Ryne Nelson
P | Bats/Throws: R/R | 6' 3" 184LBS | Age: 26
Draft: 2019 | Rd: 2, #56, Arizona Diamondbacks | Oregon
W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2022 1 1 1.47 3 3 0 18.1 16 0.82
2023 8 8 5.31 29 27 0 144 96 1.42
2024 6 6 4.98 17 15 0 86.2 59 1.42
3 Seasons 15 15 4.92 49 45 0 249 171 1.38
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2022 3 1-1 1.47 18.1 16 0.82
2023 29 8-8 5.31 144 96 1.42
2024 17 6-6 4.98 86.2 59 1.42
3 Seasons 49 15-15 4.92 249 171 1.38
MLB Percentile Rankings
Pitch Distribution

Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls
Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity
Max EV Launch
Angle
LA Sweet-
Spot %
XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2022 24 253 47 3 6.4 4.3 89.6 109.4 25.8 27.7 .174 .295 .224 .234 .265 36.2 23.2 8.7 1.47 2.24
2023 25 2355 475 55 11.6 8.9 90.8 113.2 16.2 37.1 .269 .488 .357 .349 .386 42.7 15.5 7.4 5.31 5.27
2024 26 1408 296 26 8.8 6.9 90.1 112.1 13.0 35.5 .287 .457 .348 .335 .377 40.2 15.6 5.3 4.99 4.60
Player 4016 818 84 10.3 7.9 90.5 113.2 15.6 35.9 .269 .464 .346 .337 .375 41.4 16.0 6.8
MLB 7.0 4.8 88.5 122.4 12.3 33.1 .245 .406 .316 .315 .369 36.4 22.2 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Nelson relies on 6 pitches.
Four Seamer
(52.1%) ,
Cutter
(21.4%) ,
Changeup
(9.5%) ,
Slider
(7.1%) ,
Curveball
(6.7%) ,
Sweeper
(3.1%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

Season GB % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2022 25.5 44.7 17.0 12.8 31.9 36.2 31.9 2.1 19.1 46.8 14.9 10.6 6.4 4.3
2023 37.5 31.2 22.9 8.4 37.7 38.3 24.0 3.4 26.3 30.9 22.1 5.5 11.6 8.9
2024 42.6 23.3 27.0 7.1 36.1 37.2 26.7 3.0 31.4 24.7 26.0 6.1 8.8 6.9
Player 38.6 29.1 24.1 8.2 36.8 37.8 25.4 3.2 27.8 29.6 23.1 6.0 10.3 7.9
MLB 44.5 23.6 24.8 7.0 37.1 37.5 25.3 3.9 32.7 24.8 24.4 5.8 7.0 4.8
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement


How this works: Every pitch is affected by the forces of gravity, which means that every pitch drops on its way from the mound to the plate. These numbers are reported with gravity, which makes them larger and different than other pitch movement numbers you may have seen. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren’t ‘better’ just because they have more time to move, the movement of a pitch is compared to ‘average’ movement by comparing it to other MLB pitch types within +/- 2 MPH and from within +/- 0.5 feet of extension and release.
Vertical Movement (inches) Horizontal Movement (inches)
Year Pitch Team Hand # MPH Inches of Drop vs Avg % vs Avg Inches of Break vs Avg % Break vs Avg
2024 Cutter AZ R 301 91.4 23.7 0.0 0 0.4 -2.2 -85
2024 Changeup AZ R 134 83.5 29.6 -3.1 -10 14.9 0.9 7
2024 Sweeper AZ R 44 82.3 40.3 1.4 4 11.5 -2.3 -16
2024 Curveball AZ R 95 77.6 53.5 -2.3 -4 7.9 -1.3 -14
2024 4-Seam Fastball AZ R 734 95.0 12.3 1.8 13 5.9 -1.2 -17
2024 Slider AZ R 100 85.6 37.5 1.9 5 5.2 0.1 2
2023 Changeup AZ R 313 83.3 30.9 -2.2 -7 13.9 -0.1 -1
2023 Cutter AZ R 318 85.6 35.8 -5.2 -17 4.3 1.0 30
2023 Sweeper AZ R 71 81.8 42.4 2.5 6 14.2 -0.1 -1
2023 Curveball AZ R 122 76.3 58.3 -0.4 -1 6.5 -3.0 -31
2023 4-Seam Fastball AZ R 1,285 94.4 12.6 2.0 13 4.1 -2.7 -40
2023 Slider AZ R 246 81.7 42.1 1.8 4 12.2 4.7 62
2022 Curveball AZ R 33 76.9 58.3 0.8 1 4.9 -4.4 -47
2022 Slider AZ R 26 82.3 42.3 2.7 7 13.5 6.2 84
2022 Changeup AZ R 16 81.8 29.6 -4.2 -12 14.0 -0.3 -2
2022 4-Seam Fastball AZ R 176 94.8 10.9 3.1 22 3.6 -3.4 -49
2022 Cutter AZ R 2 84.9 32.4 -2.0 -7 8.1 4.8 143
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2024 4-Seam Fastball 0.0 0 734 52.1 183 .280 .445 .349 20.8 23.5 17.4 .258 .411 .320 48.8
2024 Cutter -0.4 -1 301 21.4 86 .337 .518 .381 12.7 7.0 10.2 .326 .460 .348 34.6
2024 Changeup -3.5 -5 134 9.5 38 .351 .703 .450 20.3 7.9 6.5 .351 .628 .422 41.2
2024 Slider 0.2 0 100 7.1 27 .231 .423 .267 17.0 7.4 5.0 .249 .396 .267 20.0
2024 Curveball 1.9 2 95 6.7 27 .160 .240 .185 11.6 7.4 10.0 .261 .483 .318 25.0
2024 Sweeper -3.5 -2 44 3.1 15 .400 .733 .477 16.7 20.0 13.0 .340 .581 .387 58.3
2023 4-Seam Fastball -0.6 -7 1,285 54.6 354 .308 .553 .388 16.7 14.4 13.1 .295 .554 .385 47.4
2023 Cutter -1.9 -6 318 13.5 97 .326 .539 .407 21.8 15.5 14.7 .279 .481 .354 43.2
2023 Changeup -0.8 -3 313 13.3 68 .203 .407 .296 31.2 19.1 16.3 .214 .349 .278 34.7
2023 Slider 0.5 1 246 10.4 59 .179 .304 .218 26.9 16.9 10.3 .177 .240 .212 29.8
2023 Curveball -2.2 -3 122 5.2 16 .429 .714 .469 18.2 6.3 4.8 .323 .681 .444 50.0
2023 Sweeper -3.1 -2 71 3.0 24 .174 .565 .346 25.7 25.0 19.4 .201 .445 .317 17.6
2022 4-Seam Fastball 2.7 5 176 69.6 49 .111 .311 .215 19.8 22.4 25.6 .165 .315 .245 41.2
2022 Curveball 0.7 0 33 13.0 8 .286 .429 .269 25.0 25.0 50.0 .193 .211 .158 0.0
2022 Slider -1.3 0 26 10.3 7 .333 .333 .357 45.5 28.6 20.0 .262 .327 .321 0.0
2022 Changeup 3.2 1 16 6.3 4 .000 .000 .000 40.0 25.0 16.7 .107 .171 .116 100.0
2022 Cutter -2.6 0 2 0.8 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: To better align with other values, positive numbers (red) are good, and negative numbers (blue) are poor.
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Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2024 Changeup 134 83.5 99 17.9 2:00 2:00 0
2024 Curveball 95 77.6 66 13.4 7:30 7:15 15
2024 Cutter 301 91.4 66 8.4 12:15 11:45 30
2024 4-Seam Fastball 733 95.0 97 18.6 12:45 12:45 0
2024 Slider 100 85.6 34 6.2 9:30 8:30 60
2024 Sweeper 44 82.3 51 12.4 8:00 8:45 -45
2023 Changeup 312 83.3 99 16.3 2:00 2:15 -15
2023 Curveball 120 76.4 72 15.5 7:00 6:45 15
2023 Cutter 316 85.7 30 5.0 9:45 9:00 45
2023 4-Seam Fastball 1,272 94.4 96 18.2 12:30 12:30 0
2023 Slider 245 81.7 50 13.8 8:00 8:30 -30
2023 Sweeper 69 81.8 51 15.6 7:45 8:30 -45
2022 Changeup 16 81.8 99 17.9 2:00 1:45 15
2022 Curveball 33 76.9 74 15.5 6:45 6:45 0
2022 4-Seam Fastball 176 94.8 98 19.6 12:30 12:15 15
2022 Slider 26 82.3 48 15.0 7:45 8:30 -45
! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Swing/Take

