P | Houston Astros
Bats/Throws: R/R | 6' 2" 220 lbs | Age: 28
Draft: 2019 | Rd. 5, No. 166, Houston Astros | Wayne State
W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2024 11 9 3.49 31 30 0 170 179 1.27
2025 12 9 2.43 31 31 0 185.1 206 1.03
2026 6 3 3.43 18 18 0 97 110 1.29
5 Seasons 42 34 3.48 118 110 0 628.1 695 1.22
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2024 31 11-9 3.49 170 179 1.27
2025 31 12-9 2.43 185.1 206 1.03
2026 18 6-3 3.43 97 110 1.29
5 Seasons 118 42-34 3.48 628.1 695 1.22
MLB Percentile Rankings
Movement Profile (Induced Break)
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Statcast Statistics

Season Age Team Pitches Batted
Balls
Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity
Max EV Launch
Angle
LA Sweet-
Spot %
xBA xSLG wOBA xwOBA xwOBAcon HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2022 23 309 51 3 5.9 3.8 93.2 109.6 2.9 25.5 .203 .312 .254 .262 .316 47.1 27.5 8.8 0.89 2.75
2023 24 2720 423 46 10.9 6.9 90.8 113.6 6.9 30.0 .235 .417 .340 .318 .393 44.4 26.8 8.3 5.09 4.27
2024 25 2889 468 21 4.5 2.9 86.2 114.0 9.6 28.0 .223 .338 .296 .286 .339 30.3 25.1 8.4 3.49 3.29
2025 26 2962 459 27 5.9 3.7 86.1 114.3 10.1 31.4 .217 .339 .262 .277 .345 32.2 28.3 7.8 2.43 3.14
2026 27 1683 243 15 6.2 3.7 86.4 112.0 5.4 28.0 .198 .316 .299 .282 .319 37.0 27.1 12.1 3.43 3.31
Player 10563 1644 112 6.8 4.3 87.6 114.3 8.2 29.4 .220 .354 .297 .291 .351 36.0 26.8 8.8
MLB 7.6 4.9 88.6 122.9 12.6 33.3 .244 .407 .316 .316 .368 37.1 22.2 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Brown relies on 5 pitches.
Four Seamer
(31.3%) ,
Sinker
(29.9%) ,
Knuckle Curve
(19.6%) ,
Slider
(9.9%) ,
Changeup
(9.2%) ,


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+ If Available Pitches Click to Video.


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

AIR: Fly Balls + Line Drives + Popups All Batted Balls Batted Ball Breakdown
Season GB % AIR % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Pull GB % Straight GB % Oppo GB % Pull AIR % Straight AIR % Oppo AIR %
2022 64.7 35.3 13.7 13.7 7.8 37.3 39.2 23.5 29.4 27.5 7.8 7.8 11.8 15.7
2023 52.2 47.8 22.2 20.8 4.7 32.4 39.0 28.6 21.0 23.4 7.8 11.3 15.6 20.8
2024 48.5 51.5 22.0 22.4 7.1 34.2 38.9 26.9 23.5 18.8 6.2 10.7 20.1 20.7
2025 48.1 51.9 23.3 22.2 6.3 37.0 37.5 25.5 23.5 18.3 6.3 13.5 19.2 19.2
2026 56.0 44.0 23.0 16.0 4.9 37.4 38.7 23.9 25.5 21.8 8.6 11.9 16.9 15.2
Player 51.0 49.0 22.3 20.7 6.0 35.1 38.5 26.4 23.4 20.6 7.1 11.7 17.9 19.3
MLB 44.1 55.9 24.3 24.6 7.1 37.5 37.3 25.0 20.7 17.5 5.8 16.9 19.8 19.2
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Quality of Contact

Season Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2022 2.0 47.1 15.7 23.5 5.9 5.9 3.8
2023 1.9 41.4 17.5 24.3 4.0 10.9 6.9
2024 5.1 39.3 21.4 23.3 6.4 4.5 2.9
2025 6.3 34.6 23.1 24.8 5.0 5.9 3.7
2026 7.0 42.8 19.3 18.9 5.8 6.2 3.7
Player 4.8 39.3 20.4 23.4 5.3 6.8 4.3
MLB 4.1 32.2 25.0 24.4 5.9 7.6 4.9
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement


How this works: This section shows two different ways to evaluate pitch movement. On the left, “Total Movement” shows the real-world movement of a pitch, including the forces of gravity, which affects every pitch thrown. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren't 'better' just because they have more time to move, a pitch's movement is compared to other pitches of the same pitch type, within +/- 2 MPH and +/- 0.5 feet of extension/release. On the right, Induced Movement (or IVB) is reported without gravity, and attempts to isolate movement created by the pitcher's ability to spin and manipulate the ball.
Total Movement (in inches, w/ gravity)Induced Movement (in inches, w/o gravity)
SeasonPitchTeamHand#MPHVertical
Drop
vs.
Comparable
Horizontal
Break
vs.
Comparable
Vertical
Break
vs. AvgHorizontal
Break
vs. Avg
2026 Changeup R 155 87.5 30.7 -1.0 13.2ARM -0.6 5.0 -1.2 13.2ARM -1.0
2026 Slider R 167 90.9 27.8 -2.6 3.6GLV 0.3 5.3 -3.9 3.6GLV 0.0
2026 4-Seam Fastball R 527 96.2 13.0 0.3 8.0ARM 1.2 16.7 1.1 8.0ARM 0.2
2026 Sinker R 504 96.0 18.8 -1.5 15.2ARM 0.4 11.0 -3.5 15.2ARM 0.2
2026 Curveball R 330 83.5 55.9 6.1 5.9GLV -1.1 -16.2 6.0 5.9GLV -3.1
2025 4-Seam Fastball R 1110 96.6 12.2 0.8 6.8ARM 0.0 17.3 1.5 6.8ARM -0.8
2025 Slider R 252 91.4 27.1 -1.9 3.7GLV 0.4 5.7 -3.9 3.7GLV -0.5
2025 Curveball R 530 83.5 55.7 5.6 5.1GLV -1.6 -15.9 5.7 5.1GLV -3.9
2025 Changeup R 356 88.2 27.3 -3.5 14.4ARM 0.0 7.9 -3.8 14.4ARM -0.1
2025 Cutter R 42 93.4 20.8 0.8 3.0GLV 1.2 10.6 2.3 3.0GLV 0.8
2025 Sinker R 672 95.7 16.9 -3.8 13.9ARM -0.8 13.2 -5.8 13.9ARM -1.2
! Note: Seasons are in reverse order.

Run Values by Pitch Type

Season Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2026 4-Seam Fastball 0.8 4 527 31.3 99 .151 .279 .253 23.4 34.3 22.1 .138 .234 .223 49.1
2026 Sinker 1.4 7 504 29.9 131 .196 .327 .325 21.1 18.3 20.7 .198 .311 .306 26.5
2026 Curveball -0.5 -2 330 19.6 95 .244 .300 .264 35.7 38.9 24.7 .207 .304 .246 45.3
2026 Slider -1.9 -3 167 9.9 46 .268 .415 .359 23.8 21.7 17.9 .236 .371 .307 29.0
2026 Changeup -1.9 -3 155 9.2 35 .321 .571 .443 38.5 14.3 15.6 .295 .549 .426 39.1
2025 4-Seam Fastball 1.5 16 1,110 37.5 221 .178 .264 .247 29.8 37.1 22.7 .183 .300 .256 42.2
2025 Sinker 0.9 6 672 22.7 181 .268 .369 .334 17.7 12.7 19.3 .252 .336 .310 19.9
2025 Curveball 1.7 9 530 17.9 140 .150 .218 .188 39.2 42.1 28.8 .203 .301 .237 44.0
2025 Changeup 0.6 2 356 12.0 95 .186 .349 .274 27.2 21.1 18.2 .211 .333 .278 22.7
2025 Slider 1.2 3 252 8.5 81 .188 .338 .229 27.7 25.9 28.0 .247 .432 .292 33.9
2025 Cutter -16.0 -7 42 1.4 9 .714 2.000 1.022 23.5 0.0 0.0 .429 1.262 .695 57.1
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: To better align with other values, positive numbers (red) are good, and negative numbers (blue) are poor.

Spin Direction

Season Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2026 Changeup 148 87.5 91 14.4 1:45 2:30 -45
2026 4-Seam Fastball 526 96.2 95 18.2 1:00 1:00 0
2026 Knuckle Curve 329 83.5 84 20.1 6:45 6:30 15
2026 Sinker 503 96.0 88 19.0 1:00 2:00 -60
2026 Slider 167 90.9 38 5.9 12:00 10:30 90
2025 Changeup 356 88.2 97 16.6 1:45 2:15 -30
2025 Cutter 42 93.4 59 10.3 12:00 11:15 45
2025 4-Seam Fastball 1,110 96.6 95 18.2 12:45 12:45 0
2025 Knuckle Curve 529 83.5 81 19.6 6:45 6:30 15
2025 Sinker 671 95.7 88 19.2 1:00 1:45 -45
2025 Slider 252 91.4 45 6.2 12:00 10:45 75
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Pitcher Arm Angle

