P | Pittsburgh Pirates
Bats/Throws: L/R | 6' 5" 218 lbs | Age: 26
Draft: 2018 | Rd. 2, No. 51, Pittsburgh Pirates | Robinson HS
W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2025 4 4 2.71 26 8 0 69.2 71 1.25
2026 11 5 4.08 23 23 0 132.1 145 1.16
2 Seasons 15 9 3.61 49 31 0 202 216 1.19
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2025 26 4-4 2.71 69.2 71 1.25
2026 23 11-5 4.08 132.1 145 1.16
2 Seasons 49 15-9 3.61 202 216 1.19
MLB Percentile Rankings
Movement Profile (Induced Break)
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Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls
Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity
Max EV Launch
Angle
LA Sweet-
Spot %
xBA xSLG wOBA xwOBA xwOBAcon HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2025 25 1102 195 9 4.7 3.1 88.0 111.5 9.1 30.8 .235 .349 .286 .288 .342 38.5 24.3 8.2 2.71 3.41
2026 26 2019 362 24 6.7 4.4 89.8 113.1 12.6 32.6 .229 .366 .305 .288 .359 40.9 26.6 5.9 4.08 3.43
Player 3121 557 33 6.0 3.9 89.2 113.1 11.4 32.0 .231 .360 .298 .288 .353 40.0 25.8 6.7
MLB 7.6 4.9 88.6 122.9 12.5 33.3 .243 .407 .315 .316 .369 37.1 22.2 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Ashcraft relies on 5 pitches.
Four Seamer
(31.8%) ,
Curveball
(26.3%) ,
Slider
(23.2%) ,
Sinker
(13.9%) ,
Split Finger
(4.9%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

AIR: Fly Balls + Line Drives + Popups All Batted Balls Batted Ball Breakdown
Season GB % AIR % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Pull GB % Straight GB % Oppo GB % Pull AIR % Straight AIR % Oppo AIR %
2025 50.8 49.2 22.1 23.1 4.1 38.5 41.0 20.5 24.6 21.5 4.6 13.8 19.5 15.9
2026 45.3 54.7 26.0 21.3 7.5 35.9 41.2 22.9 19.1 20.7 5.5 16.9 20.4 17.4
Player 47.2 52.8 24.6 21.9 6.3 36.8 41.1 22.1 21.0 21.0 5.2 15.8 20.1 16.9
MLB 44.1 55.9 24.2 24.6 7.1 37.5 37.3 25.1 20.7 17.5 5.8 16.8 19.7 19.2
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Quality of Contact

Season Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2025 3.6 35.9 23.1 27.2 4.6 4.7 3.1
2026 3.0 32.6 25.1 26.5 5.5 6.7 4.4
Player 3.2 33.8 24.4 26.8 5.2 6.0 3.9
MLB 4.0 32.3 25.0 24.4 5.9 7.6 4.9
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement


How this works: This section shows two different ways to evaluate pitch movement. On the left, “Total Movement” shows the real-world movement of a pitch, including the forces of gravity, which affects every pitch thrown. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren't 'better' just because they have more time to move, a pitch's movement is compared to other pitches of the same pitch type, within +/- 2 MPH and +/- 0.5 feet of extension/release. On the right, Induced Movement (or IVB) is reported without gravity, and attempts to isolate movement created by the pitcher's ability to spin and manipulate the ball.
Total Movement (in inches, w/ gravity)Induced Movement (in inches, w/o gravity)
YearPitchTeamHand#MPHVertical
Drop
vs.
Comparable
Horizontal
Break
vs.
Comparable
Vertical
Break
vs. AvgHorizontal
Break
vs. Avg
2026 Split-Finger PIT R 98 91.8 26.6 -2.6 14.8ARM 2.7 5.8 -2.8 14.8ARM 3.5
2026 4-Seam Fastball PIT R 642 97.2 13.5 -0.5 9.4ARM 2.3 15.4 -0.3 9.4ARM 1.6
2026 Slider PIT R 468 91.7 27.8 -2.0 1.0GLV -1.2 4.5 -3.1 1.0GLV -2.7
2026 Curveball PIT R 530 84.9 48.1 0.4 6.6GLV 0.3 -10.3 0.1 6.6GLV -2.5
2026 Sinker PIT R 281 96.9 22.1 1.9 16.0ARM 0.9 7.1 0.5 16.0ARM 0.9
2025 Curveball PIT R 232 84.3 51.0 2.6 8.0GLV 2.0 -12.4 2.2 8.0GLV -1.0
2025 Sinker PIT R 163 96.6 21.0 0.6 15.6ARM 0.7 8.4 -1.0 15.6ARM 0.5
2025 Changeup PIT R 36 91.6 26.0 -2.5 13.6ARM -1.5 6.4 -2.3 13.6ARM -0.9
2025 Slider PIT R 344 92.0 26.5 -1.9 2.0GLV -0.9 5.6 -3.8 2.0GLV -2.2
2025 4-Seam Fastball PIT R 327 97.0 13.4 -0.3 7.3ARM 0.3 15.7 -0.1 7.3ARM -0.3
! Note: Years are in reverse order.

Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2026 4-Seam Fastball -0.7 -4 642 31.8 163 .299 .558 .387 17.2 19.0 20.3 .234 .432 .316 45.0
2026 Curveball 1.7 9 530 26.3 140 .134 .244 .202 39.7 45.0 26.4 .160 .270 .227 36.4
2026 Slider -0.5 -2 468 23.2 131 .273 .446 .353 30.4 29.8 24.4 .240 .360 .287 38.6
2026 Sinker 1.5 4 281 13.9 93 .235 .341 .294 19.6 10.8 23.8 .289 .402 .330 40.8
2026 Split-Finger -0.5 0 98 4.9 19 .368 .368 .332 9.5 10.5 14.3 .310 .367 .294 41.2
2025 Slider 1.1 4 344 31.2 112 .225 .333 .278 32.4 26.8 23.6 .213 .298 .257 30.1
2025 4-Seam Fastball -0.2 -1 327 29.7 74 .323 .462 .373 19.3 16.2 16.9 .292 .492 .375 46.3
2025 Curveball 1.7 4 232 21.1 54 .122 .204 .191 36.6 42.6 24.2 .151 .223 .211 34.6
2025 Sinker 1.9 3 163 14.8 41 .237 .289 .288 19.1 12.2 21.7 .281 .379 .315 48.5
2025 Changeup -5.2 -2 36 3.3 9 .444 .556 .539 5.9 0.0 0.0 .358 .518 .378 33.3
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: To better align with other values, positive numbers (red) are good, and negative numbers (blue) are poor.

Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2026 Curveball 530 84.9 63 14.4 7:30 7:00 30
2026 4-Seam Fastball 642 97.2 91 17.8 1:30 1:00 30
2026 Split-Finger 98 91.8 90 16.2 1:30 2:30 -60
2026 Sinker 280 96.9 86 17.9 1:30 2:15 -45
2026 Slider 468 91.7 33 4.1 12:00 11:30 30
2025 Changeup 36 91.6 83 15.3 1:15 2:15 -60
2025 Curveball 232 84.3 72 17.1 7:15 7:00 15
2025 4-Seam Fastball 327 97.0 87 17.0 1:15 1:00 15
2025 Sinker 163 96.6 84 18.0 1:15 2:15 -60
2025 Slider 344 92.0 39 5.3 12:00 11:15 45
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Pitcher Arm Angle

! Note: Data is available from 2020 through the present.
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Statcast Pitching Run Value

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2025 290 1,102 8 10 -6 -4 8
2026 546 2,019 5 13 -4 -8 6
Player 836 3,121 13 23 -10 13 14
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2025 1,102 53.2 68.4 82.8 29.5 50.0 43.3 58.1 50.2 26.2 9.4 73.1
2026 2,019 50.8 67.1 85.5 37.3 52.2 43.5 67.2 52.4 26.2 6.8 68.1
Player 3,121 51.7 67.6 84.5 34.6 51.5 43.4 64.0 51.6 26.2 7.8 70.2
MLB 48.7 67.0 82.7 28.6 57.9 42.6 61.2 47.3 25.0 7.3 76.2
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Run Value Pitching
Year Pitching Fastball Breaking Off
Speed
xERA Fastball
MPH
Fastball
Spin
Curve
Spin
Avg
EV
Chase% Whiff% K% BB% Barrel% Hard-
Hit%
GB% Extension
2025 73 56 87 31 76 86 83 77 80 65 57 62 44 93 66 85 45
2026 69 42 91 40 73 88 70 74 27 96 57 76 88 65 32 65 42
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Expected Home Runs

Adjusted

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2025 21.67 3 5.3 -2 4 7 0 0.0
2026 24.56 19 15.0 4 13 11 5 26.3
Player 24.17 22 20.3 2 17 18 5 22.7
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's batted balls allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Expected Home Runs by Park

Adjusted

Year HR
2025 3 7 3 3 5 5 5 6 4 4 5 6 7 7 6 4 7 5 5 6 6 3 8 7 4 4 4 6 8 5 5
2026 19 17 9 21 15 14 14 13 21 15 13 15 10 16 14 16 16 14 16 22 11 16 17 17 13 12 13 14 19 13 13
Player 22 24 12 24 20 19 19 19 25 19 18 21 17 23 20 20 23 19 21 28 17 19 25 24 17 16 17 20 27 18 18
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's batted balls allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Year to Year Changes

