P | Bats/Throws: R/R | 6' 0" 164 lbs | Age: 30
Draft: 2018 | Rd. 13, No. 402, Houston Astros | Georgetown College
W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2023 0 0 7.00 3 1 0 9 11 1.67
2024 1 1 4.17 31 2 2 45.1 49 1.57
2025 2 0 5.08 30 0 0 33.2 28 1.43
3 Seasons 3 1 4.81 64 3 2 88 88 1.52
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2023 3 0-0 7.00 9 11 1.67
2024 31 1-1 4.17 45.1 49 1.57
2025 30 2-0 5.08 33.2 28 1.43
3 Seasons 64 3-1 4.81 88 88 1.52
MLB Percentile Rankings
Movement Profile (Induced Break)
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Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls
Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity
Max EV Launch
Angle
LA Sweet-
Spot %
XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2023 27 172 27 3 11.1 7.1 95.7 110.9 14.8 22.2 .286 .454 .380 .345 .433 59.3 26.2 7.1 7.00 5.13
2024 28 840 130 10 7.7 4.8 89.5 112.6 12.1 31.5 .219 .336 .324 .307 .339 42.3 23.7 12.6 4.17 3.94
2025 29 551 104 5 4.8 3.4 87.8 108.6 10.7 30.8 .238 .368 .351 .300 .331 40.4 19.3 7.6 5.08 3.74
Player 1563 261 18 6.9 4.6 89.5 112.6 11.8 30.3 .234 .361 .340 .308 .346 43.3 22.3 10.2
MLB 7.2 4.9 88.6 122.9 12.4 33.3 .245 .404 .315 .315 .368 37.0 22.2 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Dubin relies on 6 pitches.
Four Seamer
(33.9%) ,
Sweeper
(17.4%) ,
Sinker
(16.2%) ,
Curveball
(14.5%) ,
Changeup
(14.5%) ,
Cutter
(3.4%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

AIR: Fly Balls + Line Drives + Popups All Batted Balls Batted Ball Breakdown
Season GB % AIR % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Pull GB % Straight GB % Oppo GB % Pull AIR % Straight AIR % Oppo AIR %
2023 44.4 55.6 33.3 22.2 0.0 33.3 40.7 25.9 22.2 18.5 3.7 11.1 22.2 22.2
2024 46.2 53.8 27.7 21.5 4.6 38.5 40.8 20.8 22.3 19.2 4.6 16.2 21.5 16.2
2025 49.0 51.0 20.2 22.1 8.7 33.7 32.7 33.7 21.2 21.2 6.7 12.5 11.5 26.9
Player 47.1 52.9 25.3 21.8 5.7 36.0 37.5 26.4 21.8 19.9 5.4 14.2 17.6 21.1
MLB 44.2 55.8 24.0 24.7 7.1 37.4 37.4 25.1 20.6 17.6 5.9 16.7 19.7 19.3
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Quality of Contact

Season Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2023 0.0 22.2 25.9 37.0 3.7 11.1 7.1
2024 3.8 35.4 23.8 23.8 5.4 7.7 4.8
2025 3.8 38.5 21.2 22.1 9.6 4.8 3.4
Player 3.4 35.2 23.0 24.5 6.9 6.9 4.6
MLB 4.0 32.4 24.9 24.4 5.9 7.2 4.9
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement


How this works: This section shows two different ways to evaluate pitch movement. On the left, “Total Movement” shows the real-world movement of a pitch, including the forces of gravity, which affects every pitch thrown. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren't 'better' just because they have more time to move, a pitch's movement is compared to other pitches of the same pitch type, within +/- 2 MPH and +/- 0.5 feet of extension/release. On the right, Induced Movement (or IVB) is reported without gravity, and attempts to isolate movement created by the pitcher's ability to spin and manipulate the ball.
Total Movement (in inches, w/ gravity)Induced Movement (in inches, w/o gravity)
YearPitchTeamHand#MPHVertical
Drop
vs.
Comparable
Horizontal
Break
vs.
Comparable
Vertical
Break
vs. AvgHorizontal
Break
vs. Avg
2025 Sinker BAL R 89 93.9 22.8 0.1 16.3ARM 1.1 8.3 -0.9 16.3ARM 1.2
2025 Changeup BAL R 80 87.7 38.2 6.6 14.2ARM -0.2 -2.5 6.6 14.2ARM -0.2
2025 4-Seam Fastball BAL R 187 94.3 17.0 -2.2 11.1ARM 3.7 14.0 -1.8 11.1ARM 3.5
2025 Cutter BAL R 19 88.9 25.8 0.9 3.2GLV 1.1 8.6 0.3 3.2GLV 1.0
2025 Curveball BAL R 80 81.7 56.4 5.1 10.6GLV 2.7 -14.8 4.9 10.6GLV 1.5
2025 Sweeper BAL R 96 83.3 39.6 0.9 16.4GLV 2.8 0.2 0.9 16.4GLV 2.5
2024 Curveball HOU R 133 81.4 58.0 7.3 10.9GLV 2.5 -16.0 6.0 10.9GLV 1.5
2024 Cutter HOU R 133 89.0 29.2 -2.3 5.7GLV 3.0 5.2 -3.1 5.7GLV 3.0
2024 Sinker HOU R 2 95.6 20.8 -0.9 17.5ARM 2.3 9.1 -1.9 17.5ARM 2.6
2024 Sweeper HOU R 78 83.1 41.4 3.1 18.9GLV 5.2 -1.4 2.9 18.9GLV 4.8
2024 Changeup HOU R 127 88.3 35.7 5.5 14.2ARM -0.3 -0.6 5.5 14.2ARM 0.0
2024 4-Seam Fastball HOU R 367 95.0 14.3 0.2 9.7ARM 2.2 16.2 0.5 9.7ARM 2.1
! Note: Years are in reverse order.

Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2025 4-Seam Fastball -0.2 0 187 33.9 46 .225 .475 .347 16.9 19.6 20.9 .190 .341 .288 45.2
2025 Sweeper -2.0 -2 96 17.4 31 .267 .467 .324 28.6 22.6 21.9 .252 .423 .303 26.1
2025 Sinker 0.5 0 89 16.2 23 .316 .368 .372 14.7 13.0 15.8 .238 .317 .320 37.5
2025 Changeup -1.1 -1 80 14.5 25 .304 .435 .352 19.0 12.0 11.5 .259 .313 .286 60.0
2025 Curveball 0.4 0 80 14.5 15 .267 .267 .240 28.6 40.0 22.2 .230 .255 .215 11.1
2025 Cutter -9.8 -2 19 3.4 5 .600 1.400 .830 11.1 0.0 0.0 .470 1.050 .640 60.0
2024 4-Seam Fastball 1.1 4 367 43.7 90 .188 .217 .313 18.5 26.7 26.1 .188 .258 .312 39.1
2024 Cutter -2.5 -3 133 15.8 30 .370 .630 .460 22.6 3.3 4.5 .237 .358 .293 29.6
2024 Curveball -0.9 -1 133 15.8 34 .313 .375 .332 35.9 26.5 18.0 .269 .349 .298 54.2
2024 Changeup -0.9 -1 127 15.1 33 .267 .533 .370 32.1 21.2 20.0 .251 .529 .363 56.5
2024 Sweeper -1.2 -1 78 9.3 20 .222 .333 .285 41.9 40.0 30.8 .174 .255 .238 30.0
2024 Sinker 0.8 0 2 0.2 -- -- -- 0.0 -- -- -- -- -- --
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: To better align with other values, positive numbers (red) are good, and negative numbers (blue) are poor.

Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2025 Changeup 66 87.7 87 15.6 2:30 3:30 -60
2025 Curveball 80 81.7 88 21.1 7:15 7:00 15
2025 Cutter 19 88.9 42 8.4 12:00 11:15 45
2025 4-Seam Fastball 187 94.3 91 17.7 1:15 1:30 -15
2025 Sinker 89 93.9 91 18.5 1:30 2:15 -45
2025 Sweeper 96 83.3 56 17.5 8:15 8:45 -30
2024 Changeup 112 88.3 88 15.1 2:15 3:15 -60
2024 Curveball 130 81.3 91 22.3 7:00 7:00 0
2024 Cutter 130 88.9 35 7.5 11:15 10:00 75
2024 4-Seam Fastball 354 95.0 91 18.7 1:15 1:00 15
2024 Sweeper 77 83.1 61 20.3 8:00 8:45 -45
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Pitcher Arm Angle

