P | Pittsburgh Pirates
Bats/Throws: R/R | 6' 6" 260 lbs | Age: 24
Draft: 2023 | Rd. 1, No. 1, Pittsburgh Pirates | LSU
W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2024 11 3 1.96 23 23 0 133 170 0.95
2025 10 10 1.97 32 32 0 187.2 216 0.95
2026 7 8 3.57 20 20 0 108.1 130 1.02
3 Seasons 28 21 2.37 75 75 0 429 516 0.97
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2024 23 11-3 1.96 133 170 0.95
2025 32 10-10 1.97 187.2 216 0.95
2026 20 7-8 3.57 108.1 130 1.02
3 Seasons 75 28-21 2.37 429 516 0.97
MLB Percentile Rankings
Movement Profile (Induced Break)
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Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls
Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity
Max EV Launch
Angle
LA Sweet-
Spot %
xBA xSLG wOBA xwOBA xwOBAcon HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2024 22 2125 306 16 5.2 3.1 87.8 112.5 8.4 27.8 .191 .302 .247 .250 .333 36.3 33.1 6.2 1.96 2.50
2025 23 2997 469 27 5.8 3.7 87.6 115.8 12.2 29.4 .202 .321 .247 .255 .328 40.1 29.5 5.7 1.97 2.65
2026 24 1728 266 16 6.0 3.8 87.9 111.1 15.8 33.8 .204 .321 .279 .259 .328 37.6 29.3 5.5 3.58 2.74
Player 6850 1041 59 5.7 3.5 87.7 115.8 12.0 30.1 .199 .315 .255 .254 .330 38.3 30.5 5.8
MLB 7.6 4.9 88.6 122.9 12.5 33.3 .243 .407 .316 .316 .369 37.1 22.2 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Skenes relies on 7 pitches.
Four Seamer
(39.1%) ,
Changeup
(15.9%) ,
Sweeper
(15.6%) ,
Split Finger
(11.4%) ,
Sinker
(11.4%) ,
Slider
(6.1%) ,
Curveball
(0.6%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

AIR: Fly Balls + Line Drives + Popups All Batted Balls Batted Ball Breakdown
Season GB % AIR % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Pull GB % Straight GB % Oppo GB % Pull AIR % Straight AIR % Oppo AIR %
2024 52.3 47.7 20.3 20.3 7.2 41.8 35.6 22.5 26.1 19.6 6.5 15.7 16.0 16.0
2025 44.6 55.4 24.9 22.8 7.7 40.9 37.7 21.3 23.2 17.1 4.3 17.7 20.7 17.1
2026 41.7 58.3 23.7 24.8 9.8 38.3 33.5 28.2 22.2 14.3 5.3 16.2 19.2 22.9
Player 46.1 53.9 23.2 22.6 8.1 40.5 36.0 23.4 23.8 17.1 5.2 16.7 18.9 18.3
MLB 44.2 55.8 24.2 24.6 7.1 37.5 37.3 25.1 20.7 17.6 5.8 16.8 19.7 19.2
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Quality of Contact

Season Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2024 4.2 40.5 20.6 22.9 6.2 5.2 3.1
2025 4.7 34.8 25.8 23.2 5.1 5.8 3.7
2026 4.9 27.1 31.6 24.8 5.6 6.0 3.8
Player 4.6 34.5 25.7 23.5 5.6 5.7 3.5
MLB 4.0 32.3 25.0 24.4 5.9 7.6 4.9
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement


How this works: This section shows two different ways to evaluate pitch movement. On the left, “Total Movement” shows the real-world movement of a pitch, including the forces of gravity, which affects every pitch thrown. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren't 'better' just because they have more time to move, a pitch's movement is compared to other pitches of the same pitch type, within +/- 2 MPH and +/- 0.5 feet of extension/release. On the right, Induced Movement (or IVB) is reported without gravity, and attempts to isolate movement created by the pitcher's ability to spin and manipulate the ball.
Total Movement (in inches, w/ gravity)Induced Movement (in inches, w/o gravity)
YearPitchTeamHand#MPHVertical
Drop
vs.
Comparable
Horizontal
Break
vs.
Comparable
Vertical
Break
vs. AvgHorizontal
Break
vs. Avg
2026 Slider PIT R 105 86.7 34.9 0.2 4.1GLV -0.2 1.1 0.3 4.1GLV 0.3
2026 4-Seam Fastball PIT R 675 97.0 16.1 -2.6 12.4ARM 4.5 13.0 -2.8 12.4ARM 4.6
2026 Changeup PIT R 274 88.8 28.2 -3.2 15.4ARM 1.3 6.5 -2.6 15.4ARM 1.0
2026 Split-Finger PIT R 197 93.4 29.9 0.3 13.1ARM -0.2 1.4 1.6 13.1ARM 1.7
2026 Curveball PIT R 10 81.8 48.9 -2.3 10.9GLV 2.0 -7.9 -2.3 10.9GLV 1.7
2026 Sweeper PIT R 270 84.2 33.2 -4.1 10.6GLV -3.1 5.5 -4.5 10.6GLV -3.1
2026 Sinker PIT R 197 96.7 22.0 0.9 17.1ARM 1.6 7.3 0.3 17.1ARM 1.9
2025 Split-Finger PIT R 405 93.7 31.2 1.6 13.4ARM 0.5 0.0 3.1 13.4ARM 2.1
2025 Curveball PIT R 144 83.9 41.3 -7.4 6.1GLV -1.6 -2.6 -7.6 6.1GLV -2.9
2025 Sweeper PIT R 475 84.5 32.8 -4.9 11.4GLV -1.8 5.7 -4.8 11.4GLV -2.5
2025 Slider PIT R 168 85.3 30.2 -5.7 3.3GLV -1.5 7.6 -5.8 3.3GLV -0.9
2025 Changeup PIT R 326 88.7 29.6 -1.5 16.6ARM 2.0 5.4 -1.3 16.6ARM 2.2
2025 Sinker PIT R 312 97.6 22.4 1.3 17.5ARM 2.1 6.4 1.0 17.5ARM 2.4
2025 4-Seam Fastball PIT R 1167 98.2 16.9 -3.8 14.0ARM 5.8 11.6 -4.2 14.0ARM 6.4
! Note: Years are in reverse order.

Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2026 4-Seam Fastball 1.6 11 675 39.1 166 .187 .340 .266 29.4 32.5 25.6 .184 .331 .260 44.9
2026 Changeup -1.5 -4 274 15.9 71 .242 .394 .292 38.4 36.6 18.4 .206 .281 .235 17.1
2026 Sweeper 1.3 4 270 15.6 42 .100 .250 .198 26.9 28.6 17.1 .132 .200 .162 20.7
2026 Sinker 0.1 0 197 11.4 51 .298 .468 .376 8.4 13.7 17.9 .282 .438 .339 52.5
2026 Split-Finger 0.4 1 197 11.4 48 .349 .395 .362 19.8 14.6 21.2 .282 .337 .305 37.8
2026 Slider 0.7 1 105 6.1 41 .189 .351 .296 36.9 41.5 30.4 .165 .320 .253 40.0
2026 Curveball 1.3 0 10 0.6 1 .000 .000 .000 20.0 0.0 0.0 .151 .170 .141 0.0
2025 4-Seam Fastball 1.7 20 1,167 38.9 294 .205 .347 .280 29.6 34.7 26.2 .200 .368 .280 53.3
2025 Sweeper 1.9 9 475 15.8 113 .150 .215 .195 32.9 30.1 20.7 .167 .254 .209 19.2
2025 Split-Finger 0.4 2 405 13.5 101 .269 .366 .326 22.8 12.9 18.6 .264 .373 .309 43.8
2025 Changeup 2.8 9 326 10.9 88 .103 .126 .108 43.9 50.0 21.7 .116 .153 .123 11.6
2025 Sinker 1.8 6 312 10.4 85 .220 .293 .254 16.7 14.1 14.8 .262 .359 .284 48.6
2025 Slider 0.2 0 168 5.6 24 .227 .364 .327 33.8 16.7 10.0 .161 .208 .204 16.7
2025 Curveball -2.7 -4 144 4.8 28 .320 .680 .448 40.8 25.0 16.3 .289 .473 .367 44.4
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: To better align with other values, positive numbers (red) are good, and negative numbers (blue) are poor.

Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2026 Changeup 274 88.8 97 17.0 2:45 2:30 15
2026 Curveball 10 81.8 73 15.3 8:00 7:30 30
2026 4-Seam Fastball 675 97.0 97 17.9 1:45 1:30 15
2026 Split-Finger 185 93.4 90 13.9 2:15 3:00 -45
2026 Sinker 195 96.7 96 19.1 1:45 2:15 -30
2026 Slider 105 86.7 27 4.7 10:00 9:00 60
2026 Sweeper 268 84.2 37 12.4 9:00 9:45 -45
2025 Changeup 325 88.8 98 18.0 2:45 2:30 15
2025 Curveball 143 83.9 43 7.9 9:00 8:00 60
2025 4-Seam Fastball 1,166 98.2 97 18.3 2:00 1:45 15
2025 Split-Finger 367 93.7 90 14.5 2:15 3:15 -60
2025 Sinker 311 97.6 96 19.1 2:00 2:30 -30
2025 Slider 167 85.2 29 7.9 9:30 11:00 -90
2025 Sweeper 473 84.5 37 12.9 9:15 9:45 -30
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Pitcher Arm Angle

