Connelly Early Stats: Statcast, Visuals & Advanced Metrics

Connelly Early

P | Boston Red Sox

Bats/Throws: L/L | 6' 3" 195 lbs | Age: 24

Draft: 2023 | Rd. 5, No. 151, Boston Red Sox | Virginia

MLB Pipeline Rank

TOP 100: No. 56 | Red Sox: No. 3

	W	L	ERA	G	GS	IP	SO	WHIP
2025	1	2	2.33	4	4	19.1	29	1.09
2026	0	0	2.89	2	2	9.1	10	1.50
2 Seasons	1	2	2.51	6	6	28.2	39	1.22

	G	W-L	ERA	IP	SO	WHIP
2025	4	1-2	2.33	19.1	29	1.09
2026	2	0-0	2.89	9.1	10	1.50
2 Seasons	6	1-2	2.51	28.2	39	1.22

Player Apps

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Pitch Usage

Statcast Standard Splits Game Logs

Standard MLB Batting Statistics

No MLB Hitting Statistics.

Standard MLB Pitching Statistics

Season	Tm	LG	BF	W	L	ERA	G	GS	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	WHIP
2025	BOS	AL	79	1	2	2.33	4	4	19.1	17	6	5	4	29	1.09
2026	BOS	AL	40	0	0	2.89	2	2	9.1	8	3	3	6	10	1.50
2 Seasons	BOS	AL	119	1	2	2.51	6	6	28.2	25	9	8	10	39	1.22

*: All Star Season, Rankings AL/NL: Top 5 10 15 20, Click for Chart.

Standard MLB Fielding Statistics

Season	Tm	LG	POS	G	GS	INN	TC	A	FPCT%
2025	BOS	AL	P	4	4	19.1	2	2	1.000
2026	BOS	AL	P	2	2	9.1	0	0	.000
2 Seasons	BOS	AL	P	6	6	28.2	2	2	1.000

Spray Chart

Standard Minor League Batting Statistics

No Minor League Hitting Statistics.

Standard Minor League Pitching Statistics

Season	Tm	LG	L	W	L	ERA	G	GS	IP	H	R	ER	HR	BB	SO	WHIP
2023	Salem Red Sox	CAR	A	0	0	4.50	1	1	2.0	1	1	1	1	0	4	0.50
2024	2 Teams		Minors	3	9	3.99	23	23	103.2	84	57	46	7	39	138	1.19
2024	Greenville Drive	SAL	A+	1	6	3.72	15	15	67.2	53	33	28	6	24	90	1.14
2024	Portland Sea Dogs	EAS	AA	2	3	4.50	8	8	36.0	31	24	18	1	15	48	1.28
2025	2 Teams		Minors	10	3	2.60	21	18	100.1	71	38	29	5	40	132	1.11
2025	Portland Sea Dogs	EAS	AA	7	2	2.51	15	12	71.2	52	24	20	3	29	96	1.13
2025	Worcester Red Sox	INT	AAA	3	1	2.83	6	6	28.2	19	14	9	2	11	36	1.05
	Worcester Red Sox	INT	AAA	3	1	2.83	6	6	28.2	19	14	9	2	11	36	1.05
	Portland Sea Dogs	EAS	AA	9	5	3.18	23	20	107.2	83	48	38	4	44	144	1.18
	Greenville Drive	SAL	A+	1	6	3.72	15	15	67.2	53	33	28	6	24	90	1.14
	Salem RidgeYaks	CAR	A	0	0	4.50	1	1	2.0	1	1	1	1	0	4	0.50
Career Minors	4 Teams			13	12	3.32	45	42	206.0	156	96	76	13	79	274	1.14

Standard Minor League Fielding Statistics

Season	Tm	LG	L	POS	G	GS	INN	TC	PO	A	E	DP	FPCT%
2023	Salem Red Sox	CAR	A	P	1	1	2.0	0	0	0	0	0	.000
2024	2 Teams		Minors	P	23	23	103.2	8	3	5	0	0	1.000
2024	Greenville Drive	SAL	A+	P	15	15	67.2	3	1	2	0	0	1.000
2024	Portland Sea Dogs	EAS	AA	P	8	8	36.0	5	2	3	0	0	1.000
2025	2 Teams		Minors	P	21	18	100.1	10	2	7	1	1	.900
2025	Portland Sea Dogs	EAS	AA	P	15	12	71.2	6	2	3	1	0	.833
2025	Worcester Red Sox	INT	AAA	P	6	6	28.2	4	0	4	0	1	1.000
	Worcester Red Sox	INT	AAA	P	6	6	28.2	4	0	4	0	1	1.000
	Portland Sea Dogs	EAS	AA	P	23	20	107.2	11	4	6	1	0	.909
	Greenville Drive	SAL	A+	P	15	15	67.2	3	1	2	0	0	1.000
	Salem RidgeYaks	CAR	A	P	1	1	2.0	0	0	0	0	0	.000
Career Minors	4 Teams			P	45	42	206.0	18	5	12	1	1	.944

Scouting Report

2026

Video scouting report »

Early spent his first two college seasons at Army, winning Patriot League Pitcher of the Year accolades in 2022, before transferring to Virginia, where he tied a school record with 12 wins and became a fifth-round pick in 2023. The Red Sox helped him add about 3 mph to his pitches in his first full pro season and a couple of ticks more of velocity in his second, which enabled him to race through the Minors. He posted a 2.33 ERA in four starts for Boston at the end of 2025 and started the deciding game of the Wild Card series vs. the Yankees.

