P | Pittsburgh Pirates
Bats/Throws: R/R | 6' 6" 260 lbs | Age: 24
Draft: 2023 | Rd. 1, No. 1, Pittsburgh Pirates | LSU
W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2024 11 3 1.96 23 23 0 133 170 0.95
2025 10 10 1.97 32 32 0 187.2 216 0.95
2026 6 5 3.09 13 13 0 70 82 0.91
3 Seasons 27 18 2.17 68 68 0 390.2 468 0.94
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2024 23 11-3 1.96 133 170 0.95
2025 32 10-10 1.97 187.2 216 0.95
2026 13 6-5 3.09 70 82 0.91
3 Seasons 68 27-18 2.17 390.2 468 0.94
MLB Percentile Rankings
Movement Profile (Induced Break)
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Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls
Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity
Max EV Launch
Angle
LA Sweet-
Spot %
xBA xSLG wOBA xwOBA xwOBAcon HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2024 22 2125 306 16 5.2 3.1 87.8 112.5 8.4 27.8 .191 .302 .247 .250 .334 36.3 33.1 6.2 1.96 2.50
2025 23 2997 469 27 5.8 3.7 87.6 115.8 12.2 29.4 .202 .321 .247 .255 .328 40.1 29.5 5.7 1.97 2.65
2026 24 1145 178 7 3.9 2.5 87.0 110.4 13.3 31.5 .193 .298 .251 .241 .307 33.1 29.5 4.7 3.09 2.30
Player 6267 953 50 5.3 3.3 87.6 115.8 11.2 29.3 .197 .310 .248 .251 .326 37.6 30.7 5.7
MLB 7.6 4.9 88.6 122.9 12.5 33.3 .243 .408 .315 .316 .369 37.0 22.2 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Skenes relies on 7 pitches.
Four Seamer
(36.2%) ,
Changeup
(16.9%) ,
Sweeper
(15.8%) ,
Sinker
(14.1%) ,
Split Finger
(12.6%) ,
Slider
(3.5%) ,
Curveball
(0.9%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

AIR: Fly Balls + Line Drives + Popups All Batted Balls Batted Ball Breakdown
Season GB % AIR % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Pull GB % Straight GB % Oppo GB % Pull AIR % Straight AIR % Oppo AIR %
2024 52.3 47.7 20.3 20.3 7.2 41.8 35.6 22.5 26.1 19.6 6.5 15.7 16.0 16.0
2025 44.6 55.4 24.9 22.8 7.7 40.9 37.7 21.3 23.2 17.1 4.3 17.7 20.7 17.1
2026 44.9 55.1 20.2 24.7 10.1 39.3 33.1 27.5 25.3 14.0 5.6 14.0 19.1 21.9
Player 47.1 52.9 22.6 22.4 8.0 40.9 36.2 22.9 24.6 17.3 5.2 16.4 18.9 17.6
MLB 44.2 55.8 24.1 24.6 7.1 37.4 37.3 25.1 20.7 17.6 5.9 16.8 19.7 19.3
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Quality of Contact

Season Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2024 4.2 40.5 20.6 22.9 6.2 5.2 3.1
2025 4.7 34.8 25.8 23.2 5.1 5.8 3.7
2026 5.6 31.5 30.3 23.0 5.6 3.9 2.5
Player 4.7 36.0 25.0 23.1 5.6 5.3 3.3
MLB 4.0 32.3 24.9 24.4 5.9 7.6 4.9
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement


How this works: This section shows two different ways to evaluate pitch movement. On the left, “Total Movement” shows the real-world movement of a pitch, including the forces of gravity, which affects every pitch thrown. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren't 'better' just because they have more time to move, a pitch's movement is compared to other pitches of the same pitch type, within +/- 2 MPH and +/- 0.5 feet of extension/release. On the right, Induced Movement (or IVB) is reported without gravity, and attempts to isolate movement created by the pitcher's ability to spin and manipulate the ball.
Total Movement (in inches, w/ gravity)Induced Movement (in inches, w/o gravity)
YearPitchTeamHand#MPHVertical
Drop
vs.
Comparable
Horizontal
Break
vs.
Comparable
Vertical
Break
vs. AvgHorizontal
Break
vs. Avg
2026 Changeup PIT R 193 88.9 28.0 -3.2 16.6ARM 2.2 6.7 -2.7 16.6ARM 2.0
2026 4-Seam Fastball PIT R 415 97.1 15.7 -2.5 13.0ARM 5.1 13.4 -2.6 13.0ARM 5.2
2026 Sweeper PIT R 181 83.9 33.3 -4.2 11.0GLV -2.9 5.7 -4.6 11.0GLV -2.9
2026 Curveball PIT R 10 81.8 48.9 -2.5 10.9GLV 1.9 -7.9 -2.4 10.9GLV 1.6
2026 Slider PIT R 40 86.2 36.0 0.8 4.8GLV 0.4 0.6 0.8 4.8GLV 0.8
2026 Sinker PIT R 162 96.7 22.0 0.8 17.4ARM 1.6 7.3 0.4 17.4ARM 2.1
2026 Split-Finger PIT R 144 93.5 30.2 0.3 13.1ARM -0.5 1.0 1.9 13.1ARM 1.4
2025 Sinker PIT R 312 97.6 22.4 1.3 17.5ARM 2.1 6.4 1.0 17.5ARM 2.4
2025 Sweeper PIT R 475 84.5 32.8 -4.9 11.4GLV -1.8 5.7 -4.8 11.4GLV -2.5
2025 Split-Finger PIT R 405 93.7 31.2 1.6 13.4ARM 0.5 0.0 3.1 13.4ARM 2.1
2025 4-Seam Fastball PIT R 1167 98.2 16.9 -3.8 14.0ARM 5.8 11.6 -4.2 14.0ARM 6.4
2025 Changeup PIT R 326 88.7 29.6 -1.5 16.6ARM 2.0 5.4 -1.3 16.6ARM 2.1
2025 Slider PIT R 168 85.3 30.2 -5.7 3.3GLV -1.5 7.6 -5.8 3.3GLV -1.0
2025 Curveball PIT R 144 83.9 41.3 -7.4 6.1GLV -1.6 -2.6 -7.6 6.1GLV -2.9
! Note: Years are in reverse order.

Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2026 4-Seam Fastball 1.6 7 415 36.2 100 .163 .326 .246 27.8 36.0 25.7 .172 .338 .254 39.3
2026 Changeup 1.2 2 193 16.9 53 .180 .280 .212 38.1 35.8 18.4 .179 .234 .195 15.6
2026 Sweeper 0.7 1 181 15.8 27 .154 .269 .233 24.2 25.9 15.2 .177 .274 .213 21.1
2026 Sinker 1.6 3 162 14.1 43 .205 .333 .295 6.3 14.0 20.7 .248 .364 .303 51.5
2026 Split-Finger 0.3 0 144 12.6 36 .364 .394 .359 17.1 19.4 24.1 .243 .286 .257 29.6
2026 Slider 1.3 1 40 3.5 18 .176 .235 .258 41.4 38.9 28.0 .158 .190 .182 30.0
2026 Curveball 1.0 0 10 0.9 1 .000 .000 .000 20.0 0.0 0.0 .151 .170 .141 0.0
2025 4-Seam Fastball 1.7 20 1,167 38.9 294 .205 .347 .280 29.6 34.7 26.2 .200 .368 .280 53.3
2025 Sweeper 1.9 9 475 15.8 113 .150 .215 .195 32.9 30.1 20.7 .167 .254 .209 19.2
2025 Split-Finger 0.4 2 405 13.5 101 .269 .366 .326 22.8 12.9 18.6 .264 .374 .309 43.8
2025 Changeup 2.8 9 326 10.9 88 .103 .126 .108 43.9 50.0 21.7 .116 .153 .123 11.6
2025 Sinker 1.8 6 312 10.4 85 .220 .293 .254 16.7 14.1 14.8 .262 .359 .284 48.6
2025 Slider 0.2 0 168 5.6 24 .227 .364 .327 33.8 16.7 10.0 .161 .208 .204 16.7
2025 Curveball -2.7 -4 144 4.8 28 .320 .680 .448 40.8 25.0 16.3 .289 .473 .367 44.4
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: To better align with other values, positive numbers (red) are good, and negative numbers (blue) are poor.

Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2026 Changeup 193 88.9 98 18.2 2:45 2:30 15
2026 Curveball 10 81.8 73 15.3 8:00 7:30 30
2026 4-Seam Fastball 415 97.1 97 18.6 1:45 1:30 15
2026 Split-Finger 132 93.5 89 13.9 2:00 3:00 -60
2026 Sinker 162 96.7 96 19.3 1:45 2:15 -30
2026 Slider 40 86.2 27 5.4 9:30 8:45 45
2026 Sweeper 180 83.9 37 12.8 9:00 9:45 -45
2025 Changeup 325 88.8 98 18.0 2:45 2:30 15
2025 Curveball 143 83.9 43 7.9 9:00 8:00 60
2025 4-Seam Fastball 1,166 98.2 97 18.3 2:00 1:45 15
2025 Split-Finger 367 93.7 90 14.5 2:15 3:15 -60
2025 Sinker 311 97.6 96 19.1 2:00 2:30 -30
2025 Slider 167 85.2 29 7.9 9:30 11:00 -90
2025 Sweeper 473 84.5 37 12.9 9:15 9:45 -30
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Pitcher Arm Angle

