P | Toronto Blue Jays
Bats/Throws: R/R | 6' 6" 235 lbs | Age: 35
W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2024 0 3 4.09 20 0 0 22 19 1.23
2025 2 0 1.99 30 0 0 31.2 32 1.01
2026 0 0 8.44 5 0 0 5.1 7 1.88
5 Seasons 5 7 4.52 117 2 0 131.1 145 1.32
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2024 20 0-3 4.09 22 19 1.23
2025 30 2-0 1.99 31.2 32 1.01
2026 5 0-0 8.44 5.1 7 1.88
5 Seasons 117 5-7 4.52 131.1 145 1.32
MLB Percentile Rankings
Movement Profile (Induced Break)
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Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls
Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity
Max EV Launch
Angle
LA Sweet-
Spot %
xBA xSLG wOBA xwOBA xwOBAcon HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2021 30 456 81 6 7.4 4.7 88.1 109.2 1.9 29.6 .255 .423 .322 .343 .400 42.0 23.6 10.2 7.22 5.09
2022 31 751 114 5 4.4 2.6 88.5 109.0 9.2 32.5 .239 .364 .339 .310 .392 36.0 29.1 10.7 4.33 3.91
2024 33 322 64 8 12.5 8.6 87.3 108.0 7.9 39.1 .248 .418 .288 .329 .383 35.9 20.4 9.7 4.09 4.46
2025 34 461 86 7 8.1 5.6 89.1 110.7 3.3 32.6 .266 .388 .225 .306 .385 45.3 25.4 5.6 1.99 3.88
2026 35 56 10 0 0.0 0.0 86.0 106.9 7.4 10.0 .194 .218 .201 .246 .253 30.0 25.0 12.5 2.25 2.42
Player 2046 355 26 7.3 4.7 88.3 110.7 5.8 32.4 .249 .388 .297 .318 .386 39.4 25.4 9.3
MLB 7.2 4.9 88.6 122.9 12.4 33.3 .243 .408 .315 .316 .369 37.0 22.2 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Nance relies on 3 pitches.
Curveball
(40.2%) ,
Slider
(37.0%) ,
Sinker
(22.8%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

AIR: Fly Balls + Line Drives + Popups All Batted Balls Batted Ball Breakdown
Season GB % AIR % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Pull GB % Straight GB % Oppo GB % Pull AIR % Straight AIR % Oppo AIR %
2021 58.0 42.0 16.0 23.5 2.5 29.6 42.0 28.4 23.5 24.7 9.9 6.2 17.3 18.5
2022 47.4 52.6 22.8 23.7 6.1 37.7 43.0 19.3 20.2 21.1 6.1 17.5 21.9 13.2
2024 53.1 46.9 18.8 23.4 4.7 45.3 32.8 21.9 28.1 15.6 9.4 17.2 17.2 12.5
2025 52.3 47.7 18.6 25.6 3.5 38.4 38.4 23.3 22.1 20.9 9.3 16.3 17.4 14.0
2026 70.0 30.0 20.0 10.0 0.0 40.0 40.0 20.0 30.0 30.0 10.0 10.0 10.0 10.0
Player 52.7 47.3 19.4 23.7 4.2 37.5 39.7 22.8 23.1 21.1 8.5 14.4 18.6 14.4
MLB 44.2 55.8 24.1 24.6 7.1 37.4 37.4 25.1 20.7 17.6 5.9 16.7 19.7 19.3
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Quality of Contact

Season Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2021 7.4 39.5 13.6 28.4 3.7 7.4 4.7
2022 4.4 30.7 21.9 31.6 7.0 4.4 2.6
2024 4.7 40.6 12.5 23.4 4.7 12.5 8.6
2025 5.8 37.2 16.3 29.1 2.3 8.1 5.6
2026 10.0 40.0 20.0 30.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Player 5.6 36.3 16.9 28.7 4.5 7.3 4.7
MLB 4.0 32.4 24.9 24.4 5.9 7.2 4.9
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement


How this works: This section shows two different ways to evaluate pitch movement. On the left, “Total Movement” shows the real-world movement of a pitch, including the forces of gravity, which affects every pitch thrown. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren't 'better' just because they have more time to move, a pitch's movement is compared to other pitches of the same pitch type, within +/- 2 MPH and +/- 0.5 feet of extension/release. On the right, Induced Movement (or IVB) is reported without gravity, and attempts to isolate movement created by the pitcher's ability to spin and manipulate the ball.
Total Movement (in inches, w/ gravity)Induced Movement (in inches, w/o gravity)
YearPitchTeamHand#MPHVertical
Drop
vs.
Comparable
Horizontal
Break
vs.
Comparable
Vertical
Break
vs. AvgHorizontal
Break
vs. Avg
2026 Sinker TOR R 21 94.2 21.2 -0.4 15.5ARM 0.8 9.7 -2.0 15.5ARM 0.0
2026 Slider TOR R 34 88.4 34.0 0.5 0.8GLV -2.5 0.8 0.5 0.8GLV -3.3
2026 Curveball TOR R 37 84.2 53.5 4.8 12.9GLV 5.8 -14.5 4.1 12.9GLV 3.8
2025 Slider TOR R 198 88.6 35.0 2.4 0.9GLV -2.6 -0.3 2.1 0.9GLV -3.5
2025 Sinker TOR R 128 94.5 22.3 0.6 15.9ARM 1.1 8.4 -1.0 15.9ARM 0.8
2025 Curveball TOR R 135 85.0 53.2 6.0 11.9GLV 6.1 -14.8 4.6 11.9GLV 2.9
! Note: Years are in reverse order.

Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2026 Curveball 4.6 2 37 40.2 10 .100 .100 .090 25.0 50.0 33.3 .127 .135 .116 40.0
2026 Slider -6.0 -2 34 37.0 10 .444 1.000 .610 21.4 20.0 40.0 .324 .847 .509 42.9
2026 Sinker -5.8 -1 21 22.8 6 .600 .600 .567 0.0 0.0 0.0 .413 .515 .454 40.0
2025 Slider 2.5 5 198 43.0 50 .234 .234 .231 15.6 14.0 16.3 .336 .600 .403 53.7
2025 Curveball 0.8 1 135 29.3 46 .159 .205 .222 40.9 50.0 29.1 .162 .185 .176 28.6
2025 Sinker 0.4 1 128 27.8 30 .269 .269 .363 20.8 6.7 15.4 .318 .356 .349 45.8
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: To better align with other values, positive numbers (red) are good, and negative numbers (blue) are poor.

Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2026 Curveball 37 84.2 76 22.0 6:45 7:15 -30
2026 Sinker 21 94.2 86 18.4 1:15 2:00 -45
2026 Slider 34 88.4 9 2.4 9:45 8:00 105
2025 Curveball 135 85.0 79 21.6 6:45 7:15 -30
2025 Sinker 128 94.5 84 18.4 1:15 2:15 -60
2025 Slider 198 88.6 15 3.3 8:45 7:15 90
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Pitcher Arm Angle

! Note: Data is available from 2020 through the present.
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Statcast Pitching Run Value

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2021 127 456 -1 5 -4 -3 -2
2022 193 751 5 0 -4 -3 -3
2024 91 322 -1 4 -2 -1 0
2025 126 461 8 1 -1 -1 7
2026 26 92 1 -3 0 0 -2
Player 563 2,082 12 8 -11 12 1
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2021 456 52.4 61.1 85.6 23.5 49.0 41.2 56.7 43.2 24.4 8.1 64.9
2022 751 50.3 62.2 85.5 24.7 31.5 41.9 59.1 43.5 29.7 8.4 65.1
2024 322 47.8 61.0 90.4 27.4 39.1 42.2 58.1 43.5 26.4 8.1 80.8
2025 461 52.5 58.3 88.7 33.8 50.0 41.2 61.1 46.6 24.7 7.8 63.9
2026 56 42.9 62.5 93.3 40.6 61.5 42.9 68.8 50.0 21.4 7.1 75.0
Player 2,046 50.7 60.8 87.2 27.4 42.4 41.7 59.1 44.3 26.6 8.1 67.5
MLB 48.8 67.0 82.5 28.4 58.0 42.7 61.1 47.3 25.0 7.4 76.3
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Run Value Pitching
Year Pitching Fastball Breaking Off
Speed
xERA Fastball
MPH
Fastball
Spin
Curve
Spin
Avg
EV
Chase% Whiff% K% BB% Barrel% Hard-
Hit%
GB% Extension
2021 77 68 89 53
2022 52 76 93 47
2024 56 78 90 46
2025 52 71 93 28
2026 75 36 96 80 76 93 28 53 31 70 73 96
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Expected Home Runs

