P | Washington Nationals
Bats/Throws: R/R | 6' 4" 223 lbs | Age: 27
Draft: 2020 | Rd. 1, No. 22, Washington Nationals | Oklahoma
W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2022 0 1 14.54 1 1 0 4.1 6 1.85
2025 3 1 4.25 10 10 0 48.2 40 1.48
2026 3 4 3.88 14 14 0 69.2 76 1.44
3 Seasons 6 6 4.40 25 25 0 122.2 122 1.47
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2022 1 0-1 14.54 4.1 6 1.85
2025 10 3-1 4.25 48.2 40 1.48
2026 14 3-4 3.88 69.2 76 1.44
3 Seasons 25 6-6 4.40 122.2 122 1.47
MLB Percentile Rankings
Movement Profile (Induced Break)
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Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls
Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity
Max EV Launch
Angle
LA Sweet-
Spot %
xBA xSLG wOBA xwOBA xwOBAcon HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2022 23 99 12 2 16.7 8.7 89.1 101.4 13.3 33.3 .145 .340 .434 .311 .302 33.3 26.1 8.7 14.54 3.94
2025 26 788 158 7 4.5 3.2 87.7 109.7 3.8 29.7 .259 .393 .347 .315 .349 41.8 18.3 6.8 4.25 4.13
2026 27 1188 202 16 7.9 5.1 89.1 111.5 9.9 35.6 .254 .394 .328 .327 .384 39.1 24.3 8.0 3.88 4.37
Player 2075 372 25 6.7 4.5 88.5 111.5 7.4 33.1 .252 .392 .340 .322 .367 40.1 22.0 7.6
MLB 7.6 4.9 88.6 122.9 12.5 33.3 .243 .408 .316 .316 .369 37.1 22.2 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Cavalli relies on 5 pitches.
Four Seamer
(34.6%) ,
Knuckle Curve
(29.5%) ,
Sinker
(15.2%) ,
Sweeper
(11.6%) ,
Changeup
(9.1%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

AIR: Fly Balls + Line Drives + Popups All Batted Balls Batted Ball Breakdown
Season GB % AIR % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Pull GB % Straight GB % Oppo GB % Pull AIR % Straight AIR % Oppo AIR %
2022 50.0 50.0 41.7 8.3 0.0 8.3 50.0 41.7 8.3 25.0 16.7 0.0 25.0 25.0
2025 55.1 44.9 15.8 24.1 5.1 39.9 38.6 21.5 25.9 22.8 6.3 13.9 15.8 15.2
2026 46.5 53.5 24.3 24.8 4.5 39.1 31.7 29.2 25.2 15.8 5.4 13.9 15.8 23.8
Player 50.3 49.7 21.2 23.9 4.6 38.4 35.2 26.3 25.0 19.1 6.2 13.4 16.1 20.2
MLB 44.2 55.8 24.1 24.6 7.1 37.4 37.3 25.1 20.7 17.6 5.9 16.8 19.7 19.3
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Quality of Contact

Season Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2022 0.0 50.0 25.0 0.0 8.3 16.7 8.7
2025 7.6 38.6 13.3 27.2 8.2 4.5 3.2
2026 1.0 36.1 23.3 26.7 5.0 7.9 5.1
Player 3.8 37.6 19.1 26.1 6.5 6.7 4.5
MLB 4.0 32.3 24.9 24.4 5.9 7.6 4.9
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement


How this works: This section shows two different ways to evaluate pitch movement. On the left, “Total Movement” shows the real-world movement of a pitch, including the forces of gravity, which affects every pitch thrown. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren't 'better' just because they have more time to move, a pitch's movement is compared to other pitches of the same pitch type, within +/- 2 MPH and +/- 0.5 feet of extension/release. On the right, Induced Movement (or IVB) is reported without gravity, and attempts to isolate movement created by the pitcher's ability to spin and manipulate the ball.
Total Movement (in inches, w/ gravity)Induced Movement (in inches, w/o gravity)
YearPitchTeamHand#MPHVertical
Drop
vs.
Comparable
Horizontal
Break
vs.
Comparable
Vertical
Break
vs. AvgHorizontal
Break
vs. Avg
2026 Sinker WSH R 180 96.0 21.7 1.0 14.7ARM -0.6 8.0 -0.4 14.7ARM -0.6
2026 Changeup WSH R 108 88.9 30.6 -0.2 17.6ARM 3.3 4.2 -0.2 17.6ARM 3.1
2026 4-Seam Fastball WSH R 411 96.5 14.6 -1.3 5.1ARM -2.1 14.8 -1.1 5.1ARM -2.7
2026 Curveball WSH R 350 85.3 48.8 1.5 8.2GLV 1.8 -11.0 0.8 8.2GLV -1.1
2026 Sweeper WSH R 138 85.5 45.4 8.1 14.6GLV 1.9 -7.7 8.8 14.6GLV 0.8
2025 4-Seam Fastball WSH R 232 97.2 13.9 -1.1 4.4ARM -2.7 15.1 -0.7 4.4ARM -3.2
2025 Sinker WSH R 146 96.9 21.3 1.2 13.6ARM -1.1 7.9 -0.5 13.6ARM -1.5
2025 Cutter WSH R 63 93.6 22.4 -0.9 0.4GLV -1.2 8.8 0.4 0.4GLV -1.8
2025 Curveball WSH R 240 86.1 50.0 3.5 6.3GLV 0.4 -12.8 2.6 6.3GLV -2.7
2025 Changeup WSH R 107 89.8 27.9 -1.5 17.7ARM 3.2 6.1 -2.0 17.7ARM 3.2
! Note: Years are in reverse order.

Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2026 4-Seam Fastball -0.6 -3 411 34.6 111 .323 .469 .378 18.4 20.7 18.7 .280 .495 .375 41.3
2026 Curveball -0.2 -1 350 29.5 83 .230 .324 .299 42.1 34.9 28.4 .217 .313 .268 31.9
2026 Sinker -0.9 -2 180 15.2 53 .400 .444 .442 11.1 13.2 26.9 .287 .365 .345 52.6
2026 Sweeper -0.8 -1 138 11.6 35 .133 .167 .264 25.5 28.6 15.2 .249 .346 .320 35.0
2026 Changeup 0.8 1 108 9.1 31 .172 .276 .255 17.6 22.6 20.6 .220 .362 .277 27.3
2025 Curveball -1.5 -4 240 30.5 58 .351 .491 .387 39.8 31.0 24.7 .238 .332 .254 46.2
2025 4-Seam Fastball 0.5 1 232 29.4 72 .220 .407 .335 25.4 22.2 23.2 .240 .399 .340 40.9
2025 Sinker -0.9 -1 146 18.5 45 .310 .500 .420 9.7 4.4 9.5 .315 .489 .368 50.0
2025 Changeup 0.9 1 107 13.6 29 .222 .222 .234 41.8 13.8 13.8 .249 .297 .271 26.1
2025 Cutter -3.8 -2 63 8.0 15 .417 .750 .537 12.1 0.0 0.0 .278 .543 .416 33.3
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: To better align with other values, positive numbers (red) are good, and negative numbers (blue) are poor.

Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2026 Changeup 108 88.9 95 18.7 2:00 2:45 -45
2026 4-Seam Fastball 411 96.5 81 15.3 1:00 12:45 15
2026 Knuckle Curve 348 85.3 80 15.9 7:15 7:00 15
2026 Sinker 180 96.0 82 16.9 1:15 2:15 -60
2026 Sweeper 138 85.5 76 18.3 7:15 8:00 -45
2025 Changeup 106 89.8 94 19.3 1:45 2:30 -45
2025 Cutter 63 93.6 53 8.3 12:15 11:45 30
2025 4-Seam Fastball 232 97.2 81 15.3 12:45 12:30 15
2025 Knuckle Curve 240 86.1 83 16.7 7:00 6:45 15
2025 Sinker 146 96.9 82 15.9 1:00 2:15 -75
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Pitcher Arm Angle

! Note: Data is available from 2020 through the present.
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Statcast Pitching Run Value

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2022 23 99 0 0 -2 0 -2
2025 219 788 4 0 -6 -3 -5
2026 313 1,188 4 8 -11 -6 -5
Player 555 2,075 7 9 -18 7 -12
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2022 99 48.5 77.1 73.0 19.6 70.0 35.4 56.5 47.5 27.7 6.1 100.0
2025 788 52.3 64.1 80.3 33.8 55.1 45.4 61.2 49.6 27.9 7.2 71.9
2026 1,188 49.3 62.1 87.1 31.6 53.7 39.4 62.0 46.6 24.4 8.6 70.6
Player 2,075 50.4 63.6 83.6 31.8 54.7 41.5 61.4 47.8 25.9 8.0 72.1
MLB 48.7 67.0 82.6 28.5 58.0 42.7 61.1 47.3 25.0 7.3 76.2
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Run Value Pitching
Year Pitching Fastball Breaking Off
Speed
xERA Fastball
MPH
Fastball
Spin
Curve
Spin
Avg
EV
Chase% Whiff% K% BB% Barrel% Hard-
Hit%
GB% Extension
2022
2025 25 28 22 66 40 88 53 16 85 94 72 18 71 95 38 93 59
2026 17 13 22 69 38 78 42 7 46 62 45 62 59 46 47 68 47
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Expected Home Runs

Adjusted

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2022 -- 0 0.1 0 1 0 0 --
2025 24.46 7 5.8 1 1 4 3 42.9
2026 23.37 5 5.7 -1 4 6 1 20.0
Player 24.00 12 11.7 0 6 10 4 33.3
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's batted balls allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Expected Home Runs by Park

Adjusted

Year HR
2022 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 0
2025 7 6 5 6 7 6 5 6 6 5 5 7 6 8 6 5 7 5 5 7 5 6 7 6 4 5 6 6 6 5 5
2026 5 6 3 5 6 6 6 3 6 7 5 5 4 7 6 7 4 3 6 7 4 8 7 9 4 3 7 7 11 5 5
Player 12 12 8 11 13 12 11 9 12 12 10 12 11 15 12 12 11 8 11 14 9 14 15 16 8 8 13 13 18 10 10
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's batted balls allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Year to Year Changes

