Shawn Dubin
P | Bats/Throws: R/R | 6' 0" 164LBS | Age: 29
Draft: 2018 | Rd: 13, #402, Houston Astros | Georgetown College
W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2023 0 0 7.00 3 1 0 9 11 1.67
2024 1 1 4.17 31 2 2 45.1 49 1.57
2 Seasons 1 1 4.64 34 3 2 54.1 60 1.58
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2023 3 0-0 7.00 9 11 1.67
2024 31 1-1 4.17 45.1 49 1.57
2 Seasons 34 1-1 4.64 54.1 60 1.58
MLB Percentile Rankings
Movement Profile (Induced Break)
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Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls
Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity
Max EV Launch
Angle
LA Sweet-
Spot %
XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2023 27 172 27 3 11.1 7.1 95.7 110.9 14.8 22.2 .286 .454 .380 .346 .433 59.3 26.2 7.1 7.00 5.16
2024 28 840 130 10 7.7 4.8 89.5 112.6 12.1 31.5 .221 .338 .324 .307 .340 42.3 23.7 12.6 4.17 3.86
Player 1012 157 13 8.3 5.2 90.5 112.6 12.6 29.9 .232 .358 .333 .314 .356 45.2 24.1 11.6
MLB 7.0 4.8 88.5 122.4 12.3 33.2 .245 .406 .316 .315 .369 36.5 22.2 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Dubin relies on 5 pitches.
Four Seamer
(43.9%) ,
Cutter
(15.8%) ,
Curveball
(15.8%) ,
Changeup
(15.1%) ,
Sweeper
(9.3%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

Season GB % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2023 44.4 33.3 22.2 0.0 33.3 40.7 25.9 0.0 22.2 25.9 37.0 3.7 11.1 7.1
2024 46.2 27.7 21.5 4.6 38.5 40.8 20.8 3.8 35.4 23.8 23.8 5.4 7.7 4.8
Player 45.9 28.7 21.7 3.8 37.6 40.8 21.7 3.2 33.1 24.2 26.1 5.1 8.3 5.2
MLB 44.4 23.8 24.7 7.1 37.2 37.5 25.2 3.9 32.6 24.8 24.4 5.9 7.0 4.8
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement


How this works: This section shows two different ways to evaluate pitch movement. On the left, “Total Movement” shows the real-world movement of a pitch, including the forces of gravity, which affects every pitch thrown. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren't 'better' just because they have more time to move, a pitch's movement is compared to other pitches of the same pitch type, within +/- 2 MPH and +/- 0.5 feet of extension/release. On the right, Induced Movement (or IVB) is reported without gravity, and attempts to isolate movement created by the pitcher's ability to spin and manipulate the ball.
Total Movement (in inches, w/ gravity)Induced Movement (in inches, w/o gravity)
YearPitchTeamHand#MPHVertical
Drop
vs.
Comparable
Horizontal
Break
vs.
Comparable
Vertical
Break
vs. AvgHorizontal
Break
vs. Avg
2024 Sweeper HOU R 78 83.1 41.4 3.2 18.9GLV 5.2 -1.4 3.0 18.9GLV 4.6
2024 4-Seam Fastball HOU R 369 95.0 14.3 0.2 9.7ARM 2.3 16.2 0.4 9.7ARM 2.2
2024 Curveball HOU R 133 81.4 58.0 7.4 10.9GLV 2.4 -16.0 6.1 10.9GLV 1.5
2024 Changeup HOU R 127 88.3 35.7 5.5 14.2ARM -0.3 -0.6 5.5 14.2ARM 0.0
2024 Cutter HOU R 133 89.0 29.2 -2.3 5.7GLV 2.9 5.2 -3.1 5.7GLV 3.0
2023 Sweeper HOU R 16 84.5 36.7 -0.8 13.3GLV 0.1 1.9 -0.4 13.3GLV -0.8
2023 Curveball HOU R 29 81.8 57.2 6.7 9.8GLV 1.9 -15.7 5.8 9.8GLV 0.9
2023 Changeup HOU R 26 88.4 33.6 4.1 13.7ARM -0.9 1.4 4.0 13.7ARM -0.7
2023 Cutter HOU R 25 90.1 25.6 0.2 4.7GLV 2.3 7.8 -0.1 4.7GLV 2.1
2023 4-Seam Fastball HOU R 76 95.2 13.8 0.6 8.6ARM 1.1 16.5 0.7 8.6ARM 1.2
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2024 4-Seam Fastball 0.7 3 369 43.9 90 .188 .217 .313 18.4 26.7 26.1 .188 .256 .311 39.1
2024 Curveball -0.7 -1 133 15.8 34 .313 .375 .332 35.9 26.5 18.0 .267 .343 .298 54.2
2024 Cutter -2.8 -4 133 15.8 30 .370 .630 .460 22.6 3.3 4.5 .251 .388 .306 29.6
2024 Changeup 0.1 0 127 15.1 33 .267 .533 .370 32.1 21.2 20.0 .255 .534 .364 56.5
2024 Sweeper -1.4 -1 78 9.3 20 .222 .333 .285 41.9 40.0 30.8 .166 .238 .225 30.0
2023 4-Seam Fastball -2.0 -2 76 44.2 21 .375 .688 .476 21.6 9.5 9.5 .371 .695 .476 60.0
2023 Curveball -5.1 -1 29 16.9 4 .500 .750 .538 27.3 50.0 25.0 .332 .448 .336 100.0
2023 Changeup 0.1 0 26 15.1 8 .250 .250 .225 41.2 50.0 36.4 .281 .334 .267 100.0
2023 Cutter -1.7 0 25 14.5 5 .200 .400 .250 30.8 40.0 25.0 .028 .033 .029 0.0
2023 Sweeper 3.9 1 16 9.3 4 .250 .250 .225 22.2 25.0 50.0 .228 .261 .219 33.3
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: To better align with other values, positive numbers (red) are good, and negative numbers (blue) are poor.
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Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2024 Changeup 108 88.3 88 15.1 2:15 3:15 -60
2024 Curveball 130 81.3 91 22.3 7:00 7:00 0
2024 Cutter 130 88.9 35 7.5 11:15 10:00 75
2024 4-Seam Fastball 356 95.0 91 18.7 1:15 1:00 15
2024 Sweeper 77 83.1 61 20.3 8:00 8:45 -45
2023 Changeup 26 88.4 88 14.4 2:00 3:00 -60
2023 Curveball 29 81.8 91 21.4 7:00 7:00 0
2023 Cutter 25 90.1 38 9.1 11:30 10:45 45
2023 4-Seam Fastball 76 95.2 92 18.3 1:15 1:00 15
2023 Sweeper 16 84.5 46 14.5 8:15 9:00 -45
! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Pitcher Arm Angle

