Lance Lynn
P | B/T: S/R | 6' 5" 270LBS | Age: 35

Draft: 2008 | Rd: C-A, #39, St. Louis Cardinals | Mississippi
Poor Avg Great

Stats

W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2021 11 6 2.69 28 28 0 157.0 176 1.07
10 Seasons 115 77 3.48 288 264 1 1583.2 1591 1.27
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2021 28 11-6 2.69 157.0 176 1.07
10 Seasons 288 115-77 3.48 1583.2 1591 1.27

Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted Balls Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit Velocity Max EV Launch Angle Sweet Spot % XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2015 28 3053 511 25 4.9 3.3 88.9 113.9 11.9 29.0 .235 .372 .311 .304 .355 30.9 22.2 9.1 3.03 3.80
2017 30 3151 535 31 5.8 4 86.6 117.6 12.2 32.3 .234 .396 .305 .314 .346 27.5 19.7 10.1 3.43 4.24
2018 31 2942 457 19 4.2 2.7 87.5 112.7 7.8 30.4 .240 .364 .327 .310 .354 37.1 23.0 10.9 4.77 4.07
2019 32 3553 562 33 5.9 3.8 87.9 113.5 13.8 34.0 .222 .372 .294 .283 .361 33.8 28.1 6.7 3.67 3.48
2020 33 1408 224 12 5.4 3.5 88.6 113.4 17.5 34.4 .208 .350 .287 .279 .332 37.5 25.9 7.3 3.32 3.23
2021 34 2608 416 24 5.8 3.7 87.7 114.6 16.0 31.7 .198 .322 .264 .256 .319 36.0 27.5 7.0 2.69 2.72
Player 16715 2705 144 5.3 3.5 87.8 117.6 12.7 31.8 .225 .365 .299 .293 .347 33.2 24.3 8.6
MLB 6.7 4.6 88.3 169.8 12.0 32.9 .246 .408 .317 .316 .369 35.6 22.0 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Lynn relies on 5 pitches.
4-Seam Fastball
(42%) ,
Cutter
(31%) ,
Sinker
(19.4%) ,
Changeup
(4.6%) ,
Curveball
(3%) ,


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Pitch Tracking

Year Pitch Type # # RHB # LHB % MPH PA AB H 1B 2B 3B HR SO BBE BA XBA SLG XSLG WOBA XWOBA EV LA Spin Ext. Whiff% PutAway%
2021 4-Seam Fastball 1,051 466 585 42.0 94.0 238 219 41 29 6 0 6 85 135 .187 .173 .297 .297 .241 .236 90.6 24 2407 6.3 32.5 23.5
2021 Cutter 775 390 385 31.0 88.7 179 170 37 25 7 1 4 50 120 .218 .204 .341 .322 .260 .249 86.1 20 2538 6.3 25.8 22.6
2021 Sinker 485 301 184 19.4 92.4 154 136 33 21 7 0 5 23 116 .243 .235 .404 .373 .311 .301 84.8 3 2228 6.4 14.7 16.8
2021 Changeup 116 9 107 4.6 87.2 29 27 4 3 0 0 1 6 21 .148 .238 .259 .428 .191 .296 85.2 14 1776 6.4 29.5 12.2
2021 Curveball 76 33 43 3.0 82.1 17 16 4 4 0 0 0 5 11 .250 .169 .250 .190 .248 .187 83.2 10 2473 6.3 23.1 13.5
2020 4-Seam Fastball 700 335 365 50.1 94.0 165 150 31 15 8 1 7 46 105 .207 .211 .413 .397 .295 .294 88.5 27 2491 6.4 29.4 21.6
2020 Cutter 313 143 170 22.4 89.4 76 71 15 8 3 0 4 14 58 .211 .221 .423 .364 .283 .272 86.0 20 2599 6.3 21.3 16.1
2020 Sinker 252 162 90 18.0 92.0 74 63 14 9 3 0 2 15 48 .222 .206 .365 .291 .316 .288 89.3 -2 2327 6.5 18.3 17.6
2020 Curveball 119 67 52 8.5 83.9 26 25 3 2 1 0 0 13 12 .120 .140 .160 .164 .142 .156 92.2 -1 2609 6.4 30.2 16.7
2020 Changeup 14 2 12 1.0 85.0 2 2 1 1 0 0 0 1 1 .500 .480 .500 .518 .441 .451 66.8 25 1844 6.4 50.0 50.0
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Batted Ball Profile

