P | Washington Nationals
Bats/Throws: R/R | 6' 4" 223 lbs | Age: 28
Draft: 2020 | Rd. 1, No. 22, Washington Nationals | Oklahoma
W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2022 0 1 14.54 1 1 0 4.1 6 1.85
2025 3 1 4.25 10 10 0 48.2 40 1.48
2026 10 5 3.36 26 26 0 136.2 151 1.24
3 Seasons 13 7 3.84 37 37 0 189.2 197 1.32
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2022 1 0-1 14.54 4.1 6 1.85
2025 10 3-1 4.25 48.2 40 1.48
2026 26 10-5 3.36 136.2 151 1.24
3 Seasons 37 13-7 3.84 189.2 197 1.32
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Pitch Usage
MLB Percentile Rankings
Movement Profile (Induced Break)
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Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls		 Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity		 Max EV Launch
Angle		 LA Sweet-
Spot %		 xBA xSLG wOBA xwOBA xwOBAcon HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2022 23 99 12 2 16.7 8.7 89.1 101.4 13.3 33.3 .145 .340 .434 .311 .302 33.3 26.1 8.7 14.54 3.94
2025 26 788 158 7 4.5 3.2 87.7 109.7 3.8 29.7 .259 .393 .347 .315 .349 41.8 18.3 6.8 4.25 4.13
2026 27 2258 374 27 7.3 4.7 89.1 111.5 8.0 33.4 .242 .378 .307 .307 .375 40.6 26.1 7.1 3.36 3.95
Player 3145 544 36 6.7 4.4 88.7 111.5 6.9 32.4 .244 .381 .321 .309 .366 40.8 24.0 7.1
MLB 7.6 4.9 88.6 122.9 12.5 33.3 .243 .407 .315 .316 .369 37.1 22.2 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Cavalli relies on 7 pitches.
Four Seamer
(33.2%) ,
Knuckle Curve
(26.6%) ,
Sinker
(13.6%) ,
Sweeper
(13.2%) ,
Changeup
(7.8%) ,
Cutter
(5.5%) ,
Slow Curve
(0.0%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

AIR: Fly Balls + Line Drives + Popups All Batted Balls Batted Ball Breakdown
Season GB % AIR % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Pull GB % Straight GB % Oppo GB % Pull AIR % Straight AIR % Oppo AIR %
2022 50.0 50.0 41.7 8.3 0.0 8.3 50.0 41.7 8.3 25.0 16.7 0.0 25.0 25.0
2025 55.1 44.9 15.8 24.1 5.1 39.9 38.6 21.5 25.9 22.8 6.3 13.9 15.8 15.2
2026 50.3 49.7 24.3 21.7 3.7 38.2 33.7 28.1 25.4 19.0 5.9 12.8 14.7 22.2
Player 51.7 48.3 22.2 22.1 4.0 38.1 35.5 26.5 25.2 20.2 6.3 12.9 15.3 20.2
MLB 44.1 55.9 24.2 24.6 7.1 37.5 37.3 25.1 20.7 17.5 5.8 16.8 19.7 19.2
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Quality of Contact

Season Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2022 0.0 50.0 25.0 0.0 8.3 16.7 8.7
2025 7.6 38.6 13.3 27.2 8.2 4.5 3.2
2026 2.9 38.5 20.6 25.4 4.5 7.3 4.7
Player 4.2 38.8 18.6 25.4 5.7 6.7 4.4
MLB 4.0 32.3 25.0 24.4 5.9 7.6 4.9
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement

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How this works: This section shows two different ways to evaluate pitch movement. On the left, “Total Movement” shows the real-world movement of a pitch, including the forces of gravity, which affects every pitch thrown. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren't 'better' just because they have more time to move, a pitch's movement is compared to other pitches of the same pitch type, within +/- 2 MPH and +/- 0.5 feet of extension/release. On the right, Induced Movement (or IVB) is reported without gravity, and attempts to isolate movement created by the pitcher's ability to spin and manipulate the ball.
Total Movement (in inches, w/ gravity)Induced Movement (in inches, w/o gravity)
YearPitchTeamHand#MPHVertical
Drop		vs.
Comparable		Horizontal
Break		vs.
Comparable		Vertical
Break		vs. AvgHorizontal
Break		vs. Avg
2026 Curveball WSH R 602 85.9 48.0 1.4 7.5GLV 1.5 -10.9 0.7 7.5GLV -1.6
2026 Sinker WSH R 308 96.1 21.9 1.3 14.7ARM -0.3 7.7 -0.1 14.7ARM -0.4
2026 Cutter WSH R 124 93.6 22.6 -0.4 1.3GLV -0.3 8.3 0.3 1.3GLV -0.9
2026 Sweeper WSH R 297 86.1 44.8 7.6 14.4GLV 2.1 -7.8 8.8 14.4GLV 0.8
2026 4-Seam Fastball WSH R 750 96.8 14.5 -1.3 6.0ARM -1.2 14.6 -1.1 6.0ARM -1.8
2026 Changeup WSH R 176 89.0 30.0 -0.6 17.3ARM 3.2 4.5 -0.7 17.3ARM 3.1
2025 4-Seam Fastball WSH R 232 97.2 13.9 -1.1 4.4ARM -2.7 15.1 -0.7 4.4ARM -3.2
2025 Curveball WSH R 240 86.1 50.0 3.5 6.3GLV 0.4 -12.8 2.6 6.3GLV -2.7
2025 Changeup WSH R 107 89.8 27.9 -1.5 17.7ARM 3.2 6.1 -2.0 17.7ARM 3.2
2025 Cutter WSH R 63 93.6 22.4 -0.9 0.4GLV -1.2 8.8 0.4 0.4GLV -1.8
2025 Sinker WSH R 146 96.9 21.3 1.2 13.6ARM -1.1 7.9 -0.5 13.6ARM -1.5
! Note: Years are in reverse order.

Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2026 4-Seam Fastball -0.9 -7 750 33.2 185 .301 .494 .379 21.7 23.2 18.9 .260 .465 .345 46.0
2026 Curveball 0.6 4 602 26.7 146 .203 .263 .257 38.2 37.7 27.8 .206 .270 .245 28.7
2026 Sinker 0.1 0 308 13.6 93 .358 .444 .408 12.9 10.8 20.0 .297 .412 .356 49.3
2026 Sweeper 2.2 6 297 13.2 86 .104 .117 .184 33.1 38.4 25.4 .169 .221 .222 33.3
2026 Changeup -1.1 -2 176 7.8 42 .211 .447 .338 24.1 21.4 16.1 .257 .479 .349 34.5
2026 Cutter 0.4 1 124 5.5 26 .280 .640 .382 17.6 3.8 3.6 .337 .584 .407 48.0
2025 Curveball -1.5 -4 240 30.5 58 .351 .491 .387 39.8 31.0 24.7 .239 .332 .254 46.2
2025 4-Seam Fastball 0.5 1 232 29.4 72 .220 .407 .335 25.4 22.2 23.2 .240 .399 .340 40.9
2025 Sinker -0.9 -1 146 18.5 45 .310 .500 .420 9.7 4.4 9.5 .315 .489 .368 50.0
2025 Changeup 0.9 1 107 13.6 29 .222 .222 .234 41.8 13.8 13.8 .249 .297 .271 26.1
2025 Cutter -3.8 -2 63 8.0 15 .417 .750 .537 12.1 0.0 0.0 .278 .543 .416 33.3
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: To better align with other values, positive numbers (red) are good, and negative numbers (blue) are poor.

Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2026 Changeup 176 89.0 96 18.5 2:00 2:45 -45
2026 Cutter 124 93.6 53 7.9 12:30 11:30 60
2026 4-Seam Fastball 749 96.8 83 15.4 1:15 12:45 30
2026 Knuckle Curve 598 86.0 78 15.4 7:15 7:00 15
2026 Sinker 308 96.1 83 16.9 1:15 2:15 -60
2026 Sweeper 297 86.1 75 18.1 7:15 8:00 -45
2025 Changeup 106 89.8 94 19.3 1:45 2:30 -45
2025 Cutter 63 93.6 53 8.3 12:15 11:45 30
2025 4-Seam Fastball 232 97.2 81 15.3 12:45 12:30 15
2025 Knuckle Curve 240 86.1 83 16.7 7:00 6:45 15
2025 Sinker 146 96.9 82 15.9 1:00 2:15 -75
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Pitcher Arm Angle

