P | Toronto Blue Jays
Bats/Throws: L/R | 6' 1" 205 lbs | Age: 27
Draft: 2019 | Rd. 15, No. 449, Minnesota Twins | Concordia University
W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2023 4 3 4.63 17 10 0 68 71 1.22
2024 0 6 7.61 16 7 0 49.2 49 1.69
2025 4 3 2.97 74 1 0 72.2 75 1.20
4 Seasons 9 14 4.66 112 23 0 216.1 216 1.32
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2023 17 4-3 4.63 68 71 1.22
2024 16 0-6 7.61 49.2 49 1.69
2025 74 4-3 2.97 72.2 75 1.20
4 Seasons 112 9-14 4.66 216.1 216 1.32
MLB Percentile Rankings
Movement Profile (Induced Break)
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Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls
Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity
Max EV Launch
Angle
LA Sweet-
Spot %
XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2022 24 411 78 5 6.4 4.7 88.7 112.6 14.8 43.6 .271 .441 .329 .329 .389 41.0 19.8 5.7 3.81 4.56
2023 25 1091 194 21 10.8 7.4 91.0 113.6 12.1 32.0 .249 .469 .335 .328 .415 43.8 25.1 6.0 4.63 4.58
2024 26 901 169 15 8.9 6.3 90.6 114.0 11.1 41.4 .284 .465 .382 .353 .418 45.0 20.6 6.7 7.61 5.38
2025 27 1066 197 18 9.1 6.1 90.2 112.9 5.3 33.5 .253 .382 .299 .308 .382 43.7 25.3 7.4 2.97 3.96
Player 3469 638 59 9.2 6.4 90.4 114.0 10.1 36.4 .262 .437 .335 .328 .402 43.7 23.4 6.6
MLB 7.2 4.9 88.6 122.9 12.4 33.3 .245 .404 .315 .315 .368 37.0 22.2 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Varland relies on 5 pitches.
Four Seamer
(44.4%) ,
Knuckle Curve
(37.5%) ,
Slider
(7.0%) ,
Sinker
(6.4%) ,
Changeup
(4.7%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

AIR: Fly Balls + Line Drives + Popups All Batted Balls Batted Ball Breakdown
Season GB % AIR % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Pull GB % Straight GB % Oppo GB % Pull AIR % Straight AIR % Oppo AIR %
2022 38.5 61.5 26.9 28.2 6.4 42.3 32.1 25.6 21.8 12.8 3.8 20.5 19.2 21.8
2023 45.4 54.6 30.9 19.6 4.1 32.5 39.2 28.4 19.1 17.5 8.8 13.4 21.6 19.6
2024 43.2 56.8 27.2 27.2 2.4 32.0 38.5 29.6 19.5 17.8 5.9 12.4 20.7 23.7
2025 53.3 46.7 16.8 24.4 5.6 39.6 35.0 25.4 25.4 21.8 6.1 14.2 13.2 19.3
Player 46.4 53.6 25.1 24.1 4.4 35.7 36.8 27.4 21.5 18.3 6.6 14.3 18.5 20.8
MLB 44.2 55.8 24.0 24.7 7.1 37.4 37.4 25.1 20.6 17.6 5.9 16.7 19.7 19.3
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Quality of Contact

Season Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2022 5.1 23.1 28.2 32.1 5.1 6.4 4.7
2023 3.1 33.0 23.2 23.2 6.7 10.8 7.4
2024 3.6 27.2 20.7 32.0 7.7 8.9 6.3
2025 4.6 38.1 14.2 25.4 7.1 9.1 6.1
Player 3.9 31.8 20.4 27.3 6.9 9.2 6.4
MLB 4.0 32.4 24.9 24.4 5.9 7.2 4.9
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement


How this works: This section shows two different ways to evaluate pitch movement. On the left, “Total Movement” shows the real-world movement of a pitch, including the forces of gravity, which affects every pitch thrown. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren't 'better' just because they have more time to move, a pitch's movement is compared to other pitches of the same pitch type, within +/- 2 MPH and +/- 0.5 feet of extension/release. On the right, Induced Movement (or IVB) is reported without gravity, and attempts to isolate movement created by the pitcher's ability to spin and manipulate the ball.
Total Movement (in inches, w/ gravity)Induced Movement (in inches, w/o gravity)
YearPitchTeamHand#MPHVertical
Drop
vs.
Comparable
Horizontal
Break
vs.
Comparable
Vertical
Break
vs. AvgHorizontal
Break
vs. Avg
2025 Sinker TOR R 68 97.0 16.5 -4.7 14.7ARM -0.8 12.8 -5.4 14.7ARM -0.4
2025 Slider TOR R 75 91.6 27.1 -2.2 3.7GLV 0.3 5.4 -3.7 3.7GLV -0.9
2025 Changeup TOR R 50 91.9 27.8 -1.6 14.2ARM -0.8 4.7 -0.6 14.2ARM -0.2
2025 4-Seam Fastball TOR R 473 98.1 12.9 0.3 7.4ARM -1.0 15.7 -0.1 7.4ARM -0.2
2025 Curveball TOR R 400 88.0 41.4 -2.3 3.4GLV -2.2 -6.1 -3.8 3.4GLV -5.7
2024 Sinker MIN R 34 93.8 19.2 -3.8 14.6ARM -0.5 11.9 -4.7 14.6ARM -0.3
2024 Slider MIN R 250 90.1 27.2 -3.9 3.7GLV 0.2 6.3 -4.6 3.7GLV -1.1
2024 Changeup MIN R 94 89.4 28.9 -1.1 13.6ARM -1.0 5.3 -0.4 13.6ARM -0.6
2024 4-Seam Fastball MIN R 383 96.3 13.6 0.4 6.9ARM -1.1 15.9 0.2 6.9ARM -0.7
2024 Curveball MIN R 140 84.6 45.2 -1.6 2.4GLV -4.1 -7.2 -2.8 2.4GLV -7.0
! Note: Years are in reverse order.

Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2025 4-Seam Fastball 0.5 2 473 44.4 119 .263 .364 .335 17.9 21.8 22.6 .281 .427 .359 51.3
2025 Curveball 0.7 3 400 37.5 126 .210 .328 .261 38.8 35.7 27.6 .214 .285 .239 35.1
2025 Slider -2.9 -2 75 7.0 18 .412 .647 .469 34.2 11.1 14.3 .346 .635 .432 46.7
2025 Sinker 2.3 2 68 6.4 18 .235 .353 .278 10.5 0.0 0.0 .240 .360 .281 41.2
2025 Changeup -1.7 -1 50 4.7 14 .214 .714 .375 28.0 14.3 33.3 .280 .588 .364 50.0
2024 4-Seam Fastball -0.8 -3 383 42.5 93 .306 .553 .401 24.2 24.7 21.7 .257 .470 .338 38.1
2024 Slider -3.9 -10 250 27.7 75 .333 .603 .473 24.6 16.0 16.7 .292 .485 .390 46.2
2024 Curveball -1.4 -2 140 15.5 44 .293 .366 .307 28.8 29.5 20.6 .300 .432 .332 60.0
2024 Changeup 0.1 0 94 10.4 17 .294 .294 .318 10.5 5.9 5.9 .338 .408 .327 25.0
2024 Sinker -4.3 -1 34 3.8 8 .500 .875 .588 5.9 0.0 0.0 .316 .547 .370 75.0
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: To better align with other values, positive numbers (red) are good, and negative numbers (blue) are poor.

Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2025 Changeup 46 91.8 85 15.8 1:30 2:30 -60
2025 4-Seam Fastball 472 98.1 92 17.1 1:00 1:00 0
2025 Knuckle Curve 399 88.0 51 8.8 7:30 6:45 45
2025 Sinker 68 97.0 94 19.6 1:15 1:45 -30
2025 Slider 75 91.6 40 6.5 11:45 10:30 75
2024 Changeup 87 89.4 86 15.1 1:30 2:30 -60
2024 4-Seam Fastball 379 96.3 95 17.0 1:00 12:45 15
2024 Knuckle Curve 139 84.6 55 9.6 7:30 6:30 60
2024 Sinker 34 93.8 93 18.9 1:15 1:45 -30
2024 Slider 245 90.0 37 7.1 12:00 10:45 75
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Pitcher Arm Angle

! Note: Data is available from 2020 through the present.
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Statcast Pitching Run Value

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2022 105 411 -1 4 -3 -2 -1
2023 283 1,091 2 5 -5 -3 -1
2024 237 901 -3 -1 -8 -4 -16
2025 295 1,066 -5 15 -3 -3 4
Player 920 3,469 -7 23 -19 -7 -15
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2022 411 55.5 68.9 84.7 27.3 64.0 41.6 64.2 50.4 20.3 10.5 88.4
2023 1,091 55.3 73.5 80.6 29.5 54.2 44.0 70.0 53.8 25.9 9.3 77.5
2024 901 55.0 72.8 84.2 23.7 49.0 38.7 61.6 50.7 23.2 10.0 84.4
2025 1,066 53.9 70.3 85.4 31.8 40.4 40.9 64.1 52.5 27.1 8.9 86.3
Player 3,469 54.8 71.8 83.4 28.5 49.3 41.4 65.3 52.2 25.0 9.5 83.3
MLB 48.9 67.0 82.5 28.4 58.0 42.7 61.1 47.3 25.0 7.3 76.3
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA /
xERA
xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV Hard
Hit%
K% BB% Whiff% Chase
Rate
FB
Velo
FB
Spin
CB
Spin
Extension
2022 48 44 83
2023 33 41 13 5 72 42 10 6 17 62 83 47 59 73 46 90
2024 5 4 6 15 8 54 24 7 6 30 68 31 5 82 26 31 91
2025 49 30 57 73 49 51 36 26 23 71 63 65 86 95 19 22 92
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Expected Home Runs

Adjusted

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2022 24.34 4 3.8 0 1 2 2 50.0
2023 23.09 16 15.6 0 1 12 6 37.5
2024 23.96 12 9.4 3 2 9 2 16.7
2025 23.41 10 10.2 0 5 8 4 40.0
Player 23.53 42 39.0 3 9 31 14 33.3
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's batted balls allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Expected Home Runs by Park

Adjusted

Year HR
2022 4 3 3 4 4 4 4 3 3 4 4 3 4 3 4 5 3 4 5 4 4 4 4 5 3 4 4 3 4 4 4
2023 16 15 13 14 17 17 17 15 15 14 17 14 15 14 18 16 17 16 16 17 15 16 19 17 13 14 16 16 16 17 13
2024 12 9 7 7 10 8 11 9 7 8 11 8 10 8 11 11 11 8 11 11 9 10 11 11 8 10 8 9 10 10 9
2025 10 11 7 10 9 10 10 11 9 9 9 12 12 13 12 9 12 9 11 10 11 8 12 12 10 8 9 12 11 9 8
Player 42 38 30 35 40 39 42 38 34 35 41 37 41 38 45 41 43 37 43 42 39 38 46 45 34 36 37 40 41 40 34
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's batted balls allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Year to Year Changes

