P | Seattle Mariners
Bats/Throws: R/R | 6' 2" 200 lbs | Age: 28
Draft: 2021 | Rd. 4, No. 113, Seattle Mariners | Texas A&M
W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2024 12 8 2.94 31 31 0 180.1 171 0.98
2025 4 6 5.68 18 18 0 90.1 74 1.41
2026 4 8 4.12 17 16 0 94 92 1.09
4 Seasons 28 29 4.03 91 90 0 496 456 1.12
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2024 31 12-8 2.94 180.1 171 0.98
2025 18 4-6 5.68 90.1 74 1.41
2026 17 4-8 4.12 94 92 1.09
4 Seasons 91 28-29 4.03 496 456 1.12
MLB Percentile Rankings
Movement Profile (Induced Break)
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Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls
Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity
Max EV Launch
Angle
LA Sweet-
Spot %
xBA xSLG wOBA xwOBA xwOBAcon HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2023 24 2095 385 42 10.9 7.8 90.7 116.9 17.8 38.7 .264 .473 .309 .337 .409 42.1 22.2 4.8 4.32 4.86
2024 25 2749 485 47 9.8 6.7 90.3 110.7 16.3 32.8 .226 .414 .260 .301 .370 41.2 24.3 6.4 2.94 3.67
2025 26 1543 280 26 9.4 6.6 92.4 117.0 16.8 34.3 .274 .463 .349 .351 .399 48.6 18.9 8.7 5.68 5.27
2026 27 1464 258 19 7.4 5.1 87.5 111.5 16.1 30.2 .213 .363 .299 .277 .335 32.9 24.5 6.6 4.12 3.17
Player 7851 1408 134 9.6 6.7 90.3 117.0 16.8 34.2 .243 .430 .298 .316 .380 41.4 22.7 6.5
MLB 7.6 4.9 88.6 122.9 12.5 33.3 .243 .407 .315 .316 .369 37.1 22.2 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Miller relies on 7 pitches.
Four Seamer
(39.8%) ,
Split Finger
(25.0%) ,
Slider
(9.2%) ,
Sweeper
(7.1%) ,
Sinker
(7.0%) ,
Cutter
(6.4%) ,
Knuckle Curve
(5.5%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

AIR: Fly Balls + Line Drives + Popups All Batted Balls Batted Ball Breakdown
Season GB % AIR % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Pull GB % Straight GB % Oppo GB % Pull AIR % Straight AIR % Oppo AIR %
2023 34.5 65.5 29.6 28.3 7.5 36.9 38.2 24.9 18.4 13.0 3.1 18.4 25.2 21.8
2024 38.6 61.4 33.0 21.2 7.2 38.6 35.1 26.4 20.8 13.6 4.1 17.7 21.4 22.3
2025 39.3 60.7 25.7 25.7 9.3 42.9 37.9 19.3 20.7 15.4 3.2 22.1 22.5 16.1
2026 37.6 62.4 34.9 20.5 7.0 43.4 33.7 22.9 19.4 13.6 4.7 24.0 20.2 18.2
Player 37.4 62.6 31.0 23.9 7.7 39.8 36.2 23.9 19.9 13.8 3.8 20.0 22.4 20.2
MLB 44.1 55.9 24.2 24.6 7.1 37.5 37.3 25.1 20.7 17.5 5.8 16.8 19.7 19.2
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Quality of Contact

Season Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2023 2.9 25.2 29.9 24.4 6.8 10.9 7.8
2024 2.3 28.5 30.5 21.9 6.6 9.8 6.7
2025 2.5 26.4 28.2 27.1 5.7 9.4 6.6
2026 3.1 28.7 31.0 22.5 7.0 7.4 5.1
Player 2.6 27.2 30.0 23.7 6.5 9.6 6.7
MLB 4.0 32.2 25.0 24.4 5.9 7.6 4.9
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement


How this works: This section shows two different ways to evaluate pitch movement. On the left, “Total Movement” shows the real-world movement of a pitch, including the forces of gravity, which affects every pitch thrown. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren't 'better' just because they have more time to move, a pitch's movement is compared to other pitches of the same pitch type, within +/- 2 MPH and +/- 0.5 feet of extension/release. On the right, Induced Movement (or IVB) is reported without gravity, and attempts to isolate movement created by the pitcher's ability to spin and manipulate the ball.
Total Movement (in inches, w/ gravity)Induced Movement (in inches, w/o gravity)
YearPitchTeamHand#MPHVertical
Drop
vs.
Comparable
Horizontal
Break
vs.
Comparable
Vertical
Break
vs. AvgHorizontal
Break
vs. Avg
2026 4-Seam Fastball SEA R 582 96.0 10.8 3.3 4.9ARM -2.9 18.8 3.1 4.9ARM -2.9
2026 Sinker SEA R 103 95.2 16.7 -5.4 13.5ARM -2.0 13.5 -5.9 13.5ARM -1.6
2026 Cutter SEA R 94 91.0 23.3 1.5 4.4GLV 2.6 9.4 1.4 4.4GLV 2.2
2026 Sweeper SEA R 104 83.7 46.0 7.9 15.1GLV 1.4 -6.8 7.8 15.1GLV 1.5
2026 Curveball SEA R 81 83.2 51.0 1.3 3.8GLV -4.4 -11.6 1.4 3.8GLV -5.3
2026 Slider SEA R 134 87.6 33.0 -1.0 4.2GLV 0.5 2.3 -0.9 4.2GLV 0.6
2026 Split-Finger SEA R 366 84.7 33.2 -1.7 10.0ARM -1.3 4.9 -1.9 10.0ARM -1.2
2025 Sinker SEA R 254 94.5 17.4 -5.4 14.9ARM -0.5 13.4 -6.0 14.9ARM -0.2
2025 Sweeper SEA R 66 82.9 47.2 8.0 16.0GLV 2.3 -7.2 8.1 16.0GLV 2.1
2025 Curveball SEA R 166 83.4 50.4 1.2 3.2GLV -4.7 -11.0 0.8 3.2GLV -5.8
2025 4-Seam Fastball SEA R 638 94.8 11.6 3.1 6.5ARM -1.1 18.9 3.1 6.5ARM -1.1
2025 Cutter SEA R 11 89.8 21.9 3.9 1.8GLV -0.1 11.9 3.5 1.8GLV -0.4
2025 Split-Finger SEA R 289 83.9 37.4 2.3 10.5ARM -1.5 1.6 1.5 10.5ARM -0.8
2025 Slider SEA R 118 85.7 35.7 0.1 4.0GLV -0.6 1.3 0.5 4.0GLV -0.2
! Note: Years are in reverse order.

Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2026 4-Seam Fastball 0.6 4 582 39.8 151 .241 .423 .319 21.4 22.5 20.4 .222 .380 .295 36.5
2026 Split-Finger 0.7 3 366 25.0 102 .178 .356 .241 34.1 38.2 22.9 .187 .314 .218 35.5
2026 Slider -1.4 -2 134 9.2 25 .280 .640 .418 28.6 12.0 11.5 .267 .602 .363 40.9
2026 Sweeper 2.0 2 104 7.1 28 .143 .143 .129 23.3 28.6 15.7 .227 .301 .229 10.0
2026 Sinker -1.5 -2 103 7.0 31 .333 .458 .426 0.0 3.2 12.5 .208 .286 .323 30.4
2026 Cutter -3.6 -3 94 6.4 20 .313 .875 .530 36.5 0.0 0.0 .246 .538 .404 25.0
2026 Curveball 0.8 1 81 5.5 18 .118 .353 .181 27.5 38.9 17.1 .169 .213 .196 27.3
2025 4-Seam Fastball -1.2 -8 638 41.4 154 .237 .556 .368 23.3 18.2 15.6 .247 .509 .357 45.5
2025 Split-Finger -0.7 -2 289 18.7 87 .241 .434 .305 28.3 26.4 16.9 .256 .393 .297 43.3
2025 Sinker -1.1 -3 254 16.5 71 .328 .517 .427 11.3 7.0 13.2 .330 .546 .425 63.0
2025 Curveball -1.2 -2 166 10.8 47 .279 .372 .290 29.1 27.7 15.9 .280 .386 .321 56.3
2025 Slider 0.4 1 118 7.7 18 .375 .438 .397 38.5 11.1 10.5 .381 .478 .409 42.9
2025 Sweeper -2.0 -1 66 4.3 11 .364 .364 .327 20.0 18.2 8.3 .314 .346 .292 11.1
2025 Cutter -1.5 0 11 0.7 3 .000 .000 .467 40.0 0.0 0.0 .058 .201 .502 100.0
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: To better align with other values, positive numbers (red) are good, and negative numbers (blue) are poor.

Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2026 Cutter 94 91.0 48 9.9 12:00 11:00 60
2026 4-Seam Fastball 581 96.0 90 19.1 12:45 12:30 15
2026 Split-Finger 330 84.7 70 11.2 1:15 2:15 -60
2026 Knuckle Curve 81 83.2 74 14.6 7:00 6:30 30
2026 Sinker 102 95.2 87 19.0 12:45 1:30 -45
2026 Slider 134 87.6 24 4.8 10:15 9:30 45
2026 Sweeper 104 83.7 63 18.2 7:15 8:00 -45
2025 Cutter 11 89.8 55 11.7 12:15 11:30 45
2025 4-Seam Fastball 637 94.8 93 19.7 12:45 12:45 0
2025 Split-Finger 214 83.7 68 11.2 1:45 2:45 -60
2025 Knuckle Curve 164 83.4 69 13.9 7:00 6:30 30
2025 Sinker 252 94.5 90 20.0 1:00 1:45 -45
2025 Slider 118 85.7 26 5.1 9:45 8:45 60
2025 Sweeper 66 82.9 62 19.3 7:15 8:00 -45
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Pitcher Arm Angle

! Note: Data is available from 2020 through the present.
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Statcast Pitching Run Value

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2023 537 2,095 13 10 -12 -6 5
2024 703 2,749 23 33 -16 -7 34
2025 391 1,543 0 2 -13 -5 -15
2026 375 1,464 13 -1 -5 -4 2
Player 2,006 7,851 49 45 -47 49 26
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2023 2,095 53.7 73.6 80.9 28.7 60.1 43.0 65.9 52.8 24.3 8.7 84.2
2024 2,749 51.1 69.8 82.7 27.1 56.6 42.9 62.2 48.9 24.4 7.2 80.4
2025 1,543 52.4 73.8 81.4 25.7 58.2 42.1 61.7 50.9 24.2 7.8 84.3
2026 1,464 49.2 73.9 80.5 36.2 61.7 44.1 64.9 54.8 25.8 7.0 85.3
Player 7,851 51.7 72.4 81.5 29.0 59.0 43.0 63.6 51.4 24.6 7.7 83.1
MLB 48.7 67.0 82.7 28.6 57.9 42.6 61.2 47.3 25.0 7.3 76.2
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Run Value Pitching
Year Pitching Fastball Breaking Off
Speed
xERA Fastball
MPH
Fastball
Spin
Curve
Spin
Avg
EV
Chase% Whiff% K% BB% Barrel% Hard-
Hit%
GB% Extension
2023 60 77 37 50 24 70 99 10 46 37 40 95 9 26 12 28
2024 99 100 32 95 62 65 92 21 14 29 41 60 75 14 28 28 36
2025 9 8 27 29 9 56 92 21 1 19 42 22 36 30 2 35 35
2026 52 34 59 78 83 74 93 19 74 94 53 65 79 51 85 23 34
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Expected Home Runs

Adjusted

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2023 24.26 18 15.5 3 8 10 7 38.9
2024 24.97 21 20.0 1 13 14 9 42.9
2025 23.59 18 17.1 1 2 11 10 55.6
2026 23.38 17 14.3 3 8 15 4 23.5
Player 24.09 74 67.0 7 31 50 30 40.5
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's batted balls allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Expected Home Runs by Park

Adjusted

Year HR
2023 18 13 13 16 16 16 17 16 16 14 15 15 16 15 18 15 15 14 17 17 16 17 19 18 13 12 16 18 16 15 12
2024 21 20 17 21 19 19 22 19 18 14 18 23 24 16 19 17 19 19 20 25 19 19 31 23 20 20 17 23 22 20 18
2025 18 17 16 16 16 18 15 16 18 14 18 20 16 22 18 16 18 15 17 20 16 17 21 18 15 14 16 19 17 18 17
2026 17 18 7 15 13 14 14 16 14 15 9 13 11 19 18 17 17 13 17 19 12 13 19 19 13 10 9 13 18 9 14
Player 74 68 53 68 64 67 68 67 66 57 60 71 67 72 73 65 69 61 71 81 63 66 90 78 61 56 58 73 73 62 61
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's batted balls allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Year to Year Changes

