P | Pittsburgh Pirates
Bats/Throws: R/R | 6' 6" 260 lbs | Age: 23
Draft: 2023 | Rd. 1, No. 1, Pittsburgh Pirates | LSU
W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2024 11 3 1.96 23 23 0 133 170 0.95
2025 10 10 1.97 32 32 0 187.2 216 0.95
2026 2 1 5.25 3 3 0 12 12 1.25
3 Seasons 23 14 2.08 58 58 0 332.2 398 0.96
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2024 23 11-3 1.96 133 170 0.95
2025 32 10-10 1.97 187.2 216 0.95
2026 3 2-1 5.25 12 12 1.25
3 Seasons 58 23-14 2.08 332.2 398 0.96
Player Apps
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Pitch Usage
MLB Percentile Rankings
Movement Profile (Induced Break)
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Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls		 Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity		 Max EV Launch
Angle		 LA Sweet-
Spot %		 xBA xSLG wOBA xwOBA xwOBAcon HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2024 22 2125 306 16 5.2 3.1 87.8 112.5 8.4 27.8 .191 .302 .247 .250 .334 36.3 33.1 6.2 1.96 2.50
2025 23 2997 469 27 5.8 3.7 87.6 115.8 12.2 29.4 .202 .321 .247 .255 .328 40.1 29.5 5.7 1.97 2.65
2026 24 201 32 1 3.1 1.9 85.8 106.8 17.1 25.0 .160 .263 .319 .259 .242 31.3 23.1 11.5 5.25 2.62
Player 5323 807 44 5.5 3.4 87.6 115.8 11.0 28.6 .196 .312 .250 .253 .327 38.3 30.6 6.2
MLB 7.2 4.9 88.6 122.9 12.4 33.3 .243 .408 .315 .316 .369 37.0 22.2 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Skenes relies on 7 pitches.
Four Seamer
(38.8%) ,
Sinker
(22.4%) ,
Changeup
(14.4%) ,
Sweeper
(10.4%) ,
Split Finger
(6.5%) ,
Slider
(5.0%) ,
Curveball
(2.5%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

AIR: Fly Balls + Line Drives + Popups All Batted Balls Batted Ball Breakdown
Season GB % AIR % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Pull GB % Straight GB % Oppo GB % Pull AIR % Straight AIR % Oppo AIR %
2024 52.3 47.7 20.3 20.3 7.2 41.8 35.6 22.5 26.1 19.6 6.5 15.7 16.0 16.0
2025 44.6 55.4 24.9 22.8 7.7 40.9 37.7 21.3 23.2 17.1 4.3 17.7 20.7 17.1
2026 46.9 53.1 25.0 15.6 12.5 31.3 40.6 28.1 25.0 15.6 6.3 6.3 25.0 21.9
Player 47.6 52.4 23.2 21.6 7.7 40.9 37.1 22.1 24.4 18.0 5.2 16.5 19.1 16.9
MLB 44.2 55.8 24.1 24.6 7.1 37.4 37.4 25.1 20.7 17.6 5.9 16.7 19.7 19.3
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Quality of Contact

Season Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2024 4.2 40.5 20.6 22.9 6.2 5.2 3.1
2025 4.7 34.8 25.8 23.2 5.1 5.8 3.7
2026 3.1 25.0 43.8 18.8 6.3 3.1 1.9
Player 4.5 36.6 24.5 22.9 5.6 5.5 3.4
MLB 4.0 32.4 24.9 24.4 5.9 7.2 4.9
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement

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How this works: This section shows two different ways to evaluate pitch movement. On the left, “Total Movement” shows the real-world movement of a pitch, including the forces of gravity, which affects every pitch thrown. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren't 'better' just because they have more time to move, a pitch's movement is compared to other pitches of the same pitch type, within +/- 2 MPH and +/- 0.5 feet of extension/release. On the right, Induced Movement (or IVB) is reported without gravity, and attempts to isolate movement created by the pitcher's ability to spin and manipulate the ball.
Total Movement (in inches, w/ gravity)Induced Movement (in inches, w/o gravity)
YearPitchTeamHand#MPHVertical
Drop		vs.
Comparable		Horizontal
Break		vs.
Comparable		Vertical
Break		vs. AvgHorizontal
Break		vs. Avg
2026 Curveball PIT R 5 81.6 47.9 -3.3 9.3GLV 0.1 -6.8 -3.7 9.3GLV 0.3
2026 Split-Finger PIT R 13 94.2 28.3 -1.2 15.0ARM 0.2 2.6 -0.1 15.0ARM 3.4
2026 Sweeper PIT R 21 83.6 33.3 -4.4 10.3GLV -3.4 6.1 -4.8 10.3GLV -3.4
2026 Sinker PIT R 45 96.8 21.8 0.4 18.7ARM 2.6 7.6 0.2 18.7ARM 3.1
2026 Changeup PIT R 29 89.3 28.1 -2.9 18.3ARM 3.8 6.5 -2.7 18.3ARM 3.4
2026 4-Seam Fastball PIT R 78 97.3 15.5 -2.4 14.2ARM 6.3 13.7 -2.6 14.2ARM 6.4
2026 Slider PIT R 10 84.5 29.9 -7.2 5.2GLV 0.0 8.7 -7.4 5.2GLV 0.9
2025 Sinker PIT R 312 97.6 22.4 1.2 17.5ARM 2.2 6.4 1.0 17.5ARM 2.4
2025 Curveball PIT R 144 83.9 41.3 -7.4 6.1GLV -1.6 -2.6 -7.6 6.1GLV -2.9
2025 Slider PIT R 168 85.3 30.2 -5.8 3.3GLV -1.7 7.6 -5.8 3.3GLV -1.1
2025 4-Seam Fastball PIT R 1167 98.2 16.9 -3.8 14.0ARM 5.8 11.6 -4.2 14.0ARM 6.4
2025 Sweeper PIT R 475 84.5 32.8 -4.8 11.4GLV -1.8 5.7 -4.7 11.4GLV -2.6
2025 Changeup PIT R 326 88.7 29.6 -1.5 16.6ARM 2.0 5.4 -1.3 16.6ARM 2.1
2025 Split-Finger PIT R 405 93.7 31.2 1.6 13.4ARM 0.5 0.0 3.0 13.4ARM 2.2
! Note: Years are in reverse order.

Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2026 4-Seam Fastball 2.2 2 78 38.8 22 .056 .222 .218 35.7 40.9 37.5 .113 .269 .259 44.4
2026 Sinker 1.8 1 45 22.4 14 .182 .273 .304 10.5 7.1 16.7 .140 .177 .256 20.0
2026 Changeup -4.5 -1 29 14.4 7 .500 .833 .486 22.2 14.3 6.3 .215 .322 .199 16.7
2026 Sweeper -0.5 0 21 10.4 3 .333 .333 .300 12.5 33.3 16.7 .162 .184 .152 50.0
2026 Split-Finger -2.6 0 13 6.5 5 .400 .600 .430 0.0 0.0 0.0 .305 .406 .307 40.0
2026 Slider -3.4 0 10 5.0 1 -- -- .700 50.0 0.0 0.0 -- -- .700 --
2026 Curveball -0.4 0 5 2.5 -- -- -- 50.0 -- -- -- -- -- --
2025 4-Seam Fastball 1.7 20 1,167 38.9 294 .205 .347 .280 29.6 34.7 26.2 .200 .368 .280 53.3
2025 Sweeper 1.9 9 475 15.8 113 .150 .215 .195 32.9 30.1 20.7 .167 .254 .209 19.2
2025 Split-Finger 0.4 2 405 13.5 101 .269 .366 .326 22.8 12.9 18.6 .265 .375 .310 43.8
2025 Changeup 2.8 9 326 10.9 88 .103 .126 .108 43.9 50.0 21.7 .117 .154 .123 11.6
2025 Sinker 1.8 6 312 10.4 85 .220 .293 .254 16.7 14.1 14.8 .263 .359 .284 48.6
2025 Slider 0.2 0 168 5.6 24 .227 .364 .327 33.8 16.7 10.0 .161 .208 .204 16.7
2025 Curveball -2.7 -4 144 4.8 28 .320 .680 .448 40.8 25.0 16.3 .289 .473 .367 44.4
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: To better align with other values, positive numbers (red) are good, and negative numbers (blue) are poor.

Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2026 Changeup 29 89.3 98 19.9 2:45 2:30 15
2026 4-Seam Fastball 78 97.3 96 19.7 1:45 1:30 15
2026 Split-Finger 12 94.2 93 16.4 2:00 2:45 -45
2026 Sinker 45 96.8 95 20.7 1:45 2:30 -45
2026 Slider 10 84.5 33 9.5 9:00 10:45 -105
2026 Sweeper 21 83.6 39 11.9 9:00 9:45 -45
2025 Changeup 325 88.8 98 18.0 2:45 2:30 15
2025 Curveball 143 83.9 43 7.9 9:00 8:00 60
2025 4-Seam Fastball 1,166 98.2 97 18.3 2:00 1:45 15
2025 Split-Finger 367 93.7 90 14.5 2:15 3:15 -60
2025 Sinker 311 97.6 96 19.1 2:00 2:30 -30
2025 Slider 167 85.2 29 7.9 9:30 11:00 -90
2025 Sweeper 473 84.5 37 12.9 9:15 9:45 -30
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Pitcher Arm Angle

! Note: Data is available from 2020 through the present.
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Statcast Pitching Run Value

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2024 514 2,125 11 34 -9 -8 28
2025 733 2,997 19 45 -11 -11 42
2026 52 201 -1 4 -1 -1 0
Player 1,299 5,323 28 83 -21 28 70
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2024 2,125 50.4 68.5 79.2 30.9 53.5 44.1 61.9 49.8 28.7 6.3 82.7
2025 2,997 50.8 68.2 76.7 30.5 54.2 45.0 60.8 49.6 30.1 7.1 72.9
2026 201 49.3 66.7 77.3 31.4 71.9 47.3 63.5 48.8 24.5 8.5 76.5
Player 5,323 50.6 68.3 77.7 30.7 54.6 44.7 61.4 49.7 29.3 6.8 76.6
MLB 48.8 67.0 82.6 28.4 58.0 42.7 61.1 47.3 25.0 7.4 76.3
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Run Value Pitching
Year Pitching Fastball Breaking Off
Speed 		xERA Fastball
MPH 		Fastball
Spin 		Curve
Spin 		Avg
EV 		Chase% Whiff% K% BB% Barrel% Hard-
Hit% 		GB% Extension
2024 98 77 61 100 98 99 49 47 76 75 75 95 78 87 70 89 47
2025 100 99 81 99 97 95 42 27 87 78 83 89 87 86 53 64 74
2026 48 93 27 6 78 88 60 78 60 44 51 36 75 71 61 81
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Expected Home Runs

Adjusted
Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2024 22.98 10 10.5 -1 7 10 2 20.0
2025 22.12 11 12.9 -2 12 11 6 54.5
2026 27.32 1 0.9 0 0 1 0 0.0
Player 22.75 22 24.3 -2 19 22 8 36.4
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's batted balls allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Expected Home Runs by Park

Adjusted
Year HR
2024 10 6 8 11 11 11 13 9 10 9 11 15 9 8 12 8 8 9 11 15 11 11 15 13 9 10 10 12 10 10 10
2025 11 13 9 13 14 11 9 16 9 8 10 15 19 23 10 9 17 9 11 15 13 12 20 17 11 8 11 17 18 12 9
2026 1 1 1 0 1 1 1 0 1 1 1 1 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Player 22 20 18 24 26 23 23 25 20 18 22 31 28 32 23 18 26 19 23 31 25 24 36 31 21 19 22 30 29 23 20
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's batted balls allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Year to Year Changes