! Note: Data is available from 2020 through the present.
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Statcast Pitching Run Value

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2022 23 99 0 0 -2 0 -2
2025 219 788 4 0 -6 -3 -5
2026 578 2,258 10 17 -14 -11 2
Player 820 3,145 13 18 -21 13 -5
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2022 99 48.5 77.1 73.0 19.6 70.0 35.4 56.5 47.5 27.7 6.1 100.0
2025 788 52.3 64.1 80.3 33.8 55.1 45.4 61.2 49.6 27.9 7.2 71.9
2026 2,258 49.2 64.3 85.2 31.2 52.8 40.2 61.4 47.5 25.7 8.5 75.1
Player 3,145 49.9 64.6 83.4 31.4 53.7 41.3 61.2 48.0 26.3 8.1 75.0
MLB 48.7 67.0 82.7 28.6 57.9 42.6 61.2 47.3 25.0 7.3 76.2
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Run Value Pitching
Year Pitching Fastball Breaking Off
Speed 		xERA Fastball
MPH 		Fastball
Spin 		Curve
Spin 		Avg
EV 		Chase% Whiff% K% BB% Barrel% Hard-
Hit% 		GB% Extension
2022
2025 25 28 22 66 40 88 53 16 85 94 72 18 71 95 38 93 59
2026 52 12 97 20 54 83 42 7 41 56 53 73 70 55 35 84 45
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Expected Home Runs

Adjusted
Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2022 -- 0 0.1 0 1 0 0 --
2025 24.46 7 5.8 1 1 4 3 42.9
2026 23.55 15 15.3 0 8 11 7 46.7
Player 23.84 22 21.3 1 10 15 10 45.5
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's batted balls allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Expected Home Runs by Park

Adjusted
Year HR
2022 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 0
2025 7 6 5 6 7 6 5 6 6 5 5 7 6 8 6 5 7 5 5 7 5 6 7 6 4 5 6 6 6 5 5
2026 15 17 11 15 15 15 15 14 16 16 12 13 15 19 15 17 15 15 13 20 13 17 18 20 14 12 12 16 20 14 16
Player 22 23 16 21 22 21 20 20 22 21 17 20 22 27 21 22 22 20 18 27 18 23 26 27 18 17 18 22 27 19 21
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's batted balls allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Year to Year Changes