Adjusted

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2021 22.84 5 3.9 1 1 1 3 60.0
2022 24.09 5 3.9 1 1 4 1 20.0
2024 22.02 2 2.0 0 4 3 0 0.0
2025 -- 0 1.9 -2 2 4 0 --
2026 23.14 1 1.0 0 1 1 0 0.0
Player 23.25 13 12.7 0 9 13 4 30.8
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's batted balls allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Expected Home Runs by Park

Adjusted

Year HR
2021 5 4 4 4 4 4 4 5 4 3 3 4 5 3 4 5 4 4 4 4 4 4 5 5 3 3 4 4 4 3 3
2022 5 4 2 3 5 5 5 3 2 3 3 4 3 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 3 6 4 4 4 5 4 3 5 5
2024 2 1 1 2 2 2 2 1 2 1 2 2 5 1 2 1 1 0 3 4 2 2 4 3 1 2 2 3 3 2 2
2025 0 2 0 2 2 1 1 1 1 0 1 1 5 5 2 1 3 1 1 2 2 1 4 4 2 0 1 3 4 1 2
2026 1 1 1 1 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 1 1 1 1 1 2 1 0
Player 13 12 8 12 13 13 13 11 10 8 10 12 19 14 13 12 13 10 13 15 13 11 21 17 11 10 13 15 16 12 12
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's batted balls allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Year to Year Changes

