P | Minnesota Twins
Bats/Throws: R/R | 6' 5" 225 lbs | Age: 26
Draft: 2022 | Rd. 8, No. 234, Minnesota Twins | Western Carolina
W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2024 1 4 6.69 9 9 0 37.2 43 1.65
2025 5 6 5.56 16 16 0 79.1 88 1.49
2026 6 8 5.34 16 16 0 91 77 1.35
3 Seasons 12 18 5.67 41 41 0 208 208 1.46
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2024 9 1-4 6.69 37.2 43 1.65
2025 16 5-6 5.56 79.1 88 1.49
2026 16 6-8 5.34 91 77 1.35
3 Seasons 41 12-18 5.67 208 208 1.46
MLB Percentile Rankings
Movement Profile (Induced Break)
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Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls
Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity
Max EV Launch
Angle
LA Sweet-
Spot %
xBA xSLG wOBA xwOBA xwOBAcon HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2024 24 717 121 17 14.0 9.6 90.5 109.4 14.1 38.0 .275 .538 .397 .371 .469 42.1 24.3 6.2 6.69 5.88
2025 25 1353 242 24 9.9 6.8 89.2 113.5 16.5 44.2 .265 .447 .338 .333 .419 38.8 24.9 6.8 5.56 4.67
2026 26 1480 277 32 11.6 8.3 90.6 112.8 13.2 34.3 .256 .440 .346 .332 .381 41.5 19.9 7.8 5.34 4.69
Player 3550 640 73 11.4 8.0 90.1 113.5 14.6 38.8 .263 .462 .353 .340 .412 40.6 22.7 7.1
MLB 7.6 4.9 88.6 122.9 12.5 33.3 .243 .407 .315 .316 .369 37.1 22.2 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Matthews relies on 6 pitches.
Four Seamer
(37.2%) ,
Slider
(21.4%) ,
Changeup
(13.1%) ,
Curveball
(12.9%) ,
Cutter
(11.1%) ,
Sinker
(4.3%) ,


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+ Similar Pitchers to Zebby Matthews Based on Velocity and Movement:


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

AIR: Fly Balls + Line Drives + Popups All Batted Balls Batted Ball Breakdown
Season GB % AIR % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Pull GB % Straight GB % Oppo GB % Pull AIR % Straight AIR % Oppo AIR %
2024 38.0 62.0 29.8 23.1 9.1 43.0 29.8 27.3 18.2 13.2 6.6 24.8 16.5 20.7
2025 33.1 66.9 30.6 29.3 7.0 36.4 36.4 27.3 15.7 14.0 3.3 20.7 22.3 24.0
2026 43.3 56.7 26.4 24.2 6.1 43.0 32.1 24.9 23.8 12.6 6.9 19.1 19.5 18.1
Player 38.4 61.6 28.6 25.9 7.0 40.5 33.3 26.3 19.7 13.3 5.5 20.8 20.0 20.8
MLB 44.1 55.9 24.2 24.6 7.1 37.5 37.3 25.1 20.7 17.5 5.8 16.8 19.7 19.2
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Quality of Contact

Season Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2024 0.8 28.9 24.0 26.4 5.8 14.0 9.6
2025 5.8 21.5 26.9 29.8 6.2 9.9 6.8
2026 3.2 31.4 23.8 24.2 5.4 11.6 8.3
Player 3.8 27.2 25.0 26.7 5.8 11.4 8.0
MLB 4.0 32.2 25.0 24.4 5.9 7.6 4.9
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement


How this works: This section shows two different ways to evaluate pitch movement. On the left, “Total Movement” shows the real-world movement of a pitch, including the forces of gravity, which affects every pitch thrown. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren't 'better' just because they have more time to move, a pitch's movement is compared to other pitches of the same pitch type, within +/- 2 MPH and +/- 0.5 feet of extension/release. On the right, Induced Movement (or IVB) is reported without gravity, and attempts to isolate movement created by the pitcher's ability to spin and manipulate the ball.
Total Movement (in inches, w/ gravity)Induced Movement (in inches, w/o gravity)
YearPitchTeamHand#MPHVertical
Drop
vs.
Comparable
Horizontal
Break
vs.
Comparable
Vertical
Break
vs. AvgHorizontal
Break
vs. Avg
2026 Sinker MIN R 64 95.2 19.1 -2.6 15.8ARM 0.6 11.0 -3.4 15.8ARM 0.7
2026 Changeup MIN R 194 86.6 32.3 0.0 14.7ARM 0.6 4.1 -0.3 14.7ARM 0.5
2026 Curveball MIN R 191 80.0 51.7 -1.6 8.4GLV -0.5 -8.9 -1.3 8.4GLV -0.7
2026 Cutter MIN R 164 90.5 24.1 1.1 0.3GLV -1.8 9.1 1.1 0.3GLV -1.9
2026 4-Seam Fastball MIN R 550 95.2 14.2 0.0 8.9ARM 1.6 16.0 0.3 8.9ARM 1.1
2026 Slider MIN R 317 87.1 33.1 -1.4 3.4GLV -0.3 2.8 -1.4 3.4GLV -0.3
2025 Cutter MIN R 175 91.7 21.7 2.1 1.9GLV 0.0 10.7 2.3 1.9GLV -0.3
2025 4-Seam Fastball MIN R 557 96.2 13.0 0.7 9.0ARM 1.6 16.6 0.8 9.0ARM 1.4
2025 Slider MIN R 342 88.3 33.6 0.8 2.3GLV -1.4 1.4 0.4 2.3GLV -1.9
2025 Changeup MIN R 143 87.5 29.0 -2.5 13.0ARM -1.3 6.8 -2.7 13.0ARM -1.5
2025 Curveball MIN R 78 82.8 47.4 -3.2 2.9GLV -4.3 -7.6 -2.6 2.9GLV -6.1
2025 Sinker MIN R 58 95.8 16.9 -4.7 15.4ARM 0.1 13.0 -5.6 15.4ARM 0.3
! Note: Years are in reverse order.

Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2026 4-Seam Fastball -0.5 -3 550 37.2 135 .304 .504 .405 13.6 14.1 12.1 .293 .484 .386 41.7
2026 Slider 1.5 5 317 21.4 106 .190 .340 .252 33.7 29.2 21.7 .204 .376 .272 39.1
2026 Changeup -2.6 -5 194 13.1 57 .308 .519 .362 17.1 14.0 16.7 .269 .444 .324 42.6
2026 Curveball -0.5 -1 191 12.9 38 .158 .421 .238 33.8 39.5 22.7 .158 .287 .188 52.2
2026 Cutter -2.1 -3 164 11.1 40 .361 .667 .445 16.7 7.5 14.3 .350 .579 .422 35.3
2026 Sinker -2.7 -2 64 4.3 11 .444 .889 .645 20.0 9.1 12.5 .340 .666 .480 50.0
2025 4-Seam Fastball -1.4 -8 557 41.2 123 .357 .616 .431 22.4 24.4 19.4 .303 .570 .394 49.4
2025 Slider 0.3 1 342 25.3 114 .148 .250 .214 38.6 43.9 24.4 .183 .326 .243 30.5
2025 Cutter -0.5 -1 175 12.9 53 .341 .439 .418 24.5 5.7 8.3 .322 .484 .420 43.6
2025 Changeup -1.2 -2 143 10.6 32 .355 .548 .377 26.3 3.1 5.3 .317 .426 .346 32.3
2025 Curveball -1.1 -1 78 5.8 14 .357 .429 .346 32.1 14.3 10.5 .304 .487 .338 41.7
2025 Sinker -1.0 -1 58 4.3 18 .471 .471 .424 7.7 11.1 50.0 .264 .320 .255 12.5
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: To better align with other values, positive numbers (red) are good, and negative numbers (blue) are poor.

Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2026 Changeup 194 86.6 97 15.7 2:15 2:45 -30
2026 Curveball 191 80.0 73 14.5 7:30 7:15 15
2026 Cutter 164 90.5 50 8.4 12:30 12:00 30
2026 4-Seam Fastball 550 95.2 94 18.1 1:15 1:00 15
2026 Sinker 63 95.2 95 19.5 1:15 2:00 -45
2026 Slider 317 87.1 23 4.4 11:00 9:45 75
2025 Changeup 143 87.5 99 14.8 1:45 2:15 -30
2025 Curveball 78 82.8 50 10.3 7:30 6:30 60
2025 Cutter 175 91.7 53 10.2 12:30 11:30 60
2025 4-Seam Fastball 557 96.2 96 18.7 1:00 1:00 0
2025 Sinker 58 95.8 96 20.2 1:15 1:45 -30
2025 Slider 342 88.3 18 3.3 10:30 9:00 90
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Pitcher Arm Angle

! Note: Data is available from 2020 through the present.
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Statcast Pitching Run Value