! Note: Data is available from 2020 through the present.
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Statcast Pitching Run Value

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2024 514 2,125 11 34 -9 -8 28
2025 733 2,997 19 45 -11 -11 42
2026 420 1,728 11 18 -6 -10 12
Player 1,667 6,850 40 97 -26 40 82
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2024 2,125 50.3 68.6 79.3 30.8 53.4 44.1 61.9 49.8 28.7 6.3 82.7
2025 2,997 50.7 68.2 76.8 30.5 54.1 45.0 60.8 49.6 30.1 7.1 72.9
2026 1,728 46.5 71.9 80.1 33.5 57.1 43.8 61.2 51.3 27.8 6.1 76.2
Player 6,850 49.5 69.2 78.4 31.4 54.7 44.4 61.2 50.1 29.1 6.6 76.5
MLB 48.7 67.0 82.6 28.6 57.9 42.7 61.2 47.3 25.0 7.3 76.2
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Run Value Pitching
Year Pitching Fastball Breaking Off
Speed
xERA Fastball
MPH
Fastball
Spin
Curve
Spin
Avg
EV
Chase% Whiff% K% BB% Barrel% Hard-
Hit%
GB% Extension
2024 98 77 61 100 97 99 49 47 76 73 75 95 78 87 70 89 47
2025 100 99 81 98 97 95 42 27 87 77 83 89 87 86 53 64 74
2026 90 94 87 10 93 86 27 67 79 69 91 92 75 57 45 79
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Expected Home Runs

Adjusted

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2024 22.98 10 10.5 -1 7 10 2 20.0
2025 22.12 11 12.9 -2 12 11 6 54.5
2026 22.52 11 10.8 0 4 8 5 45.5
Player 22.53 32 34.3 -2 23 29 13 40.6
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's batted balls allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Expected Home Runs by Park

Adjusted

Year HR
2024 10 6 8 11 11 11 13 9 10 9 11 15 9 8 12 8 8 9 11 15 11 11 15 13 9 10 10 12 10 10 10
2025 11 13 9 13 14 11 9 16 9 8 10 15 19 23 10 9 17 9 11 15 13 12 20 17 11 8 11 17 18 12 9
2026 11 11 7 11 9 13 10 10 12 9 7 10 9 13 11 12 13 11 10 13 9 14 13 16 9 8 9 11 14 10 11
Player 32 30 24 35 34 35 32 35 31 26 28 40 37 44 33 29 38 29 32 43 33 37 48 46 29 26 30 40 42 32 30
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's batted balls allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Year to Year Changes

