P | Minnesota Twins
Bats/Throws: R/R | 6' 6" 235 lbs | Age: 35
W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2024 0 3 4.09 20 0 0 22 19 1.23
2025 2 0 1.99 30 0 0 31.2 32 1.01
2026 2 3 3.93 51 0 0 52.2 58 1.37
5 Seasons 7 10 4.23 163 2 0 178.2 196 1.32
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2024 20 0-3 4.09 22 19 1.23
2025 30 2-0 1.99 31.2 32 1.01
2026 51 2-3 3.93 52.2 58 1.37
5 Seasons 163 7-10 4.23 178.2 196 1.32
MLB Percentile Rankings
Movement Profile (Induced Break)
?

Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls
Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity
Max EV Launch
Angle
LA Sweet-
Spot %
xBA xSLG wOBA xwOBA xwOBAcon HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2021 30 456 81 6 7.4 4.7 88.1 109.2 1.9 29.6 .255 .423 .322 .343 .400 42.0 23.6 10.2 7.22 5.09
2022 31 751 114 5 4.4 2.6 88.5 109.0 9.2 32.5 .239 .364 .339 .310 .392 36.0 29.1 10.7 4.33 3.91
2024 33 322 64 8 12.7 8.6 87.3 108.0 7.9 39.1 .248 .418 .288 .329 .383 35.9 20.4 9.7 4.09 4.46
2025 34 461 86 7 8.2 5.6 89.1 110.7 3.3 32.6 .266 .388 .225 .306 .385 45.3 25.4 5.6 1.99 3.88
2026 35 866 148 10 6.8 4.4 88.3 110.7 7.9 31.8 .256 .403 .309 .319 .395 37.8 25.6 8.8 3.93 4.29
Player 2856 493 36 7.3 4.7 88.3 110.7 6.4 32.7 .253 .396 .302 .320 .392 39.1 25.5 9.1
MLB 7.6 4.9 88.6 122.9 12.5 33.3 .244 .407 .316 .316 .368 37.1 22.2 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Nance relies on 4 pitches.
Slider
(43.8%) ,
Curveball
(28.9%) ,
Sinker
(27.0%) ,
Four Seamer
(0.3%) ,


  •   
  •   
  •   

+ If Available Pitches Click to Video.


  •   
  •   
  •   
  •   
  •   
  •   
  •   

Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

AIR: Fly Balls + Line Drives + Popups All Batted Balls Batted Ball Breakdown
Season GB % AIR % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Pull GB % Straight GB % Oppo GB % Pull AIR % Straight AIR % Oppo AIR %
2021 58.0 42.0 16.0 23.5 2.5 29.6 42.0 28.4 23.5 24.7 9.9 6.2 17.3 18.5
2022 47.4 52.6 22.8 23.7 6.1 37.7 43.0 19.3 20.2 21.1 6.1 17.5 21.9 13.2
2024 53.1 46.9 18.8 23.4 4.7 45.3 32.8 21.9 28.1 15.6 9.4 17.2 17.2 12.5
2025 52.3 47.7 18.6 25.6 3.5 38.4 38.4 23.3 22.1 20.9 9.3 16.3 17.4 14.0
2026 50.0 50.0 21.6 23.6 4.7 31.1 48.0 20.9 19.6 25.0 5.4 11.5 23.0 15.5
Player 51.5 48.5 20.1 23.9 4.5 35.5 42.2 22.3 21.9 22.1 7.5 13.6 20.1 14.8
MLB 44.1 55.9 24.3 24.6 7.1 37.5 37.3 25.1 20.7 17.5 5.8 16.8 19.8 19.2
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Quality of Contact

Season Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2021 7.4 39.5 13.6 28.4 3.7 7.4 4.7
2022 4.4 30.7 21.9 31.6 7.0 4.4 2.6
2024 4.7 40.6 12.5 23.4 4.7 12.7 8.6
2025 5.8 37.2 16.3 29.1 2.3 8.2 5.6
2026 6.8 37.8 18.2 26.4 4.1 6.8 4.4
Player 5.9 36.7 17.2 28.0 4.5 7.3 4.7
MLB 4.0 32.2 25.0 24.4 5.9 7.6 4.9
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement


How this works: This section shows two different ways to evaluate pitch movement. On the left, “Total Movement” shows the real-world movement of a pitch, including the forces of gravity, which affects every pitch thrown. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren't 'better' just because they have more time to move, a pitch's movement is compared to other pitches of the same pitch type, within +/- 2 MPH and +/- 0.5 feet of extension/release. On the right, Induced Movement (or IVB) is reported without gravity, and attempts to isolate movement created by the pitcher's ability to spin and manipulate the ball.
Total Movement (in inches, w/ gravity)Induced Movement (in inches, w/o gravity)
YearPitchTeamHand#MPHVertical
Drop
vs.
Comparable
Horizontal
Break
vs.
Comparable
Vertical
Break
vs. AvgHorizontal
Break
vs. Avg
2026 4-Seam Fastball MIN R 3 94.6 19.6 -5.5 15.0ARM 8.5 11.1 -4.5 15.0ARM 7.2
2026 Curveball MIN R 250 84.7 53.0 4.8 11.6GLV 5.3 -14.4 4.2 11.6GLV 2.5
2026 Slider MIN R 379 89.2 31.7 -0.4 0.4GLV -2.7 2.4 -1.0 0.4GLV -3.2
2026 Sinker MIN R 234 94.5 20.7 0.2 15.1ARM 0.9 9.9 -2.4 15.1ARM 0.1
2025 Sinker TOR R 128 94.5 22.3 0.6 15.9ARM 1.1 8.4 -1.0 15.9ARM 0.8
2025 Slider TOR R 198 88.6 35.0 2.5 0.9GLV -2.5 -0.3 2.1 0.9GLV -3.3
2025 Curveball TOR R 135 85.0 53.2 6.0 11.9GLV 6.2 -14.8 4.6 11.9GLV 2.9
! Note: Years are in reverse order.

Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2026 Slider 1.5 6 379 43.8 101 .228 .359 .295 33.8 27.7 31.1 .253 .407 .321 38.5
2026 Curveball 1.2 3 250 28.9 63 .138 .155 .179 23.7 44.4 20.4 .149 .173 .176 25.8
2026 Sinker -2.7 -6 234 27.0 61 .442 .673 .500 12.0 3.3 6.7 .383 .652 .465 44.2
2026 4-Seam Fastball 6.8 0 3 0.3 -- -- -- 0.0 -- -- -- -- -- --
2025 Slider 2.5 5 198 43.0 50 .234 .234 .231 15.6 14.0 16.3 .336 .599 .403 53.7
2025 Curveball 0.8 1 135 29.3 46 .159 .205 .222 40.9 50.0 29.1 .162 .185 .176 28.6
2025 Sinker 0.4 1 128 27.8 30 .269 .269 .363 20.8 6.7 15.4 .318 .356 .349 45.8
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: To better align with other values, positive numbers (red) are good, and negative numbers (blue) are poor.

Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2026 Curveball 247 84.7 77 21.1 6:30 7:15 -45
2026 Sinker 226 94.5 88 18.2 1:15 2:00 -45
2026 Slider 369 89.2 18 3.6 12:15 10:45 90
2025 Curveball 135 85.0 79 21.6 6:45 7:15 -30
2025 Sinker 128 94.5 84 18.4 1:15 2:15 -60
2025 Slider 198 88.6 15 3.3 8:45 7:15 90
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
+ Show More Seasons
! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
+ View Complete Spin Direction Leaderboard

Pitcher Arm Angle

! Note: Data is available from 2020 through the present.
+ View Complete Arm Angle Leaderboard

Statcast Pitching Run Value

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2021 127 456 -1 5 -4 -3 -2
2022 193 751 5 0 -4 -3 -3
2024 91 322 -1 4 -2 -1 0
2025 126 461 8 1 -1 -1 7
2026 225 866 2 6 -1 -4 3
Player 762 2,856 13 17 -12 13 5
+ View Complete Pitching Run Value Leaderboard
+ Show Leverage-Based Run Value

Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2021 456 52.4 61.1 85.6 23.5 49.0 41.2 56.7 43.2 24.4 8.1 64.9
2022 751 50.2 62.1 85.5 24.9 32.3 41.9 59.1 43.5 29.7 8.4 65.1
2024 322 47.8 61.0 90.4 27.4 39.1 42.2 58.1 43.5 26.4 8.1 80.8
2025 461 52.5 58.3 88.7 33.8 50.0 41.2 61.1 46.6 24.7 7.8 63.9
2026 866 46.5 63.5 87.1 35.6 54.5 41.1 64.2 48.6 25.7 6.9 73.3
Player 2,856 49.5 61.6 87.0 29.8 46.6 41.5 60.4 45.5 26.4 7.8 68.9
MLB 48.7 67.0 82.7 28.6 57.9 42.6 61.2 47.3 25.0 7.3 76.2
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Run Value Pitching
Year Pitching Fastball Breaking Off
Speed
xERA Fastball
MPH
Fastball
Spin
Curve
Spin
Avg
EV
Chase% Whiff% K% BB% Barrel% Hard-
Hit%
GB% Extension
2021 77 68 89 53
2022 52 76 93 47
2024 56 78 90 46
2025 52 71 93 28
2026 56 15 94 36 51 37 86 58 92 54 71 45 62 54 85 34
+ View Complete Percentile Rankings Leaderboard
+ Compare To Other Players

Expected Home Runs

Adjusted

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2021 22.84 5 3.9 1 1 1 3 60.0
2022 24.09 5 3.9 1 1 4 1 20.0
2024 22.02 2 2.0 0 4 3 0 0.0
2025 -- 0 1.9 -2 2 4 0 --
2026 24.37 7 6.7 0 1 3 4 57.1
Player 23.69 19 18.4 1 9 15 8 42.1
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's batted balls allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
+ View Standard Expected Home Runs

Expected Home Runs by Park

Adjusted

Year HR
2021 5 4 4 4 4 4 4 5 4 3 3 4 5 3 4 5 4 4 4 4 4 4 5 5 3 3 4 4 4 3 3
2022 5 4 2 3 5 5 5 3 2 3 3 4 3 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 3 6 4 4 4 5 4 3 5 5
2024 2 1 1 2 2 2 2 1 2 1 2 2 5 1 2 1 1 0 3 4 2 2 4 3 1 2 2 3 3 2 2
2025 0 2 0 2 2 1 1 1 1 0 1 1 5 5 2 1 3 1 1 2 2 1 4 4 2 0 1 3 4 1 2
2026 7 7 6 7 7 7 7 7 6 7 6 6 6 8 7 8 7 7 7 7 7 6 7 7 7 6 5 6 7 7 6
Player 19 18 13 18 20 19 19 17 15 14 15 17 24 21 19 19 19 16 19 21 19 16 26 23 17 15 17 20 21 18 18
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's batted balls allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
+ View Standard Expected Home Runs By Park
+ View Complete Expected Home Runs Leaderboard

