P | Pittsburgh Pirates
Bats/Throws: L/R | 6' 5" 218 lbs | Age: 26
Draft: 2018 | Rd. 2, No. 51, Pittsburgh Pirates | Robinson HS
W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2025 4 4 2.71 26 8 0 69.2 71 1.25
2026 1 1 2.43 5 5 0 29.2 32 1.01
2 Seasons 5 5 2.63 31 13 0 99.1 103 1.18
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2025 26 4-4 2.71 69.2 71 1.25
2026 5 1-1 2.43 29.2 32 1.01
2 Seasons 31 5-5 2.63 99.1 103 1.18
MLB Percentile Rankings
Movement Profile (Induced Break)
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Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls
Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity
Max EV Launch
Angle
LA Sweet-
Spot %
xBA xSLG wOBA xwOBA xwOBAcon HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2025 25 1102 195 9 4.6 3.1 88.0 111.5 9.1 30.8 .235 .350 .286 .289 .343 38.5 24.3 8.2 2.71 3.43
2026 26 435 74 3 4.1 2.6 89.0 110.1 14.4 27.0 .175 .249 .257 .231 .267 31.1 27.6 7.8 2.43 2.07
Player 1537 269 12 4.5 2.9 88.3 111.5 10.5 29.7 .218 .321 .278 .272 .322 36.4 25.2 8.1
MLB 7.2 4.9 88.6 122.9 12.4 33.3 .243 .408 .316 .316 .369 37.0 22.2 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Ashcraft relies on 5 pitches.
Four Seamer
(30.1%) ,
Curveball
(26.7%) ,
Slider
(21.1%) ,
Sinker
(18.2%) ,
Split Finger
(3.9%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

AIR: Fly Balls + Line Drives + Popups All Batted Balls Batted Ball Breakdown
Season GB % AIR % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Pull GB % Straight GB % Oppo GB % Pull AIR % Straight AIR % Oppo AIR %
2025 50.8 49.2 22.1 23.1 4.1 38.5 41.0 20.5 24.6 21.5 4.6 13.8 19.5 15.9
2026 50.0 50.0 27.0 13.5 9.5 24.3 45.9 29.7 13.5 28.4 8.1 10.8 17.6 21.6
Player 50.6 49.4 23.4 20.4 5.6 34.6 42.4 23.0 21.6 23.4 5.6 13.0 19.0 17.5
MLB 44.2 55.8 24.1 24.6 7.1 37.4 37.3 25.1 20.7 17.6 5.9 16.7 19.7 19.3
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Quality of Contact

Season Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2025 3.6 35.9 23.1 27.2 4.6 4.6 3.1
2026 1.4 36.5 29.7 20.3 6.8 4.1 2.6
Player 3.0 36.1 24.9 25.3 5.2 4.5 2.9
MLB 4.0 32.4 24.9 24.4 5.9 7.2 4.9
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement


How this works: This section shows two different ways to evaluate pitch movement. On the left, “Total Movement” shows the real-world movement of a pitch, including the forces of gravity, which affects every pitch thrown. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren't 'better' just because they have more time to move, a pitch's movement is compared to other pitches of the same pitch type, within +/- 2 MPH and +/- 0.5 feet of extension/release. On the right, Induced Movement (or IVB) is reported without gravity, and attempts to isolate movement created by the pitcher's ability to spin and manipulate the ball.
Total Movement (in inches, w/ gravity)Induced Movement (in inches, w/o gravity)
YearPitchTeamHand#MPHVertical
Drop
vs.
Comparable
Horizontal
Break
vs.
Comparable
Vertical
Break
vs. AvgHorizontal
Break
vs. Avg
2026 Sinker PIT R 79 96.4 22.1 1.4 16.5ARM 0.9 7.4 0.4 16.5ARM 1.0
2026 Split-Finger PIT R 17 91.0 26.4 -4.2 15.1ARM 2.7 6.7 -4.0 15.1ARM 3.6
2026 4-Seam Fastball PIT R 131 96.7 13.7 -0.7 9.4ARM 2.2 15.6 -0.6 9.4ARM 1.7
2026 Slider PIT R 92 91.8 27.2 -2.7 0.8GLV -1.6 5.2 -3.7 0.8GLV -3.4
2026 Curveball PIT R 116 84.7 48.6 0.5 7.1GLV 0.8 -10.5 0.2 7.1GLV -2.0
2025 4-Seam Fastball PIT R 327 97.0 13.4 -0.3 7.3ARM 0.3 15.7 -0.1 7.3ARM -0.3
2025 Sinker PIT R 163 96.6 21.0 0.4 15.6ARM 0.7 8.4 -1.0 15.6ARM 0.5
2025 Changeup PIT R 36 91.6 26.0 -2.5 13.6ARM -1.5 6.4 -2.3 13.6ARM -0.9
2025 Curveball PIT R 232 84.3 51.0 2.6 8.0GLV 2.0 -12.4 2.2 8.0GLV -1.0
2025 Slider PIT R 344 92.0 26.5 -1.9 2.0GLV -0.9 5.6 -3.8 2.0GLV -2.3
! Note: Years are in reverse order.

Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2026 4-Seam Fastball 1.7 2 131 30.1 30 .185 .296 .240 16.4 16.7 18.5 .161 .291 .225 26.1
2026 Curveball 3.2 4 116 26.7 27 .074 .185 .107 50.9 63.0 40.5 .099 .148 .106 30.0
2026 Slider -1.9 -2 92 21.1 28 .304 .391 .407 38.8 28.6 27.6 .196 .232 .279 26.7
2026 Sinker 3.1 2 79 18.2 24 .200 .250 .263 20.0 4.2 11.1 .280 .369 .339 45.0
2026 Split-Finger -2.4 0 17 3.9 7 .429 .429 .386 10.0 14.3 33.3 .174 .214 .171 16.7
2025 Slider 1.1 4 344 31.2 112 .225 .333 .278 32.4 26.8 23.6 .213 .298 .257 30.1
2025 4-Seam Fastball -0.2 -1 327 29.7 74 .323 .462 .373 19.3 16.2 16.9 .293 .492 .375 46.3
2025 Curveball 1.7 4 232 21.1 54 .122 .204 .191 36.6 42.6 24.2 .151 .223 .211 34.6
2025 Sinker 1.9 3 163 14.8 41 .237 .289 .288 19.1 12.2 21.7 .281 .379 .315 48.5
2025 Changeup -5.2 -2 36 3.3 9 .444 .556 .539 5.9 0.0 0.0 .358 .518 .378 33.3
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: To better align with other values, positive numbers (red) are good, and negative numbers (blue) are poor.

Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2026 Curveball 116 84.7 62 14.8 7:30 7:00 30
2026 4-Seam Fastball 131 96.7 91 18.0 1:30 1:00 30
2026 Split-Finger 17 91.0 92 16.9 1:30 2:30 -60
2026 Sinker 79 96.4 86 18.5 1:30 2:15 -45
2026 Slider 92 91.8 35 4.6 12:00 11:45 15
2025 Changeup 36 91.6 83 15.3 1:15 2:15 -60
2025 Curveball 232 84.3 72 17.1 7:15 7:00 15
2025 4-Seam Fastball 327 97.0 87 17.0 1:15 1:00 15
2025 Sinker 163 96.6 84 18.0 1:15 2:15 -60
2025 Slider 344 92.0 39 5.3 12:00 11:15 45
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Pitcher Arm Angle

! Note: Data is available from 2020 through the present.
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Statcast Pitching Run Value

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2025 290 1,102 8 10 -6 -4 8
2026 116 435 3 7 -1 -2 6
Player 406 1,537 11 17 -7 11 15
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2025 1,102 53.4 68.4 82.8 29.4 49.7 43.3 58.1 50.2 26.2 9.4 73.1
2026 435 46.9 63.2 82.2 33.8 47.4 43.2 61.2 47.6 30.9 7.1 71.0
Player 1,537 51.5 67.0 82.7 30.7 48.9 43.3 59.0 49.4 27.5 8.8 72.6
MLB 48.8 67.0 82.6 28.5 58.0 42.7 61.1 47.3 25.0 7.4 76.2
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Run Value Pitching
Year Pitching Fastball Breaking Off
Speed
xERA Fastball
MPH
Fastball
Spin
Curve
Spin
Avg
EV
Chase% Whiff% K% BB% Barrel% Hard-
Hit%
GB% Extension
2025 73 55 87 32 75 86 83 77 80 63 57 62 44 94 66 85 45
2026 94 94 83 32 95 82 76 79 55 78 81 80 64 82 84 73 43
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Expected Home Runs

Adjusted

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2025 21.67 3 5.3 -2 4 7 0 0.0
2026 21.70 1 0.6 0 1 1 0 0.0
Player 21.68 4 5.9 -2 5 8 0 0.0
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's batted balls allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Expected Home Runs by Park

Adjusted

Year HR
2025 3 7 3 3 5 5 5 6 4 4 5 6 7 7 6 4 7 5 5 6 6 3 8 7 4 4 4 6 8 5 5
2026 1 1 1 0 1 1 0 0 1 0 0 1 0 1 1 1 0 0 0 2 0 0 2 0 0 0 1 0 1 1 1
Player 4 8 4 3 6 6 5 6 5 4 5 7 7 8 7 5 7 5 5 8 6 3 10 7 4 4 5 6 9 6 6
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's batted balls allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Year to Year Changes

