Connelly Early Stats: Statcast, Visuals & Advanced Metrics

P | Boston Red Sox

Bats/Throws: L/L | 6' 3" 195 lbs | Age: 24

Draft: 2023 | Rd. 5, No. 151, Boston Red Sox | Virginia

	W	L	ERA	G	GS	IP	SO	WHIP
2025	1	2	2.33	4	4	19.1	29	1.09
2026	5	4	3.30	13	13	71	69	1.23
2 Seasons	6	6	3.09	17	17	90.1	98	1.20

	G	W-L	ERA	IP	SO	WHIP
2025	4	1-2	2.33	19.1	29	1.09
2026	13	5-4	3.30	71	69	1.23
2 Seasons	17	6-6	3.09	90.1	98	1.20

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Pitch Usage

Statcast Standard Splits Game Logs

Standard MLB Batting Statistics

No MLB Hitting Statistics.

Standard MLB Pitching Statistics

Season	Tm	LG	BF	W	L	ERA	G	GS	IP	H	R	ER	HR	BB	SO	WHIP
2025	BOS	AL	79	1	2	2.33	4	4	19.1	17	6	5	0	4	29	1.09
2026	BOS	AL	300	5	4	3.30	13	13	71.0	60	26	26	12	27	69	1.23
2 Seasons	BOS	AL	379	6	6	3.09	17	17	90.1	77	32	31	12	31	98	1.20

*: All Star Season, Rankings AL/NL: Top 5 10 15 20, Click for Chart.

Standard MLB Fielding Statistics

Season	Tm	LG	POS	G	GS	INN	TC	PO	A	FPCT%
2025	BOS	AL	P	4	4	19.1	2	0	2	1.000
2026	BOS	AL	P	13	13	71.0	11	6	5	1.000
2 Seasons	BOS	AL	P	17	17	90.1	13	6	7	1.000

Standard Minor League Batting Statistics

No Minor League Hitting Statistics.

Standard Minor League Pitching Statistics

Season	Tm	LG	L	W	L	ERA	G	GS	IP	H	R	ER	HR	BB	SO	WHIP
2023	Salem Red Sox	CAR	A	0	0	4.50	1	1	2.0	1	1	1	1	0	4	0.50
2024	2 Teams		Minors	3	9	3.99	23	23	103.2	84	57	46	7	39	138	1.19
2024	Greenville Drive	SAL	A+	1	6	3.72	15	15	67.2	53	33	28	6	24	90	1.14
2024	Portland Sea Dogs	EAS	AA	2	3	4.50	8	8	36.0	31	24	18	1	15	48	1.28
2025	2 Teams		Minors	10	3	2.60	21	18	100.1	71	38	29	5	40	132	1.11
2025	Portland Sea Dogs	EAS	AA	7	2	2.51	15	12	71.2	52	24	20	3	29	96	1.13
2025	Worcester Red Sox	INT	AAA	3	1	2.83	6	6	28.2	19	14	9	2	11	36	1.05
	Worcester Red Sox	INT	AAA	3	1	2.83	6	6	28.2	19	14	9	2	11	36	1.05
	Portland Sea Dogs	EAS	AA	9	5	3.18	23	20	107.2	83	48	38	4	44	144	1.18
	Greenville Drive	SAL	A+	1	6	3.72	15	15	67.2	53	33	28	6	24	90	1.14
	Salem RidgeYaks	CAR	A	0	0	4.50	1	1	2.0	1	1	1	1	0	4	0.50
Career Minors	4 Teams			13	12	3.32	45	42	206.0	156	96	76	13	79	274	1.14

Standard Minor League Fielding Statistics

Season	Tm	LG	L	POS	G	GS	INN	TC	PO	A	E	DP	FPCT%
2023	Salem Red Sox	CAR	A	P	1	1	2.0	0	0	0	0	0	.000
2024	2 Teams		Minors	P	23	23	103.2	8	3	5	0	0	1.000
2024	Greenville Drive	SAL	A+	P	15	15	67.2	3	1	2	0	0	1.000
2024	Portland Sea Dogs	EAS	AA	P	8	8	36.0	5	2	3	0	0	1.000
2025	2 Teams		Minors	P	21	18	100.1	10	2	7	1	1	.900
2025	Portland Sea Dogs	EAS	AA	P	15	12	71.2	6	2	3	1	0	.833
2025	Worcester Red Sox	INT	AAA	P	6	6	28.2	4	0	4	0	1	1.000
	Worcester Red Sox	INT	AAA	P	6	6	28.2	4	0	4	0	1	1.000
	Portland Sea Dogs	EAS	AA	P	23	20	107.2	11	4	6	1	0	.909
	Greenville Drive	SAL	A+	P	15	15	67.2	3	1	2	0	0	1.000
	Salem RidgeYaks	CAR	A	P	1	1	2.0	0	0	0	0	0	.000
Career Minors	4 Teams			P	45	42	206.0	18	5	12	1	1	.944

