P | Toronto Blue Jays
Bats/Throws: R/R | 6' 6" 235 lbs | Age: 34
W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2022 2 3 4.33 35 2 0 43.2 57 1.51
2024 0 3 4.09 20 0 0 22 19 1.23
2025 2 0 1.99 30 0 0 31.2 32 1.01
4 Seasons 5 7 4.36 112 2 0 126 138 1.29
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2022 35 2-3 4.33 43.2 57 1.51
2024 20 0-3 4.09 22 19 1.23
2025 30 2-0 1.99 31.2 32 1.01
4 Seasons 112 5-7 4.36 126 138 1.29
MLB Percentile Rankings
Movement Profile (Induced Break)
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Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls
Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity
Max EV Launch
Angle
LA Sweet-
Spot %
XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2021 30 456 81 6 7.4 4.7 88.1 109.2 1.9 29.6 .256 .417 .322 .339 .393 42.0 23.6 10.2 7.22 4.99
2022 31 751 114 5 4.4 2.6 88.5 109.0 9.2 32.5 .238 .356 .339 .308 .388 36.0 29.1 10.7 4.33 3.94
2024 33 322 64 8 12.5 8.6 87.3 108.0 7.9 39.1 .249 .407 .288 .324 .376 35.9 20.4 9.7 4.09 4.43
2025 34 461 86 7 8.1 5.6 89.1 110.7 3.3 32.6 .271 .383 .225 .307 .386 45.3 25.4 5.6 1.99 3.93
Player 1990 345 26 7.5 4.8 88.4 110.7 5.8 33.0 .252 .385 .300 .318 .387 39.7 25.5 9.2
MLB 7.2 4.9 88.6 122.9 12.4 33.3 .245 .404 .315 .315 .368 37.0 22.2 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Nance relies on 3 pitches.
Slider
(43.0%) ,
Curveball
(29.3%) ,
Sinker
(27.8%) ,


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+ If Available Pitches Click to Video.


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

AIR: Fly Balls + Line Drives + Popups All Batted Balls Batted Ball Breakdown
Season GB % AIR % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Pull GB % Straight GB % Oppo GB % Pull AIR % Straight AIR % Oppo AIR %
2021 58.0 42.0 16.0 23.5 2.5 29.6 42.0 28.4 23.5 24.7 9.9 6.2 17.3 18.5
2022 47.4 52.6 22.8 23.7 6.1 37.7 43.0 19.3 20.2 21.1 6.1 17.5 21.9 13.2
2024 53.1 46.9 18.8 23.4 4.7 45.3 32.8 21.9 28.1 15.6 9.4 17.2 17.2 12.5
2025 52.3 47.7 18.6 25.6 3.5 38.4 38.4 23.3 22.1 20.9 9.3 16.3 17.4 14.0
Player 52.2 47.8 19.4 24.1 4.3 37.4 39.7 22.9 22.9 20.9 8.4 14.5 18.8 14.5
MLB 44.2 55.8 24.0 24.7 7.1 37.4 37.4 25.1 20.6 17.6 5.9 16.7 19.7 19.3
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Quality of Contact

Season Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2021 7.4 39.5 13.6 28.4 3.7 7.4 4.7
2022 4.4 30.7 21.9 31.6 7.0 4.4 2.6
2024 4.7 40.6 12.5 23.4 4.7 12.5 8.6
2025 5.8 37.2 16.3 29.1 2.3 8.1 5.6
Player 5.5 36.2 16.8 28.7 4.6 7.5 4.8
MLB 4.0 32.4 24.9 24.4 5.9 7.2 4.9
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement


How this works: This section shows two different ways to evaluate pitch movement. On the left, “Total Movement” shows the real-world movement of a pitch, including the forces of gravity, which affects every pitch thrown. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren't 'better' just because they have more time to move, a pitch's movement is compared to other pitches of the same pitch type, within +/- 2 MPH and +/- 0.5 feet of extension/release. On the right, Induced Movement (or IVB) is reported without gravity, and attempts to isolate movement created by the pitcher's ability to spin and manipulate the ball.
Total Movement (in inches, w/ gravity)Induced Movement (in inches, w/o gravity)
YearPitchTeamHand#MPHVertical
Drop
vs.
Comparable
Horizontal
Break
vs.
Comparable
Vertical
Break
vs. AvgHorizontal
Break
vs. Avg
2025 Sinker TOR R 128 94.5 22.3 0.5 15.9ARM 1.0 8.4 -1.0 15.9ARM 0.8
2025 Slider TOR R 198 88.6 35.0 2.4 0.9GLV -2.6 -0.3 2.0 0.9GLV -3.7
2025 Curveball TOR R 135 85.0 53.2 6.4 11.9GLV 6.3 -14.8 4.9 11.9GLV 2.8
2024 Curveball TOR R 121 84.6 54.3 7.4 12.4GLV 5.7 -15.4 5.4 12.4GLV 3.0
2024 Slider TOR R 83 87.4 38.6 4.8 2.2GLV -1.7 -2.8 4.5 2.2GLV -2.6
2024 4-Seam Fastball TOR R 2 95.1 16.6 -2.6 9.6ARM 2.5 13.7 -2.0 9.6ARM 2.0
2024 Sinker TOR R 116 94.5 22.9 1.8 16.3ARM 1.8 7.9 -0.7 16.3ARM 1.4
! Note: Years are in reverse order.

Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2025 Slider 2.5 5 198 43.0 50 .234 .234 .231 15.6 14.0 16.3 .347 .584 .404 53.7
2025 Curveball 0.8 1 135 29.3 46 .159 .205 .222 40.9 50.0 29.1 .162 .186 .176 28.6
2025 Sinker 0.4 1 128 27.8 30 .269 .269 .363 20.8 6.7 15.4 .320 .360 .352 45.8
2024 Curveball 1.3 2 121 37.6 30 .111 .185 .221 33.3 40.0 26.7 .144 .223 .213 26.7
2024 Sinker 0.3 0 116 36.0 32 .333 .370 .369 12.2 3.1 12.5 .360 .528 .428 39.3
2024 Slider -2.0 -2 83 25.8 29 .222 .556 .378 35.4 20.7 25.0 .239 .464 .327 38.1
2024 4-Seam Fastball 2.0 0 2 0.6 -- -- -- 0.0 -- 0.0 -- -- -- --
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: To better align with other values, positive numbers (red) are good, and negative numbers (blue) are poor.

Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2025 Curveball 135 85.0 79 21.6 6:45 7:15 -30
2025 Sinker 128 94.5 84 18.4 1:15 2:15 -60
2025 Slider 198 88.6 15 3.3 8:45 7:15 90
2024 Curveball 121 84.6 82 22.5 6:45 7:15 -30
2024 Sinker 116 94.5 81 18.5 1:15 2:15 -60
2024 Slider 83 87.4 23 5.3 8:00 7:00 60
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Pitcher Arm Angle

! Note: Data is available from 2020 through the present.
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Statcast Pitching Run Value

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2021 127 456 -1 5 -4 -3 -2
2022 193 751 5 0 -4 -3 -3
2024 91 322 -1 4 -2 -1 0
2025 126 461 8 1 -1 -1 7
Player 537 1,990 11 11 -11 11 2
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2021 456 52.4 61.1 85.6 23.5 49.0 41.2 56.7 43.2 24.4 8.1 64.9
2022 751 50.3 62.2 85.5 24.7 31.5 41.8 59.1 43.5 29.7 8.4 65.1
2024 322 47.8 61.0 90.4 27.4 39.1 42.2 58.1 43.5 26.4 8.1 80.8
2025 461 52.5 58.3 88.7 33.8 50.0 41.2 61.1 46.6 24.7 7.8 63.9
Player 1,990 50.9 60.8 87.0 26.9 41.4 41.6 58.8 44.2 26.7 8.1 67.3
MLB 48.9 67.0 82.5 28.4 58.0 42.7 61.1 47.3 25.0 7.3 76.3
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA /
xERA
xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV Hard
Hit%
K% BB% Whiff% Chase
Rate
FB
Velo
FB
Spin
CB
Spin
Extension
2021 77 68 89 53
2022 52 76 93 47
2024 56 78 90 46
2025 52 71 93 28
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Expected Home Runs

Adjusted

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2021 22.84 5 3.9 1 1 1 3 60.0
2022 24.09 5 3.9 1 1 4 1 20.0
2024 22.02 2 2.0 0 4 3 0 0.0
2025 -- 0 1.9 -2 2 4 0 --
Player 23.26 12 11.7 0 8 12 4 33.3
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's batted balls allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Expected Home Runs by Park

