P | Washington Nationals
Bats/Throws: R/R | 6' 3" 210 lbs | Age: 26
Draft: 2022 | Rd. 18, No. 531, Washington Nationals | South Florida
W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2025 5 10 4.34 48 19 0 130.2 108 1.29
2026 5 0 2.44 22 0 1 48 39 1.02
2 Seasons 10 10 3.83 70 19 1 178.2 147 1.22
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2025 48 5-10 4.34 130.2 108 1.29
2026 22 5-0 2.44 48 39 1.02
2 Seasons 70 10-10 3.83 178.2 147 1.22
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Pitch Usage
MLB Percentile Rankings
Movement Profile (Induced Break)
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Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls		 Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity		 Max EV Launch
Angle		 LA Sweet-
Spot %		 xBA xSLG wOBA xwOBA xwOBAcon HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2025 25 2128 392 28 7.1 5.1 88.5 115.3 10.1 34.4 .270 .437 .319 .335 .386 41.8 19.8 7.9 4.34 4.73
2026 26 802 138 6 4.4 3.1 87.4 115.9 3.3 23.2 .238 .364 .253 .296 .332 41.3 19.9 7.1 2.44 3.54
Player 2930 530 34 6.4 4.6 88.2 115.9 8.3 31.5 .261 .418 .301 .325 .372 41.7 19.8 7.7
MLB 7.6 4.9 88.6 122.9 12.5 33.3 .243 .408 .316 .316 .369 37.1 22.2 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Lord relies on 5 pitches.
Four Seamer
(37.0%) ,
Sinker
(22.3%) ,
Slider
(21.9%) ,
Sweeper
(13.5%) ,
Changeup
(5.2%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

AIR: Fly Balls + Line Drives + Popups All Batted Balls Batted Ball Breakdown
Season GB % AIR % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Pull GB % Straight GB % Oppo GB % Pull AIR % Straight AIR % Oppo AIR %
2025 49.0 51.0 19.9 25.5 5.6 33.7 37.5 28.8 19.9 21.2 7.9 13.8 16.3 20.9
2026 59.4 40.6 18.1 16.7 5.8 37.0 38.4 24.6 23.9 24.6 10.9 13.0 13.8 13.8
Player 51.7 48.3 19.4 23.2 5.7 34.5 37.7 27.7 20.9 22.1 8.7 13.6 15.7 19.1
MLB 44.2 55.8 24.1 24.6 7.1 37.4 37.3 25.1 20.7 17.6 5.8 16.8 19.7 19.3
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Quality of Contact

Season Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2025 5.6 33.9 17.3 27.8 8.2 7.1 5.1
2026 8.7 43.5 15.9 21.7 4.3 4.4 3.1
Player 6.4 36.4 17.0 26.2 7.2 6.4 4.6
MLB 4.0 32.3 25.0 24.4 5.9 7.6 4.9
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement

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How this works: This section shows two different ways to evaluate pitch movement. On the left, “Total Movement” shows the real-world movement of a pitch, including the forces of gravity, which affects every pitch thrown. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren't 'better' just because they have more time to move, a pitch's movement is compared to other pitches of the same pitch type, within +/- 2 MPH and +/- 0.5 feet of extension/release. On the right, Induced Movement (or IVB) is reported without gravity, and attempts to isolate movement created by the pitcher's ability to spin and manipulate the ball.
Total Movement (in inches, w/ gravity)Induced Movement (in inches, w/o gravity)
YearPitchTeamHand#MPHVertical
Drop		vs.
Comparable		Horizontal
Break		vs.
Comparable		Vertical
Break		vs. AvgHorizontal
Break		vs. Avg
2026 Changeup WSH R 42 85.8 34.5 -0.7 16.5ARM 1.7 2.8 1.1 16.5ARM 2.0
2026 Slider WSH R 176 85.2 39.3 2.5 1.8GLV -0.7 -1.8 3.2 1.8GLV -2.1
2026 4-Seam Fastball WSH R 297 94.5 20.4 -3.9 15.7ARM 5.9 10.3 -5.6 15.7ARM 7.9
2026 Sweeper WSH R 108 83.3 39.2 0.3 10.7GLV -3.5 0.2 0.9 10.7GLV -3.1
2026 Sinker WSH R 179 94.3 27.5 1.5 18.7ARM 2.0 3.4 4.2 18.7ARM 3.5
2025 Sweeper WSH R 3 82.3 43.8 4.0 7.2GLV -7.2 -3.8 4.7 7.2GLV -6.7
2025 Sinker WSH R 384 94.3 26.0 0.5 18.2ARM 1.8 4.8 2.6 18.2ARM 3.1
2025 Changeup WSH R 278 85.9 31.7 -2.3 17.8ARM 2.4 5.6 -1.5 17.8ARM 3.4
2025 4-Seam Fastball WSH R 1032 94.8 20.1 -3.6 15.6ARM 5.4 10.5 -5.3 15.6ARM 8.0
2025 Slider WSH R 430 85.5 36.8 -0.1 0.8GLV -2.9 0.6 1.2 0.8GLV -3.4
! Note: Years are in reverse order.

Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2026 4-Seam Fastball -0.3 -1 297 37.0 57 .313 .417 .398 26.1 28.1 14.0 .257 .367 .330 57.6
2026 Sinker 4.8 9 179 22.3 61 .140 .140 .185 10.5 11.5 19.4 .218 .262 .242 36.0
2026 Slider 0.5 1 176 21.9 40 .184 .263 .265 26.5 22.5 15.8 .230 .397 .290 44.8
2026 Sweeper -0.5 -1 108 13.5 24 .095 .286 .223 22.9 25.0 13.3 .226 .409 .321 26.7
2026 Changeup -4.8 -2 42 5.2 12 .250 .583 .421 15.0 8.3 6.7 .300 .633 .393 27.3
2025 4-Seam Fastball -0.3 -3 1,032 48.5 239 .273 .463 .370 24.2 25.5 17.9 .266 .432 .350 43.5
2025 Slider -1.8 -8 430 20.2 103 .255 .469 .327 26.7 20.4 14.5 .258 .498 .337 42.9
2025 Sinker 1.5 6 384 18.1 112 .255 .321 .271 9.7 8.9 13.7 .300 .395 .316 43.4
2025 Changeup 0.2 0 278 13.1 90 .212 .353 .277 19.0 17.8 15.5 .254 .430 .314 34.8
2025 Sweeper -30.0 -1 3 0.1 2 -- -- .700 -- 0.0 0.0 -- -- .700 --
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: To better align with other values, positive numbers (red) are good, and negative numbers (blue) are poor.

Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2026 Changeup 42 85.8 99 17.4 2:45 2:45 0
2026 4-Seam Fastball 297 94.5 97 19.0 2:15 2:00 15
2026 Sinker 178 94.3 98 19.7 2:15 2:45 -30
2026 Slider 176 85.2 20 4.3 8:30 7:00 90
2026 Sweeper 107 83.3 36 11.7 8:00 8:45 -45
2025 Changeup 278 85.9 99 19.2 2:45 2:30 15
2025 4-Seam Fastball 1,032 94.8 98 19.0 2:15 2:00 15
2025 Sinker 384 94.3 99 19.5 2:15 2:45 -30
2025 Slider 430 85.5 14 2.7 9:30 7:30 120
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Pitcher Arm Angle

! Note: Data is available from 2020 through the present.
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Statcast Pitching Run Value