Early's four-seam fastball sat around 90 mph with the Cavaliers but now parks at 92-95 mph and reaches 97 with quality carry and run, and he'll also mix in a slightly slower two-seamer with more armside action and sink. He keeps right-handers in check with an 82-84 mph changeup with solid fade, and the pitch works against lefties as well. Both his 82-85 mph slider and 79-82 mph curveball are effective against hitters from both sides of the plate, and he'll turn the former into a tighter mid-80s cutter at times.

With a low arm slot and plenty of extension, Early fits the Red Sox blueprint for left-handers that also includes Garrett Crochet and Payton Tolle. He gets good horizontal action on all of his pitches -- save for his cutter -- as well as nice depth on his two-seamer and changeup while still consistently throwing strikes. Early's ceiling has risen dramatically since he turned pro, and he now looks like he has the stuff and savvy to become a mid-rotation starter.

2025

The Patriot League pitcher of the year in 2022, Early spent his first two college seasons at Army before transferring to Virginia. After he tied a Cavaliers record with 12 victories and winning most outstanding player honors at the Charlottesville Regional in 2023, the Red Sox drafted him in the fifth round. He added fastball velocity in his first full pro season, which made his quality changeup even more effective and helped him rank second in the system with 138 strikeouts in 103 2/3 innings while climbing to Double-A.

Added strength boosted Early's fastball from 89-91 mph at Virginia to 92-94 with a high of 96 in 2024, and it bores down and in against right-handers. His lively low-80s changeup has similar action, and he can land it for strikes or use it as a chase pitch. He also can keep batters off balance with a pair of breaking balls, a sweeping low-80s slider that has become a solid offering and an upper-70s curveball.

Early can't overpower hitters but has the feel to provide consistent strikes without catching too much of the plate. He throws his fastball just one third of the time, just enough to keep hitters honest and set up his secondary pitches, and his heater may need more velocity or life at higher levels. He's probably not more than a back-of-the-rotation option, but he may have the highest floor among Red Sox starting pitching prospects.

2024

Early starred for two seasons at Army, winning Patriot League Pitcher of the Year honors in 2022, before transferring to Virginia. He tied a Cavaliers record with 12 victories and was named most outstanding player of the Charlottesville Regional in 2023 before the Red Sox made him a fifth-round pick. He has led the system in strikeouts for much of his first full pro season, earning a promotion to Double-A in late July.

Early deceives hitters rather than overpowering them, and his best offering is a lively low-80s changeup with sink and fade. He sets it up with a fringy 89-91 mph fastball that tops out at 93 and bores in on right-handers. He also owns a pair of average breaking balls -- a sweeping low-80s slider and an upper-70s curveball with more depth.

Showing good feel for mixing his pitches, Early throws just enough fastballs to keep hitters honest and gets them to chase his secondary offerings out of the strike zone. He's crafty enough to throw consistent strikes without catching too much of the plate. He doesn't have much margin for error or come with a high ceiling, but he could be a back-of-the-rotation starter.

Rankings

Earned Run Average

Year	ERA	Rank
2026	2.89	24th in AL

Awards

EAS Post-Season All-Star

Year	Team
2025

EAS Pitcher of the Week

Week	Team
06/29/2025

Transactions

Team	Date	Transaction
	09/09/2025	Boston Red Sox selected the contract of LHP Connelly Early from Worcester Red Sox.
	07/29/2025	LHP Connelly Early assigned to Worcester Red Sox from Portland Sea Dogs.
	07/29/2025	Worcester Red Sox activated LHP Connelly Early.
	03/06/2025	activated LHP Connelly Early.
	07/23/2024	LHP Connelly Early assigned to Portland Sea Dogs from Greenville Drive.
	04/02/2024	LHP Connelly Early assigned to Greenville Drive from Salem Red Sox.
	08/29/2023	LHP Connelly Early assigned to Salem Red Sox from FCL Red Sox.
	08/05/2023	LHP Connelly Early assigned to FCL Red Sox.
	07/21/2023	Boston Red Sox signed LHP Connelly Early.
	05/24/2023	College Workout activated LHP Connelly Early.
	05/20/2023	LHP Connelly Early assigned to Virginia Cavaliers.
	05/20/2023	Virginia Cavaliers activated LHP Connelly Early.

