P | Washington Nationals
Bats/Throws: R/R | 6' 3" 210 lbs | Age: 26
Draft: 2022 | Rd. 18, No. 531, Washington Nationals | South Florida
W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2025 5 10 4.34 48 19 0 130.2 108 1.29
2026 5 2 3.94 39 5 1 80 74 1.24
2 Seasons 10 12 4.19 87 24 1 210.2 182 1.27
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2025 48 5-10 4.34 130.2 108 1.29
2026 39 5-2 3.94 80 74 1.24
2 Seasons 87 10-12 4.19 210.2 182 1.27
MLB Percentile Rankings
Movement Profile (Induced Break)
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Statcast Statistics

Season Age Team Pitches Batted
Balls
Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity
Max EV Launch
Angle
LA Sweet-
Spot %
xBA xSLG wOBA xwOBA xwOBAcon HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2025 25 2128 392 28 7.1 5.1 88.5 115.3 10.1 34.4 .270 .437 .319 .335 .386 41.8 19.8 7.9 4.34 4.73
2026 26 1390 228 14 6.2 4.1 87.5 115.9 5.8 27.2 .231 .370 .299 .306 .341 36.8 21.0 9.2 4.04 3.93
Player 3518 620 42 6.8 4.8 88.2 115.9 8.5 31.8 .255 .412 .311 .324 .369 40.0 20.2 8.4
MLB 7.6 4.9 88.6 122.9 12.6 33.3 .244 .407 .316 .316 .368 37.1 22.2 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Lord relies on 5 pitches.
Four Seamer
(37.8%) ,
Sinker
(23.7%) ,
Slider
(19.9%) ,
Sweeper
(13.8%) ,
Changeup
(4.8%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

AIR: Fly Balls + Line Drives + Popups All Batted Balls Batted Ball Breakdown
Season GB % AIR % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Pull GB % Straight GB % Oppo GB % Pull AIR % Straight AIR % Oppo AIR %
2025 49.0 51.0 19.9 25.5 5.6 33.7 37.5 28.8 19.9 21.2 7.9 13.8 16.3 20.9
2026 55.7 44.3 20.2 17.5 6.6 35.1 37.7 27.2 21.9 21.9 11.8 13.2 15.8 15.4
Player 51.5 48.5 20.0 22.6 6.0 34.2 37.6 28.2 20.6 21.5 9.4 13.5 16.1 18.9
MLB 44.1 55.9 24.3 24.6 7.1 37.5 37.3 25.0 20.7 17.5 5.8 16.9 19.8 19.2
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Quality of Contact

Season Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2025 5.6 33.9 17.3 27.8 8.2 7.1 5.1
2026 7.0 41.7 19.3 21.1 3.5 6.2 4.1
Player 6.1 36.8 18.1 25.3 6.5 6.8 4.8
MLB 4.1 32.2 25.0 24.4 5.9 7.6 4.9
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement


How this works: This section shows two different ways to evaluate pitch movement. On the left, “Total Movement” shows the real-world movement of a pitch, including the forces of gravity, which affects every pitch thrown. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren't 'better' just because they have more time to move, a pitch's movement is compared to other pitches of the same pitch type, within +/- 2 MPH and +/- 0.5 feet of extension/release. On the right, Induced Movement (or IVB) is reported without gravity, and attempts to isolate movement created by the pitcher's ability to spin and manipulate the ball.
Total Movement (in inches, w/ gravity)Induced Movement (in inches, w/o gravity)
SeasonPitchTeamHand#MPHVertical
Drop
vs.
Comparable
Horizontal
Break
vs.
Comparable
Vertical
Break
vs. AvgHorizontal
Break
vs. Avg
2026 Changeup R 67 86.2 34.0 -1.4 16.3ARM 1.9 2.9 0.9 16.3ARM 2.1
2026 4-Seam Fastball R 525 94.6 20.3 -3.8 15.8ARM 5.8 10.3 -5.3 15.8ARM 8.0
2026 Slider R 277 85.2 39.4 3.0 1.7GLV -0.2 -1.9 3.3 1.7GLV -1.9
2026 Sweeper R 192 83.4 39.1 0.0 10.5GLV -2.9 0.3 0.7 10.5GLV -3.0
2026 Sinker R 329 94.4 27.2 1.3 18.7ARM 2.1 3.6 3.9 18.7ARM 3.7
2025 Sweeper R 3 82.3 43.8 3.9 7.2GLV -7.1 -3.8 4.7 7.2GLV -6.7
2025 Sinker R 384 94.3 26.0 0.5 18.2ARM 1.8 4.8 2.6 18.2ARM 3.1
2025 Changeup R 278 85.9 31.7 -2.3 17.8ARM 2.4 5.6 -1.5 17.8ARM 3.3
2025 Slider R 430 85.5 36.8 -0.1 0.8GLV -2.5 0.6 1.2 0.8GLV -3.4
2025 4-Seam Fastball R 1032 94.8 20.1 -3.6 15.6ARM 5.4 10.5 -5.3 15.6ARM 8.0
! Note: Seasons are in reverse order.