2026 +/-   2025 +/-   2024
Results
BA .209 +.010 ↑ .199 +.001 ↑ .198
xBA .160 -.042 ↓ .202 +.011 ↑ .191
OBP .327 +.076 ↑ .251 -.006 ↓ .257
xOBP .286 +.031 ↑ .255 +.003 ↑ .252
SLG .372 +.065 ↑ .307 +.012 ↑ .295
xSLG .263 -.058 ↓ .321 +.019 ↑ .302
ISO .163 +.055 ↑ .108 +.011 ↑ .097
xISO .103 -.016 ↓ .119 +.008 ↑ .111
BABIP .258 -.015 ↓ .273 -.011 ↓ .284
wOBA .319 +.072 ↑ .247 .000 .247
xwOBA .259 +.004 ↑ .255 +.005 ↑ .250
wOBAcon .339 +.024 ↑ .315 -.013 ↓ .328
xwOBAcon .242 -.086 ↓ .328 -.006 ↓ .334
BACON .281 -.009 ↓ .290 -.017 ↓ .307
xBACON .215 -.081 ↓ .296 -.003 ↓ .299
Statcast Hit Metrics
Hard Hit % 31.3 -8.8 ↓ 40.1 +3.8 ↑ 36.3
Avg Exit Velocity 85.8 -1.8 ↓ 87.6 -0.2 ↓ 87.8
Launch Angle Sweet-Spot % 25.0 -4.4 ↓ 29.4 +1.6 ↑ 27.8
Barrel % 3.1 -2.7 ↓ 5.8 +0.6 ↑ 5.2
Avg Launch Angle 17.1 +4.9 ↑ 12.2 +3.8 ↑ 8.4
Statcast Bat Tracking
Bat Speed 71.5 +0.3 ↑ 71.2 +0.3 ↑ 70.9
Attack Angle 10° +1° ↑ 9° 0° ↓ 10°
Ideal Attack Angle % 57.3 +10.8 ↑ 46.5 +0.8 ↑ 45.7
Attack Direction -2° 0° ↑ -2° 0° ↓ -2°
Swing Path - Tilt 32° -1° ↓ 33° -1° ↓ 33°
Swing Length 7.3 0.0 7.3 -0.1 ↓ 7.4
Statcast Pitch Metrics
Fastball Velocity 97.1 -1.0 ↓ 98.1 -0.7 ↓ 98.8
Breaking Velocity 83.6 -0.9 ↓ 84.5 +0.1 ↑ 84.4
Offspeed Velocity 90.8 -0.7 ↓ 91.5 -1.4 ↓ 92.9
Batted Ball Results
Barrels 1 -26 ↓ 27 +11 ↑ 16
Popup % 12.5 +4.8 ↑ 7.7 +0.5 ↑ 7.2
Flyball % 25.0 +0.1 ↑ 24.9 +4.6 ↑ 20.3
Line Drive % 15.6 -7.2 ↓ 22.8 +2.5 ↑ 20.3
Groundball % 46.9 +2.3 ↑ 44.6 -7.7 ↓ 52.3
Pull % 31.3 -9.6 ↓ 40.9 -0.9 ↓ 41.8
Straight Away % 40.6 +2.9 ↑ 37.7 +2.1 ↑ 35.6
Opposite Field % 28.1 +6.8 ↑ 21.3 -1.2 ↓ 22.5
Weak Contact % 3.1 -1.6 ↓ 4.7 +0.5 ↑ 4.2
Pull Airball % 6.3 -11.4 ↓ 17.7 +2.0 ↑ 15.7
Topped Contact % 25.0 -9.8 ↓ 34.8 -5.7 ↓ 40.5
Under Contact % 43.8 +18.0 ↑ 25.8 +5.2 ↑ 20.6
Flare/Burner Contact % 18.8 -4.4 ↓ 23.2 +0.3 ↑ 22.9
Solid Contact % 6.3 +1.2 ↑ 5.1 -1.1 ↓ 6.2
HR/FB % 12.5 +3.1 ↑ 9.4 -6.7 ↓ 16.1
Popups 4 -32 ↓ 36 +14 ↑ 22
Flyballs 8 -109 ↓ 117 +55 ↑ 62
Line Drives 5 -102 ↓ 107 +45 ↑ 62
Groundballs 15 -194 ↓ 209 +49 ↑ 160
Plate Discipline
In Zone % 49.3 -1.5 ↓ 50.8 +0.4 ↑ 50.4
Out of Zone % 50.7 +1.5 ↑ 49.2 -0.4 ↓ 49.6
Edge % 47.3 +2.3 ↑ 45.0 +0.9 ↑ 44.1
Zone Swing % 66.7 -1.5 ↓ 68.2 -0.3 ↓ 68.5
Out of Zone Swing % 31.4 +0.9 ↑ 30.5 -0.4 ↓ 30.9