Platoon Splits

Team	L	Type	W	L	ERA	G	GS	SV	IP	BF	H	R	ER	HR	BB	SO	WHIP
Boston Red Sox	MLB	vs Left				2			1.1	5	1			0	0	1	0.75
Boston Red Sox	MLB	vs Right				2			8.0	35	7			0	6	9	1.63

Monthly Splits

Team	L	Type	ERA	G	GS	IP	BF	H	R	ER	BB	SO	WHIP
Boston Red Sox	MLB	March	1.69	1	1	5.1	21	5	1	1	2	6	1.31
Boston Red Sox	MLB	April	4.50	1	1	4.0	19	3	2	2	4	4	1.75
Boston Red Sox	MLB	Pre All-Star	2.89	2	2	9.1	40	8	3	3	6	10	1.50

Baserunner Splits

Team	L	Type	G	IP	BF	H	BB	SO	WHIP
Boston Red Sox	MLB	Bases Empty	2	3.2	19	5	3	4	2.18
Boston Red Sox	MLB	Runner at 1st	2	1.2	6	1	1	2	1.20
Boston Red Sox	MLB	Runners at 1st & 2nd	2	1.0	4	1	0	1	1.00
Boston Red Sox	MLB	Runners at 1st & 3rd	2	1.0	2	0	0	0	0.00
Boston Red Sox	MLB	Runner at 2nd	2	1.0	6	1	2	2	3.00
Boston Red Sox	MLB	Runners at 2nd & 3rd	1	0.2	2	0	0	0	0.00
Boston Red Sox	MLB	Runner at 3rd	1	0.1	1	0	0	1	0.00
Boston Red Sox	MLB	Scoring Position	2	4.0	15	2	2	4	1.00

Game Type Splits

Team	L	Type	W	L	ERA	G	GS	SV	IP	BF	H	R	ER	BB	SO	WHIP
Boston Red Sox	MLB	Home Games	0	0	4.50	1	1	0	4.0	19	3	2	2	4	4	1.75
Boston Red Sox	MLB	Away Games	0	0	1.69	1	1	0	5.1	21	5	1	1	2	6	1.31
Boston Red Sox	MLB	Day Games	0	0	2.89	2	2	0	9.1	40	8	3	3	6	10	1.50
Boston Red Sox	MLB	Leading Off Inning				2			2.0	10	3			1	2	2.00

Outs Splits

Team	L	Type	G	IP	BF	H	BB	SO	WHIP
Boston Red Sox	MLB	No Outs	2	3.1	15	4	1	4	1.50
Boston Red Sox	MLB	One Out	2	3.2	14	3	2	2	1.36
Boston Red Sox	MLB	Two Outs	2	2.1	11	1	3	4	1.71

Inning Splits

Team	L	Type	ERA	G	IP	BF	H	R	ER	BB	SO	WHIP
Boston Red Sox	MLB	First Inning	0.00	2	2.0	10	1	0	0	3	4	2.00
Boston Red Sox	MLB	Second Inning	4.50	2	2.0	8	2	1	1	1	1	1.50
Boston Red Sox	MLB	Third Inning	4.50	2	2.0	10	2	1	1	2	2	2.00
Boston Red Sox	MLB	Fourth Inning	0.00	2	2.0	7	2	0	0	0	1	1.00
Boston Red Sox	MLB	Fifth Inning	0.00	1	1.0	3	0	0	0	0	1	0.00
Boston Red Sox	MLB	Sixth Inning	27.00	1	0.1	2	1	1	1	0	1	3.00

Platoon Splits

Team	L	Type	W	L	ERA	G	GS	SV	IP	BF	H	R	ER	HR	BB	SO	WHIP
2 Teams	Minors	vs Left				21			32.0	126	16			1	11	37	0.84
2 Teams	Minors	vs Right				21			67.0	288	55			4	29	95	1.25

Monthly Splits

Team	L	Type	W	L	ERA	G	GS	IP	BF	H	R	ER	HR	BB	SO	WHIP
Portland Sea Dogs	Double-A	April	1	0	2.63	4	2	13.2	55	7	5	4	0	7	22	1.02
Portland Sea Dogs	Double-A	May	3	0	1.80	4	3	20.0	82	10	5	4	0	11	33	1.05
Portland Sea Dogs	Double-A	June	2	1	1.64	4	4	22.0	92	20	6	4	1	6	26	1.18
Portland Sea Dogs	Double-A	July	1	1	4.50	3	3	16.0	68	15	8	8	2	5	15	1.25
Worcester Red Sox	Triple-A	August	3	1	3.18	5	5	22.2	96	16	13	8	2	11	26	1.19
Worcester Red Sox	Triple-A	September	0	0	1.50	1	1	6.0	21	3	1	1	0	0	10	0.50
Portland Sea Dogs	Double-A	First Half	5	1	2.17	11	8	49.2	209	37	16	12	1	21	74	1.17
2 Teams	Minors	Second Half	5	2	3.02	10	10	50.2	205	34	22	17	4	19	58	1.05

Baserunner Splits

Team	L	Type	G	IP	BF	H	HR	BB	SO	WHIP
2 Teams	Minors	Bases Empty	21	54.1	235	39	4	25	82	1.18
2 Teams	Minors	Bases Loaded	5	2.2	9	0	0	1	3	0.38
2 Teams	Minors	Runner at 1st	21	18.1	68	17	0	4	19	1.15
2 Teams	Minors	Runners at 1st & 2nd	14	6.0	26	6	1	3	7	1.50
2 Teams	Minors	Runners at 1st & 3rd	7	1.2	8	1	0	1	0	1.20
2 Teams	Minors	Runner at 2nd	16	8.2	36	5	0	3	11	0.92
2 Teams	Minors	Runners at 2nd & 3rd	6	3.0	11	1	0	1	5	0.67
2 Teams	Minors	Runner at 3rd	10	5.1	21	2	0	2	5	0.75
2 Teams	Minors	Scoring Position	19	27.1	111	15	1	11	31	0.95