! Note: Data is available from 2020 through the present.
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Statcast Pitching Run Value

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2023 42 172 -1 -1 -1 -1 -3
2024 207 840 2 8 -8 -4 -3
2025 145 551 -3 3 -2 -3 -4
Player 394 1,563 -2 11 -12 -2 -10
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2023 172 45.9 73.4 82.8 31.2 51.7 38.4 52.4 50.6 27.6 8.1 85.7
2024 840 47.9 63.2 81.1 23.5 55.3 41.5 50.2 42.5 26.3 8.0 74.6
2025 551 50.1 63.0 87.9 26.2 58.3 42.5 60.0 44.6 20.7 5.1 82.1
Player 1,563 48.4 64.2 83.7 25.3 55.9 41.5 54.1 44.1 24.5 7.0 78.0
MLB 48.9 67.0 82.5 28.4 58.0 42.7 61.1 47.3 25.0 7.3 76.3
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA /
xERA
xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV Hard
Hit%
K% BB% Whiff% Chase
Rate
FB
Velo
FB
Spin
CB
Spin
Extension
2023 71 75 56
2024 52 77 82 84 28 83 49 30 18 55 4 56 4 65 73 75 56
2025 46 39 65 54
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Expected Home Runs

Adjusted

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2023 20.12 1 1.0 0 0 1 0 0.0
2024 26.69 3 1.7 1 3 1 1 33.3
2025 25.24 6 4.3 2 5 5 1 16.7
Player 25.16 10 7.0 3 8 7 2 20.0
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's batted balls allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Expected Home Runs by Park

Adjusted

Year HR
2023 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0
2024 3 2 2 2 1 1 2 2 1 1 2 2 3 1 1 2 1 1 2 3 2 2 3 3 2 1 1 2 2 1 1
2025 6 3 2 4 7 5 3 5 3 2 4 7 4 9 5 2 5 3 4 6 3 1 7 5 5 2 5 5 4 5 4
Player 10 6 5 7 9 7 6 8 5 4 7 10 8 11 7 5 7 5 7 10 6 4 11 9 8 4 7 8 7 7 5
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's batted balls allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Year to Year Changes

