Ryne Nelson
P | Bats/Throws: R/R | 6' 3" 184LBS | Age: 25
Draft: 2019 | Rd: 2, #56, Arizona Diamondbacks | Oregon
W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2022 1 1 1.47 3 3 0 18.1 16 0.82
2023 8 8 5.31 29 27 0 144 96 1.42
2 Seasons 9 9 4.88 32 30 0 162.1 112 1.36
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2022 3 1-1 1.47 18.1 16 0.82
2023 29 8-8 5.31 144 96 1.42
2 Seasons 32 9-9 4.88 162.1 112 1.36
MLB Percentile Rankings
Pitch Distribution

Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls
Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity
Max EV Launch
Angle
Sweet
Spot %
XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2022 24 253 47 3 6.4 4.3 89.6 109.4 25.8 27.7 .174 .295 .224 .234 .265 36.2 23.2 8.7 1.47 2.24
2023 25 2355 475 55 11.6 8.9 90.8 113.2 16.2 37.1 .269 .488 .357 .349 .386 42.7 15.5 7.4 5.31 5.27
Player 2608 522 58 11.1 8.4 90.7 113.2 17.1 36.2 .259 .469 .344 .338 .375 42.1 16.3 7.6
MLB 6.9 4.7 88.4 122.4 12.2 33.1 .245 .406 .316 .315 .369 36.3 22.1 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Nelson relies on 5 pitches.
4-Seam Fastball
(54.6%) ,
Cutter
(14.4%) ,
Changeup
(13.3%) ,
Slider
(12.4%) ,
Curveball
(5.4%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

Season GB % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2022 25.5 44.7 17.0 12.8 31.9 36.2 31.9 2.1 19.1 46.8 14.9 10.6 6.4 4.3
2023 37.5 31.2 22.9 8.4 37.7 38.3 24.0 3.4 26.3 30.9 22.1 5.5 11.6 8.9
Player 36.4 32.4 22.4 8.8 37.2 38.1 24.7 3.3 25.7 32.4 21.5 5.9 11.1 8.4
MLB 44.6 23.5 24.9 7.0 37.0 37.6 25.3 3.9 32.8 24.7 24.4 5.8 6.9 4.7
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement


How this works: Every pitch is affected by the forces of gravity, which means that every pitch drops on its way from the mound to the plate. These numbers are reported with gravity, which makes them larger and different than other pitch movement numbers you may have seen. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren’t ‘better’ just because they have more time to move, the movement of a pitch is compared to ‘average’ movement by comparing it to other MLB pitch types within +/- 2 MPH and from within +/- 0.5 feet of extension and release.
Vertical Movement (inches) Horizontal Movement (inches)
Year Pitch Team Hand # MPH Inches of Drop vs Avg % vs Avg Inches of Break vs Avg % Break vs Avg
2023 Slider AZ R 291 81.6 42.0 1.8 4 13.1 5.1 64
2023 Cutter AZ R 339 85.5 36.2 -5.2 -17 4.5 1.2 37
2023 4-Seamer AZ R 1,285 94.4 12.6 2.0 13 4.1 -2.7 -40
2023 Changeup AZ R 313 83.3 30.9 -2.2 -7 13.9 -0.1 -1
2023 Curveball AZ R 127 76.5 58.1 -0.3 -1 6.6 -2.8 -30
2022 Changeup AZ R 16 81.8 29.6 -4.2 -13 14.0 -0.3 -2
2022 Cutter AZ R 2 84.9 32.4 -2.0 -6 8.1 4.8 143
2022 4-Seamer AZ R 176 94.8 10.9 3.1 22 3.6 -3.4 -49
2022 Slider AZ R 26 82.3 42.3 2.7 7 13.5 6.0 80
2022 Curveball AZ R 33 76.9 58.3 0.8 1 4.9 -4.4 -47
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2023 4-Seamer -0.6 -7 1,285 54.6 354 .308 .553 .388 16.7 14.4 13.1 .295 .554 .385 47.4
2023 Cutter -1.8 -6 339 14.4 102 .312 .516 .394 20.9 14.7 13.2 .282 .482 .357 43.6
2023 Changeup -0.8 -3 313 13.3 68 .203 .407 .296 31.2 19.1 16.3 .214 .349 .278 34.7
2023 Slider -0.5 -2 291 12.4 76 .192 .411 .269 27.1 19.7 13.3 .180 .296 .237 25.4
2023 Curveball -1.6 -2 127 5.4 18 .375 .625 .417 22.2 11.1 8.3 .282 .596 .395 46.7
2022 4-Seamer 2.7 5 176 69.6 49 .111 .311 .215 19.8 22.4 25.6 .165 .315 .245 41.2
2022 Curveball 0.7 0 33 13.0 8 .286 .429 .269 25.0 25.0 50.0 .193 .211 .158 0.0
2022 Slider -1.3 0 26 10.3 7 .333 .333 .357 45.5 28.6 20.0 .262 .328 .321 0.0
2022 Changeup 3.2 1 16 6.3 4 .000 .000 .000 40.0 25.0 16.7 .107 .171 .116 100.0
2022 Cutter -2.6 0 2 0.8 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: To better align with other values, positive numbers (red) are good, and negative numbers (blue) are poor.
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Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2023 Changeup 312 83.3 99 16.3 2:00 2:15 -15
2023 Curveball 125 76.5 72 15.6 7:00 7:00 0
2023 Cutter 337 85.5 31 5.3 9:30 8:45 45
2023 4-Seam Fastball 1,272 94.4 96 18.2 12:30 12:30 0
2023 Slider 288 81.6 51 14.5 8:00 8:45 -45
2022 Changeup 16 81.8 99 17.9 2:00 1:45 15
2022 Curveball 33 76.9 74 15.5 6:45 6:45 0
2022 4-Seam Fastball 176 94.8 98 19.6 12:30 12:15 15
2022 Slider 26 82.3 48 15.0 7:45 8:30 -45
! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Swing/Take