Game Type Splits

Team	L	Type	W	L	ERA	G	GS	SV	IP	BF	H	R	ER	HR	BB	SO	WHIP
2 Teams	Minors	Home Games	4	3	3.24	10	9	0	50.0	211	43	20	18	2	20	62	1.26
2 Teams	Minors	Away Games	6	0	1.97	11	9	0	50.1	203	28	18	11	3	20	70	0.95
2 Teams	Minors	Day Games	3	1	2.31	8	6	0	35.0	148	27	11	9	1	21	48	1.37
2 Teams	Minors	Night Games	7	2	2.76	13	12	0	65.1	266	44	27	20	4	19	84	0.96
2 Teams	Minors	Leading Off Inning				21			23.0	104	22			3	10	30	1.39
Portland Sea Dogs	Double-A	Late / Close				1			4.0	17	3			0	2	7	1.25

Outs Splits

Team	L	Type	G	IP	BF	H	HR	BB	SO	WHIP
2 Teams	Minors	No Outs	21	35.0	155	35	3	12	42	1.34
2 Teams	Minors	One Out	21	35.0	124	14	1	12	43	0.74
2 Teams	Minors	Two Outs	21	30.0	135	22	1	16	47	1.27

Inning Splits

Team	L	Type	ERA	G	IP	BF	H	R	ER	HR	BB	SO	WHIP
2 Teams	Minors	First Inning	1.50	18	18.0	70	9	4	3	0	11	27	1.11
2 Teams	Minors	Second Inning	3.50	18	18.0	78	17	7	7	2	8	17	1.39
2 Teams	Minors	Third Inning	1.50	18	18.0	76	16	4	3	0	4	25	1.11
2 Teams	Minors	Fourth Inning	0.52	18	17.1	71	8	5	1	2	6	21	0.81
2 Teams	Minors	Fifth Inning	7.07	16	14.0	63	13	13	11	1	7	19	1.43
2 Teams	Minors	Sixth Inning	2.25	9	8.0	28	3	2	2	0	2	10	0.63
Portland Sea Dogs	Double-A	Seventh Inning	3.00	3	3.0	11	2	1	1	0	0	6	0.67
Portland Sea Dogs	Double-A	Eighth Inning	4.50	2	2.0	8	2	1	1	0	0	4	1.00
Portland Sea Dogs	Double-A	Ninth Inning	0.00	1	1.0	4	0	0	0	0	1	1	1.00
Portland Sea Dogs	Double-A	Extra Innings	0.00	1	1.0	5	1	1	0	0	1	2	2.00

Date	Home Tm	Away Tm	ERA	G	GS	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	WHIP
2026-03-29	Cincinnati Reds	Boston Red Sox	1.69	1	1	5.1	5	1	1	2	6	1.31
March	Boston Red Sox		1.69	1	1	5.1	5	1	1	2	6	1.31
2026-04-04	Boston Red Sox	San Diego Padres	2.89	1	1	4.0	3	2	2	4	4	1.50
April	Boston Red Sox		4.50	1	1	4.0	3	2	2	4	4	1.75

