P | Pittsburgh Pirates
Bats/Throws: L/R | 6' 5" 218 lbs | Age: 26
Draft: 2018 | Rd. 2, No. 51, Pittsburgh Pirates | Robinson HS
W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2025 4 4 2.71 26 8 0 69.2 71 1.25
2026 11 4 3.96 22 22 0 127.1 140 1.16
2 Seasons 15 8 3.52 48 30 0 197 211 1.19
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2025 26 4-4 2.71 69.2 71 1.25
2026 22 11-4 3.96 127.1 140 1.16
2 Seasons 48 15-8 3.52 197 211 1.19
MLB Percentile Rankings
Movement Profile (Induced Break)
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Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls
Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity
Max EV Launch
Angle
LA Sweet-
Spot %
xBA xSLG wOBA xwOBA xwOBAcon HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2025 25 1102 195 9 4.7 3.1 88.0 111.5 9.1 30.8 .235 .349 .286 .288 .342 38.5 24.3 8.2 2.71 3.41
2026 26 1937 348 21 6.1 4.0 89.8 113.1 12.8 32.5 .229 .360 .303 .286 .356 40.8 26.6 5.9 3.96 3.38
Player 3039 543 30 5.6 3.7 89.2 113.1 11.5 31.9 .231 .356 .297 .287 .351 40.0 25.8 6.7
MLB 7.6 4.9 88.6 122.9 12.5 33.3 .243 .407 .316 .316 .369 37.1 22.2 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Ashcraft relies on 5 pitches.
Four Seamer
(31.9%) ,
Curveball
(26.3%) ,
Slider
(23.1%) ,
Sinker
(13.7%) ,
Split Finger
(5.0%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

AIR: Fly Balls + Line Drives + Popups All Batted Balls Batted Ball Breakdown
Season GB % AIR % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Pull GB % Straight GB % Oppo GB % Pull AIR % Straight AIR % Oppo AIR %
2025 50.8 49.2 22.1 23.1 4.1 38.5 41.0 20.5 24.6 21.5 4.6 13.8 19.5 15.9
2026 44.8 55.2 26.1 21.6 7.5 36.5 40.8 22.7 19.3 20.1 5.5 17.2 20.7 17.2
Player 47.0 53.0 24.7 22.1 6.3 37.2 40.9 21.9 21.2 20.6 5.2 16.0 20.3 16.8
MLB 44.1 55.9 24.2 24.6 7.1 37.5 37.3 25.1 20.7 17.5 5.8 16.8 19.7 19.2
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Quality of Contact

Season Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2025 3.6 35.9 23.1 27.2 4.6 4.7 3.1
2026 2.9 32.5 25.9 26.4 5.7 6.1 4.0
Player 3.1 33.7 24.9 26.7 5.3 5.6 3.7
MLB 4.0 32.3 25.0 24.4 5.9 7.6 4.9
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement


How this works: This section shows two different ways to evaluate pitch movement. On the left, “Total Movement” shows the real-world movement of a pitch, including the forces of gravity, which affects every pitch thrown. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren't 'better' just because they have more time to move, a pitch's movement is compared to other pitches of the same pitch type, within +/- 2 MPH and +/- 0.5 feet of extension/release. On the right, Induced Movement (or IVB) is reported without gravity, and attempts to isolate movement created by the pitcher's ability to spin and manipulate the ball.
Total Movement (in inches, w/ gravity)Induced Movement (in inches, w/o gravity)
YearPitchTeamHand#MPHVertical
Drop
vs.
Comparable
Horizontal
Break
vs.
Comparable
Vertical
Break
vs. AvgHorizontal
Break
vs. Avg
2026 Split-Finger PIT R 96 91.8 26.5 -2.7 14.8ARM 2.7 5.8 -2.8 14.8ARM 3.5
2026 4-Seam Fastball PIT R 617 97.2 13.5 -0.5 9.4ARM 2.3 15.4 -0.3 9.4ARM 1.6
2026 Slider PIT R 448 91.8 27.7 -2.1 1.1GLV -1.2 4.5 -3.1 1.1GLV -2.6
2026 Curveball PIT R 510 85.0 48.0 0.3 6.5GLV 0.3 -10.2 0.0 6.5GLV -2.6
2026 Sinker PIT R 266 96.9 22.0 1.9 16.1ARM 1.0 7.1 0.5 16.1ARM 1.0
2025 Curveball PIT R 232 84.3 51.0 2.6 8.0GLV 2.0 -12.4 2.2 8.0GLV -1.0
2025 Sinker PIT R 163 96.6 21.0 0.6 15.6ARM 0.7 8.4 -1.0 15.6ARM 0.5
2025 Changeup PIT R 36 91.6 26.0 -2.5 13.6ARM -1.5 6.4 -2.3 13.6ARM -0.9
2025 Slider PIT R 344 92.0 26.5 -1.9 2.0GLV -0.9 5.6 -3.8 2.0GLV -2.2
2025 4-Seam Fastball PIT R 327 97.0 13.4 -0.3 7.3ARM 0.3 15.7 -0.1 7.3ARM -0.3
! Note: Years are in reverse order.

Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2026 4-Seam Fastball -0.5 -3 617 31.9 161 .297 .538 .379 17.3 18.6 20.7 .234 .425 .314 44.5
2026 Curveball 1.5 7 510 26.3 133 .140 .256 .213 40.2 45.1 26.3 .164 .279 .232 37.1
2026 Slider -0.5 -2 448 23.1 128 .271 .441 .352 30.4 30.5 25.3 .235 .338 .278 37.5
2026 Sinker 2.1 6 266 13.7 85 .231 .308 .279 18.8 10.6 24.3 .293 .394 .327 41.4
2026 Split-Finger -0.4 0 96 5.0 19 .368 .368 .332 9.5 10.5 14.3 .310 .367 .294 41.2
2025 Slider 1.1 4 344 31.2 112 .225 .333 .278 32.4 26.8 23.6 .213 .298 .257 30.1
2025 4-Seam Fastball -0.2 -1 327 29.7 74 .323 .462 .373 19.3 16.2 16.9 .292 .492 .375 46.3
2025 Curveball 1.7 4 232 21.1 54 .122 .204 .191 36.6 42.6 24.2 .151 .223 .211 34.6
2025 Sinker 1.9 3 163 14.8 41 .237 .289 .288 19.1 12.2 21.7 .281 .379 .315 48.5
2025 Changeup -5.2 -2 36 3.3 9 .444 .556 .539 5.9 0.0 0.0 .358 .518 .378 33.3
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: To better align with other values, positive numbers (red) are good, and negative numbers (blue) are poor.

Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2026 Curveball 510 85.0 63 14.3 7:30 7:00 30
2026 4-Seam Fastball 617 97.2 91 17.8 1:30 1:00 30
2026 Split-Finger 96 91.8 90 16.3 1:30 2:30 -60
2026 Sinker 265 96.9 86 18.0 1:30 2:15 -45
2026 Slider 448 91.8 33 4.1 12:00 11:30 30
2025 Changeup 36 91.6 83 15.3 1:15 2:15 -60
2025 Curveball 232 84.3 72 17.1 7:15 7:00 15
2025 4-Seam Fastball 327 97.0 87 17.0 1:15 1:00 15
2025 Sinker 163 96.6 84 18.0 1:15 2:15 -60
2025 Slider 344 92.0 39 5.3 12:00 11:15 45
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Pitcher Arm Angle

! Note: Data is available from 2020 through the present.
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Statcast Pitching Run Value

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2025 290 1,102 8 10 -6 -4 8
2026 526 1,937 7 12 -4 -8 7
Player 816 3,039 15 23 -10 15 16
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2025 1,102 53.2 68.4 82.8 29.5 50.0 43.3 58.1 50.2 26.2 9.4 73.1
2026 1,937 50.8 67.3 85.2 37.4 52.5 43.6 66.9 52.6 26.2 6.9 68.4
Player 3,039 51.7 67.7 84.3 34.6 51.8 43.5 63.8 51.7 26.2 7.8 70.5
MLB 48.7 67.0 82.7 28.6 57.9 42.6 61.2 47.3 25.0 7.3 76.2
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Run Value Pitching
Year Pitching Fastball Breaking Off
Speed
xERA Fastball
MPH
Fastball
Spin
Curve
Spin
Avg
EV
Chase% Whiff% K% BB% Barrel% Hard-
Hit%
GB% Extension
2025 73 56 87 31 76 86 83 77 80 65 57 62 44 93 66 85 45
2026 72 56 88 43 73 88 70 74 28 97 58 78 87 73 34 62 42
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Expected Home Runs

Adjusted

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2025 21.67 3 5.3 -2 4 7 0 0.0
2026 24.52 17 13.9 3 11 10 5 29.4
Player 24.09 20 19.3 1 15 17 5 25.0
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's batted balls allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Expected Home Runs by Park

Adjusted

Year HR
2025 3 7 3 3 5 5 5 6 4 4 5 6 7 7 6 4 7 5 5 6 6 3 8 7 4 4 4 6 8 5 5
2026 17 16 8 20 14 13 13 12 20 14 12 14 10 15 13 15 15 13 15 21 10 15 16 16 12 11 12 13 16 12 12
Player 20 23 11 23 19 18 18 18 24 18 17 20 17 22 19 19 22 18 20 27 16 18 24 23 16 15 16 19 24 17 17
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's batted balls allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Year to Year Changes