! Note: Data is available from 2020 through the present.
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Swing/Take

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2023 42 172 -1 0 -1 -1 -3
2024 207 840 1 11 -10 -5 -3
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2023 172 45.9 73.4 82.8 31.2 51.7 38.4 52.4 50.6 27.6 8.1 85.7
2024 840 47.9 63.2 81.1 23.5 55.3 41.5 50.2 42.5 26.3 8.0 74.6
Player 1,012 47.5 64.9 81.4 24.9 54.5 41.0 50.6 43.9 26.6 8.0 76.5
MLB 48.7 67.0 82.0 28.5 57.8 42.6 61.0 47.2 24.9 7.3 76.3
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA /
xERA
xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV Hard
Hit%
K% BB% Whiff% Chase
Rate
FB
Velo
FB
Spin
CB
Spin
Extension
2023 71 75 56
2024 54 78 84 87 28 83 49 30 18 55 4 57 4 65 73 75 56
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Expected Home Runs

Adjusted

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2023 20.1 1 1.0 0 0 1 0 0.0
2024 26.7 3 1.9 1 4 1 1 33.3
Player 25.0 4 2.9 1 4 2 1 25.0
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's home runs allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Expected Home Runs by Park

Adjusted

Year HR
2023 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0
2024 3 2 2 2 2 2 3 2 1 1 2 2 3 2 1 2 1 1 2 3 3 2 3 2 2 1 2 2 2 2 1
Player 4 3 3 3 3 3 4 3 2 2 3 3 4 3 2 3 2 2 3 4 4 3 4 3 3 2 3 3 3 3 1
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's home runs allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Year to Year Changes

Metric 2023 2024 +/-  
Fastball Velocity 94.0 93.4 -0.6
Offspeed Velocity 88.4 88.3 -0.1
Breaking Velocity 82.8 82.0 -0.8
Exit Velocity 95.7 89.5 -6.2
Launch Angle 14.8 12.1 -2.7
Barrel % 11.1 7.7 -3.4
Hard Hit % 59.3 42.3 -17.0
LA Sweet-Spot % 22.2 31.5 9.3
xBA .286 .221 -0.065
BA .324 .256 -0.068
xwOBA .346 .307 -0.039
wOBA .380 .324 -0.056
xSLG .454 .338 -0.116
SLG .514 .375 -0.139
K% 26.2 23.7 -2.5
BB% 7.1 12.6 5.5
Swing % 50.6 42.5 -8.1
Whiff% 27.6 26.3 -1.3
In Zone % 45.9 47.9 2.0
Out of Zone % 54.1 52.1 -2.0
Out of Zone Swing % 31.2 23.5 -7.7
First Pitch Swing % 31.0 26.6 -4.4
First Pitch Strike % 52.4 50.2 -2.2
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Statcast Fielder Positioning

vs RHHvs LHH
YearAlignment TypePAwOBAPATotal%PATotal%
2023 Shades 42 .380 17 0 0.0 25 13 52.0
2024 Shades 204 .328 89 20 22.5 115 50 43.5
! Note: Shifts are through the 2022 season, Shaded starting from the 2023 season, Shift: three or more infielders are on the same side of second base, Shade: positioned outside of their typical responsible slices of the field.
Learn more about how positioning is defined here

Pitch Tempo

Bases EmptyRunners On Base
SeasonTeamPitchesTempoFast %Slow %PitchesTempoFast %Slow %
2023 38 17.2 13.2% 0.0% 28 21.6 0.0% 0.0%
2024 193 16.2 23.3% 0.5% 198 20.5 0.0% 1.0%

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Pitch Distribution