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2025 546 2,128 4 14 -17 -6 -6
2026 194 802 6 9 -3 -5 6
Player 740 2,930 9 23 -20 9 1
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2025 2,128 54.8 70.2 82.0 25.5 67.8 43.4 60.1 50.0 21.3 8.8 82.4
2026 802 50.7 66.6 84.1 32.4 66.4 43.6 60.5 49.8 21.6 8.6 78.3
Player 2,930 53.7 69.2 82.6 27.5 67.3 43.4 60.2 49.9 21.3 8.8 81.3
MLB 48.7 67.0 82.6 28.5 58.0 42.7 61.1 47.3 25.0 7.3 76.2
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Run Value Pitching
Year Pitching Fastball Breaking Off
Speed 		xERA Fastball
MPH 		Fastball
Spin 		Curve
Spin 		Avg
EV 		Chase% Whiff% K% BB% Barrel% Hard-
Hit% 		GB% Extension
2025 23 57 6 62 17 53 54 69 17 18 28 51 70 38 80 3
2026 77 91 51 18 67 47 76 77 73 23 33 72 88 33 97 1
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Expected Home Runs

Adjusted
Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2025 24.82 17 20.6 -4 5 16 7 41.2
2026 25.60 4 4.6 -1 0 4 2 50.0
Player 24.97 21 25.2 -4 5 20 9 42.9
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's batted balls allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Expected Home Runs by Park

Adjusted
Year HR
2025 17 22 12 20 21 22 21 21 21 17 20 22 20 25 23 20 23 21 22 23 18 19 24 25 20 17 20 22 21 21 16
2026 4 4 5 4 5 6 5 4 5 5 3 5 3 5 5 5 5 5 4 6 4 4 6 5 3 4 6 5 4 4 4
Player 21 26 17 24 26 28 26 25 26 22 23 27 23 30 28 25 28 26 26 29 22 23 30 30 23 21 26 27 25 25 20
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's batted balls allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Year to Year Changes

