P | Cleveland Guardians
Bats/Throws: L/L | 6' 0" 225 lbs | Age: 25
Draft: 2022 | Rd. 2, No. 54, Cleveland Guardians | Florida State
W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2025 3 1 2.72 7 7 0 39.2 38 1.31
2026 12 9 2.55 31 31 0 183.1 191 1.04
2 Seasons 15 10 2.58 38 38 0 223 229 1.09
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2025 7 3-1 2.72 39.2 38 1.31
2026 31 12-9 2.55 183.1 191 1.04
2 Seasons 38 15-10 2.58 223 229 1.09
MLB Percentile Rankings
Movement Profile (Induced Break)
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Statcast Statistics

Season Age Team Pitches Batted
Balls
Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity
Max EV Launch
Angle
LA Sweet-
Spot %
xBA xSLG wOBA xwOBA xwOBAcon HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2025 24 625 121 7 5.8 4.2 88.1 113.0 9.8 33.1 .236 .367 .315 .274 .339 29.8 23.0 3.6 2.72 3.07
2026 25 2884 488 24 4.9 3.3 87.4 111.3 14.5 31.4 .222 .337 .271 .272 .336 33.8 26.1 6.6 2.55 3.08
Player 3509 609 31 5.1 3.5 87.6 113.0 13.5 31.7 .225 .343 .280 .273 .336 33.0 25.6 6.0
MLB 7.6 4.9 88.6 122.9 12.6 33.3 .244 .407 .316 .316 .368 37.1 22.2 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Messick relies on 6 pitches.
Four Seamer
(41.6%) ,
Changeup
(23.5%) ,
Sinker
(15.0%) ,
Curveball
(8.6%) ,
Slider
(6.4%) ,
Cutter
(4.8%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

AIR: Fly Balls + Line Drives + Popups All Batted Balls Batted Ball Breakdown
Season GB % AIR % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Pull GB % Straight GB % Oppo GB % Pull AIR % Straight AIR % Oppo AIR %
2025 48.8 51.2 20.7 25.6 5.0 45.5 31.4 23.1 27.3 16.5 5.0 18.2 14.9 18.2
2026 45.1 54.9 21.7 22.1 11.1 36.3 36.1 27.7 20.9 17.6 6.6 15.4 18.4 21.1
Player 45.8 54.2 21.5 22.8 9.9 38.1 35.1 26.8 22.2 17.4 6.2 15.9 17.7 20.5
MLB 44.1 55.9 24.3 24.6 7.1 37.5 37.3 25.0 20.7 17.5 5.8 16.9 19.8 19.2
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Quality of Contact

Season Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2025 4.1 41.3 24.8 19.8 4.1 5.8 4.2
2026 6.1 30.9 26.4 26.2 5.1 4.9 3.3
Player 5.7 33.0 26.1 25.0 4.9 5.1 3.5
MLB 4.1 32.2 25.0 24.4 5.9 7.6 4.9
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement


How this works: This section shows two different ways to evaluate pitch movement. On the left, “Total Movement” shows the real-world movement of a pitch, including the forces of gravity, which affects every pitch thrown. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren't 'better' just because they have more time to move, a pitch's movement is compared to other pitches of the same pitch type, within +/- 2 MPH and +/- 0.5 feet of extension/release. On the right, Induced Movement (or IVB) is reported without gravity, and attempts to isolate movement created by the pitcher's ability to spin and manipulate the ball.
Total Movement (in inches, w/ gravity)Induced Movement (in inches, w/o gravity)
SeasonPitchTeamHand#MPHVertical
Drop
vs.
Comparable
Horizontal
Break
vs.
Comparable
Vertical
Break
vs. AvgHorizontal
Break
vs. Avg
2026 Changeup L 678 85.9 35.5 2.1 14.9ARM 0.5 1.6 3.2 14.9ARM 1.0
2026 4-Seam Fastball L 1201 94.4 14.2 1.2 5.4ARM -2.9 16.5 1.0 5.4ARM -2.5
2026 Slider L 186 87.0 31.8 -2.8 5.5GLV 1.6 4.1 -2.5 5.5GLV 1.1
2026 Curveball L 247 79.3 49.6 -4.3 14.0GLV 3.7 -5.9 -4.1 14.0GLV 6.0
2026 Cutter L 139 90.6 23.4 1.8 2.4GLV 0.5 9.8 2.2 2.4GLV 0.5
2026 Sinker L 433 92.8 21.6 -2.5 13.1ARM -2.2 10.1 -2.4 13.1ARM -2.2
2025 Curveball L 79 77.1 52.0 -4.4 14.5GLV 3.7 -5.9 -3.8 14.5GLV 6.7
2025 4-Seam Fastball L 225 92.8 15.1 0.8 4.2ARM -3.6 16.7 0.8 4.2ARM -3.9
2025 Sinker L 84 91.4 22.1 -2.8 12.4ARM -2.7 10.5 -3.0 12.4ARM -3.0
2025 Changeup L 146 84.6 35.5 2.2 14.6ARM 0.3 2.7 2.5 14.6ARM 0.4
2025 Slider L 91 86.3 31.2 -3.6 7.0GLV 2.6 5.1 -3.0 7.0GLV 3.0
! Note: Seasons are in reverse order.

Run Values by Pitch Type

Season Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2026 4-Seam Fastball 2.2 27 1,201 41.6 307 .179 .290 .246 25.7 32.6 25.8 .196 .304 .256 34.8
2026 Changeup 0.6 4 678 23.5 198 .212 .302 .242 35.8 35.4 21.4 .188 .231 .202 24.0
2026 Sinker 2.9 13 433 15.0 124 .214 .295 .261 10.2 6.5 12.5 .315 .422 .350 43.4
2026 Curveball -2.7 -7 247 8.6 36 .324 .735 .456 11.9 2.8 2.6 .268 .542 .362 24.2
2026 Slider -2.1 -4 186 6.4 42 .308 .615 .412 27.2 16.7 12.7 .270 .584 .385 43.8
2026 Cutter -1.8 -2 139 4.8 22 .300 .750 .459 33.9 22.7 35.7 .225 .490 .340 33.3
2025 4-Seam Fastball 0.7 2 225 36.0 43 .302 .488 .338 29.0 34.9 27.3 .241 .355 .255 39.3
2025 Changeup -1.2 -2 146 23.4 48 .319 .340 .303 31.2 27.1 19.1 .204 .289 .223 23.5
2025 Slider 2.1 2 91 14.6 26 .160 .280 .208 22.0 15.4 12.1 .175 .324 .230 23.8
2025 Sinker -2.5 -2 84 13.4 28 .500 .769 .559 14.3 3.6 6.7 .374 .637 .448 28.0
2025 Curveball 3.5 3 79 12.6 20 .056 .056 .160 25.0 25.0 25.0 .197 .270 .251 38.5
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: To better align with other values, positive numbers (red) are good, and negative numbers (blue) are poor.

Spin Direction

Season Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2026 Changeup 645 85.9 76 15.7 10:00 9:00 60
2026 Curveball 246 79.3 57 16.9 4:30 4:00 30
2026 Cutter 138 90.6 61 9.6 12:00 12:30 -30
2026 4-Seam Fastball 1,199 94.4 92 16.9 11:00 11:15 -15
2026 Sinker 431 92.8 90 16.5 10:45 10:00 45
2026 Slider 186 87.0 38 7.0 1:15 2:00 -45
2025 Changeup 144 84.6 77 15.4 10:15 9:15 60
2025 Curveball 79 77.1 57 17.4 4:30 4:00 30
2025 4-Seam Fastball 225 92.8 93 16.6 11:15 11:30 -15
2025 Sinker 84 91.4 87 16.1 11:00 10:15 45
2025 Slider 91 86.3 46 8.5 1:00 2:00 -60
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Pitcher Arm Angle

