271 83.6 10 2.6 7:45 7:15 30
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Pitcher Arm Angle

! Note: Data is available from 2020 through the present.
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Statcast Pitching Run Value

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2022 226 873 3 9 -6 -5 1
2023 731 2,849 17 20 -21 -15 2
2024 226 864 3 -2 -8 -3 -10
2025 254 967 -1 5 -6 -5 -6
Player 1,437 5,553 22 33 -41 22 -13
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2022 873 43.3 66.1 87.2 29.5 56.2 43.4 55.9 45.4 23.7 6.5 78.9
2023 2,849 46.1 67.0 85.8 28.5 56.2 42.5 63.1 46.3 23.6 6.8 76.3
2024 864 45.6 60.9 86.7 29.8 52.1 44.8 57.1 44.0 25.5 4.3 73.0
2025 967 47.4 63.8 88.4 25.5 59.2 44.8 60.2 43.6 20.1 5.7 76.4
Player 5,553 45.8 65.3 86.6 28.4 56.0 43.4 60.5 45.3 23.3 6.2 76.4
MLB 48.7 67.0 82.1 28.4 57.6 42.6 61.1 47.2 25.0 7.3 76.3
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA /
xERA
xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV Hard
Hit%
K% BB% Whiff% Chase
Rate
FB
Velo
FB
Spin
CB
Spin
Extension
2022 33 44 44 47 22 82 75 56 77 35 20 32 50 9 10 11
2023 31 24 38 59 26 20 81 26 37 13 46 31 45 6 5 17
2024 10 4 13 39 11 61 28 21 6 28 57 50 62 8 8 11
2025 20 15 18 22 29 22 42 51 12 36 61 15 25 12 11 14
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Expected Home Runs

Adjusted

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2022 26.18 4 4.8 -1 2 4 2 50.0
2023 24.32 21 20.5 1 7 19 7 33.3
2024 23.76 8 8.7 -1 3 5 5 62.5
2025 22.73 10 10.2 0 5 7 5 50.0
Player 24.02 43 44.2 -1 17 35 19 44.2
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's home runs allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Expected Home Runs by Park

Adjusted

Year HR
2022 4 4 6 5 5 4 5 4 4 3 3 6 5 4 4 6 4 4 5 5 5 6 8 5 2 3 7 8 5 5 4
2023 21 19 14 20 23 22 24 15 18 15 18 22 21 18 24 21 27 18 19 22 19 19 29 23 19 18 18 25 22 22 20
2024 8 10 7 11 8 9 9 8 6 9 7 11 11 8 8 8 8 8 9 9 9 7 13 9 8 8 8 8 10 8 9
2025 10 10 8 8 12 12 8 10 7 9 9 10 12 15 10 7 10 11 8 11 12 8 13 12 11 9 8 10 13 12 12
Player 43 43 35 44 48 47 46 37 35 36 37 49 49 45 46 42 49 41 41 47 45 40 63 49 40 38 41 51 50 47 45
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's home runs allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Year to Year Changes

Metric 2022 +/-   2023 +/-   2024 +/-   2025
Fastball Velocity 90.6 -0.8 89.8 0.7 90.5 1.1 91.6
Offspeed Velocity 86.0 -1.0 85.0 0.2 85.2 1.3 86.5
Breaking Velocity 82.4 0.3 82.7 0.9 83.6 0.9 84.5
Exit Velocity 88.2 1.7 89.9 0.0 89.9 -0.4 89.5
Launch Angle 8.8 -0.3 8.5 -0.4 8.1 -1.2 6.9
Barrel % 5.8 0.2 6.0 2.7 8.7 0.1 8.8
Hard Hit % 34.4 6.6 41.0 4.3 45.3 1.7 47.0
LA Sweet-Spot % 30.5 1.5 32.0 -0.9 31.1 -1.3 29.8
xBA .242 0.021 .263 0.021 .284 -0.005 .279
BA .222 0.023 .245 0.066 .311 -0.059 .252
xwOBA .318 0.011 .329 0.014 .343 0.008 .351
wOBA .288 0.021 .309 0.061 .370 -0.036 .334
xSLG .387 0.029 .416 0.025 .441 0.034 .475
SLG .333 0.057 .390 0.100 .490 -0.038 .452
K% 20.7 -3.2 17.5 2.9 20.4 -0.3 20.1
BB% 10.1 -1.5 8.6 -1.1 7.5 0.0 7.5
Swing % 45.4 0.9 46.3 -2.3 44.0 -0.4 43.6
Whiff% 23.7 -0.1 23.6 1.9 25.5 -5.4 20.1
In Zone % 43.3 2.8 46.1 -0.5 45.6 1.8 47.4
Out of Zone % 56.7 -2.8 53.9 0.5 54.4 -1.8 52.6
Out of Zone Swing % 29.5 -1.0 28.5 1.3 29.8 -4.3 25.5
First Pitch Swing % 30.8 -1.6 29.2 -4.9 24.3 5.6 29.9
First Pitch Strike % 55.9 7.2 63.1 -6.0 57.1 3.1 60.2
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Statcast Fielder Positioning

vs RHHvs LHH
YearAlignment TypePAwOBAPATotal%PATotal%
2022 Shifts 226 .288 123 48 39.0 103 43 41.7
2023 Shades 731 .309 351 78 22.2 380 173 45.5
2024 Shades 226 .370 105 13 12.4 121 54 44.6
2025 Shades 254 .334 138 0 0.0 116 95 81.9
! Note: Shifts are through the 2022 season, Shaded starting from the 2023 season, Shift: three or more infielders are on the same side of second base, Shade: positioned outside of their typical responsible slices of the field.
Learn more about how positioning is defined here

Pitch Tempo

Bases EmptyRunners On Base
SeasonTeamPitchesTempoFast %Slow %PitchesTempoFast %Slow %
2022 280 14.8 51.8% 1.1% 120 20.9 0.0% 7.5%
2023 798 12.7 78.1% 0.4% 449 18.5 3.8% 0.9%
2024 274 12.7 81.8% 0.0% 138 17.2 8.0% 0.7%
2025 330 12.2 86.7% 0.0% 129 16.9 11.6% 0.0%

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Pitch Distribution