2026 +/-   2025
Results
BA .243 +.004 .239
xBA .229 -.006 .235
OBP .295 -.011 .306
xOBP .285 -.018 .303
SLG .399 +.058 .341
xSLG .360 +.011 .349
ISO .156 +.054 .102
xISO .131 +.016 .115
BABIP .303 -.011 .314
wOBA .303 +.017 .286
xwOBA .286 -.002 .288
wOBAcon .382 +.043 .339
xwOBAcon .356 +.014 .342
BACON .337 +.012 .325
xBACON .322 +.002 .320
Statcast Hit Metrics
Hard Hit % 40.8 +2.3 38.5
Avg Exit Velocity 89.8 +1.8 88.0
Launch Angle Sweet-Spot % 32.5 +1.7 30.8
Barrel % 6.1 +1.4 4.7
Avg Launch Angle 12.8 +3.7 9.1
Statcast Bat Tracking
Bat Speed 72.5 +0.8 71.7
Attack Angle 11° +1° 10°
Ideal Attack Angle % 54.0 -2.8 56.8
Attack Direction -5° -2° -3°
Swing Path - Tilt 33° 33°
Swing Length 7.5 +0.1 7.4
Statcast Pitch Metrics
Fastball Velocity 97.1 +0.3 96.8
Breaking Velocity 88.1 -0.8 88.9
Offspeed Velocity 91.8 +0.2 91.6
Batted Ball Results
Barrels 21 +12 9
Popup % 7.5 +3.4 4.1
Flyball % 26.1 +4.0 22.1
Line Drive % 21.6 -1.5 23.1
Groundball % 44.8 -6.0 50.8
Pull % 36.5 -2.0 38.5
Straight Away % 40.8 -0.2 41.0
Opposite Field % 22.7 +2.2 20.5
Weak Contact % 2.9 -0.7 3.6
Pull Airball % 17.2 +3.4 13.8
Topped Contact % 32.5 -3.4 35.9
Under Contact % 25.9 +2.8 23.1
Flare/Burner Contact % 26.4 -0.8 27.2
Solid Contact % 5.7 +1.1 4.6
HR/FB % 18.7 +11.7 7.0
Popups 26 +18 8
Flyballs 91 +48 43
Line Drives 75 +30 45
Groundballs 156 +57 99
Plate Discipline
In Zone % 50.8 -2.4 53.2
Out of Zone % 49.2 +2.4 46.8
Edge % 43.6 +0.3 43.3
Zone Swing % 67.3 -1.1 68.4
Out of Zone Swing % 37.4 +7.9 29.5
In Zone Contact % 85.2 +2.4 82.8
Out of Zone Contact % 52.5 +2.5 50.0
Whiff % 26.2 0.0 26.2
First Strike % 66.9 +8.8 58.1
First Pitch Swing % 34.6 +2.6 32.0
Swing % 52.6 +2.4 50.2
Meatball Swing % 68.4 -4.7 73.1
Meatball % 6.9 -2.5 9.4
Zone Swing & Miss % 14.8 -2.4 17.2
Out of Zone Swing & Miss % 47.5 -2.5 50.0
In Zone 984 +398 586
Out of Zone 953 +437 516
Edge 844 +367 477
In Zone Swings 662 +261 401
Out of Zone Swings 356 +204 152
In Zone Swing & Misses 98 +29 69
Out of Zone Swing & Misses 169 +93 76
Basic
Pitches 1,937 +835 1,102
PA 526 +234 292
AB 481 +217 264
Hits 117 +54 63
Singles 78 +35 43
Doubles 20 +4 16
Triples 2 +1 1
Home Runs 17 +14 3
Walks 31 +7 24
Strikeouts 140 +69 71
K% 26.6 +2.3 24.3
BB% 5.9 -2.3 8.2
HBP 7 +5 2
Batted Balls 348 +153 195
Fastball Percent 45.6 +1.1 44.5
Offspeed Percent 5.0 +1.7 3.3
Breaking Percent 49.5 -2.8 52.3
Number of Fastballs 883 +393 490
Number of Offspeed 96 +60 36
Number of Breaking 958 +382 576
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Statcast Fielder Positioning

vs RHHvs LHH
YearAlignment TypePAwOBAPATotal%PATotal%
2025 Shades 290 .287 164 2 1.2 126 59 46.8
2026 Shades 526 .303 219 0 0.0 307 164 53.4
! Note: Shifts are through the 2022 season, Shaded starting from the 2023 season, Shift: three or more infielders are on the same side of second base, Shade: positioned outside of their typical responsible slices of the field.
Learn more about how positioning is defined here

Pitch Tempo

Bases EmptyRunners On Base
SeasonTeamPitchesTempoFast %Slow %PitchesTempoFast %Slow %
2025 271 14.6 56.1% 0.0% 166 18.5 4.8% 0.6%
2026 480 13.9 67.5% 0.4% 241 17.8 7.9% 3.3%

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Pitch Distribution