P | Bats/Throws: R/R | 6' 3" 216 lbs | Age: 27
Draft: 2020 | Rd. CB-B, No. 61, Miami Marlins | Ball State
W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2024 2 2 3.95 51 0 0 54.2 55 1.50
2025 1 2 4.74 31 0 0 38 34 1.37
2026 1 0 8.59 7 0 0 7.1 7 2.86
4 Seasons 4 4 4.96 93 0 0 105.1 103 1.58
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2024 51 2-2 3.95 54.2 55 1.50
2025 31 1-2 4.74 38 34 1.37
2026 7 1-0 8.59 7.1 7 2.86
4 Seasons 93 4-4 4.96 105.1 103 1.58
MLB Percentile Rankings
Movement Profile (Induced Break)
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Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls
Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity
Max EV Launch
Angle
LA Sweet-
Spot %
xBA xSLG wOBA xwOBA xwOBAcon HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2023 24 111 14 0 0.0 0.0 93.7 106.3 1.5 35.7 .181 .351 .444 .317 .338 64.3 26.9 15.4 11.81 4.24
2024 25 950 153 13 8.5 5.3 90.0 112.4 10.8 34.0 .233 .366 .315 .326 .359 40.5 22.5 13.1 3.95 4.37
2025 26 652 113 8 7.1 4.8 90.0 109.6 14.3 32.7 .235 .381 .303 .315 .343 38.9 20.4 10.8 4.74 4.13
2026 27 198 22 1 4.5 2.4 87.2 110.4 27.5 36.4 .272 .444 .429 .438 .415 31.8 16.7 31.0 8.59 8.68
Player 1911 302 22 7.3 4.6 90.0 112.4 12.8 33.8 .234 .376 .328 .331 .356 40.4 21.5 14.0
MLB 7.2 4.9 88.6 122.9 12.4 33.3 .243 .408 .316 .316 .369 37.0 22.2 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Nicolas relies on 4 pitches.
Four Seamer
(48.5%) ,
Slider
(33.3%) ,
Curveball
(16.2%) ,
Sinker
(2.0%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

AIR: Fly Balls + Line Drives + Popups All Batted Balls Batted Ball Breakdown
Season GB % AIR % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Pull GB % Straight GB % Oppo GB % Pull AIR % Straight AIR % Oppo AIR %
2023 50.0 50.0 21.4 28.6 0.0 64.3 21.4 14.3 35.7 14.3 0.0 28.6 7.1 14.3
2024 43.1 56.9 26.1 26.8 3.9 30.7 40.5 28.8 18.3 17.0 7.8 12.4 23.5 20.9
2025 41.6 58.4 26.5 23.9 8.0 38.9 36.3 24.8 21.2 17.7 2.7 17.7 18.6 22.1
2026 27.3 72.7 31.8 27.3 13.6 40.9 31.8 27.3 18.2 4.5 4.5 22.7 27.3 22.7
Player 41.7 58.3 26.5 25.8 6.0 36.1 37.4 26.5 20.2 16.2 5.3 15.9 21.2 21.2
MLB 44.2 55.8 24.1 24.6 7.1 37.4 37.3 25.1 20.7 17.6 5.9 16.7 19.7 19.3
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Quality of Contact

Season Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2023 0.0 50.0 7.1 14.3 28.6 0.0 0.0
2024 2.0 36.6 23.5 24.8 3.9 8.5 5.3
2025 1.8 31.9 27.4 23.9 8.0 7.1 4.8
2026 0.0 13.6 40.9 27.3 4.5 4.5 2.4
Player 1.7 33.8 25.5 24.2 6.6 7.3 4.6
MLB 4.0 32.4 24.9 24.4 5.9 7.2 4.9
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement


How this works: This section shows two different ways to evaluate pitch movement. On the left, “Total Movement” shows the real-world movement of a pitch, including the forces of gravity, which affects every pitch thrown. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren't 'better' just because they have more time to move, a pitch's movement is compared to other pitches of the same pitch type, within +/- 2 MPH and +/- 0.5 feet of extension/release. On the right, Induced Movement (or IVB) is reported without gravity, and attempts to isolate movement created by the pitcher's ability to spin and manipulate the ball.
Total Movement (in inches, w/ gravity)Induced Movement (in inches, w/o gravity)
YearPitchTeamHand#MPHVertical
Drop
vs.
Comparable
Horizontal
Break
vs.
Comparable
Vertical
Break
vs. AvgHorizontal
Break
vs. Avg
2026 Sinker CIN R 4 95.5 16.0 -5.2 14.4ARM -1.2 14.3 -6.5 14.4ARM -1.2
2026 4-Seam Fastball CIN R 96 96.8 12.1 1.0 8.2ARM 0.8 17.4 1.3 8.2ARM 0.5
2026 Slider CIN R 66 90.0 30.8 -0.3 3.8GLV 0.1 2.9 -1.5 3.8GLV -0.4
2026 Curveball CIN R 32 83.9 49.3 -0.2 7.8GLV 0.1 -10.2 -0.1 7.8GLV -1.4
2025 4-Seam Fastball PIT R 330 97.6 11.6 0.8 6.9ARM -0.1 17.2 1.4 6.9ARM -0.7
2025 Sinker PIT R 2 96.7 15.5 -4.9 11.3ARM -3.6 14.0 -6.6 11.3ARM -3.8
2025 Curveball PIT R 145 83.8 51.5 2.1 8.0GLV 1.2 -12.2 2.0 8.0GLV -1.0
2025 Changeup PIT R 1 92.6 20.6 -7.1 13.0ARM -2.6 11.2 -7.1 13.0ARM -1.5
2025 Slider PIT R 174 90.4 32.5 2.3 4.5GLV 0.8 0.8 1.0 4.5GLV 0.2
! Note: Years are in reverse order.

Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2026 4-Seam Fastball -3.1 -3 96 48.5 27 .294 .529 .480 17.2 18.5 20.8 .235 .445 .441 33.3
2026 Slider -0.4 0 66 33.3 9 .167 .167 .429 31.8 0.0 0.0 .297 .319 .456 16.7
2026 Curveball 0.3 0 32 16.2 5 .200 .200 .180 33.3 40.0 22.2 .271 .452 .308 66.7
2026 Sinker -11.7 0 4 2.0 1 1.000 1.000 .900 0.0 0.0 0.0 .823 .905 .765 0.0
2025 4-Seam Fastball 0.4 1 330 50.6 101 .279 .430 .357 14.9 10.9 14.7 .272 .441 .361 39.5
2025 Slider -1.8 -3 174 26.7 39 .257 .400 .372 45.1 25.6 17.5 .238 .402 .315 48.0
2025 Curveball 2.0 3 145 22.2 27 .040 .040 .085 50.0 48.1 27.7 .104 .142 .149 16.7
2025 Sinker 6.2 0 2 0.3 -- -- -- 0.0 -- -- -- -- -- --
2025 Changeup -6.3 0 1 0.2 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: To better align with other values, positive numbers (red) are good, and negative numbers (blue) are poor.

Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2026 Curveball 32 83.9 66 15.4 7:30 7:15 15
2026 4-Seam Fastball 96 96.8 96 18.9 1:00 1:00 0
2026 Slider 66 90.0 31 4.7 10:45 9:45 60
2025 Curveball 141 83.8 73 16.9 7:30 7:00 30
2025 4-Seam Fastball 328 97.6 96 18.2 1:00 12:45 15
2025 Slider 169 90.4 27 5.3 10:15 8:45 90
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Pitcher Arm Angle

! Note: Data is available from 2020 through the present.
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Statcast Pitching Run Value

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2023 26 111 -2 2 -1 -1 -2
2024 243 950 1 12 -8 -5 -1
2025 167 652 4 4 -4 -3 1
2026 42 198 2 1 -4 -2 -4
Player 478 1,911 4 19 -17 4 -5
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2023 111 48.6 70.4 86.8 26.3 33.3 38.7 69.2 47.7 28.3 7.2 100.0
2024 950 45.7 70.5 81.4 25.2 49.2 38.9 57.6 45.9 28.2 8.8 76.2
2025 652 47.7 68.8 83.2 28.2 42.7 41.7 56.9 47.5 29.4 6.7 84.1
2026 198 38.9 49.4 89.5 17.4 52.4 39.4 45.2 29.8 23.7 7.1 57.1
Player 1,911 45.8 68.0 82.9 25.3 46.2 39.9 56.9 44.9 28.3 7.8 78.0
MLB 48.8 67.0 82.6 28.5 58.0 42.7 61.1 47.3 25.0 7.4 76.2
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Run Value Pitching
Year Pitching Fastball Breaking Off
Speed
xERA Fastball
MPH
Fastball
Spin
Curve
Spin
Avg
EV
Chase% Whiff% K% BB% Barrel% Hard-
Hit%
GB% Extension
2023 90 87 82
2024 40 65 16 30 94 81 49 19 14 72 46 2 32 35 55 87
2025 93 71 70 93
2026 17 12 41 1 84 78 77 1 40 20 1 79 82 5 91
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Expected Home Runs

