Kyle Nicolas
P | Bats/Throws: R/R | 6' 4" 223LBS | Age: 25
Draft: 2020 | Rd: CB-B, #61, Miami Marlins | Ball State
W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2023 0 0 11.81 4 0 0 5.1 7 2.06
2024 0 1 5.40 16 0 0 16.2 23 1.38
2 Seasons 0 1 6.95 20 0 0 22 30 1.55
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2023 4 0-0 11.81 5.1 7 2.06
2024 16 0-1 5.40 16.2 23 1.38
2 Seasons 20 0-1 6.95 22 30 1.55
MLB Percentile Rankings
Pitch Distribution

Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls
Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity
Max EV Launch
Angle
LA Sweet-
Spot %
XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2023 24 111 14 0 0.0 0.0 93.7 106.3 1.5 35.7 .193 .334 .444 .315 .334 64.3 26.9 15.4 11.81 4.18
2024 25 328 37 5 13.5 6.8 87.6 110.6 13.0 29.7 .190 .303 .308 .312 .361 35.1 31.1 16.2 5.40 3.85
Player 439 51 5 9.8 5.0 89.4 110.6 9.8 31.4 .191 .311 .343 .312 .353 43.1 30.0 16.0
MLB 6.9 4.7 88.5 122.4 12.2 33.1 .245 .406 .316 .315 .368 36.4 22.2 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Nicolas relies on 3 pitches.
Four Seamer
(59.5%) ,
Slider
(22.9%) ,
Curveball
(17.7%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

Season GB % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2023 50.0 21.4 28.6 0.0 64.3 21.4 14.3 0.0 50.0 7.1 14.3 28.6 0.0 0.0
2024 45.9 27.0 18.9 8.1 29.7 45.9 24.3 2.7 40.5 18.9 16.2 5.4 13.5 6.8
Player 47.1 25.5 21.6 5.9 39.2 39.2 21.6 2.0 43.1 15.7 15.7 11.8 9.8 5.0
MLB 44.6 23.6 24.8 7.0 37.1 37.5 25.3 3.9 32.8 24.7 24.4 5.8 6.9 4.7
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement


How this works: Every pitch is affected by the forces of gravity, which means that every pitch drops on its way from the mound to the plate. These numbers are reported with gravity, which makes them larger and different than other pitch movement numbers you may have seen. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren’t ‘better’ just because they have more time to move, the movement of a pitch is compared to ‘average’ movement by comparing it to other MLB pitch types within +/- 2 MPH and from within +/- 0.5 feet of extension and release.
Vertical Movement (inches) Horizontal Movement (inches)
Year Pitch Team Hand # MPH Inches of Drop vs Avg % vs Avg Inches of Break vs Avg % Break vs Avg
2024 Slider PIT R 75 91.8 28.5 0.5 2 4.7 1.4 42
2024 4-Seam Fastball PIT R 195 98.1 11.0 0.9 8 9.5 2.1 29
2024 Curveball PIT R 58 85.8 48.9 4.1 9 6.2 0.6 12
2023 Curveball PIT R 8 83.8 50.1 2.6 6 3.7 -2.7 -42
2023 4-Seam Fastball PIT R 62 96.8 11.9 1.5 11 9.2 1.5 20
2023 Slider PIT R 41 89.5 32.0 0.6 2 5.3 1.4 36
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2024 4-Seam Fastball 0.7 1 195 59.5 46 .152 .242 .304 26.2 28.3 24.5 .157 .310 .342 47.6
2024 Slider -0.9 -1 75 22.9 23 .227 .318 .268 36.8 34.8 16.7 .206 .262 .225 14.3
2024 Curveball -2.5 -1 58 17.7 5 .500 .750 .570 56.3 40.0 12.5 .377 .451 .425 50.0
2023 4-Seam Fastball -1.9 -1 62 55.9 12 .429 .571 .546 22.2 16.7 12.5 .157 .256 .392 60.0
2023 Slider -4.8 -2 41 36.9 13 .308 .615 .388 32.0 30.8 25.0 .227 .402 .266 66.7
2023 Curveball -2.3 0 8 7.2 1 .000 .000 .000 100.0 100.0 33.3 -- -- .000 --
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: To better align with other values, positive numbers (red) are good, and negative numbers (blue) are poor.
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Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2024 Curveball 58 85.8 67 15.3 7:30 6:45 45
2024 4-Seam Fastball 195 98.1 98 19.7 1:00 1:00 0
2024 Slider 75 91.8 33 5.8 11:00 10:00 60
2023 4-Seam Fastball 62 96.8 97 19.4 1:15 1:00 15
2023 Slider 41 89.5 33 5.9 10:45 9:15 90
! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Swing/Take

