P | Houston Astros
Bats/Throws: R/R | 6' 2" 220 lbs | Age: 27
Draft: 2019 | Rd. 5, No. 166, Houston Astros | Wayne State
W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2024 11 9 3.49 31 30 0 170 179 1.27
2025 12 9 2.43 31 31 0 185.1 206 1.03
2026 1 0 0.84 2 2 0 10.2 17 1.03
5 Seasons 37 31 3.44 102 94 0 542 602 1.20
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2024 31 11-9 3.49 170 179 1.27
2025 31 12-9 2.43 185.1 206 1.03
2026 2 1-0 0.84 10.2 17 1.03
5 Seasons 102 37-31 3.44 542 602 1.20
MLB Percentile Rankings
Movement Profile (Induced Break)
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Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls
Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity
Max EV Launch
Angle
LA Sweet-
Spot %
xBA xSLG wOBA xwOBA xwOBAcon HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2022 23 309 51 3 5.9 3.8 93.2 109.6 2.9 25.5 .204 .312 .254 .262 .317 47.1 27.5 8.8 0.89 2.75
2023 24 2720 423 46 10.9 6.9 90.8 113.6 6.9 30.0 .235 .416 .340 .318 .394 44.4 26.8 8.3 5.09 4.27
2024 25 2889 468 21 4.5 2.9 86.2 114.0 9.6 28.0 .223 .339 .296 .286 .339 30.3 25.1 8.4 3.49 3.29
2025 26 2962 459 27 5.9 3.7 86.1 114.3 10.1 31.4 .217 .339 .262 .277 .345 32.2 28.3 7.8 2.43 3.14
2026 27 180 20 0 0.0 0.0 85.6 102.8 11.2 30.0 .132 .183 .213 .216 .252 30.0 39.5 14.0 0.84 1.85
Player 9060 1421 97 6.8 4.4 87.8 114.3 8.7 29.6 .223 .358 .295 .291 .355 35.7 27.0 8.3
MLB 7.2 4.9 88.6 122.9 12.4 33.3 .243 .408 .315 .316 .369 37.0 22.2 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Brown relies on 5 pitches.
Four Seamer
(33.3%) ,
Sinker
(30.6%) ,
Knuckle Curve
(22.2%) ,
Slider
(7.2%) ,
Changeup
(6.7%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

AIR: Fly Balls + Line Drives + Popups All Batted Balls Batted Ball Breakdown
Season GB % AIR % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Pull GB % Straight GB % Oppo GB % Pull AIR % Straight AIR % Oppo AIR %
2022 64.7 35.3 13.7 13.7 7.8 37.3 39.2 23.5 29.4 27.5 7.8 7.8 11.8 15.7
2023 52.2 47.8 22.2 20.8 4.7 32.4 39.0 28.6 21.0 23.4 7.8 11.3 15.6 20.8
2024 48.5 51.5 22.0 22.4 7.1 34.2 38.9 26.9 23.5 18.8 6.2 10.7 20.1 20.7
2025 48.1 51.9 23.3 22.2 6.3 37.0 37.5 25.5 23.5 18.3 6.3 13.5 19.2 19.2
2026 50.0 50.0 25.0 20.0 5.0 40.0 30.0 30.0 20.0 15.0 15.0 20.0 15.0 15.0
Player 50.1 49.9 22.2 21.5 6.1 34.8 38.4 26.9 22.9 20.3 6.9 11.8 18.1 20.0
MLB 44.2 55.8 24.1 24.6 7.1 37.4 37.4 25.1 20.7 17.6 5.9 16.7 19.7 19.3
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Quality of Contact

Season Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2022 2.0 47.1 15.7 23.5 5.9 5.9 3.8
2023 1.9 41.4 17.5 24.3 4.0 10.9 6.9
2024 5.1 39.3 21.4 23.3 6.4 4.5 2.9
2025 6.3 34.6 23.1 24.8 5.0 5.9 3.7
2026 10.0 40.0 30.0 15.0 5.0 0.0 0.0
Player 4.5 38.7 20.7 24.0 5.2 6.8 4.4
MLB 4.0 32.4 24.9 24.4 5.9 7.2 4.9
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement


How this works: This section shows two different ways to evaluate pitch movement. On the left, “Total Movement” shows the real-world movement of a pitch, including the forces of gravity, which affects every pitch thrown. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren't 'better' just because they have more time to move, a pitch's movement is compared to other pitches of the same pitch type, within +/- 2 MPH and +/- 0.5 feet of extension/release. On the right, Induced Movement (or IVB) is reported without gravity, and attempts to isolate movement created by the pitcher's ability to spin and manipulate the ball.
Total Movement (in inches, w/ gravity)Induced Movement (in inches, w/o gravity)
YearPitchTeamHand#MPHVertical
Drop
vs.
Comparable
Horizontal
Break
vs.
Comparable
Vertical
Break
vs. AvgHorizontal
Break
vs. Avg
2026 Slider HOU R 13 90.0 30.9 -0.5 3.9GLV 0.3 3.0 -1.7 3.9GLV -0.2
2026 Sinker HOU R 55 95.8 17.3 -2.9 15.0ARM -0.2 12.8 -5.1 15.0ARM -0.5
2026 4-Seam Fastball HOU R 60 96.2 12.0 0.7 7.9ARM 1.3 17.8 1.6 7.9ARM 0.2
2026 Changeup HOU R 12 87.8 28.0 -3.3 15.3ARM 1.3 7.6 -3.8 15.3ARM 0.6
2026 Curveball HOU R 40 83.5 56.1 6.3 5.9GLV -1.1 -16.2 5.8 5.9GLV -3.2
2025 Cutter HOU R 42 93.4 20.8 0.8 3.0GLV 1.2 10.6 2.3 3.0GLV 0.8
2025 Sinker HOU R 672 95.7 16.9 -3.9 13.9ARM -0.8 13.2 -5.8 13.9ARM -1.2
2025 Changeup HOU R 356 88.2 27.3 -3.5 14.4ARM 0.0 7.9 -3.8 14.4ARM -0.1
2025 4-Seam Fastball HOU R 1110 96.6 12.2 0.8 6.8ARM 0.0 17.3 1.5 6.8ARM -0.8
2025 Slider HOU R 252 91.4 27.1 -2.0 3.7GLV 0.4 5.7 -3.9 3.7GLV -0.7
2025 Curveball HOU R 530 83.5 55.7 5.7 5.1GLV -1.6 -15.9 5.7 5.1GLV -3.9
! Note: Years are in reverse order.

Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2026 4-Seam Fastball 2.0 1 60 33.3 12 .091 .182 .163 21.7 41.7 29.4 .133 .234 .203 50.0
2026 Sinker 1.6 1 55 30.6 13 .200 .200 .300 10.0 23.1 37.5 .163 .191 .278 28.6
2026 Curveball 3.3 1 40 22.2 13 .083 .083 .123 38.9 61.5 36.4 .103 .130 .147 25.0
2026 Slider -0.6 0 13 7.2 3 .333 .333 .300 20.0 33.3 16.7 .130 .177 .137 0.0
2026 Changeup 1.8 0 12 6.7 2 .000 .000 .350 57.1 0.0 0.0 .146 .217 .429 0.0
2025 4-Seam Fastball 1.5 16 1,110 37.5 221 .178 .264 .247 29.8 37.1 22.7 .183 .300 .256 42.2
2025 Sinker 0.9 6 672 22.7 181 .268 .369 .334 17.7 12.7 19.3 .253 .336 .310 19.9
2025 Curveball 1.7 9 530 17.9 140 .150 .218 .188 39.2 42.1 28.8 .203 .302 .238 44.0
2025 Changeup 0.6 2 356 12.0 95 .186 .349 .274 27.2 21.1 18.2 .211 .333 .278 22.7
2025 Slider 1.2 3 252 8.5 81 .188 .338 .229 27.7 25.9 28.0 .247 .432 .293 33.9
2025 Cutter -16.0 -7 42 1.4 9 .714 2.000 1.022 23.5 0.0 0.0 .429 1.262 .695 57.1
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: To better align with other values, positive numbers (red) are good, and negative numbers (blue) are poor.

Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2026 Changeup 12 87.8 94 17.3 1:30 2:15 -45
2026 4-Seam Fastball 59 96.2 93 19.2 1:00 12:45 15
2026 Knuckle Curve 39 83.5 83 20.3 6:45 6:30 15
2026 Sinker 54 95.8 86 19.9 1:00 1:45 -45
2026 Slider 13 90.0 33 4.6 11:15 9:45 90
2025 Changeup 356 88.2 97 16.6 1:45 2:15 -30
2025 Cutter 42 93.4 59 10.3 12:00 11:15 45
2025 4-Seam Fastball 1,110 96.6 95 18.2 12:45 12:45 0
2025 Knuckle Curve 529 83.5 81 19.6 6:45 6:30 15
2025 Sinker 671 95.7 88 19.2 1:00 1:45 -45
2025 Slider 252 91.4 45 6.2 12:00 10:45 75
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Pitcher Arm Angle

