P | New York Mets
Bats/Throws: L/L | 6' 3" 170 lbs | Age: 24
Draft: 2023 | Rd. 5, No. 159, New York Mets | Grand Canyon University
MLB Pipeline Rank
W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2026 5 6 3.42 15 15 0 84.1 63 1.14
1 Season 5 6 3.42 15 15 0 84.1 63 1.14
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2026 15 5-6 3.42 84.1 63 1.14
1 Season 15 5-6 3.42 84.1 63 1.14
MLB Percentile Rankings
Movement Profile (Induced Break)
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Statcast Statistics

Season Age Team Pitches Batted
Balls
Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity
Max EV Launch
Angle
LA Sweet-
Spot %
xBA xSLG wOBA xwOBA xwOBAcon HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2026 24 1257 253 24 9.5 7.1 89.0 113.2 15.7 36.0 .261 .444 .312 .325 .374 41.1 18.7 5.3 3.42 4.50
Player 1257 253 24 9.5 7.1 89.0 113.2 15.7 36.0 .261 .444 .312 .325 .374 41.1 18.7 5.3
MLB 7.6 4.9 88.6 122.9 12.6 33.3 .244 .407 .316 .316 .368 37.1 22.2 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Thornton relies on 7 pitches.
Cutter
(31.7%) ,
Four Seamer
(25.5%) ,
Sweeper
(15.7%) ,
Slider
(8.2%) ,
Sinker
(7.6%) ,
Curveball
(6.8%) ,
Changeup
(4.6%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

AIR: Fly Balls + Line Drives + Popups All Batted Balls Batted Ball Breakdown
Season GB % AIR % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Pull GB % Straight GB % Oppo GB % Pull AIR % Straight AIR % Oppo AIR %
2026 38.3 61.7 30.8 24.5 6.3 38.7 40.7 20.6 17.4 17.8 3.2 21.3 22.9 17.4
Player 38.3 61.7 30.8 24.5 6.3 38.7 40.7 20.6 17.4 17.8 3.2 21.3 22.9 17.4
MLB 44.1 55.9 24.3 24.6 7.1 37.5 37.3 25.0 20.7 17.5 5.8 16.9 19.8 19.2
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Quality of Contact

Season Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2026 5.1 29.2 28.9 22.9 4.3 9.5 7.1
Player 5.1 29.2 28.9 22.9 4.3 9.5 7.1
MLB 4.1 32.2 25.0 24.4 5.9 7.6 4.9
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement


How this works: This section shows two different ways to evaluate pitch movement. On the left, “Total Movement” shows the real-world movement of a pitch, including the forces of gravity, which affects every pitch thrown. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren't 'better' just because they have more time to move, a pitch's movement is compared to other pitches of the same pitch type, within +/- 2 MPH and +/- 0.5 feet of extension/release. On the right, Induced Movement (or IVB) is reported without gravity, and attempts to isolate movement created by the pitcher's ability to spin and manipulate the ball.
Total Movement (in inches, w/ gravity)Induced Movement (in inches, w/o gravity)
SeasonPitchTeamHand#MPHVertical
Drop
vs.
Comparable
Horizontal
Break
vs.
Comparable
Vertical
Break
vs. AvgHorizontal
Break
vs. Avg
2026 Curveball L 85 84.1 39.1 -4.9 5.4ARM -6.8 0.9 -10.9 5.4ARM -13.4
2026 Sweeper L 197 80.0 42.0 -0.4 12.8GLV -1.5 1.1 -0.4 12.8GLV -1.0
2026 Slider L 103 84.7 36.2 -0.9 4.9GLV 1.0 1.7 -0.1 4.9GLV 0.5
2026 Changeup L 58 84.4 28.4 -3.5 15.5ARM 1.7 10.1 -5.3 15.5ARM 1.6
2026 Cutter L 398 88.5 25.8 1.3 3.4GLV 0.7 8.9 1.3 3.4GLV 1.5
2026 Sinker L 96 92.3 20.0 -2.6 14.8ARM 0.5 12.3 -4.6 14.8ARM -0.5
2026 4-Seam Fastball L 320 92.3 14.6 0.4 6.3ARM 0.0 17.7 2.2 6.3ARM -1.6
! Note: Seasons are in reverse order.