Run Values by Pitch Type

Season Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2026 4-Seam Fastball 0.3 2 525 37.8 112 .255 .383 .348 23.6 32.1 17.1 .200 .323 .289 42.6
2026 Sinker 3.3 11 329 23.7 96 .165 .188 .238 11.6 10.4 14.5 .220 .261 .267 28.9
2026 Slider -1.7 -5 277 19.9 64 .281 .421 .375 22.7 17.2 10.9 .274 .466 .359 47.8
2026 Sweeper -2.0 -4 192 13.8 45 .195 .512 .328 20.2 28.9 16.7 .233 .493 .339 35.7
2026 Changeup -3.0 -2 67 4.8 18 .278 .500 .381 9.4 5.6 3.7 .298 .531 .353 23.5
2025 4-Seam Fastball -0.3 -3 1,032 48.5 239 .273 .463 .370 24.2 25.5 17.9 .266 .432 .350 43.5
2025 Slider -1.8 -8 430 20.2 103 .255 .469 .327 26.7 20.4 14.5 .258 .498 .337 42.9
2025 Sinker 1.5 6 384 18.1 112 .255 .321 .271 9.7 8.9 13.7 .300 .395 .315 43.4
2025 Changeup 0.2 0 278 13.1 90 .212 .353 .277 19.0 17.8 15.5 .254 .430 .314 34.8
2025 Sweeper -30.0 -1 3 0.1 2 -- -- .700 -- 0.0 0.0 -- -- .700 --
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: To better align with other values, positive numbers (red) are good, and negative numbers (blue) are poor.

Spin Direction

Season Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2026 Changeup 67 86.2 98 17.2 2:45 2:45 0
2026 4-Seam Fastball 523 94.6 97 19.1 2:15 2:00 15
2026 Sinker 327 94.4 97 19.7 2:15 2:45 -30
2026 Slider 277 85.2 20 4.4 8:15 6:45 90
2026 Sweeper 190 83.4 37 11.5 8:00 8:45 -45
2025 Changeup 278 85.9 99 19.2 2:45 2:30 15
2025 4-Seam Fastball 1,032 94.8 98 19.0 2:15 2:00 15
2025 Sinker 384 94.3 99 19.5 2:15 2:45 -30
2025 Slider 430 85.5 14 2.7 9:30 7:30 120
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Pitcher Arm Angle

! Note: Data is available from 2020 through the present.
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Statcast Pitching Run Value

Runs
Season Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2025 546 2,128 4 14 -17 -6 -6
2026 335 1,390 5 14 -9 -8 2
Player 881 3,518 8 28 -25 8 -4
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2025 2,128 54.8 70.2 82.0 25.5 67.8 43.4 60.1 50.0 21.3 8.8 82.4
2026 1,390 52.3 68.6 85.0 29.9 69.7 42.2 64.3 50.1 19.4 8.9 80.6
Player 3,518 53.8 69.6 83.1 27.3 68.6 42.9 61.7 50.0 20.5 8.9 81.7
MLB 48.7 67.0 82.7 28.6 57.9 42.6 61.2 47.3 25.0 7.3 76.2
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Run Value Pitching
Season Pitching Fastball Breaking Off
Speed
xERA Fastball
MPH
Fastball
Spin
Curve
Spin
Avg
EV
Chase% Whiff% K% BB% Barrel% Hard-
Hit%
GB% Extension
2025 23 57 6 62 17 53 54 69 17 18 28 51 70 38 80 3
2026 49 92 6 24 56 51 82 76 43 9 39 39 73 64 96 1
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Expected Home Runs

Adjusted

Season Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2025 24.82 17 20.6 -4 5 16 7 41.2
2026 25.11 10 8.9 1 5 6 4 40.0
Player 24.93 27 29.5 -3 10 22 11 40.7
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's batted balls allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Expected Home Runs by Park

Adjusted

Season HR
2025 17 22 12 20 21 22 21 21 21 17 20 22 20 25 23 20 23 21 22 23 18 19 24 25 20 17 20 22 21 21 16
2026 10 7 9 8 8 10 9 8 11 9 8 11 6 10 9 9 9 7 10 12 9 12 9 11 5 7 7 9 10 8 9
Player 27 29 21 28 29 32 30 29 32 26 28 33 26 35 32 29 32 28 32 35 27 31 33 36 25 24 27 31 31 29 25
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's batted balls allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Year to Year Changes