In Zone Contact % 77.3 +0.6 ↑ 76.7 -2.5 ↓ 79.2
Out of Zone Contact % 71.9 +17.7 ↑ 54.2 +0.7 ↑ 53.5
Whiff % 24.5 -5.6 ↓ 30.1 +1.4 ↑ 28.7
First Strike % 63.5 +2.7 ↑ 60.8 -1.1 ↓ 61.9
First Pitch Swing % 28.8 -4.9 ↓ 33.7 -0.5 ↓ 34.2
Swing % 48.8 -0.8 ↓ 49.6 -0.2 ↓ 49.8
Meatball Swing % 76.5 +3.6 ↑ 72.9 -9.8 ↓ 82.7
Meatball % 8.5 +1.4 ↑ 7.1 +0.8 ↑ 6.3
Zone Swing & Miss % 22.7 -0.6 ↓ 23.3 +2.5 ↑ 20.8
Out of Zone Swing & Miss % 28.1 -17.7 ↓ 45.8 -0.7 ↓ 46.5
In Zone 99 -1,423 ↓ 1,522 +450 ↑ 1,072
Out of Zone 102 -1,373 ↓ 1,475 +422 ↑ 1,053
Edge 95 -1,255 ↓ 1,350 +413 ↑ 937
In Zone Swings 66 -972 ↓ 1,038 +304 ↑ 734
Out of Zone Swings 32 -418 ↓ 450 +125 ↑ 325
In Zone Swing & Misses 15 -227 ↓ 242 +89 ↑ 153
Out of Zone Swing & Misses 9 -197 ↓ 206 +55 ↑ 151
Basic
Pitches 201 -2,796 ↓ 2,997 +872 ↑ 2,125
PA 52 -681 ↓ 733 +219 ↑ 514
AB 43 -641 ↓ 684 +209 ↑ 475
Hits 9 -127 ↓ 136 +42 ↑ 94
Singles 5 -81 ↓ 86 +17 ↑ 69
Doubles 2 -35 ↓ 37 +23 ↑ 14
Triples 1 -1 ↓ 2 +1 ↑ 1
Home Runs 1 -10 ↓ 11 +1 ↑ 10
Walks 6 -36 ↓ 42 +10 ↑ 32
Strikeouts 12 -204 ↓ 216 +46 ↑ 170
K% 23.1 -6.4 ↓ 29.5 -3.6 ↓ 33.1
BB% 11.5 +5.8 ↑ 5.7 -0.5 ↓ 6.2
HBP 2 -4 ↓ 6 0 6
Batted Balls 32 -437 ↓ 469 +163 ↑ 306
Number of Fastballs 123 -1,356 ↓ 1,479 +645 ↑ 834
Number of Offspeed 42 -689 ↓ 731 +14 ↑ 717
Number of Breaking 15 -297 ↓ 312 -50 ↓ 362
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Statcast Fielder Positioning

vs RHHvs LHH
YearAlignment TypePAwOBAPATotal%PATotal%
2024 Shades 511 .248 250 2 0.8 261 20 7.7
2025 Shades 733 .247 339 4 1.2 394 142 36.0
2026 Shades 52 .319 31 0 0.0 21 5 23.8
! Note: Shifts are through the 2022 season, Shaded starting from the 2023 season, Shift: three or more infielders are on the same side of second base, Shade: positioned outside of their typical responsible slices of the field.
Learn more about how positioning is defined here

Pitch Tempo

Bases EmptyRunners On Base
SeasonTeamPitchesTempoFast %Slow %PitchesTempoFast %Slow %
2024 632 15.9 26.1% 0.0% 275 18.8 0.0% 0.4%
2025 867 16.3 14.5% 0.0% 428 18.4 0.5% 0.2%
2026 20 16.1 5.0% 0.0% 19 18.4 0.0% 0.0%

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Pitch Distribution

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