P | Minnesota Twins
Bats/Throws: R/R | 6' 5" 225 lbs | Age: 26
Draft: 2022 | Rd. 8, No. 234, Minnesota Twins | Western Carolina
W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2024 1 4 6.69 9 9 0 37.2 43 1.65
2025 5 6 5.56 16 16 0 79.1 88 1.49
2026 9 11 4.90 23 23 0 130.1 116 1.26
3 Seasons 15 21 5.39 48 48 0 247.1 247 1.39
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2024 9 1-4 6.69 37.2 43 1.65
2025 16 5-6 5.56 79.1 88 1.49
2026 23 9-11 4.90 130.1 116 1.26
3 Seasons 48 15-21 5.39 247.1 247 1.39
MLB Percentile Rankings
Movement Profile (Induced Break)
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Statcast Statistics

Season Age Team Pitches Batted
Balls
Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity
Max EV Launch
Angle
LA Sweet-
Spot %
xBA xSLG wOBA xwOBA xwOBAcon HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2024 24 717 121 17 14.0 9.6 90.5 109.4 14.1 38.0 .275 .538 .397 .371 .468 42.1 24.3 6.2 6.69 5.88
2025 25 1353 242 24 9.9 6.8 89.2 113.5 16.5 44.2 .264 .447 .338 .333 .419 38.8 24.9 6.8 5.56 4.67
2026 26 2117 386 41 10.6 7.5 90.8 112.8 13.5 34.7 .249 .425 .328 .321 .375 42.5 21.3 7.2 4.90 4.38
Player 4187 749 82 11.0 7.6 90.2 113.5 14.6 38.3 .258 .451 .342 .333 .404 41.3 23.0 6.9
MLB 7.6 4.9 88.6 122.9 12.6 33.3 .244 .407 .316 .316 .368 37.1 22.2 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Matthews relies on 6 pitches.
Four Seamer
(35.8%) ,
Slider
(22.8%) ,
Changeup
(13.2%) ,
Cutter
(12.4%) ,
Curveball
(11.1%) ,
Sinker
(4.7%) ,


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+ Similar Pitchers to Zebby Matthews Based on Velocity and Movement:


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

AIR: Fly Balls + Line Drives + Popups All Batted Balls Batted Ball Breakdown
Season GB % AIR % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Pull GB % Straight GB % Oppo GB % Pull AIR % Straight AIR % Oppo AIR %
2024 38.0 62.0 29.8 23.1 9.1 43.0 29.8 27.3 18.2 13.2 6.6 24.8 16.5 20.7
2025 33.1 66.9 30.6 29.3 7.0 36.4 36.4 27.3 15.7 14.0 3.3 20.7 22.3 24.0
2026 43.3 56.7 26.7 24.1 6.0 42.2 33.4 24.4 23.6 14.0 5.7 18.7 19.4 18.7
Player 39.1 60.9 28.4 25.6 6.8 40.5 33.8 25.8 20.2 13.9 5.1 20.3 19.9 20.7
MLB 44.1 55.9 24.3 24.6 7.1 37.5 37.3 25.0 20.7 17.5 5.8 16.9 19.8 19.2
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Quality of Contact

Season Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2024 0.8 28.9 24.0 26.4 5.8 14.0 9.6
2025 5.8 21.5 26.9 29.8 6.2 9.9 6.8
2026 2.8 32.4 24.6 23.3 6.0 10.6 7.5
Player 3.5 28.3 25.2 25.9 6.0 11.0 7.6
MLB 4.1 32.2 25.0 24.4 5.9 7.6 4.9
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement


How this works: This section shows two different ways to evaluate pitch movement. On the left, “Total Movement” shows the real-world movement of a pitch, including the forces of gravity, which affects every pitch thrown. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren't 'better' just because they have more time to move, a pitch's movement is compared to other pitches of the same pitch type, within +/- 2 MPH and +/- 0.5 feet of extension/release. On the right, Induced Movement (or IVB) is reported without gravity, and attempts to isolate movement created by the pitcher's ability to spin and manipulate the ball.
Total Movement (in inches, w/ gravity)Induced Movement (in inches, w/o gravity)
SeasonPitchTeamHand#MPHVertical
Drop
vs.
Comparable
Horizontal
Break
vs.
Comparable
Vertical
Break
vs. AvgHorizontal
Break
vs. Avg
2026 Changeup R 280 86.7 31.8 -0.4 14.6ARM 0.5 4.4 -0.6 14.6ARM 0.4
2026 Sinker R 99 95.2 19.0 -2.7 15.5ARM 0.3 11.2 -3.6 15.5ARM 0.4
2026 Curveball R 235 79.8 51.8 -1.7 8.5GLV -0.4 -8.9 -1.3 8.5GLV -0.5
2026 4-Seam Fastball R 757 95.2 14.1 0.1 8.8ARM 1.5 16.1 0.5 8.8ARM 1.0
2026 Cutter R 263 90.9 23.2 1.6 0.3GLV -1.7 9.7 1.7 0.3GLV -1.9
2026 Slider R 483 87.3 32.8 -1.6 3.5GLV -0.3 3.0 -1.6 3.5GLV -0.1
2025 Cutter R 175 91.7 21.7 2.1 1.9GLV 0.0 10.7 2.4 1.9GLV -0.3
2025 4-Seam Fastball R 557 96.2 13.0 0.7 9.0ARM 1.6 16.6 0.8 9.0ARM 1.4
2025 Slider R 342 88.3 33.6 0.8 2.3GLV -1.4 1.4 0.4 2.3GLV -1.9
2025 Changeup R 143 87.5 29.0 -2.5 13.0ARM -1.3 6.8 -2.7 13.0ARM -1.5
2025 Curveball R 78 82.8 47.4 -3.2 2.9GLV -4.3 -7.6 -2.6 2.9GLV -6.1
2025 Sinker R 58 95.8 16.9 -4.7 15.4ARM 0.1 13.0 -5.6 15.4ARM 0.3
! Note: Seasons are in reverse order.

Run Values by Pitch Type

Season Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2026 4-Seam Fastball -0.1 -1 757 35.8 183 .289 .491 .386 14.8 15.8 13.9 .289 .476 .375 45.4
2026 Slider 2.3 11 483 22.8 153 .164 .288 .216 34.2 34.6 24.0 .176 .326 .235 40.9
2026 Changeup -2.5 -7 280 13.2 73 .309 .529 .364 19.8 13.7 14.9 .276 .443 .323 41.0
2026 Cutter -1.6 -4 263 12.4 67 .344 .639 .432 15.4 7.5 12.8 .324 .569 .406 36.8
2026 Curveball -0.4 -1 235 11.1 46 .156 .378 .232 34.0 39.1 20.5 .146 .258 .183 51.9
2026 Sinker -0.5 0 99 4.7 23 .316 .526 .439 20.9 4.3 11.1 .394 .635 .487 38.9
2025 4-Seam Fastball -1.4 -8 557 41.2 123 .357 .616 .431 22.4 24.4 19.4 .303 .571 .394 49.4
2025 Slider 0.3 1 342 25.3 114 .148 .250 .214 38.6 43.9 24.4 .183 .326 .243 30.5
2025 Cutter -0.5 -1 175 12.9 53 .341 .439 .418 24.5 5.7 8.3 .321 .484 .420 43.6
2025 Changeup -1.2 -2 143 10.6 32 .355 .548 .377 26.3 3.1 5.3 .316 .425 .345 32.3
2025 Curveball -1.1 -1 78 5.8 14 .357 .429 .346 32.1 14.3 10.5 .304 .487 .338 41.7
2025 Sinker -1.0 -1 58 4.3 18 .471 .471 .424 7.7 11.1 50.0 .263 .320 .255 12.5
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: To better align with other values, positive numbers (red) are good, and negative numbers (blue) are poor.