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2023 26 111 -4 3 -1 -1 -3
2024 74 328 1 6 -6 -3 -1
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2023 111 48.6 70.4 86.8 26.3 33.3 37.8 69.2 47.7 28.3 7.2 100.0
2024 328 40.9 69.4 74.2 23.2 48.9 40.9 50.0 42.1 32.6 7.0 60.9
Player 439 42.8 69.7 77.9 23.9 45.0 40.1 55.0 43.5 31.4 7.1 71.0
MLB 48.6 67.0 82.0 28.4 57.9 42.6 60.9 47.2 24.8 7.3 76.2
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA /
xERA
xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV Hard
Hit%
K% BB% Whiff% Chase
Rate
FB
Velo
FB
Spin
CB
Spin
Extension
2023 90 87 82
2024 97 86 54 85
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Expected Home Runs

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2023 23.4 1 0.2 1 1 0 0 0.0
2024 20.4 1 0.6 0 0 1 0 0.0
Player 21.9 2 0.8 1 1 1 0 0.0

Expected Home Runs by Park

Year HR
2023 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 0
2024 1 1 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 1 1 0 0 1 1 1 0 0 1 0 0 1 1 0 0 1 1 1 1 0
Player 2 2 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 1 1 0 0 1 1 2 0 1 1 0 1 1 2 0 0 1 1 2 1 0
! Note: This tells how many of this player's home runs would have been out of other stadiums. This accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects. For these purposes, the 2020 Blue Jays home field was still Rogers Centre, not Sahlen Field.
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Year to Year Changes

Metric 2023 2024 +/-  
Fastball Velocity 96.8 98.1 1.3
Offspeed Velocity 0.0 0.0 0.0
Breaking Velocity 88.5 89.2 0.7
Exit Velocity 93.7 87.6 -6.1
Launch Angle 1.5 13.0 11.5
Barrel % 0.0 13.5 13.5
Hard Hit % 64.3 35.1 -29.2
LA Sweet-Spot % 35.7 29.7 -6.0
xBA .193 .190 -0.003
BA .333 .203 -0.130
xwOBA .315 .312 -0.003
wOBA .444 .308 -0.136
xSLG .334 .303 -0.031
SLG .571 .305 -0.266
K% 26.9 31.1 4.2
BB% 15.4 16.2 0.8
Swing % 47.7 42.1 -5.6
Whiff% 28.3 32.6 4.3
In Zone % 48.6 40.9 -7.7
Out of Zone % 51.4 59.1 7.7
Out of Zone Swing % 26.3 23.2 -3.1
First Pitch Swing % 34.6 23.0 -11.6
First Pitch Strike % 69.2 50.0 -19.2
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Statcast Fielder Positioning

vs RHHvs LHH
YearAlignment TypePAwOBAPATotal%PATotal%
2023 Shades 26 .444 18 1 5.6 8 5 62.5
2024 Shades 74 .308 47 5 10.6 27 6 22.2
! Note: Shifts are through the 2022 season, Shaded starting from the 2023 season, Shift: three or more infielders are on the same side of second base, Shade: positioned outside of their typical responsible slices of the field.
Learn more about how positioning is defined here

Pitch Tempo

Bases EmptyRunners On Base
SeasonTeamPitchesTempoFast %Slow %PitchesTempoFast %Slow %
2023 21 17.1 14.3% 0.0% 27 17.1 3.7% 0.0%
2024 65 16.5 9.2% 0.0% 70 17.2 1.4% 0.0%
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Pitch Distribution