Adjusted

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2023 23.45 1 0.2 1 1 0 0 0.0
2024 23.06 4 3.1 1 2 2 2 50.0
2025 20.90 3 2.6 0 3 3 1 33.3
2026 29.31 1 1.0 0 0 0 1 100.0
Player 23.08 9 7.0 2 6 5 4 44.4
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's batted balls allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Expected Home Runs by Park

Adjusted

Year HR
2023 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 0
2024 4 3 3 4 3 3 3 3 3 2 3 3 4 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 5 4 3 2 3 3 4 4 4 2
2025 3 3 1 2 3 3 3 3 2 1 1 5 3 4 3 1 4 4 2 5 2 1 3 4 3 2 1 3 3 1 3
2026 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Player 9 8 5 7 7 7 7 7 6 4 5 9 8 7 7 5 9 8 7 9 6 8 8 9 6 6 5 8 9 6 6
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's batted balls allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Year to Year Changes

2026 +/-   2025 +/-   2024 +/-   2023
Results
BA .276 +.043 .233 -.016 .249 -.084 .333
xBA .272 +.037 .235 +.002 .233 +.052 .181
OBP .500 +.177 .323 -.034 .357 -.105 .462
xOBP .509 +.182 .327 -.021 .348 +.009 .339
SLG .414 +.058 .356 +.015 .341 -.230 .571
xSLG .444 +.063 .381 +.015 .366 +.015 .351
ISO .138 +.015 .123 +.030 .093 -.145 .238
xISO .172 +.026 .146 +.014 .132 -.038 .170
BABIP .333 +.051 .282 -.033 .315 -.147 .462
wOBA .429 +.126 .303 -.012 .315 -.129 .444
xwOBA .438 +.123 .315 -.011 .326 +.009 .317
wOBAcon .399 +.074 .325 -.016 .341 -.232 .573
xwOBAcon .415 +.072 .343 -.016 .359 +.021 .338
BACON .364 +.063 .301 -.032 .333 -.167 .500
xBACON .368 +.061 .307 -.013 .320 +.048 .272
Statcast Hit Metrics
Hard Hit % 31.8 -7.1 38.9 -1.6 40.5 -23.8 64.3
Avg Exit Velocity 87.2 -2.8 90.0 0.0 90.0 -3.7 93.7
Launch Angle Sweet-Spot % 36.4 +3.7 32.7 -1.3 34.0 -1.7 35.7
Barrel % 4.5 -2.6 7.1 -1.4 8.5 +8.5 0.0
Avg Launch Angle 27.5 +13.2 14.3 +3.5 10.8 +9.3 1.5
Statcast Bat Tracking
Bat Speed 71.2 -0.6 71.8 +1.3 70.5 -1.8 72.3
Attack Angle 12° +2° 10° +2°
Ideal Attack Angle % 57.1 +2.7 54.4 +2.3 52.1 -16.0 68.1
Attack Direction -3° -2° -4° +1°
Swing Path - Tilt 33° +2° 31° +1° 31° +2° 29°
Swing Length 7.1 -0.2 7.3 +0.1 7.2 0.0 7.2
Statcast Pitch Metrics
Fastball Velocity 96.8 -0.8 97.6 +0.2 97.4 +0.6 96.8
Breaking Velocity 88.0 +0.6 87.4 -0.8 88.2 -0.3 88.5
Offspeed Velocity 0.0 -- 92.6 -- -- -- --
Batted Ball Results
Barrels 1 -7 8 -5 13 +13 0
Popup % 13.6 +5.6 8.0 +4.1 3.9 +3.9 0.0
Flyball % 31.8 +5.3 26.5 +0.4 26.1 +4.7 21.4
Line Drive % 27.3 +3.4 23.9 -2.9 26.8 -1.8 28.6
Groundball % 27.3 -14.3 41.6 -1.5 43.1 -6.9 50.0
Pull % 40.9 +2.0 38.9 +8.2 30.7 -33.6 64.3
Straight Away % 31.8 -4.5 36.3 -4.2 40.5 +19.1 21.4
Opposite Field % 27.3 +2.5 24.8 -4.0 28.8 +14.5 14.3
Weak Contact % 0.0 -1.8 1.8 -0.2 2.0 +2.0 0.0
Pull Airball % 22.7 +5.0 17.7 +5.3 12.4 -16.2 28.6
Topped Contact % 13.6 -18.3 31.9 -4.7 36.6 -13.4 50.0
Under Contact % 40.9 +13.5 27.4 +3.9 23.5 +16.4 7.1