2025 +/-   2024 +/-   2023 +/-   2022
Results
BA .244 -.074 .318 +.066 .252 -.011 .263
xBA .253 -.031 .284 +.035 .249 -.022 .271
OBP .304 -.067 .371 +.072 .299 -.012 .311
xOBP .315 -.030 .345 +.047 .298 -.022 .320
SLG .383 -.140 .523 +.031 .492 +.037 .455
xSLG .382 -.083 .465 -.004 .469 +.028 .441
ISO .139 -.067 .206 -.034 .240 +.048 .192
xISO .129 -.052 .181 -.040 .221 +.052 .169
BABIP .314 -.045 .359 +.075 .284 -.013 .297
wOBA .299 -.083 .382 +.047 .335 +.006 .329
xwOBA .308 -.045 .353 +.025 .328 -.001 .329
wOBACON .367 -.091 .458 +.034 .424 +.035 .389
xwOBACON .382 -.036 .418 +.003 .415 +.026 .389
BACON .335 -.070 .405 +.061 .344 +.011 .333
xBACON .353 -.015 .368 +.026 .342 -.003 .345
Statcast Hit Metrics
Hard Hit % 43.7 -1.3 45.0 +1.2 43.8 +2.8 41.0
Avg Exit Velocity 90.2 -0.4 90.6 -0.4 91.0 +2.3 88.7
Launch Angle Sweet-Spot % 33.5 -7.9 41.4 +9.4 32.0 -11.6 43.6
Barrel % 9.1 +0.2 8.9 -1.9 10.8 +4.4 6.4
Avg Launch Angle 5.3 -5.8 11.1 -1.0 12.1 -2.7 14.8
Statcast Bat Tracking
Bat Speed 71.1 -0.1 71.2 +1.3 69.9 -- --
Attack Angle -1° +1° -- --
Ideal Attack Angle % 44.3 -5.4 49.7 +5.7 44.0 -- --
Attack Direction -1° +3° -- --
Swing Path - Tilt 33° +1° 32° 31° -- --
Swing Length 7.1 +0.1 7.0 -0.2 7.2 -- --
Statcast Pitch Metrics
Fastball Velocity 98.0 +1.9 96.1 +0.8 95.3 +1.5 93.8
Breaking Velocity 88.6 +0.5 88.1 +0.4 87.7 +1.6 86.1
Offspeed Velocity 91.9 +2.5 89.4 +3.5 85.9 +2.1 83.8
Batted Ball Results
Barrels 18 +3 15 -6 21 +16 5
Popup % 5.6 +3.2 2.4 -1.7 4.1 -2.3 6.4
Flyball % 16.8 -10.4 27.2 -3.7 30.9 +4.0 26.9
Line Drive % 24.4 -2.8 27.2 +7.6 19.6 -8.6 28.2
Groundball % 53.3 +10.1 43.2 -2.2 45.4 +6.9 38.5
Pull % 39.6 +7.6 32.0 -0.5 32.5 -9.8 42.3
Straight Away % 35.0 -3.5 38.5 -0.7 39.2 +7.1 32.1
Opposite Field % 25.4 -4.2 29.6 +1.2 28.4 +2.8 25.6
Weak Contact % 4.6 +1.0 3.6 +0.5 3.1 -2.0 5.1
Pull Airball % 14.2 +1.8 12.4 -1.0 13.4 -7.1 20.5
Topped Contact % 38.1 +10.9 27.2 -5.8 33.0 +9.9 23.1
Under Contact % 14.2 -6.5 20.7 -2.5 23.2 -5.0 28.2
Flare/Burner Contact % 25.4 -6.6 32.0 +8.8 23.2 -8.9 32.1
Solid Contact % 7.1 -0.6 7.7 +1.0 6.7 +1.6 5.1
HR/FB % 18.2 -7.9 26.1 -0.6 26.7 +7.7 19.0
Popups 11 +7 4 -4 8 +3 5
Flyballs 33 -13 46 -14 60 +39 21
Line Drives 48 +2 46 +8 38 +16 22
Groundballs 105 +32 73 -15 88 +58 30
Plate Discipline
In Zone % 53.9 -1.1 55.0 -0.3 55.3 -0.2 55.5
Out of Zone % 46.1 +1.1 45.0 +0.3 44.7 +0.2 44.5
Edge % 40.9 +2.2 38.7 -5.3 44.0 +2.4 41.6
