P | Minnesota Twins
Bats/Throws: R/R | 6' 5" 225 lbs | Age: 26
Draft: 2022 | Rd. 8, No. 234, Minnesota Twins | Western Carolina
W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2024 1 4 6.69 9 9 0 37.2 43 1.65
2025 5 6 5.56 16 16 0 79.1 88 1.49
2026 4 7 5.40 12 12 0 70 58 1.34
3 Seasons 10 17 5.73 37 37 0 187 189 1.47
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2024 9 1-4 6.69 37.2 43 1.65
2025 16 5-6 5.56 79.1 88 1.49
2026 12 4-7 5.40 70 58 1.34
3 Seasons 37 10-17 5.73 187 189 1.47
MLB Percentile Rankings
Movement Profile (Induced Break)
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Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls
Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity
Max EV Launch
Angle
LA Sweet-
Spot %
xBA xSLG wOBA xwOBA xwOBAcon HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2024 24 717 121 17 14.0 9.6 90.5 109.4 14.1 38.0 .275 .538 .397 .371 .469 42.1 24.3 6.2 6.69 5.88
2025 25 1353 242 24 9.9 6.8 89.2 113.5 16.5 44.2 .265 .447 .338 .333 .419 38.8 24.9 6.8 5.56 4.67
2026 26 1110 216 27 12.6 9.1 90.5 112.8 15.4 36.1 .258 .459 .351 .335 .386 38.9 19.5 7.1 5.40 4.77
Player 3180 579 68 11.8 8.2 89.9 113.5 15.6 39.9 .264 .471 .355 .342 .417 39.6 22.8 6.8
MLB 7.6 4.9 88.6 122.9 12.5 33.3 .243 .407 .316 .316 .369 37.1 22.2 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Matthews relies on 6 pitches.
Four Seamer
(37.6%) ,
Slider
(21.4%) ,
Curveball
(12.8%) ,
Changeup
(12.4%) ,
Cutter
(11.8%) ,
Sinker
(4.1%) ,


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+ Similar Pitchers to Zebby Matthews Based on Velocity and Movement:


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

AIR: Fly Balls + Line Drives + Popups All Batted Balls Batted Ball Breakdown
Season GB % AIR % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Pull GB % Straight GB % Oppo GB % Pull AIR % Straight AIR % Oppo AIR %
2024 38.0 62.0 29.8 23.1 9.1 43.0 29.8 27.3 18.2 13.2 6.6 24.8 16.5 20.7
2025 33.1 66.9 30.6 29.3 7.0 36.4 36.4 27.3 15.7 14.0 3.3 20.7 22.3 24.0
2026 38.9 61.1 28.7 25.0 7.4 44.0 31.5 24.5 23.1 10.6 5.1 20.8 20.8 19.4
Player 36.3 63.7 29.7 26.4 7.6 40.6 33.2 26.3 19.0 12.6 4.7 21.6 20.6 21.6
MLB 44.1 55.9 24.2 24.6 7.1 37.5 37.3 25.1 20.7 17.6 5.8 16.8 19.7 19.2
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Quality of Contact

Season Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2024 0.8 28.9 24.0 26.4 5.8 14.0 9.6
2025 5.8 21.5 26.9 29.8 6.2 9.9 6.8
2026 2.3 27.8 26.9 24.1 6.0 12.6 9.1
Player 3.5 25.4 26.3 26.9 6.0 11.8 8.2
MLB 4.0 32.3 25.0 24.4 5.9 7.6 4.9
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement


How this works: This section shows two different ways to evaluate pitch movement. On the left, “Total Movement” shows the real-world movement of a pitch, including the forces of gravity, which affects every pitch thrown. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren't 'better' just because they have more time to move, a pitch's movement is compared to other pitches of the same pitch type, within +/- 2 MPH and +/- 0.5 feet of extension/release. On the right, Induced Movement (or IVB) is reported without gravity, and attempts to isolate movement created by the pitcher's ability to spin and manipulate the ball.
Total Movement (in inches, w/ gravity)Induced Movement (in inches, w/o gravity)
YearPitchTeamHand#MPHVertical
Drop
vs.
Comparable
Horizontal
Break
vs.
Comparable
Vertical
Break
vs. AvgHorizontal
Break
vs. Avg
2026 Sinker MIN R 45 94.9 19.8 -2.2 16.3ARM 1.0 10.6 -3.0 16.3ARM 1.2
2026 Slider MIN R 237 87.0 33.3 -1.3 3.5GLV -0.3 2.7 -1.3 3.5GLV -0.2
2026 Cutter MIN R 131 90.5 24.0 1.2 0.1ARM -2.2 9.1 1.0 0.1ARM -2.3
2026 Changeup MIN R 138 85.9 33.4 0.7 14.7ARM 0.6 3.5 0.4 14.7ARM 0.4
2026 Curveball MIN R 142 79.6 51.9 -2.0 9.2GLV 0.0 -8.7 -1.5 9.2GLV 0.0
2026 4-Seam Fastball MIN R 417 95.1 14.3 -0.2 9.0ARM 1.6 15.9 0.1 9.0ARM 1.2
2025 Sinker MIN R 58 95.8 16.9 -4.7 15.4ARM 0.1 13.0 -5.6 15.4ARM 0.3
2025 Changeup MIN R 143 87.5 29.0 -2.5 13.0ARM -1.3 6.8 -2.7 13.0ARM -1.5
2025 4-Seam Fastball MIN R 557 96.2 13.0 0.7 9.0ARM 1.6 16.6 0.8 9.0ARM 1.4
2025 Cutter MIN R 175 91.7 21.7 2.1 1.9GLV 0.0 10.7 2.3 1.9GLV -0.3
2025 Slider MIN R 342 88.3 33.6 0.8 2.3GLV -1.4 1.4 0.4 2.3GLV -1.9
2025 Curveball MIN R 78 82.8 47.4 -3.2 2.9GLV -4.3 -7.6 -2.6 2.9GLV -6.1
! Note: Years are in reverse order.

Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2026 4-Seam Fastball -0.1 -1 417 37.6 101 .284 .511 .393 13.0 13.9 12.6 .282 .482 .373 39.2
2026 Slider 0.5 1 237 21.4 85 .225 .400 .292 34.6 28.2 21.8 .214 .406 .288 35.7
2026 Curveball -0.6 -1 142 12.8 30 .167 .400 .235 40.4 43.3 31.0 .167 .292 .195 52.9
2026 Changeup -2.9 -4 138 12.4 38 .333 .583 .388 19.3 13.2 14.7 .281 .497 .333 43.8
2026 Cutter 0.0 0 131 11.8 32 .310 .552 .377 15.8 3.1 7.7 .346 .605 .427 27.6
2026 Sinker -4.0 -2 45 4.1 11 .444 .889 .645 17.6 9.1 12.5 .340 .666 .480 50.0
2025 4-Seam Fastball -1.4 -8 557 41.2 123 .357 .616 .431 22.4 24.4 19.4 .303 .571 .394 49.4
2025 Slider 0.3 1 342 25.3 114 .148 .250 .214 38.6 43.9 24.4 .183 .326 .243 30.5
2025 Cutter -0.5 -1 175 12.9 53 .341 .439 .418 24.5 5.7 8.3 .321 .484 .420 43.6
2025 Changeup -1.2 -2 143 10.6 32 .355 .548 .377 26.3 3.1 5.3 .317 .426 .346 32.3
2025 Curveball -1.1 -1 78 5.8 14 .357 .429 .346 32.1 14.3 10.5 .304 .487 .338 41.7
2025 Sinker -1.0 -1 58 4.3 18 .471 .471 .424 7.7 11.1 50.0 .264 .320 .255 12.5
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: To better align with other values, positive numbers (red) are good, and negative numbers (blue) are poor.

Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2026 Changeup 138 85.9 97 15.7 2:15 2:45 -30
2026 Curveball 142 79.6 74 14.8 7:30 7:15 15
2026 Cutter 131 90.5 51 8.5 12:30 12:00 30
2026 4-Seam Fastball 417 95.1 94 18.0 1:15 1:00 15
2026 Sinker 44 95.0 94 19.7 1:30 2:00 -30
2026 Slider 237 87.0 23 4.4 11:00 9:30 90
2025 Changeup 143 87.5 99 14.8 1:45 2:15 -30
2025 Curveball 78 82.8 50 10.3 7:30 6:30 60
2025 Cutter 175 91.7 53 10.2 12:30 11:30 60
2025 4-Seam Fastball 557 96.2 96 18.7 1:00 1:00 0
2025 Sinker 58 95.8 96 20.2 1:15 1:45 -30
2025 Slider 342 88.3 18 3.3 10:30 9:00 90
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Pitcher Arm Angle