! Note: Data is available from 2020 through the present.
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Statcast Pitching Run Value

Runs
Season Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2022 80 309 4 6 -3 -1 6
2023 664 2,720 4 11 -17 -10 -12
2024 712 2,889 18 26 -21 -10 13
2025 727 2,962 28 31 -19 -10 30
2026 406 1,683 15 9 -12 -9 4
Player 2,589 10,563 69 84 -71 69 41
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2022 309 51.8 60.6 88.7 28.9 51.2 41.7 63.7 45.3 22.9 8.1 76.0
2023 2,720 49.9 65.3 85.2 27.6 51.6 41.9 58.3 46.4 24.8 7.7 74.3
2024 2,889 49.1 66.1 81.3 27.3 60.0 42.2 60.3 46.3 25.1 7.6 70.0
2025 2,962 46.9 62.1 80.6 29.4 56.4 44.7 55.8 44.8 27.8 6.8 69.7
2026 1,683 45.0 59.8 83.0 27.4 56.1 40.4 56.2 41.9 26.6 5.6 74.5
Player 10,563 48.1 63.7 82.7 28.0 56.0 42.5 58.0 45.2 25.9 7.1 71.9
MLB 48.7 67.0 82.7 28.6 57.9 42.6 61.2 47.3 25.0 7.3 76.2
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Run Value Pitching
Season Pitching Fastball Breaking Off
Speed
xERA Fastball
MPH
Fastball
Spin
Curve
Spin
Avg
EV
Chase% Whiff% K% BB% Barrel% Hard-
Hit%
GB% Extension
2022 88 60 45 71
2023 12 28 6 49 46 79 53 48 8 33 40 75 50 9 13 87 78
2024 86 88 47 83 79 78 50 44 95 32 46 67 44 93 97 81 64
2025 98 94 97 72 85 80 36 52 97 63 71 85 53 85 97 77 73
2026 57 89 18 17 81 77 29 44 93 16 61 82 11 73 61 96 78
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Expected Home Runs

Adjusted

Season Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2022 -- 0 0.9 -1 2 1 0 --
2023 24.67 27 22.7 4 8 18 10 37.0
2024 23.89 19 16.4 3 8 10 7 36.8
2025 24.98 17 16.1 1 6 15 5 29.4
2026 26.17 11 9.8 1 5 4 6 54.5
Player 24.76 74 65.8 8 29 48 28 37.8
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's batted balls allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Expected Home Runs by Park

Adjusted

Season HR
2022 0 2 1 1 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 3 1 1 1 1 2 1 1 1 0 2 1 1 0 1 1 2 0 0
2023 27 22 16 21 24 25 27 18 20 16 23 23 23 20 26 27 26 19 28 27 22 24 31 29 21 17 22 23 23 21 16
2024 19 15 18 16 16 16 17 17 14 15 16 19 19 16 15 16 16 14 18 17 18 15 19 20 15 15 17 16 17 16 13
2025 17 17 13 16 17 18 14 14 12 13 13 19 20 21 16 15 18 14 16 21 16 13 20 19 16 14 13 19 18 14 13
2026 11 12 8 10 10 9 10 9 11 10 8 10 9 11 10 10 10 8 10 13 9 12 11 12 8 9 9 10 11 8 8
Player 74 68 56 64 67 68 69 59 57 54 60 71 74 69 68 69 71 57 73 79 66 64 83 81 61 55 62 69 71 59 50
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's batted balls allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Year to Year Changes