2026 +/-   2025
Results
BA .274 -.015 .289
xBA .254 -.005 .259
OBP .353 +.003 .350
xOBP .337 +.014 .323
SLG .372 -.075 .447
xSLG .394 +.001 .393
ISO .099 -.058 .157
xISO .140 +.006 .134
BABIP .357 +.026 .331
wOBA .328 -.019 .347
xwOBA .327 +.012 .315
wOBAcon .385 -.008 .393
xwOBAcon .384 +.035 .349
BACON .373 +.012 .361
xBACON .350 +.026 .324
Statcast Hit Metrics
Hard Hit % 39.1 -2.7 41.8
Avg Exit Velocity 89.1 +1.4 87.7
Launch Angle Sweet-Spot % 35.6 +5.9 29.7
Barrel % 7.9 +3.4 4.5
Avg Launch Angle 9.9 +6.1 3.8
Statcast Bat Tracking
Bat Speed 72.0 0.0 72.0
Attack Angle 10° +1°
Ideal Attack Angle % 54.0 +4.3 49.7
Attack Direction -1° -2°
Swing Path - Tilt 33° -1° 33°
Swing Length 7.2 0.0 7.2
Statcast Pitch Metrics
Fastball Velocity 96.3 -0.3 96.6
Breaking Velocity 85.4 -0.7 86.1
Offspeed Velocity 88.9 -0.9 89.8
Batted Ball Results
Barrels 16 +9 7
Popup % 4.5 -0.6 5.1
Flyball % 24.3 +8.5 15.8
Line Drive % 24.8 +0.7 24.1
Groundball % 46.5 -8.6 55.1
Pull % 39.1 -0.8 39.9
Straight Away % 31.7 -6.9 38.6
Opposite Field % 29.2 +7.7 21.5
Weak Contact % 1.0 -6.6 7.6
Pull Airball % 13.9 0.0 13.9
Topped Contact % 36.1 -2.5 38.6
Under Contact % 23.3 +10.0 13.3
Flare/Burner Contact % 26.7 -0.5 27.2
Solid Contact % 5.0 -3.2 8.2
HR/FB % 10.2 -17.8 28.0
Popups 9 +1 8
Flyballs 49 +24 25
Line Drives 50 +12 38
Groundballs 94 +7 87
Plate Discipline
In Zone % 49.3 -3.0 52.3
Out of Zone % 50.7 +3.0 47.7
Edge % 39.4 -6.0 45.4
Zone Swing % 62.1 -2.0 64.1
Out of Zone Swing % 31.6 -2.2 33.8
In Zone Contact % 87.1 +6.8 80.3
Out of Zone Contact % 53.7 -1.4 55.1
Whiff % 24.4 -3.5 27.9
First Strike % 62.0 +0.8 61.2
First Pitch Swing % 32.6 +2.5 30.1
Swing % 46.6 -3.0 49.6
Meatball Swing % 70.6 -1.3 71.9
Meatball % 8.6 +1.4 7.2
Zone Swing & Miss % 12.9 -6.8 19.7
Out of Zone Swing & Miss % 46.3 +1.4 44.9
In Zone 586 +174 412
Out of Zone 602 +226 376
Edge 468 +110 358
In Zone Swings 364 +100 264
Out of Zone Swings 190 +63 127
In Zone Swing & Misses 47 -5 52
Out of Zone Swing & Misses 88 +31 57
Basic
Pitches 1,188 +400 788
PA 313 +94 219
AB 274 +77 197
Hits 75 +18 57
Singles 58 +17 41
Doubles 12 +4 8
Triples 0 -1 1
Home Runs 5 -2 7
Walks 25 +10 15
Strikeouts 76 +36 40
K% 24.3 +6.0 18.3
BB% 8.0 +1.2 6.8
HBP 10 +6 4
Batted Balls 202 +44 158
Fastball Percent 49.7 -6.3 56.0
Offspeed Percent 9.1 -4.5 13.6
Breaking Percent 41.1 +10.6 30.5
Number of Fastballs 591 +150 441
Number of Offspeed 108 +1 107
Number of Breaking 488 +248 240
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Statcast Fielder Positioning

vs RHHvs LHH
YearAlignment TypePAwOBAPATotal%PATotal%
2022 Shifts 23 .434 17 1 5.9 6 5 83.3
2025 Shades 219 .347 95 0 0.0 124 35 28.2
2026 Shades 312 .329 131 1 0.8 181 80 44.2
! Note: Shifts are through the 2022 season, Shaded starting from the 2023 season, Shift: three or more infielders are on the same side of second base, Shade: positioned outside of their typical responsible slices of the field.
Learn more about how positioning is defined here

Pitch Tempo

Bases EmptyRunners On Base
SeasonTeamPitchesTempoFast %Slow %PitchesTempoFast %Slow %
2022 17 18.7 11.8% 0.0% 23 23.0 0.0% 8.7%
2025 193 17.3 17.1% 0.5% 119 21.0 0.0% 0.8%
2026 259 18.0 7.3% 1.2% 185 21.1 0.0% 3.8%

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Pitch Distribution