Year	HR	Rank
2026	12	10th in AL

Year	SO	Rank
2026	69	23rd in AL

Year	HBP	Rank
2026	6	4th in AL

Year	AVG	Rank
2026	.227	16th in AL

Year	ERA	Rank
2026	3.30	12th in AL

Year	IP	Rank
2026	71.0	25th in AL

Year	Wins	Rank
2026	5	13th in AL

Year	Losses	Rank
2026	4	23rd in AL

Year	WHIP	Rank
2026	1.23	20th in AL

Awards

EAS Post-Season All-Star

Year	Team
2025

EAS Pitcher of the Week

Week	Team
06/29/2025

Transactions

Team	Date	Transaction
	04/16/2026	LHP Connelly Early changed number to 71.
	04/15/2026	LHP Connelly Early changed number to 42.
	09/09/2025	Boston Red Sox selected the contract of LHP Connelly Early from Worcester Red Sox.
	07/29/2025	LHP Connelly Early assigned to Worcester Red Sox from Portland Sea Dogs.
	07/29/2025	Worcester Red Sox activated LHP Connelly Early.
	03/06/2025	activated LHP Connelly Early.
	07/23/2024	LHP Connelly Early assigned to Portland Sea Dogs from Greenville Drive.
	04/02/2024	LHP Connelly Early assigned to Greenville Drive from Salem Red Sox.
	08/29/2023	LHP Connelly Early assigned to Salem Red Sox from FCL Red Sox.
	08/05/2023	LHP Connelly Early assigned to FCL Red Sox.
	07/21/2023	Boston Red Sox signed LHP Connelly Early.
	05/24/2023	College Workout activated LHP Connelly Early.
	05/20/2023	Virginia Cavaliers activated LHP Connelly Early.
	05/20/2023	LHP Connelly Early assigned to Virginia Cavaliers.

Platoon Splits

Team	L	Type	W	L	ERA	G	GS	SV	IP	BF	H	R	ER	HR	BB	SO	WHIP
Boston Red Sox	MLB	vs Left				13			18.2	75	14			4	5	19	1.02
Boston Red Sox	MLB	vs Right				13			52.1	225	46			8	22	50	1.30

Monthly Splits

Team	L	Type	W	L	ERA	G	GS	IP	BF	H	R	ER	HR	BB	SO	WHIP
Boston Red Sox	MLB	March	0	0	1.69	1	1	5.1	21	5	1	1	0	2	6	1.31
Boston Red Sox	MLB	April	2	1	3.08	5	5	26.1	110	19	9	9	4	12	22	1.18
Boston Red Sox	MLB	May	3	1	3.07	5	5	29.1	123	25	10	10	5	8	29	1.13
Boston Red Sox	MLB	June	0	2	5.40	2	2	10.0	46	11	6	6	3	5	12	1.60
Boston Red Sox	MLB	Pre All-Star	5	4	3.30	13	13	71.0	300	60	26	26	12	27	69	1.23

Baserunner Splits

Team	L	Type	G	IP	BF	H	HR	BB	SO	WHIP
Boston Red Sox	MLB	Bases Empty	13	37.2	177	41	9	17	35	1.54
Boston Red Sox	MLB	Bases Loaded	3	2.1	6	0	0	0	3	0.00
Boston Red Sox	MLB	Runner at 1st	13	17.1	64	10	2	4	21	0.81
Boston Red Sox	MLB	Runners at 1st & 2nd	9	6.0	20	4	0	2	4	1.00
Boston Red Sox	MLB	Runners at 1st & 3rd	3	1.0	3	0	0	0	0	0.00
Boston Red Sox	MLB	Runner at 2nd	11	3.2	18	2	0	4	4	1.64
Boston Red Sox	MLB	Runners at 2nd & 3rd	3	2.0	7	1	1	0	1	0.50
Boston Red Sox	MLB	Runner at 3rd	4	1.0	5	2	0	0	1	2.00
Boston Red Sox	MLB	Scoring Position	11	16.0	59	9	1	6	13	0.94

Game Type Splits

Team	L	Type	W	L	ERA	G	GS	SV	IP	BF	H	R	ER	HR	BB	SO	WHIP
Boston Red Sox	MLB	Home Games	2	3	3.86	6	6	0	32.2	139	28	14	14	4	15	32	1.32
Boston Red Sox	MLB	Away Games	3	1	2.82	7	7	0	38.1	161	32	12	12	8	12	37	1.15
Boston Red Sox	MLB	Day Games	2	1	3.81	5	5	0	26.0	107	20	11	11	4	12	22	1.23
Boston Red Sox	MLB	Night Games	3	3	3.00	8	8	0	45.0	193	40	15	15	8	15	47	1.22
Boston Red Sox	MLB	Leading Off Inning				13			16.1	75	15			5	8	16	1.41
Boston Red Sox	MLB	Late / Close				1			0.1	2	0			0	0	0	0.00

Outs Splits

Team	L	Type	G	IP	BF	H	HR	BB	SO	WHIP
Boston Red Sox	MLB	No Outs	13	25.1	112	21	6	11	27	1.26
Boston Red Sox	MLB	One Out	13	25.2	100	24	5	6	16	1.17
Boston Red Sox	MLB	Two Outs	13	20.0	88	15	1	10	26	1.25