2026 +/-   2025 +/-   2024 +/-   2023 +/-   2022
Results
BA .216 +.015 .201 -.041 .242 -.020 .262 +.057 .205
xBA .198 -.019 .217 -.006 .223 -.012 .235 +.032 .203
OBP .318 +.047 .271 -.039 .310 -.022 .332 +.057 .275
xOBP .302 +.017 .285 -.010 .295 -.014 .309 +.036 .273
SLG .338 +.020 .318 -.039 .357 -.099 .456 +.168 .288
xSLG .316 -.023 .339 +.001 .338 -.079 .417 +.105 .312
ISO .122 +.006 .116 +.001 .115 -.079 .194 +.112 .082
xISO .118 -.004 .122 +.007 .115 -.067 .182 +.073 .109
BABIP .280 +.016 .264 -.043 .307 -.023 .330 +.036 .294
wOBA .299 +.037 .262 -.034 .296 -.044 .340 +.086 .254
xwOBA .282 +.005 .277 -.009 .286 -.032 .318 +.056 .262
wOBAcon .346 +.025 .321 -.034 .355 -.074 .429 +.125 .304
xwOBAcon .319 -.026 .345 +.006 .339 -.054 .393 +.077 .316
BACON .313 +.022 .291 -.042 .333 -.038 .371 +.077 .294
xBACON .287 -.028 .315 +.006 .309 -.025 .334 +.043 .291
Statcast Hit Metrics
Hard Hit % 37.0 +4.8 32.2 +1.9 30.3 -14.1 44.4 -2.7 47.1
Avg Exit Velocity 86.4 +0.3 86.1 -0.1 86.2 -4.6 90.8 -2.4 93.2
Launch Angle Sweet-Spot % 28.0 -3.4 31.4 +3.4 28.0 -2.0 30.0 +4.5 25.5
Barrel % 6.2 +0.3 5.9 +1.4 4.5 -6.4 10.9 +5.0 5.9
Avg Launch Angle 5.4 -4.7 10.1 +0.5 9.6 +2.7 6.9 +4.0 2.9
Statcast Bat Tracking
Bat Speed 71.5 -0.2 71.7 +0.4 71.3 +0.5 70.8 -- --
Attack Angle -1° -- --
Ideal Attack Angle % 48.3 -0.1 48.4 -0.4 48.8 -2.8 51.6 -- --
Attack Direction +1° -1° -- --
Swing Path - Tilt 32° 31° 32° -1° 32° -- --
Swing Length 7.1 0.0 7.1 +0.1 7.0 0.0 7.0 -- --
Statcast Pitch Metrics
Fastball Velocity 96.1 -0.1 96.2 +1.1 95.1 +0.7 94.4 -1.5 95.9
Breaking Velocity 86.0 -0.1 86.1 +0.7 85.4 +2.4 83.0 -0.3 83.3
Offspeed Velocity 87.5 -0.7 88.2 -0.2 88.4 +0.2 88.2 -1.0 89.2
Batted Ball Results
Barrels 15 -12 27 +6 21 -25 46 +43 3
Popup % 4.9 -1.4 6.3 -0.8 7.1 +2.4 4.7 -3.1 7.8
Flyball % 23.0 -0.3 23.3 +1.3 22.0 -0.2 22.2 +8.5 13.7
Line Drive % 16.0 -6.2 22.2 -0.2 22.4 +1.6 20.8 +7.1 13.7
Groundball % 56.0 +7.9 48.1 -0.4 48.5 -3.7 52.2 -12.5 64.7
Pull % 37.4 +0.4 37.0 +2.8 34.2 +1.8 32.4 -4.9 37.3
Straight Away % 38.7 +1.2 37.5 -1.4 38.9 -0.1 39.0 -0.2 39.2
Opposite Field % 23.9 -1.6 25.5 -1.4 26.9 -1.7 28.6 +5.1 23.5
Weak Contact % 7.0 +0.7 6.3 +1.2 5.1 +3.2 1.9 -0.1 2.0
Pull Airball % 11.9 -1.6 13.5 +2.8 10.7 -0.6 11.3 +3.5 7.8
Topped Contact % 42.8 +8.2 34.6 -4.7 39.3 -2.1 41.4 -5.7 47.1
Under Contact % 19.3 -3.8 23.1 +1.7 21.4 +3.9 17.5 +1.8 15.7
Flare/Burner Contact % 18.9 -5.9 24.8 +1.5 23.3 -1.0 24.3 +0.8 23.5
Solid Contact % 5.8 +0.8 5.0 -1.4 6.4 +2.4 4.0 -1.9 5.9
HR/FB % 19.6 +3.7 15.9 -1.6 17.5 -10.2 27.7 +27.7 0.0
Popups 12 -17 29 -4 33 +13 20 +16 4
Flyballs 56 -51 107 +4 103 +9 94 +87 7
Line Drives 39 -63 102 -3 105 +17 88 +81 7
Groundballs 136 -85 221 -6 227 +6 221 +188 33
Plate Discipline
In Zone % 45.0 -1.9 46.9 -2.2 49.1 -0.8 49.9 -1.9 51.8
Out of Zone % 55.0 +1.9 53.1 +2.2 50.9 +0.8 50.1 +1.9 48.2
Edge % 40.4 -4.3 44.7 +2.5 42.2 +0.3 41.9 +0.2 41.7
Zone Swing % 59.8 -2.3 62.1 -4.0 66.1 +0.8 65.3 +4.7 60.6
Out of Zone Swing % 27.4 -2.0 29.4 +2.1 27.3 -0.3 27.6 -1.3 28.9
