P | Cleveland Guardians
Bats/Throws: L/L | 6' 0" 225 lbs | Age: 25
Draft: 2022 | Rd. 2, No. 54, Cleveland Guardians | Florida State
W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2025 3 1 2.72 7 7 0 39.2 38 1.31
2026 8 5 2.68 20 20 0 117.2 116 1.05
2 Seasons 11 6 2.69 27 27 0 157.1 154 1.12
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2025 7 3-1 2.72 39.2 38 1.31
2026 20 8-5 2.68 117.2 116 1.05
2 Seasons 27 11-6 2.69 157.1 154 1.12
MLB Percentile Rankings
Movement Profile (Induced Break)
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Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls
Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity
Max EV Launch
Angle
LA Sweet-
Spot %
xBA xSLG wOBA xwOBA xwOBAcon HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2025 24 625 121 7 5.8 4.2 88.1 113.0 9.8 33.1 .237 .368 .315 .274 .339 29.8 23.0 3.6 2.72 3.07
2026 25 1823 314 17 5.4 3.6 87.2 110.4 14.8 33.1 .227 .343 .270 .280 .337 33.1 24.8 7.7 2.68 3.24
Player 2448 435 24 5.5 3.8 87.5 113.0 13.4 33.1 .230 .349 .282 .278 .338 32.2 24.4 6.6
MLB 7.6 4.9 88.6 122.9 12.5 33.3 .243 .407 .316 .316 .369 37.1 22.2 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Messick relies on 6 pitches.
Four Seamer
(35.3%) ,
Changeup
(23.5%) ,
Sinker
(17.5%) ,
Curveball
(11.0%) ,
Cutter
(6.9%) ,
Slider
(5.8%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

AIR: Fly Balls + Line Drives + Popups All Batted Balls Batted Ball Breakdown
Season GB % AIR % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Pull GB % Straight GB % Oppo GB % Pull AIR % Straight AIR % Oppo AIR %
2025 48.8 51.2 20.7 25.6 5.0 45.5 31.4 23.1 27.3 16.5 5.0 18.2 14.9 18.2
2026 44.9 55.1 22.3 22.0 10.8 38.9 32.8 28.3 21.7 16.6 6.7 17.2 16.2 21.7
Player 46.0 54.0 21.8 23.0 9.2 40.7 32.4 26.9 23.2 16.6 6.2 17.5 15.9 20.7
MLB 44.1 55.9 24.2 24.6 7.1 37.5 37.3 25.1 20.7 17.6 5.8 16.8 19.7 19.2
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Quality of Contact

Season Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2025 4.1 41.3 24.8 19.8 4.1 5.8 4.2
2026 7.0 30.3 26.1 26.1 5.1 5.4 3.6
Player 6.2 33.3 25.7 24.4 4.8 5.5 3.8
MLB 4.0 32.3 25.0 24.4 5.9 7.6 4.9
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement


How this works: This section shows two different ways to evaluate pitch movement. On the left, “Total Movement” shows the real-world movement of a pitch, including the forces of gravity, which affects every pitch thrown. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren't 'better' just because they have more time to move, a pitch's movement is compared to other pitches of the same pitch type, within +/- 2 MPH and +/- 0.5 feet of extension/release. On the right, Induced Movement (or IVB) is reported without gravity, and attempts to isolate movement created by the pitcher's ability to spin and manipulate the ball.
Total Movement (in inches, w/ gravity)Induced Movement (in inches, w/o gravity)
YearPitchTeamHand#MPHVertical
Drop
vs.
Comparable
Horizontal
Break
vs.
Comparable
Vertical
Break
vs. AvgHorizontal
Break
vs. Avg
2026 Cutter CLE L 126 90.6 23.2 2.0 2.3GLV 0.4 10.0 2.5 2.3GLV 0.2
2026 Curveball CLE L 201 79.1 49.9 -4.1 13.9GLV 3.4 -6.0 -4.1 13.9GLV 5.8
2026 Sinker CLE L 319 92.5 21.6 -2.7 13.1ARM -2.3 10.3 -2.8 13.1ARM -2.3
2026 Changeup CLE L 428 85.7 35.6 2.0 14.9ARM 0.5 1.7 3.0 14.9ARM 1.0
2026 4-Seam Fastball CLE L 643 94.0 14.4 1.1 5.3ARM -3.0 16.6 0.9 5.3ARM -2.7
2026 Slider CLE L 106 87.1 31.2 -3.3 5.8GLV 1.8 4.6 -3.1 5.8GLV 1.3
2025 Changeup CLE L 146 84.6 35.5 2.2 14.6ARM 0.3 2.7 2.5 14.6ARM 0.4
2025 Slider CLE L 91 86.3 31.2 -3.6 7.0GLV 2.6 5.1 -3.0 7.0GLV 3.0
2025 Curveball CLE L 79 77.1 52.0 -4.4 14.5GLV 3.7 -5.9 -3.8 14.5GLV 6.7
2025 Sinker CLE L 84 91.4 22.1 -2.8 12.4ARM -2.7 10.5 -3.0 12.4ARM -3.0
2025 4-Seam Fastball CLE L 225 92.8 15.1 0.8 4.2ARM -3.6 16.7 0.8 4.2ARM -3.9
! Note: Years are in reverse order.

Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2026 4-Seam Fastball 3.3 21 643 35.3 176 .138 .214 .203 26.7 34.1 27.4 .166 .242 .221 31.7
2026 Changeup -0.6 -2 428 23.5 123 .246 .368 .292 36.7 35.8 21.4 .216 .268 .241 26.4
2026 Sinker 3.1 10 319 17.5 90 .210 .296 .258 11.3 5.6 12.5 .339 .474 .378 44.9
2026 Curveball -1.9 -4 201 11.0 29 .333 .630 .428 10.5 0.0 0.0 .259 .477 .339 18.5
2026 Cutter -2.1 -3 126 6.9 21 .316 .789 .481 31.4 23.8 35.7 .203 .481 .329 35.7
2026 Slider -0.6 -1 106 5.8 26 .250 .625 .388 26.0 7.7 6.1 .300 .656 .427 36.4
2025 4-Seam Fastball 0.7 2 225 36.0 43 .302 .488 .338 29.0 34.9 27.3 .241 .355 .255 39.3
2025 Changeup -1.2 -2 146 23.4 48 .319 .340 .303 31.2 27.1 19.1 .204 .289 .223 23.5
2025 Slider 2.1 2 91 14.6 26 .160 .280 .208 22.0 15.4 12.1 .176 .324 .230 23.8
2025 Sinker -2.5 -2 84 13.4 28 .500 .769 .559 14.3 3.6 6.7 .375 .639 .449 28.0
2025 Curveball 3.5 3 79 12.6 20 .056 .056 .160 25.0 25.0 25.0 .197 .270 .251 38.5
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: To better align with other values, positive numbers (red) are good, and negative numbers (blue) are poor.

Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2026 Changeup 406 85.7 77 15.7 10:15 9:00 75
2026 Curveball 200 79.1 56 17.0 4:30 4:00 30
2026 Cutter 125 90.6 61 9.7 12:00 12:30 -30
2026 4-Seam Fastball 641 94.0 93 17.0 11:00 11:15 -15
2026 Sinker 317 92.5 91 16.6 10:45 10:15 30
2026 Slider 106 87.1 41 7.6 1:15 2:00 -45
2025 Changeup 144 84.6 77 15.4 10:15 9:15 60
2025 Curveball 79 77.1 57 17.4 4:30 4:00 30
2025 4-Seam Fastball 225 92.8 93 16.6 11:15 11:30 -15
2025 Sinker 84 91.4 87 16.1 11:00 10:15 45
2025 Slider 91 86.3 46 8.5 1:00 2:00 -60
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Pitcher Arm Angle

! Note: Data is available from 2020 through the present.
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Statcast Pitching Run Value

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2025 165 625 0 8 -4 -2 2
2026 465 1,823 23 21 -14 -8 21
Player 630 2,448 22 29 -18 22 24
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2025 625 52.3 63.0 81.6 27.5 54.9 44.6 72.1 46.1 26.0 7.7 58.3
2026 1,823 46.7 66.9 81.4 31.5 60.5 42.1 59.7 48.0 25.9 6.9 76.0
Player 2,448 48.1 65.8 81.4 30.6 59.3 42.7 63.0 47.5 26.0 7.1 71.1
MLB 48.7 67.0 82.6 28.6 57.9 42.6 61.2 47.3 25.0 7.3 76.2
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Run Value Pitching
Year Pitching Fastball Breaking Off
Speed
xERA Fastball
MPH
Fastball
Spin
Curve
Spin
Avg
EV
Chase% Whiff% K% BB% Barrel% Hard-
Hit%
GB% Extension
2025 21 9 9 50
2026 99 100 13 17 81 33 14 10 79 62 55 66 60 83 83 64 55
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Expected Home Runs

Adjusted

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2025 22.40 4 4.1 0 1 1 3 75.0
2026 23.41 11 11.5 -1 5 4 8 72.7
Player 23.14 15 15.6 -1 6 5 11 73.3
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's batted balls allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Expected Home Runs by Park

Adjusted

Year HR
2025 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 5 3 5 4 4 4 4 4 5 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 5 4 4 4
2026 11 10 10 14 12 12 12 9 14 12 11 13 9 12 12 12 11 11 11 13 9 12 12 13 10 10 11 12 14 11 11
Player 15 14 14 18 16 16 16 13 18 16 15 18 12 17 16 16 15 15 15 18 13 16 16 17 14 14 15 17 18 15 15
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's batted balls allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Year to Year Changes