Season GB % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2015 46.2 21.5 24.7 7.6 30.5 40.5 28.8 3.5 33.1 22.5 23.3 5.3 4.9 3.3
2017 45.4 23.7 23.4 7.5 29.3 40.6 30.1 5.4 32.7 25.8 23.2 4.9 5.8 4.0
2018 49.9 18.2 25.6 6.3 32.2 40.9 26.9 6.3 37.6 19.3 25.6 6.6 4.2 2.7
2019 40.7 23.8 27.9 7.5 36.1 36.3 27.6 3.9 31.0 25.6 24.2 6.2 5.9 3.8
2020 37.1 28.6 25.0 9.4 32.6 36.6 30.8 3.6 27.7 37.1 20.5 5.8 5.4 3.5
2021 39.9 30.0 20.9 9.1 37.3 34.1 28.6 4.3 29.6 31.0 20.2 5.5 5.8 3.7
Player 43.8 23.8 24.7 7.7 32.9 38.4 28.6 4.6 32.3 25.8 23.1 5.7 5.3 3.5
MLB 45.0 22.8 25.1 7.1 36.6 37.8 25.4 3.8 33.2 24.4 24.4 5.7 6.7 4.6
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement


How this works: Every pitch is affected by the forces of gravity, which means that every pitch drops on its way from the mound to the plate. These numbers are reported with gravity, which makes them larger and different than other pitch movement numbers you may have seen. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren’t ‘better’ just because they have more time to move, the movement of a pitch is compared to ‘average’ movement by comparing it to other MLB pitch types within +/- 2 MPH and from within +/- 0.5 feet of extension and release.
Vertical Movement (inches) Horizontal Movement (inches)
Year Pitch Team Hand # MPH Inches of Drop vs Avg % vs Avg Inches of Break vs Avg % Break vs Avg
2021 Cutter CWS R 775 88.7 29.8 -2.9 -11 2.7 0.6 31
2021 Curveball CWS R 76 82.1 45.0 -4.4 -9 6.5 -3.2 -33
2021 Changeup CWS R 116 87.2 29.4 -0.9 -3 13.5 -0.9 -6
2021 4-Seamer CWS R 1,051 94.0 16.0 -0.8 -5 6.0 -1.8 -23
2021 Sinker CWS R 485 92.4 25.7 3.0 13 12.9 -1.9 -13
2020 Changeup TEX R 14 85.0 28.6 -2.9 -9 8.4 -5.1 -38
2020 Cutter TEX R 312 89.4 27.1 -1.1 -4 2.0 -0.1 -6
2020 Sinker TEX R 252 92.0 25.1 2.6 11 13.3 -1.3 -9
2020 4-Seamer TEX R 698 94.0 15.4 -0.2 -1 6.7 -0.9 -12
2020 Curveball TEX R 128 83.6 43.2 -4.2 -9 4.6 -3.8 -45
2019 Cutter TEX R 558 89.0 29.6 -2.5 -9 3.3 1.3 68
2019 Sinker TEX R 590 92.8 24.4 2.2 10 12.9 -1.7 -12
2019 Changeup TEX R 102 86.9 29.6 -0.2 -1 12.6 -1.7 -12
2019 4-Seamer TEX R 1,858 94.6 15.9 -0.6 -4 6.1 -1.8 -23
2019 Curveball TEX R 327 81.2 52.0 0.9 2 7.8 -1.4 -16
2018 Sinker NYY R 953 92.3 26.0 3.5 15 12.3 -2.4 -16
2018 Cutter NYY R 339 87.4 32.5 -4.4 -16 4.4 2.2 105
2018 Curveball NYY R 267 80.0 54.6 1.8 3 8.5 -0.7 -7
2018 Changeup NYY R 57 85.3 32.6 0.9 3 12.1 -1.7 -12
2018 4-Seamer NYY R 1,318 93.7 17.2 -1.4 -9 5.4 -2.4 -31
2017 Curveball STL R 151 78.9 52.2 -1.4 -3 5.6 -3.1 -35
2017 4-Seamer STL R 1,155 92.4 16.7 -1.1 -7 8.9 0.3 3
2017 Changeup STL R 168 86.0 27.8 -2.4 -8 13.0 -0.7 -5
2017 Cutter STL R 330 87.1 28.5 -0.6 -2 1.2 -0.8 -41
2017 Sinker STL R 1,340 91.4 24.2 1.7 8 14.7 -0.4 -3
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2021 4-Seamer -1.5 -16 1,051 40.3 238 .187 .297 .255 32.5 35.7 23.5 .173 .297 .240 45.9
2021 Cutter -1.3 -10 775 29.7 179 .218 .341 .270 25.8 27.9 22.6 .204 .322 .249 31.7
2021 Sinker -1.4 -7 485 18.6 154 .243 .404 .337 14.7 14.9 16.8 .235 .373 .304 32.8
2021 Changeup -0.2 0 116 4.4 29 .148 .259 .210 29.5 20.7 12.2 .238 .428 .310 23.8
2021 Curveball 1.5 1 76 2.9 17 .250 .250 .359 23.1 29.4 13.5 .169 .190 .187 18.2
2020 4-Seamer -0.9 -6 700 49.7 165 .207 .413 .309 29.4 27.9 21.6 .211 .397 .293 36.2
2020 Cutter -1.0 -3 313 22.2 76 .211 .423 .298 21.3 18.4 16.1 .221 .364 .273 31.0
2020 Sinker -0.5 -1 252 17.9 74 .222 .365 .318 18.3 20.3 17.6 .206 .291 .287 45.8
2020 Curveball -0.3 0 128 9.1 27 .120 .160 .165 29.5 48.1 15.7 .140 .164 .177 50.0
2020 Changeup 3.5 0 14 1.0 2 .500 .500 .450 50.0 50.0 50.0 .480 .518 .451 0.0
2019 4-Seamer -1.7 -32 1,858 52.3 458 .218 .403 .303 30.5 31.4 25.0 .214 .392 .295 38.0
2019 Sinker 0.1 1 590 16.6 183 .325 .470 .376 19.1 18.0 20.0 .267 .416 .317 31.6
2019 Cutter 0.0 0 558 15.7 117 .243 .315 .272 25.7 23.1 15.9 .227 .319 .252 24.7
2019 Curveball 0.0 0 327 9.2 74 .189 .284 .216 40.3 41.9 20.8 .180 .268 .192 37.2
2019 Changeup 1.9 2 102 2.9 15 .231 .308 .297 25.0 6.7 4.8 .287 .478 .374 16.7
2018 4-Seamer 0.0 0 1,318 44.8 280 .253 .457 .355 26.1 30.7 18.6 .231 .410 .324 41.3
2018 Sinker 1.1 10 953 32.4 264 .310 .419 .382 17.3 12.1 17.3 .282 .389 .347 42.1
2018 Cutter -0.8 -3 339 11.5 72 .246 .262 .285 24.8 20.8 18.1 .240 .319 .288 20.0
2018 Curveball 1.1 3 267 9.1 71 .149 .194 .209 31.7 38.0 18.2 .115 .146 .145 22.0
2018 Changeup 2.3 1 57 1.9 7 .429 .429 .386 20.0 0.0 0.0 .436 .495 .411 14.3
2017 Sinker -0.9 -13 1,340 42.5 377 .252 .371 .323 17.9 13.5 15.5 .254 .377 .320 25.4
2017 4-Seamer -0.6 -7 1,155 36.7 230 .199 .398 .319 28.2 28.7 21.1 .208 .396 .315 33.8
2017 Cutter -1.5 -5 330 10.5 97 .154 .330 .235 24.8 30.9 23.6 .177 .305 .234 21.3
2017 Changeup 4.2 7 168 5.3 29 .333 .778 .509 14.9 0.0 0.0 .355 .884 .519 29.6
2017 Curveball 1.2 2 151 4.8 37 .200 .486 .307 21.2 16.2 8.2 .247 .433 .308 31.0
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2020 Changeup 14 85.0 81 12.3 1:15 1:30 -15
2020 Curveball 119 83.9 36 7.8 8:30 7:30 60
2020 Cutter 301 89.4 40 6.8 12:00 11:15 45
2020 4-Seam Fastball 687 94.0 79 16.5 1:00 12:45 15
2020 Sinker 249 92.0 74 15.3 1:00 2:15 -75
2021 Changeup 109 87.1 85 15.6 1:30 2:15 -45
2021 Curveball 76 82.1 47 10.2 8:00 7:45 15
2021 Cutter 774 88.7 33 5.6 11:45 10:30 75
2021 4-Seam Fastball 1,048 94.0 79 15.7 1:00 12:45 15
2021 Sinker 466 92.4 75 14.6 1:00 2:15 -75
! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Swing/Take