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2022 68 253 4 3 -1 -1 5
2023 648 2,467 -5 6 -15 -8 -23
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2022 253 54.2 62.0 82.4 21.6 56.0 46.6 53.6 43.5 23.6 9.1 69.6
2023 2,355 54.4 70.4 84.6 25.1 62.6 43.3 62.2 49.8 20.3 8.0 83.1
Player 2,608 54.4 69.6 84.4 24.8 62.0 43.7 61.3 49.2 20.6 8.1 81.6
MLB 48.6 67.0 82.0 28.5 58.0 42.6 60.9 47.1 24.8 7.3 76.1
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA /
xERA
xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV Hard
Hit%
K% BB% Whiff% Chase
Rate
FB
Velo
FB
Spin
CB
Spin
Extension
2022 66 42 78
2023 15 18 8 5 41 2 4 8 22 6 65 9 11 56 43 52 69
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Expected Home Runs

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2022 26.8 2 2.1 0 2 3 0 0.0
2023 23.8 25 26.8 -2 8 23 9 36.0
Player 24.0 27 28.9 -2 10 26 9 33.3

Expected Home Runs by Park

Year HR
2022 2 2 1 2 2 1 3 1 2 1 1 2 2 2 3 4 2 1 3 2 1 3 3 3 1 2 2 3 3 2 2
2023 25 23 20 28 26 25 29 27 22 23 23 26 29 26 32 32 33 26 30 31 28 24 36 33 26 22 28 23 32 23 18
Player 27 25 21 30 28 26 32 28 24 24 24 28 31 28 35 36 35 27 33 33 29 27 39 36 27 24 30 26 35 25 20
! Note: This tells how many of this player's home runs would have been out of other stadiums. This accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects. For these purposes, the 2020 Blue Jays home field was still Rogers Centre, not Sahlen Field.
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Year to Year Changes

Metric 2022 2023 +/-  
Fastball Velocity 94.7 92.5 -2.2
Offspeed Velocity 81.8 83.3 1.5
Breaking Velocity 79.3 80.1 0.8
Exit Velocity 89.6 90.8 1.2
Launch Angle 25.8 16.2 -9.6
Barrel % 6.4 11.6 5.2
Hard Hit % 36.2 42.7 6.5
Sweet Spot % 27.7 37.1 9.4
xBA .174 .269 0.095
BA .145 .284 0.139
xwOBA .234 .349 0.115
wOBA .224 .357 0.133
xSLG .295 .488 0.193
SLG .306 .515 0.209
K% 23.2 15.5 -7.7
BB% 8.7 7.4 -1.3
Swing % 43.5 49.8 6.3
Whiff% 23.6 20.3 -3.3
In Zone % 54.2 54.4 0.2
Out of Zone % 45.8 45.6 -0.2
Out of Zone Swing % 21.6 25.1 3.5
First Pitch Swing % 23.2 33.1 9.9
First Pitch Strike % 53.6 62.2 8.6
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Statcast Fielder Positioning

vs RHHvs LHH
YearAlignment TypePAwOBAPATotal%PATotal%
2022 Shifts 68 .224 35 4 11.4 33 24 72.7
2023 Shades 617 .356 314 1 0.3 303 172 56.8
! Note: Shifts are through the 2022 season, Shaded starting from the 2023 season, Shift: three or more infielders are on the same side of second base, Shade: positioned outside of their typical responsible slices of the field.
Learn more about how positioning is defined here

Pitch Tempo

Bases EmptyRunners On Base
SeasonTeamPitchesTempoFast %Slow %PitchesTempoFast %Slow %
2022 92 17.3 14.1% 1.1% 31 21.6 0.0% 3.2%
2023 632 15.0 50.6% 0.3% 388 19.0 1.0% 0.5%
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Pitch Distribution