Inning Splits

Team	L	Type	ERA	G	IP	BF	H	R	ER	HR	BB	SO	WHIP
Boston Red Sox	MLB	First Inning	3.46	13	13.0	57	11	5	5	4	7	13	1.38
Boston Red Sox	MLB	Second Inning	2.77	13	13.0	59	16	4	4	2	6	14	1.69
Boston Red Sox	MLB	Third Inning	2.08	13	13.0	55	8	3	3	1	7	11	1.15
Boston Red Sox	MLB	Fourth Inning	4.15	13	13.0	52	12	6	6	2	1	13	1.00
Boston Red Sox	MLB	Fifth Inning	3.60	11	10.0	38	6	4	4	2	2	9	0.80
Boston Red Sox	MLB	Sixth Inning	6.00	8	6.0	28	6	4	4	1	4	6	1.67
Boston Red Sox	MLB	Seventh Inning	0.00	4	3.0	11	1	0	0	0	0	3	0.33

Platoon Splits

Team	L	Type	W	L	ERA	G	GS	SV	IP	BF	H	R	ER	HR	BB	SO	WHIP
2 Teams	Minors	vs Left				21			32.0	126	16			1	11	37	0.84
2 Teams	Minors	vs Right				21			67.0	288	55			4	29	95	1.25

Monthly Splits

Team	L	Type	W	L	ERA	G	GS	IP	BF	H	R	ER	HR	BB	SO	WHIP
Portland Sea Dogs	Double-A	April	1	0	2.63	4	2	13.2	55	7	5	4	0	7	22	1.02
Portland Sea Dogs	Double-A	May	3	0	1.80	4	3	20.0	82	10	5	4	0	11	33	1.05
Portland Sea Dogs	Double-A	June	2	1	1.64	4	4	22.0	92	20	6	4	1	6	26	1.18
Portland Sea Dogs	Double-A	July	1	1	4.50	3	3	16.0	68	15	8	8	2	5	15	1.25
Worcester Red Sox	Triple-A	August	3	1	3.18	5	5	22.2	96	16	13	8	2	11	26	1.19
Worcester Red Sox	Triple-A	September	0	0	1.50	1	1	6.0	21	3	1	1	0	0	10	0.50
Portland Sea Dogs	Double-A	First Half	5	1	2.17	11	8	49.2	209	37	16	12	1	21	74	1.17
2 Teams	Minors	Second Half	5	2	3.02	10	10	50.2	205	34	22	17	4	19	58	1.05

Baserunner Splits

Team	L	Type	G	IP	BF	H	HR	BB	SO	WHIP
2 Teams	Minors	Bases Empty	21	54.1	235	39	4	25	82	1.18
2 Teams	Minors	Bases Loaded	5	2.2	9	0	0	1	3	0.38
2 Teams	Minors	Runner at 1st	21	18.1	68	17	0	4	19	1.15
2 Teams	Minors	Runners at 1st & 2nd	14	6.0	26	6	1	3	7	1.50
2 Teams	Minors	Runners at 1st & 3rd	7	1.2	8	1	0	1	0	1.20
2 Teams	Minors	Runner at 2nd	16	8.2	36	5	0	3	11	0.92
2 Teams	Minors	Runners at 2nd & 3rd	6	3.0	11	1	0	1	5	0.67
2 Teams	Minors	Runner at 3rd	10	5.1	21	2	0	2	5	0.75
2 Teams	Minors	Scoring Position	19	27.1	111	15	1	11	31	0.95

Game Type Splits

Team	L	Type	W	L	ERA	G	GS	SV	IP	BF	H	R	ER	HR	BB	SO	WHIP
2 Teams	Minors	Home Games	4	3	3.24	10	9	0	50.0	211	43	20	18	2	20	62	1.26
2 Teams	Minors	Away Games	6	0	1.97	11	9	0	50.1	203	28	18	11	3	20	70	0.95
2 Teams	Minors	Day Games	3	1	2.31	8	6	0	35.0	148	27	11	9	1	21	48	1.37
2 Teams	Minors	Night Games	7	2	2.76	13	12	0	65.1	266	44	27	20	4	19	84	0.96
2 Teams	Minors	Leading Off Inning				21			23.0	104	22			3	10	30	1.39
Portland Sea Dogs	Double-A	Late / Close				1			4.0	17	3			0	2	7	1.25

Outs Splits

Team	L	Type	G	IP	BF	H	HR	BB	SO	WHIP
2 Teams	Minors	No Outs	21	35.0	155	35	3	12	42	1.34
2 Teams	Minors	One Out	21	35.0	124	14	1	12	43	0.74
2 Teams	Minors	Two Outs	21	30.0	135	22	1	16	47	1.27

Inning Splits

Team	L	Type	ERA	G	IP	BF	H	R	ER	HR	BB	SO	WHIP
2 Teams	Minors	First Inning	1.50	18	18.0	70	9	4	3	0	11	27	1.11
2 Teams	Minors	Second Inning	3.50	18	18.0	78	17	7	7	2	8	17	1.39
2 Teams	Minors	Third Inning	1.50	18	18.0	76	16	4	3	0	4	25	1.11
2 Teams	Minors	Fourth Inning	0.52	18	17.1	71	8	5	1	2	6	21	0.81
2 Teams	Minors	Fifth Inning	7.07	16	14.0	63	13	13	11	1	7	19	1.43
2 Teams	Minors	Sixth Inning	2.25	9	8.0	28	3	2	2	0	2	10	0.63
Portland Sea Dogs	Double-A	Seventh Inning	3.00	3	3.0	11	2	1	1	0	0	6	0.67
Portland Sea Dogs	Double-A	Eighth Inning	4.50	2	2.0	8	2	1	1	0	0	4	1.00
Portland Sea Dogs	Double-A	Ninth Inning	0.00	1	1.0	4	0	0	0	0	1	1	1.00
Portland Sea Dogs	Double-A	Extra Innings	0.00	1	1.0	5	1	1	0	0	1	2	2.00