! Note: Data is available from 2020 through the present.
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Statcast Pitching Run Value

Runs
Season Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2025 165 625 0 8 -4 -2 2
2026 729 2,884 29 30 -18 -11 30
Player 894 3,509 29 38 -22 29 32
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2025 625 52.3 63.0 81.6 27.5 54.9 44.6 72.1 46.1 26.0 7.7 58.3
2026 2,884 47.4 67.3 82.0 31.5 59.5 41.3 60.6 48.5 25.7 6.9 76.9
Player 3,509 48.3 66.5 81.9 30.8 58.9 41.9 62.7 48.0 25.7 7.0 73.3
MLB 48.7 67.0 82.7 28.6 57.9 42.6 61.2 47.3 25.0 7.3 76.2
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Run Value Pitching
Season Pitching Fastball Breaking Off
Speed
xERA Fastball
MPH
Fastball
Spin
Curve
Spin
Avg
EV
Chase% Whiff% K% BB% Barrel% Hard-
Hit%
GB% Extension
2025 21 9 9 50
2026 98 99 4 86 86 41 19 13 78 59 54 75 80 89 82 65 55
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Expected Home Runs

Adjusted

Season Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2025 22.40 4 4.1 0 1 1 3 75.0
2026 23.38 17 17.8 -1 5 10 10 58.8
Player 23.19 21 21.9 -1 6 11 13 61.9
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's batted balls allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Expected Home Runs by Park

Adjusted

Season HR
2025 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 5 3 5 4 4 4 4 4 5 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 5 4 4 4
2026 17 18 15 19 18 18 18 16 19 18 17 20 15 20 19 19 18 18 16 20 16 18 19 18 15 16 16 19 21 17 18
Player 21 22 19 23 22 22 22 20 23 22 21 25 18 25 23 23 22 22 20 25 20 22 23 22 19 20 20 24 25 21 22
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's batted balls allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Year to Year Changes