! Note: Data is available from 2020 through the present.
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Statcast Pitching Run Value

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2024 514 2,125 11 34 -9 -8 28
2025 733 2,997 19 45 -11 -11 42
2026 278 1,145 6 18 -4 -7 14
Player 1,525 6,267 36 97 -23 36 84
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2024 2,125 50.3 68.6 79.3 30.8 53.4 44.1 61.9 49.8 28.7 6.3 82.7
2025 2,997 50.7 68.2 76.8 30.5 54.1 45.0 60.8 49.6 30.1 7.1 72.9
2026 1,145 46.8 70.7 79.7 33.2 62.9 44.2 61.2 50.7 26.0 6.4 78.1
Player 6,267 49.8 68.8 78.1 31.1 55.7 44.6 61.2 49.9 28.9 6.7 76.9
MLB 48.7 67.0 82.6 28.5 58.0 42.7 61.1 47.3 25.0 7.3 76.2
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Run Value Pitching
Year Pitching Fastball Breaking Off
Speed
xERA Fastball
MPH
Fastball
Spin
Curve
Spin
Avg
EV
Chase% Whiff% K% BB% Barrel% Hard-
Hit%
GB% Extension
2024 98 77 61 100 97 99 49 47 76 73 75 95 78 87 70 89 47
2025 100 99 81 98 97 95 42 27 87 77 83 89 87 86 53 64 74
2026 98 97 69 88 97 87 36 83 76 56 90 96 90 79 60 78
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Expected Home Runs

Adjusted

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2024 22.98 10 10.5 -1 7 10 2 20.0
2025 22.12 11 12.9 -2 12 11 6 54.5
2026 23.62 6 5.5 1 0 2 4 66.7
Player 22.77 27 28.9 -2 19 23 12 44.4
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's batted balls allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Expected Home Runs by Park

Adjusted

Year HR
2024 10 6 8 11 11 11 13 9 10 9 11 15 9 8 12 8 8 9 11 15 11 11 15 13 9 10 10 12 10 10 10
2025 11 13 9 13 14 11 9 16 9 8 10 15 19 23 10 9 17 9 11 15 13 12 20 17 11 8 11 17 18 12 9
2026 6 6 4 5 5 6 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 6 6 6 6 5 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 5 5 6 6 5 5
Player 27 25 21 29 30 28 27 30 24 22 26 35 33 37 28 23 31 23 28 36 30 29 41 36 26 23 26 35 34 27 24
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's batted balls allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Year to Year Changes

