P | Kansas City Royals
Bats/Throws: R/R | 6' 3" 195 lbs | Age: 24
W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2025 1 1 1.29 13 0 0 14 16 0.93
2026 5 4 5.53 21 12 0 70 61 1.61
2 Seasons 6 5 4.82 34 12 0 84 77 1.50
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2025 13 1-1 1.29 14 16 0.93
2026 21 5-4 5.53 70 61 1.61
2 Seasons 34 6-5 4.82 84 77 1.50
MLB Percentile Rankings
Movement Profile (Induced Break)
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Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls
Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity
Max EV Launch
Angle
LA Sweet-
Spot %
xBA xSLG wOBA xwOBA xwOBAcon HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2025 23 217 34 1 2.9 1.8 86.9 106.8 11.3 35.3 .164 .221 .204 .226 .249 29.4 28.6 10.7 1.29 2.09
2026 24 1293 204 12 5.9 3.9 88.0 109.9 11.3 32.8 .251 .396 .355 .339 .363 35.3 19.7 13.6 5.53 4.91
Player 1510 238 13 5.5 3.6 87.8 109.9 11.3 33.2 .237 .368 .332 .321 .347 34.5 21.1 13.2
MLB 7.6 4.9 88.6 122.9 12.5 33.3 .243 .407 .315 .316 .369 37.1 22.2 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Avila relies on 5 pitches.
Sinker
(27.4%) ,
Four Seamer
(26.0%) ,
Slider
(21.7%) ,
Curveball
(14.7%) ,
Changeup
(10.3%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

AIR: Fly Balls + Line Drives + Popups All Batted Balls Batted Ball Breakdown
Season GB % AIR % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Pull GB % Straight GB % Oppo GB % Pull AIR % Straight AIR % Oppo AIR %
2025 50.0 50.0 14.7 26.5 8.8 44.1 29.4 26.5 29.4 8.8 11.8 14.7 20.6 14.7
2026 47.5 52.5 25.5 22.1 4.9 40.7 36.3 23.0 24.5 19.1 3.9 16.2 17.2 19.1
Player 47.9 52.1 23.9 22.7 5.5 41.2 35.3 23.5 25.2 17.6 5.0 16.0 17.6 18.5
MLB 44.1 55.9 24.2 24.6 7.1 37.5 37.3 25.1 20.7 17.5 5.8 16.8 19.7 19.2
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Quality of Contact

Season Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2025 2.9 41.2 32.4 20.6 0.0 2.9 1.8
2026 2.9 33.3 21.6 27.9 7.4 5.9 3.9
Player 2.9 34.5 23.1 26.9 6.3 5.5 3.6
MLB 4.0 32.3 25.0 24.4 5.9 7.6 4.9
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement


How this works: This section shows two different ways to evaluate pitch movement. On the left, “Total Movement” shows the real-world movement of a pitch, including the forces of gravity, which affects every pitch thrown. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren't 'better' just because they have more time to move, a pitch's movement is compared to other pitches of the same pitch type, within +/- 2 MPH and +/- 0.5 feet of extension/release. On the right, Induced Movement (or IVB) is reported without gravity, and attempts to isolate movement created by the pitcher's ability to spin and manipulate the ball.
Total Movement (in inches, w/ gravity)Induced Movement (in inches, w/o gravity)
YearPitchTeamHand#MPHVertical
Drop
vs.
Comparable
Horizontal
Break
vs.
Comparable
Vertical
Break
vs. AvgHorizontal
Break
vs. Avg
2026 Slider KC R 280 88.1 36.2 2.7 6.5GLV 2.6 -1.1 2.5 6.5GLV 2.8
2026 Curveball KC R 190 83.0 44.4 -6.1 7.2GLV 0.0 -4.8 -5.4 7.2GLV -1.9
2026 Sinker KC R 354 96.4 18.5 -1.0 11.4ARM -3.2 10.9 -3.3 11.4ARM -3.7
2026 Changeup KC R 133 89.4 27.9 -2.3 14.9ARM 0.9 6.3 -2.4 14.9ARM 0.7
2026 4-Seam Fastball KC R 336 96.1 15.0 -1.8 0.8ARM -5.9 14.5 -1.2 0.8ARM -7.0
2025 Changeup KC R 6 86.9 29.8 -1.5 15.1ARM 0.9 6.5 -2.4 15.1ARM 0.6
2025 Slider KC R 25 85.1 39.6 3.7 6.5GLV 2.4 -1.9 3.7 6.5GLV 2.3
2025 Curveball KC R 71 82.7 47.5 -3.6 12.2GLV 5.4 -7.3 -2.9 12.2GLV 3.2
2025 Sinker KC R 52 95.8 19.3 -1.0 12.1ARM -2.4 10.6 -3.2 12.1ARM -3.0
2025 4-Seam Fastball KC R 63 95.8 16.0 -2.8 0.6ARM -6.1 13.6 -2.2 0.6ARM -7.0
! Note: Years are in reverse order.

Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2026 Sinker 0.2 1 354 27.4 94 .280 .347 .358 18.5 14.9 18.7 .278 .373 .363 38.7
2026 4-Seam Fastball -0.6 -2 336 26.0 84 .296 .423 .372 16.2 15.5 16.7 .262 .401 .344 32.2
2026 Slider -1.3 -4 280 21.7 68 .207 .466 .347 34.8 30.9 17.5 .194 .348 .300 27.0
2026 Curveball -1.0 -2 190 14.7 35 .333 .633 .410 24.0 11.4 8.2 .272 .550 .383 42.9
2026 Changeup -0.6 -1 133 10.3 28 .259 .333 .275 37.0 32.1 22.0 .248 .378 .285 38.9
2025 Curveball 3.9 3 71 32.7 19 .111 .111 .095 40.5 52.6 27.8 .132 .160 .136 22.2
2025 4-Seam Fastball 3.1 2 63 29.0 11 .000 .000 .145 17.9 18.2 13.3 .160 .188 .203 37.5
2025 Sinker 1.2 1 52 24.0 19 .250 .375 .337 10.7 5.3 16.7 .228 .348 .319 33.3
2025 Slider 0.2 0 25 11.5 5 .000 .000 .280 100.0 60.0 42.9 -- -- .280 --
2025 Changeup -10.7 -1 6 2.8 2 .500 1.000 .625 0.0 0.0 0.0 .211 .261 .205 0.0
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: To better align with other values, positive numbers (red) are good, and negative numbers (blue) are poor.

Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2026 Changeup 133 89.4 86 16.6 1:45 2:30 -45
2026 Curveball 190 83.0 52 10.3 8:15 7:30 45
2026 4-Seam Fastball 336 96.1 75 14.0 12:30 12:00 30
2026 Sinker 343 96.4 72 15.6 12:45 1:45 -60
2026 Slider 279 88.1 42 7.6 9:15 8:15 60
2025 Curveball 70 82.7 66 16.0 7:30 7:45 -15
2025 4-Seam Fastball 63 95.8 72 13.1 12:30 12:00 30
2025 Sinker 47 95.7 71 15.9 12:30 1:45 -75
2025 Slider 25 85.1 46 8.0 8:30 8:15 15
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Pitcher Arm Angle

! Note: Data is available from 2020 through the present.
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Statcast Pitching Run Value

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2025 56 217 3 3 0 -1 5
2026 309 1,293 3 9 -10 -10 -8
Player 365 1,510 6 12 -10 6 -3
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2025 217 44.7 71.1 84.1 28.3 44.1 48.8 51.8 47.5 29.1 6.5 92.9
2026 1,293 43.9 62.3 87.3 26.9 55.9 40.2 56.3 42.4 23.9 7.0 71.4
Player 1,510 44.0 63.6 86.7 27.1 54.1 41.5 55.6 43.1 24.7 7.0 74.3
MLB 48.7 67.0 82.7 28.6 57.9 42.6 61.2 47.3 25.0 7.3 76.2
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Run Value Pitching
Year Pitching Fastball Breaking Off
Speed
xERA Fastball
MPH
Fastball
Spin
Curve
Spin
Avg
EV
Chase% Whiff% K% BB% Barrel% Hard-
Hit%
GB% Extension
2025 75 86 90 86
2026 16 34 10 35 20 80 89 72 64 14 41 30 5 76 73 76 75
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Expected Home Runs

Adjusted

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2025 -- 0 0.0 0 1 0 0 --
2026 24.01 7 6.8 0 4 8 2 28.6
Player 24.01 7 6.8 0 5 8 2 28.6
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's batted balls allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Expected Home Runs by Park

Adjusted

Year HR
2025 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2026 7 8 6 6 7 8 6 6 7 7 5 8 7 9 6 6 6 7 6 10 4 6 9 9 4 4 6 9 10 5 6
Player 7 8 6 6 8 8 6 6 7 7 5 8 7 9 6 6 6 7 6 10 4 6 9 9 4 4 6 9 10 5 6
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's batted balls allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Year to Year Changes