2026 +/-   2025
Results
BA .212 -.077 ↓ .289
xBA .222 -.014 ↓ .236
OBP .268 -.047 ↓ .315
xOBP .276 +.012 ↑ .264
SLG .349 -.060 ↓ .409
xSLG .337 -.030 ↓ .367
ISO .137 +.018 ↑ .119
xISO .115 -.016 ↓ .131
BABIP .269 -.090 ↓ .359
wOBA .271 -.044 ↓ .315
xwOBA .272 -.002 ↓ .274
wOBAcon .334 -.061 ↓ .395
xwOBAcon .336 -.003 ↓ .339
BACON .295 -.085 ↓ .380
xBACON .310 -.001 ↓ .311
Statcast Hit Metrics
Hard Hit % 33.8 +4.0 ↑ 29.8
Avg Exit Velocity 87.4 -0.7 ↓ 88.1
Launch Angle Sweet-Spot % 31.4 -1.7 ↓ 33.1
Barrel % 4.9 -0.9 ↓ 5.8
Avg Launch Angle 14.5 +4.7 ↑ 9.8
Statcast Bat Tracking
Bat Speed 71.9 -0.1 ↓ 72.0
Attack Angle 8° 0° 8°
Ideal Attack Angle % 48.0 +0.9 ↑ 47.1
Attack Direction 1° 0° ↓ 1°
Swing Path - Tilt 32° 0° ↓ 32°
Swing Length 7.2 -0.1 ↓ 7.3
Statcast Pitch Metrics
Fastball Velocity 93.7 +1.3 ↑ 92.4
Breaking Velocity 82.6 +0.5 ↑ 82.1
Offspeed Velocity 85.9 +1.3 ↑ 84.6
Batted Ball Results
Barrels 24 +17 ↑ 7
Popup % 11.1 +6.1 ↑ 5.0
Flyball % 21.7 +1.0 ↑ 20.7
Line Drive % 22.1 -3.5 ↓ 25.6
Groundball % 45.1 -3.7 ↓ 48.8
Pull % 36.3 -9.2 ↓ 45.5
Straight Away % 36.1 +4.7 ↑ 31.4
Opposite Field % 27.7 +4.6 ↑ 23.1
Weak Contact % 6.1 +2.0 ↑ 4.1
Pull Airball % 15.4 -2.8 ↓ 18.2
Topped Contact % 30.9 -10.4 ↓ 41.3
Under Contact % 26.4 +1.6 ↑ 24.8
Flare/Burner Contact % 26.2 +6.4 ↑ 19.8
Solid Contact % 5.1 +1.0 ↑ 4.1
HR/FB % 16.0 0.0 16.0
Popups 54 +48 ↑ 6
Flyballs 106 +81 ↑ 25
Line Drives 108 +77 ↑ 31
Groundballs 220 +161 ↑ 59
Plate Discipline
In Zone % 47.4 -4.9 ↓ 52.3
Out of Zone % 52.6 +4.9 ↑ 47.7
Edge % 41.3 -3.3 ↓ 44.6
Zone Swing % 67.3 +4.3 ↑ 63.0
Out of Zone Swing % 31.5 +4.0 ↑ 27.5
In Zone Contact % 82.0 +0.4 ↑ 81.6
Out of Zone Contact % 59.5 +4.6 ↑ 54.9
Whiff % 25.7 -0.3 ↓ 26.0
First Strike % 60.6 -11.5 ↓ 72.1
First Pitch Swing % 32.7 -1.2 ↓ 33.9
Swing % 48.5 +2.4 ↑ 46.1
Meatball Swing % 76.9 +18.6 ↑ 58.3
Meatball % 6.9 -0.8 ↓ 7.7
Zone Swing & Miss % 18.0 -0.4 ↓ 18.4
Out of Zone Swing & Miss % 40.5 -4.6 ↓ 45.1
In Zone 1,368 +1,041 ↑ 327
Out of Zone 1,516 +1,218 ↑ 298
Edge 1,191 +912 ↑ 279
In Zone Swings 921 +715 ↑ 206
Out of Zone Swings 477 +395 ↑ 82
In Zone Swing & Misses 166 +128 ↑ 38
Out of Zone Swing & Misses 193 +156 ↑ 37
Basic
Pitches 2,884 +2,259 ↑ 625
PA 731 +566 ↑ 165
AB 673 +514 ↑ 159
Hits 143 +97 ↑ 46
Singles 90 +55 ↑ 35
Doubles 31 +24 ↑ 7
Triples 5 +5 ↑ 0
Home Runs 17 +13 ↑ 4
Walks 48 +42 ↑ 6
Strikeouts 191 +153 ↑ 38
K% 26.1 +3.1 ↑ 23.0
BB% 6.6 +3.0 ↑ 3.6
HBP 4 +4 ↑ 0
Batted Balls 488 +367 ↑ 121
Fastball Percent 61.5 +12.1 ↑ 49.4
Offspeed Percent 23.5 +0.1 ↑ 23.4
Breaking Percent 15.0 -12.2 ↓ 27.2
Number of Fastballs 1,773 +1,464 ↑ 309
Number of Offspeed 678 +532 ↑ 146
Number of Breaking 433 +263 ↑ 170
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Statcast Fielder Positioning

vs RHHvs LHH
SeasonAlignment TypePAwOBAPATotal%PATotal%
2025 Shades 165 .315 121 22 18.2 44 17 38.6
2026 Shades 729 .271 529 11 2.1 200 74 37.0
! Note: Shifts are through the 2022 season, Shaded starting from the 2023 season, Shift: three or more infielders are on the same side of second base, Shade: positioned outside of their typical responsible slices of the field.
Learn more about how positioning is defined here

Pitch Tempo

Bases EmptyRunners On Base
SeasonTeamPitchesTempoFast %Slow %PitchesTempoFast %Slow %
2025 172 13.4 73.8% 0.0% 101 18.0 3.0% 0.0%
2026 829 13.6 75.4% 1.1% 358 18.0 5.3% 1.1%

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Pitch Distribution