2026 +/-   2025 +/-   2024 +/-   2023 +/-   2022 +/-   2021
Results
BA .143 -.071 .214 -.008 .222 -- -- -- -- +.038 .227
xBA .194 -.072 .266 +.018 .248 -- -- -- -- -.016 .255
OBP .250 -.012 .262 -.042 .304 -- -- -- -- +.036 .323
xOBP .295 -.016 .311 -.023 .334 -- -- -- -- -.011 .348
SLG .143 -.088 .231 -.139 .370 -- -- -- -- .000 .418
xSLG .218 -.170 .388 -.030 .418 -- -- -- -- -.059 .423
ISO .000 -.017 .017 -.131 .148 -- -- -- -- -.038 .191
xISO .024 -.098 .122 -.049 .171 -- -- -- -- -.043 .168
BABIP .200 -.091 .291 +.029 .262 -- -- -- -- +.107 .263
wOBA .201 -.024 .225 -.063 .288 -- -- -- -- +.017 .322
xwOBA .246 -.060 .306 -.023 .329 -- -- -- -- -.033 .343
wOBAcon .181 -.084 .265 -.059 .324 -- -- -- -- +.074 .367
xwOBAcon .253 -.132 .385 +.002 .383 -- -- -- -- -.008 .400
BACON .200 -.091 .291 +.005 .286 -- -- -- -- +.089 .309
xBACON .271 -.092 .363 +.034 .329 -- -- -- -- +.011 .349
Statcast Hit Metrics
Hard Hit % 30.0 -15.3 45.3 +9.4 35.9 -- -- -- -- -6.0 42.0
Avg Exit Velocity 86.0 -3.1 89.1 +1.8 87.3 -- -- -- -- +0.4 88.1
Launch Angle Sweet-Spot % 10.0 -22.6 32.6 -6.5 39.1 -- -- -- -- +2.9 29.6
Barrel % 0.0 -8.1 8.1 -4.4 12.5 -- -- -- -- -3.0 7.4
Avg Launch Angle 7.4 +4.1 3.3 -4.6 7.9 -- -- -- -- +7.3 1.9
Statcast Bat Tracking
Bat Speed 70.6 -0.9 71.5 +0.3 71.2 -- -- -- -- -- --
Attack Angle 12° +2° 10° -1° 11° -- -- -- -- -- --
Ideal Attack Angle % 56.5 -4.0 60.5 +9.3 51.2 -- -- -- -- -- --
Attack Direction -4° -2° -1° -1° -- -- -- -- -- --
Swing Path - Tilt 33° +2° 30° -1° 31° -- -- -- -- -- --
Swing Length 7.2 -0.2 7.4 -0.1 7.5 -- -- -- -- -- --
Statcast Pitch Metrics
Fastball Velocity 94.1 -0.4 94.5 0.0 94.5 -- -- -- -- -1.3 95.3
Breaking Velocity 86.3 -0.8 87.1 +1.4 85.7 -- -- -- -- -0.1 85.9
Offspeed Velocity 0.0 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Batted Ball Results
Barrels 0 -7 7 -1 8 -- -- -- -- -1 6
Popup % 0.0 -3.5 3.5 -1.2 4.7 -- -- -- -- +3.6 2.5
Flyball % 20.0 +1.4 18.6 -0.2 18.8 -- -- -- -- +6.8 16.0
Line Drive % 10.0 -15.6 25.6 +2.2 23.4 -- -- -- -- +0.2 23.5
Groundball % 70.0 +17.7 52.3 -0.8 53.1 -- -- -- -- -10.6 58.0
Pull % 40.0 +1.6 38.4 -6.9 45.3 -- -- -- -- +8.1 29.6
Straight Away % 40.0 +1.6 38.4 +5.6 32.8 -- -- -- -- +1.0 42.0
Opposite Field % 20.0 -3.3 23.3 +1.4 21.9 -- -- -- -- -9.1 28.4
Weak Contact % 10.0 +4.2 5.8 +1.1 4.7 -- -- -- -- -3.0 7.4
Pull Airball % 10.0 -6.3 16.3 -0.9 17.2 -- -- -- -- +11.3 6.2
Topped Contact % 40.0 +2.8 37.2 -3.4 40.6 -- -- -- -- -8.8 39.5
Under Contact % 20.0 +3.7 16.3 +3.8 12.5 -- -- -- -- +8.3 13.6
Flare/Burner Contact % 30.0 +0.9 29.1 +5.7 23.4 -- -- -- -- +3.2 28.4
Solid Contact % 0.0 -2.3 2.3 -2.4 4.7 -- -- -- -- +3.3 3.7
HR/FB % 0.0 0.0 0.0 -16.7 16.7 -- -- -- -- -19.3 38.5
Popups 0 -3 3 0 3 -- -- -- -- +5 2
Flyballs 2 -14 16 +4 12 -- -- -- -- +13 13
Line Drives 1 -21 22 +7 15 -- -- -- -- +8 19
Groundballs 7 -38 45 +11 34 -- -- -- -- +7 47
Plate Discipline
In Zone % 42.9 -9.6 52.5 +4.7 47.8 -- -- -- -- -2.1 52.4
Out of Zone % 57.1 +9.6 47.5 -4.7 52.2 -- -- -- -- +2.1 47.6