Date	Home Tm	Away Tm	W	L	ERA	G	GS	IP	H	R	ER	HR	BB	SO	WHIP
2026-03-29	Cincinnati Reds	Boston Red Sox	0	0	1.69	1	1	5.1	5	1	1	0	2	6	1.31
March	Boston Red Sox		0	0	1.69	1	1	5.1	5	1	1	0	2	6	1.31
2026-04-04	Boston Red Sox	San Diego Padres	0	0	2.89	1	1	4.0	3	2	2	0	4	4	1.50
2026-04-10	St. Louis Cardinals	Boston Red Sox	0	0	2.63	1	1	4.1	5	1	1	0	2	5	1.54
2026-04-15	Minnesota Twins	Boston Red Sox	1	0	2.29	1	1	6.0	2	1	1	1	2	5	1.27
2026-04-21	Boston Red Sox	New York Yankees	0	1	2.88	1	1	5.1	5	3	3	1	3	4	1.32
2026-04-26	Baltimore Orioles	Boston Red Sox	1	0	2.84	1	1	6.2	4	2	2	2	1	4	1.20
April	Boston Red Sox		2	1	3.08	5	5	26.1	19	9	9	4	12	22	1.18
2026-05-02	Boston Red Sox	Houston Astros	0	1	3.79	1	1	4.0	6	5	5	1	3	3	1.32
2026-05-08	Boston Red Sox	Tampa Bay Rays	1	0	3.16	1	1	7.0	4	0	0	0	1	8	1.22
2026-05-15	Atlanta Braves	Boston Red Sox	0	0	3.21	1	1	5.0	5	2	2	2	0	6	1.20
2026-05-20	Kansas City Royals	Boston Red Sox	1	0	3.33	1	1	6.1	6	3	3	2	1	5	1.19
2026-05-27	Boston Red Sox	Atlanta Braves	1	0	2.95	1	1	7.0	4	0	0	0	3	7	1.16
May	Boston Red Sox		3	1	3.07	5	5	29.1	25	10	10	5	8	29	1.13
2026-06-02	Boston Red Sox	Baltimore Orioles	0	1	3.26	1	1	5.1	6	4	4	2	1	6	1.18
2026-06-08	Tampa Bay Rays	Boston Red Sox	0	1	3.30	1	1	4.2	5	2	2	1	4	6	1.23
June	Boston Red Sox		0	2	5.40	2	2	10.0	11	6	6	3	5	12	1.60

Date	Home Tm	Away Tm	W	L	ERA	G	GS	IP	H	R	ER	HR	BB	SO	WHIP
2025-04-06	Reading Fightin Phils	Portland Sea Dogs	0	0	0.00	1	1	3.2	0	1	0	0	2	7	0.55
2025-04-15	Hartford Yard Goats	Portland Sea Dogs	1	0	1.17	1	0	4.0	2	1	1	0	0	8	0.52
2025-04-20	Hartford Yard Goats	Portland Sea Dogs	0	0	0.84	1	0	3.0	1	0	0	0	1	6	0.56
2025-04-29	New Hampshire Fisher Cats	Portland Sea Dogs	0	0	2.63	1	1	3.0	4	3	3	0	4	1	1.02
April	Portland Sea Dogs		1	0	2.63	4	2	13.2	7	5	4	0	7	22	1.02
2025-05-11	Portland Sea Dogs	Chesapeake Baysox	1	0	2.41	1	0	5.0	3	2	1	0	2	8	1.02
2025-05-18	Somerset Patriots	Portland Sea Dogs	1	0	1.88	1	1	5.1	2	0	0	0	2	8	0.96
2025-05-24	Portland Sea Dogs	Reading Fightin Phils	1	0	1.55	1	1	5.0	1	0	0	0	4	9	0.97
2025-05-30	Altoona Curve	Portland Sea Dogs	0	0	2.14	1	1	4.2	4	3	3	0	3	8	1.04
May	Portland Sea Dogs		3	0	1.80	4	3	20.0	10	5	4	0	11	33	1.05
2025-06-05	Portland Sea Dogs	Hartford Yard Goats	0	0	2.33	1	1	5.0	9	2	2	0	2	3	1.19
2025-06-11	Somerset Patriots	Portland Sea Dogs	1	0	2.27	1	1	5.0	6	3	1	1	1	8	1.21
2025-06-17	Portland Sea Dogs	Akron RubberDucks	0	1	2.17	1	1	6.0	5	1	1	0	0	8	1.17
2025-06-29	Binghamton Rumble Ponies	Portland Sea Dogs	1	0	1.94	1	1	6.0	0	0	0	0	3	7	1.10
June	Portland Sea Dogs		2	1	1.64	4	4	22.0	20	6	4	1	6	26	1.18
2025-07-06	Portland Sea Dogs	New Hampshire Fisher Cats	0	1	2.70	1	1	4.1	9	6	6	1	3	5	1.22
2025-07-12	Portland Sea Dogs	Hartford Yard Goats	1	0	2.59	1	1	6.0	3	1	1	0	2	4	1.18
2025-07-20	Reading Fightin Phils	Portland Sea Dogs	0	0	2.51	1	1	5.2	3	1	1	1	0	6	1.13
July	Portland Sea Dogs		1	1	4.50	3	3	16.0	15	8	8	2	5	15	1.25
2025-08-02	Worcester Red Sox	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	0	0	0.00	1	1	3.2	2	0	0	0	5	2	1.91
2025-08-08	Worcester Red Sox	Buffalo Bisons	1	0	2.08	1	1	5.0	3	2	2	1	1	7	1.27
2025-08-14	Iowa Cubs	Worcester Red Sox	1	0	2.63	1	1	5.0	3	3	2	0	3	5	1.24
2025-08-21	Worcester Red Sox	Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp	0	1	4.08	1	1	4.0	5	5	4	0	1	6	1.30
2025-08-27	Durham Bulls	Worcester Red Sox	1	0	3.18	1	1	5.0	3	3	0	1	1	6	1.19
August	Worcester Red Sox		3	1	3.18	5	5	22.2	16	13	8	2	11	26	1.19
2025-09-02	Worcester Red Sox	Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders	0	0	2.83	1	1	6.0	3	1	1	0	0	10	1.05
September	Worcester Red Sox		0	0	1.50	1	1	6.0	3	1	1	0	0	10	0.50

