P | Pittsburgh Pirates
Bats/Throws: R/R | 6' 6" 260 lbs | Age: 24
Draft: 2023 | Rd. 1, No. 1, Pittsburgh Pirates | LSU
W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2024 11 3 1.96 23 23 0 133 170 0.95
2025 10 10 1.97 32 32 0 187.2 216 0.95
2026 6 8 3.62 18 18 0 97 119 1.01
3 Seasons 27 21 2.35 73 73 0 417.2 505 0.96
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2024 23 11-3 1.96 133 170 0.95
2025 32 10-10 1.97 187.2 216 0.95
2026 18 6-8 3.62 97 119 1.01
3 Seasons 73 27-21 2.35 417.2 505 0.96
MLB Percentile Rankings
Movement Profile (Induced Break)
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Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls
Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity
Max EV Launch
Angle
LA Sweet-
Spot %
xBA xSLG wOBA xwOBA xwOBAcon HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2024 22 2125 306 16 5.2 3.1 87.8 112.5 8.4 27.8 .191 .302 .247 .250 .333 36.3 33.1 6.2 1.96 2.50
2025 23 2997 469 27 5.8 3.7 87.6 115.8 12.2 29.4 .202 .321 .247 .255 .328 40.1 29.5 5.7 1.97 2.65
2026 24 1633 246 16 6.5 4.1 88.1 111.1 15.0 35.0 .202 .323 .275 .260 .334 37.4 30.1 5.6 3.62 2.75
Player 6755 1021 59 5.8 3.6 87.8 115.8 11.7 30.3 .199 .316 .254 .255 .331 38.3 30.8 5.8
MLB 7.6 4.9 88.6 122.9 12.5 33.3 .243 .408 .316 .316 .369 37.1 22.2 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Skenes relies on 7 pitches.
Four Seamer
(38.4%) ,
Changeup
(16.2%) ,
Sweeper
(16.0%) ,
Sinker
(11.7%) ,
Split Finger
(11.0%) ,
Slider
(6.0%) ,
Curveball
(0.6%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

AIR: Fly Balls + Line Drives + Popups All Batted Balls Batted Ball Breakdown
Season GB % AIR % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Pull GB % Straight GB % Oppo GB % Pull AIR % Straight AIR % Oppo AIR %
2024 52.3 47.7 20.3 20.3 7.2 41.8 35.6 22.5 26.1 19.6 6.5 15.7 16.0 16.0
2025 44.6 55.4 24.9 22.8 7.7 40.9 37.7 21.3 23.2 17.1 4.3 17.7 20.7 17.1
2026 42.3 57.7 23.2 25.2 9.3 38.2 34.6 27.2 22.4 14.6 5.3 15.9 19.9 22.0
Player 46.3 53.7 23.1 22.6 7.9 40.5 36.3 23.1 23.9 17.2 5.2 16.7 19.1 17.9
MLB 44.2 55.8 24.2 24.6 7.1 37.5 37.3 25.1 20.7 17.6 5.8 16.8 19.7 19.2
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Quality of Contact

Season Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2024 4.2 40.5 20.6 22.9 6.2 5.2 3.1
2025 4.7 34.8 25.8 23.2 5.1 5.8 3.7
2026 4.9 27.6 30.5 24.8 5.7 6.5 4.1
Player 4.6 34.8 25.4 23.5 5.6 5.8 3.6
MLB 4.0 32.3 25.0 24.4 5.9 7.6 4.9
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement


How this works: This section shows two different ways to evaluate pitch movement. On the left, “Total Movement” shows the real-world movement of a pitch, including the forces of gravity, which affects every pitch thrown. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren't 'better' just because they have more time to move, a pitch's movement is compared to other pitches of the same pitch type, within +/- 2 MPH and +/- 0.5 feet of extension/release. On the right, Induced Movement (or IVB) is reported without gravity, and attempts to isolate movement created by the pitcher's ability to spin and manipulate the ball.
Total Movement (in inches, w/ gravity)Induced Movement (in inches, w/o gravity)
YearPitchTeamHand#MPHVertical
Drop
vs.
Comparable
Horizontal
Break
vs.
Comparable
Vertical
Break
vs. AvgHorizontal
Break
vs. Avg
2026 Sweeper PIT R 262 84.2 33.2 -4.1 10.6GLV -3.1 5.4 -4.3 10.6GLV -3.2
2026 4-Seam Fastball PIT R 627 97.0 16.0 -2.6 12.4ARM 4.5 13.1 -2.7 12.4ARM 4.6
2026 Sinker PIT R 191 96.7 22.0 0.9 17.2ARM 1.6 7.3 0.3 17.2ARM 2.0
2026 Curveball PIT R 10 81.8 48.9 -2.4 10.9GLV 2.0 -7.9 -2.3 10.9GLV 1.7
2026 Slider PIT R 98 86.7 35.1 0.3 4.2GLV 0.0 1.0 0.4 4.2GLV 0.4
2026 Split-Finger PIT R 180 93.5 30.1 0.4 13.1ARM -0.3 1.2 1.8 13.1ARM 1.6
2026 Changeup PIT R 265 88.8 28.2 -3.2 15.3ARM 1.2 6.5 -2.6 15.3ARM 0.9
2025 Sweeper PIT R 475 84.5 32.8 -4.9 11.4GLV -1.8 5.7 -4.8 11.4GLV -2.5
2025 Sinker PIT R 312 97.6 22.4 1.3 17.5ARM 2.1 6.4 1.0 17.5ARM 2.4
2025 Changeup PIT R 326 88.7 29.6 -1.5 16.6ARM 2.0 5.4 -1.3 16.6ARM 2.2
2025 Split-Finger PIT R 405 93.7 31.2 1.6 13.4ARM 0.5 0.0 3.1 13.4ARM 2.1
2025 4-Seam Fastball PIT R 1167 98.2 16.9 -3.8 14.0ARM 5.8 11.6 -4.2 14.0ARM 6.4
2025 Slider PIT R 168 85.3 30.2 -5.7 3.3GLV -1.5 7.6 -5.8 3.3GLV -0.9
2025 Curveball PIT R 144 83.9 41.3 -7.4 6.1GLV -1.6 -2.6 -7.6 6.1GLV -2.9
! Note: Years are in reverse order.

Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2026 4-Seam Fastball 1.3 8 627 38.4 154 .188 .341 .271 29.5 33.8 25.7 .188 .340 .267 43.2
2026 Changeup -0.9 -2 265 16.2 67 .210 .371 .269 39.6 38.8 19.5 .185 .263 .220 18.9
2026 Sweeper 1.3 3 262 16.0 41 .103 .256 .202 28.0 26.8 16.9 .135 .205 .166 20.7
2026 Sinker 0.6 1 191 11.7 49 .267 .444 .355 8.8 14.3 18.9 .271 .429 .332 52.6
2026 Split-Finger 0.1 0 180 11.0 45 .366 .415 .370 18.8 15.6 21.9 .293 .350 .308 40.0
2026 Slider 1.3 1 98 6.0 38 .176 .324 .287 39.0 42.1 31.4 .171 .336 .265 38.9
2026 Curveball 1.2 0 10 0.6 1 .000 .000 .000 20.0 0.0 0.0 .151 .170 .141 0.0
2025 4-Seam Fastball 1.7 20 1,167 38.9 294 .205 .347 .280 29.6 34.7 26.2 .200 .368 .280 53.3
2025 Sweeper 1.9 9 475 15.8 113 .150 .215 .195 32.9 30.1 20.7 .167 .254 .209 19.2
2025 Split-Finger 0.4 2 405 13.5 101 .269 .366 .326 22.8 12.9 18.6 .264 .373 .309 43.8
2025 Changeup 2.8 9 326 10.9 88 .103 .126 .108 43.9 50.0 21.7 .116 .153 .123 11.6
2025 Sinker 1.8 6 312 10.4 85 .220 .293 .254 16.7 14.1 14.8 .262 .359 .284 48.6
2025 Slider 0.2 0 168 5.6 24 .227 .364 .327 33.8 16.7 10.0 .161 .208 .204 16.7
2025 Curveball -2.7 -4 144 4.8 28 .320 .680 .448 40.8 25.0 16.3 .289 .473 .367 44.4
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: To better align with other values, positive numbers (red) are good, and negative numbers (blue) are poor.

Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2026 Changeup 265 88.8 97 16.9 2:45 2:30 15
2026 Curveball 10 81.8 73 15.3 8:00 7:30 30
2026 4-Seam Fastball 627 97.0 97 17.9 1:45 1:30 15
2026 Split-Finger 168 93.4 89 13.9 2:00 3:00 -60
2026 Sinker 190 96.7 96 19.1 1:45 2:15 -30
2026 Slider 98 86.7 26 4.8 10:00 9:00 60
2026 Sweeper 260 84.2 37 12.4 9:00 9:45 -45
2025 Changeup 325 88.8 98 18.0 2:45 2:30 15
2025 Curveball 143 83.9 43 7.9 9:00 8:00 60
2025 4-Seam Fastball 1,166 98.2 97 18.3 2:00 1:45 15
2025 Split-Finger 367 93.7 90 14.5 2:15 3:15 -60
2025 Sinker 311 97.6 96 19.1 2:00 2:30 -30
2025 Slider 167 85.2 29 7.9 9:30 11:00 -90
2025 Sweeper 473 84.5 37 12.9 9:15 9:45 -30
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Pitcher Arm Angle