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2024 177 717 -4 -2 -4 -4 -13
2025 354 1,353 -5 5 -7 -4 -11
2026 387 1,480 -6 11 -7 -6 -9
Player 918 3,550 -15 14 -18 -15 -33
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2024 717 50.8 72.0 84.7 27.2 52.1 40.6 58.2 49.9 24.0 9.5 88.2
2025 1,353 53.2 69.6 81.6 30.2 48.7 42.4 65.8 51.1 27.5 9.2 76.8
2026 1,480 48.1 66.7 86.7 27.5 58.8 39.9 66.4 46.4 21.9 8.5 72.2
Player 3,550 50.6 68.9 84.2 28.4 53.6 41.0 64.6 48.9 24.5 9.0 77.4
MLB 48.7 67.0 82.7 28.6 57.9 42.6 61.2 47.3 25.0 7.3 76.2
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Run Value Pitching
Year Pitching Fastball Breaking Off
Speed
xERA Fastball
MPH
Fastball
Spin
Curve
Spin
Avg
EV
Chase% Whiff% K% BB% Barrel% Hard-
Hit%
GB% Extension
2024 63 45 25 53
2025 15 9 45 34 18 80 65 26 50 73 68 68 71 22 64 9 60
2026 14 8 81 4 25 62 54 20 7 18 23 31 58 5 25 54 48
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Expected Home Runs

Adjusted

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2024 23.32 11 11.1 0 4 6 6 54.5
2025 24.45 12 12.6 -1 10 15 2 16.7
2026 23.82 18 19.1 -1 6 18 7 38.9
Player 23.87 41 42.8 -2 20 39 15 36.6
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's batted balls allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Expected Home Runs by Park

Adjusted

Year HR
2024 11 12 8 11 10 12 13 10 9 10 12 12 11 9 10 10 11 11 11 13 11 12 14 12 11 11 9 13 12 13 10
2025 12 16 10 13 14 13 11 12 8 8 11 12 15 21 13 9 15 11 13 15 12 13 15 17 11 8 11 15 17 10 9
2026 18 24 13 19 17 20 19 16 21 21 14 19 15 24 20 20 21 17 18 29 16 19 23 23 16 16 13 21 21 16 21
Player 41 52 31 43 41 45 43 38 38 39 37 43 41 54 43 39 47 39 42 57 39 44 52 52 38 35 33 49 50 39 40
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's batted balls allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Year to Year Changes

