P | Minnesota Twins
Bats/Throws: R/R | 6' 5" 225 lbs | Age: 26
Draft: 2022 | Rd. 8, No. 234, Minnesota Twins | Western Carolina
W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2024 1 4 6.69 9 9 0 37.2 43 1.65
2025 5 6 5.56 16 16 0 79.1 88 1.49
2026 9 9 4.69 20 20 0 117 97 1.25
3 Seasons 15 19 5.31 45 45 0 234 228 1.39
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2024 9 1-4 6.69 37.2 43 1.65
2025 16 5-6 5.56 79.1 88 1.49
2026 20 9-9 4.69 117 97 1.25
3 Seasons 45 15-19 5.31 234 228 1.39
MLB Percentile Rankings
Movement Profile (Induced Break)
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Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls
Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity
Max EV Launch
Angle
LA Sweet-
Spot %
xBA xSLG wOBA xwOBA xwOBAcon HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2024 24 717 121 17 14.0 9.6 90.5 109.4 14.1 38.0 .275 .538 .397 .371 .469 42.1 24.3 6.2 6.69 5.88
2025 25 1353 242 24 9.9 6.8 89.2 113.5 16.5 44.2 .265 .447 .338 .333 .419 38.8 24.9 6.8 5.56 4.67
2026 26 1862 353 39 11.1 8.0 90.6 112.8 13.5 34.6 .256 .439 .329 .328 .379 41.6 19.9 6.8 4.69 4.57
Player 3932 716 80 11.2 7.9 90.1 113.5 14.6 38.4 .262 .459 .344 .337 .408 40.8 22.4 6.7
MLB 7.6 4.9 88.6 122.9 12.5 33.3 .244 .407 .316 .316 .368 37.1 22.2 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Matthews relies on 6 pitches.
Four Seamer
(36.1%) ,
Slider
(22.0%) ,
Changeup
(12.9%) ,
Cutter
(12.4%) ,
Curveball
(11.7%) ,
Sinker
(4.9%) ,


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+ Similar Pitchers to Zebby Matthews Based on Velocity and Movement:


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

AIR: Fly Balls + Line Drives + Popups All Batted Balls Batted Ball Breakdown
Season GB % AIR % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Pull GB % Straight GB % Oppo GB % Pull AIR % Straight AIR % Oppo AIR %
2024 38.0 62.0 29.8 23.1 9.1 43.0 29.8 27.3 18.2 13.2 6.6 24.8 16.5 20.7
2025 33.1 66.9 30.6 29.3 7.0 36.4 36.4 27.3 15.7 14.0 3.3 20.7 22.3 24.0
2026 43.1 56.9 27.2 24.1 5.7 42.2 32.9 24.9 23.5 13.9 5.7 18.7 19.0 19.3
Player 38.8 61.2 28.8 25.7 6.7 40.4 33.5 26.1 20.0 13.8 5.0 20.4 19.7 21.1
MLB 44.1 55.9 24.2 24.6 7.1 37.5 37.3 25.1 20.7 17.5 5.8 16.8 19.8 19.2
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Quality of Contact

Season Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2024 0.8 28.9 24.0 26.4 5.8 14.0 9.6
2025 5.8 21.5 26.9 29.8 6.2 9.9 6.8
2026 3.1 31.4 24.9 23.8 5.4 11.1 8.0
Player 3.6 27.7 25.4 26.3 5.7 11.2 7.9
MLB 4.0 32.2 25.0 24.4 5.9 7.6 4.9
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement


How this works: This section shows two different ways to evaluate pitch movement. On the left, “Total Movement” shows the real-world movement of a pitch, including the forces of gravity, which affects every pitch thrown. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren't 'better' just because they have more time to move, a pitch's movement is compared to other pitches of the same pitch type, within +/- 2 MPH and +/- 0.5 feet of extension/release. On the right, Induced Movement (or IVB) is reported without gravity, and attempts to isolate movement created by the pitcher's ability to spin and manipulate the ball.
Total Movement (in inches, w/ gravity)Induced Movement (in inches, w/o gravity)
YearPitchTeamHand#MPHVertical
Drop
vs.
Comparable
Horizontal
Break
vs.
Comparable
Vertical
Break
vs. AvgHorizontal
Break
vs. Avg
2026 Changeup MIN R 241 86.8 31.8 -0.3 14.6ARM 0.5 4.4 -0.6 14.6ARM 0.4
2026 Sinker MIN R 92 95.2 19.1 -2.7 15.5ARM 0.3 11.2 -3.6 15.5ARM 0.5
2026 Curveball MIN R 217 79.9 51.8 -1.7 8.3GLV -0.6 -8.9 -1.3 8.3GLV -0.8
2026 Cutter MIN R 231 90.8 23.5 1.4 0.4GLV -1.7 9.4 1.4 0.4GLV -1.8
2026 4-Seam Fastball MIN R 672 95.2 14.2 0.0 8.9ARM 1.6 16.0 0.4 8.9ARM 1.1
2026 Slider MIN R 409 87.2 33.0 -1.5 3.4GLV -0.3 2.8 -1.4 3.4GLV -0.2
2025 Cutter MIN R 175 91.7 21.7 2.1 1.9GLV 0.0 10.7 2.4 1.9GLV -0.3
2025 4-Seam Fastball MIN R 557 96.2 13.0 0.7 9.0ARM 1.6 16.6 0.8 9.0ARM 1.4
2025 Slider MIN R 342 88.3 33.6 0.8 2.3GLV -1.4 1.4 0.4 2.3GLV -1.9
2025 Changeup MIN R 143 87.5 29.0 -2.5 13.0ARM -1.3 6.8 -2.7 13.0ARM -1.5
2025 Curveball MIN R 78 82.8 47.4 -3.2 2.9GLV -4.3 -7.6 -2.6 2.9GLV -6.1
2025 Sinker MIN R 58 95.8 16.9 -4.7 15.4ARM 0.1 13.0 -5.6 15.4ARM 0.3
! Note: Years are in reverse order.

Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2026 4-Seam Fastball 0.1 1 672 36.1 167 .276 .476 .376 13.2 14.4 12.8 .289 .487 .379 43.8
2026 Slider 1.8 7 409 22.0 133 .181 .323 .236 33.6 31.6 22.3 .190 .351 .251 40.0
2026 Changeup -2.5 -6 241 12.9 67 .323 .516 .367 17.5 11.9 14.5 .284 .443 .328 42.1
2026 Cutter -1.3 -3 231 12.4 58 .321 .604 .406 17.9 10.3 16.7 .328 .572 .407 33.3
2026 Curveball -0.7 -1 217 11.7 43 .167 .405 .248 33.3 37.2 21.1 .155 .274 .195 50.0
2026 Sinker -0.4 0 92 4.9 19 .353 .588 .458 22.5 5.3 12.5 .404 .671 .486 43.8
2025 4-Seam Fastball -1.4 -8 557 41.2 123 .357 .616 .431 22.4 24.4 19.4 .303 .570 .394 49.4
2025 Slider 0.3 1 342 25.3 114 .148 .250 .214 38.6 43.9 24.4 .183 .326 .243 30.5
2025 Cutter -0.5 -1 175 12.9 53 .341 .439 .418 24.5 5.7 8.3 .322 .484 .420 43.6
2025 Changeup -1.2 -2 143 10.6 32 .355 .548 .377 26.3 3.1 5.3 .317 .426 .346 32.3
2025 Curveball -1.1 -1 78 5.8 14 .357 .429 .346 32.1 14.3 10.5 .304 .487 .338 41.7
2025 Sinker -1.0 -1 58 4.3 18 .471 .471 .424 7.7 11.1 50.0 .263 .320 .255 12.5
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: To better align with other values, positive numbers (red) are good, and negative numbers (blue) are poor.

Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2026 Changeup 240 86.8 98 15.7 2:15 2:45 -30
2026 Curveball 217 79.9 73 14.4 7:30 7:15 15
2026 Cutter 231 90.8 51 8.8 12:30 11:45 45
2026 4-Seam Fastball 672 95.2 94 18.0 1:15 1:00 15
2026 Sinker 91 95.2 95 19.3 1:15 2:00 -45
2026 Slider 409 87.2 23 4.4 11:00 9:45 75
2025 Changeup 143 87.5 99 14.8 1:45 2:15 -30
2025 Curveball 78 82.8 50 10.3 7:30 6:30 60
2025 Cutter 175 91.7 53 10.2 12:30 11:30 60
2025 4-Seam Fastball 557 96.2 96 18.7 1:00 1:00 0
2025 Sinker 58 95.8 96 20.2 1:15 1:45 -30
2025 Slider 342 88.3 18 3.3 10:30 9:00 90
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Pitcher Arm Angle

! Note: Data is available from 2020 through the present.
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Statcast Pitching Run Value