Edge % 42.9 +1.7 41.2 -1.0 42.2 -- -- -- -- +0.7 41.2
Zone Swing % 62.5 +4.2 58.3 -2.7 61.0 -- -- -- -- +1.1 61.1
Out of Zone Swing % 40.6 +6.8 33.8 +6.4 27.4 -- -- -- -- +1.2 23.5
In Zone Contact % 93.3 +4.6 88.7 -1.7 90.4 -- -- -- -- -0.1 85.6
Out of Zone Contact % 61.5 +11.5 50.0 +10.9 39.1 -- -- -- -- -17.5 49.0
Whiff % 21.4 -3.3 24.7 -1.7 26.4 -- -- -- -- +5.3 24.4
First Strike % 68.8 +7.7 61.1 +3.0 58.1 -- -- -- -- +2.4 56.7
First Pitch Swing % 31.3 +5.1 26.2 -0.7 26.9 -- -- -- -- +5.7 22.8
Swing % 50.0 +3.4 46.6 +3.1 43.5 -- -- -- -- +0.3 43.2
Meatball Swing % 75.0 +11.1 63.9 -16.9 80.8 -- -- -- -- +0.2 64.9
Meatball % 7.1 -0.7 7.8 -0.3 8.1 -- -- -- -- +0.3 8.1
Zone Swing & Miss % 6.7 -4.6 11.3 +1.7 9.6 -- -- -- -- -0.6 15.1
Out of Zone Swing & Miss % 38.5 -11.5 50.0 -10.9 60.9 -- -- -- -- +17.5 51.0
In Zone 24 -218 242 +88 154 -- -- -- -- +139 239
Out of Zone 32 -187 219 +51 168 -- -- -- -- +156 217
Edge 24 -166 190 +54 136 -- -- -- -- +127 188
In Zone Swings 15 -126 141 +47 94 -- -- -- -- +89 146
Out of Zone Swings 13 -61 74 +28 46 -- -- -- -- +41 51
In Zone Swing & Misses 1 -15 16 +7 9 -- -- -- -- +12 22
Out of Zone Swing & Misses 5 -32 37 +9 28 -- -- -- -- +37 26
Basic
Pitches 56 -405 461 +139 322 -- -- -- -- +295 456
PA 16 -110 126 +33 93 -- -- -- -- +69 127
AB 14 -103 117 +36 81 -- -- -- -- +60 110
Hits 2 -23 25 +7 18 -- -- -- -- +20 25
Singles 2 -21 23 +12 11 -- -- -- -- +15 15
Doubles 0 -2 2 -2 4 -- -- -- -- +5 4
Triples 0 0 0 -1 1 -- -- -- -- 0 1
Home Runs 0 0 0 -2 2 -- -- -- -- 0 5
Walks 2 -5 7 -2 9 -- -- -- -- +8 13
Strikeouts 4 -28 32 +13 19 -- -- -- -- +27 30
K% 25.0 -0.4 25.4 +5.0 20.4 -- -- -- -- +5.5 23.6
BB% 12.5 +6.9 5.6 -4.1 9.7 -- -- -- -- +0.5 10.2
HBP 0 -1 1 0 1 -- -- -- -- +1 3
Batted Balls 10 -76 86 +22 64 -- -- -- -- +33 81
Number of Fastballs 11 -117 128 +10 118 -- -- -- -- +35 283
Number of Offspeed 0 0 0 0 0 -- -- -- -- 0 0
Number of Breaking 45 -288 333 +129 204 -- -- -- -- +260 173
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Statcast Fielder Positioning

vs RHHvs LHH
YearAlignment TypePAwOBAPATotal%PATotal%
2021 Shifts 127 .322 67 9 13.4 60 34 56.7
2022 Shifts 193 .339 108 34 31.5 85 47 55.3
2024 Shades 91 .288 59 4 6.8 32 23 71.9
2025 Shades 126 .225 82 3 3.7 44 29 65.9
2026 Shades 26 .410 11 0 0.0 15 7 46.7
! Note: Shifts are through the 2022 season, Shaded starting from the 2023 season, Shift: three or more infielders are on the same side of second base, Shade: positioned outside of their typical responsible slices of the field.
Learn more about how positioning is defined here

Pitch Tempo

Bases EmptyRunners On Base
SeasonTeamPitchesTempoFast %Slow %PitchesTempoFast %Slow %
2021 139 20.5 0.0% 6.5% 73 23.7 0.0% 8.2%
2022 174 20.7 0.6% 2.9% 167 22.2 0.0% 9.0%
2024 86 16.4 20.9% 0.0% 62 18.3 0.0% 0.0%
2025 130 17.1 6.9% 0.0% 70 17.9 0.0% 0.0%
2026 11 16.5 0.0% 0.0% 2 17.4 0.0% 0.0%

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Pitch Distribution