Date	Home Tm	Away Tm	W	L	ERA	G	GS	IP	H	R	ER	HR	BB	SO	WHIP
2025-04-06	Reading Fightin Phils	Portland Sea Dogs	0	0	0.00	1	1	3.2	0	1	0	0	2	7	0.55
2025-04-15	Hartford Yard Goats	Portland Sea Dogs	1	0	1.17	1	0	4.0	2	1	1	0	0	8	0.52
2025-04-20	Hartford Yard Goats	Portland Sea Dogs	0	0	0.84	1	0	3.0	1	0	0	0	1	6	0.56
2025-04-29	New Hampshire Fisher Cats	Portland Sea Dogs	0	0	2.63	1	1	3.0	4	3	3	0	4	1	1.02
April	Portland Sea Dogs		1	0	2.63	4	2	13.2	7	5	4	0	7	22	1.02
2025-05-11	Portland Sea Dogs	Chesapeake Baysox	1	0	2.41	1	0	5.0	3	2	1	0	2	8	1.02
2025-05-18	Somerset Patriots	Portland Sea Dogs	1	0	1.88	1	1	5.1	2	0	0	0	2	8	0.96
2025-05-24	Portland Sea Dogs	Reading Fightin Phils	1	0	1.55	1	1	5.0	1	0	0	0	4	9	0.97
2025-05-30	Altoona Curve	Portland Sea Dogs	0	0	2.14	1	1	4.2	4	3	3	0	3	8	1.04
May	Portland Sea Dogs		3	0	1.80	4	3	20.0	10	5	4	0	11	33	1.05
2025-06-05	Portland Sea Dogs	Hartford Yard Goats	0	0	2.33	1	1	5.0	9	2	2	0	2	3	1.19
2025-06-11	Somerset Patriots	Portland Sea Dogs	1	0	2.27	1	1	5.0	6	3	1	1	1	8	1.21
2025-06-17	Portland Sea Dogs	Akron RubberDucks	0	1	2.17	1	1	6.0	5	1	1	0	0	8	1.17
2025-06-29	Binghamton Rumble Ponies	Portland Sea Dogs	1	0	1.94	1	1	6.0	0	0	0	0	3	7	1.10
June	Portland Sea Dogs		2	1	1.64	4	4	22.0	20	6	4	1	6	26	1.18
2025-07-06	Portland Sea Dogs	New Hampshire Fisher Cats	0	1	2.70	1	1	4.1	9	6	6	1	3	5	1.22
2025-07-12	Portland Sea Dogs	Hartford Yard Goats	1	0	2.59	1	1	6.0	3	1	1	0	2	4	1.18
2025-07-20	Reading Fightin Phils	Portland Sea Dogs	0	0	2.51	1	1	5.2	3	1	1	1	0	6	1.13
July	Portland Sea Dogs		1	1	4.50	3	3	16.0	15	8	8	2	5	15	1.25
2025-08-02	Worcester Red Sox	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	0	0	0.00	1	1	3.2	2	0	0	0	5	2	1.91
2025-08-08	Worcester Red Sox	Buffalo Bisons	1	0	2.08	1	1	5.0	3	2	2	1	1	7	1.27
2025-08-14	Iowa Cubs	Worcester Red Sox	1	0	2.63	1	1	5.0	3	3	2	0	3	5	1.24
2025-08-21	Worcester Red Sox	Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp	0	1	4.08	1	1	4.0	5	5	4	0	1	6	1.30
2025-08-27	Durham Bulls	Worcester Red Sox	1	0	3.18	1	1	5.0	3	3	0	1	1	6	1.19
August	Worcester Red Sox		3	1	3.18	5	5	22.2	16	13	8	2	11	26	1.19
2025-09-02	Worcester Red Sox	Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders	0	0	2.83	1	1	6.0	3	1	1	0	0	10	1.05
September	Worcester Red Sox		0	0	1.50	1	1	6.0	3	1	1	0	0	10	0.50

Statcast Statistics

Season	Age	Pitches	Batted Balls	Barrels	Barrel %	Barrel/PA	Exit Velocity	Max EV	Launch Angle	LA Sweet- Spot %	xBA	xSLG	wOBA	xwOBA	xwOBAcon	HardHit%	K%	BB%	ERA	xERA
2025	23	323	45	2	4.4	2.5	87.9	108.4	16.8	26.7	.200	.284	.239	.240	.344	40.0	36.7	5.1	2.33	2.35
2026	24	184	24	3	12.5	7.5	92.3	109.4	12.6	37.5	.246	.439	.306	.353	.412	37.5	25.0	15.0	2.89	5.22
Player		507	69	5	7.2	4.2	89.4	109.4	15.4	30.4	.215	.333	.261	.278	.368	39.1	32.8	8.4
MLB					7.2	4.9	88.6	122.9	12.4	33.3	.243	.408	.315	.316	.369	37.0	22.2	8.4

! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Early relies on 6 pitches.

Four Seamer

(33.7%) ,

Changeup

(24.5%) ,

Curveball

(17.4%) ,

Slider

(13.6%) ,

Sinker

(8.7%) ,

Sweeper

(2.2%) ,

+ If Available Pitches Click to Video.

+ View Connelly Early's Pitches in 3d

+ Similar Pitchers to Connelly Early Based on Velocity and Movement:

2025 - Kyle Harrison

2025 - Cade Povich

2025 - Carlos Rodón

2025 - Sean Newcomb

2025 - Kris Bubic

--- Compare All Similar Pitchers

Pitch Tracking

Batted Ball Profile

Season	GB %	AIR %	FB %	LD %	PU %	Pull %	Straight %	Oppo %	Pull GB %	Straight GB %	Oppo GB %	Pull AIR %	Straight AIR %	Oppo AIR %
		AIR: Fly Balls + Line Drives + Popups				All Batted Balls			Batted Ball Breakdown
2025	48.9	51.1	31.1	13.3	6.7	46.7	33.3	20.0	31.1	15.6	2.2	15.6	17.8	17.8
2026	45.8	54.2	25.0	25.0	4.2	41.7	33.3	25.0	29.2	8.3	8.3	12.5	25.0	16.7
Player	47.8	52.2	29.0	17.4	5.8	44.9	33.3	21.7	30.4	13.0	4.3	14.5	20.3	17.4
MLB	44.2	55.8	24.1	24.6	7.1	37.4	37.4	25.1	20.7	17.6	5.9	16.7	19.7	19.3

! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Quality of Contact

Season	Weak %	Topped %	Under %	Flare/Burner %	Solid %	Barrel %	Barrel/PA
2025	6.7	22.2	31.1	31.1	4.4	4.4	2.5
2026	0.0	37.5	20.8	25.0	4.2	12.5	7.5
Player	4.3	27.5	27.5	29.0	4.3	7.2	4.2
MLB	4.0	32.4	24.9	24.4	5.9	7.2	4.9

! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement

How this works: This section shows two different ways to evaluate pitch movement. On the left, “Total Movement” shows the real-world movement of a pitch, including the forces of gravity, which affects every pitch thrown. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren't 'better' just because they have more time to move, a pitch's movement is compared to other pitches of the same pitch type, within +/- 2 MPH and +/- 0.5 feet of extension/release. On the right, Induced Movement (or IVB) is reported without gravity, and attempts to isolate movement created by the pitcher's ability to spin and manipulate the ball.