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2024 177 717 -4 -2 -4 -4 -13
2025 354 1,353 -5 5 -7 -4 -11
2026 487 1,862 0 13 -9 -7 -3
Player 1,018 3,932 -10 17 -20 -10 -27
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2024 717 50.8 72.0 84.7 27.2 52.1 40.6 58.2 49.9 24.0 9.5 88.2
2025 1,353 53.2 69.6 81.6 30.2 48.7 42.4 65.8 51.1 27.5 9.2 76.8
2026 1,862 49.0 68.2 85.9 27.7 59.7 41.4 66.3 47.6 21.9 7.9 76.4
Player 3,932 50.8 69.4 84.1 28.4 54.5 41.6 64.7 49.2 24.3 8.7 78.9
MLB 48.7 67.0 82.7 28.6 57.9 42.6 61.2 47.3 25.0 7.3 76.2
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Run Value Pitching
Year Pitching Fastball Breaking Off
Speed
xERA Fastball
MPH
Fastball
Spin
Curve
Spin
Avg
EV
Chase% Whiff% K% BB% Barrel% Hard-
Hit%
GB% Extension
2024 63 45 25 53
2025 15 9 45 34 18 80 65 26 50 73 68 68 71 22 64 9 60
2026 28 25 88 3 28 62 55 19 7 21 24 31 78 5 23 50 48
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Expected Home Runs

Adjusted

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2024 23.32 11 11.1 0 4 6 6 54.5
2025 24.45 12 12.6 -1 10 15 2 16.7
2026 23.83 22 23.8 -2 6 22 9 40.9
Player 23.87 45 47.5 -3 20 43 17 37.8
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's batted balls allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Expected Home Runs by Park

Adjusted

Year HR
2024 11 12 8 11 10 12 13 10 9 10 12 12 11 9 10 10 11 11 11 13 11 12 14 12 11 11 9 13 12 13 10
2025 12 16 10 13 14 13 11 12 8 8 11 12 15 21 13 9 15 11 13 15 12 13 15 17 11 8 11 15 17 10 9
2026 22 28 18 23 23 27 24 20 27 24 17 25 19 29 27 24 26 21 22 34 22 25 29 28 19 18 17 27 26 21 25
Player 45 56 36 47 47 52 48 42 44 42 40 49 45 59 50 43 52 43 46 62 45 50 58 57 41 37 37 55 55 44 44
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's batted balls allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Year to Year Changes

