Paul Skenes
P | Bats/Throws: R/R | 6' 6" 260LBS | Age: 22
Draft: 2023 | Rd: 1, #1, Pittsburgh Pirates | LSU
W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2024 11 3 1.96 23 23 0 133 170 0.95
2025 3 5 2.44 10 10 0 62.2 62 0.94
2 Seasons 14 8 2.12 33 33 0 195.2 232 0.95
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2024 23 11-3 1.96 133 170 0.95
2025 10 3-5 2.44 62.2 62 0.94
2 Seasons 33 14-8 2.12 195.2 232 0.95
MLB Percentile Rankings
Movement Profile (Induced Break)
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Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls
Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity
Max EV Launch
Angle
LA Sweet-
Spot %
XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2024 22 2125 306 16 5.2 3.1 87.8 112.5 8.4 27.8 .193 .297 .247 .248 .330 36.3 33.1 6.2 1.96 2.53
2025 23 986 164 7 4.3 2.9 88.3 112.3 8.5 28.0 .210 .320 .247 .259 .313 37.8 25.5 6.6 2.44 2.47
Player 3111 470 23 4.9 3.0 88.0 112.5 8.4 27.9 .198 .305 .247 .251 .324 36.8 30.6 6.3
MLB 7.0 4.8 88.5 122.4 12.3 33.2 .245 .405 .316 .315 .368 36.7 22.2 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Skenes relies on 7 pitches.
Four Seamer
(35.2%) ,
Split Finger
(23.2%) ,
Sweeper
(14.2%) ,
Changeup
(8.1%) ,
Slider
(7.0%) ,
Sinker
(6.9%) ,
Curveball
(5.4%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

AIR: Fly Balls + Line Drives + Popups All Batted Balls Batted Ball Breakdown
Season GB % AIR % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Pull GB % Straight GB % Oppo GB % Pull AIR % Straight AIR % Oppo AIR %
2024 52.3 47.7 20.3 20.3 7.2 41.8 35.6 22.5 26.1 19.6 6.5 15.7 16.0 16.0
2025 50.6 49.4 22.6 22.6 4.3 48.8 36.6 14.6 31.7 16.5 2.4 17.1 20.1 12.2
Player 51.7 48.3 21.1 21.1 6.2 44.3 36.0 19.8 28.1 18.5 5.1 16.2 17.4 14.7
MLB 44.4 55.6 23.8 24.7 7.1 37.2 37.4 25.2 20.6 17.8 5.9 16.6 19.7 19.3
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Quality of Contact

Season Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2024 4.2 40.5 20.6 22.9 6.2 5.2 3.1
2025 1.8 43.3 23.8 23.2 3.0 4.3 2.9
Player 3.4 41.5 21.7 23.0 5.1 4.9 3.0
MLB 3.9 32.6 24.8 24.4 5.9 7.0 4.8
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement


How this works: This section shows two different ways to evaluate pitch movement. On the left, “Total Movement” shows the real-world movement of a pitch, including the forces of gravity, which affects every pitch thrown. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren't 'better' just because they have more time to move, a pitch's movement is compared to other pitches of the same pitch type, within +/- 2 MPH and +/- 0.5 feet of extension/release. On the right, Induced Movement (or IVB) is reported without gravity, and attempts to isolate movement created by the pitcher's ability to spin and manipulate the ball.
Total Movement (in inches, w/ gravity)Induced Movement (in inches, w/o gravity)
YearPitchTeamHand#MPHVertical
Drop
vs.
Comparable
Horizontal
Break
vs.
Comparable
Vertical
Break
vs. AvgHorizontal
Break
vs. Avg
2025 Slider PIT R 69 84.8 30.4 -6.1 3.5GLV -1.7 7.8 -6.1 3.5GLV -1.3
2025 4-Seam Fastball PIT R 347 98.1 17.2 -3.9 15.1ARM 6.5 11.4 -4.5 15.1ARM 7.4
2025 Sweeper PIT R 140 84.2 32.7 -5.2 11.3GLV -2.0 6.1 -4.6 11.3GLV -2.7
2025 Changeup PIT R 80 87.8 31.1 -0.8 18.0ARM 3.1 4.7 -0.7 18.0ARM 3.2
2025 Split-Finger PIT R 229 93.7 31.0 1.0 14.2ARM 0.7 0.3 2.6 14.2ARM 2.9
2025 Curveball PIT R 53 83.2 42.0 -7.1 6.5GLV -1.7 -2.6 -7.2 6.5GLV -3.1
2025 Sinker PIT R 68 97.2 23.3 1.9 18.1ARM 2.6 5.7 1.6 18.1ARM 2.7
2024 Split-Finger PIT R 603 94.0 30.3 1.0 14.0ARM 1.3 0.7 1.9 14.0ARM 3.3
2024 Changeup PIT R 114 87.3 32.5 1.4 17.5ARM 3.1 3.5 1.4 17.5ARM 3.3
2024 4-Seam Fastball PIT R 834 98.8 17.4 -4.6 14.4ARM 6.0 10.6 -5.1 14.4ARM 6.8
2024 Slider PIT R 132 86.6 29.8 -5.0 1.6GLV -2.9 6.8 -5.2 1.6GLV -3.3
2024 Sweeper PIT R 212 84.7 32.7 -4.2 11.6GLV -1.7 5.5 -3.9 11.6GLV -2.6
2024 Curveball PIT R 230 83.0 43.6 -5.3 7.1GLV -1.0 -3.9 -6.1 7.1GLV -2.3
! Note: Years are in reverse order.

Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2025 4-Seam Fastball 0.6 2 347 35.2 80 .247 .425 .321 25.8 25.0 18.7 .228 .387 .299 47.2
2025 Split-Finger 0.0 0 229 23.2 65 .254 .424 .342 23.8 13.8 19.1 .255 .397 .317 42.0
2025 Sweeper 2.8 4 140 14.2 27 .037 .037 .067 31.0 40.7 18.0 .131 .162 .127 18.8
2025 Changeup 4.5 4 80 8.1 24 .083 .083 .075 45.1 58.3 27.5 .111 .141 .109 10.0
2025 Slider 3.1 2 69 7.0 11 .000 .000 .145 31.3 18.2 15.4 .118 .132 .164 0.0
2025 Sinker 1.4 1 68 6.9 22 .190 .238 .221 14.8 13.6 13.6 .250 .388 .293 55.6
2025 Curveball -1.5 -1 53 5.4 14 .250 .417 .343 35.3 21.4 23.1 .256 .297 .305 22.2
2024 4-Seam Fastball 0.8 7 834 39.2 210 .230 .351 .292 24.2 37.6 21.8 .201 .331 .269 48.7
2024 Split-Finger 2.8 17 603 28.4 155 .184 .234 .238 29.3 20.0 26.7 .231 .325 .284 35.5
2024 Curveball 0.1 0 230 10.8 44 .250 .375 .309 33.7 29.5 24.5 .193 .293 .256 22.2
2024 Sweeper 2.2 5 212 10.0 48 .104 .188 .143 22.6 45.8 21.4 .118 .213 .141 26.9
2024 Slider -2.4 -3 132 6.2 21 .286 .571 .362 32.8 23.8 11.6 .173 .308 .207 18.8
2024 Changeup 2.5 3 114 5.4 36 .088 .118 .149 54.8 55.6 31.7 .099 .112 .127 7.1
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: To better align with other values, positive numbers (red) are good, and negative numbers (blue) are poor.

Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2025 Changeup 79 87.8 98 19.3 3:00 2:45 15
2025 Curveball 53 83.2 42 8.3 9:00 8:00 60
2025 4-Seam Fastball 347 98.1 97 19.1 2:00 1:45 15
2025 Split-Finger 211 93.7 91 15.3 2:15 3:00 -45
2025 Sinker 67 97.3 96 19.6 2:00 2:30 -30
2025 Slider 69 84.8 29 8.1 9:45 11:00 -75
2025 Sweeper 138 84.2 34 13.0 9:15 9:45 -30
2024 Changeup 114 87.3 94 18.4 3:15 2:45 30
2024 Curveball 230 83.0 53 9.5 8:30 7:45 45
2024 4-Seam Fastball 832 98.8 98 18.0 2:00 2:00 0
2024 Split-Finger 595 94.0 92 15.0 2:30 3:00 -30
2024 Slider 132 86.6 26 6.7 10:00 11:30 -90
2024 Sweeper 210 84.7 37 13.0 9:00 9:45 -45
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Pitcher Arm Angle