						Total Movement (in inches, w/ gravity)				Induced Movement (in inches, w/o gravity)
Year	Pitch	Team	Hand	#	MPH	Vertical Drop	vs. Comparable	Horizontal Break	vs. Comparable	Vertical Break	vs. Avg	Horizontal Break	vs. Avg
2026	Sinker	BOS	L	16	92.1	24.1	-0.8	18.7ARM	2.9	8.5	-1.0	18.7ARM	3.0
2026	Changeup	BOS	L	45	83.2	43.2	7.1	13.0ARM	-1.9	-3.4	7.5	13.0ARM	-1.2
2026	4-Seam Fastball	BOS	L	62	93.8	15.8	-0.8	11.2ARM	3.2	15.7	-0.6	11.2ARM	3.1
2026	Slider	BOS	L	25	87.0	29.5	-5.4	0.6ARM	-4.8	6.6	-5.2	0.6ARM	-5.3
2026	Curveball	BOS	L	32	79.7	52.7	-0.9	10.3GLV	-0.6	-9.3	-0.9	10.3GLV	2.1
2026	Sweeper	BOS	L	4	83.2	39.5	1.1	9.2GLV	-4.9	0.5	0.1	9.2GLV	-4.3
2025	Slider	BOS	L	37	86.6	30.1	-4.6	0.6GLV	-3.8	6.5	-4.5	0.6GLV	-3.5
2025	Sinker	BOS	L	42	93.0	23.5	-1.2	18.2ARM	2.5	8.4	-0.9	18.2ARM	2.8
2025	Sweeper	BOS	L	20	82.9	40.0	1.5	12.6GLV	-1.3	0.3	0.7	12.6GLV	-0.4
2025	Changeup	BOS	L	63	84.0	40.2	5.4	13.1ARM	-1.5	-1.4	6.6	13.1ARM	-1.1
2025	4-Seam Fastball	BOS	L	94	94.0	15.9	-0.7	9.5ARM	1.5	15.3	-0.6	9.5ARM	1.4
2025	Curveball	BOS	L	67	80.7	51.9	0.0	9.6GLV	0.5	-9.6	0.0	9.6GLV	1.8

! Note: Years are in reverse order.

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Run Values by Pitch Type

Year	Pitch Type	RV/100	Run Value	Pitches	%	PA	BA	SLG	wOBA	Whiff%	K%	PutAway %	xBA	xSLG	xwOBA	Hard Hit %
2026	4-Seam Fastball	-0.7	0	62	33.7	16	.286	.429	.356	12.9	12.5	11.1	.348	.766	.499	58.3
2026	Changeup	1.3	1	45	24.5	8	.143	.143	.200	31.8	50.0	19.0	.121	.132	.182	33.3
2026	Curveball	-1.1	0	32	17.4	4	.333	.333	.400	7.1	0.0	0.0	.331	.453	.427	0.0
2026	Slider	3.8	1	25	13.6	4	.000	.000	.175	44.4	25.0	20.0	.133	.144	.269	50.0
2026	Sinker	3.7	1	16	8.7	7	.167	.167	.229	25.0	42.9	75.0	.154	.175	.223	0.0
2026	Sweeper	-14.1	-1	4	2.2	1	1.000	1.000	.900	0.0	0.0	0.0	.337	.421	.306	0.0
2025	4-Seam Fastball	2.1	2	94	29.1	18	.176	.176	.189	29.3	44.4	29.6	.177	.300	.233	44.4
2025	Curveball	-0.5	0	67	20.7	14	.250	.250	.293	39.4	50.0	25.0	.098	.106	.177	40.0
2025	Changeup	1.6	1	63	19.5	21	.238	.238	.257	23.1	19.0	17.4	.274	.352	.272	41.2
2025	Sinker	3.2	1	42	13.0	10	.300	.300	.270	30.4	20.0	28.6	.213	.259	.204	25.0
2025	Slider	-2.4	-1	37	11.5	7	.600	.800	.636	29.4	0.0	--	.513	.883	.624	60.0
2025	Sweeper	9.9	2	20	6.2	9	.000	.000	.000	83.3	88.9	72.7	.022	.028	.022	0.0

! Note: Years are in reverse order.

! Note: To better align with other values, positive numbers (red) are good, and negative numbers (blue) are poor.

