P | Bats/Throws: R/R | 6' 3" 240 lbs | Age: 26
W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2025 7 8 3.81 29 29 0 146.1 145 1.20
2026 0 2 10.80 3 3 0 8.1 11 2.52
2 Seasons 7 10 4.19 32 32 0 154.2 156 1.27
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2025 29 7-8 3.81 146.1 145 1.20
2026 3 0-2 10.80 8.1 11 2.52
2 Seasons 32 7-10 4.19 154.2 156 1.27
MLB Percentile Rankings
Movement Profile (Induced Break)
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Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls
Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity
Max EV Launch
Angle
LA Sweet-
Spot %
xBA xSLG wOBA xwOBA xwOBAcon HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2025 25 2419 401 27 6.7 4.4 90.3 116.3 13.3 35.4 .229 .383 .296 .310 .356 45.4 23.5 9.4 3.81 3.99
2026 26 225 27 0 0.0 0.0 82.2 109.9 14.2 29.6 .246 .293 .431 .334 .331 33.3 22.4 18.4 10.80 4.50
Player 2644 428 27 6.3 4.1 89.8 116.3 13.3 35.0 .230 .377 .306 .312 .355 44.6 23.5 10.1
MLB 7.2 4.9 88.6 122.9 12.4 33.3 .243 .408 .315 .316 .369 37.0 22.2 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Smith relies on 5 pitches.
Four Seamer
(32.9%) ,
Curveball
(23.6%) ,
Changeup
(18.2%) ,
Sinker
(14.2%) ,
Slider
(11.1%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

AIR: Fly Balls + Line Drives + Popups All Batted Balls Batted Ball Breakdown
Season GB % AIR % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Pull GB % Straight GB % Oppo GB % Pull AIR % Straight AIR % Oppo AIR %
2025 41.1 58.9 27.9 26.4 4.5 36.7 34.2 29.2 18.5 15.2 7.5 18.2 19.0 21.7
2026 44.4 55.6 22.2 29.6 3.7 33.3 37.0 29.6 22.2 11.1 11.1 11.1 25.9 18.5
Player 41.4 58.6 27.6 26.6 4.4 36.4 34.3 29.2 18.7 15.0 7.7 17.8 19.4 21.5
MLB 44.2 55.8 24.1 24.6 7.1 37.4 37.4 25.1 20.7 17.6 5.9 16.7 19.7 19.3
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Quality of Contact

Season Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2025 3.7 30.7 27.2 23.7 7.2 6.7 4.4
2026 18.5 18.5 29.6 25.9 7.4 0.0 0.0
Player 4.7 29.9 27.3 23.8 7.2 6.3 4.1
MLB 4.0 32.4 24.9 24.4 5.9 7.2 4.9
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement


How this works: This section shows two different ways to evaluate pitch movement. On the left, “Total Movement” shows the real-world movement of a pitch, including the forces of gravity, which affects every pitch thrown. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren't 'better' just because they have more time to move, a pitch's movement is compared to other pitches of the same pitch type, within +/- 2 MPH and +/- 0.5 feet of extension/release. On the right, Induced Movement (or IVB) is reported without gravity, and attempts to isolate movement created by the pitcher's ability to spin and manipulate the ball.
Total Movement (in inches, w/ gravity)Induced Movement (in inches, w/o gravity)
YearPitchTeamHand#MPHVertical
Drop
vs.
Comparable
Horizontal
Break
vs.
Comparable
Vertical
Break
vs. AvgHorizontal
Break
vs. Avg
2026 Slider CWS R 25 90.5 29.1 -1.5 3.1GLV -0.3 4.4 -3.1 3.1GLV -1.2
2026 4-Seam Fastball CWS R 74 95.3 14.2 -0.5 7.5ARM -0.1 16.1 -0.2 7.5ARM -0.3
2026 Curveball CWS R 53 82.4 52.3 1.1 3.9GLV -3.6 -11.6 1.1 3.9GLV -5.1
2026 Changeup CWS R 41 90.3 34.6 4.5 15.4ARM 0.9 -0.8 4.6 15.4ARM 0.5
2026 Sinker CWS R 32 96.4 19.3 -2.2 17.0ARM 0.9 10.5 -2.7 17.0ARM 1.4
2025 Curveball CWS R 353 82.1 52.3 1.3 5.9GLV -1.7 -11.6 1.4 5.9GLV -3.1
2025 Sweeper CWS R 3 88.1 26.3 -8.1 12.6GLV 1.6 8.8 -7.8 12.6GLV -1.4
2025 Sinker CWS R 300 95.7 20.4 -1.0 15.3ARM 0.2 9.6 -2.2 15.3ARM 0.2
2025 Changeup CWS R 406 90.0 32.5 2.7 14.6ARM -0.1 1.4 2.7 14.6ARM 0.1
2025 4-Seam Fastball CWS R 1089 95.7 15.7 -1.7 7.3ARM -0.2 14.3 -1.5 7.3ARM -0.3
2025 Slider CWS R 268 89.5 30.4 -1.1 2.5GLV -1.3 3.7 -1.9 2.5GLV -1.9
! Note: Years are in reverse order.

Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2026 4-Seam Fastball -1.3 -1 74 32.9 13 .143 .143 .392 26.9 38.5 17.9 .056 .066 .352 0.0
2026 Curveball 2.2 1 53 23.6 13 .000 .000 .285 42.3 23.1 15.0 .214 .235 .352 33.3
2026 Changeup -5.1 -2 41 18.2 10 .500 .800 .555 28.6 20.0 13.3 .280 .334 .267 37.5
2026 Sinker -2.0 -1 32 14.2 5 .500 .750 .570 0.0 20.0 16.7 .472 .530 .492 33.3
2026 Slider -14.1 -4 25 11.1 8 .500 .875 .700 7.7 0.0 0.0 .290 .389 .295 37.5
2025 4-Seam Fastball 1.8 20 1,089 45.0 285 .192 .304 .275 25.3 26.0 23.6 .199 .344 .286 39.9
2025 Changeup -0.4 -2 406 16.8 107 .200 .337 .290 31.8 21.5 16.3 .256 .397 .326 50.0
2025 Curveball -2.9 -10 353 14.6 71 .267 .550 .394 48.1 36.6 24.1 .274 .499 .380 62.9
2025 Sinker 1.3 4 300 12.4 74 .246 .354 .329 16.8 8.1 13.6 .274 .400 .336 48.3
2025 Slider -2.2 -6 268 11.1 77 .254 .465 .358 22.0 19.5 16.1 .222 .393 .295 42.9
2025 Sweeper 10.9 0 3 0.1 1 .000 .000 .000 50.0 100.0 100.0 -- -- .000 --
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: To better align with other values, positive numbers (red) are good, and negative numbers (blue) are poor.

Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2026 Changeup 30 90.2 78 16.5 2:00 3:15 -75
2026 Curveball 53 82.4 81 14.9 7:00 6:30 30
2026 4-Seam Fastball 74 95.3 80 17.3 1:00 1:00 0
2026 Sinker 30 96.3 85 20.2 1:00 2:00 -60
2026 Slider 25 90.5 31 4.9 11:45 10:15 90
2025 Changeup 350 90.0 85 15.4 2:00 3:00 -60
2025 Curveball 344 82.1 81 15.5 7:15 6:45 30
2025 4-Seam Fastball 1,071 95.7 80 15.8 1:15 1:00 15
2025 Sinker 297 95.7 86 18.3 1:15 2:00 -45
2025 Slider 255 89.5 31 4.5 11:30 10:15 75
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Pitcher Arm Angle

! Note: Data is available from 2020 through the present.
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Statcast Pitching Run Value

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2025 615 2,419 27 2 -14 -8 6
2026 49 225 -2 -1 -3 -1 -6
Player 664 2,644 25 1 -17 25 0
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2025 2,419 53.7 68.3 80.1 25.2 47.9 41.3 60.4 48.3 27.7 9.5 79.2
2026 225 44.4 58.0 87.9 30.4 52.6 37.3 51.0 42.7 26.0 9.8 68.2
Player 2,644 52.9 67.5 80.6 25.7 48.4 41.0 59.7 47.8 27.5 9.6 78.3
MLB 48.8 67.0 82.6 28.4 58.0 42.7 61.1 47.3 25.0 7.4 76.3
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Run Value Pitching
Year Pitching Fastball Breaking Off
Speed
xERA Fastball
MPH
Fastball
Spin
Curve
Spin
Avg
EV
Chase% Whiff% K% BB% Barrel% Hard-
Hit%
GB% Extension
2025 63 98 1 38 49 72 38 8 22 14 70 57 26 76 13 45 80
2026 2 17 5 3 37 69 31 6 97 56 51 48 12 77 65 52 81
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Expected Home Runs

Adjusted

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2025 24.48 17 17.9 -1 5 13 8 47.1
2026 23.31 1 0.7 0 0 1 0 0.0
Player 24.42 18 18.6 -1 5 14 8 44.4
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's batted balls allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Expected Home Runs by Park

Adjusted

Year HR
2025 17 19 14 17 18 19 17 18 19 15 18 22 16 21 19 15 18 18 18 22 15 17 21 20 17 16 17 17 18 18 17
2026 1 1 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 0 1 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 0 1 1 1 0 1 1 1 0 1
Player 18 20 14 18 19 20 18 19 20 15 18 23 16 22 20 16 19 19 19 23 15 17 22 21 18 16 18 18 19 18 18
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's batted balls allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Year to Year Changes