! Note: Data is available from 2020 through the present.
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Statcast Pitching Run Value

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2024 177 717 -4 -2 -4 -4 -13
2025 354 1,353 -5 5 -7 -4 -11
2026 297 1,110 -3 7 -5 -5 -6
Player 828 3,180 -12 11 -16 -12 -30
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2024 717 50.8 72.0 84.7 27.2 52.1 40.6 58.2 49.9 24.0 9.5 88.2
2025 1,353 53.2 69.6 81.6 30.2 48.7 42.4 65.8 51.1 27.5 9.2 76.8
2026 1,110 49.3 67.5 85.6 27.5 57.4 40.7 66.7 47.2 22.7 8.6 74.0
Player 3,180 51.3 69.4 83.7 28.5 52.5 41.4 64.5 49.5 25.1 9.1 78.5
MLB 48.7 67.0 82.6 28.6 57.9 42.7 61.2 47.3 25.0 7.3 76.2
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Run Value Pitching
Year Pitching Fastball Breaking Off
Speed
xERA Fastball
MPH
Fastball
Spin
Curve
Spin
Avg
EV
Chase% Whiff% K% BB% Barrel% Hard-
Hit%
GB% Extension
2024 63 45 26 53
2025 15 9 45 34 19 80 65 26 50 73 68 68 71 22 64 9 60
2026 19 27 51 7 26 60 54 18 14 21 31 29 72 4 47 32 49
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Expected Home Runs

Adjusted

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2024 23.32 11 11.1 0 4 6 6 54.5
2025 24.45 12 12.6 -1 10 15 2 16.7
2026 23.74 15 16.6 -2 5 14 7 46.7
Player 23.85 38 40.3 -2 19 35 15 39.5
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's batted balls allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Expected Home Runs by Park

Adjusted

Year HR
2024 11 12 8 11 10 12 13 10 9 10 12 12 11 9 10 10 11 11 11 13 11 12 14 12 11 11 9 13 12 13 10
2025 12 16 10 13 14 13 11 12 8 8 11 12 15 21 13 9 15 11 13 15 12 13 15 17 11 8 11 15 17 10 9
2026 15 20 12 15 16 19 16 14 17 16 12 16 14 18 18 18 18 16 16 24 14 17 20 21 14 14 13 18 19 14 19
Player 38 48 30 39 40 44 40 36 34 34 35 40 40 48 41 37 44 38 40 52 37 42 49 50 36 33 33 46 48 37 38
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's batted balls allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Year to Year Changes