! Note: Data is available from 2020 through the present.
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Statcast Pitching Run Value

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2024 514 2,125 11 34 -9 -8 28
2025 733 2,997 19 45 -11 -11 42
2026 395 1,633 9 17 -5 -9 12
Player 1,642 6,755 39 96 -24 39 82
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2024 2,125 50.3 68.6 79.3 30.8 53.4 44.1 61.9 49.8 28.7 6.3 82.7
2025 2,997 50.7 68.2 76.8 30.5 54.1 45.0 60.8 49.6 30.1 7.1 72.9
2026 1,633 46.4 71.4 79.7 33.1 56.6 43.8 61.0 50.9 28.3 5.8 77.9
Player 6,755 49.5 69.1 78.2 31.3 54.5 44.5 61.2 50.0 29.2 6.5 76.9
MLB 48.7 67.0 82.6 28.5 57.9 42.7 61.2 47.3 25.0 7.3 76.2
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Run Value Pitching
Year Pitching Fastball Breaking Off
Speed
xERA Fastball
MPH
Fastball
Spin
Curve
Spin
Avg
EV
Chase% Whiff% K% BB% Barrel% Hard-
Hit%
GB% Extension
2024 98 77 61 100 97 99 49 47 76 73 75 95 78 87 70 89 47
2025 100 99 81 98 97 95 42 27 87 77 83 89 87 86 53 64 74
2026 91 93 88 18 93 86 28 62 76 73 92 88 66 57 48 79
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Expected Home Runs

Adjusted

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2024 22.98 10 10.5 -1 7 10 2 20.0
2025 22.12 11 12.9 -2 12 11 6 54.5
2026 22.52 11 10.3 1 4 7 5 45.5
Player 22.53 32 33.7 -2 23 28 13 40.6
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's batted balls allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Expected Home Runs by Park

Adjusted

Year HR
2024 10 6 8 11 11 11 13 9 10 9 11 15 9 8 12 8 8 9 11 15 11 11 15 13 9 10 10 12 10 10 10
2025 11 13 9 13 14 11 9 16 9 8 10 15 19 23 10 9 17 9 11 15 13 12 20 17 11 8 11 17 18 12 9
2026 11 11 7 10 9 12 9 9 11 9 7 9 9 11 10 10 12 10 11 12 9 14 12 15 9 8 9 11 13 10 11
Player 32 30 24 34 34 34 31 34 30 26 28 39 37 42 32 27 37 28 33 42 33 37 47 45 29 26 30 40 41 32 30
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's batted balls allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Year to Year Changes

