Ryne Nelson
P | Bats/Throws: R/R | 6' 3" 184LBS | Age: 26
Draft: 2019 | Rd: 2, #56, Arizona Diamondbacks | Oregon
W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2022 1 1 1.47 3 3 0 18.1 16 0.82
2023 8 8 5.31 29 27 0 144 96 1.42
2024 10 6 4.24 28 25 1 150.2 126 1.25
3 Seasons 19 15 4.57 60 55 1 313 238 1.31
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2022 3 1-1 1.47 18.1 16 0.82
2023 29 8-8 5.31 144 96 1.42
2024 28 10-6 4.24 150.2 126 1.25
3 Seasons 60 19-15 4.57 313 238 1.31
MLB Percentile Rankings
Movement Profile (Induced Break)
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Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls
Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity
Max EV Launch
Angle
LA Sweet-
Spot %
XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2022 24 253 47 3 6.4 4.3 89.6 109.4 25.8 27.7 .174 .295 .224 .234 .265 36.2 23.2 8.7 1.47 2.24
2023 25 2355 475 55 11.6 8.9 90.8 113.2 16.2 37.1 .269 .488 .357 .349 .386 42.7 15.5 7.4 5.31 5.27
2024 26 2406 464 35 7.5 5.6 90.1 112.1 12.0 34.5 .267 .413 .322 .315 .370 41.6 20.0 5.4 4.24 4.17
Player 5014 986 93 9.4 7.1 90.4 113.2 14.7 35.4 .263 .442 .334 .327 .373 41.9 18.1 6.5
MLB 7.0 4.8 88.5 122.4 12.3 33.2 .245 .405 .316 .315 .368 36.5 22.2 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Nelson relies on 6 pitches.
Four Seamer
(55.7%) ,
Cutter
(18.4%) ,
Changeup
(9.9%) ,
Slider
(8.5%) ,
Curveball
(5.7%) ,
Sweeper
(1.8%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

Season GB % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2022 25.5 44.7 17.0 12.8 31.9 36.2 31.9 2.1 19.1 46.8 14.9 10.6 6.4 4.3
2023 37.5 31.2 22.9 8.4 37.7 38.3 24.0 3.4 26.3 30.9 22.1 5.5 11.6 8.9
2024 42.5 24.1 27.6 5.8 36.9 34.7 28.4 2.6 32.5 25.2 26.3 5.8 7.5 5.6
Player 39.2 28.5 24.8 7.4 37.0 36.5 26.5 2.9 28.9 29.0 23.7 5.9 9.4 7.1
MLB 44.4 23.8 24.7 7.1 37.2 37.5 25.2 3.9 32.6 24.8 24.4 5.9 7.0 4.8
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement


How this works: This section shows two different ways to evaluate pitch movement. On the left, “Total Movement” shows the real-world movement of a pitch, including the forces of gravity, which affects every pitch thrown. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren't 'better' just because they have more time to move, a pitch's movement is compared to other pitches of the same pitch type, within +/- 2 MPH and +/- 0.5 feet of extension/release. On the right, Induced Movement (or IVB) is reported without gravity, and attempts to isolate movement created by the pitcher's ability to spin and manipulate the ball.
Total Movement (in inches, w/ gravity)Induced Movement (in inches, w/o gravity)
YearPitchTeamHand#MPHVertical
Drop
vs.
Comparable
Horizontal
Break
vs.
Comparable
Vertical
Break
vs. AvgHorizontal
Break
vs. Avg
2024 Changeup AZ R 238 83.0 29.8 -3.1 15.2ARM 1.3 10.1 -5.2 15.2ARM 1.0
2024 Sweeper AZ R 44 82.3 40.3 1.3 11.5GLV -2.3 0.1 1.5 11.5GLV -2.8
2024 Curveball AZ R 137 77.8 53.2 -2.5 9.2GLV 0.2 -7.8 -2.1 9.2GLV -0.2
2024 Slider AZ R 204 84.2 40.3 2.9 5.5GLV 0.2 -1.8 3.4 5.5GLV 0.4
2024 4-Seam Fastball AZ R 1341 95.2 11.9 2.0 5.7ARM -1.2 18.3 2.5 5.7ARM -1.8
2024 Cutter AZ R 442 91.2 24.4 -0.3 1.2GLV -1.4 8.4 0.1 1.2GLV -1.5
2023 Slider AZ R 246 81.7 42.1 1.8 12.2GLV 4.8 -0.9 2.4 12.2GLV 6.9
2023 Curveball AZ R 122 76.3 58.3 -0.3 6.5GLV -3.0 -11.2 1.3 6.5GLV -2.4
2023 Changeup AZ R 313 83.3 30.9 -2.2 13.9ARM -0.1 8.5 -3.1 13.9ARM -0.5
2023 Cutter AZ R 318 85.6 35.8 -4.8 4.3GLV 0.6 1.2 -6.7 4.3GLV 1.7
2023 Sweeper AZ R 71 81.8 42.4 2.5 14.2GLV -0.1 -1.4 2.9 14.2GLV 0.1
2023 4-Seam Fastball AZ R 1285 94.4 12.6 2.0 4.1ARM -2.7 18.1 2.3 4.1ARM -3.3
! Note: Years are in reverse order.

Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2024 4-Seam Fastball 0.5 7 1,341 55.7 328 .249 .418 .320 19.5 28.0 19.8 .249 .389 .308 51.9
2024 Cutter -0.4 -2 442 18.4 131 .317 .508 .363 15.4 10.7 13.6 .307 .437 .335 35.1
2024 Changeup -1.8 -4 238 9.9 66 .302 .587 .389 20.3 10.6 9.2 .287 .495 .352 35.7
2024 Slider 0.9 2 204 8.5 56 .226 .340 .256 15.6 12.5 8.5 .245 .354 .271 25.5
2024 Curveball 1.6 2 137 5.7 32 .138 .207 .178 14.8 9.4 10.0 .233 .421 .295 22.2
2024 Sweeper -3.6 -2 44 1.8 15 .400 .733 .477 16.7 20.0 13.0 .332 .547 .373 58.3
2023 4-Seam Fastball -0.6 -7 1,285 54.6 354 .308 .553 .388 16.7 14.4 13.1 .295 .554 .385 47.4
2023 Cutter -1.9 -6 318 13.5 97 .326 .539 .407 21.8 15.5 14.7 .279 .481 .354 43.2
2023 Changeup -0.8 -3 313 13.3 68 .203 .407 .296 31.2 19.1 16.3 .214 .349 .278 34.7
2023 Slider 0.5 1 246 10.4 59 .179 .304 .218 26.9 16.9 10.3 .177 .240 .212 29.8
2023 Curveball -2.2 -3 122 5.2 16 .429 .714 .469 18.2 6.3 4.8 .323 .681 .444 50.0
2023 Sweeper -3.1 -2 71 3.0 24 .174 .565 .346 25.7 25.0 19.4 .201 .445 .317 17.6
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: To better align with other values, positive numbers (red) are good, and negative numbers (blue) are poor.

Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2024 Changeup 238 83.0 99 18.3 2:00 2:00 0
2024 Curveball 137 77.8 67 14.4 7:15 7:30 -15
2024 Cutter 442 91.2 63 8.1 12:00 11:45 15
2024 4-Seam Fastball 1,340 95.2 98 18.8 12:45 12:30 15
2024 Slider 204 84.2 38 7.3 8:45 8:00 45
2024 Sweeper 44 82.3 51 12.4 8:00 8:45 -45
2023 Changeup 312 83.3 99 16.3 2:00 2:15 -15
2023 Curveball 120 76.4 72 15.5 7:00 6:45 15
2023 Cutter 316 85.7 30 5.0 9:45 9:00 45
2023 4-Seam Fastball 1,272 94.4 96 18.2 12:30 12:30 0
2023 Slider 245 81.7 50 13.8 8:00 8:30 -30
2023 Sweeper 69 81.8 51 15.6 7:45 8:30 -45
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Pitcher Arm Angle

! Note: Data is available from 2020 through the present.
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Statcast Pitching Run Value