2026 +/-   2025
Results
BA .202 -.037 .239
xBA .175 -.060 .235
OBP .270 -.036 .306
xOBP .248 -.055 .303
SLG .288 -.053 .341
xSLG .249 -.101 .350
ISO .087 -.015 .102
xISO .074 -.041 .115
BABIP .278 -.036 .314
wOBA .257 -.029 .286
xwOBA .231 -.058 .289
wOBAcon .307 -.032 .339
xwOBAcon .267 -.076 .343
BACON .288 -.037 .325
xBACON .253 -.068 .321
Statcast Hit Metrics
Hard Hit % 31.1 -7.4 38.5
Avg Exit Velocity 89.0 +1.0 88.0
Launch Angle Sweet-Spot % 27.0 -3.8 30.8
Barrel % 4.1 -0.5 4.6
Avg Launch Angle 14.4 +5.3 9.1
Statcast Bat Tracking
Bat Speed 72.0 +0.2 71.8
Attack Angle 12° +2° 11°
Ideal Attack Angle % 54.1 -3.1 57.2
Attack Direction -4° -1° -3°
Swing Path - Tilt 34° +1° 33°
Swing Length 7.4 0.0 7.4
Statcast Pitch Metrics
Fastball Velocity 96.6 -0.2 96.8
Breaking Velocity 87.9 -1.0 88.9
Offspeed Velocity 91.0 -0.6 91.6
Batted Ball Results
Barrels 3 -6 9
Popup % 9.5 +5.4 4.1
Flyball % 27.0 +4.9 22.1
Line Drive % 13.5 -9.6 23.1
Groundball % 50.0 -0.8 50.8
Pull % 24.3 -14.2 38.5
Straight Away % 45.9 +4.9 41.0
Opposite Field % 29.7 +9.2 20.5
Weak Contact % 1.4 -2.2 3.6
Pull Airball % 10.8 -3.0 13.8
Topped Contact % 36.5 +0.6 35.9
Under Contact % 29.7 +6.6 23.1
Flare/Burner Contact % 20.3 -6.9 27.2
Solid Contact % 6.8 +2.2 4.6
HR/FB % 5.0 -2.0 7.0
Popups 7 -1 8
Flyballs 20 -23 43
Line Drives 10 -35 45
Groundballs 37 -62 99
Plate Discipline
In Zone % 46.9 -6.5 53.4
Out of Zone % 53.1 +6.5 46.6
Edge % 43.2 -0.1 43.3
Zone Swing % 63.2 -5.2 68.4
Out of Zone Swing % 33.8 +4.4 29.4
In Zone Contact % 82.2 -0.6 82.8
Out of Zone Contact % 47.4 -2.3 49.7
Whiff % 30.9 +4.7 26.2
First Strike % 61.2 +3.1 58.1
First Pitch Swing % 31.0 -1.0 32.0
Swing % 47.6 -2.6 50.2
Meatball Swing % 71.0 -2.1 73.1
Meatball % 7.1 -2.3 9.4
Zone Swing & Miss % 17.8 +0.6 17.2
Out of Zone Swing & Miss % 52.6 +2.3 50.3
In Zone 204 -384 588
Out of Zone 231 -283 514
Edge 188 -289 477
In Zone Swings 129 -273 402
Out of Zone Swings 78 -73 151
In Zone Swing & Misses 23 -46 69
Out of Zone Swing & Misses 41 -35 76
Basic
Pitches 435 -667 1,102
PA 116 -176 292
AB 104 -160 264
Hits 21 -42 63
Singles 15 -28 43
Doubles 4 -12 16
Triples 1 0 1
Home Runs 1 -2 3
Walks 9 -15 24
Strikeouts 32 -39 71
K% 27.6 +3.3 24.3
BB% 7.8 -0.4 8.2
HBP 1 -1 2
Batted Balls 74 -121 195
Number of Fastballs 210 -280 490
Number of Offspeed 17 -19 36
Number of Breaking 208 -368 576
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Statcast Fielder Positioning

vs RHHvs LHH
YearAlignment TypePAwOBAPATotal%PATotal%
2025 Shades 290 .287 164 2 1.2 126 59 46.8
2026 Shades 116 .256 54 0 0.0 62 26 41.9
! Note: Shifts are through the 2022 season, Shaded starting from the 2023 season, Shift: three or more infielders are on the same side of second base, Shade: positioned outside of their typical responsible slices of the field.
Learn more about how positioning is defined here

Pitch Tempo

Bases EmptyRunners On Base
SeasonTeamPitchesTempoFast %Slow %PitchesTempoFast %Slow %
2025 271 14.6 56.1% 0.0% 166 18.5 4.8% 0.6%
2026 135 14.1 68.9% 0.0% 52 17.0 13.5% 1.9%

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Pitch Distribution