Statcast Statistics

Season	Age	Pitches	Batted Balls	Barrels	Barrel %	Barrel/PA	Exit Velocity	Max EV	Launch Angle	LA Sweet- Spot %	xBA	xSLG	wOBA	xwOBA	xwOBAcon	HardHit%	K%	BB%	ERA	xERA
2025	23	323	45	2	4.4	2.5	87.9	108.4	16.8	26.7	.200	.284	.239	.240	.344	40.0	36.7	5.1	2.33	2.35
2026	24	1180	198	23	11.6	7.7	90.7	113.3	13.6	35.4	.241	.437	.316	.333	.387	42.9	23.0	9.0	3.30	4.53
Player		1503	243	25	10.3	6.6	90.2	113.3	14.2	33.7	.232	.403	.300	.313	.379	42.4	25.9	8.2
MLB					7.6	4.9	88.6	122.9	12.5	33.3	.243	.408	.315	.316	.369	37.1	22.2	8.4

! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Early relies on 6 pitches.

Four Seamer

(35.7%) ,

Changeup

(20.1%) ,

Sinker

(19.9%) ,

Curveball

(11.3%) ,

Slider

(7.1%) ,

Sweeper

(5.9%) ,

+ If Available Pitches Click to Video.

+ View Connelly Early's Pitches in 3d

+ Similar Pitchers to Connelly Early Based on Velocity and Movement:

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2026 - Ryan Weathers

2026 - Parker Messick

2026 - Payton Tolle

--- Compare All Similar Pitchers

Batted Ball Profile

Season	GB %	AIR %	FB %	LD %	PU %	Pull %	Straight %	Oppo %	Pull GB %	Straight GB %	Oppo GB %	Pull AIR %	Straight AIR %	Oppo AIR %
		AIR: Fly Balls + Line Drives + Popups				All Batted Balls			Batted Ball Breakdown
2025	48.9	51.1	31.1	13.3	6.7	46.7	33.3	20.0	31.1	15.6	2.2	15.6	17.8	17.8
2026	40.9	59.1	32.3	22.2	4.5	42.4	38.4	19.2	23.7	15.7	1.5	18.7	22.7	17.7
Player	42.4	57.6	32.1	20.6	4.9	43.2	37.4	19.3	25.1	15.6	1.6	18.1	21.8	17.7
MLB	44.2	55.8	24.1	24.6	7.1	37.4	37.3	25.1	20.7	17.6	5.9	16.8	19.7	19.3

! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Quality of Contact

Season	Weak %	Topped %	Under %	Flare/Burner %	Solid %	Barrel %	Barrel/PA
2025	6.7	22.2	31.1	31.1	4.4	4.4	2.5
2026	5.1	30.8	25.8	19.2	7.1	11.6	7.7
Player	5.3	29.2	26.7	21.4	6.6	10.3	6.6
MLB	4.0	32.3	24.9	24.4	5.9	7.6	4.9

! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Similar Pitchers to Connelly Early:

2026 - Shota Imanaga

2026 - Grant Holmes

2026 - Roki Sasaki

2026 - Luis Castillo

2026 - Jack Leiter

--- Compare All Similar Pitchers

How this works: This section shows two different ways to evaluate pitch movement. On the left, “Total Movement” shows the real-world movement of a pitch, including the forces of gravity, which affects every pitch thrown. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren't 'better' just because they have more time to move, a pitch's movement is compared to other pitches of the same pitch type, within +/- 2 MPH and +/- 0.5 feet of extension/release. On the right, Induced Movement (or IVB) is reported without gravity, and attempts to isolate movement created by the pitcher's ability to spin and manipulate the ball.

