P | Kansas City Royals
Bats/Throws: R/R | 6' 3" 195 lbs | Age: 24
W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2025 1 1 1.29 13 0 0 14 16 0.93
2026 4 3 5.08 18 9 0 56.2 50 1.62
2 Seasons 5 4 4.33 31 9 0 70.2 66 1.49
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2025 13 1-1 1.29 14 16 0.93
2026 18 4-3 5.08 56.2 50 1.62
2 Seasons 31 5-4 4.33 70.2 66 1.49
MLB Percentile Rankings
Movement Profile (Induced Break)
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Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls
Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity
Max EV Launch
Angle
LA Sweet-
Spot %
xBA xSLG wOBA xwOBA xwOBAcon HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2025 23 217 34 1 2.9 1.8 86.9 106.8 11.3 35.3 .164 .222 .204 .226 .250 29.4 28.6 10.7 1.29 2.09
2026 24 1057 163 11 6.8 4.4 88.2 109.9 10.8 32.5 .243 .403 .360 .338 .364 36.2 20.2 13.7 5.08 4.83
Player 1274 197 12 6.1 3.9 88.0 109.9 10.9 33.0 .228 .368 .331 .317 .344 35.0 21.7 13.2
MLB 7.6 4.9 88.6 122.9 12.5 33.3 .243 .407 .316 .316 .369 37.1 22.2 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Avila relies on 5 pitches.
Four Seamer
(26.7%) ,
Sinker
(26.0%) ,
Slider
(21.8%) ,
Curveball
(15.3%) ,
Changeup
(10.2%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

AIR: Fly Balls + Line Drives + Popups All Batted Balls Batted Ball Breakdown
Season GB % AIR % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Pull GB % Straight GB % Oppo GB % Pull AIR % Straight AIR % Oppo AIR %
2025 50.0 50.0 14.7 26.5 8.8 44.1 29.4 26.5 29.4 8.8 11.8 14.7 20.6 14.7
2026 48.5 51.5 27.0 20.2 4.3 39.3 38.0 22.7 23.3 20.9 4.3 16.0 17.2 18.4
Player 48.7 51.3 24.9 21.3 5.1 40.1 36.5 23.4 24.4 18.8 5.6 15.7 17.8 17.8
MLB 44.2 55.8 24.2 24.6 7.1 37.5 37.3 25.1 20.7 17.6 5.8 16.8 19.7 19.2
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Quality of Contact

Season Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2025 2.9 41.2 32.4 20.6 0.0 2.9 1.8
2026 3.1 32.5 21.5 27.0 8.0 6.8 4.4
Player 3.0 34.0 23.4 25.9 6.6 6.1 3.9
MLB 4.0 32.3 25.0 24.4 5.9 7.6 4.9
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement


How this works: This section shows two different ways to evaluate pitch movement. On the left, “Total Movement” shows the real-world movement of a pitch, including the forces of gravity, which affects every pitch thrown. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren't 'better' just because they have more time to move, a pitch's movement is compared to other pitches of the same pitch type, within +/- 2 MPH and +/- 0.5 feet of extension/release. On the right, Induced Movement (or IVB) is reported without gravity, and attempts to isolate movement created by the pitcher's ability to spin and manipulate the ball.
Total Movement (in inches, w/ gravity)Induced Movement (in inches, w/o gravity)
YearPitchTeamHand#MPHVertical
Drop
vs.
Comparable
Horizontal
Break
vs.
Comparable
Vertical
Break
vs. AvgHorizontal
Break
vs. Avg
2026 Sinker KC R 275 96.3 18.4 -1.3 11.7ARM -2.9 11.1 -3.5 11.7ARM -3.5
2026 4-Seam Fastball KC R 282 96.1 14.7 -1.6 0.8ARM -6.0 14.8 -1.0 0.8ARM -7.0
2026 Slider KC R 230 87.9 36.4 2.8 6.7GLV 2.8 -1.1 2.5 6.7GLV 3.0
2026 Curveball KC R 162 82.9 44.5 -6.0 7.4GLV 0.2 -4.8 -5.4 7.4GLV -1.8
2026 Changeup KC R 108 89.4 28.0 -2.2 15.2ARM 1.1 6.3 -2.4 15.2ARM 0.8
2025 Curveball KC R 71 82.7 47.5 -3.6 12.2GLV 5.4 -7.3 -2.9 12.2GLV 3.2
2025 Sinker KC R 52 95.8 19.3 -1.0 12.1ARM -2.4 10.6 -3.2 12.1ARM -3.0
2025 Changeup KC R 6 86.9 29.8 -1.5 15.1ARM 0.9 6.5 -2.4 15.1ARM 0.6
2025 Slider KC R 25 85.1 39.6 3.7 6.5GLV 2.4 -1.9 3.7 6.5GLV 2.3
2025 4-Seam Fastball KC R 63 95.8 16.0 -2.8 0.6ARM -6.1 13.6 -2.2 0.6ARM -7.0
! Note: Years are in reverse order.

Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2026 4-Seam Fastball -0.5 -1 282 26.7 67 .286 .429 .373 17.1 16.4 17.2 .248 .400 .341 30.4
2026 Sinker 0.0 0 275 26.0 73 .295 .377 .361 19.0 15.1 17.7 .250 .348 .331 44.0
2026 Slider -0.9 -2 230 21.8 53 .205 .455 .337 34.8 30.2 16.2 .215 .409 .339 21.4
2026 Curveball -1.2 -2 162 15.3 29 .333 .667 .421 20.0 10.3 7.3 .252 .545 .380 43.5
2026 Changeup -0.9 -1 108 10.2 26 .280 .360 .296 37.8 34.6 23.7 .255 .394 .295 43.8
2025 Curveball 3.9 3 71 32.7 19 .111 .111 .095 40.5 52.6 27.8 .132 .160 .136 22.2
2025 4-Seam Fastball 3.1 2 63 29.0 11 .000 .000 .145 17.9 18.2 13.3 .160 .189 .204 37.5
2025 Sinker 1.2 1 52 24.0 19 .250 .375 .337 10.7 5.3 16.7 .228 .348 .319 33.3
2025 Slider 0.2 0 25 11.5 5 .000 .000 .280 100.0 60.0 42.9 -- -- .280 --
2025 Changeup -10.7 -1 6 2.8 2 .500 1.000 .625 0.0 0.0 0.0 .211 .261 .205 0.0
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: To better align with other values, positive numbers (red) are good, and negative numbers (blue) are poor.

Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2026 Changeup 108 89.4 85 17.0 1:45 2:30 -45
2026 Curveball 162 82.9 52 10.5 8:15 7:30 45
2026 4-Seam Fastball 282 96.1 75 14.3 12:30 12:00 30
2026 Sinker 265 96.3 72 16.0 12:45 1:45 -60
2026 Slider 229 87.9 43 7.8 9:15 8:15 60
2025 Curveball 70 82.7 66 16.0 7:30 7:45 -15
2025 4-Seam Fastball 63 95.8 72 13.1 12:30 12:00 30
2025 Sinker 47 95.7 71 15.9 12:30 1:45 -75
2025 Slider 25 85.1 46 8.0 8:30 8:15 15
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Pitcher Arm Angle

! Note: Data is available from 2020 through the present.
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Statcast Pitching Run Value

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2025 56 217 3 3 0 -1 5
2026 248 1,057 0 9 -8 -8 -6
Player 304 1,274 3 13 -8 3 -2
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2025 217 44.7 71.1 84.1 28.3 44.1 48.8 51.8 47.5 29.1 6.5 92.9
2026 1,057 43.4 60.1 88.4 26.9 55.3 39.7 55.2 41.3 23.8 7.1 68.0
Player 1,274 43.6 62.1 87.5 27.2 53.3 41.3 54.6 42.4 24.8 7.0 71.9
MLB 48.7 67.0 82.6 28.6 57.9 42.7 61.2 47.3 25.0 7.3 76.2
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Run Value Pitching
Year Pitching Fastball Breaking Off
Speed
xERA Fastball
MPH
Fastball
Spin
Curve
Spin
Avg
EV
Chase% Whiff% K% BB% Barrel% Hard-
Hit%
GB% Extension
2025 75 86 90 86
2026 17 33 14 33 24 78 89 70 59 16 39 32 7 62 65 79 75
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Expected Home Runs

Adjusted

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2025 -- 0 0.0 0 1 0 0 --
2026 23.50 6 5.9 0 4 7 2 33.3
Player 23.50 6 6.0 0 5 7 2 33.3
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's batted balls allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Expected Home Runs by Park

Adjusted

Year HR
2025 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2026 6 8 5 5 6 7 5 4 6 6 4 8 6 8 7 7 5 6 6 8 3 5 8 8 3 3 5 8 9 4 5
Player 6 8 5 5 7 7 5 4 6 6 4 8 6 8 7 7 5 6 6 8 3 5 8 8 3 3 5 8 9 4 5
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's batted balls allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Year to Year Changes