2026 +/-   2025 +/-   2024
Results
BA .266 -.025 .291 -.020 .311
xBA .256 -.009 .265 -.010 .275
OBP .326 -.009 .335 -.027 .362
xOBP .321 +.004 .317 -.011 .328
SLG .477 +.028 .449 -.118 .567
xSLG .440 -.007 .447 -.091 .538
ISO .211 +.053 .158 -.098 .256
xISO .183 .000 .183 -.081 .264
BABIP .290 -.070 .360 -.004 .364
wOBA .346 +.008 .338 -.059 .397
xwOBA .332 -.001 .333 -.038 .371
wOBAcon .401 -.025 .426 -.080 .506
xwOBAcon .381 -.038 .419 -.050 .469
BACON .336 -.056 .392 -.029 .421
xBACON .329 -.036 .365 -.007 .372
Statcast Hit Metrics
Hard Hit % 41.5 +2.7 38.8 -3.3 42.1
Avg Exit Velocity 90.6 +1.4 89.2 -1.3 90.5
Launch Angle Sweet-Spot % 34.3 -9.9 44.2 +6.2 38.0
Barrel % 11.6 +1.7 9.9 -4.1 14.0
Avg Launch Angle 13.2 -3.3 16.5 +2.4 14.1
Statcast Bat Tracking
Bat Speed 72.3 +0.5 71.8 +0.3 71.5
Attack Angle 11° +1° 10° +1° 10°
Ideal Attack Angle % 50.1 -3.3 53.4 -3.8 57.2
Attack Direction -2° -2° -1° +1° -1°
Swing Path - Tilt 33° 33° +2° 31°
Swing Length 7.3 0.0 7.3 0.0 7.3
Statcast Pitch Metrics
Fastball Velocity 94.2 -1.0 95.2 +1.4 93.8
Breaking Velocity 84.4 -2.9 87.3 +1.3 86.0
Offspeed Velocity 86.6 -0.9 87.5 +1.7 85.8
Batted Ball Results
Barrels 32 +8 24 +7 17
Popup % 6.1 -0.9 7.0 -2.1 9.1
Flyball % 26.4 -4.2 30.6 +0.8 29.8
Line Drive % 24.2 -5.1 29.3 +6.2 23.1
Groundball % 43.3 +10.2 33.1 -4.9 38.0
Pull % 43.0 +6.6 36.4 -6.6 43.0
Straight Away % 32.1 -4.3 36.4 +6.6 29.8
Opposite Field % 24.9 -2.4 27.3 0.0 27.3
Weak Contact % 3.2 -2.6 5.8 +5.0 0.8
Pull Airball % 19.1 -1.6 20.7 -4.1 24.8
Topped Contact % 31.4 +9.9 21.5 -7.4 28.9
Under Contact % 23.8 -3.1 26.9 +2.9 24.0
Flare/Burner Contact % 24.2 -5.6 29.8 +3.4 26.4
Solid Contact % 5.4 -0.8 6.2 +0.4 5.8
HR/FB % 24.7 +8.5 16.2 -14.4 30.6
Popups 17 0 17 +6 11
Flyballs 73 -1 74 +38 36
Line Drives 67 -4 71 +43 28
Groundballs 120 +40 80 +34 46
Plate Discipline
In Zone % 48.1 -5.1 53.2 +2.4 50.8
Out of Zone % 51.9 +5.1 46.8 -2.4 49.2
Edge % 39.9 -2.5 42.4 +1.8 40.6
Zone Swing % 66.7 -2.9 69.6 -2.4 72.0
Out of Zone Swing % 27.5 -2.7 30.2 +3.0 27.2
In Zone Contact % 86.7 +5.1 81.6 -3.1 84.7
Out of Zone Contact % 58.8 +10.1 48.7 -3.4 52.1
Whiff % 21.9 -5.6 27.5 +3.5 24.0
First Strike % 66.4 +0.6 65.8 +7.6 58.2
First Pitch Swing % 34.9 -2.7 37.6 +9.4 28.2
Swing % 46.4 -4.7 51.1 +1.2 49.9
Meatball Swing % 72.2 -4.6 76.8 -11.4 88.2
Meatball % 8.5 -0.7 9.2 -0.3 9.5
Zone Swing & Miss % 13.3 -5.1 18.4 +3.1 15.3
Out of Zone Swing & Miss % 41.2 -10.1 51.3 +3.4 47.9
In Zone 712 -8 720 +356 364
Out of Zone 768 +135 633 +280 353
Edge 590 +17 573 +282 291
In Zone Swings 475 -26 501 +239 262
Out of Zone Swings 211 +20 191 +95 96
In Zone Swing & Misses 63 -29 92 +52 40
Out of Zone Swing & Misses 87 -11 98 +52 46
Basic
Pitches 1,480 +127 1,353 +636 717
PA 387 +33 354 +177 177
AB 350 +27 323 +159 164
Hits 93 -1 94 +43 51
Singles 56 -11 67 +36 31
Doubles 18 +3 15 +6 9
Triples 1 +1 0 0 0
Home Runs 18 +6 12 +1 11
Walks 30 +6 24 +13 11
Strikeouts 77 -11 88 +45 43
K% 19.9 -5.0 24.9 +0.6 24.3
BB% 7.8 +1.0 6.8 +0.6 6.2
HBP 3 +3 0 -2 2
Batted Balls 277 +35 242 +121 121
Fastball Percent 52.6 -5.8 58.4 -0.6 59.0
Offspeed Percent 13.1 +2.5 10.6 +2.7 7.9
Breaking Percent 34.3 +3.3 31.0 -2.1 33.1
Number of Fastballs 778 -12 790 +367 423
Number of Offspeed 194 +51 143 +86 57
Number of Breaking 508 +88 420 +183 237
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Statcast Fielder Positioning

vs RHHvs LHH
YearAlignment TypePAwOBAPATotal%PATotal%
2024 Shades 177 .397 75 2 2.7 102 36 35.3
2025 Shades 354 .338 178 30 16.9 176 151 85.8
2026 Shades 387 .346 174 8 4.6 213 89 41.8
! Note: Shifts are through the 2022 season, Shaded starting from the 2023 season, Shift: three or more infielders are on the same side of second base, Shade: positioned outside of their typical responsible slices of the field.
Learn more about how positioning is defined here

Pitch Tempo

Bases EmptyRunners On Base
SeasonTeamPitchesTempoFast %Slow %PitchesTempoFast %Slow %
2024 213 12.9 83.1% 0.0% 98 16.7 15.3% 1.0%
2025 311 12.6 83.3% 0.6% 236 17.8 6.4% 2.1%
2026 451 13.5 74.9% 1.3% 192 19.0 2.6% 4.7%

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Pitch Distribution