! Note: Data is available from 2020 through the present.
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Statcast Pitching Run Value

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2022 80 309 4 6 -3 -1 6
2023 664 2,720 4 11 -17 -10 -12
2024 712 2,889 18 26 -21 -10 13
2025 727 2,962 28 31 -19 -10 30
2026 43 180 5 1 -2 0 4
Player 2,226 9,060 58 76 -62 58 41
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2022 309 51.8 60.6 88.7 28.9 51.2 41.7 63.7 45.3 22.9 8.1 76.0
2023 2,720 49.9 65.3 85.2 27.5 51.5 41.9 58.3 46.4 24.8 7.7 74.3
2024 2,889 49.2 66.0 81.3 27.4 60.0 42.2 60.3 46.3 25.1 7.6 70.0
2025 2,962 46.9 62.2 80.7 29.4 56.3 44.7 55.8 44.8 27.8 6.8 69.7
2026 180 51.7 57.0 83.0 23.0 50.0 36.1 55.8 40.6 26.0 8.9 62.5
Player 9,060 48.8 64.2 82.6 28.1 55.8 42.8 58.3 45.7 25.8 7.4 71.3
MLB 48.8 67.0 82.6 28.4 58.0 42.7 61.1 47.3 25.0 7.4 76.3
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Run Value Pitching
Year Pitching Fastball Breaking Off
Speed
xERA Fastball
MPH
Fastball
Spin
Curve
Spin
Avg
EV
Chase% Whiff% K% BB% Barrel% Hard-
Hit%
GB% Extension
2022 88 60 45 71
2023 12 27 6 49 46 79 53 48 8 32 40 75 50 9 13 87 78
2024 86 88 47 83 79 78 50 44 95 34 46 67 44 93 97 81 64
2025 98 93 97 73 85 80 36 52 97 63 71 85 53 85 97 77 73
2026 95 90 86 58 93 72 50 81 17 51 94 26 76 74 65 75
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Expected Home Runs

Adjusted

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2022 -- 0 0.9 -1 2 1 0 --
2023 24.67 27 22.7 4 8 18 10 37.0
2024 23.89 19 16.4 3 8 10 7 36.8
2025 24.98 17 15.6 1 7 14 5 29.4
Player 24.51 63 55.5 8 25 43 22 34.9
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's batted balls allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Expected Home Runs by Park

Adjusted

Year HR
2022 0 2 1 1 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 3 1 1 1 1 2 1 1 1 0 2 1 1 0 1 1 2 0 0
2023 27 22 16 21 24 25 27 18 20 16 23 23 23 20 26 27 26 19 28 27 22 24 31 29 21 17 22 23 23 21 16
2024 19 15 18 16 16 16 17 17 14 15 16 19 19 16 15 16 16 14 18 17 18 15 19 20 15 15 17 16 17 16 13
2025 17 16 13 15 17 17 14 14 11 13 13 18 19 20 15 15 17 14 16 20 16 13 19 18 16 14 12 18 18 14 13
Player 63 55 48 53 57 58 59 50 45 44 52 60 64 57 57 59 60 49 63 65 57 52 71 68 53 46 52 58 60 51 42
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's batted balls allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Year to Year Changes