Year to Year Changes

2026 +/-   2025 +/-   2024 +/-   2023 +/-   2022 +/-   2021
Results
BA .257 +.043 .214 -.008 .222 -- -- -- -- +.038 .227
xBA .256 -.010 .266 +.018 .248 -- -- -- -- -.016 .255
OBP .323 +.061 .262 -.042 .304 -- -- -- -- +.036 .323
xOBP .319 +.008 .311 -.008 .319 -- -- -- -- -.021 .348
SLG .381 +.150 .231 -.139 .370 -- -- -- -- .000 .418
xSLG .403 +.015 .388 -.030 .418 -- -- -- -- -.059 .423
ISO .124 +.107 .017 -.131 .148 -- -- -- -- -.038 .191
xISO .146 +.024 .122 -.049 .171 -- -- -- -- -.043 .168
BABIP .321 +.030 .291 +.029 .262 -- -- -- -- +.107 .263
wOBA .309 +.084 .225 -.063 .288 -- -- -- -- +.017 .322
xwOBA .319 +.013 .306 -.023 .329 -- -- -- -- -.033 .343
wOBAcon .380 +.115 .265 -.059 .324 -- -- -- -- +.074 .367
xwOBAcon .395 +.010 .385 +.002 .383 -- -- -- -- -.008 .400
BACON .354 +.063 .291 +.005 .286 -- -- -- -- +.089 .309
xBACON .357 -.006 .363 +.034 .329 -- -- -- -- +.012 .348
Statcast Hit Metrics
Hard Hit % 37.8 -7.5 45.3 +9.4 35.9 -- -- -- -- -6.0 42.0
Avg Exit Velocity 88.3 -0.8 89.1 +1.8 87.3 -- -- -- -- +0.4 88.1
Launch Angle Sweet-Spot % 31.8 -0.8 32.6 -6.5 39.1 -- -- -- -- +2.9 29.6
Barrel % 6.8 -1.4 8.2 -4.5 12.7 -- -- -- -- -3.0 7.4
Avg Launch Angle 7.9 +4.6 3.3 -4.6 7.9 -- -- -- -- +7.3 1.9
Statcast Bat Tracking
Bat Speed 71.9 +0.4 71.5 +0.4 71.1 -- -- -- -- -- --
Attack Angle 11° +2° 10° -1° 11° -- -- -- -- -- --
Ideal Attack Angle % 56.4 -4.3 60.7 +8.3 52.4 -- -- -- -- -- --
Attack Direction -3° -2° -1° -1° -- -- -- -- -- --
Swing Path - Tilt 32° +2° 30° -1° 31° -- -- -- -- -- --
Swing Length 7.4 0.0 7.4 0.0 7.4 -- -- -- -- -- --
Statcast Pitch Metrics
Fastball Velocity 94.5 0.0 94.5 0.0 94.5 -- -- -- -- -1.3 95.3
Breaking Velocity 87.4 +0.3 87.1 +1.4 85.7 -- -- -- -- -0.1 85.9
Offspeed Velocity 0.0 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Batted Ball Results
Barrels 10 +3 7 -1 8 -- -- -- -- -1 6
Popup % 4.7 +1.2 3.5 -1.2 4.7 -- -- -- -- +3.6 2.5
Flyball % 21.6 +3.0 18.6 -0.2 18.8 -- -- -- -- +6.8 16.0
Line Drive % 23.6 -2.0 25.6 +2.2 23.4 -- -- -- -- +0.2 23.5
Groundball % 50.0 -2.3 52.3 -0.8 53.1 -- -- -- -- -10.6 58.0
Pull % 31.1 -7.3 38.4 -6.9 45.3 -- -- -- -- +8.1 29.6
Straight Away % 48.0 +9.6 38.4 +5.6 32.8 -- -- -- -- +1.0 42.0
Opposite Field % 20.9 -2.4 23.3 +1.4 21.9 -- -- -- -- -9.1 28.4
Weak Contact % 6.8 +1.0 5.8 +1.1 4.7 -- -- -- -- -3.0 7.4
Pull Airball % 11.5 -4.8 16.3 -0.9 17.2 -- -- -- -- +11.3 6.2
Topped Contact % 37.8 +0.6 37.2 -3.4 40.6 -- -- -- -- -8.8 39.5
Under Contact % 18.2 +1.9 16.3 +3.8 12.5 -- -- -- -- +8.3 13.6
Flare/Burner Contact % 26.4 -2.7 29.1 +5.7 23.4 -- -- -- -- +3.2 28.4
Solid Contact % 4.1 +1.8 2.3 -2.4 4.7 -- -- -- -- +3.3 3.7
HR/FB % 21.9 +21.9 0.0 -16.7 16.7 -- -- -- -- -19.3 38.5
Popups 7 +4 3 0 3 -- -- -- -- +5 2
Flyballs 32 +16 16 +4 12 -- -- -- -- +13 13
Line Drives 35 +13 22 +7 15 -- -- -- -- +8 19
Groundballs 74 +29 45 +11 34 -- -- -- -- +7 47
Plate Discipline
In Zone % 46.5 -6.0 52.5 +4.7 47.8 -- -- -- -- -2.2 52.4
Out of Zone % 53.5 +6.0 47.5 -4.7 52.2 -- -- -- -- +2.2 47.6
Edge % 41.1 -0.1 41.2 -1.0 42.2 -- -- -- -- +0.7 41.2
Zone Swing % 63.5 +5.2 58.3 -2.7 61.0 -- -- -- -- +1.0 61.1
Out of Zone Swing % 35.6 +1.8 33.8 +6.4 27.4 -- -- -- -- +1.4 23.5
In Zone Contact % 87.1 -1.6 88.7 -1.7 90.4 -- -- -- -- -0.1 85.6
Out of Zone Contact % 54.5 +4.5 50.0 +10.9 39.1 -- -- -- -- -16.7 49.0
Whiff % 25.7 +1.0 24.7 -1.7 26.4 -- -- -- -- +5.3 24.4
First Strike % 64.2 +3.1 61.1 +3.0 58.1 -- -- -- -- +2.4 56.7
First Pitch Swing % 31.9 +5.7 26.2 -0.7 26.9 -- -- -- -- +5.7 22.8
Swing % 48.6 +2.0 46.6 +3.1 43.5 -- -- -- -- +0.3 43.2
Meatball Swing % 73.3 +9.4 63.9 -16.9 80.8 -- -- -- -- +0.2 64.9
Meatball % 6.9 -0.9 7.8 -0.3 8.1 -- -- -- -- +0.3 8.1
Zone Swing & Miss % 12.9 +1.6 11.3 +1.7 9.6 -- -- -- -- -0.6 15.1
Out of Zone Swing & Miss % 45.5 -4.5 50.0 -10.9 60.9 -- -- -- -- +16.7 51.0
In Zone 403 +161 242 +88 154 -- -- -- -- +138 239
Out of Zone 463 +244 219 +51 168 -- -- -- -- +157 217
Edge 356 +166 190 +54 136 -- -- -- -- +127 188
In Zone Swings 256 +115 141 +47 94 -- -- -- -- +88 146
Out of Zone Swings 165 +91 74 +28 46 -- -- -- -- +42 51
In Zone Swing & Misses 33 +17 16 +7 9 -- -- -- -- +12 22
Out of Zone Swing & Misses 75 +38 37 +9 28 -- -- -- -- +37 26
Basic
Pitches 866 +405 461 +139 322 -- -- -- -- +295 456
PA 227 +101 126 +33 93 -- -- -- -- +69 127
AB 202 +85 117 +36 81 -- -- -- -- +60 110
Hits 52 +27 25 +7 18 -- -- -- -- +20 25
Singles 41 +18 23 +12 11 -- -- -- -- +15 15
Doubles 4 +2 2 -2 4 -- -- -- -- +5 4
Triples 0 0 0 -1 1 -- -- -- -- 0 1
Home Runs 7 +7 0 -2 2 -- -- -- -- 0 5
Walks 20 +13 7 -2 9 -- -- -- -- +8 13
Strikeouts 58 +26 32 +13 19 -- -- -- -- +27 30
K% 25.6 +0.2 25.4 +5.0 20.4 -- -- -- -- +5.5 23.6
BB% 8.8 +3.2 5.6 -4.1 9.7 -- -- -- -- +0.5 10.2
HBP 1 0 1 0 1 -- -- -- -- +1 3
Batted Balls 148 +62 86 +22 64 -- -- -- -- +33 81
Fastball Percent 27.4 -0.4 27.8 -8.8 36.6 -- -- -- -- -19.8 62.1
Offspeed Percent 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -- -- -- -- 0.0 0.0
Breaking Percent 72.6 +0.4 72.2 +8.8 63.4 -- -- -- -- +19.8 37.9
Number of Fastballs 237 +109 128 +10 118 -- -- -- -- +35 283
Number of Offspeed 0 0 0 0 0 -- -- -- -- 0 0
Number of Breaking 629 +296 333 +129 204 -- -- -- -- +260 173
+ Toggle Viewing All Player's Year to Year Stats

