P | Minnesota Twins
Bats/Throws: R/R | 6' 5" 225 lbs | Age: 26
Draft: 2022 | Rd. 8, No. 234, Minnesota Twins | Western Carolina
W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2024 1 4 6.69 9 9 0 37.2 43 1.65
2025 5 6 5.56 16 16 0 79.1 88 1.49
2026 4 8 5.21 13 13 0 76 59 1.32
3 Seasons 10 18 5.64 38 38 0 193 190 1.45
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2024 9 1-4 6.69 37.2 43 1.65
2025 16 5-6 5.56 79.1 88 1.49
2026 13 4-8 5.21 76 59 1.32
3 Seasons 38 10-18 5.64 193 190 1.45
MLB Percentile Rankings
Movement Profile (Induced Break)
?

Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls
Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity
Max EV Launch
Angle
LA Sweet-
Spot %
xBA xSLG wOBA xwOBA xwOBAcon HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2024 24 717 121 17 14.0 9.6 90.5 109.4 14.1 38.0 .275 .538 .397 .371 .469 42.1 24.3 6.2 6.69 5.88
2025 25 1353 242 24 9.9 6.8 89.2 113.5 16.5 44.2 .265 .447 .338 .333 .420 38.8 24.9 6.8 5.56 4.67
2026 26 1202 234 28 12.0 8.8 89.9 112.8 13.9 35.9 .257 .452 .343 .334 .377 37.6 18.5 7.5 5.21 4.73
Player 3272 597 69 11.6 8.1 89.7 113.5 15.0 39.7 .264 .468 .352 .341 .413 39.0 22.4 6.9
MLB 7.6 4.9 88.6 122.9 12.5 33.3 .243 .407 .316 .316 .369 37.1 22.2 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Matthews relies on 6 pitches.
Four Seamer
(36.9%) ,
Slider
(21.1%) ,
Changeup
(12.8%) ,
Curveball
(12.7%) ,
Cutter
(11.8%) ,
Sinker
(4.6%) ,


  •   
  •   
  •   

+ If Available Pitches Click to Video.
+ Similar Pitchers to Zebby Matthews Based on Velocity and Movement:


  •   
  •   
  •   
  •   
  •   
  •   
  •   

Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

AIR: Fly Balls + Line Drives + Popups All Batted Balls Batted Ball Breakdown
Season GB % AIR % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Pull GB % Straight GB % Oppo GB % Pull AIR % Straight AIR % Oppo AIR %
2024 38.0 62.0 29.8 23.1 9.1 43.0 29.8 27.3 18.2 13.2 6.6 24.8 16.5 20.7
2025 33.1 66.9 30.6 29.3 7.0 36.4 36.4 27.3 15.7 14.0 3.3 20.7 22.3 24.0
2026 41.0 59.0 26.9 24.8 7.3 42.3 32.9 24.8 23.1 12.0 6.0 19.2 20.9 18.8
Player 37.2 62.8 29.0 26.3 7.5 40.0 33.7 26.3 19.1 13.1 5.0 20.9 20.6 21.3
MLB 44.1 55.9 24.2 24.6 7.1 37.5 37.3 25.1 20.7 17.6 5.8 16.8 19.7 19.2
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Quality of Contact

Season Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2024 0.8 28.9 24.0 26.4 5.8 14.0 9.6
2025 5.8 21.5 26.9 29.8 6.2 9.9 6.8
2026 3.0 29.9 25.2 23.5 6.0 12.0 8.8
Player 3.7 26.3 25.6 26.6 6.0 11.6 8.1
MLB 4.0 32.3 25.0 24.4 5.9 7.6 4.9
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement


How this works: This section shows two different ways to evaluate pitch movement. On the left, “Total Movement” shows the real-world movement of a pitch, including the forces of gravity, which affects every pitch thrown. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren't 'better' just because they have more time to move, a pitch's movement is compared to other pitches of the same pitch type, within +/- 2 MPH and +/- 0.5 feet of extension/release. On the right, Induced Movement (or IVB) is reported without gravity, and attempts to isolate movement created by the pitcher's ability to spin and manipulate the ball.
Total Movement (in inches, w/ gravity)Induced Movement (in inches, w/o gravity)
YearPitchTeamHand#MPHVertical
Drop
vs.
Comparable
Horizontal
Break
vs.
Comparable
Vertical
Break
vs. AvgHorizontal
Break
vs. Avg
2026 Changeup MIN R 154 86.2 32.9 0.4 14.6ARM 0.5 3.8 0.1 14.6ARM 0.3
2026 Slider MIN R 254 87.1 33.2 -1.3 3.5GLV -0.2 2.7 -1.3 3.5GLV -0.2
2026 Sinker MIN R 55 95.3 19.3 -2.5 15.9ARM 0.5 10.9 -3.3 15.9ARM 0.8
2026 Cutter MIN R 142 90.5 24.1 1.1 0.1GLV -2.0 9.1 1.0 0.1GLV -2.2
2026 Curveball MIN R 153 79.8 51.6 -2.0 9.1GLV 0.0 -8.6 -1.6 9.1GLV -0.1
2026 4-Seam Fastball MIN R 444 95.2 14.2 -0.1 8.9ARM 1.6 16.0 0.3 8.9ARM 1.1
2025 Cutter MIN R 175 91.7 21.7 2.1 1.9GLV 0.0 10.7 2.3 1.9GLV -0.3
2025 Sinker MIN R 58 95.8 16.9 -4.7 15.4ARM 0.1 13.0 -5.6 15.4ARM 0.3
2025 Changeup MIN R 143 87.5 29.0 -2.5 13.0ARM -1.3 6.8 -2.7 13.0ARM -1.5
2025 4-Seam Fastball MIN R 557 96.2 13.0 0.7 9.0ARM 1.6 16.6 0.8 9.0ARM 1.4
2025 Slider MIN R 342 88.3 33.6 0.8 2.3GLV -1.4 1.4 0.4 2.3GLV -1.9
2025 Curveball MIN R 78 82.8 47.4 -3.2 2.9GLV -4.3 -7.6 -2.6 2.9GLV -6.1
! Note: Years are in reverse order.

Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2026 4-Seam Fastball 0.1 1 444 36.9 108 .277 .489 .382 13.1 13.0 11.8 .282 .472 .370 37.5
2026 Slider 0.4 1 254 21.1 92 .221 .395 .291 33.3 27.2 20.8 .217 .414 .295 36.1
2026 Changeup -2.3 -4 154 12.8 43 .325 .550 .364 17.2 11.6 14.3 .273 .468 .316 37.8
2026 Curveball -0.4 -1 153 12.7 32 .156 .375 .220 39.3 40.6 27.1 .169 .287 .194 52.6
2026 Cutter -0.2 0 142 11.8 33 .310 .552 .386 14.8 3.0 6.7 .346 .605 .435 27.6
2026 Sinker -2.5 -1 55 4.6 11 .444 .889 .645 16.7 9.1 12.5 .340 .666 .480 50.0
2025 4-Seam Fastball -1.4 -8 557 41.2 123 .357 .616 .431 22.4 24.4 19.4 .303 .571 .394 49.4
2025 Slider 0.3 1 342 25.3 114 .148 .250 .214 38.6 43.9 24.4 .183 .326 .243 30.5
2025 Cutter -0.5 -1 175 12.9 53 .341 .439 .418 24.5 5.7 8.3 .323 .485 .421 43.6
2025 Changeup -1.2 -2 143 10.6 32 .355 .548 .377 26.3 3.1 5.3 .317 .426 .346 32.3
2025 Curveball -1.1 -1 78 5.8 14 .357 .429 .346 32.1 14.3 10.5 .304 .487 .338 41.7
2025 Sinker -1.0 -1 58 4.3 18 .471 .471 .424 7.7 11.1 50.0 .264 .320 .255 12.5
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: To better align with other values, positive numbers (red) are good, and negative numbers (blue) are poor.

Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2026 Changeup 154 86.2 97 15.6 2:15 2:45 -30
2026 Curveball 153 79.8 74 14.6 7:30 7:15 15
2026 Cutter 142 90.5 51 8.4 12:30 12:00 30
2026 4-Seam Fastball 444 95.2 94 18.0 1:15 1:00 15
2026 Sinker 54 95.3 95 19.4 1:30 2:00 -30
2026 Slider 254 87.1 23 4.5 11:00 9:45 75
2025 Changeup 143 87.5 99 14.8 1:45 2:15 -30
2025 Curveball 78 82.8 50 10.3 7:30 6:30 60
2025 Cutter 175 91.7 53 10.2 12:30 11:30 60
2025 4-Seam Fastball 557 96.2 96 18.7 1:00 1:00 0
2025 Sinker 58 95.8 96 20.2 1:15 1:45 -30
2025 Slider 342 88.3 18 3.3 10:30 9:00 90
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
+ Show More Seasons
! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
+ View Complete Spin Direction Leaderboard

Pitcher Arm Angle

! Note: Data is available from 2020 through the present.
+ View Complete Arm Angle Leaderboard

Statcast Pitching Run Value

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2024 177 717 -4 -2 -4 -4 -13
2025 354 1,353 -5 5 -7 -4 -11
2026 319 1,202 -3 10 -6 -5 -4
Player 850 3,272 -12 13 -17 -12 -28
+ View Complete Pitching Run Value Leaderboard
+ Show Leverage-Based Run Value

Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2024 717 50.8 72.0 84.7 27.2 52.1 40.6 58.2 49.9 24.0 9.5 88.2
2025 1,353 53.2 69.6 81.6 30.2 48.7 42.4 65.8 51.1 27.5 9.2 76.8
2026 1,202 48.4 68.0 86.1 27.6 59.6 40.5 66.5 47.2 21.9 8.6 73.8
Player 3,272 50.9 69.6 83.9 28.5 53.5 41.3 64.5 49.4 24.7 9.0 78.4
MLB 48.7 67.0 82.6 28.6 57.9 42.6 61.2 47.3 25.0 7.3 76.2
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Run Value Pitching
Year Pitching Fastball Breaking Off
Speed
xERA Fastball
MPH
Fastball
Spin
Curve
Spin
Avg
EV
Chase% Whiff% K% BB% Barrel% Hard-
Hit%
GB% Extension
2024 63 45 26 53
2025 15 9 45 34 19 80 65 26 50 73 68 68 71 22 64 9 60
2026 28 34 54 9 26 63 55 17 26 20 24 21 63 5 56 42 48
+ View Complete Percentile Rankings Leaderboard
+ Compare To Other Players

Expected Home Runs

Adjusted

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2024 23.32 11 11.1 0 4 6 6 54.5
2025 24.45 12 12.6 -1 10 15 2 16.7
2026 23.74 15 16.7 -2 6 14 7 46.7
Player 23.85 38 40.4 -2 20 35 15 39.5
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's batted balls allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
+ View Standard Expected Home Runs

Expected Home Runs by Park

Adjusted

Year HR
2024 11 12 8 11 10 12 13 10 9 10 12 12 11 9 10 10 11 11 11 13 11 12 14 12 11 11 9 13 12 13 10
2025 12 16 10 13 14 13 11 12 8 8 11 12 15 21 13 9 15 11 13 15 12 13 15 17 11 8 11 15 17 10 9
2026 15 21 12 16 15 19 15 14 18 18 12 16 14 18 18 17 19 16 16 25 14 17 21 21 14 14 13 18 19 13 19
Player 38 49 30 40 39 44 39 36 35 36 35 40 40 48 41 36 45 38 40 53 37 42 50 50 36 33 33 46 48 36 38
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's batted balls allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
+ View Standard Expected Home Runs By Park
+ View Complete Expected Home Runs Leaderboard

