Ryne Nelson
P | Bats/Throws: R/R | 6' 3" 184LBS | Age: 26
Draft: 2019 | Rd: 2, #56, Arizona Diamondbacks | Oregon
W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2022 1 1 1.47 3 3 0 18.1 16 0.82
2023 8 8 5.31 29 27 0 144 96 1.42
2024 10 6 4.24 28 25 1 150.2 126 1.25
3 Seasons 19 15 4.57 60 55 1 313 238 1.31
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2022 3 1-1 1.47 18.1 16 0.82
2023 29 8-8 5.31 144 96 1.42
2024 28 10-6 4.24 150.2 126 1.25
3 Seasons 60 19-15 4.57 313 238 1.31
MLB Percentile Rankings
Movement Profile (Induced Break)
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Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls
Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity
Max EV Launch
Angle
LA Sweet-
Spot %
XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2022 24 253 47 3 6.4 4.3 89.6 109.4 25.8 27.7 .174 .295 .224 .234 .265 36.2 23.2 8.7 1.47 2.24
2023 25 2355 475 55 11.6 8.9 90.8 113.2 16.2 37.1 .269 .488 .357 .349 .386 42.7 15.5 7.4 5.31 5.27
2024 26 2406 464 35 7.5 5.6 90.1 112.1 12.0 34.5 .268 .417 .322 .315 .370 41.6 20.0 5.4 4.24 4.08
Player 5014 986 93 9.4 7.1 90.4 113.2 14.7 35.4 .263 .444 .334 .327 .373 41.9 18.1 6.5
MLB 7.0 4.8 88.5 122.4 12.3 33.2 .245 .406 .316 .315 .369 36.5 22.2 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Nelson relies on 6 pitches.
Four Seamer
(55.7%) ,
Cutter
(18.4%) ,
Changeup
(9.9%) ,
Slider
(8.5%) ,
Curveball
(5.7%) ,
Sweeper
(1.8%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

Season GB % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2022 25.5 44.7 17.0 12.8 31.9 36.2 31.9 2.1 19.1 46.8 14.9 10.6 6.4 4.3
2023 37.5 31.2 22.9 8.4 37.7 38.3 24.0 3.4 26.3 30.9 22.1 5.5 11.6 8.9
2024 42.5 24.1 27.6 5.8 36.9 34.7 28.4 2.6 32.5 25.2 26.3 5.8 7.5 5.6
Player 39.2 28.5 24.8 7.4 37.0 36.5 26.5 2.9 28.9 29.0 23.7 5.9 9.4 7.1
MLB 44.4 23.8 24.7 7.1 37.2 37.5 25.2 3.9 32.6 24.8 24.4 5.9 7.0 4.8
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement


How this works: This section shows two different ways to evaluate pitch movement. On the left, “Total Movement” shows the real-world movement of a pitch, including the forces of gravity, which affects every pitch thrown. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren't 'better' just because they have more time to move, a pitch's movement is compared to other pitches of the same pitch type, within +/- 2 MPH and +/- 0.5 feet of extension/release. On the right, Induced Movement (or IVB) is reported without gravity, and attempts to isolate movement created by the pitcher's ability to spin and manipulate the ball.
Total Movement (in inches, w/ gravity)Induced Movement (in inches, w/o gravity)
YearPitchTeamHand#MPHVertical
Drop
vs.
Comparable
Horizontal
Break
vs.
Comparable
Vertical
Break
vs. AvgHorizontal
Break
vs. Avg
2024 Slider AZ R 204 84.2 40.3 2.9 5.5GLV 0.1 -1.8 3.4 5.5GLV 0.3
2024 Curveball AZ R 137 77.8 53.2 -2.5 9.2GLV 0.1 -7.8 -2.1 9.2GLV -0.2
2024 Changeup AZ R 238 83.0 29.8 -3.1 15.2ARM 1.3 10.1 -5.2 15.2ARM 1.0
2024 Cutter AZ R 442 91.2 24.4 -0.3 1.2GLV -1.4 8.4 0.1 1.2GLV -1.3
2024 4-Seam Fastball AZ R 1341 95.2 11.9 2.0 5.7ARM -1.2 18.3 2.5 5.7ARM -1.8
2024 Sweeper AZ R 44 82.3 40.3 1.3 11.5GLV -2.3 0.1 1.5 11.5GLV -2.8
2023 Sweeper AZ R 71 81.8 42.4 2.5 14.2GLV -0.1 -1.4 2.9 14.2GLV 0.1
2023 Curveball AZ R 122 76.3 58.3 -0.3 6.5GLV -3.0 -11.2 1.3 6.5GLV -2.4
2023 Cutter AZ R 318 85.6 35.8 -5.2 4.3GLV 1.0 1.2 -6.8 4.3GLV 1.8
2023 Changeup AZ R 313 83.3 30.9 -2.2 13.9ARM -0.1 8.5 -3.1 13.9ARM -0.5
2023 4-Seam Fastball AZ R 1285 94.4 12.6 2.0 4.1ARM -2.7 18.1 2.3 4.1ARM -3.3
2023 Slider AZ R 246 81.7 42.1 1.8 12.2GLV 4.8 -0.9 2.4 12.2GLV 6.8
2022 4-Seam Fastball AZ R 176 94.8 10.9 3.1 3.6ARM -3.4 19.7 3.5 3.6ARM -3.7
2022 Curveball AZ R 33 76.9 58.3 0.8 4.9GLV -4.4 -11.6 1.7 4.9GLV -4.2
2022 Slider AZ R 26 82.3 42.3 2.7 13.5GLV 6.2 -1.6 3.4 13.5GLV 7.8
2022 Cutter AZ R 2 84.9 32.4 -2.0 8.1GLV 4.8 5.7 -2.6 8.1GLV 5.4
2022 Changeup AZ R 16 81.8 29.6 -4.2 14.0ARM -0.3 11.6 -5.7 14.0ARM -0.2
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2024 4-Seam Fastball 0.5 7 1,341 55.7 328 .249 .418 .320 19.5 28.0 19.8 .248 .387 .305 51.9
2024 Cutter -0.3 -2 442 18.4 131 .317 .508 .363 15.4 10.7 13.6 .310 .444 .337 35.1
2024 Changeup -1.8 -4 238 9.9 66 .302 .587 .389 20.3 10.6 9.2 .290 .508 .355 35.7
2024 Slider 0.9 2 204 8.5 56 .226 .340 .256 15.6 12.5 8.5 .251 .358 .274 25.5
2024 Curveball 1.6 2 137 5.7 32 .138 .207 .178 14.8 9.4 10.0 .236 .435 .302 22.2
2024 Sweeper -3.5 -2 44 1.8 15 .400 .733 .477 16.7 20.0 13.0 .340 .581 .387 58.3
2023 4-Seam Fastball -0.6 -7 1,285 54.6 354 .308 .553 .388 16.7 14.4 13.1 .295 .554 .385 47.4
2023 Cutter -1.9 -6 318 13.5 97 .326 .539 .407 21.8 15.5 14.7 .279 .481 .354 43.2
2023 Changeup -0.8 -3 313 13.3 68 .203 .407 .296 31.2 19.1 16.3 .214 .349 .278 34.7
2023 Slider 0.5 1 246 10.4 59 .179 .304 .218 26.9 16.9 10.3 .177 .240 .212 29.8
2023 Curveball -2.2 -3 122 5.2 16 .429 .714 .469 18.2 6.3 4.8 .323 .681 .444 50.0
2023 Sweeper -3.1 -2 71 3.0 24 .174 .565 .346 25.7 25.0 19.4 .201 .445 .317 17.6
2022 4-Seam Fastball 2.7 5 176 69.6 49 .111 .311 .215 19.8 22.4 25.6 .164 .314 .244 41.2
2022 Curveball 0.7 0 33 13.0 8 .286 .429 .269 25.0 25.0 50.0 .193 .211 .158 0.0
2022 Slider -1.3 0 26 10.3 7 .333 .333 .357 45.5 28.6 20.0 .262 .328 .321 0.0
2022 Changeup 3.2 1 16 6.3 4 .000 .000 .000 40.0 25.0 16.7 .107 .171 .116 100.0
2022 Cutter -2.6 0 2 0.8 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: To better align with other values, positive numbers (red) are good, and negative numbers (blue) are poor.
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Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2024 Changeup 238 83.0 99 18.3 2:00 2:00 0
2024 Curveball 137 77.8 67 14.4 7:15 7:30 -15
2024 Cutter 442 91.2 63 8.1 12:00 11:45 15
2024 4-Seam Fastball 1,340 95.2 98 18.8 12:45 12:30 15
2024 Slider 204 84.2 38 7.3 8:45 8:00 45
2024 Sweeper 44 82.3 51 12.4 8:00 8:45 -45
2023 Changeup 312 83.3 99 16.3 2:00 2:15 -15
2023 Curveball 120 76.4 72 15.5 7:00 6:45 15
2023 Cutter 316 85.7 30 5.0 9:45 9:00 45
2023 4-Seam Fastball 1,272 94.4 96 18.2 12:30 12:30 0
2023 Slider 245 81.7 50 13.8 8:00 8:30 -30
2023 Sweeper 69 81.8 51 15.6 7:45 8:30 -45
2022 Changeup 16 81.8 99 17.9 2:00 1:45 15
2022 Curveball 33 76.9 74 15.5 6:45 6:45 0
2022 4-Seam Fastball 176 94.8 98 19.6 12:30 12:15 15
2022 Slider 26 82.3 48 15.0 7:45 8:30 -45
! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Pitcher Arm Angle