Spin Direction

Season Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2026 Changeup 279 86.8 97 15.7 2:15 2:30 -15
2026 Curveball 235 79.8 73 14.5 7:30 7:15 15
2026 Cutter 263 90.9 52 9.1 12:30 12:00 30
2026 4-Seam Fastball 757 95.2 94 18.1 1:15 1:00 15
2026 Sinker 98 95.2 95 19.3 1:15 2:00 -45
2026 Slider 483 87.3 24 4.5 11:00 9:45 75
2025 Changeup 143 87.5 99 14.8 1:45 2:15 -30
2025 Curveball 78 82.8 50 10.3 7:30 6:30 60
2025 Cutter 175 91.7 53 10.2 12:30 11:30 60
2025 4-Seam Fastball 557 96.2 96 18.7 1:00 1:00 0
2025 Sinker 58 95.8 96 20.2 1:15 1:45 -30
2025 Slider 342 88.3 18 3.3 10:30 9:00 90
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Pitcher Arm Angle

! Note: Data is available from 2020 through the present.
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Statcast Pitching Run Value

Runs
Season Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2024 177 717 -4 -2 -4 -4 -13
2025 354 1,353 -5 5 -7 -4 -11
2026 545 2,117 -2 16 -10 -8 -3
Player 1,076 4,187 -11 20 -21 -11 -27
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2024 717 50.8 72.0 84.7 27.2 52.1 40.6 58.2 49.9 24.0 9.5 88.2
2025 1,353 53.2 69.6 81.6 30.2 48.7 42.4 65.8 51.1 27.5 9.2 76.8
2026 2,117 48.7 68.0 86.0 28.2 57.5 41.5 65.7 47.5 22.7 7.8 77.0
Player 4,187 50.5 69.2 84.3 28.6 53.8 41.6 64.5 49.1 24.5 8.6 79.1
MLB 48.7 67.0 82.7 28.6 57.9 42.6 61.2 47.3 25.0 7.3 76.2
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Run Value Pitching
Season Pitching Fastball Breaking Off
Speed
xERA Fastball
MPH
Fastball
Spin
Curve
Spin
Avg
EV
Chase% Whiff% K% BB% Barrel% Hard-
Hit%
GB% Extension
2024 63 45 25 53
2025 15 9 45 34 19 80 65 26 50 73 68 68 71 22 64 9 60
2026 29 19 94 4 34 62 55 21 4 24 28 40 70 7 17 53 48
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Expected Home Runs

Adjusted

Season Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2024 23.32 11 11.1 0 4 6 6 54.5
2025 24.45 12 12.6 -1 10 15 2 16.7
2026 23.67 24 24.7 -1 11 19 10 41.7
Player 23.79 47 48.4 -1 25 40 18 38.3
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's batted balls allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Expected Home Runs by Park

Adjusted

Season HR
2024 11 12 8 11 10 12 13 10 9 10 12 12 11 9 10 10 11 11 11 13 11 12 14 12 11 11 9 13 12 13 10
2025 12 16 10 13 14 13 11 12 8 8 11 12 15 21 13 9 15 11 13 15 12 13 15 17 11 8 11 15 17 10 9
2026 24 27 19 25 24 27 24 21 29 23 19 28 20 30 28 25 25 21 23 34 24 27 29 29 20 19 18 29 26 22 25
Player 47 55 37 49 48 52 48 43 46 41 42 52 46 60 51 44 51 43 47 62 47 52 58 58 42 38 38 57 55 45 44
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's batted balls allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Year to Year Changes