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2011 177 721 -13 -3 3 4 -9
2012 793 3,211 -8 -24 14 19 1
2013 934 3,637 -8 -24 16 18 1
2014 913 3,652 -20 -36 17 16 -24
2015 750 3,055 -15 -32 18 14 -15
2017 770 3,144 -16 -47 29 18 -16
2018 706 2,982 -15 -9 24 14 14
2019 847 3,435 -23 -39 22 11 -29
2020 344 1,407 -7 -17 8 5 -10
2021 637 2,579 -20 -32 13 11 -28
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2015 3,053 43.5 71.8 83.2 27.7 67.5 40.5 56.5 46.9 21.0 6.0 80.8
2017 3,151 45.5 69.6 80.0 24.3 67.5 42.4 54.6 44.9 22.5 5.8 80.7
2018 2,942 43.7 72.7 82.3 26.3 62.1 42.9 54.1 46.6 23.4 5.9 83.2
2019 3,553 50.3 69.3 76.6 28.3 56.4 41.7 62.7 49.0 28.5 8.1 85.2
2020 1,408 51.2 70.7 80.2 27.1 59.1 45.1 61.0 49.5 25.4 6.1 83.7
2021 2,608 49.8 73.3 79.1 27.6 57.1 41.1 58.5 50.2 26.3 7.2 81.7
Player 16,715 47.0 71.1 80.1 26.8 62.0 42.0 57.8 47.7 24.6 6.5 82.7
MLB 48.5 66.8 82.0 28.3 58.4 42.6 60.7 47.0 24.6 7.2 76.0
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV HardHit% K% BB% Whiff% xERA FB Velo FB Spin CB Spin
2015 54 59 58 54 43 19 52 24 68 63 19 34 54 48 85 19
2017 49 66 55 44 41 11 52 65 90 35 22 37 49 30 71 15
2018 45 49 66 77 28 41 89 73 34 55 15 40 45 46 75 18
2019 80 75 72 69 84 16 70 69 72 78 73 72 80 53 91 28
2020 78 80 72 63 82 13 70 45 47 63 66 41 78 45 91 63
2021 94 90 89 81 94 32 81 74 69 77 70 51 94 29 86 51
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Expected Home Runs