In Zone Contact % 83.0 +2.4 80.6 -0.7 81.3 -3.9 85.2 -3.5 88.7
Out of Zone Contact % 56.1 -0.3 56.4 -3.6 60.0 +8.4 51.6 +0.4 51.2
Whiff % 26.6 -1.2 27.8 +2.7 25.1 +0.3 24.8 +1.9 22.9
First Strike % 56.2 +0.4 55.8 -4.5 60.3 +2.0 58.3 -5.4 63.7
First Pitch Swing % 27.1 +0.1 27.0 -3.2 30.2 -1.7 31.9 +4.4 27.5
Swing % 41.9 -2.9 44.8 -1.5 46.3 -0.1 46.4 +1.1 45.3
Meatball Swing % 74.5 +4.8 69.7 -0.3 70.0 -4.3 74.3 -1.7 76.0
Meatball % 5.6 -1.2 6.8 -0.8 7.6 -0.1 7.7 -0.4 8.1
Zone Swing & Miss % 17.0 -2.4 19.4 +0.7 18.7 +3.9 14.8 +3.5 11.3
Out of Zone Swing & Miss % 43.9 +0.3 43.6 +3.6 40.0 -8.4 48.4 -0.4 48.8
In Zone 758 -631 1,389 -29 1,418 +62 1,356 +1,196 160
Out of Zone 925 -648 1,573 +102 1,471 +107 1,364 +1,215 149
Edge 680 -643 1,323 +105 1,218 +78 1,140 +1,011 129
In Zone Swings 453 -410 863 -74 937 +51 886 +789 97
Out of Zone Swings 253 -210 463 +61 402 +26 376 +333 43
In Zone Swing & Misses 77 -90 167 -8 175 +44 131 +120 11
Out of Zone Swing & Misses 111 -91 202 +41 161 -21 182 +161 21
Basic
Pitches 1,683 -1,279 2,962 +73 2,889 +169 2,720 +2,411 309
PA 406 -323 729 +17 712 +47 665 +585 80
AB 352 -309 661 +16 645 +46 599 +526 73
Hits 76 -57 133 -23 156 -1 157 +142 15
Singles 55 -38 93 -27 120 +25 95 +85 10
Doubles 10 -10 20 +4 16 -18 34 +30 4
Triples 0 -3 3 +1 2 0 2 +1 1
Home Runs 11 -6 17 -1 18 -8 26 +26 0
Walks 49 -8 57 -3 60 +5 55 +48 7
Strikeouts 110 -96 206 +27 179 +1 178 +156 22
K% 27.1 -1.2 28.3 +3.2 25.1 -1.7 26.8 -0.7 27.5
BB% 12.1 +4.3 7.8 -0.6 8.4 +0.1 8.3 -0.5 8.8
HBP 4 -3 7 +2 5 -4 9 +9 0
Batted Balls 243 -216 459 -9 468 +45 423 +372 51
Fastball Percent 61.3 -0.3 61.6 -6.5 68.1 -1.7 69.8 +3.5 66.3
Offspeed Percent 9.2 -2.8 12.0 -0.5 12.5 +7.7 4.8 +2.5 2.3
Breaking Percent 29.5 +3.1 26.4 +7.1 19.3 -6.1 25.4 -6.0 31.4
Number of Fastballs 1,031 -793 1,824 -144 1,968 +69 1,899 +1,694 205
Number of Offspeed 155 -201 356 -6 362 +232 130 +123 7
Number of Breaking 497 -285 782 +223 559 -132 691 +594 97
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Statcast Fielder Positioning

vs RHHvs LHH
SeasonAlignment TypePAwOBAPATotal%PATotal%
2022 Shifts 80 .254 31 3 9.7 49 40 81.6
2023 Shades 664 .341 355 16 4.5 309 182 58.9
2024 Shades 712 .296 333 104 31.2 379 196 51.7
2025 Shades 727 .262 351 26 7.4 376 218 58.0
2026 Shades 402 .300 165 39 23.6 237 136 57.4
! Note: Shifts are through the 2022 season, Shaded starting from the 2023 season, Shift: three or more infielders are on the same side of second base, Shade: positioned outside of their typical responsible slices of the field.
Learn more about how positioning is defined here

Pitch Tempo

Bases EmptyRunners On Base
SeasonTeamPitchesTempoFast %Slow %PitchesTempoFast %Slow %
2022 101 20.1 9.9% 3.0% 41 24.9 0.0% 9.8%
2023 834 16.2 31.7% 0.5% 384 19.5 2.6% 0.8%
2024 830 17.6 19.6% 0.8% 464 18.8 3.4% 0.4%
2025 939 17.9 18.0% 0.3% 385 19.6 2.1% 1.0%
2026 492 18.7 11.2% 2.6% 248 20.4 0.0% 6.0%

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Pitch Distribution