2026 +/-   2025
Results
BA .199 -.056 ↓ .255
xBA .238 -.032 ↓ .270
OBP .272 -.045 ↓ .317
xOBP .309 -.022 ↓ .331
SLG .290 -.125 ↓ .415
xSLG .364 -.073 ↓ .437
ISO .091 -.069 ↓ .160
xISO .126 -.041 ↓ .167
BABIP .231 -.062 ↓ .293
wOBA .253 -.066 ↓ .319
xwOBA .296 -.039 ↓ .335
wOBAcon .271 -.092 ↓ .363
xwOBAcon .332 -.054 ↓ .386
BACON .254 -.070 ↓ .324
xBACON .305 -.039 ↓ .344
Statcast Hit Metrics
Hard Hit % 41.3 -0.5 ↓ 41.8
Avg Exit Velocity 87.4 -1.1 ↓ 88.5
Launch Angle Sweet-Spot % 23.2 -11.2 ↓ 34.4
Barrel % 4.4 -2.7 ↓ 7.1
Avg Launch Angle 3.3 -6.8 ↓ 10.1
Statcast Bat Tracking
Bat Speed 71.6 +0.3 ↑ 71.3
Attack Angle 5° 0° ↓ 5°
Ideal Attack Angle % 37.7 -2.0 ↓ 39.7
Attack Direction 6° 0° ↓ 7°
Swing Path - Tilt 33° 0° ↑ 33°
Swing Length 7.0 0.0 7.0
Statcast Pitch Metrics
Fastball Velocity 94.4 -0.2 ↓ 94.6
Breaking Velocity 84.5 -1.0 ↓ 85.5
Offspeed Velocity 85.8 -0.1 ↓ 85.9
Batted Ball Results
Barrels 6 -22 ↓ 28
Popup % 5.8 +0.2 ↑ 5.6
Flyball % 18.1 -1.8 ↓ 19.9
Line Drive % 16.7 -8.8 ↓ 25.5
Groundball % 59.4 +10.4 ↑ 49.0
Pull % 37.0 +3.3 ↑ 33.7
Straight Away % 38.4 +0.9 ↑ 37.5
Opposite Field % 24.6 -4.2 ↓ 28.8
Weak Contact % 8.7 +3.1 ↑ 5.6
Pull Airball % 13.0 -0.8 ↓ 13.8
Topped Contact % 43.5 +9.6 ↑ 33.9
Under Contact % 15.9 -1.4 ↓ 17.3
Flare/Burner Contact % 21.7 -6.1 ↓ 27.8
Solid Contact % 4.3 -3.9 ↓ 8.2
HR/FB % 16.0 -5.8 ↓ 21.8
Popups 8 -14 ↓ 22
Flyballs 25 -53 ↓ 78
Line Drives 23 -77 ↓ 100
Groundballs 82 -110 ↓ 192
Plate Discipline
In Zone % 50.7 -4.1 ↓ 54.8
Out of Zone % 49.3 +4.1 ↑ 45.2
Edge % 43.6 +0.2 ↑ 43.4
Zone Swing % 66.6 -3.6 ↓ 70.2
Out of Zone Swing % 32.4 +6.9 ↑ 25.5
In Zone Contact % 84.1 +2.1 ↑ 82.0
Out of Zone Contact % 66.4 -1.4 ↓ 67.8
Whiff % 21.6 +0.3 ↑ 21.3
First Strike % 60.5 +0.4 ↑ 60.1
First Pitch Swing % 26.7 -4.6 ↓ 31.3
Swing % 49.8 -0.2 ↓ 50.0
Meatball Swing % 78.3 -4.1 ↓ 82.4
Meatball % 8.6 -0.2 ↓ 8.8
Zone Swing & Miss % 15.9 -2.1 ↓ 18.0
Out of Zone Swing & Miss % 33.6 +1.4 ↑ 32.2
In Zone 407 -759 ↓ 1,166
Out of Zone 395 -567 ↓ 962
Edge 350 -573 ↓ 923
In Zone Swings 271 -547 ↓ 818
Out of Zone Swings 128 -117 ↓ 245
In Zone Swing & Misses 43 -104 ↓ 147
Out of Zone Swing & Misses 43 -36 ↓ 79
Basic
Pitches 802 -1,326 ↓ 2,128
PA 196 -350 ↓ 546
AB 176 -318 ↓ 494
Hits 35 -91 ↓ 126
Singles 27 -57 ↓ 84
Doubles 4 -18 ↓ 22
Triples 0 -3 ↓ 3
Home Runs 4 -13 ↓ 17
Walks 14 -29 ↓ 43
Strikeouts 39 -69 ↓ 108
K% 19.9 +0.1 ↑ 19.8
BB% 7.1 -0.8 ↓ 7.9
HBP 4 +1 ↑ 3
Batted Balls 138 -254 ↓ 392
Fastball Percent 59.4 -7.1 ↓ 66.5
Offspeed Percent 5.2 -7.9 ↓ 13.1
Breaking Percent 35.4 +15.1 ↑ 20.3
Number of Fastballs 476 -940 ↓ 1,416
Number of Offspeed 42 -236 ↓ 278
Number of Breaking 284 -149 ↓ 433
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Statcast Fielder Positioning

vs RHHvs LHH
YearAlignment TypePAwOBAPATotal%PATotal%
2025 Shades 546 .319 275 1 0.4 271 100 36.9
2026 Shades 194 .253 100 0 0.0 94 54 57.4
! Note: Shifts are through the 2022 season, Shaded starting from the 2023 season, Shift: three or more infielders are on the same side of second base, Shade: positioned outside of their typical responsible slices of the field.
Learn more about how positioning is defined here

Pitch Tempo

Bases EmptyRunners On Base
SeasonTeamPitchesTempoFast %Slow %PitchesTempoFast %Slow %
2025 593 14.0 69.8% 0.0% 337 19.0 0.0% 0.0%
2026 178 15.2 43.3% 1.1% 130 20.1 0.8% 6.9%

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Pitch Distribution

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