Ryne Nelson
P | Bats/Throws: R/R | 6' 3" 184LBS | Age: 26
Draft: 2019 | Rd: 2, #56, Arizona Diamondbacks | Oregon
W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2022 1 1 1.47 3 3 0 18.1 16 0.82
2023 8 8 5.31 29 27 0 144 96 1.42
2024 1 2 5.27 3 3 0 13.2 13 1.61
3 Seasons 10 11 4.91 35 33 0 176 125 1.38
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2022 3 1-1 1.47 18.1 16 0.82
2023 29 8-8 5.31 144 96 1.42
2024 3 1-2 5.27 13.2 13 1.61
3 Seasons 35 10-11 4.91 176 125 1.38
MLB Percentile Rankings
Pitch Distribution

Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls
Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity
Max EV Launch
Angle
Sweet
Spot %
XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2022 24 253 47 3 6.4 4.3 89.6 109.4 25.8 27.7 .174 .295 .224 .234 .265 36.2 23.2 8.7 1.47 2.24
2023 25 2355 475 55 11.6 8.9 90.8 113.2 16.2 37.1 .269 .488 .357 .349 .386 42.7 15.5 7.4 5.31 5.27
2024 26 255 46 3 6.5 4.7 90.9 112.0 12.8 34.8 .258 .462 .355 .321 .378 43.5 20.3 7.8 5.27 4.11
Player 2863 568 61 10.7 8.1 90.7 113.2 16.7 36.1 .259 .468 .345 .336 .375 42.3 16.6 7.6
MLB 6.9 4.7 88.4 122.4 12.2 33.1 .245 .406 .316 .315 .369 36.3 22.2 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Nelson relies on 5 pitches.
Four Seamer
(51.4%) ,
Cutter
(20.8%) ,
Slider
(12.9%) ,
Changeup
(12.2%) ,
Curveball
(2.7%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

Season GB % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2022 25.5 44.7 17.0 12.8 31.9 36.2 31.9 2.1 19.1 46.8 14.9 10.6 6.4 4.3
2023 37.5 31.2 22.9 8.4 37.7 38.3 24.0 3.4 26.3 30.9 22.1 5.5 11.6 8.9
2024 41.3 30.4 21.7 6.5 45.7 34.8 19.6 0.0 32.6 30.4 21.7 8.7 6.5 4.7
Player 36.8 32.2 22.4 8.6 37.9 37.9 24.3 3.0 26.2 32.2 21.5 6.2 10.7 8.1
MLB 44.6 23.5 24.8 7.0 37.0 37.5 25.3 3.9 32.8 24.7 24.4 5.8 6.9 4.7
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement


How this works: Every pitch is affected by the forces of gravity, which means that every pitch drops on its way from the mound to the plate. These numbers are reported with gravity, which makes them larger and different than other pitch movement numbers you may have seen. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren’t ‘better’ just because they have more time to move, the movement of a pitch is compared to ‘average’ movement by comparing it to other MLB pitch types within +/- 2 MPH and from within +/- 0.5 feet of extension and release.
Vertical Movement (inches) Horizontal Movement (inches)
Year Pitch Team Hand # MPH Inches of Drop vs Avg % vs Avg Inches of Break vs Avg % Break vs Avg
2024 Slider AZ R 33 82.6 40.3 1.4 4 8.5 1.4 19
2024 Cutter AZ R 53 91.4 24.0 -1.2 -5 1.6 -1.1 -41
2024 Changeup AZ R 31 84.8 29.1 -3.3 -10 14.8 0.3 2
2024 4-Seam Fastball AZ R 131 95.3 11.1 2.4 17 4.3 -2.9 -41
2024 Curveball AZ R 7 76.3 57.4 -0.1 0 7.7 -2.4 -24
2023 Slider AZ R 317 81.7 42.1 1.9 5 12.7 4.9 63
2023 Curveball AZ R 123 76.4 58.2 -0.4 -1 6.5 -2.9 -31
2023 4-Seam Fastball AZ R 1,285 94.4 12.6 2.0 13 4.1 -2.7 -40
2023 Cutter AZ R 317 85.7 35.8 -5.2 -17 4.3 1.0 30
2023 Changeup AZ R 313 83.3 30.9 -2.2 -7 13.9 -0.1 -1
2022 Curveball AZ R 33 76.9 58.3 0.8 1 4.9 -4.4 -47
2022 Changeup AZ R 16 81.8 29.6 -4.2 -13 14.0 -0.3 -2
2022 4-Seam Fastball AZ R 176 94.8 10.9 3.1 22 3.6 -3.4 -49
2022 Cutter AZ R 2 84.9 32.4 -2.0 -7 8.1 4.8 143
2022 Slider AZ R 26 82.3 42.3 2.7 7 13.5 6.0 81
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2024 4-Seam Fastball 1.3 2 131 51.4 25 .273 .409 .344 26.6 40.0 18.9 .219 .395 .313 50.0
2024 Cutter 0.6 0 53 20.8 14 .286 .429 .371 16.1 7.1 9.1 .237 .301 .231 30.8
2024 Slider -1.9 -1 33 12.9 11 .300 .500 .309 25.0 18.2 14.3 .189 .319 .197 44.4
2024 Changeup -6.5 -2 31 12.2 10 .333 .778 .485 17.6 0.0 0.0 .327 .710 .464 55.6
2024 Curveball -0.1 0 7 2.7 3 .500 .500 .300 0.0 0.0 0.0 .851 1.923 .778 33.3
2023 4-Seam Fastball -0.6 -7 1,285 54.6 354 .308 .553 .388 16.7 14.4 13.1 .295 .554 .385 47.4
2023 Slider -0.3 -1 317 13.5 83 .177 .380 .255 26.6 19.3 12.5 .184 .300 .242 26.6
2023 Cutter -2.0 -6 317 13.5 97 .326 .539 .407 21.8 15.5 14.7 .279 .481 .354 43.2
2023 Changeup -0.8 -3 313 13.3 68 .203 .407 .296 31.2 19.1 16.3 .215 .349 .278 34.7
2023 Curveball -2.2 -3 123 5.2 16 .429 .714 .469 18.2 6.3 4.8 .323 .681 .444 50.0
2022 4-Seam Fastball 2.7 5 176 69.6 49 .111 .311 .215 19.8 22.4 25.6 .165 .315 .245 41.2
2022 Curveball 0.7 0 33 13.0 8 .286 .429 .269 25.0 25.0 50.0 .193 .211 .158 0.0
2022 Slider -1.3 0 26 10.3 7 .333 .333 .357 45.5 28.6 20.0 .262 .328 .321 0.0
2022 Changeup 3.2 1 16 6.3 4 .000 .000 .000 40.0 25.0 16.7 .107 .171 .116 100.0
2022 Cutter -2.6 0 2 0.8 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: To better align with other values, positive numbers (red) are good, and negative numbers (blue) are poor.
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Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2024 Changeup 31 84.8 100 17.4 2:00 2:15 -15
2024 Cutter 53 91.4 62 8.3 12:00 11:30 30
2024 4-Seam Fastball 131 95.3 97 19.1 12:30 12:30 0
2024 Slider 33 82.6 47 9.5 8:15 8:30 -15
2023 Changeup 312 83.3 99 16.3 2:00 2:15 -15
2023 Curveball 121 76.4 72 15.6 7:00 6:45 15
2023 Cutter 315 85.7 30 5.0 9:45 9:00 45
2023 4-Seam Fastball 1,272 94.4 96 18.2 12:30 12:30 0
2023 Slider 314 81.7 50 14.2 7:45 8:30 -45
2022 Changeup 16 81.8 99 17.9 2:00 1:45 15
2022 Curveball 33 76.9 74 15.5 6:45 6:45 0
2022 4-Seam Fastball 176 94.8 98 19.6 12:30 12:15 15
2022 Slider 26 82.3 48 15.0 7:45 8:30 -45
! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Swing/Take