2026 +/-   2025
Results
BA .242 +.003 .239
xBA .229 -.006 .235
OBP .294 -.012 .306
xOBP .285 -.018 .303
SLG .407 +.066 .341
xSLG .366 +.017 .349
ISO .164 +.062 .102
xISO .137 +.022 .115
BABIP .298 -.016 .314
wOBA .305 +.019 .286
xwOBA .288 .000 .288
wOBAcon .384 +.045 .339
xwOBAcon .359 +.017 .342
BACON .335 +.010 .325
xBACON .322 +.002 .320
Statcast Hit Metrics
Hard Hit % 40.9 +2.4 38.5
Avg Exit Velocity 89.8 +1.8 88.0
Launch Angle Sweet-Spot % 32.6 +1.8 30.8
Barrel % 6.7 +2.0 4.7
Avg Launch Angle 12.6 +3.5 9.1
Statcast Bat Tracking
Bat Speed 72.5 +0.8 71.7
Attack Angle 11° +1° 10°
Ideal Attack Angle % 54.0 -2.8 56.8
Attack Direction -5° -2° -3°
Swing Path - Tilt 33° 33°
Swing Length 7.4 0.0 7.4
Statcast Pitch Metrics
Fastball Velocity 97.1 +0.3 96.8
Breaking Velocity 88.1 -0.8 88.9
Offspeed Velocity 91.8 +0.2 91.6
Batted Ball Results
Barrels 24 +15 9
Popup % 7.5 +3.4 4.1
Flyball % 26.0 +3.9 22.1
Line Drive % 21.3 -1.8 23.1
Groundball % 45.3 -5.5 50.8
Pull % 35.9 -2.6 38.5
Straight Away % 41.2 +0.2 41.0
Opposite Field % 22.9 +2.4 20.5
Weak Contact % 3.0 -0.6 3.6
Pull Airball % 16.9 +3.1 13.8
Topped Contact % 32.6 -3.3 35.9
Under Contact % 25.1 +2.0 23.1
Flare/Burner Contact % 26.5 -0.7 27.2
Solid Contact % 5.5 +0.9 4.6
HR/FB % 20.2 +13.2 7.0
Popups 27 +19 8
Flyballs 94 +51 43
Line Drives 77 +32 45
Groundballs 164 +65 99
Plate Discipline
In Zone % 50.8 -2.4 53.2
Out of Zone % 49.2 +2.4 46.8
Edge % 43.5 +0.2 43.3
Zone Swing % 67.1 -1.3 68.4
Out of Zone Swing % 37.3 +7.8 29.5
In Zone Contact % 85.5 +2.7 82.8
Out of Zone Contact % 52.2 +2.2 50.0
Whiff % 26.2 0.0 26.2
First Strike % 67.2 +9.1 58.1
First Pitch Swing % 34.4 +2.4 32.0
Swing % 52.4 +2.2 50.2
Meatball Swing % 68.1 -5.0 73.1
Meatball % 6.8 -2.6 9.4
Zone Swing & Miss % 14.5 -2.7 17.2
Out of Zone Swing & Miss % 47.8 -2.2 50.0
In Zone 1,026 +440 586
Out of Zone 993 +477 516
Edge 878 +401 477
In Zone Swings 688 +287 401
Out of Zone Swings 370 +218 152
In Zone Swing & Misses 100 +31 69
Out of Zone Swing & Misses 177 +101 76
Basic
Pitches 2,019 +917 1,102
PA 546 +254 292
AB 499 +235 264
Hits 121 +58 63
Singles 79 +36 43
Doubles 21 +5 16
Triples 2 +1 1
Home Runs 19 +16 3
Walks 32 +8 24
Strikeouts 145 +74 71
K% 26.6 +2.3 24.3
BB% 5.9 -2.3 8.2
HBP 7 +5 2
Batted Balls 362 +167 195
Fastball Percent 45.7 +1.2 44.5
Offspeed Percent 4.9 +1.6 3.3
Breaking Percent 49.4 -2.9 52.3
Number of Fastballs 923 +433 490
Number of Offspeed 98 +62 36
Number of Breaking 998 +422 576
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Statcast Fielder Positioning

vs RHHvs LHH
YearAlignment TypePAwOBAPATotal%PATotal%
2025 Shades 290 .287 164 2 1.2 126 59 46.8
2026 Shades 546 .305 228 0 0.0 318 167 52.5
! Note: Shifts are through the 2022 season, Shaded starting from the 2023 season, Shift: three or more infielders are on the same side of second base, Shade: positioned outside of their typical responsible slices of the field.
Learn more about how positioning is defined here

Pitch Tempo

Bases EmptyRunners On Base
SeasonTeamPitchesTempoFast %Slow %PitchesTempoFast %Slow %
2025 271 14.6 56.1% 0.0% 166 18.5 4.8% 0.6%
2026 480 13.9 67.5% 0.4% 241 17.8 7.9% 3.3%

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Pitch Distribution