2026 +/-   2025 +/-   2024 +/-   2023
Results
BA .221 -.046 .267 +.067 .200 -.048 .248
xBA .213 -.061 .274 +.048 .226 -.038 .264
OBP .275 -.058 .333 +.079 .254 -.039 .293
xOBP .269 -.074 .343 +.064 .279 -.031 .310
SLG .417 -.066 .483 +.145 .338 -.089 .427
xSLG .363 -.100 .463 +.049 .414 -.059 .473
ISO .195 -.021 .216 +.078 .138 -.042 .180
xISO .150 -.039 .189 +.001 .188 -.021 .209
BABIP .250 -.040 .290 +.053 .237 -.053 .290
wOBA .299 -.050 .349 +.089 .260 -.049 .309
xwOBA .277 -.074 .351 +.050 .301 -.036 .337
wOBAcon .368 -.028 .396 +.087 .309 -.062 .371
xwOBAcon .335 -.064 .399 +.029 .370 -.039 .409
BACON .300 -.033 .333 +.063 .270 -.053 .323
xBACON .291 -.056 .347 +.041 .306 -.041 .347
Statcast Hit Metrics
Hard Hit % 32.9 -15.7 48.6 +7.4 41.2 -0.9 42.1
Avg Exit Velocity 87.5 -4.9 92.4 +2.1 90.3 -0.4 90.7
Launch Angle Sweet-Spot % 30.2 -4.1 34.3 +1.5 32.8 -5.9 38.7
Barrel % 7.4 -2.0 9.4 -0.4 9.8 -1.1 10.9
Avg Launch Angle 16.1 -0.7 16.8 +0.5 16.3 -1.5 17.8
Statcast Bat Tracking
Bat Speed 72.7 +0.9 71.8 0.0 71.8 -0.4 72.2
Attack Angle 12° +2° 10° +1°
Ideal Attack Angle % 54.4 +1.1 53.3 -2.2 55.5 +4.9 50.6
Attack Direction -6° -4° -2° -2° -1° -1°
Swing Path - Tilt 33° +1° 32° 32° 32°
Swing Length 7.5 +0.2 7.3 +0.1 7.2 0.0 7.2
Statcast Pitch Metrics
Fastball Velocity 95.3 +0.6 94.7 -0.2 94.9 -0.2 95.1
Breaking Velocity 85.2 +1.1 84.1 -0.5 84.6 -0.1 84.7
Offspeed Velocity 84.7 +0.8 83.9 -0.5 84.4 -0.6 85.0
Batted Ball Results
Barrels 19 -7 26 -21 47 +5 42
Popup % 7.0 -2.3 9.3 +2.1 7.2 -0.3 7.5
Flyball % 34.9 +9.2 25.7 -7.3 33.0 +3.4 29.6
Line Drive % 20.5 -5.2 25.7 +4.5 21.2 -7.1 28.3
Groundball % 37.6 -1.7 39.3 +0.7 38.6 +4.1 34.5
Pull % 43.4 +0.5 42.9 +4.3 38.6 +1.7 36.9
Straight Away % 33.7 -4.2 37.9 +2.8 35.1 -3.1 38.2
Opposite Field % 22.9 +3.6 19.3 -7.1 26.4 +1.5 24.9
Weak Contact % 3.1 +0.6 2.5 +0.2 2.3 -0.6 2.9
Pull Airball % 24.0 +1.9 22.1 +4.4 17.7 -0.7 18.4
Topped Contact % 28.7 +2.3 26.4 -2.1 28.5 +3.3 25.2
Under Contact % 31.0 +2.8 28.2 -2.3 30.5 +0.6 29.9
Flare/Burner Contact % 22.5 -4.6 27.1 +5.2 21.9 -2.5 24.4
Solid Contact % 7.0 +1.3 5.7 -0.9 6.6 -0.2 6.8
HR/FB % 18.9 -4.7 23.6 +10.5 13.1 -2.7 15.8
Popups 18 -8 26 -9 35 +6 29
Flyballs 90 +18 72 -88 160 +46 114
Line Drives 53 -19 72 -31 103 -6 109
Groundballs 97 -13 110 -77 187 +54 133
Plate Discipline
In Zone % 49.2 -3.2 52.4 +1.3 51.1 -2.6 53.7
Out of Zone % 50.8 +3.2 47.6 -1.3 48.9 +2.6 46.3
Edge % 44.1 +2.0 42.1 -0.8 42.9 -0.1 43.0
Zone Swing % 73.9 +0.1 73.8 +4.0 69.8 -3.8 73.6
Out of Zone Swing % 36.2 +10.5 25.7 -1.4 27.1 -1.6 28.7