2026 +/-   2025
Results
BA .227 -.028 .255
xBA .231 -.039 .270
OBP .313 -.004 .317
xOBP .313 -.018 .331
SLG .359 -.056 .415
xSLG .370 -.067 .437
ISO .132 -.028 .160
xISO .140 -.027 .167
BABIP .264 -.029 .293
wOBA .299 -.020 .319
xwOBA .306 -.029 .335
wOBAcon .330 -.033 .363
xwOBAcon .341 -.045 .386
BACON .296 -.028 .324
xBACON .305 -.039 .344
Statcast Hit Metrics
Hard Hit % 36.8 -5.0 41.8
Avg Exit Velocity 87.5 -1.0 88.5
Launch Angle Sweet-Spot % 27.2 -7.2 34.4
Barrel % 6.2 -0.9 7.1
Avg Launch Angle 5.8 -4.3 10.1
Statcast Bat Tracking
Bat Speed 71.2 -0.1 71.3
Attack Angle
Ideal Attack Angle % 37.6 -2.1 39.7
Attack Direction
Swing Path - Tilt 34° +1° 33°
Swing Length 7.0 0.0 7.0
Statcast Pitch Metrics
Fastball Velocity 94.5 -0.1 94.6
Breaking Velocity 84.5 -1.0 85.5
Offspeed Velocity 86.2 +0.3 85.9
Batted Ball Results
Barrels 14 -14 28
Popup % 6.6 +1.0 5.6
Flyball % 20.2 +0.3 19.9
Line Drive % 17.5 -8.0 25.5
Groundball % 55.7 +6.7 49.0
Pull % 35.1 +1.4 33.7
Straight Away % 37.7 +0.2 37.5
Opposite Field % 27.2 -1.6 28.8
Weak Contact % 7.0 +1.4 5.6
Pull Airball % 13.2 -0.6 13.8
Topped Contact % 41.7 +7.8 33.9
Under Contact % 19.3 +2.0 17.3
Flare/Burner Contact % 21.1 -6.7 27.8
Solid Contact % 3.5 -4.7 8.2
HR/FB % 21.7 -0.1 21.8
Popups 15 -7 22
Flyballs 46 -32 78
Line Drives 40 -60 100
Groundballs 127 -65 192
Plate Discipline
In Zone % 52.3 -2.5 54.8
Out of Zone % 47.7 +2.5 45.2
Edge % 42.2 -1.2 43.4
Zone Swing % 68.6 -1.6 70.2
Out of Zone Swing % 29.9 +4.4 25.5
In Zone Contact % 85.0 +3.0 82.0
Out of Zone Contact % 69.7 +1.9 67.8
Whiff % 19.4 -1.9 21.3
First Strike % 64.3 +4.2 60.1
First Pitch Swing % 31.3 0.0 31.3
Swing % 50.1 +0.1 50.0
Meatball Swing % 80.6 -1.8 82.4
Meatball % 8.9 +0.1 8.8
Zone Swing & Miss % 15.0 -3.0 18.0
Out of Zone Swing & Miss % 30.3 -1.9 32.2
In Zone 727 -439 1,166
Out of Zone 663 -299 962
Edge 587 -336 923
In Zone Swings 499 -319 818
Out of Zone Swings 198 -47 245
In Zone Swing & Misses 75 -72 147
Out of Zone Swing & Misses 60 -19 79
Basic
Pitches 1,390 -738 2,128
PA 338 -208 546
AB 295 -199 494
Hits 67 -59 126
Singles 48 -36 84
Doubles 9 -13 22
Triples 0 -3 3
Home Runs 10 -7 17
Walks 31 -12 43
Strikeouts 71 -37 108
K% 21.0 +1.2 19.8
BB% 9.2 +1.3 7.9
HBP 7 +4 3
Batted Balls 228 -164 392
Fastball Percent 61.4 -5.1 66.5
Offspeed Percent 4.8 -8.3 13.1
Breaking Percent 33.7 +13.4 20.3
Number of Fastballs 854 -562 1,416
Number of Offspeed 67 -211 278
Number of Breaking 469 +36 433
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Statcast Fielder Positioning

vs RHHvs LHH
SeasonAlignment TypePAwOBAPATotal%PATotal%
2025 Shades 546 .319 275 1 0.4 271 100 36.9
2026 Shades 335 .299 175 2 1.1 160 94 58.8
! Note: Shifts are through the 2022 season, Shaded starting from the 2023 season, Shift: three or more infielders are on the same side of second base, Shade: positioned outside of their typical responsible slices of the field.
Learn more about how positioning is defined here

Pitch Tempo

Bases EmptyRunners On Base
SeasonTeamPitchesTempoFast %Slow %PitchesTempoFast %Slow %
2025 593 14.0 69.8% 0.0% 337 19.0 0.0% 0.0%
2026 328 15.7 33.2% 1.2% 237 20.5 0.4% 5.9%

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Pitch Distribution