Flare/Burner Contact % 27.3 +3.4 23.9 -0.9 24.8 +10.5 14.3
Solid Contact % 4.5 -3.5 8.0 +4.1 3.9 -24.7 28.6
HR/FB % 14.3 +4.3 10.0 0.0 10.0 -23.3 33.3
Popups 3 -6 9 +3 6 +6 0
Flyballs 7 -23 30 -10 40 +37 3
Line Drives 6 -21 27 -14 41 +37 4
Groundballs 6 -41 47 -19 66 +59 7
Plate Discipline
In Zone % 38.9 -8.8 47.7 +2.0 45.7 -2.9 48.6
Out of Zone % 61.1 +8.8 52.3 -2.0 54.3 +2.9 51.4
Edge % 39.4 -2.3 41.7 +2.8 38.9 +0.2 38.7
Zone Swing % 49.4 -19.4 68.8 -1.7 70.5 +0.1 70.4
Out of Zone Swing % 17.4 -10.8 28.2 +3.0 25.2 -1.1 26.3
In Zone Contact % 89.5 +6.3 83.2 +1.8 81.4 -5.4 86.8
Out of Zone Contact % 52.4 +9.7 42.7 -6.5 49.2 +15.9 33.3
Whiff % 23.7 -5.7 29.4 +1.2 28.2 -0.1 28.3
First Strike % 45.2 -11.7 56.9 -0.7 57.6 -11.6 69.2
First Pitch Swing % 9.5 -28.8 38.3 +4.1 34.2 -0.4 34.6
Swing % 29.8 -17.7 47.5 +1.6 45.9 -1.8 47.7
Meatball Swing % 57.1 -27.0 84.1 +7.9 76.2 -23.8 100.0
Meatball % 7.1 +0.4 6.7 -2.1 8.8 +1.6 7.2
Zone Swing & Miss % 10.5 -6.3 16.8 -1.8 18.6 +5.4 13.2
Out of Zone Swing & Miss % 47.6 -9.7 57.3 +6.5 50.8 -15.9 66.7
In Zone 77 -234 311 -123 434 +380 54
Out of Zone 121 -220 341 -175 516 +459 57
Edge 78 -194 272 -98 370 +327 43
In Zone Swings 38 -176 214 -92 306 +268 38
Out of Zone Swings 21 -75 96 -34 130 +115 15
In Zone Swing & Misses 4 -32 36 -21 57 +52 5
Out of Zone Swing & Misses 10 -45 55 -11 66 +56 10
Basic
Pitches 198 -454 652 -298 950 +839 111
PA 42 -125 167 -77 244 +218 26
AB 29 -117 146 -59 205 +184 21
Hits 8 -26 34 -17 51 +44 7
Singles 6 -17 23 -17 40 +36 4
Doubles 1 -6 7 0 7 +5 2
Triples 0 -1 1 +1 0 0 0
Home Runs 1 -2 3 -1 4 +3 1
Walks 13 -5 18 -14 32 +28 4
Strikeouts 7 -27 34 -21 55 +48 7
K% 16.7 -3.7 20.4 -2.1 22.5 -4.4 26.9
BB% 31.0 +20.2 10.8 -2.3 13.1 -2.3 15.4
HBP 0 -2 2 -2 4 +3 1
Batted Balls 22 -91 113 -40 153 +139 14
Number of Fastballs 100 -232 332 -191 523 +461 62
Number of Offspeed 0 -1 1 +1 0 0 0
Number of Breaking 98 -221 319 -108 427 +378 49
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Statcast Fielder Positioning

vs RHHvs LHH
YearAlignment TypePAwOBAPATotal%PATotal%
2023 Shades 26 .444 18 1 5.6 8 5 62.5
2024 Shades 243 .315 147 6 4.1 96 10 10.4
2025 Shades 167 .303 97 1 1.0 70 20 28.6
2026 Shades 42 .429 27 3 11.1 15 8 53.3
! Note: Shifts are through the 2022 season, Shaded starting from the 2023 season, Shift: three or more infielders are on the same side of second base, Shade: positioned outside of their typical responsible slices of the field.
Learn more about how positioning is defined here

Pitch Tempo

Bases EmptyRunners On Base
SeasonTeamPitchesTempoFast %Slow %PitchesTempoFast %Slow %
2023 21 17.1 14.3% 0.0% 27 17.1 3.7% 0.0%
2024 218 16.7 11.0% 0.9% 189 17.6 2.6% 0.5%
2025 125 16.5 17.6% 0.8% 141 17.7 5.0% 0.7%
2026 24 15.6 25.0% 4.2% 85 17.0 5.9% 1.2%

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Pitch Distribution