Run Values by Pitch Type

Season Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2026 Cutter 0.4 2 398 31.7 103 .286 .451 .369 16.1 7.8 10.4 .282 .455 .351 36.5
2026 4-Seam Fastball 0.6 2 320 25.5 87 .218 .425 .272 17.8 28.7 23.4 .231 .460 .290 46.8
2026 Sweeper -0.7 -1 197 15.7 48 .205 .409 .295 25.0 18.8 16.1 .236 .391 .304 37.1
2026 Slider -2.8 -3 103 8.2 37 .250 .469 .358 19.0 21.6 13.6 .289 .516 .390 58.3
2026 Sinker 2.3 2 96 7.6 22 .238 .238 .236 19.5 18.2 21.1 .318 .510 .369 41.2
2026 Curveball 1.0 1 85 6.8 23 .227 .318 .257 14.0 26.1 17.1 .244 .343 .271 43.8
2026 Changeup -3.3 -2 58 4.6 17 .353 .529 .382 10.3 17.6 13.0 .261 .357 .269 21.4
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: To better align with other values, positive numbers (red) are good, and negative numbers (blue) are poor.

Spin Direction

Season Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2026 Changeup 58 84.4 99 18.6 10:15 10:00 15
2026 Curveball 85 84.1 82 17.7 8:30 7:45 45
2026 Cutter 398 88.5 43 8.9 11:45 1:00 -75
2026 4-Seam Fastball 320 92.3 95 18.3 11:15 11:15 0
2026 Sinker 95 92.3 92 19.2 10:45 10:15 30
2026 Slider 103 84.7 28 6.0 1:45 2:45 -60
2026 Sweeper 196 80.0 42 14.0 3:45 3:00 45
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Pitcher Arm Angle

! Note: Data is available from 2020 through the present.
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Statcast Pitching Run Value

Runs
Season Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2026 337 1,257 7 8 -10 -4 0
Player 337 1,257 7 8 -10 7 0
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2026 1,257 50.4 71.3 88.1 32.7 69.1 41.1 65.6 52.2 17.8 8.7 76.1
Player 1,257 50.4 71.3 88.1 32.7 69.1 41.1 65.6 52.2 17.8 8.7 76.1
MLB 48.7 67.0 82.7 28.6 57.9 42.6 61.2 47.3 25.0 7.3 76.2
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Run Value Pitching
Season Pitching Fastball Breaking Off
Speed
xERA Fastball
MPH
Fastball
Spin
Curve
Spin
Avg
EV
Chase% Whiff% K% BB% Barrel% Hard-
Hit%
GB% Extension
2026 42 70 24 27 29 18 53 23 39 72 2 24 95 16 26 27 26
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Expected Home Runs

Adjusted

Season Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2026 24.18 14 13.4 1 8 10 6 42.9
Player 24.18 14 13.4 1 8 10 6 42.9
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's batted balls allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Expected Home Runs by Park

Adjusted

Season HR
2026 14 14 10 14 15 15 15 10 16 15 11 19 9 14 15 15 12 12 13 19 11 15 17 14 9 8 13 15 15 12 11
Player 14 14 10 14 15 15 15 10 16 15 11 19 9 14 15 15 12 12 13 19 11 15 17 14 9 8 13 15 15 12 11
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's batted balls allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Statcast Fielder Positioning

vs RHHvs LHH
SeasonAlignment TypePAwOBAPATotal%PATotal%
2026 Shades 337 .312 227 20 8.8 110 52 47.3
! Note: Shifts are through the 2022 season, Shaded starting from the 2023 season, Shift: three or more infielders are on the same side of second base, Shade: positioned outside of their typical responsible slices of the field.
Learn more about how positioning is defined here

Pitch Tempo

Bases EmptyRunners On Base
SeasonTeamPitchesTempoFast %Slow %PitchesTempoFast %Slow %
2026 311 13.2 74.6% 2.6% 156 17.3 10.9% 3.2%

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Pitch Distribution