2026 +/-   2025
Results
BA .248 -.041 ↓ .289
xBA .242 -.017 ↓ .259
OBP .315 -.035 ↓ .350
xOBP .312 -.011 ↓ .323
SLG .375 -.072 ↓ .447
xSLG .378 -.015 ↓ .393
ISO .127 -.030 ↓ .157
xISO .136 +.002 ↑ .134
BABIP .318 -.013 ↓ .331
wOBA .307 -.040 ↓ .347
xwOBA .307 -.008 ↓ .315
wOBAcon .375 -.018 ↓ .393
xwOBAcon .375 +.026 ↑ .349
BACON .346 -.015 ↓ .361
xBACON .341 +.017 ↑ .324
Statcast Hit Metrics
Hard Hit % 40.6 -1.2 ↓ 41.8
Avg Exit Velocity 89.1 +1.4 ↑ 87.7
Launch Angle Sweet-Spot % 33.4 +3.7 ↑ 29.7
Barrel % 7.3 +2.8 ↑ 4.5
Avg Launch Angle 8.0 +4.2 ↑ 3.8
Statcast Bat Tracking
Bat Speed 72.0 +0.1 ↑ 71.9
Attack Angle 9° 0° ↑ 9°
Ideal Attack Angle % 52.6 +3.3 ↑ 49.3
Attack Direction 0° -1° ↓ 1°
Swing Path - Tilt 33° -1° ↓ 33°
Swing Length 7.3 +0.1 ↑ 7.2
Statcast Pitch Metrics
Fastball Velocity 96.3 -0.3 ↓ 96.6
Breaking Velocity 86.0 -0.1 ↓ 86.1
Offspeed Velocity 89.0 -0.8 ↓ 89.8
Batted Ball Results
Barrels 27 +20 ↑ 7
Popup % 3.7 -1.4 ↓ 5.1
Flyball % 24.3 +8.5 ↑ 15.8
Line Drive % 21.7 -2.4 ↓ 24.1
Groundball % 50.3 -4.8 ↓ 55.1
Pull % 38.2 -1.7 ↓ 39.9
Straight Away % 33.7 -4.9 ↓ 38.6
Opposite Field % 28.1 +6.6 ↑ 21.5
Weak Contact % 2.9 -4.7 ↓ 7.6
Pull Airball % 12.8 -1.1 ↓ 13.9
Topped Contact % 38.5 -0.1 ↓ 38.6
Under Contact % 20.6 +7.3 ↑ 13.3
Flare/Burner Contact % 25.4 -1.8 ↓ 27.2
Solid Contact % 4.5 -3.7 ↓ 8.2
HR/FB % 16.5 -11.5 ↓ 28.0
Popups 14 +6 ↑ 8
Flyballs 91 +66 ↑ 25
Line Drives 81 +43 ↑ 38
Groundballs 188 +101 ↑ 87
Plate Discipline
In Zone % 49.2 -3.1 ↓ 52.3
Out of Zone % 50.8 +3.1 ↑ 47.7
Edge % 40.2 -5.2 ↓ 45.4
Zone Swing % 64.3 +0.2 ↑ 64.1
Out of Zone Swing % 31.2 -2.6 ↓ 33.8
In Zone Contact % 85.2 +4.9 ↑ 80.3
Out of Zone Contact % 52.8 -2.3 ↓ 55.1
Whiff % 25.7 -2.2 ↓ 27.9
First Strike % 61.4 +0.2 ↑ 61.2
First Pitch Swing % 33.2 +3.1 ↑ 30.1
Swing % 47.5 -2.1 ↓ 49.6
Meatball Swing % 75.1 +3.2 ↑ 71.9
Meatball % 8.5 +1.3 ↑ 7.2
Zone Swing & Miss % 14.8 -4.9 ↓ 19.7
Out of Zone Swing & Miss % 47.2 +2.3 ↑ 44.9
In Zone 1,110 +698 ↑ 412
Out of Zone 1,148 +772 ↑ 376
Edge 907 +549 ↑ 358
In Zone Swings 714 +450 ↑ 264
Out of Zone Swings 358 +231 ↑ 127
In Zone Swing & Misses 106 +54 ↑ 52
Out of Zone Swing & Misses 169 +112 ↑ 57
Basic
Pitches 2,258 +1,470 ↑ 788
PA 578 +359 ↑ 219
AB 520 +323 ↑ 197
Hits 129 +72 ↑ 57
Singles 93 +52 ↑ 41
Doubles 21 +13 ↑ 8
Triples 0 -1 ↓ 1
Home Runs 15 +8 ↑ 7
Walks 41 +26 ↑ 15
Strikeouts 151 +111 ↑ 40
K% 26.1 +7.8 ↑ 18.3
BB% 7.1 +0.3 ↑ 6.8
HBP 12 +8 ↑ 4
Batted Balls 374 +216 ↑ 158
Fastball Percent 52.3 -3.7 ↓ 56.0
Offspeed Percent 7.8 -5.8 ↓ 13.6
Breaking Percent 39.8 +9.3 ↑ 30.5
Number of Fastballs 1,182 +741 ↑ 441
Number of Offspeed 176 +69 ↑ 107
Number of Breaking 899 +659 ↑ 240
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Statcast Fielder Positioning

vs RHHvs LHH
YearAlignment TypePAwOBAPATotal%PATotal%
2022 Shifts 23 .434 17 1 5.9 6 5 83.3
2025 Shades 219 .347 95 0 0.0 124 35 28.2
2026 Shades 577 .308 236 7 3.0 341 194 56.9
! Note: Shifts are through the 2022 season, Shaded starting from the 2023 season, Shift: three or more infielders are on the same side of second base, Shade: positioned outside of their typical responsible slices of the field.
Learn more about how positioning is defined here

Pitch Tempo

Bases EmptyRunners On Base
SeasonTeamPitchesTempoFast %Slow %PitchesTempoFast %Slow %
2022 17 18.7 11.8% 0.0% 23 23.0 0.0% 8.7%
2025 193 17.3 17.1% 0.5% 119 21.0 0.0% 0.8%
2026 578 19.2 4.0% 2.2% 292 21.2 0.0% 4.5%

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Pitch Distribution

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