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Spin Direction

Year	Pitch Type	Pitches	MPH	Active Spin %	Total Movement (In.)	Spin-Based	Observed	Deviation
2026	Changeup	40	83.3	88	14.8	9:15	8:15	60
2026	Curveball	32	79.7	67	16.2	4:45	4:30	15
2026	4-Seam Fastball	62	93.8	91	19.1	10:30	10:45	-15
2026	Sinker	16	92.1	92	20.9	10:30	9:45	45
2026	Slider	25	87.0	40	5.7	11:00	11:45	-45
2025	Changeup	60	84.0	87	14.2	9:30	8:30	60
2025	Curveball	67	80.7	71	15.8	4:45	4:45	0
2025	4-Seam Fastball	94	94.0	87	17.7	10:45	10:45	0
2025	Sinker	42	93.0	91	20.4	10:15	9:45	30
2025	Slider	37	86.6	32	5.8	11:15	12:15	-60
2025	Sweeper	20	82.9	35	13.6	3:30	3:15	15

! Note: Years are in reverse order.

! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.

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Pitcher Arm Angle

! Note: Data is available from 2020 through the present.

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Statcast Pitching Run Value

				Runs
Year	Team	PA	Pitches	Heart	Shadow	Chase	Waste	All
2025		79	323	1	7	0	-2	5
2026		40	184	3	2	-3	-1	1
Player		119	507	3	9	-4	3	6

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Statcast Pitching Run Value (Leveraged)

These run values are leveraged, meaning the base/out situation at the time of the event does impact the run value (thus introducing context outside the batter's own contribution).

				Runs
Year	Team	PA	Pitches	Heart	Shadow	Chase	Waste	All	+/- Due To Leverage
2025		79	323	-1	7	0	-2	3	-2
2026		40	184	4	2	-3	-1	2	1
Player		119	507	3	9	-3	3	5	0

Plate Discipline

Season	Pitches	Zone %	Zone Swing %	Zone Contact %	Chase %	Chase Contact %	Edge %	1st Pitch Strike %	Swing %	Whiff %	Meatball %	Meatball Swing %
2025	323	47.7	66.9	74.8	36.7	51.6	44.3	59.5	51.1	33.9	7.4	70.8
2026	184	45.7	63.1	83.0	32.0	71.9	34.8	67.5	46.2	21.2	8.7	81.3
Player	507	46.9	65.5	77.6	34.9	58.5	40.8	62.2	49.3	29.6	7.9	75.0
MLB		48.8	67.0	82.5	28.4	58.0	42.7	61.1	47.3	25.0	7.4	76.3

! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Year	Pitching	Fastball	Breaking	Off Speed	xERA	Fastball MPH	Fastball Spin	Curve Spin	Avg EV	Chase%	Whiff%	K%	BB%	Barrel%	Hard- Hit%	GB%	Extension
	Run Value				Pitching
2025						39	42	28									89
2026	56	52	44	74	27	32	51		21	61	27	53	21	26	54	56	78

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Expected Home Runs

Adjusted

Year	Avg HR Trot	xHR	HR-xHR	Doubters	Mostly Gone	No Doubter %
2025	--	0.8	-1	0	1	--
2026	--	0.7	-1	2	1	--
Player	--	1.5	-2	2	2	--

Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's batted balls allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.

Standard

Year	Avg HR Trot	xHR	HR-xHR	Doubters	Mostly Gone	No Doubter %
2025	--	0.5	-1	0	1	--
2026	--	0.6	-1	2	1	--
Player	--	1.1	-1	2	2	--

Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's batted balls allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Standard" view here accounts for different wall heights and distances but excludes environmental effects. It is based purely on the observed trajectory of the hit.

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Expected Home Runs by Park

Adjusted

Year
2025	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	0	1	1	1	1	1
2026	2	1	1	0	2	1	0	0	1	0	1	0	1	2	0	1	1	1	2	1	0	2	1	1
Player	3	2	2	1	3	2	1	1	2	1	2	1	2	3	1	2	2	2	2	2	1	3	2	2

Standard

Year
2025	1	0	0	1	1	1	0	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	0	1	1	1
2026	1	1	1	1	1	0	1	0	0	1	1	0	2	1	1	1	2	2	2
Player	2	1	1	2	2	1	1	1	1	2	2	1	3	2	2	1	3	3	3