2026 +/-   2025 +/-   2024
Results
BA .251 -.040 ↓ .291 -.020 ↓ .311
xBA .249 -.015 ↓ .264 -.011 ↓ .275
OBP .308 -.027 ↓ .335 -.027 ↓ .362
xOBP .309 -.008 ↓ .317 -.011 ↓ .328
SLG .446 -.003 ↓ .449 -.118 ↓ .567
xSLG .425 -.022 ↓ .447 -.091 ↓ .538
ISO .195 +.037 ↑ .158 -.098 ↓ .256
xISO .176 -.007 ↓ .183 -.081 ↓ .264
BABIP .279 -.081 ↓ .360 -.004 ↓ .364
wOBA .328 -.010 ↓ .338 -.059 ↓ .397
xwOBA .321 -.012 ↓ .333 -.038 ↓ .371
wOBAcon .384 -.042 ↓ .426 -.080 ↓ .506
xwOBAcon .375 -.044 ↓ .419 -.049 ↓ .468
BACON .324 -.068 ↓ .392 -.029 ↓ .421
xBACON .325 -.039 ↓ .364 -.008 ↓ .372
Statcast Hit Metrics
Hard Hit % 42.5 +3.7 ↑ 38.8 -3.3 ↓ 42.1
Avg Exit Velocity 90.8 +1.6 ↑ 89.2 -1.3 ↓ 90.5
Launch Angle Sweet-Spot % 34.7 -9.5 ↓ 44.2 +6.2 ↑ 38.0
Barrel % 10.6 +0.7 ↑ 9.9 -4.1 ↓ 14.0
Avg Launch Angle 13.5 -3.0 ↓ 16.5 +2.4 ↑ 14.1
Statcast Bat Tracking
Bat Speed 72.5 +0.7 ↑ 71.8 +0.3 ↑ 71.5
Attack Angle 11° +1° ↑ 10° +1° ↑ 10°
Ideal Attack Angle % 48.7 -4.7 ↓ 53.4 -3.8 ↓ 57.2
Attack Direction -2° -1° ↓ -1° +1° ↑ -1°
Swing Path - Tilt 33° 0° ↑ 33° +2° ↑ 31°
Swing Length 7.4 +0.1 ↑ 7.3 0.0 7.3
Statcast Pitch Metrics
Fastball Velocity 94.2 -1.0 ↓ 95.2 +1.4 ↑ 93.8
Breaking Velocity 84.8 -2.5 ↓ 87.3 +1.3 ↑ 86.0
Offspeed Velocity 86.7 -0.8 ↓ 87.5 +1.7 ↑ 85.8
Batted Ball Results
Barrels 41 +17 ↑ 24 +7 ↑ 17
Popup % 6.0 -1.0 ↓ 7.0 -2.1 ↓ 9.1
Flyball % 26.7 -3.9 ↓ 30.6 +0.8 ↑ 29.8
Line Drive % 24.1 -5.2 ↓ 29.3 +6.2 ↑ 23.1
Groundball % 43.3 +10.2 ↑ 33.1 -4.9 ↓ 38.0
Pull % 42.2 +5.8 ↑ 36.4 -6.6 ↓ 43.0
Straight Away % 33.4 -3.0 ↓ 36.4 +6.6 ↑ 29.8
Opposite Field % 24.4 -2.9 ↓ 27.3 0.0 27.3
Weak Contact % 2.8 -3.0 ↓ 5.8 +5.0 ↑ 0.8
Pull Airball % 18.7 -2.0 ↓ 20.7 -4.1 ↓ 24.8
Topped Contact % 32.4 +10.9 ↑ 21.5 -7.4 ↓ 28.9
Under Contact % 24.6 -2.3 ↓ 26.9 +2.9 ↑ 24.0
Flare/Burner Contact % 23.3 -6.5 ↓ 29.8 +3.4 ↑ 26.4
Solid Contact % 6.0 -0.2 ↓ 6.2 +0.4 ↑ 5.8
HR/FB % 23.3 +7.1 ↑ 16.2 -14.4 ↓ 30.6
Popups 23 +6 ↑ 17 +6 ↑ 11
Flyballs 103 +29 ↑ 74 +38 ↑ 36
Line Drives 93 +22 ↑ 71 +43 ↑ 28
Groundballs 167 +87 ↑ 80 +34 ↑ 46
Plate Discipline
In Zone % 48.7 -4.5 ↓ 53.2 +2.4 ↑ 50.8
Out of Zone % 51.3 +4.5 ↑ 46.8 -2.4 ↓ 49.2
Edge % 41.5 -0.9 ↓ 42.4 +1.8 ↑ 40.6
Zone Swing % 68.0 -1.6 ↓ 69.6 -2.4 ↓ 72.0
Out of Zone Swing % 28.2 -2.0 ↓ 30.2 +3.0 ↑ 27.2