2026 +/-   2025
Results
BA .316 +.100 .216
xBA .246 +.017 .229
OBP .458 +.153 .305
xOBP .403 +.085 .318
SLG .500 +.137 .363
xSLG .293 -.090 .383
ISO .184 +.036 .148
xISO .048 -.106 .154
BABIP .423 +.161 .262
wOBA .431 +.135 .296
xwOBA .334 +.024 .310
wOBAcon .504 +.169 .335
xwOBAcon .331 -.025 .356
BACON .444 +.151 .293
xBACON .346 +.032 .314
Statcast Hit Metrics
Hard Hit % 33.3 -12.1 45.4
Avg Exit Velocity 82.2 -8.1 90.3
Launch Angle Sweet-Spot % 29.6 -5.8 35.4
Barrel % 0.0 -6.7 6.7
Avg Launch Angle 14.2 +0.9 13.3
Statcast Bat Tracking
Bat Speed 70.8 -1.0 71.8
Attack Angle +1°
Ideal Attack Angle % 51.3 +0.5 50.8
Attack Direction -3°
Swing Path - Tilt 32° 32°
Swing Length 7.2 0.0 7.2
Statcast Pitch Metrics
Fastball Velocity 95.6 -0.1 95.7
Breaking Velocity 85.0 -0.3 85.3
Offspeed Velocity 90.3 +0.3 90.0
Batted Ball Results
Barrels 0 -27 27
Popup % 3.7 -0.8 4.5
Flyball % 22.2 -5.7 27.9
Line Drive % 29.6 +3.2 26.4
Groundball % 44.4 +3.3 41.1
Pull % 33.3 -3.4 36.7
Straight Away % 37.0 +2.8 34.2
Opposite Field % 29.6 +0.4 29.2
Weak Contact % 18.5 +14.8 3.7
Pull Airball % 11.1 -7.1 18.2
Topped Contact % 18.5 -12.2 30.7
Under Contact % 29.6 +2.4 27.2
Flare/Burner Contact % 25.9 +2.2 23.7
Solid Contact % 7.4 +0.2 7.2
HR/FB % 16.7 +1.5 15.2
Popups 1 -17 18
Flyballs 6 -106 112
Line Drives 8 -98 106
Groundballs 12 -153 165
Plate Discipline
In Zone % 44.4 -9.3 53.7
Out of Zone % 55.6 +9.3 46.3
Edge % 37.3 -4.0 41.3
Zone Swing % 58.0 -10.3 68.3
Out of Zone Swing % 30.4 +5.2 25.2
In Zone Contact % 87.9 +7.8 80.1
Out of Zone Contact % 52.6 +4.7 47.9
Whiff % 26.0 -1.7 27.7
First Strike % 51.0 -9.4 60.4
First Pitch Swing % 18.4 -14.9 33.3
Swing % 42.7 -5.6 48.3
Meatball Swing % 68.2 -11.0 79.2
Meatball % 9.8 +0.3 9.5
Zone Swing & Miss % 12.1 -7.8 19.9
Out of Zone Swing & Miss % 47.4 -4.7 52.1
In Zone 100 -1,198 1,298
Out of Zone 125 -996 1,121
Edge 84 -915 999
In Zone Swings 58 -828 886
Out of Zone Swings 38 -244 282
In Zone Swing & Misses 7 -169 176
Out of Zone Swing & Misses 18 -129 147
Basic
Pitches 225 -2,194 2,419
PA 49 -567 616
AB 38 -504 542
Hits 12 -105 117
Singles 7 -67 74
Doubles 4 -19 23
Triples 0 -3 3
Home Runs 1 -16 17
Walks 9 -49 58
Strikeouts 11 -134 145
K% 22.4 -1.1 23.5
BB% 18.4 +9.0 9.4
HBP 1 -11 12
Batted Balls 27 -374 401
Number of Fastballs 106 -1,283 1,389
Number of Offspeed 41 -365 406
Number of Breaking 78 -543 621
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Statcast Fielder Positioning

vs RHHvs LHH
YearAlignment TypePAwOBAPATotal%PATotal%
2025 Shades 615 .296 277 3 1.1 338 135 39.9
2026 Shades 49 .431 23 0 0.0 26 16 61.5
! Note: Shifts are through the 2022 season, Shaded starting from the 2023 season, Shift: three or more infielders are on the same side of second base, Shade: positioned outside of their typical responsible slices of the field.
Learn more about how positioning is defined here

Pitch Tempo

Bases EmptyRunners On Base
SeasonTeamPitchesTempoFast %Slow %PitchesTempoFast %Slow %
2025 666 16.4 21.3% 0.5% 333 19.8 0.0% 0.3%
2026 28 16.9 14.3% 7.1% 31 20.4 0.0% 9.7%

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Pitch Distribution