Zone Swing % 70.3 -2.5 72.8 -0.7 73.5 +4.6 68.9
Out of Zone Swing % 31.8 +8.1 23.7 -5.8 29.5 +2.2 27.3
In Zone Contact % 85.4 +1.2 84.2 +3.6 80.6 -4.1 84.7
Out of Zone Contact % 40.4 -8.6 49.0 -5.2 54.2 -9.8 64.0
Whiff % 27.1 +3.9 23.2 -2.7 25.9 +5.6 20.3
First Strike % 64.1 +2.5 61.6 -8.4 70.0 +5.8 64.2
First Pitch Swing % 40.3 +0.6 39.7 +0.5 39.2 +6.2 33.0
Swing % 52.5 +1.8 50.7 -3.1 53.8 +3.4 50.4
Meatball Swing % 86.3 +1.9 84.4 +6.9 77.5 -10.9 88.4
Meatball % 8.9 -1.1 10.0 +0.7 9.3 -1.2 10.5
Zone Swing & Miss % 14.6 -1.2 15.8 -3.6 19.4 +4.1 15.3
Out of Zone Swing & Miss % 59.6 +8.6 51.0 +5.2 45.8 +9.8 36.0
In Zone 575 +79 496 -107 603 +375 228
Out of Zone 491 +86 405 -83 488 +305 183
Edge 436 +87 349 -131 480 +309 171
In Zone Swings 404 +43 361 -82 443 +286 157
Out of Zone Swings 156 +60 96 -48 144 +94 50
In Zone Swing & Misses 59 +2 57 -29 86 +62 24
Out of Zone Swing & Misses 93 +44 49 -17 66 +48 18
Basic
Pitches 1,066 +165 901 -190 1,091 +680 411
PA 296 +58 238 -45 283 +177 106
AB 266 +52 214 -48 262 +163 99
Hits 65 -3 68 +2 66 +40 26
Singles 41 -7 48 +9 39 +23 16
Doubles 17 +9 8 +1 7 +2 5
Triples 1 +1 0 -4 4 +3 1
Home Runs 6 -6 12 -4 16 +12 4
Walks 22 +6 16 -1 17 +11 6
Strikeouts 75 +26 49 -22 71 +50 21
K% 25.3 +4.7 20.6 -4.5 25.1 +5.3 19.8
BB% 7.4 +0.7 6.7 +0.7 6.0 +0.3 5.7
HBP 2 -2 4 +3 1 0 1
Batted Balls 197 +28 169 -25 194 +116 78
Number of Fastballs 541 +124 417 -59 476 +280 196
Number of Offspeed 50 -44 94 -29 123 +63 60
Number of Breaking 475 +85 390 +41 349 +260 89
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Statcast Fielder Positioning

vs RHHvs LHH
YearAlignment TypePAwOBAPATotal%PATotal%
2022 Shifts 105 .329 62 20 32.3 43 35 81.4
2023 Shades 283 .335 184 22 12.0 99 64 64.6
2024 Shades 237 .382 114 3 2.6 123 82 66.7
2025 Shades 295 .299 163 11 6.7 132 72 54.5
! Note: Shifts are through the 2022 season, Shaded starting from the 2023 season, Shift: three or more infielders are on the same side of second base, Shade: positioned outside of their typical responsible slices of the field.
Learn more about how positioning is defined here

Pitch Tempo

Bases EmptyRunners On Base
SeasonTeamPitchesTempoFast %Slow %PitchesTempoFast %Slow %
2022 125 14.0 69.6% 0.0% 59 19.0 3.4% 1.7%
2023 290 12.8 86.6% 0.0% 141 17.1 9.9% 0.0%
2024 220 13.2 80.0% 0.0% 152 17.3 7.9% 1.3%
2025 249 15.2 45.4% 0.4% 143 17.9 6.3% 0.7%

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Pitch Distribution