In Zone Contact % 80.5 -0.9 81.4 -1.3 82.7 +1.8 80.9
Out of Zone Contact % 61.7 +3.5 58.2 +1.6 56.6 -3.5 60.1
Whiff % 25.8 +1.6 24.2 -0.2 24.4 +0.1 24.3
First Strike % 64.9 +3.2 61.7 -0.5 62.2 -3.7 65.9
First Pitch Swing % 39.9 +0.6 39.3 +6.9 32.4 -6.1 38.5
Swing % 54.8 +3.9 50.9 +2.0 48.9 -3.9 52.8
Meatball Swing % 85.3 +1.0 84.3 +3.9 80.4 -3.8 84.2
Meatball % 7.0 -0.8 7.8 +0.6 7.2 -1.5 8.7
Zone Swing & Miss % 19.5 +0.9 18.6 +1.3 17.3 -1.8 19.1
Out of Zone Swing & Miss % 38.3 -3.5 41.8 -1.6 43.4 +3.5 39.9
In Zone 721 -88 809 -596 1,405 +279 1,126
Out of Zone 743 +9 734 -610 1,344 +375 969
Edge 646 -4 650 -529 1,179 +279 900
In Zone Swings 533 -64 597 -383 980 +151 829
Out of Zone Swings 269 +80 189 -175 364 +86 278
In Zone Swing & Misses 104 -7 111 -59 170 +12 158
Out of Zone Swing & Misses 103 +24 79 -79 158 +47 111
Basic
Pitches 1,464 -79 1,543 -1,206 2,749 +654 2,095
PA 376 -16 392 -312 704 +167 537
AB 348 0 348 -306 654 +153 501
Hits 77 -16 93 -38 131 +7 124
Singles 45 -8 53 -31 84 +14 70
Doubles 13 -9 22 -3 25 -11 36
Triples 2 +1 1 0 1 +1 0
Home Runs 17 0 17 -4 21 +3 18
Walks 25 -9 34 -11 45 +19 26
Strikeouts 92 +18 74 -97 171 +52 119
K% 24.5 +5.6 18.9 -5.4 24.3 +2.1 22.2
BB% 6.6 -2.1 8.7 +2.3 6.4 +1.6 4.8
HBP 1 -2 3 0 3 -4 7
Batted Balls 258 -22 280 -205 485 +100 385
Fastball Percent 53.2 -5.3 58.5 -3.2 61.7 -4.4 66.1
Offspeed Percent 25.0 +6.3 18.7 +1.6 17.1 +11.5 5.6
Breaking Percent 21.8 -0.9 22.7 +1.4 21.3 -7.0 28.3
Number of Fastballs 779 -124 903 -792 1,695 +310 1,385
Number of Offspeed 366 +77 289 -180 469 +352 117
Number of Breaking 319 -31 350 -235 585 -7 592
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Statcast Fielder Positioning

vs RHHvs LHH
YearAlignment TypePAwOBAPATotal%PATotal%
2023 Shades 537 .309 282 11 3.9 255 177 69.4
2024 Shades 703 .260 323 21 6.5 380 268 70.5
2025 Shades 391 .350 221 24 10.9 170 82 48.2
2026 Shades 375 .299 164 11 6.7 211 93 44.1
! Note: Shifts are through the 2022 season, Shaded starting from the 2023 season, Shift: three or more infielders are on the same side of second base, Shade: positioned outside of their typical responsible slices of the field.
Learn more about how positioning is defined here

Pitch Tempo

Bases EmptyRunners On Base
SeasonTeamPitchesTempoFast %Slow %PitchesTempoFast %Slow %
2023 579 16.6 23.1% 0.2% 269 20.6 0.0% 0.0%
2024 874 18.1 2.6% 0.5% 321 20.0 0.0% 0.9%
2025 393 18.1 5.1% 0.3% 245 20.4 0.0% 0.8%
2026 385 18.9 1.0% 1.6% 122 20.8 0.0% 2.5%

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Pitch Distribution