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2022 68 253 4 3 -1 -1 5
2023 648 2,467 -5 6 -15 -8 -23
2024 63 255 3 -1 -2 0 -1
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2022 253 54.2 62.0 82.4 21.6 56.0 46.6 53.6 43.5 23.6 9.1 69.6
2023 2,355 54.4 70.4 84.6 25.1 62.6 43.3 62.2 49.8 20.3 8.0 83.1
2024 255 49.8 72.4 80.4 34.4 72.7 43.9 70.3 53.3 22.1 6.3 87.5
Player 2,863 53.9 69.8 84.1 25.7 63.4 43.7 62.1 49.5 20.7 8.0 82.0
MLB 48.6 66.9 82.0 28.4 58.0 42.6 60.9 47.1 24.8 7.3 76.1
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA /
xERA
xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV Hard
Hit%
K% BB% Whiff% Chase
Rate
FB
Velo
FB
Spin
CB
Spin
Extension
2022 66 42 78
2023 15 19 8 6 41 2 4 8 22 6 65 9 11 56 43 52 69
2024 46 38 24 21 61 26 53 19 28 39 60 33 87 72 62 87
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Expected Home Runs

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2022 26.8 2 2.1 0 2 3 0 0.0
2023 23.8 25 27.2 -2 8 22 10 40.0
2024 24.9 2 2.0 0 1 1 1 50.0
Player 24.1 29 31.2 -2 11 26 11 37.9

Expected Home Runs by Park

Year HR
2022 2 2 1 2 2 1 3 1 2 1 1 2 2 2 3 4 2 1 3 2 1 3 3 3 1 2 2 3 3 2 2
2023 25 24 20 28 26 26 29 28 22 24 23 26 30 26 32 32 33 27 32 31 28 24 37 33 26 22 28 24 33 23 18
2024 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 1
Player 29 28 23 32 30 29 34 32 26 27 26 30 34 30 37 38 37 30 37 35 31 29 42 38 29 26 32 29 38 27 21
! Note: This tells how many of this player's home runs would have been out of other stadiums. This accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects. For these purposes, the 2020 Blue Jays home field was still Rogers Centre, not Sahlen Field.
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Year to Year Changes

Metric 2022 2023 +/-   2024 +/-  
Fastball Velocity 94.7 92.6 -2.1 94.2 1.6
Offspeed Velocity 81.8 83.3 1.5 84.8 1.5
Breaking Velocity 79.3 80.2 0.9 81.5 1.3
Exit Velocity 89.6 90.8 1.2 90.9 0.1
Launch Angle 25.8 16.2 -9.6 12.8 -3.4
Barrel % 6.4 11.6 5.2 6.5 -5.1
Hard Hit % 36.2 42.7 6.5 43.5 0.8
Sweet Spot % 27.7 37.1 9.4 34.8 -2.3
xBA .174 .269 0.095 .258 -0.011
BA .145 .284 0.139 .298 0.014
xwOBA .234 .349 0.115 .321 -0.028
wOBA .224 .357 0.133 .355 -0.002
xSLG .295 .488 0.193 .462 -0.026
SLG .306 .515 0.209 .491 -0.024
K% 23.2 15.5 -7.7 20.3 4.8
BB% 8.7 7.4 -1.3 7.8 0.4
Swing % 43.5 49.8 6.3 53.3 3.5
Whiff% 23.6 20.3 -3.3 22.1 1.8
In Zone % 54.2 54.4 0.2 49.8 -4.6
Out of Zone % 45.8 45.6 -0.2 50.2 4.6
Out of Zone Swing % 21.6 25.1 3.5 34.4 9.3
First Pitch Swing % 23.2 33.1 9.9 43.8 10.7
First Pitch Strike % 53.6 62.2 8.6 70.3 8.1
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Statcast Fielder Positioning

vs RHHvs LHH
YearAlignment TypePAwOBAPATotal%PATotal%
2022 Shifts 68 .224 35 4 11.4 33 24 72.7
2023 Shades 617 .356 314 1 0.3 303 172 56.8
2024 Shades 63 .355 35 0 0.0 28 8 28.6
! Note: Shifts are through the 2022 season, Shaded starting from the 2023 season, Shift: three or more infielders are on the same side of second base, Shade: positioned outside of their typical responsible slices of the field.
Learn more about how positioning is defined here

Pitch Tempo

Bases EmptyRunners On Base
SeasonTeamPitchesTempoFast %Slow %PitchesTempoFast %Slow %
2022 92 17.3 14.1% 1.1% 31 21.6 0.0% 3.2%
2023 632 15.0 50.6% 0.3% 388 19.0 1.0% 0.5%
2024 62 15.0 50.0% 1.6% 37 18.4 0.0% 0.0%
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Pitch Distribution


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