2026 +/-   2025
Results
BA .208 -.081 .289
xBA .227 -.010 .237
OBP .269 -.046 .315
xOBP .289 +.025 .264
SLG .347 -.062 .409
xSLG .343 -.025 .368
ISO .139 +.020 .119
xISO .115 -.016 .131
BABIP .257 -.102 .359
wOBA .270 -.045 .315
xwOBA .280 +.006 .274
wOBAcon .323 -.072 .395
xwOBAcon .337 -.002 .339
BACON .283 -.097 .380
xBACON .313 +.002 .311
Statcast Hit Metrics
Hard Hit % 33.1 +3.3 29.8
Avg Exit Velocity 87.2 -0.9 88.1
Launch Angle Sweet-Spot % 33.1 0.0 33.1
Barrel % 5.4 -0.4 5.8
Avg Launch Angle 14.8 +5.0 9.8
Statcast Bat Tracking
Bat Speed 72.1 +0.1 72.0
Attack Angle +1°
Ideal Attack Angle % 50.7 +3.5 47.2
Attack Direction -2°
Swing Path - Tilt 32° 32°
Swing Length 7.3 0.0 7.3
Statcast Pitch Metrics
Fastball Velocity 93.2 +0.8 92.4
Breaking Velocity 81.9 -0.2 82.1
Offspeed Velocity 85.7 +1.1 84.6
Batted Ball Results
Barrels 17 +10 7
Popup % 10.8 +5.8 5.0
Flyball % 22.3 +1.6 20.7
Line Drive % 22.0 -3.6 25.6
Groundball % 44.9 -3.9 48.8
Pull % 38.9 -6.6 45.5
Straight Away % 32.8 +1.4 31.4
Opposite Field % 28.3 +5.2 23.1
Weak Contact % 7.0 +2.9 4.1
Pull Airball % 17.2 -1.0 18.2
Topped Contact % 30.3 -11.0 41.3
Under Contact % 26.1 +1.3 24.8
Flare/Burner Contact % 26.1 +6.3 19.8
Solid Contact % 5.1 +1.0 4.1
HR/FB % 15.7 -0.3 16.0
Popups 34 +28 6
Flyballs 70 +45 25
Line Drives 69 +38 31
Groundballs 141 +82 59
Plate Discipline
In Zone % 46.7 -5.6 52.3
Out of Zone % 53.3 +5.6 47.7
Edge % 42.1 -2.5 44.6
Zone Swing % 66.9 +3.9 63.0
Out of Zone Swing % 31.5 +4.0 27.5
In Zone Contact % 81.4 -0.2 81.6
Out of Zone Contact % 60.5 +5.6 54.9
Whiff % 25.9 -0.1 26.0
First Strike % 59.7 -12.4 72.1
First Pitch Swing % 32.3 -1.6 33.9
Swing % 48.0 +1.9 46.1
Meatball Swing % 76.0 +17.7 58.3
Meatball % 6.9 -0.8 7.7
Zone Swing & Miss % 18.6 +0.2 18.4
Out of Zone Swing & Miss % 39.5 -5.6 45.1
In Zone 851 +524 327
Out of Zone 972 +674 298
Edge 767 +488 279
In Zone Swings 569 +363 206
Out of Zone Swings 306 +224 82
In Zone Swing & Misses 106 +68 38
Out of Zone Swing & Misses 121 +84 37
Basic
Pitches 1,823 +1,198 625
PA 467 +302 165
AB 424 +265 159
Hits 88 +42 46
Singles 55 +20 35
Doubles 18 +11 7
Triples 4 +4 0
Home Runs 11 +7 4
Walks 36 +30 6
Strikeouts 116 +78 38
K% 24.8 +1.8 23.0
BB% 7.7 +4.1 3.6
HBP 1 +1 0
Batted Balls 314 +193 121
Fastball Percent 59.7 +10.3 49.4
Offspeed Percent 23.5 +0.1 23.4
Breaking Percent 16.8 -10.4 27.2
Number of Fastballs 1,088 +779 309
Number of Offspeed 428 +282 146
Number of Breaking 307 +137 170
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Statcast Fielder Positioning

vs RHHvs LHH
YearAlignment TypePAwOBAPATotal%PATotal%
2025 Shades 165 .315 121 22 18.2 44 17 38.6
2026 Shades 465 .270 338 7 2.1 127 39 30.7
! Note: Shifts are through the 2022 season, Shaded starting from the 2023 season, Shift: three or more infielders are on the same side of second base, Shade: positioned outside of their typical responsible slices of the field.
Learn more about how positioning is defined here

Pitch Tempo

Bases EmptyRunners On Base
SeasonTeamPitchesTempoFast %Slow %PitchesTempoFast %Slow %
2025 172 13.4 73.8% 0.0% 101 18.0 3.0% 0.0%
2026 518 13.8 72.0% 1.4% 232 18.1 5.2% 0.9%

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Pitch Distribution