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2022 68 253 4 3 -1 -1 5
2023 648 2,467 -5 6 -15 -8 -23
2024 628 2,406 9 16 -14 -7 3
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2022 253 54.2 62.0 82.4 21.6 56.0 46.6 53.6 43.5 23.6 9.1 69.6
2023 2,355 54.4 70.4 84.6 25.1 62.6 43.3 62.2 49.8 20.3 8.0 83.1
2024 2,406 54.0 71.1 85.5 29.3 70.7 44.8 67.3 51.8 18.2 8.2 83.8
Player 5,014 54.2 70.3 84.9 26.9 66.6 44.2 64.2 50.4 19.4 8.2 82.7
MLB 48.7 67.0 82.0 28.5 57.8 42.6 61.0 47.2 25.0 7.3 76.3
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA /
xERA
xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV Hard
Hit%
K% BB% Whiff% Chase
Rate
FB
Velo
FB
Spin
CB
Spin
Extension
2022 66 42 77
2023 15 19 8 6 41 2 4 8 22 6 65 9 11 56 43 53 70
2024 41 13 29 55 48 18 54 18 25 26 89 4 56 69 41 38 81
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Expected Home Runs

Adjusted

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2022 26.8 2 2.1 0 2 3 0 0.0
2023 23.8 25 25.3 0 10 22 8 32.0
2024 22.8 17 15.9 1 9 14 5 29.4
Player 23.5 44 43.3 1 21 39 13 29.5
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's home runs allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Expected Home Runs by Park

Adjusted

Year HR
2022 2 2 1 2 2 1 3 1 2 1 1 2 2 2 3 4 2 1 3 2 1 3 3 3 1 2 2 3 3 2 2
2023 25 21 19 26 24 24 27 25 21 21 21 24 27 26 30 29 31 27 30 28 26 23 35 32 24 21 26 21 30 23 17
2024 17 14 12 22 16 17 18 17 15 11 15 18 15 10 17 16 14 15 17 18 17 14 24 19 14 14 15 17 16 17 14
Player 44 37 32 50 42 42 48 43 38 33 37 44 44 38 50 49 47 43 50 48 44 40 62 54 39 37 43 41 49 42 33
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's home runs allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Year to Year Changes

Metric 2022 2023 +/-   2024 +/-  
Fastball Velocity 94.7 92.6 -2.1 94.2 1.6
Offspeed Velocity 81.8 83.3 1.5 83.0 -0.3
Breaking Velocity 79.3 80.2 0.9 81.7 1.5
Exit Velocity 89.6 90.8 1.2 90.1 -0.7
Launch Angle 25.8 16.2 -9.6 12.0 -4.2
Barrel % 6.4 11.6 5.2 7.5 -4.1
Hard Hit % 36.2 42.7 6.5 41.6 -1.1
LA Sweet-Spot % 27.7 37.1 9.4 34.5 -2.6
xBA .174 .269 0.095 .267 -0.002
BA .145 .284 0.139 .266 -0.018
xwOBA .234 .349 0.115 .315 -0.034
wOBA .224 .357 0.133 .322 -0.035
xSLG .295 .488 0.193 .413 -0.075
SLG .306 .515 0.209 .446 -0.069
K% 23.2 15.5 -7.7 20.0 4.5
BB% 8.7 7.4 -1.3 5.4 -2.0
Swing % 43.5 49.8 6.3 51.8 2.0
Whiff% 23.6 20.3 -3.3 18.2 -2.1
In Zone % 54.2 54.4 0.2 54.0 -0.4
Out of Zone % 45.8 45.6 -0.2 46.0 0.4
Out of Zone Swing % 21.6 25.1 3.5 29.3 4.2
First Pitch Swing % 23.2 33.1 9.9 35.6 2.5
First Pitch Strike % 53.6 62.2 8.6 67.3 5.1
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Statcast Fielder Positioning

vs RHHvs LHH
YearAlignment TypePAwOBAPATotal%PATotal%
2022 Shifts 68 .224 35 4 11.4 33 19 57.6
2023 Shades 617 .356 314 1 0.3 303 172 56.8
2024 Shades 628 .322 316 2 0.6 312 132 42.3
! Note: Shifts are through the 2022 season, Shaded starting from the 2023 season, Shift: three or more infielders are on the same side of second base, Shade: positioned outside of their typical responsible slices of the field.
Learn more about how positioning is defined here

Pitch Tempo

Bases EmptyRunners On Base
SeasonTeamPitchesTempoFast %Slow %PitchesTempoFast %Slow %
2022 92 17.3 14.1% 1.1% 31 21.6 0.0% 3.2%
2023 632 15.0 50.6% 0.3% 388 19.0 1.0% 0.5%
2024 643 15.6 40.4% 0.3% 367 18.3 3.8% 0.5%

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Pitch Distribution