						Total Movement (in inches, w/ gravity)				Induced Movement (in inches, w/o gravity)
Year	Pitch	Team	Hand	#	MPH	Vertical Drop	vs. Comparable	Horizontal Break	vs. Comparable	Vertical Break	vs. Avg	Horizontal Break	vs. Avg
2026	Sinker	BOS	L	235	92.3	24.5	-0.3	18.1ARM	2.5	7.9	-0.5	18.1ARM	2.5
2026	Changeup	BOS	L	237	83.6	41.9	6.9	10.9ARM	-3.6	-2.7	7.2	10.9ARM	-3.1
2026	4-Seam Fastball	BOS	L	421	93.9	15.3	-0.1	10.6ARM	2.5	16.1	0.2	10.6ARM	2.6
2026	Slider	BOS	L	84	86.9	30.1	-4.6	0.1GLV	-4.2	6.1	-4.8	0.1GLV	-4.4
2026	Curveball	BOS	L	133	80.0	52.2	-1.1	9.9GLV	0.0	-9.1	-1.0	9.9GLV	1.6
2026	Sweeper	BOS	L	70	82.2	42.6	3.7	14.0GLV	-0.5	-1.6	2.1	14.0GLV	0.2
2025	Slider	BOS	L	37	86.6	30.1	-4.5	0.6GLV	-3.7	6.5	-4.4	0.6GLV	-3.4
2025	Sinker	BOS	L	42	93.0	23.5	-1.2	18.2ARM	2.5	8.4	-0.9	18.2ARM	2.8
2025	Changeup	BOS	L	63	84.0	40.2	5.4	13.1ARM	-1.5	-1.4	6.6	13.1ARM	-1.1
2025	Sweeper	BOS	L	20	82.9	40.0	1.4	12.6GLV	-1.3	0.3	0.7	12.6GLV	-0.4
2025	4-Seam Fastball	BOS	L	94	94.0	15.9	-0.7	9.5ARM	1.5	15.3	-0.6	9.5ARM	1.4
2025	Curveball	BOS	L	67	80.7	51.9	-0.1	9.6GLV	0.5	-9.6	-0.1	9.6GLV	1.8

! Note: Years are in reverse order.

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Run Values by Pitch Type

Year	Pitch Type	RV/100	Run Value	Pitches	%	PA	BA	SLG	wOBA	Whiff%	K%	PutAway %	xBA	xSLG	xwOBA	Hard Hit %
2026	4-Seam Fastball	0.1	0	421	35.7	94	.207	.451	.322	24.9	27.7	20.3	.212	.485	.337	45.6
2026	Changeup	0.5	1	237	20.1	74	.250	.361	.289	21.7	16.2	14.0	.291	.438	.323	50.0
2026	Sinker	0.9	2	235	19.9	56	.255	.340	.337	15.7	17.9	27.0	.259	.385	.346	35.1
2026	Curveball	-3.2	-4	133	11.3	28	.318	.636	.466	17.9	25.0	12.5	.289	.614	.447	33.3
2026	Slider	-0.4	0	84	7.1	22	.176	.529	.410	25.7	4.5	11.1	.274	.488	.397	47.1
2026	Sweeper	2.4	2	70	5.9	26	.125	.125	.158	42.4	50.0	32.5	.092	.165	.160	25.0
2025	4-Seam Fastball	2.1	2	94	29.1	18	.176	.176	.189	29.3	44.4	29.6	.177	.300	.233	44.4
2025	Curveball	-0.5	0	67	20.7	14	.250	.250	.293	39.4	50.0	25.0	.098	.106	.177	40.0
2025	Changeup	1.6	1	63	19.5	21	.238	.238	.257	23.1	19.0	17.4	.274	.352	.272	41.2
2025	Sinker	3.2	1	42	13.0	10	.300	.300	.270	30.4	20.0	28.6	.213	.259	.204	25.0
2025	Slider	-2.4	-1	37	11.5	7	.600	.800	.636	29.4	0.0	--	.513	.883	.624	60.0
2025	Sweeper	9.9	2	20	6.2	9	.000	.000	.000	83.3	88.9	72.7	.022	.028	.022	0.0

! Note: Years are in reverse order.

! Note: To better align with other values, positive numbers (red) are good, and negative numbers (blue) are poor.

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Spin Direction

Year	Pitch Type	Pitches	MPH	Active Spin %	Total Movement (In.)	Spin-Based	Observed	Deviation
2026	Changeup	212	83.6	82	12.5	9:15	8:15	60
2026	Curveball	133	80.0	68	15.7	4:45	4:45	0
2026	4-Seam Fastball	421	93.9	91	19.0	10:30	10:45	-15
2026	Sinker	235	92.3	91	20.1	10:15	9:45	30
2026	Slider	84	86.9	33	5.2	11:00	12:15	-75
2026	Sweeper	69	82.1	43	15.3	4:15	3:30	45
2025	Changeup	60	84.0	87	14.2	9:30	8:30	60
2025	Curveball	67	80.7	71	15.8	4:45	4:45	0
2025	4-Seam Fastball	94	94.0	87	17.7	10:45	10:45	0
2025	Sinker	42	93.0	91	20.4	10:15	9:45	30
2025	Slider	37	86.6	32	5.8	11:15	12:15	-60
2025	Sweeper	20	82.9	35	13.6	3:30	3:15	15

! Note: Years are in reverse order.

! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.

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Pitcher Arm Angle

! Note: Data is available from 2020 through the present.

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Statcast Pitching Run Value

				Runs
Year	Team	PA	Pitches	Heart	Shadow	Chase	Waste	All
2025		79	323	1	7	0	-2	5
2026		300	1,180	10	8	-10	-8	1
Player		379	1,503	11	15	-11	11	6

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+ Show Leverage-Based Run Value

Statcast Pitching Run Value (Leveraged)

These run values are leveraged, meaning the base/out situation at the time of the event does impact the run value (thus introducing context outside the batter's own contribution).

				Runs
Year	Team	PA	Pitches	Heart	Shadow	Chase	Waste	All	+/- Due To Leverage
2025		79	323	-1	7	0	-2	3	-2
2026		300	1,180	11	11	-8	-7	7	6
Player		379	1,503	9	18	-8	9	10	4

Plate Discipline

Season	Pitches	Zone %	Zone Swing %	Zone Contact %	Chase %	Chase Contact %	Edge %	1st Pitch Strike %	Swing %	Whiff %	Meatball %	Meatball Swing %
2025	323	47.7	66.9	74.8	36.7	51.6	44.3	59.5	51.1	33.9	7.4	70.8
2026	1,180	46.3	63.6	85.0	32.5	63.1	40.7	61.3	46.9	23.1	7.7	76.9
Player	1,503	46.6	64.3	82.7	33.4	60.4	41.5	60.9	47.8	25.6	7.7	75.7
MLB		48.7	67.0	82.6	28.5	58.0	42.7	61.1	47.3	25.0	7.3	76.2

! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Year	Pitching	Fastball	Breaking	Off Speed	xERA	Fastball MPH	Fastball Spin	Curve Spin	Avg EV	Chase%	Whiff%	K%	BB%	Barrel%	Hard- Hit%	GB%	Extension
	Run Value				Pitching
2025						39	42	28									89
2026	46	64	15	73	30	29	47	26	14	72	34	53	43	9	24	41	80

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Expected Home Runs

Adjusted

Year	Avg HR Trot	Actual HR	xHR	HR-xHR	Doubters	Mostly Gone	No Doubters	No Doubter %
2025	--	0	0.8	-1	0	1	0	--
2026	23.98	12	11.1	1	4	6	7	58.3
Player	23.98	12	11.9	0	4	7	7	58.3

Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's batted balls allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.

Standard

Year	Avg HR Trot	Actual HR	xHR	HR-xHR	Doubters	Mostly Gone	No Doubters	No Doubter %
2025	--	0	0.5	-1	0	1	0	--
2026	23.98	12	10.9	1	5	6	6	50.0
Player	23.98	12	11.4	1	5	7	6	50.0

Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's batted balls allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Standard" view here accounts for different wall heights and distances but excludes environmental effects. It is based purely on the observed trajectory of the hit.

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Expected Home Runs by Park

Adjusted

Year	HR
2025	0	1	0	0	0	1	1	1	1	1	1	0	1	1	1	1	1	0	1	1	1	1	1	1	0	0	1	1	1	1	1
2026	12	12	11	8	11	11	11	10	11	11	8	11	10	12	11	13	12	11	11	13	9	12	12	16	9	9	10	12	15	10	12
Player	12	13	11	8	11	12	12	11	12	12	9	11	11	13	12	14	13	11	12	14	10	13	13	17	9	9	11	13	16	11	13

Standard

Year	HR
2025	0	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	1	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	1	1	1	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	1	1	1
2026	12	12	12	11	10	11	12	12	10	10	8	11	12	10	11	9	10	12	11	12	10	14	11	12	11	10	8	7	14	13	12
Player	12	13	12	11	10	11	13	12	11	10	9	11	12	10	12	10	10	12	12	13	11	15	12	13	11	10	8	7	15	14	13

