Kyle Nicolas
P | Bats/Throws: R/R | 6' 4" 223LBS | Age: 25
Draft: 2020 | Rd: CB-B, #61, Miami Marlins | Ball State
W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2023 0 0 11.81 4 0 0 5.1 7 2.06
2024 2 2 3.95 51 0 0 54.2 55 1.50
2 Seasons 2 2 4.65 55 0 0 60 62 1.55
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2023 4 0-0 11.81 5.1 7 2.06
2024 51 2-2 3.95 54.2 55 1.50
2 Seasons 55 2-2 4.65 60 62 1.55
MLB Percentile Rankings
Movement Profile (Induced Break)
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Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls		 Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity		 Max EV Launch
Angle		 LA Sweet-
Spot %		 XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2023 24 111 14 0 0.0 0.0 93.7 106.3 1.5 35.7 .193 .334 .444 .315 .334 64.3 26.9 15.4 11.81 4.18
2024 25 950 153 13 8.5 5.3 90.0 112.4 10.8 34.0 .237 .358 .315 .323 .354 40.5 22.5 13.1 3.95 4.40
Player 1061 167 13 7.8 4.8 90.3 112.4 10.1 34.1 .233 .355 .327 .322 .352 42.5 23.0 13.3
MLB 7.0 4.8 88.5 122.4 12.3 33.2 .245 .405 .316 .315 .368 36.5 22.2 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Nicolas relies on 3 pitches.
Four Seamer
(55.1%) ,
Curveball
(22.5%) ,
Slider
(22.4%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

Season GB % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2023 50.0 21.4 28.6 0.0 64.3 21.4 14.3 0.0 50.0 7.1 14.3 28.6 0.0 0.0
2024 43.1 26.1 26.8 3.9 30.7 40.5 28.8 2.0 36.6 23.5 24.8 3.9 8.5 5.3
Player 43.7 25.7 26.9 3.6 33.5 38.9 27.5 1.8 37.7 22.2 24.0 6.0 7.8 4.8
MLB 44.4 23.8 24.7 7.1 37.2 37.5 25.2 3.9 32.6 24.8 24.4 5.9 7.0 4.8
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement

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How this works: This section shows two different ways to evaluate pitch movement. On the left, “Total Movement” shows the real-world movement of a pitch, including the forces of gravity, which affects every pitch thrown. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren't 'better' just because they have more time to move, a pitch's movement is compared to other pitches of the same pitch type, within +/- 2 MPH and +/- 0.5 feet of extension/release. On the right, Induced Movement (or IVB) is reported without gravity, and attempts to isolate movement created by the pitcher's ability to spin and manipulate the ball.
Total Movement (in inches, w/ gravity)Induced Movement (in inches, w/o gravity)
YearPitchTeamHand#MPHVertical
Drop		vs.
Comparable		Horizontal
Break		vs.
Comparable		Vertical
Break		vs. AvgHorizontal
Break		vs. Avg
2024 Slider PIT R 213 90.9 29.8 0.2 4.7GLV 1.2 3.2 -1.6 4.7GLV -0.4
2024 Curveball PIT R 214 85.6 47.0 1.6 5.0GLV -0.8 -9.8 -0.1 5.0GLV -4.4
2024 4-Seam Fastball PIT R 523 97.4 11.9 0.7 9.2ARM 2.1 17.0 1.2 9.2ARM 1.7
2023 Slider PIT R 41 89.5 32.0 0.6 5.3GLV 1.4 1.9 -0.4 5.3GLV 0.0
2023 Curveball PIT R 8 83.8 50.1 2.7 3.7GLV -2.6 -11.0 1.1 3.7GLV -5.2
2023 4-Seam Fastball PIT R 62 96.8 11.9 1.5 9.2ARM 1.5 17.4 1.6 9.2ARM 1.8
! Note: Years are in reverse order.

Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2024 4-Seam Fastball 1.2 6 523 55.1 142 .230 .327 .321 19.3 16.2 18.7 .239 .395 .355 47.3
2024 Curveball -0.6 -1 214 22.5 38 .219 .250 .286 44.7 36.8 21.2 .174 .204 .251 22.2
2024 Slider -2.3 -5 213 22.4 63 .300 .417 .350 37.7 28.6 18.9 .268 .370 .297 33.3
2023 4-Seam Fastball -1.9 -1 62 55.9 12 .429 .571 .546 22.2 16.7 12.5 .157 .256 .392 60.0
2023 Slider -4.8 -2 41 36.9 13 .308 .615 .388 32.0 30.8 25.0 .227 .402 .266 66.7
2023 Curveball -2.3 0 8 7.2 1 .000 .000 .000 100.0 100.0 33.3 -- -- .000 --
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: To better align with other values, positive numbers (red) are good, and negative numbers (blue) are poor.

Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2024 Curveball 208 85.6 61 13.0 7:30 6:45 45
2024 4-Seam Fastball 506 97.4 98 19.1 1:15 1:00 15
2024 Slider 202 90.9 34 5.7 11:00 9:45 75
2023 4-Seam Fastball 62 96.8 97 19.4 1:15 1:00 15
2023 Slider 41 89.5 33 5.9 10:45 9:15 90
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Pitcher Arm Angle

! Note: Data is available from 2020 through the present.
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Statcast Pitching Run Value

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2023 26 111 -4 3 -1 -1 -3
2024 243 950 4 11 -9 -6 0
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2023 111 48.6 70.4 86.8 26.3 33.3 37.8 69.2 47.7 28.3 7.2 100.0
2024 950 45.7 70.5 81.0 25.2 47.7 38.9 57.6 45.9 28.2 8.8 76.2
Player 1,061 46.0 70.5 81.7 25.3 46.2 38.8 58.7 46.1 28.2 8.7 78.3
MLB 48.7 67.0 82.0 28.5 57.8 42.6 61.0 47.2 25.0 7.3 76.3
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA /
xERA 		xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV Hard
Hit% 		K% BB% Whiff% Chase
Rate 		FB
Velo 		FB
Spin 		CB
Spin 		Extension
2023 90 87 82
2024 30 53 71 81 5 64 32 19 35 46 2 72 14 94 81 49 87
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Expected Home Runs

Adjusted
Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2023 23.4 1 0.2 1 1 0 0 0.0
2024 23.1 4 3.2 1 2 2 2 50.0
Player 23.1 5 3.4 2 3 2 2 40.0
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's home runs allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Expected Home Runs by Park

Adjusted
Year HR
2023 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 0
2024 4 3 3 4 3 3 3 3 3 2 3 3 4 2 3 3 3 3 2 3 3 5 4 3 3 3 3 4 4 4 3
Player 5 4 3 4 3 3 3 3 3 2 3 3 4 2 3 3 4 3 3 3 3 6 4 4 3 3 3 4 5 4 3
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's home runs allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Year to Year Changes

Metric 2023 2024 +/-  
Fastball Velocity 96.8 97.4 0.6 ↑
Offspeed Velocity 0.0 0.0 0.0
Breaking Velocity 88.5 88.2 -0.3 ↓
Exit Velocity 93.7 90.0 -3.7 ↓
Launch Angle 1.5 10.8 9.3 ↑
Barrel % 0.0 8.5 8.5 ↑
Hard Hit % 64.3 40.5 -23.8 ↓
LA Sweet-Spot % 35.7 34.0 -1.7 ↓
xBA .193 .237 0.044 ↑
BA .333 .249 -0.084 ↓
xwOBA .315 .323 0.008 ↑
wOBA .444 .315 -0.129 ↓
xSLG .334 .358 0.024 ↑
SLG .571 .341 -0.230 ↓
K% 26.9 22.5 -4.4 ↓
BB% 15.4 13.1 -2.3 ↓
Swing % 47.7 45.9 -1.8 ↓
Whiff% 28.3 28.2 -0.1 ↓
In Zone % 48.6 45.7 -2.9 ↓
Out of Zone % 51.4 54.3 2.9 ↑
Out of Zone Swing % 26.3 25.2 -1.1 ↓
First Pitch Swing % 34.6 34.2 -0.4 ↓
First Pitch Strike % 69.2 57.6 -11.6 ↓
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Statcast Fielder Positioning

vs RHHvs LHH
YearAlignment TypePAwOBAPATotal%PATotal%
2023 Shades 26 .444 18 1 5.6 8 5 62.5
2024 Shades 243 .315 147 6 4.1 96 10 10.4
! Note: Shifts are through the 2022 season, Shaded starting from the 2023 season, Shift: three or more infielders are on the same side of second base, Shade: positioned outside of their typical responsible slices of the field.
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Pitch Tempo

Bases EmptyRunners On Base
SeasonTeamPitchesTempoFast %Slow %PitchesTempoFast %Slow %
2023 21 17.1 14.3% 0.0% 27 17.1 3.7% 0.0%
2024 218 16.7 11.0% 0.9% 189 17.6 2.6% 0.5%

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Pitch Distribution

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