Statcast Fielder Positioning

vs RHHvs LHH
YearAlignment TypePAwOBAPATotal%PATotal%
2021 Shifts 127 .322 67 9 13.4 60 34 56.7
2022 Shifts 193 .339 108 34 31.5 85 47 55.3
2024 Shades 91 .288 59 4 6.8 32 23 71.9
2025 Shades 126 .225 82 3 3.7 44 29 65.9
2026 Shades 222 .309 120 3 2.5 102 44 43.1
! Note: Shifts are through the 2022 season, Shaded starting from the 2023 season, Shift: three or more infielders are on the same side of second base, Shade: positioned outside of their typical responsible slices of the field.
Learn more about how positioning is defined here

Pitch Tempo

Bases EmptyRunners On Base
SeasonTeamPitchesTempoFast %Slow %PitchesTempoFast %Slow %
2021 139 20.5 0.0% 6.5% 73 23.7 0.0% 8.2%
2022 174 20.7 0.6% 2.9% 167 22.2 0.0% 9.0%
2024 86 16.4 20.9% 0.0% 62 18.3 0.0% 0.0%
2025 130 17.1 6.9% 0.0% 70 17.9 0.0% 0.0%
2026 205 16.9 7.8% 1.5% 137 18.3 0.0% 5.8%

+ View Complete Pitch Tempo Leaderboard

Pitch Distribution