2026 +/-   2025 +/-   2024 +/-   2023 +/-   2022
Results
BA .135 -.066 .201 -.041 .242 -.020 .262 +.057 .205
xBA .132 -.085 .217 -.006 .223 -.012 .235 +.031 .204
OBP .256 -.015 .271 -.039 .310 -.022 .332 +.057 .275
xOBP .253 -.033 .286 -.009 .295 -.014 .309 +.036 .273
SLG .162 -.156 .318 -.039 .357 -.099 .456 +.168 .288
xSLG .183 -.156 .339 .000 .339 -.077 .416 +.104 .312
ISO .027 -.089 .116 +.001 .115 -.079 .194 +.112 .082
xISO .052 -.070 .122 +.007 .115 -.066 .181 +.072 .109
BABIP .250 -.014 .264 -.043 .307 -.023 .330 +.036 .294
wOBA .213 -.049 .262 -.034 .296 -.044 .340 +.086 .254
xwOBA .216 -.061 .277 -.009 .286 -.032 .318 +.056 .262
wOBAcon .246 -.075 .321 -.034 .355 -.074 .429 +.125 .304
xwOBAcon .252 -.093 .345 +.006 .339 -.055 .394 +.077 .317
BACON .250 -.041 .291 -.042 .333 -.038 .371 +.077 .294
xBACON .244 -.071 .315 +.005 .310 -.025 .335 +.044 .291
Statcast Hit Metrics
Hard Hit % 30.0 -2.2 32.2 +1.9 30.3 -14.1 44.4 -2.7 47.1
Avg Exit Velocity 85.6 -0.5 86.1 -0.1 86.2 -4.6 90.8 -2.4 93.2
Launch Angle Sweet-Spot % 30.0 -1.4 31.4 +3.4 28.0 -2.0 30.0 +4.5 25.5
Barrel % 0.0 -5.9 5.9 +1.4 4.5 -6.4 10.9 +5.0 5.9
Avg Launch Angle 11.2 +1.1 10.1 +0.5 9.6 +2.7 6.9 +4.0 2.9
Statcast Bat Tracking
Bat Speed 72.4 +0.6 71.8 +0.4 71.4 +0.4 71.0 -- --
Attack Angle +2° -1° -- --
Ideal Attack Angle % 46.8 -1.8 48.6 -0.5 49.1 -3.4 52.5 -- --
Attack Direction -1° -1° -- --
Swing Path - Tilt 31° 31° 32° -1° 32° -- --
Swing Length 7.2 +0.1 7.1 +0.1 7.0 0.0 7.0 -- --
Statcast Pitch Metrics
Fastball Velocity 96.0 -0.2 96.2 +1.1 95.1 +0.7 94.4 -1.5 95.9
Breaking Velocity 85.1 -1.0 86.1 +0.7 85.4 +2.4 83.0 -0.3 83.3
Offspeed Velocity 87.8 -0.4 88.2 -0.2 88.4 +0.2 88.2 -1.0 89.2
Batted Ball Results
Barrels 0 -27 27 +6 21 -25 46 +43 3
Popup % 5.0 -1.3 6.3 -0.8 7.1 +2.4 4.7 -3.1 7.8
Flyball % 25.0 +1.7 23.3 +1.3 22.0 -0.2 22.2 +8.5 13.7
Line Drive % 20.0 -2.2 22.2 -0.2 22.4 +1.6 20.8 +7.1 13.7
Groundball % 50.0 +1.9 48.1 -0.4 48.5 -3.7 52.2 -12.5 64.7
Pull % 40.0 +3.0 37.0 +2.8 34.2 +1.8 32.4 -4.9 37.3
Straight Away % 30.0 -7.5 37.5 -1.4 38.9 -0.1 39.0 -0.2 39.2
Opposite Field % 30.0 +4.5 25.5 -1.4 26.9 -1.7 28.6 +5.1 23.5
Weak Contact % 10.0 +3.7 6.3 +1.2 5.1 +3.2 1.9 -0.1 2.0
Pull Airball % 20.0 +6.5 13.5 +2.8 10.7 -0.6 11.3 +3.5 7.8
Topped Contact % 40.0 +5.4 34.6 -4.7 39.3 -2.1 41.4 -5.7 47.1
Under Contact % 30.0 +6.9 23.1 +1.7 21.4 +3.9 17.5 +1.8 15.7
Flare/Burner Contact % 15.0 -9.8 24.8 +1.5 23.3 -1.0 24.3 +0.8 23.5
Solid Contact % 5.0 0.0 5.0 -1.4 6.4 +2.4 4.0 -1.9 5.9
HR/FB % 0.0 -15.9 15.9 -1.6 17.5 -10.2 27.7 +27.7 0.0
Popups 1 -28 29 -4 33 +13 20 +16 4
Flyballs 5 -102 107 +4 103 +9 94 +87 7
Line Drives 4 -98 102 -3 105 +17 88 +81 7
Groundballs 10 -211 221 -6 227 +6 221 +188 33
Plate Discipline
In Zone % 51.7 +4.8 46.9 -2.3 49.2 -0.7 49.9 -1.9 51.8
Out of Zone % 48.3 -4.8 53.1 +2.3 50.8 +0.7 50.1 +1.9 48.2
Edge % 36.1 -8.6 44.7 +2.5 42.2 +0.3 41.9 +0.2 41.7