2026 +/-   2025 +/-   2024
Results
BA .268 -.023 .291 -.020 .311
xBA .258 -.007 .265 -.010 .275
OBP .323 -.012 .335 -.027 .362
xOBP .316 -.001 .317 -.011 .328
SLG .493 +.044 .449 -.118 .567
xSLG .459 +.012 .447 -.091 .538
ISO .224 +.066 .158 -.098 .256
xISO .201 +.018 .183 -.081 .264
BABIP .289 -.071 .360 -.004 .364
wOBA .351 +.013 .338 -.059 .397
xwOBA .335 +.002 .333 -.038 .371
wOBAcon .408 -.018 .426 -.080 .506
xwOBAcon .386 -.033 .419 -.050 .469
BACON .338 -.054 .392 -.029 .421
xBACON .328 -.037 .365 -.007 .372
Statcast Hit Metrics
Hard Hit % 38.9 +0.1 38.8 -3.3 42.1
Avg Exit Velocity 90.5 +1.3 89.2 -1.3 90.5
Launch Angle Sweet-Spot % 36.1 -8.1 44.2 +6.2 38.0
Barrel % 12.6 +2.7 9.9 -4.1 14.0
Avg Launch Angle 15.4 -1.1 16.5 +2.4 14.1
Statcast Bat Tracking
Bat Speed 72.3 +0.5 71.8 +0.3 71.5
Attack Angle 12° +1° 10° 10°
Ideal Attack Angle % 50.4 -3.2 53.6 -4.1 57.7
Attack Direction -4° -3° -1° +1° -1°
Swing Path - Tilt 33° 33° +2° 31°
Swing Length 7.4 +0.1 7.3 0.0 7.3
Statcast Pitch Metrics
Fastball Velocity 94.1 -1.1 95.2 +1.4 93.8
Breaking Velocity 84.2 -3.1 87.3 +1.3 86.0
Offspeed Velocity 85.9 -1.6 87.5 +1.7 85.8
Batted Ball Results
Barrels 27 +3 24 +7 17
Popup % 7.4 +0.4 7.0 -2.1 9.1
Flyball % 28.7 -1.9 30.6 +0.8 29.8
Line Drive % 25.0 -4.3 29.3 +6.2 23.1
Groundball % 38.9 +5.8 33.1 -4.9 38.0
Pull % 44.0 +7.6 36.4 -6.6 43.0
Straight Away % 31.5 -4.9 36.4 +6.6 29.8
Opposite Field % 24.5 -2.8 27.3 0.0 27.3
Weak Contact % 2.3 -3.5 5.8 +5.0 0.8
Pull Airball % 20.8 +0.1 20.7 -4.1 24.8
Topped Contact % 27.8 +6.3 21.5 -7.4 28.9
Under Contact % 26.9 0.0 26.9 +2.9 24.0
Flare/Burner Contact % 24.1 -5.7 29.8 +3.4 26.4
Solid Contact % 6.0 -0.2 6.2 +0.4 5.8
HR/FB % 24.2 +8.0 16.2 -14.4 30.6
Popups 16 -1 17 +6 11
Flyballs 62 -12 74 +38 36
Line Drives 54 -17 71 +43 28
Groundballs 84 +4 80 +34 46
Plate Discipline
In Zone % 49.3 -3.9 53.2 +2.4 50.8
Out of Zone % 50.7 +3.9 46.8 -2.4 49.2
Edge % 40.7 -1.7 42.4 +1.8 40.6
Zone Swing % 67.5 -2.1 69.6 -2.4 72.0
Out of Zone Swing % 27.5 -2.7 30.2 +3.0 27.2
In Zone Contact % 85.6 +4.0 81.6 -3.1 84.7
Out of Zone Contact % 57.4 +8.7 48.7 -3.4 52.1
Whiff % 22.7 -4.8 27.5 +3.5 24.0
First Strike % 66.7 +0.9 65.8 +7.6 58.2
First Pitch Swing % 35.4 -2.2 37.6 +9.4 28.2
Swing % 47.2 -3.9 51.1 +1.2 49.9
Meatball Swing % 74.0 -2.8 76.8 -11.4 88.2
Meatball % 8.6 -0.6 9.2 -0.3 9.5
Zone Swing & Miss % 14.4 -4.0 18.4 +3.1 15.3
Out of Zone Swing & Miss % 42.6 -8.7 51.3 +3.4 47.9
In Zone 547 -173 720 +356 364
Out of Zone 563 -70 633 +280 353
Edge 452 -121 573 +282 291
In Zone Swings 369 -132 501 +239 262
Out of Zone Swings 155 -36 191 +95 96
In Zone Swing & Misses 53 -39 92 +52 40
Out of Zone Swing & Misses 66 -32 98 +52 46
Basic
Pitches 1,110 -243 1,353 +636 717
PA 297 -57 354 +177 177
AB 272 -51 323 +159 164
Hits 73 -21 94 +43 51
Singles 43 -24 67 +36 31
Doubles 14 -1 15 +6 9
Triples 1 +1 0 0 0
Home Runs 15 +3 12 +1 11
Walks 21 -3 24 +13 11
Strikeouts 58 -30 88 +45 43
K% 19.5 -5.4 24.9 +0.6 24.3
BB% 7.1 +0.3 6.8 +0.6 6.2
HBP 2 +2 0 -2 2
Batted Balls 216 -26 242 +121 121
Fastball Percent 53.4 -5.0 58.4 -0.6 59.0
Offspeed Percent 12.4 +1.8 10.6 +2.7 7.9
Breaking Percent 34.1 +3.1 31.0 -2.1 33.1
Number of Fastballs 593 -197 790 +367 423
Number of Offspeed 138 -5 143 +86 57
Number of Breaking 379 -41 420 +183 237
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Statcast Fielder Positioning

vs RHHvs LHH
YearAlignment TypePAwOBAPATotal%PATotal%
2024 Shades 177 .397 75 2 2.7 102 36 35.3
2025 Shades 354 .338 178 30 16.9 176 151 85.8
2026 Shades 297 .351 134 7 5.2 163 68 41.7
! Note: Shifts are through the 2022 season, Shaded starting from the 2023 season, Shift: three or more infielders are on the same side of second base, Shade: positioned outside of their typical responsible slices of the field.
Learn more about how positioning is defined here

Pitch Distribution