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Year to Year Changes

	2026	+/-		2025
Results
BA	.227	-.003	↓	.230
xBA	.241	+.041	↑	.200
OBP	.311	+.033	↑	.278
xOBP	.324	+.073	↑	.251
SLG	.398	+.155	↑	.243
xSLG	.437	+.153	↑	.284
ISO	.170	+.156	↑	.014
xISO	.195	+.111	↑	.084
BABIP	.259	-.119	↓	.378
wOBA	.316	+.077	↑	.239
xwOBA	.333	+.093	↑	.240
wOBAcon	.362	+.020	↑	.342
xwOBAcon	.387	+.043	↑	.344
BACON	.305	-.073	↓	.378
xBACON	.325	-.004	↓	.329
Statcast Hit Metrics
Hard Hit %	42.9	+2.9	↑	40.0
Avg Exit Velocity	90.7	+2.8	↑	87.9
Launch Angle Sweet-Spot %	35.4	+8.7	↑	26.7
Barrel %	11.6	+7.2	↑	4.4
Avg Launch Angle	13.6	-3.2	↓	16.8
Statcast Bat Tracking
Bat Speed	72.9	+0.4	↑	72.5
Attack Angle	9°	-3°	↓	12°
Ideal Attack Angle %	55.2	+3.8	↑	51.4
Attack Direction	-1°	+5°	↑	-6°
Swing Path - Tilt	32°	-1°	↓	33°
Swing Length	7.4	-0.1	↓	7.5
Statcast Pitch Metrics
Fastball Velocity	93.3	-0.4	↓	93.7
Breaking Velocity	82.5	-0.3	↓	82.8
Offspeed Velocity	83.6	-0.4	↓	84.0
Batted Ball Results
Barrels	23	+21	↑	2
Popup %	4.5	-2.2	↓	6.7
Flyball %	32.3	+1.2	↑	31.1
Line Drive %	22.2	+8.9	↑	13.3
Groundball %	40.9	-8.0	↓	48.9
Pull %	42.4	-4.3	↓	46.7
Straight Away %	38.4	+5.1	↑	33.3
Opposite Field %	19.2	-0.8	↓	20.0
Weak Contact %	5.1	-1.6	↓	6.7
Pull Airball %	18.7	+3.1	↑	15.6
Topped Contact %	30.8	+8.6	↑	22.2
Under Contact %	25.8	-5.3	↓	31.1
Flare/Burner Contact %	19.2	-11.9	↓	31.1
Solid Contact %	7.1	+2.7	↑	4.4
HR/FB %	18.8	+18.8	↑	0.0
Popups	9	+6	↑	3
Flyballs	64	+50	↑	14
Line Drives	44	+38	↑	6
Groundballs	81	+59	↑	22
Plate Discipline
In Zone %	46.3	-1.4	↓	47.7
Out of Zone %	53.7	+1.4	↑	52.3
Edge %	40.7	-3.6	↓	44.3
Zone Swing %	63.6	-3.3	↓	66.9
Out of Zone Swing %	32.5	-4.2	↓	36.7
In Zone Contact %	85.0	+10.2	↑	74.8
Out of Zone Contact %	63.1	+11.5	↑	51.6
Whiff %	23.1	-10.8	↓	33.9
First Strike %	61.3	+1.8	↑	59.5
First Pitch Swing %	30.0	-8.0	↓	38.0
Swing %	46.9	-4.2	↓	51.1
Meatball Swing %	76.9	+6.1	↑	70.8
Meatball %	7.7	+0.3	↑	7.4
Zone Swing & Miss %	15.0	-10.2	↓	25.2
Out of Zone Swing & Miss %	36.9	-11.5	↓	48.4
In Zone	546	+392	↑	154
Out of Zone	634	+465	↑	169
Edge	480	+337	↑	143
In Zone Swings	347	+244	↑	103
Out of Zone Swings	206	+144	↑	62
In Zone Swing & Misses	52	+26	↑	26
Out of Zone Swing & Misses	76	+46	↑	30
Basic
Pitches	1,180	+857	↑	323
PA	300	+221	↑	79
AB	264	+190	↑	74
Hits	60	+43	↑	17
Singles	39	+23	↑	16
Doubles	9	+8	↑	1
Triples	0	0		0
Home Runs	12	+12	↑	0
Walks	27	+23	↑	4
Strikeouts	69	+40	↑	29
K%	23.0	-13.7	↓	36.7
BB%	9.0	+3.9	↑	5.1
HBP	6	+5	↑	1
Batted Balls	198	+153	↑	45
Fastball Percent	55.6	+13.5	↑	42.1
Offspeed Percent	20.1	+0.6	↑	19.5
Breaking Percent	24.3	-14.1	↓	38.4
Number of Fastballs	656	+520	↑	136
Number of Offspeed	237	+174	↑	63
Number of Breaking	287	+163	↑	124

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Statcast Fielder Positioning

				vs RHH			vs LHH
Year	Alignment Type	PA	wOBA	PA	Total	%	PA	Total	%
2025	Shades	79	.239	57	0	0.0	22	13	59.1
2026	Shades	300	.316	225	33	14.7	75	10	13.3

! Note: Shifts are through the 2022 season, Shaded starting from the 2023 season, Shift: three or more infielders are on the same side of second base, Shade: positioned outside of their typical responsible slices of the field.
Learn more about how positioning is defined here

Pitch Tempo

		Bases Empty				Runners On Base
Season	Team	Pitches	Tempo	Fast %	Slow %	Pitches	Tempo	Fast %	Slow %
2025		79	15.7	39.2%	0.0%	52	19.7	1.9%	0.0%
2026		308	15.8	35.7%	0.3%	167	19.5	0.0%	4.8%

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Pitch Distribution

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Statcast Fielding Run Value

			Infield/Outfield				Catching				Innings By Position
Year	Team	Run Value	INF/OF Runs	Range	Arm	Inf. DP	Catching Runs	Framing	Throwing	Blocking	Total Innings	C	1B	2B	3B	SS	LF	CF	RF
2025		--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	19	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--
2026		--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	71	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--
Player		--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	90	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--

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Statcast Fielding Breakdown

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Catch Rate LT:

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Home Runs

Strikeouts

Hit By Pitch

Batting Average

Earned Run Average

Innings Pitched

Wins

Losses

WHIP

EAS Post-Season All-Star

EAS Pitcher of the Week