! Note: Data is available from 2020 through the present.
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Swing/Take

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2022 68 253 4 3 -1 -1 5
2023 648 2,467 -5 6 -15 -8 -23
2024 628 2,406 9 15 -14 -7 3
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2022 253 54.2 62.0 82.4 21.6 56.0 46.6 53.6 43.5 23.6 9.1 69.6
2023 2,355 54.4 70.4 84.6 25.1 62.6 43.3 62.2 49.8 20.3 8.0 83.1
2024 2,406 54.0 71.1 85.5 29.3 70.7 44.8 67.3 51.8 18.2 8.2 83.8
Player 5,014 54.2 70.3 84.9 26.9 66.6 44.2 64.2 50.4 19.4 8.2 82.7
MLB 48.7 67.0 82.0 28.5 57.8 42.6 61.0 47.2 24.9 7.3 76.3
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA /
xERA
xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV Hard
Hit%
K% BB% Whiff% Chase
Rate
FB
Velo
FB
Spin
CB
Spin
Extension
2022 66 42 77
2023 15 19 8 6 41 2 4 8 22 6 65 9 11 56 43 53 70
2024 45 15 35 57 50 18 54 18 25 26 89 4 56 69 40 38 81
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Expected Home Runs

Adjusted

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2022 26.8 2 2.1 0 2 3 0 0.0
2023 23.8 25 27.2 -2 8 22 10 40.0
2024 22.8 17 16.1 1 8 15 5 29.4
Player 23.5 44 45.4 -1 18 40 15 34.1
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's home runs allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Expected Home Runs by Park

Adjusted

Year HR
2022 2 2 1 2 2 1 3 1 2 1 1 2 2 2 3 4 2 1 3 2 1 3 3 3 1 2 2 3 3 2 2
2023 25 24 20 28 26 26 29 28 22 24 23 26 30 26 32 32 33 27 32 31 28 24 37 33 26 22 28 24 33 23 18
2024 17 14 12 22 16 17 18 18 15 11 15 18 16 10 17 16 14 15 17 20 17 14 24 19 14 14 15 18 16 18 14
Player 44 40 33 52 44 44 50 47 39 36 39 46 48 38 52 52 49 43 52 53 46 41 64 55 41 38 45 45 52 43 34
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's home runs allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Year to Year Changes

Metric 2022 2023 +/-   2024 +/-  
Fastball Velocity 94.7 92.6 -2.1 94.2 1.6
Offspeed Velocity 81.8 83.3 1.5 83.0 -0.3
Breaking Velocity 79.3 80.2 0.9 81.7 1.5
Exit Velocity 89.6 90.8 1.2 90.1 -0.7
Launch Angle 25.8 16.2 -9.6 12.0 -4.2
Barrel % 6.4 11.6 5.2 7.5 -4.1
Hard Hit % 36.2 42.7 6.5 41.6 -1.1
LA Sweet-Spot % 27.7 37.1 9.4 34.5 -2.6
xBA .173 .269 0.096 .268 -0.001
BA .145 .284 0.139 .266 -0.018
xwOBA .234 .349 0.115 .315 -0.034
wOBA .224 .357 0.133 .322 -0.035
xSLG .295 .488 0.193 .417 -0.071
SLG .306 .515 0.209 .446 -0.069
K% 23.2 15.5 -7.7 20.0 4.5
BB% 8.7 7.4 -1.3 5.4 -2.0
Swing % 43.5 49.8 6.3 51.8 2.0
Whiff% 23.6 20.3 -3.3 18.2 -2.1
In Zone % 54.2 54.4 0.2 54.0 -0.4
Out of Zone % 45.8 45.6 -0.2 46.0 0.4
Out of Zone Swing % 21.6 25.1 3.5 29.3 4.2
First Pitch Swing % 23.2 33.1 9.9 35.6 2.5
First Pitch Strike % 53.6 62.2 8.6 67.3 5.1
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Statcast Fielder Positioning

vs RHHvs LHH
YearAlignment TypePAwOBAPATotal%PATotal%
2022 Shifts 68 .224 35 4 11.4 33 19 57.6
2023 Shades 617 .356 314 1 0.3 303 172 56.8
2024 Shades 628 .322 316 2 0.6 312 132 42.3
! Note: Shifts are through the 2022 season, Shaded starting from the 2023 season, Shift: three or more infielders are on the same side of second base, Shade: positioned outside of their typical responsible slices of the field.
Learn more about how positioning is defined here

Pitch Tempo

Bases EmptyRunners On Base
SeasonTeamPitchesTempoFast %Slow %PitchesTempoFast %Slow %
2022 92 17.3 14.1% 1.1% 31 21.6 0.0% 3.2%
2023 632 15.0 50.6% 0.3% 388 19.0 1.0% 0.5%
2024 643 15.6 40.4% 0.3% 367 18.3 3.8% 0.5%

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Pitch Distribution