2026 +/-   2025
Results
BA .276 +.133 .143
xBA .243 +.079 .164
OBP .377 +.145 .232
xOBP .353 +.098 .255
SLG .438 +.234 .204
xSLG .403 +.181 .222
ISO .162 +.101 .061
xISO .160 +.103 .057
BABIP .333 +.127 .206
wOBA .360 +.156 .204
xwOBA .338 +.112 .226
wOBAcon .398 +.184 .214
xwOBAcon .364 +.114 .250
BACON .358 +.152 .206
xBACON .321 +.078 .243
Statcast Hit Metrics
Hard Hit % 36.2 +6.8 29.4
Avg Exit Velocity 88.2 +1.3 86.9
Launch Angle Sweet-Spot % 32.5 -2.8 35.3
Barrel % 6.8 +3.9 2.9
Avg Launch Angle 10.8 -0.5 11.3
Statcast Bat Tracking
Bat Speed 72.1 -0.4 72.5
Attack Angle 11° -2° 12°
Ideal Attack Angle % 54.8 +1.6 53.2
Attack Direction -2° +4° -6°
Swing Path - Tilt 32° 33°
Swing Length 7.4 0.0 7.4
Statcast Pitch Metrics
Fastball Velocity 96.2 +0.4 95.8
Breaking Velocity 85.9 +2.6 83.3
Offspeed Velocity 89.4 +2.5 86.9
Batted Ball Results
Barrels 11 +10 1
Popup % 4.3 -4.5 8.8
Flyball % 27.0 +12.3 14.7
Line Drive % 20.2 -6.3 26.5
Groundball % 48.5 -1.5 50.0
Pull % 39.3 -4.8 44.1
Straight Away % 38.0 +8.6 29.4
Opposite Field % 22.7 -3.8 26.5
Weak Contact % 3.1 +0.2 2.9
Pull Airball % 16.0 +1.3 14.7
Topped Contact % 32.5 -8.7 41.2
Under Contact % 21.5 -10.9 32.4
Flare/Burner Contact % 27.0 +6.4 20.6
Solid Contact % 8.0 +8.0 0.0
HR/FB % 13.6 +13.6 0.0
Popups 7 +4 3
Flyballs 44 +39 5
Line Drives 33 +24 9
Groundballs 79 +62 17
Plate Discipline
In Zone % 43.4 -1.3 44.7
Out of Zone % 56.6 +1.3 55.3
Edge % 39.7 -9.1 48.8
Zone Swing % 60.1 -11.0 71.1
Out of Zone Swing % 26.9 -1.4 28.3
In Zone Contact % 88.4 +4.3 84.1
Out of Zone Contact % 55.3 +11.2 44.1
Whiff % 23.8 -5.3 29.1
First Strike % 55.2 +3.4 51.8
First Pitch Swing % 26.2 -2.4 28.6
Swing % 41.3 -6.2 47.5
Meatball Swing % 68.0 -24.9 92.9
Meatball % 7.1 +0.6 6.5
Zone Swing & Miss % 11.6 -4.3 15.9
Out of Zone Swing & Miss % 44.7 -11.2 55.9
In Zone 459 +362 97
Out of Zone 598 +478 120
Edge 420 +314 106
In Zone Swings 276 +207 69
Out of Zone Swings 161 +127 34
In Zone Swing & Misses 32 +21 11
Out of Zone Swing & Misses 72 +53 19
Basic
Pitches 1,057 +840 217
PA 248 +192 56
AB 210 +161 49
Hits 58 +51 7
Singles 37 +33 4
Doubles 14 +11 3
Triples 1 +1 0
Home Runs 6 +6 0
Walks 34 +28 6
Strikeouts 50 +34 16
K% 20.2 -8.4 28.6
BB% 13.7 +3.0 10.7
HBP 1 +1 0
Batted Balls 163 +129 34
Fastball Percent 52.7 -0.3 53.0
Offspeed Percent 10.2 +7.4 2.8
Breaking Percent 37.1 -7.1 44.2
Number of Fastballs 557 +442 115
Number of Offspeed 108 +102 6
Number of Breaking 392 +296 96
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Statcast Fielder Positioning

vs RHHvs LHH
YearAlignment TypePAwOBAPATotal%PATotal%
2025 Shades 56 .204 31 0 0.0 25 19 76.0
2026 Shades 248 .360 92 32 34.8 156 73 46.8
! Note: Shifts are through the 2022 season, Shaded starting from the 2023 season, Shift: three or more infielders are on the same side of second base, Shade: positioned outside of their typical responsible slices of the field.
Learn more about how positioning is defined here

Pitch Tempo

Bases EmptyRunners On Base
SeasonTeamPitchesTempoFast %Slow %PitchesTempoFast %Slow %
2025 55 15.1 49.1% 0.0% 34 16.7 11.8% 0.0%
2026 314 15.3 43.6% 2.5% 194 17.7 7.7% 3.6%

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Pitch Distribution