In Zone Contact % 86.0 +4.4 ↑ 81.6 -3.1 ↓ 84.7
Out of Zone Contact % 57.5 +8.8 ↑ 48.7 -3.4 ↓ 52.1
Whiff % 22.7 -4.8 ↓ 27.5 +3.5 ↑ 24.0
First Strike % 65.7 -0.1 ↓ 65.8 +7.6 ↑ 58.2
First Pitch Swing % 35.0 -2.6 ↓ 37.6 +9.4 ↑ 28.2
Swing % 47.5 -3.6 ↓ 51.1 +1.2 ↑ 49.9
Meatball Swing % 77.0 +0.2 ↑ 76.8 -11.4 ↓ 88.2
Meatball % 7.8 -1.4 ↓ 9.2 -0.3 ↓ 9.5
Zone Swing & Miss % 14.0 -4.4 ↓ 18.4 +3.1 ↑ 15.3
Out of Zone Swing & Miss % 42.5 -8.8 ↓ 51.3 +3.4 ↑ 47.9
In Zone 1,030 +310 ↑ 720 +356 ↑ 364
Out of Zone 1,087 +454 ↑ 633 +280 ↑ 353
Edge 879 +306 ↑ 573 +282 ↑ 291
In Zone Swings 700 +199 ↑ 501 +239 ↑ 262
Out of Zone Swings 306 +115 ↑ 191 +95 ↑ 96
In Zone Swing & Misses 98 +6 ↑ 92 +52 ↑ 40
Out of Zone Swing & Misses 130 +32 ↑ 98 +52 ↑ 46
Basic
Pitches 2,117 +764 ↑ 1,353 +636 ↑ 717
PA 545 +191 ↑ 354 +177 ↑ 177
AB 498 +175 ↑ 323 +159 ↑ 164
Hits 125 +31 ↑ 94 +43 ↑ 51
Singles 77 +10 ↑ 67 +36 ↑ 31
Doubles 23 +8 ↑ 15 +6 ↑ 9
Triples 1 +1 ↑ 0 0 0
Home Runs 24 +12 ↑ 12 +1 ↑ 11
Walks 39 +15 ↑ 24 +13 ↑ 11
Strikeouts 116 +28 ↑ 88 +45 ↑ 43
K% 21.3 -3.6 ↓ 24.9 +0.6 ↑ 24.3
BB% 7.2 +0.4 ↑ 6.8 +0.6 ↑ 6.2
HBP 4 +4 ↑ 0 -2 ↓ 2
Batted Balls 386 +144 ↑ 242 +121 ↑ 121
Fastball Percent 52.9 -5.5 ↓ 58.4 -0.6 ↓ 59.0
Offspeed Percent 13.2 +2.6 ↑ 10.6 +2.7 ↑ 7.9
Breaking Percent 33.9 +2.9 ↑ 31.0 -2.1 ↓ 33.1
Number of Fastballs 1,119 +329 ↑ 790 +367 ↑ 423
Number of Offspeed 280 +137 ↑ 143 +86 ↑ 57
Number of Breaking 718 +298 ↑ 420 +183 ↑ 237
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Statcast Fielder Positioning

vs RHHvs LHH
SeasonAlignment TypePAwOBAPATotal%PATotal%
2024 Shades 177 .397 75 2 2.7 102 36 35.3
2025 Shades 354 .338 178 30 16.9 176 151 85.8
2026 Shades 545 .328 229 8 3.5 316 169 53.5
! Note: Shifts are through the 2022 season, Shaded starting from the 2023 season, Shift: three or more infielders are on the same side of second base, Shade: positioned outside of their typical responsible slices of the field.
Learn more about how positioning is defined here

Pitch Tempo

Bases EmptyRunners On Base
SeasonTeamPitchesTempoFast %Slow %PitchesTempoFast %Slow %
2024 213 12.9 83.1% 0.0% 98 16.7 15.3% 1.0%
2025 311 12.6 83.3% 0.6% 236 17.8 6.4% 2.1%
2026 638 13.6 72.7% 1.4% 279 18.9 1.8% 3.9%

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Pitch Distribution