! Note: Data is available from 2020 through the present.
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Statcast Pitching Run Value

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2024 514 2,125 11 34 -9 -8 28
2025 243 986 5 14 -3 -4 12
Player 757 3,111 16 48 -12 16 40
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2024 2,125 50.4 68.5 78.7 30.9 53.5 44.1 61.9 49.8 28.7 6.3 82.7
2025 986 49.9 70.9 77.9 29.1 56.9 45.7 61.3 50.0 28.0 7.4 65.8
Player 3,111 50.3 69.2 78.5 30.3 54.6 44.6 61.7 49.9 28.5 6.6 76.7
MLB 48.7 67.0 82.1 28.4 57.7 42.6 61.1 47.2 25.0 7.3 76.3
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA /
xERA
xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV Hard
Hit%
K% BB% Whiff% Chase
Rate
FB
Velo
FB
Spin
CB
Spin
Extension
2024 97 94 96 91 96 50 87 76 70 95 78 75 75 99 48 47 47
2025 93 83 89 86 92 44 88 71 67 71 74 70 61 95 47 31 63
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Expected Home Runs

Adjusted

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2024 22.98 10 10.4 0 6 11 2 20.0
2025 22.53 4 4.2 0 3 4 2 50.0
Player 22.85 14 14.7 -1 9 15 4 28.6
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's home runs allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Expected Home Runs by Park

Adjusted

Year HR
2024 10 7 8 11 11 11 12 9 10 9 11 15 9 8 12 8 8 9 11 15 11 11 14 13 9 10 9 12 10 10 10
2025 4 6 3 4 5 3 2 6 2 2 2 4 7 7 5 3 7 5 4 3 5 3 6 6 5 2 3 4 8 3 2
Player 14 13 11 15 16 14 14 15 12 11 13 19 16 15 17 11 15 14 15 18 16 14 20 19 14 12 12 16 18 13 12
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's home runs allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Year to Year Changes

Metric 2024 +/-   2025
Fastball Velocity 98.8 -0.9 97.9
Offspeed Velocity 92.9 -0.8 92.1
Breaking Velocity 84.4 -0.2 84.2
Exit Velocity 87.8 0.5 88.3
Launch Angle 8.4 0.1 8.5
Barrel % 5.2 -0.9 4.3
Hard Hit % 36.3 1.5 37.8
LA Sweet-Spot % 27.8 0.2 28.0
xBA .193 0.017 .210
BA .198 -0.008 .190
xwOBA .248 0.011 .259
wOBA .247 0.000 .247
xSLG .297 0.023 .320
SLG .295 0.010 .305
K% 33.1 -7.6 25.5
BB% 6.2 0.4 6.6
Swing % 49.8 0.2 50.0
Whiff% 28.7 -0.7 28.0
In Zone % 50.4 -0.5 49.9
Out of Zone % 49.6 0.5 50.1
Out of Zone Swing % 30.9 -1.8 29.1
First Pitch Swing % 34.2 0.0 34.2
First Pitch Strike % 61.9 -0.6 61.3
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Statcast Fielder Positioning

vs RHHvs LHH
YearAlignment TypePAwOBAPATotal%PATotal%
2024 Shades 511 .248 250 2 0.8 261 20 7.7
2025 Shades 243 .247 95 1 1.1 148 48 32.4
! Note: Shifts are through the 2022 season, Shaded starting from the 2023 season, Shift: three or more infielders are on the same side of second base, Shade: positioned outside of their typical responsible slices of the field.
Learn more about how positioning is defined here

Pitch Tempo

Bases EmptyRunners On Base
SeasonTeamPitchesTempoFast %Slow %PitchesTempoFast %Slow %
2024 632 15.9 26.1% 0.0% 275 18.8 0.0% 0.4%
2025 239 15.9 24.3% 0.0% 144 18.2 0.7% 0.7%

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Pitch Distribution