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2019 23.2 21 21.3 0.0 19 15 10 47.6
2020 23.2 13 11.7 1.0 6 9 5 38.5
2021 23.0 18 15.1 3.0 9 6 10 55.6

Expected Home Runs by Park

Year HR
2019 21 22 31 20 25 17 23 25 17 23 25 22 12 17 19 24 16 22 18 23 11 21 18 23 22 26 22 20 28 20 27
2020 13 12 17 12 13 12 0 12 11 12 13 12 8 10 11 13 10 14 11 11 6 8 9 14 12 15 12 9 14 9 15
2021 18 16 19 14 16 14 16 15 15 16 17 13 12 13 15 16 11 16 16 18 11 14 14 16 16 17 16 13 17 14 16
! Note: This tells how many of this player's home runs would have been out of other stadiums. This accounts for different wall heights and distances, but does not attempt to adjust for environmental effects. For these purposes, the 2020 Blue Jays home field was still Rogers Centre, not Sahlen Field.
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Year to Year Changes

Metric 2015 2016 +/-   2017 +/-   2018 +/-   2019 +/-   2020 +/-   2021 +/-   2022 +/-  
Fastball Velocity 91.3 92.4 1.1 93.2 0.8 92.5 -0.7 91.9 -0.6 undefined
Offspeed Velocity 86 85.3 -0.7 86.9 1.6 85 -1.9 87.2 2.2 undefined
Breaking Velocity 78.9 80 1.1 81.2 1.2 83.6 2.4 82.1 -1.5 undefined
Exit Velocity 86.6 87.5 0.9 87.9 0.4 88.6 0.7 87.7 -0.9 undefined
Launch Angle 12.2 7.8 -4.4 13.8 6 17.5 3.7 16 -1.5 undefined
Barrel % 5.8 4.2 -1.6 5.9 1.7 5.4 -0.5 5.8 0.4 undefined
Hard Hit % 27.5 37.1 9.6 33.8 -3.3 37.5 3.7 36 -1.5 undefined
Sweet Spot % 32.3 30.4 -1.9 34 3.6 34.4 0.4 31.7 -2.7 undefined
xBA .234 .24 0.006 .222 -0.018 .208 -0.014 .198 -0.01 undefined
BA .223 .265 0.042 .243 -0.022 .206 -0.037 .209 0.003 undefined
xwOBA .314 .31 -0.004 .283 -0.027 .279 -0.004 .256 -0.023 undefined
wOBA .305 .327 0.022 .294 -0.033 .287 -0.007 .264 -0.023 undefined
xSLG .396 .364 -0.032 .372 0.008 .35 -0.022 .322 -0.028 undefined
SLG .395 .394 -0.001 .39 -0.004 .386 -0.004 .338 -0.048 undefined
K% 19.7 23 3.3 28.1 5.1 25.9 -2.2 27.5 1.6 undefined
BB% 10.1 10.9 0.8 6.7 -4.2 7.3 0.6 7 -0.3 undefined
Swing % 44.9 46.6 1.7 49 2.4 49.5 0.5 50.2 0.7 undefined
Whiff% 22.5 23.4 0.9 28.5 5.1 25.4 -3.1 26.3 0.9 undefined
In Zone % 45.5 43.7 -1.8 50.3 6.6 51.2 0.9 49.8 -1.4 undefined
Out of Zone % 54.5 56.3 1.8 49.7 -6.6 48.8 -0.9 50.2 1.4 undefined
Out of Zone Swing % 24.3 26.3 2 28.3 2 27.1 -1.2 27.6 0.5 undefined