2026 +/-   2025
Results
BA .272 +.129 .143
xBA .251 +.087 .164
OBP .375 +.143 .232
xOBP .360 +.105 .255
SLG .425 +.221 .204
xSLG .396 +.175 .221
ISO .153 +.092 .061
xISO .145 +.088 .057
BABIP .328 +.122 .206
wOBA .355 +.151 .204
xwOBA .339 +.113 .226
wOBAcon .387 +.173 .214
xwOBAcon .363 +.114 .249
BACON .351 +.145 .206
xBACON .329 +.086 .243
Statcast Hit Metrics
Hard Hit % 35.3 +5.9 29.4
Avg Exit Velocity 88.0 +1.1 86.9
Launch Angle Sweet-Spot % 32.8 -2.5 35.3
Barrel % 5.9 +3.0 2.9
Avg Launch Angle 11.3 0.0 11.3
Statcast Bat Tracking
Bat Speed 72.0 -0.5 72.5
Attack Angle 11° -2° 12°
Ideal Attack Angle % 53.8 0.0 53.8
Attack Direction -1° +5° -6°
Swing Path - Tilt 33° 33°
Swing Length 7.4 0.0 7.4
Statcast Pitch Metrics
Fastball Velocity 96.3 +0.5 95.8
Breaking Velocity 86.0 +2.7 83.3
Offspeed Velocity 89.4 +2.5 86.9
Batted Ball Results
Barrels 12 +11 1
Popup % 4.9 -3.9 8.8
Flyball % 25.5 +10.8 14.7
Line Drive % 22.1 -4.4 26.5
Groundball % 47.5 -2.5 50.0
Pull % 40.7 -3.4 44.1
Straight Away % 36.3 +6.9 29.4
Opposite Field % 23.0 -3.5 26.5
Weak Contact % 2.9 0.0 2.9
Pull Airball % 16.2 +1.5 14.7
Topped Contact % 33.3 -7.9 41.2
Under Contact % 21.6 -10.8 32.4
Flare/Burner Contact % 27.9 +7.3 20.6
Solid Contact % 7.4 +7.4 0.0
HR/FB % 13.5 +13.5 0.0
Popups 10 +7 3
Flyballs 52 +47 5
Line Drives 45 +36 9
Groundballs 97 +80 17
Plate Discipline
In Zone % 43.9 -0.8 44.7
Out of Zone % 56.1 +0.8 55.3
Edge % 40.2 -8.6 48.8
Zone Swing % 62.3 -8.8 71.1
Out of Zone Swing % 26.9 -1.4 28.3
In Zone Contact % 87.3 +3.2 84.1
Out of Zone Contact % 55.9 +11.8 44.1
Whiff % 23.9 -5.2 29.1
First Strike % 56.3 +4.5 51.8
First Pitch Swing % 27.5 -1.1 28.6
Swing % 42.4 -5.1 47.5
Meatball Swing % 71.4 -21.5 92.9
Meatball % 7.0 +0.5 6.5
Zone Swing & Miss % 12.7 -3.2 15.9
Out of Zone Swing & Miss % 44.1 -11.8 55.9
In Zone 567 +470 97
Out of Zone 726 +606 120
Edge 520 +414 106
In Zone Swings 353 +284 69
Out of Zone Swings 195 +161 34
In Zone Swing & Misses 45 +34 11
Out of Zone Swing & Misses 86 +67 19
Basic
Pitches 1,293 +1,076 217
PA 309 +253 56
AB 261 +212 49
Hits 71 +64 7
Singles 46 +42 4
Doubles 17 +14 3
Triples 1 +1 0
Home Runs 7 +7 0
Walks 42 +36 6
Strikeouts 61 +45 16
K% 19.7 -8.9 28.6
BB% 13.6 +2.9 10.7
HBP 2 +2 0
Batted Balls 204 +170 34
Fastball Percent 53.4 +0.4 53.0
Offspeed Percent 10.3 +7.5 2.8
Breaking Percent 36.3 -7.9 44.2
Number of Fastballs 690 +575 115
Number of Offspeed 133 +127 6
Number of Breaking 470 +374 96
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Statcast Fielder Positioning

vs RHHvs LHH
YearAlignment TypePAwOBAPATotal%PATotal%
2025 Shades 56 .204 31 0 0.0 25 19 76.0
2026 Shades 309 .355 121 35 28.9 188 96 51.1
! Note: Shifts are through the 2022 season, Shaded starting from the 2023 season, Shift: three or more infielders are on the same side of second base, Shade: positioned outside of their typical responsible slices of the field.
Learn more about how positioning is defined here

Pitch Tempo

Bases EmptyRunners On Base
SeasonTeamPitchesTempoFast %Slow %PitchesTempoFast %Slow %
2025 55 15.1 49.1% 0.0% 34 16.7 11.8% 0.0%
2026 377 15.5 42.7% 2.4% 237 17.8 6.8% 3.8%

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Pitch Distribution