2026 +/-   2025 +/-   2024
Results
BA .219 +.020 .199 +.001 .198
xBA .204 +.002 .202 +.011 .191
OBP .273 +.022 .251 -.006 .257
xOBP .260 +.005 .255 +.004 .251
SLG .362 +.055 .307 +.012 .295
xSLG .321 .000 .321 +.019 .302
ISO .143 +.035 .108 +.011 .097
xISO .117 -.002 .119 +.008 .111
BABIP .287 +.014 .273 -.011 .284
wOBA .279 +.032 .247 .000 .247
xwOBA .259 +.004 .255 +.005 .250
wOBAcon .360 +.045 .315 -.013 .328
xwOBAcon .328 .000 .328 -.005 .333
BACON .317 +.027 .290 -.017 .307
xBACON .298 +.002 .296 -.002 .298
Statcast Hit Metrics
Hard Hit % 37.6 -2.5 40.1 +3.8 36.3
Avg Exit Velocity 87.9 +0.3 87.6 -0.2 87.8
Launch Angle Sweet-Spot % 33.8 +4.4 29.4 +1.6 27.8
Barrel % 6.0 +0.2 5.8 +0.6 5.2
Avg Launch Angle 15.8 +3.6 12.2 +3.8 8.4
Statcast Bat Tracking
Bat Speed 71.2 0.0 71.2 +0.3 70.9
Attack Angle 10° +1° 10°
Ideal Attack Angle % 50.9 +4.4 46.5 +0.8 45.7
Attack Direction -2° -2° -2°
Swing Path - Tilt 32° -1° 33° -1° 33°
Swing Length 7.3 0.0 7.3 -0.1 7.4
Statcast Pitch Metrics
Fastball Velocity 96.9 -1.2 98.1 -0.7 98.8
Breaking Velocity 84.8 +0.3 84.5 +0.1 84.4
Offspeed Velocity 90.7 -0.8 91.5 -1.4 92.9
Batted Ball Results
Barrels 16 -11 27 +11 16
Popup % 9.8 +2.1 7.7 +0.5 7.2
Flyball % 23.7 -1.2 24.9 +4.6 20.3
Line Drive % 24.8 +2.0 22.8 +2.5 20.3
Groundball % 41.7 -2.9 44.6 -7.7 52.3
Pull % 38.3 -2.6 40.9 -0.9 41.8
Straight Away % 33.5 -4.2 37.7 +2.1 35.6
Opposite Field % 28.2 +6.9 21.3 -1.2 22.5
Weak Contact % 4.9 +0.2 4.7 +0.5 4.2
Pull Airball % 16.2 -1.5 17.7 +2.0 15.7
Topped Contact % 27.1 -7.7 34.8 -5.7 40.5
Under Contact % 31.6 +5.8 25.8 +5.2 20.6
Flare/Burner Contact % 24.8 +1.6 23.2 +0.3 22.9
Solid Contact % 5.6 +0.5 5.1 -1.1 6.2
HR/FB % 17.5 +8.1 9.4 -6.7 16.1
Popups 26 -10 36 +14 22
Flyballs 63 -54 117 +55 62
Line Drives 66 -41 107 +45 62
Groundballs 111 -98 209 +49 160
Plate Discipline
In Zone % 46.5 -4.2 50.7 +0.4 50.3
Out of Zone % 53.5 +4.2 49.3 -0.4 49.7
Edge % 43.8 -1.2 45.0 +0.9 44.1
Zone Swing % 71.9 +3.7 68.2 -0.4 68.6
Out of Zone Swing % 33.5 +3.0 30.5 -0.3 30.8
In Zone Contact % 80.1 +3.3 76.8 -2.5 79.3
Out of Zone Contact % 57.1 +3.0 54.1 +0.7 53.4
Whiff % 27.8 -2.3 30.1 +1.4 28.7
First Strike % 61.2 +0.4 60.8 -1.1 61.9
First Pitch Swing % 34.3 +0.6 33.7 -0.5 34.2
Swing % 51.3 +1.7 49.6 -0.2 49.8
Meatball Swing % 76.2 +3.3 72.9 -9.8 82.7
Meatball % 6.1 -1.0 7.1 +0.8 6.3
Zone Swing & Miss % 19.9 -3.3 23.2 +2.5 20.7
Out of Zone Swing & Miss % 42.6 -3.3 45.9 -0.7 46.6
In Zone 803 -717 1,520 +452 1,068
Out of Zone 925 -552 1,477 +420 1,057
Edge 756 -594 1,350 +413 937
In Zone Swings 577 -460 1,037 +304 733
Out of Zone Swings 310 -141 451 +125 326
In Zone Swing & Misses 115 -126 241 +89 152
Out of Zone Swing & Misses 132 -75 207 +55 152
Basic
Pitches 1,728 -1,269 2,997 +872 2,125
PA 420 -313 733 +219 514
AB 384 -300 684 +209 475
Hits 84 -52 136 +42 94
Singles 52 -34 86 +17 69
Doubles 20 -17 37 +23 14
Triples 1 -1 2 +1 1
Home Runs 11 0 11 +1 10
Walks 23 -19 42 +10 32
Strikeouts 123 -93 216 +46 170
K% 29.3 -0.2 29.5 -3.6 33.1
BB% 5.5 -0.2 5.7 -0.5 6.2
HBP 7 +1 6 0 6
Batted Balls 266 -203 469 +163 306
Fastball Percent 50.5 +1.2 49.3 +10.1 39.2
Offspeed Percent 27.3 +2.9 24.4 -9.3 33.7
Breaking Percent 22.3 -4.0 26.3 -0.7 27.0
Number of Fastballs 872 -607 1,479 +645 834
Number of Offspeed 471 -260 731 +14 717
Number of Breaking 385 -402 787 +213 574
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Statcast Fielder Positioning

vs RHHvs LHH
YearAlignment TypePAwOBAPATotal%PATotal%
2024 Shades 511 .248 250 2 0.8 261 20 7.7
2025 Shades 733 .247 339 4 1.2 394 142 36.0
2026 Shades 420 .279 169 1 0.6 251 92 36.7
! Note: Shifts are through the 2022 season, Shaded starting from the 2023 season, Shift: three or more infielders are on the same side of second base, Shade: positioned outside of their typical responsible slices of the field.
Learn more about how positioning is defined here

Pitch Tempo

Bases EmptyRunners On Base
SeasonTeamPitchesTempoFast %Slow %PitchesTempoFast %Slow %
2024 632 15.9 26.1% 0.0% 275 18.8 0.0% 0.4%
2025 867 16.3 14.5% 0.0% 428 18.4 0.5% 0.2%
2026 489 17.0 3.7% 1.0% 226 18.8 0.0% 3.1%

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Pitch Distribution