Adjusted

Year HR
2021 5 4 4 4 4 4 4 5 4 3 3 4 5 3 4 5 4 4 4 4 4 4 5 5 3 3 4 4 4 3 3
2022 5 4 2 3 5 5 5 3 2 3 3 4 3 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 3 6 4 4 4 5 4 3 5 5
2024 2 1 1 2 2 2 2 1 2 1 2 2 5 1 2 1 1 0 3 4 2 2 4 3 1 2 2 3 3 2 2
2025 0 2 0 2 2 1 1 1 1 0 1 1 5 5 2 1 3 1 1 2 2 1 4 4 2 0 1 3 4 1 2
Player 12 11 7 11 13 12 12 10 9 7 9 11 18 13 12 11 12 9 12 14 12 10 19 16 10 9 12 14 14 11 12
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's batted balls allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Year to Year Changes

2025 +/-   2024 +/-   2023 +/-   2022 +/-   2021
Results
BA .214 -.008 .222 -- -- -- -- +.038 .227
xBA .271 +.022 .249 -- -- -- -- -.018 .256
OBP .262 -.042 .304 -- -- -- -- +.036 .323
xOBP .316 -.020 .336 -- -- -- -- -.013 .349
SLG .231 -.139 .370 -- -- -- -- .000 .418
xSLG .383 -.024 .407 -- -- -- -- -.061 .417
ISO .017 -.131 .148 -- -- -- -- -.038 .191
xISO .112 -.046 .158 -- -- -- -- -.043 .161
BABIP .291 +.029 .262 -- -- -- -- +.107 .263
wOBA .225 -.063 .288 -- -- -- -- +.017 .322
xwOBA .307 -.017 .324 -- -- -- -- -.031 .339
wOBACON .265 -.059 .324 -- -- -- -- +.074 .367
xwOBACON .386 +.010 .376 -- -- -- -- -.005 .393
BACON .291 +.005 .286 -- -- -- -- +.089 .309
xBACON .370 +.038 .332 -- -- -- -- +.009 .349
Statcast Hit Metrics
Hard Hit % 45.3 +9.4 35.9 -- -- -- -- -6.0 42.0
Avg Exit Velocity 89.1 +1.8 87.3 -- -- -- -- +0.4 88.1
Launch Angle Sweet-Spot % 32.6 -6.5 39.1 -- -- -- -- +2.9 29.6
Barrel % 8.1 -4.4 12.5 -- -- -- -- -3.0 7.4
Avg Launch Angle 3.3 -4.6 7.9 -- -- -- -- +7.3 1.9
Statcast Bat Tracking
Bat Speed 71.4 +0.2 71.2 -- -- -- -- -- --
Attack Angle 10° -1° 11° -- -- -- -- -- --
Ideal Attack Angle % 60.7 +9.5 51.2 -- -- -- -- -- --
Attack Direction -1° -1° -- -- -- -- -- --
Swing Path - Tilt 30° -1° 31° -- -- -- -- -- --
Swing Length 7.4 -0.1 7.5 -- -- -- -- -- --
Statcast Pitch Metrics
Fastball Velocity 94.5 0.0 94.5 -- -- -- -- -1.3 95.3
Breaking Velocity 87.1 +1.4 85.7 -- -- -- -- -0.1 85.9
Offspeed Velocity 0.0 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Batted Ball Results
Barrels 7 -1 8 -- -- -- -- -1 6
Popup % 3.5 -1.2 4.7 -- -- -- -- +3.6 2.5
Flyball % 18.6 -0.2 18.8 -- -- -- -- +6.8 16.0
Line Drive % 25.6 +2.2 23.4 -- -- -- -- +0.2 23.5
Groundball % 52.3 -0.8 53.1 -- -- -- -- -10.6 58.0
Pull % 38.4 -6.9 45.3 -- -- -- -- +8.1 29.6
Straight Away % 38.4 +5.6 32.8 -- -- -- -- +1.0 42.0
Opposite Field % 23.3 +1.4 21.9 -- -- -- -- -9.1 28.4
Weak Contact % 5.8 +1.1 4.7 -- -- -- -- -3.0 7.4
Pull Airball % 16.3 -0.9 17.2 -- -- -- -- +11.3 6.2
Topped Contact % 37.2 -3.4 40.6 -- -- -- -- -8.8 39.5
Under Contact % 16.3 +3.8 12.5 -- -- -- -- +8.3 13.6
Flare/Burner Contact % 29.1 +5.7 23.4 -- -- -- -- +3.2 28.4
Solid Contact % 2.3 -2.4 4.7 -- -- -- -- +3.3 3.7
HR/FB % 0.0 -16.7 16.7 -- -- -- -- -19.3 38.5