Zone Swing % 57.0 -5.2 62.2 -3.8 66.0 +0.7 65.3 +4.7 60.6
Out of Zone Swing % 23.0 -6.4 29.4 +2.0 27.4 -0.1 27.5 -1.4 28.9
In Zone Contact % 83.0 +2.3 80.7 -0.6 81.3 -3.9 85.2 -3.5 88.7
Out of Zone Contact % 50.0 -6.3 56.3 -3.7 60.0 +8.5 51.5 +0.3 51.2
Whiff % 26.0 -1.8 27.8 +2.7 25.1 +0.3 24.8 +1.9 22.9
First Strike % 55.8 0.0 55.8 -4.5 60.3 +2.0 58.3 -5.4 63.7
First Pitch Swing % 30.2 +3.2 27.0 -3.2 30.2 -1.7 31.9 +4.4 27.5
Swing % 40.6 -4.2 44.8 -1.5 46.3 -0.1 46.4 +1.1 45.3
Meatball Swing % 62.5 -7.2 69.7 -0.3 70.0 -4.3 74.3 -1.7 76.0
Meatball % 8.9 +2.1 6.8 -0.8 7.6 -0.1 7.7 -0.4 8.1
Zone Swing & Miss % 17.0 -2.3 19.3 +0.6 18.7 +3.9 14.8 +3.5 11.3
Out of Zone Swing & Miss % 50.0 +6.3 43.7 +3.7 40.0 -8.5 48.5 -0.3 48.8
In Zone 93 -1,297 1,390 -30 1,420 +62 1,358 +1,198 160
Out of Zone 87 -1,485 1,572 +103 1,469 +107 1,362 +1,213 149
Edge 65 -1,258 1,323 +105 1,218 +78 1,140 +1,011 129
In Zone Swings 53 -811 864 -73 937 +50 887 +790 97
Out of Zone Swings 20 -442 462 +60 402 +27 375 +332 43
In Zone Swing & Misses 9 -158 167 -8 175 +44 131 +120 11
Out of Zone Swing & Misses 10 -192 202 +41 161 -21 182 +161 21
Basic
Pitches 180 -2,782 2,962 +73 2,889 +169 2,720 +2,411 309
PA 43 -686 729 +17 712 +47 665 +585 80
AB 37 -624 661 +16 645 +46 599 +526 73
Hits 5 -128 133 -23 156 -1 157 +142 15
Singles 4 -89 93 -27 120 +25 95 +85 10
Doubles 1 -19 20 +4 16 -18 34 +30 4
Triples 0 -3 3 +1 2 0 2 +1 1
Home Runs 0 -17 17 -1 18 -8 26 +26 0
Walks 6 -51 57 -3 60 +5 55 +48 7
Strikeouts 17 -189 206 +27 179 +1 178 +156 22
K% 39.5 +11.2 28.3 +3.2 25.1 -1.7 26.8 -0.7 27.5
BB% 14.0 +6.2 7.8 -0.6 8.4 +0.1 8.3 -0.5 8.8
HBP 0 -7 7 +2 5 -4 9 +9 0
Batted Balls 20 -439 459 -9 468 +45 423 +372 51
Number of Fastballs 115 -1,709 1,824 -144 1,968 +69 1,899 +1,694 205
Number of Offspeed 12 -344 356 -6 362 +232 130 +123 7
Number of Breaking 53 -729 782 +223 559 -89 648 +551 97
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Statcast Fielder Positioning

vs RHHvs LHH
YearAlignment TypePAwOBAPATotal%PATotal%
2022 Shifts 80 .254 31 3 9.7 49 40 81.6
2023 Shades 664 .341 355 16 4.5 309 182 58.9
2024 Shades 712 .296 333 104 31.2 379 196 51.7
2025 Shades 727 .262 351 26 7.4 376 218 58.0
2026 Shades 39 .217 23 3 13.0 16 12 75.0
! Note: Shifts are through the 2022 season, Shaded starting from the 2023 season, Shift: three or more infielders are on the same side of second base, Shade: positioned outside of their typical responsible slices of the field.
Learn more about how positioning is defined here

Pitch Tempo

Bases EmptyRunners On Base
SeasonTeamPitchesTempoFast %Slow %PitchesTempoFast %Slow %
2022 101 20.1 9.9% 3.0% 41 24.9 0.0% 9.8%
2023 834 16.2 31.7% 0.5% 384 19.5 2.6% 0.8%
2024 830 17.6 19.6% 0.8% 464 18.8 3.4% 0.4%
2025 939 17.9 18.0% 0.3% 385 19.6 2.1% 1.0%
2026 58 17.8 12.1% 1.7% 27 20.5 0.0% 3.7%

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Pitch Distribution