2025 +/-   2024 +/-   2023
Results
BA .280 +.024 .256 -.068 .324
xBA .238 +.019 .219 -.067 .286
OBP .345 -.008 .353 -.028 .381
xOBP .307 -.020 .327 -.021 .348
SLG .462 +.087 .375 -.139 .514
xSLG .368 +.032 .336 -.118 .454
ISO .182 +.063 .119 -.070 .189
xISO .130 +.013 .117 -.051 .168
BABIP .316 -.015 .331 -.092 .423
wOBA .351 +.027 .324 -.056 .380
xwOBA .300 -.007 .307 -.038 .345
wOBACON .402 +.035 .367 -.120 .487
xwOBACON .331 -.008 .339 -.094 .433
BACON .356 +.010 .346 -.098 .444
xBACON .303 -.003 .306 -.087 .393
Statcast Hit Metrics
Hard Hit % 40.4 -1.9 42.3 -17.0 59.3
Avg Exit Velocity 87.8 -1.7 89.5 -6.2 95.7
Launch Angle Sweet-Spot % 30.8 -0.7 31.5 +9.3 22.2
Barrel % 4.8 -2.9 7.7 -3.4 11.1
Avg Launch Angle 10.7 -1.4 12.1 -2.7 14.8
Statcast Bat Tracking
Bat Speed 71.9 -0.2 72.1 -- --
Attack Angle -1° -- --
Ideal Attack Angle % 51.2 -0.1 51.3 -- --
Attack Direction -1° -- --
Swing Path - Tilt 32° 32° -- --
Swing Length 7.3 +0.1 7.2 -- --
Statcast Pitch Metrics
Fastball Velocity 93.8 +0.4 93.4 -0.6 94.0
Breaking Velocity 82.6 +0.6 82.0 -0.8 82.8
Offspeed Velocity 87.7 -0.6 88.3 -0.1 88.4
Batted Ball Results
Barrels 5 -5 10 +7 3
Popup % 8.7 +4.1 4.6 +4.6 0.0
Flyball % 20.2 -7.5 27.7 -5.6 33.3
Line Drive % 22.1 +0.6 21.5 -0.7 22.2
Groundball % 49.0 +2.8 46.2 +1.8 44.4
Pull % 33.7 -4.8 38.5 +5.2 33.3
Straight Away % 32.7 -8.1 40.8 +0.1 40.7
Opposite Field % 33.7 +12.9 20.8 -5.1 25.9
Weak Contact % 3.8 0.0 3.8 +3.8 0.0
Pull Airball % 12.5 -3.7 16.2 +5.1 11.1
Topped Contact % 38.5 +3.1 35.4 +13.2 22.2
Under Contact % 21.2 -2.6 23.8 -2.1 25.9
Flare/Burner Contact % 22.1 -1.7 23.8 -13.2 37.0
Solid Contact % 9.6 +4.2 5.4 +1.7 3.7
HR/FB % 28.6 +20.3 8.3 -2.8 11.1
Popups 9 +3 6 +6 0
Flyballs 21 -15 36 +27 9
Line Drives 23 -5 28 +22 6
Groundballs 51 -9 60 +48 12
Plate Discipline
In Zone % 50.1 +2.2 47.9 +2.0 45.9
Out of Zone % 49.9 -2.2 52.1 -2.0 54.1
Edge % 42.5 +1.0 41.5 +3.1 38.4
Zone Swing % 63.0 -0.2 63.2 -10.2 73.4
Out of Zone Swing % 26.2 +2.7 23.5 -7.7 31.2
In Zone Contact % 87.9 +6.8 81.1 -1.7 82.8
Out of Zone Contact % 58.3 +3.0 55.3 +3.6 51.7
Whiff % 20.7 -5.6 26.3 -1.3 27.6
First Strike % 60.0 +9.8 50.2 -2.2 52.4
First Pitch Swing % 24.1 -2.5 26.6 -4.4 31.0
Swing % 44.6 +2.1 42.5 -8.1 50.6
Meatball Swing % 82.1 +7.5 74.6 -11.1 85.7
Meatball % 5.1 -2.9 8.0 -0.1 8.1
Zone Swing & Miss % 12.1 -6.8 18.9 +1.7 17.2
Out of Zone Swing & Miss % 41.7 -3.0 44.7 -3.6 48.3
In Zone 276 -126 402 +323 79
Out of Zone 275 -163 438 +345 93
Edge 234 -115 349 +283 66
In Zone Swings 174 -80 254 +196 58
Out of Zone Swings 72 -31 103 +74 29
In Zone Swing & Misses 21 -27 48 +38 10
Out of Zone Swing & Misses 30 -16 46 +32 14
Basic
Pitches 551 -289 840 +668 172
PA 145 -62 207 +165 42
AB 132 -44 176 +139 37
Hits 37 -8 45 +33 12
Singles 25 -5 30 +23 7
Doubles 6 -6 12 +8 4
Triples 0 0 0 0 0
Home Runs 6 +3 3 +2 1
Walks 11 -15 26 +23 3
Strikeouts 28 -21 49 +38 11
K% 19.3 -4.4 23.7 -2.5 26.2
BB% 7.6 -5.0 12.6 +5.5 7.1
HBP 2 0 2 +1 1
Batted Balls 104 -26 130 +103 27
Number of Fastballs 295 -207 502 +401 101
Number of Offspeed 80 -47 127 +101 26
Number of Breaking 80 -53 133 +104 29
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Statcast Fielder Positioning

vs RHHvs LHH
YearAlignment TypePAwOBAPATotal%PATotal%
2023 Shades 42 .380 17 0 0.0 25 13 52.0
2024 Shades 204 .328 89 20 22.5 115 50 43.5
2025 Shades 145 .351 87 2 2.3 58 31 53.4
! Note: Shifts are through the 2022 season, Shaded starting from the 2023 season, Shift: three or more infielders are on the same side of second base, Shade: positioned outside of their typical responsible slices of the field.
Learn more about how positioning is defined here

Pitch Tempo

Bases EmptyRunners On Base
SeasonTeamPitchesTempoFast %Slow %PitchesTempoFast %Slow %
2023 38 17.2 13.2% 0.0% 28 21.6 0.0% 0.0%
2024 193 16.2 23.3% 0.5% 198 20.5 0.0% 1.0%
2025 136 16.2 27.9% 0.7% 120 20.4 0.0% 0.8%

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Pitch Distribution