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Year to Year Changes

	2026	+/-		2025
Results
BA	.235	+.005	↑	.230
xBA	.246	+.046	↑	.200
OBP	.350	+.072	↑	.278
xOBP	.359	+.108	↑	.251
SLG	.294	+.051	↑	.243
xSLG	.439	+.155	↑	.284
ISO	.059	+.045	↑	.014
xISO	.193	+.109	↑	.084
BABIP	.333	-.045	↓	.378
wOBA	.306	+.067	↑	.239
xwOBA	.353	+.113	↑	.240
wOBAcon	.334	-.008	↓	.342
xwOBAcon	.412	+.068	↑	.344
BACON	.333	-.045	↓	.378
xBACON	.349	+.020	↑	.329
Statcast Hit Metrics
Hard Hit %	37.5	-2.5	↓	40.0
Avg Exit Velocity	92.3	+4.4	↑	87.9
Launch Angle Sweet-Spot %	37.5	+10.8	↑	26.7
Barrel %	12.5	+8.1	↑	4.4
Avg Launch Angle	12.6	-4.2	↓	16.8
Statcast Bat Tracking
Bat Speed	72.4	-0.1	↓	72.5
Attack Angle	13°	+1°	↑	12°
Ideal Attack Angle %	73.1	+21.7	↑	51.4
Attack Direction	-3°	+3°	↑	-6°
Swing Path - Tilt	32°	-1°	↓	33°
Swing Length	7.4	-0.1	↓	7.5
Statcast Pitch Metrics
Fastball Velocity	93.4	-0.3	↓	93.7
Breaking Velocity	82.9	+0.1	↑	82.8
Offspeed Velocity	83.2	-0.8	↓	84.0
Batted Ball Results
Barrels	3	+1	↑	2
Popup %	4.2	-2.5	↓	6.7
Flyball %	25.0	-6.1	↓	31.1
Line Drive %	25.0	+11.7	↑	13.3
Groundball %	45.8	-3.1	↓	48.9
Pull %	41.7	-5.0	↓	46.7
Straight Away %	33.3	0.0		33.3
Opposite Field %	25.0	+5.0	↑	20.0
Weak Contact %	0.0	-6.7	↓	6.7
Pull Airball %	12.5	-3.1	↓	15.6
Topped Contact %	37.5	+15.3	↑	22.2
Under Contact %	20.8	-10.3	↓	31.1
Flare/Burner Contact %	25.0	-6.1	↓	31.1
Solid Contact %	4.2	-0.2	↓	4.4
HR/FB %	0.0	0.0		0.0
Popups	1	-2	↓	3
Flyballs	6	-8	↓	14
Line Drives	6	0		6
Groundballs	11	-11	↓	22
Plate Discipline
In Zone %	45.7	-2.0	↓	47.7
Out of Zone %	54.3	+2.0	↑	52.3
Edge %	34.8	-9.5	↓	44.3
Zone Swing %	63.1	-3.8	↓	66.9
Out of Zone Swing %	32.0	-4.7	↓	36.7
In Zone Contact %	83.0	+8.2	↑	74.8
Out of Zone Contact %	71.9	+20.3	↑	51.6
Whiff %	21.2	-12.7	↓	33.9
First Strike %	67.5	+8.0	↑	59.5
First Pitch Swing %	35.0	-3.0	↓	38.0
Swing %	46.2	-4.9	↓	51.1
Meatball Swing %	81.3	+10.5	↑	70.8
Meatball %	8.7	+1.3	↑	7.4
Zone Swing & Miss %	17.0	-8.2	↓	25.2
Out of Zone Swing & Miss %	28.1	-20.3	↓	48.4
In Zone	84	-70	↓	154
Out of Zone	100	-69	↓	169
Edge	64	-79	↓	143
In Zone Swings	53	-50	↓	103
Out of Zone Swings	32	-30	↓	62
In Zone Swing & Misses	9	-17	↓	26
Out of Zone Swing & Misses	9	-21	↓	30
Basic
Pitches	184	-139	↓	323
PA	40	-39	↓	79
AB	34	-40	↓	74
Hits	8	-9	↓	17
Singles	6	-10	↓	16
Doubles	2	+1	↑	1
Triples	0	0		0
Home Runs	0	0		0
Walks	6	+2	↑	4
Strikeouts	10	-19	↓	29
K%	25.0	-11.7	↓	36.7
BB%	15.0	+9.9	↑	5.1
HBP	0	-1	↓	1
Batted Balls	24	-21	↓	45
Number of Fastballs	78	-58	↓	136
Number of Offspeed	45	-18	↓	63
Number of Breaking	57	-47	↓	104

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Statcast Fielder Positioning

				vs RHH			vs LHH
Year	Alignment Type	PA	wOBA	PA	Total	%	PA	Total	%
2025	Shades	79	.239	57	0	0.0	22	13	59.1
2026	Shades	40	.306	35	9	25.7	5	0	0.0

! Note: Shifts are through the 2022 season, Shaded starting from the 2023 season, Shift: three or more infielders are on the same side of second base, Shade: positioned outside of their typical responsible slices of the field.
Learn more about how positioning is defined here

Pitch Tempo

		Bases Empty				Runners On Base
Season	Team	Pitches	Tempo	Fast %	Slow %	Pitches	Tempo	Fast %	Slow %
2025		79	15.7	39.2%	0.0%	52	19.7	1.9%	0.0%
2026		25	16.7	8.0%	0.0%	16	20.0	0.0%	6.3%

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Pitch Distribution

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Statcast Fielding Run Value

			Infield/Outfield				Catching				Innings By Position
Year	Team	Run Value	INF/OF Runs	Range	Arm	Inf. DP	Catching Runs	Framing	Throwing	Blocking	Total Innings	C	1B	2B	3B	SS	LF	CF	RF
2025		--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	19	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--
2026		--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	9	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--
Player		--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	29	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--

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Statcast Fielding Breakdown

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MLB Pipeline Rank

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Scouting Report

Earned Run Average

EAS Post-Season All-Star

EAS Pitcher of the Week