2026 +/-   2025 +/-   2024
Results
BA .198 -.001 .199 +.001 .198
xBA .193 -.009 .202 +.011 .191
OBP .246 -.005 .251 -.006 .257
xOBP .242 -.013 .255 +.004 .251
SLG .314 +.007 .307 +.012 .295
xSLG .298 -.023 .321 +.019 .302
ISO .116 +.008 .108 +.011 .097
xISO .105 -.014 .119 +.008 .111
BABIP .263 -.010 .273 -.011 .284
wOBA .251 +.004 .247 .000 .247
xwOBA .241 -.014 .255 +.005 .250
wOBAcon .323 +.008 .315 -.013 .328
xwOBAcon .307 -.021 .328 -.006 .334
BACON .288 -.002 .290 -.017 .307
xBACON .282 -.014 .296 -.002 .298
Statcast Hit Metrics
Hard Hit % 33.1 -7.0 40.1 +3.8 36.3
Avg Exit Velocity 87.0 -0.6 87.6 -0.2 87.8
Launch Angle Sweet-Spot % 31.5 +2.1 29.4 +1.6 27.8
Barrel % 3.9 -1.9 5.8 +0.6 5.2
Avg Launch Angle 13.3 +1.1 12.2 +3.8 8.4
Statcast Bat Tracking
Bat Speed 71.0 -0.2 71.2 +0.3 70.9
Attack Angle 10° +1° 10°
Ideal Attack Angle % 49.8 +3.3 46.5 +0.8 45.7
Attack Direction -3° -1° -2° -2°
Swing Path - Tilt 32° -1° 33° -1° 33°
Swing Length 7.4 +0.1 7.3 -0.1 7.4
Statcast Pitch Metrics
Fastball Velocity 97.0 -1.1 98.1 -0.7 98.8
Breaking Velocity 84.2 -0.3 84.5 +0.1 84.4
Offspeed Velocity 90.9 -0.6 91.5 -1.4 92.9
Batted Ball Results
Barrels 7 -20 27 +11 16
Popup % 10.1 +2.4 7.7 +0.5 7.2
Flyball % 20.2 -4.7 24.9 +4.6 20.3
Line Drive % 24.7 +1.9 22.8 +2.5 20.3
Groundball % 44.9 +0.3 44.6 -7.7 52.3
Pull % 39.3 -1.6 40.9 -0.9 41.8
Straight Away % 33.1 -4.6 37.7 +2.1 35.6
Opposite Field % 27.5 +6.2 21.3 -1.2 22.5
Weak Contact % 5.6 +0.9 4.7 +0.5 4.2
Pull Airball % 14.0 -3.7 17.7 +2.0 15.7
Topped Contact % 31.5 -3.3 34.8 -5.7 40.5
Under Contact % 30.3 +4.5 25.8 +5.2 20.6
Flare/Burner Contact % 23.0 -0.2 23.2 +0.3 22.9
Solid Contact % 5.6 +0.5 5.1 -1.1 6.2
HR/FB % 16.7 +7.3 9.4 -6.7 16.1
Popups 18 -18 36 +14 22
Flyballs 36 -81 117 +55 62
Line Drives 44 -63 107 +45 62
Groundballs 80 -129 209 +49 160
Plate Discipline
In Zone % 46.8 -3.9 50.7 +0.4 50.3
Out of Zone % 53.2 +3.9 49.3 -0.4 49.7
Edge % 44.2 -0.8 45.0 +0.9 44.1
Zone Swing % 70.7 +2.5 68.2 -0.4 68.6
Out of Zone Swing % 33.2 +2.7 30.5 -0.3 30.8
In Zone Contact % 79.7 +2.9 76.8 -2.5 79.3
Out of Zone Contact % 62.9 +8.8 54.1 +0.7 53.4
Whiff % 26.0 -4.1 30.1 +1.4 28.7
First Strike % 61.2 +0.4 60.8 -1.1 61.9
First Pitch Swing % 33.1 -0.6 33.7 -0.5 34.2
Swing % 50.7 +1.1 49.6 -0.2 49.8
Meatball Swing % 78.1 +5.2 72.9 -9.8 82.7
Meatball % 6.4 -0.7 7.1 +0.8 6.3
Zone Swing & Miss % 20.3 -2.9 23.2 +2.5 20.7
Out of Zone Swing & Miss % 36.6 -9.3 45.9 -0.7 46.6
In Zone 536 -984 1,520 +452 1,068
Out of Zone 609 -868 1,477 +420 1,057
Edge 506 -844 1,350 +413 937
In Zone Swings 379 -658 1,037 +304 733
Out of Zone Swings 202 -249 451 +125 326
In Zone Swing & Misses 77 -164 241 +89 152
Out of Zone Swing & Misses 74 -133 207 +55 152
Basic
Pitches 1,145 -1,852 2,997 +872 2,125
PA 278 -455 733 +219 514
AB 258 -426 684 +209 475
Hits 51 -85 136 +42 94
Singles 34 -52 86 +17 69
Doubles 10 -27 37 +23 14
Triples 1 -1 2 +1 1
Home Runs 6 -5 11 +1 10
Walks 13 -29 42 +10 32
Strikeouts 82 -134 216 +46 170
K% 29.5 0.0 29.5 -3.6 33.1
BB% 4.7 -1.0 5.7 -0.5 6.2
HBP 4 -2 6 0 6
Batted Balls 178 -291 469 +163 306
Number of Fastballs 577 -902 1,479 +645 834
Number of Offspeed 337 -394 731 +14 717
Number of Breaking 231 -556 787 +213 574
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Statcast Fielder Positioning

vs RHHvs LHH
YearAlignment TypePAwOBAPATotal%PATotal%
2024 Shades 511 .248 250 2 0.8 261 20 7.7
2025 Shades 733 .247 339 4 1.2 394 142 36.0
2026 Shades 278 .251 123 1 0.8 155 52 33.5
! Note: Shifts are through the 2022 season, Shaded starting from the 2023 season, Shift: three or more infielders are on the same side of second base, Shade: positioned outside of their typical responsible slices of the field.
Learn more about how positioning is defined here

Pitch Tempo

Bases EmptyRunners On Base
SeasonTeamPitchesTempoFast %Slow %PitchesTempoFast %Slow %
2024 632 15.9 26.1% 0.0% 275 18.8 0.0% 0.4%
2025 867 16.3 14.5% 0.0% 428 18.4 0.5% 0.2%
2026 361 17.0 3.3% 0.8% 122 18.6 0.0% 1.6%

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Pitch Distribution