2026 +/-   2025 +/-   2024
Results
BA .211 +.012 .199 +.001 .198
xBA .202 .000 .202 +.011 .191
OBP .267 +.016 .251 -.006 .257
xOBP .261 +.006 .255 +.004 .251
SLG .356 +.049 .307 +.012 .295
xSLG .323 +.002 .321 +.019 .302
ISO .144 +.036 .108 +.011 .097
xISO .121 +.002 .119 +.008 .111
BABIP .278 +.005 .273 -.011 .284
wOBA .275 +.028 .247 .000 .247
xwOBA .260 +.005 .255 +.005 .250
wOBAcon .357 +.042 .315 -.013 .328
xwOBAcon .334 +.006 .328 -.005 .333
BACON .310 +.020 .290 -.017 .307
xBACON .300 +.004 .296 -.002 .298
Statcast Hit Metrics
Hard Hit % 37.4 -2.7 40.1 +3.8 36.3
Avg Exit Velocity 88.1 +0.5 87.6 -0.2 87.8
Launch Angle Sweet-Spot % 35.0 +5.6 29.4 +1.6 27.8
Barrel % 6.5 +0.7 5.8 +0.6 5.2
Avg Launch Angle 15.0 +2.8 12.2 +3.8 8.4
Statcast Bat Tracking
Bat Speed 71.1 -0.1 71.2 +0.3 70.9
Attack Angle 11° +1° 10°
Ideal Attack Angle % 51.0 +4.5 46.5 +0.8 45.7
Attack Direction -3° -2° -2°
Swing Path - Tilt 32° 33° -1° 33°
Swing Length 7.3 0.0 7.3 -0.1 7.4
Statcast Pitch Metrics
Fastball Velocity 96.9 -1.2 98.1 -0.7 98.8
Breaking Velocity 84.8 +0.3 84.5 +0.1 84.4
Offspeed Velocity 90.7 -0.8 91.5 -1.4 92.9
Batted Ball Results
Barrels 16 -11 27 +11 16
Popup % 9.3 +1.6 7.7 +0.5 7.2
Flyball % 23.2 -1.7 24.9 +4.6 20.3
Line Drive % 25.2 +2.4 22.8 +2.5 20.3
Groundball % 42.3 -2.3 44.6 -7.7 52.3
Pull % 38.2 -2.7 40.9 -0.9 41.8
Straight Away % 34.6 -3.1 37.7 +2.1 35.6
Opposite Field % 27.2 +5.9 21.3 -1.2 22.5
Weak Contact % 4.9 +0.2 4.7 +0.5 4.2
Pull Airball % 15.9 -1.8 17.7 +2.0 15.7
Topped Contact % 27.6 -7.2 34.8 -5.7 40.5
Under Contact % 30.5 +4.7 25.8 +5.2 20.6
Flare/Burner Contact % 24.8 +1.6 23.2 +0.3 22.9
Solid Contact % 5.7 +0.6 5.1 -1.1 6.2
HR/FB % 19.3 +9.9 9.4 -6.7 16.1
Popups 23 -13 36 +14 22
Flyballs 57 -60 117 +55 62
Line Drives 62 -45 107 +45 62
Groundballs 104 -105 209 +49 160
Plate Discipline
In Zone % 46.4 -4.3 50.7 +0.4 50.3
Out of Zone % 53.6 +4.3 49.3 -0.4 49.7
Edge % 43.8 -1.2 45.0 +0.9 44.1
Zone Swing % 71.4 +3.2 68.2 -0.4 68.6
Out of Zone Swing % 33.1 +2.6 30.5 -0.3 30.8
In Zone Contact % 79.7 +2.9 76.8 -2.5 79.3
Out of Zone Contact % 56.6 +2.5 54.1 +0.7 53.4
Whiff % 28.3 -1.8 30.1 +1.4 28.7
First Strike % 61.0 +0.2 60.8 -1.1 61.9
First Pitch Swing % 33.7 0.0 33.7 -0.5 34.2
Swing % 50.9 +1.3 49.6 -0.2 49.8
Meatball Swing % 77.9 +5.0 72.9 -9.8 82.7
Meatball % 5.8 -1.3 7.1 +0.8 6.3
Zone Swing & Miss % 20.3 -2.9 23.2 +2.5 20.7
Out of Zone Swing & Miss % 43.1 -2.8 45.9 -0.7 46.6
In Zone 758 -762 1,520 +452 1,068
Out of Zone 875 -602 1,477 +420 1,057
Edge 716 -634 1,350 +413 937
In Zone Swings 541 -496 1,037 +304 733
Out of Zone Swings 290 -161 451 +125 326
In Zone Swing & Misses 110 -131 241 +89 152
Out of Zone Swing & Misses 125 -82 207 +55 152
Basic
Pitches 1,633 -1,364 2,997 +872 2,125
PA 395 -338 733 +219 514
AB 360 -324 684 +209 475
Hits 76 -60 136 +42 94
Singles 47 -39 86 +17 69
Doubles 17 -20 37 +23 14
Triples 1 -1 2 +1 1
Home Runs 11 0 11 +1 10
Walks 22 -20 42 +10 32
Strikeouts 119 -97 216 +46 170
K% 30.1 +0.6 29.5 -3.6 33.1
BB% 5.6 -0.1 5.7 -0.5 6.2
HBP 7 +1 6 0 6
Batted Balls 246 -223 469 +163 306
Fastball Percent 50.1 +0.8 49.3 +10.1 39.2
Offspeed Percent 27.3 +2.9 24.4 -9.3 33.7
Breaking Percent 22.7 -3.6 26.3 -0.7 27.0
Number of Fastballs 818 -661 1,479 +645 834
Number of Offspeed 445 -286 731 +14 717
Number of Breaking 370 -417 787 +213 574
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Statcast Fielder Positioning

vs RHHvs LHH
YearAlignment TypePAwOBAPATotal%PATotal%
2024 Shades 511 .248 250 2 0.8 261 20 7.7
2025 Shades 733 .247 339 4 1.2 394 142 36.0
2026 Shades 395 .275 163 1 0.6 232 86 37.1
! Note: Shifts are through the 2022 season, Shaded starting from the 2023 season, Shift: three or more infielders are on the same side of second base, Shade: positioned outside of their typical responsible slices of the field.
Learn more about how positioning is defined here

Pitch Tempo

Bases EmptyRunners On Base
SeasonTeamPitchesTempoFast %Slow %PitchesTempoFast %Slow %
2024 632 15.9 26.1% 0.0% 275 18.8 0.0% 0.4%
2025 867 16.3 14.5% 0.0% 428 18.4 0.5% 0.2%
2026 456 17.0 3.5% 1.1% 194 18.8 0.0% 2.6%

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Pitch Distribution