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2022 68 253 4 3 -1 -1 5
2023 648 2,467 -5 6 -15 -8 -23
2024 376 1,408 4 5 -10 -5 -5
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2022 253 54.2 62.0 82.4 21.6 56.0 46.6 53.6 43.5 23.6 9.1 69.6
2023 2,355 54.4 70.4 84.6 25.1 62.6 43.3 62.2 49.8 20.3 8.0 83.1
2024 1,408 53.7 72.8 85.3 28.2 71.7 43.4 66.7 52.1 18.0 8.4 84.7
Player 4,016 54.1 70.7 84.7 26.0 65.8 43.6 63.2 50.2 19.6 8.2 82.7
MLB 48.6 67.0 82.0 28.4 57.9 42.6 61.0 47.2 24.8 7.3 76.2
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA /
xERA
xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV Hard
Hit%
K% BB% Whiff% Chase
Rate
FB
Velo
FB
Spin
CB
Spin
Extension
2022 66 42 77
2023 15 19 8 6 41 2 4 8 22 6 65 9 11 56 43 52 70
2024 25 6 15 35 35 8 30 20 37 6 87 4 49 66 42 51 83
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Expected Home Runs

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %

Expected Home Runs by Park

Year HR

Year to Year Changes

Metric 2022 2023 +/-   2024 +/-  
Fastball Velocity 94.7 92.6 -2.1 93.9 1.3
Offspeed Velocity 81.8 83.3 1.5 83.5 0.2
Breaking Velocity 79.3 80.2 0.9 81.8 1.6
Exit Velocity 89.6 90.8 1.2 90.1 -0.7
Launch Angle 25.8 16.2 -9.6 13.0 -3.2
Barrel % 6.4 11.6 5.2 8.8 -2.8
Hard Hit % 36.2 42.7 6.5 40.2 -2.5
LA Sweet-Spot % 27.7 37.1 9.4 35.5 -1.6
xBA .174 .269 0.095 .287 0.018
BA .145 .284 0.139 .294 0.010
xwOBA .234 .349 0.115 .335 -0.014
wOBA .224 .357 0.133 .348 -0.009
xSLG .295 .488 0.193 .457 -0.031
SLG .306 .515 0.209 .486 -0.029
K% 23.2 15.5 -7.7 15.6 0.1
BB% 8.7 7.4 -1.3 5.3 -2.1
Swing % 43.5 49.8 6.3 52.1 2.3
Whiff% 23.6 20.3 -3.3 18.0 -2.3
In Zone % 54.2 54.4 0.2 53.7 -0.7
Out of Zone % 45.8 45.6 -0.2 46.3 0.7
Out of Zone Swing % 21.6 25.1 3.5 28.2 3.1
First Pitch Swing % 23.2 33.1 9.9 36.0 2.9
First Pitch Strike % 53.6 62.2 8.6 66.7 4.5
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Statcast Fielder Positioning

vs RHHvs LHH
YearAlignment TypePAwOBAPATotal%PATotal%
2022 Shifts 68 .224 35 4 11.4 33 24 72.7
2023 Shades 617 .356 314 1 0.3 303 172 56.8
2024 Shades 376 .348 190 0 0.0 186 64 34.4
! Note: Shifts are through the 2022 season, Shaded starting from the 2023 season, Shift: three or more infielders are on the same side of second base, Shade: positioned outside of their typical responsible slices of the field.
Learn more about how positioning is defined here

Pitch Tempo

Bases EmptyRunners On Base
SeasonTeamPitchesTempoFast %Slow %PitchesTempoFast %Slow %
2022 92 17.3 14.1% 1.1% 31 21.6 0.0% 3.2%
2023 632 15.0 50.6% 0.3% 388 19.0 1.0% 0.5%
2024 359 15.1 47.9% 0.3% 234 18.3 2.1% 0.9%
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Pitch Distribution