Popups 3 0 3 -- -- -- -- +5 2
Flyballs 16 +4 12 -- -- -- -- +13 13
Line Drives 22 +7 15 -- -- -- -- +8 19
Groundballs 45 +11 34 -- -- -- -- +7 47
Plate Discipline
In Zone % 52.5 +4.7 47.8 -- -- -- -- -2.1 52.4
Out of Zone % 47.5 -4.7 52.2 -- -- -- -- +2.1 47.6
Edge % 41.2 -1.0 42.2 -- -- -- -- +0.6 41.2
Zone Swing % 58.3 -2.7 61.0 -- -- -- -- +1.1 61.1
Out of Zone Swing % 33.8 +6.4 27.4 -- -- -- -- +1.2 23.5
In Zone Contact % 88.7 -1.7 90.4 -- -- -- -- -0.1 85.6
Out of Zone Contact % 50.0 +10.9 39.1 -- -- -- -- -17.5 49.0
Whiff % 24.7 -1.7 26.4 -- -- -- -- +5.3 24.4
First Strike % 61.1 +3.0 58.1 -- -- -- -- +2.4 56.7
First Pitch Swing % 26.2 -0.7 26.9 -- -- -- -- +5.7 22.8
Swing % 46.6 +3.1 43.5 -- -- -- -- +0.3 43.2
Meatball Swing % 63.9 -16.9 80.8 -- -- -- -- +0.2 64.9
Meatball % 7.8 -0.3 8.1 -- -- -- -- +0.3 8.1
Zone Swing & Miss % 11.3 +1.7 9.6 -- -- -- -- -0.6 15.1
Out of Zone Swing & Miss % 50.0 -10.9 60.9 -- -- -- -- +17.5 51.0
In Zone 242 +88 154 -- -- -- -- +139 239
Out of Zone 219 +51 168 -- -- -- -- +156 217
Edge 190 +54 136 -- -- -- -- +126 188
In Zone Swings 141 +47 94 -- -- -- -- +89 146
Out of Zone Swings 74 +28 46 -- -- -- -- +41 51
In Zone Swing & Misses 16 +7 9 -- -- -- -- +12 22
Out of Zone Swing & Misses 37 +9 28 -- -- -- -- +37 26
Basic
Pitches 461 +139 322 -- -- -- -- +295 456
PA 126 +33 93 -- -- -- -- +69 127
AB 117 +36 81 -- -- -- -- +60 110
Hits 25 +7 18 -- -- -- -- +20 25
Singles 23 +12 11 -- -- -- -- +15 15
Doubles 2 -2 4 -- -- -- -- +5 4
Triples 0 -1 1 -- -- -- -- 0 1
Home Runs 0 -2 2 -- -- -- -- 0 5
Walks 7 -2 9 -- -- -- -- +8 13
Strikeouts 32 +13 19 -- -- -- -- +27 30
K% 25.4 +5.0 20.4 -- -- -- -- +5.5 23.6
BB% 5.6 -4.1 9.7 -- -- -- -- +0.5 10.2
HBP 1 0 1 -- -- -- -- +1 3
Batted Balls 86 +22 64 -- -- -- -- +33 81
Number of Fastballs 128 +10 118 -- -- -- -- +35 283
Number of Offspeed 0 0 0 -- -- -- -- 0 0
Number of Breaking 333 +129 204 -- -- -- -- +260 173
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Statcast Fielder Positioning

vs RHHvs LHH
YearAlignment TypePAwOBAPATotal%PATotal%
2021 Shifts 127 .322 67 9 13.4 60 34 56.7
2022 Shifts 193 .339 108 34 31.5 85 47 55.3
2024 Shades 91 .288 59 4 6.8 32 23 71.9
2025 Shades 126 .225 82 3 3.7 44 29 65.9
! Note: Shifts are through the 2022 season, Shaded starting from the 2023 season, Shift: three or more infielders are on the same side of second base, Shade: positioned outside of their typical responsible slices of the field.
Learn more about how positioning is defined here

Pitch Tempo

Bases EmptyRunners On Base
SeasonTeamPitchesTempoFast %Slow %PitchesTempoFast %Slow %
2021 139 20.5 0.0% 6.5% 73 23.7 0.0% 8.2%
2022 174 20.7 0.6% 2.9% 167 22.2 0.0% 9.0%
2024 86 16.4 20.9% 0.0% 62 18.3 0.0% 0.0%
2025 130 17.1 6.9% 0.0% 70 17.9 0.0% 0.0%

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Pitch Distribution