Year to Year Changes

2026 +/-   2025 +/-   2024
Results
BA .262 -.029 .291 -.020 .311
xBA .257 -.008 .265 -.010 .275
OBP .320 -.015 .335 -.027 .362
xOBP .318 +.001 .317 -.011 .328
SLG .476 +.027 .449 -.118 .567
xSLG .452 +.005 .447 -.091 .538
ISO .214 +.056 .158 -.098 .256
xISO .196 +.013 .183 -.081 .264
BABIP .279 -.081 .360 -.004 .364
wOBA .343 +.005 .338 -.059 .397
xwOBA .334 +.001 .333 -.038 .371
wOBAcon .389 -.037 .426 -.080 .506
xwOBAcon .377 -.043 .420 -.049 .469
BACON .325 -.067 .392 -.029 .421
xBACON .322 -.043 .365 -.007 .372
Statcast Hit Metrics
Hard Hit % 37.6 -1.2 38.8 -3.3 42.1
Avg Exit Velocity 89.9 +0.7 89.2 -1.3 90.5
Launch Angle Sweet-Spot % 35.9 -8.3 44.2 +6.2 38.0
Barrel % 12.0 +2.1 9.9 -4.1 14.0
Avg Launch Angle 13.9 -2.6 16.5 +2.4 14.1
Statcast Bat Tracking
Bat Speed 72.2 +0.4 71.8 +0.3 71.5
Attack Angle 11° +1° 10° 10°
Ideal Attack Angle % 50.1 -3.5 53.6 -4.1 57.7
Attack Direction -3° -2° -1° +1° -1°
Swing Path - Tilt 33° 33° +2° 31°
Swing Length 7.3 0.0 7.3 0.0 7.3
Statcast Pitch Metrics
Fastball Velocity 94.1 -1.1 95.2 +1.4 93.8
Breaking Velocity 84.3 -3.0 87.3 +1.3 86.0
Offspeed Velocity 86.2 -1.3 87.5 +1.7 85.8
Batted Ball Results
Barrels 28 +4 24 +7 17
Popup % 7.3 +0.3 7.0 -2.1 9.1
Flyball % 26.9 -3.7 30.6 +0.8 29.8
Line Drive % 24.8 -4.5 29.3 +6.2 23.1
Groundball % 41.0 +7.9 33.1 -4.9 38.0
Pull % 42.3 +5.9 36.4 -6.6 43.0
Straight Away % 32.9 -3.5 36.4 +6.6 29.8
Opposite Field % 24.8 -2.5 27.3 0.0 27.3
Weak Contact % 3.0 -2.8 5.8 +5.0 0.8
Pull Airball % 19.2 -1.5 20.7 -4.1 24.8
Topped Contact % 29.9 +8.4 21.5 -7.4 28.9
Under Contact % 25.2 -1.7 26.9 +2.9 24.0
Flare/Burner Contact % 23.5 -6.3 29.8 +3.4 26.4
Solid Contact % 6.0 -0.2 6.2 +0.4 5.8
HR/FB % 23.8 +7.6 16.2 -14.4 30.6
Popups 17 0 17 +6 11
Flyballs 63 -11 74 +38 36
Line Drives 58 -13 71 +43 28
Groundballs 96 +16 80 +34 46
Plate Discipline
In Zone % 48.4 -4.8 53.2 +2.4 50.8
Out of Zone % 51.6 +4.8 46.8 -2.4 49.2
Edge % 40.5 -1.9 42.4 +1.8 40.6
Zone Swing % 68.0 -1.6 69.6 -2.4 72.0
Out of Zone Swing % 27.6 -2.6 30.2 +3.0 27.2
In Zone Contact % 86.1 +4.5 81.6 -3.1 84.7
Out of Zone Contact % 59.6 +10.9 48.7 -3.4 52.1
Whiff % 21.9 -5.6 27.5 +3.5 24.0
First Strike % 66.5 +0.7 65.8 +7.6 58.2
First Pitch Swing % 36.7 -0.9 37.6 +9.4 28.2
Swing % 47.2 -3.9 51.1 +1.2 49.9
Meatball Swing % 73.8 -3.0 76.8 -11.4 88.2
Meatball % 8.6 -0.6 9.2 -0.3 9.5
Zone Swing & Miss % 13.9 -4.5 18.4 +3.1 15.3
Out of Zone Swing & Miss % 40.4 -10.9 51.3 +3.4 47.9
In Zone 582 -138 720 +356 364
Out of Zone 620 -13 633 +280 353
Edge 487 -86 573 +282 291
In Zone Swings 396 -105 501 +239 262
Out of Zone Swings 171 -20 191 +95 96
In Zone Swing & Misses 55 -37 92 +52 40
Out of Zone Swing & Misses 69 -29 98 +52 46
Basic
Pitches 1,202 -151 1,353 +636 717
PA 319 -35 354 +177 177
AB 290 -33 323 +159 164
Hits 76 -18 94 +43 51
Singles 45 -22 67 +36 31
Doubles 15 0 15 +6 9
Triples 1 +1 0 0 0
Home Runs 15 +3 12 +1 11
Walks 24 0 24 +13 11
Strikeouts 59 -29 88 +45 43
K% 18.5 -6.4 24.9 +0.6 24.3
BB% 7.5 +0.7 6.8 +0.6 6.2
HBP 2 +2 0 -2 2
Batted Balls 234 -8 242 +121 121
Fastball Percent 53.3 -5.1 58.4 -0.6 59.0
Offspeed Percent 12.8 +2.2 10.6 +2.7 7.9
Breaking Percent 33.9 +2.9 31.0 -2.1 33.1
Number of Fastballs 641 -149 790 +367 423
Number of Offspeed 154 +11 143 +86 57
Number of Breaking 407 -13 420 +183 237
+ Toggle Viewing All Player's Year to Year Stats

Statcast Fielder Positioning

vs RHHvs LHH
YearAlignment TypePAwOBAPATotal%PATotal%
2024 Shades 177 .397 75 2 2.7 102 36 35.3
2025 Shades 354 .338 178 30 16.9 176 151 85.8
2026 Shades 319 .343 144 7 4.9 175 72 41.1
! Note: Shifts are through the 2022 season, Shaded starting from the 2023 season, Shift: three or more infielders are on the same side of second base, Shade: positioned outside of their typical responsible slices of the field.
Learn more about how positioning is defined here

Pitch Tempo

Bases EmptyRunners On Base
SeasonTeamPitchesTempoFast %Slow %PitchesTempoFast %Slow %
2024 213 12.9 83.1% 0.0% 98 16.7 15.3% 1.0%
2025 311 12.6 83.3% 0.6% 236 17.8 6.4% 2.1%
2026 329 13.6 73.9% 1.2% 123 19.1 4.1% 3.3%

+ View Complete Pitch Tempo Leaderboard

Pitch Distribution