2026 +/-   2025 +/-   2024
Results
BA .253 -.038 .291 -.020 .311
xBA .256 -.009 .265 -.010 .275
OBP .308 -.027 .335 -.027 .362
xOBP .314 -.003 .317 -.011 .328
SLG .451 +.002 .449 -.118 .567
xSLG .439 -.008 .447 -.091 .538
ISO .197 +.039 .158 -.098 .256
xISO .183 .000 .183 -.081 .264
BABIP .275 -.085 .360 -.004 .364
wOBA .329 -.009 .338 -.059 .397
xwOBA .328 -.005 .333 -.038 .371
wOBAcon .380 -.046 .426 -.080 .506
xwOBAcon .379 -.040 .419 -.050 .469
BACON .320 -.072 .392 -.029 .421
xBACON .328 -.037 .365 -.007 .372
Statcast Hit Metrics
Hard Hit % 41.6 +2.8 38.8 -3.3 42.1
Avg Exit Velocity 90.6 +1.4 89.2 -1.3 90.5
Launch Angle Sweet-Spot % 34.6 -9.6 44.2 +6.2 38.0
Barrel % 11.1 +1.2 9.9 -4.1 14.0
Avg Launch Angle 13.5 -3.0 16.5 +2.4 14.1
Statcast Bat Tracking
Bat Speed 72.5 +0.7 71.8 +0.3 71.5
Attack Angle 11° +1° 10° +1° 10°
Ideal Attack Angle % 49.2 -4.2 53.4 -3.8 57.2
Attack Direction -2° -1° -1° +1° -1°
Swing Path - Tilt 33° 33° +2° 31°
Swing Length 7.3 0.0 7.3 0.0 7.3
Statcast Pitch Metrics
Fastball Velocity 94.2 -1.0 95.2 +1.4 93.8
Breaking Velocity 84.7 -2.6 87.3 +1.3 86.0
Offspeed Velocity 86.8 -0.7 87.5 +1.7 85.8
Batted Ball Results
Barrels 39 +15 24 +7 17
Popup % 5.7 -1.3 7.0 -2.1 9.1
Flyball % 27.2 -3.4 30.6 +0.8 29.8
Line Drive % 24.1 -5.2 29.3 +6.2 23.1
Groundball % 43.1 +10.0 33.1 -4.9 38.0
Pull % 42.2 +5.8 36.4 -6.6 43.0
Straight Away % 32.9 -3.5 36.4 +6.6 29.8
Opposite Field % 24.9 -2.4 27.3 0.0 27.3
Weak Contact % 3.1 -2.7 5.8 +5.0 0.8
Pull Airball % 18.7 -2.0 20.7 -4.1 24.8
Topped Contact % 31.4 +9.9 21.5 -7.4 28.9
Under Contact % 24.9 -2.0 26.9 +2.9 24.0
Flare/Burner Contact % 23.8 -6.0 29.8 +3.4 26.4
Solid Contact % 5.4 -0.8 6.2 +0.4 5.8
HR/FB % 22.9 +6.7 16.2 -14.4 30.6
Popups 20 +3 17 +6 11
Flyballs 96 +22 74 +38 36
Line Drives 85 +14 71 +43 28
Groundballs 152 +72 80 +34 46
Plate Discipline
In Zone % 49.0 -4.2 53.2 +2.4 50.8
Out of Zone % 51.0 +4.2 46.8 -2.4 49.2
Edge % 41.4 -1.0 42.4 +1.8 40.6
Zone Swing % 68.2 -1.4 69.6 -2.4 72.0
Out of Zone Swing % 27.7 -2.5 30.2 +3.0 27.2
In Zone Contact % 85.9 +4.3 81.6 -3.1 84.7
Out of Zone Contact % 59.7 +11.0 48.7 -3.4 52.1
Whiff % 21.9 -5.6 27.5 +3.5 24.0
First Strike % 66.3 +0.5 65.8 +7.6 58.2
First Pitch Swing % 35.3 -2.3 37.6 +9.4 28.2
Swing % 47.6 -3.5 51.1 +1.2 49.9
Meatball Swing % 76.4 -0.4 76.8 -11.4 88.2
Meatball % 7.9 -1.3 9.2 -0.3 9.5
Zone Swing & Miss % 14.1 -4.3 18.4 +3.1 15.3
Out of Zone Swing & Miss % 40.3 -11.0 51.3 +3.4 47.9
In Zone 913 +193 720 +356 364
Out of Zone 949 +316 633 +280 353
Edge 771 +198 573 +282 291
In Zone Swings 623 +122 501 +239 262
Out of Zone Swings 263 +72 191 +95 96
In Zone Swing & Misses 88 -4 92 +52 40
Out of Zone Swing & Misses 106 +8 98 +52 46
Basic
Pitches 1,862 +509 1,353 +636 717
PA 487 +133 354 +177 177
AB 446 +123 323 +159 164
Hits 113 +19 94 +43 51
Singles 70 +3 67 +36 31
Doubles 20 +5 15 +6 9
Triples 1 +1 0 0 0
Home Runs 22 +10 12 +1 11
Walks 33 +9 24 +13 11
Strikeouts 97 +9 88 +45 43
K% 19.9 -5.0 24.9 +0.6 24.3
BB% 6.8 0.0 6.8 +0.6 6.2
HBP 4 +4 0 -2 2
Batted Balls 353 +111 242 +121 121
Fastball Percent 53.4 -5.0 58.4 -0.6 59.0
Offspeed Percent 12.9 +2.3 10.6 +2.7 7.9
Breaking Percent 33.6 +2.6 31.0 -2.1 33.1
Number of Fastballs 995 +205 790 +367 423
Number of Offspeed 241 +98 143 +86 57
Number of Breaking 626 +206 420 +183 237
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Statcast Fielder Positioning

vs RHHvs LHH
YearAlignment TypePAwOBAPATotal%PATotal%
2024 Shades 177 .397 75 2 2.7 102 36 35.3
2025 Shades 354 .338 178 30 16.9 176 151 85.8
2026 Shades 487 .329 207 8 3.9 280 143 51.1
! Note: Shifts are through the 2022 season, Shaded starting from the 2023 season, Shift: three or more infielders are on the same side of second base, Shade: positioned outside of their typical responsible slices of the field.
Learn more about how positioning is defined here

Pitch Tempo

Bases EmptyRunners On Base
SeasonTeamPitchesTempoFast %Slow %PitchesTempoFast %Slow %
2024 213 12.9 83.1% 0.0% 98 16.7 15.3% 1.0%
2025 311 12.6 83.3% 0.6% 236 17.8 6.4% 2.1%
2026 573 13.6 73.1% 1.4% 230 19.0 2.2% 3.9%

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Pitch Distribution