P | Boston Red Sox
Bats/Throws: R/R | 6' 5" 225 lbs | Age: 28
W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2026 0 0 5.35 21 0 0 33.2 29 1.46
1 Season 0 0 5.35 21 0 0 33.2 29 1.46
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2026 21 0-0 5.35 33.2 29 1.46
1 Season 21 0-0 5.35 33.2 29 1.46
MLB Percentile Rankings
Movement Profile (Induced Break)
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Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls
Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity
Max EV Launch
Angle
LA Sweet-
Spot %
xBA xSLG wOBA xwOBA xwOBAcon HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2026 28 563 106 16 15.2 10.6 90.6 114.3 15.8 41.5 .303 .555 .358 .403 .470 41.5 19.2 9.3 5.35 7.02
Player 563 106 16 15.2 10.6 90.6 114.3 15.8 41.5 .303 .555 .358 .403 .470 41.5 19.2 9.3
MLB 7.6 4.9 88.6 122.9 12.5 33.3 .243 .408 .315 .316 .369 37.0 22.2 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Watson relies on 7 pitches.
Cutter
(22.9%) ,
Four Seamer
(22.4%) ,
Sweeper
(20.8%) ,
Sinker
(17.1%) ,
Curveball
(14.9%) ,
Split Finger
(1.6%) ,
Slider
(0.4%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

AIR: Fly Balls + Line Drives + Popups All Batted Balls Batted Ball Breakdown
Season GB % AIR % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Pull GB % Straight GB % Oppo GB % Pull AIR % Straight AIR % Oppo AIR %
2026 37.7 62.3 24.5 29.2 8.5 41.5 33.0 25.5 21.7 10.4 5.7 19.8 22.6 19.8
Player 37.7 62.3 24.5 29.2 8.5 41.5 33.0 25.5 21.7 10.4 5.7 19.8 22.6 19.8
MLB 44.2 55.8 24.1 24.6 7.1 37.4 37.3 25.1 20.7 17.6 5.9 16.8 19.7 19.3
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Quality of Contact

Season Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2026 6.6 28.3 22.6 23.6 2.8 15.2 10.6
Player 6.6 28.3 22.6 23.6 2.8 15.2 10.6
MLB 4.0 32.3 24.9 24.4 5.9 7.6 4.9
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement


How this works: This section shows two different ways to evaluate pitch movement. On the left, “Total Movement” shows the real-world movement of a pitch, including the forces of gravity, which affects every pitch thrown. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren't 'better' just because they have more time to move, a pitch's movement is compared to other pitches of the same pitch type, within +/- 2 MPH and +/- 0.5 feet of extension/release. On the right, Induced Movement (or IVB) is reported without gravity, and attempts to isolate movement created by the pitcher's ability to spin and manipulate the ball.
Total Movement (in inches, w/ gravity)Induced Movement (in inches, w/o gravity)
YearPitchTeamHand#MPHVertical
Drop
vs.
Comparable
Horizontal
Break
vs.
Comparable
Vertical
Break
vs. AvgHorizontal
Break
vs. Avg
2026 Sinker BOS R 96 93.3 23.3 0.0 16.6ARM 1.0 8.3 -0.6 16.6ARM 1.2
2026 Split-Finger BOS R 9 89.0 29.9 -2.5 11.5ARM -1.3 4.5 -1.6 11.5ARM -0.2
2026 4-Seam Fastball BOS R 126 94.0 15.0 -0.1 7.4ARM -0.6 16.0 0.0 7.4ARM -0.4
2026 Cutter BOS R 129 90.3 25.3 -0.2 0.6GLV -1.4 8.1 -0.2 0.6GLV -1.6
2026 Slider BOS R 2 85.8 26.8 -8.5 1.0GLV -3.5 10.6 -9.2 1.0GLV -3.0
2026 Curveball BOS R 84 82.5 52.2 1.7 12.6GLV 3.7 -11.6 1.3 12.6GLV 3.3
2026 Sweeper BOS R 117 84.7 32.5 -3.9 11.9GLV -1.8 5.8 -4.6 11.9GLV -2.0
! Note: Years are in reverse order.

Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2026 Cutter 0.2 0 129 22.9 37 .353 .618 .428 14.9 8.1 20.0 .374 .815 .511 46.9
2026 4-Seam Fastball 0.4 1 126 22.4 33 .222 .296 .312 25.8 18.2 15.4 .300 .470 .397 47.6
2026 Sweeper 0.7 1 117 20.8 31 .194 .290 .210 33.9 35.5 19.6 .230 .318 .237 30.0
2026 Sinker -3.8 -4 96 17.1 31 .333 .833 .527 15.2 6.5 15.4 .389 .818 .551 43.5
2026 Curveball -1.4 -1 84 14.9 18 .200 .267 .262 38.5 38.9 17.9 .186 .240 .245 33.3
2026 Split-Finger -0.2 0 9 1.6 1 .000 .000 .000 66.7 0.0 0.0 .032 .032 .029 0.0
2026 Slider -2.1 0 2 0.4 -- -- -- 0.0 -- 0.0 -- -- -- --
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: To better align with other values, positive numbers (red) are good, and negative numbers (blue) are poor.

Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2026 Curveball 84 82.5 90 19.5 7:30 7:30 0
2026 Cutter 129 90.3 56 7.4 12:30 11:45 45
2026 4-Seam Fastball 126 94.0 89 17.2 1:15 1:00 15
2026 Sinker 95 93.3 86 18.8 1:15 2:15 -60
2026 Sweeper 117 84.7 32 13.7 9:15 9:45 -30
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Pitcher Arm Angle

! Note: Data is available from 2020 through the present.
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Statcast Pitching Run Value

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2026 151 563 0 3 -3 -3 -3
Player 151 563 0 3 -3 0 -3
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2026 563 46.5 68.3 85.5 30.9 57.0 43.2 64.9 48.3 24.3 8.3 78.7
Player 563 46.5 68.3 85.5 30.9 57.0 43.2 64.9 48.3 24.3 8.3 78.7
MLB 48.7 67.0 82.6 28.5 58.0 42.7 61.1 47.3 25.0 7.3 76.2
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Run Value Pitching
Year Pitching Fastball Breaking Off
Speed
xERA Fastball
MPH
Fastball
Spin
Curve
Spin
Avg
EV
Chase% Whiff% K% BB% Barrel% Hard-
Hit%
GB% Extension
2026 25 22 39 50 2 35 34 5 17 52 45 29 45 2 33 27 95
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Expected Home Runs

Adjusted

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2026 24.21 6 7.5 -2 5 3 4 66.7
Player 24.21 6 7.5 -2 5 3 4 66.7
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's batted balls allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Expected Home Runs by Park

Adjusted

Year HR
2026 6 10 4 7 7 9 8 7 10 7 6 7 7 7 7 9 7 8 7 11 6 8 10 8 6 6 7 8 9 7 6
Player 6 10 4 7 7 9 8 7 10 7 6 7 7 7 7 9 7 8 7 11 6 8 10 8 6 6 7 8 9 7 6
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's batted balls allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Statcast Fielder Positioning

vs RHHvs LHH
YearAlignment TypePAwOBAPATotal%PATotal%
2026 Shades 151 .357 85 4 4.7 66 23 34.8
! Note: Shifts are through the 2022 season, Shaded starting from the 2023 season, Shift: three or more infielders are on the same side of second base, Shade: positioned outside of their typical responsible slices of the field.
Learn more about how positioning is defined here

Pitch Tempo

Bases EmptyRunners On Base
SeasonTeamPitchesTempoFast %Slow %PitchesTempoFast %Slow %
2026 118 16.3 17.8% 2.5% 85 19.3 0.0% 3.5%

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Pitch Distribution