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Kevin Kelly
P | Bats/Throws: R/R | 6' 2" 200LBS | Age: 27
Draft: 2019 | Rd: 19, #580, Cleveland Indians | James Madison University
W
L
ERA
G
GS
SV
IP
SO
WHIP
2023 5 2 3.09 57 0 1 67 56 1.01
2024 5 2 2.67 68 0 1 70.2 63 0.96
2 Seasons 10 4 2.88 125 0 2 137.2 119 0.99
G
W-L
ERA
IP
SO
WHIP
2023 57 5-2 3.09 67 56 1.01
2024 68 5-2 2.67 70.2 63 0.96
2 Seasons 125 10-4 2.88 137.2 119 0.99
20242024 MLB Percentile Rankings
ValuesavantPOORAVERAGEGREATPitching Run Value10NOT QUALIFIED79Fastball Run Value8NOT QUALIFIED82Breaking Run Value2NOT QUALIFIED65Offspeed Run Value--NOT QUALIFIEDPitchingxERA3.31NOT QUALIFIED78xBA.242NOT QUALIFIED44Fastball Velo90.9NOT QUALIFIED10Avg Exit Velocity86.9NOT QUALIFIED89Chase %26.1NOT QUALIFIED20Whiff %20.1NOT QUALIFIED9K %22.7NOT QUALIFIED48BB %3.2NOT QUALIFIED99Barrel %5.0NOT QUALIFIED89Hard-Hit %36.8NOT QUALIFIED67GB %56.2NOT QUALIFIED93Extension7.4NOT QUALIFIED98
20242024 Movement Profile (Induced Break)
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MLB AVG.ARM ANGLE12"24"6"12"18"24"12"24"12"24"9.8 INCHES TAIL12.2 INCHES RISE0.4 INCHES BREAK7.9 INCHES RISE19.6 INCHES BREAK7.2 INCHES RISEAVG17.7 INCHES TAIL1.0 INCHES DROPAVG1B3BMOVES TOWARD︎MORERISEMOREDROPUSAGEMPHRHP AVGSinker61%90.893.6Sweeper28%77.382.3Cutter8%87.890.04-Seam2%92.094.7SAMPLE100 PITCH

Statcast Statistics

Season
Age
Pitches
Batted
Balls
Barrels
Barrel %
Barrel/PA
Exit
Velocity
Max EV
Launch
Angle
LA Sweet-
Spot %
XBA
XSLG
WOBA
XWOBA
XWOBACON
HardHit%
K%
BB%
ERA
xERA
2023 25 1066 195 7 3.6 2.5 87.0 110.0 10.3 32.3 .233 .331 .264 .282 .310 32.8 20.3 5.4 3.09 3.30
2024 26 1033 201 10 5.0 3.6 86.9 114.9 4.9 29.9 .242 .366 .268 .283 .346 36.8 22.7 3.2 2.67 3.31
Player 2099 396 17 4.3 3.1 87.0 114.9 7.6 31.1 .237 .349 .266 .282 .328 34.8 21.5 4.3
MLB 7.0 4.8 88.5 122.4 12.3 33.2 .245 .405 .316 .315 .368 36.5 22.2 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Kelly relies on 4 pitches.
Sinker
(61.5%) ,
Sweeper
(27.9%) ,
Cutter
(8.4%) ,
Four Seamer
(2.2%) ,

Sinker635 Pitches (61.5%)
Sweeper288 Pitches (27.9%)
Cutter87 Pitches (8.4%)
Four Seamer23 Pitches (2.2%)

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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

AIR: Fly Balls + Line Drives + Popups
All Batted Balls
Batted Ball Breakdown
Season
GB %
AIR %
FB %
LD %
PU %
Pull %
Straight %
Oppo %
Pull GB %
Straight GB %
Oppo GB %
Pull AIR %
Straight AIR %
Oppo AIR %
2023 48.2 51.8 19.0 25.1 7.7 40.5 38.5 21.0 23.6 17.9 6.7 16.9 20.5 14.4
2024 56.2 43.8 17.4 21.9 4.5 34.3 42.8 22.9 22.4 26.9 7.0 11.9 15.9 15.9
Player 52.3 47.7 18.2 23.5 6.1 37.4 40.7 22.0 23.0 22.5 6.8 14.4 18.2 15.2
MLB 44.4 55.6 23.8 24.7 7.1 37.2 37.5 25.2 20.6 17.8 6.0 16.6 19.7 19.3
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Quality of Contact

Season
Weak %
Topped %
Under %
Flare/Burner %
Solid %
Barrel %
Barrel/PA
2023 2.6 37.4 24.6 25.1 6.7 3.6 2.5
2024 7.5 38.8 18.9 24.4 4.5 5.0 3.6
Player 5.1 38.1 21.7 24.7 5.6 4.3 3.1
MLB 3.9 32.6 24.8 24.4 5.9 7.0 4.8
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement

Created with Highcharts 6.2.0Chart context menuKevin Kelly Vertical Movement vs Avg (Inches) by SeasonSource: baseballsavant.mlb.comCutterSinkerSweeperFour Seamer20232024-1.5-1-0.500.51

How this works: This section shows two different ways to evaluate pitch movement. On the left, “Total Movement” shows the real-world movement of a pitch, including the forces of gravity, which affects every pitch thrown. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren't 'better' just because they have more time to move, a pitch's movement is compared to other pitches of the same pitch type, within +/- 2 MPH and +/- 0.5 feet of extension/release. On the right, Induced Movement (or IVB) is reported without gravity, and attempts to isolate movement created by the pitcher's ability to spin and manipulate the ball.
Total Movement (in inches, w/ gravity)
Induced Movement (in inches, w/o gravity)
Year
Pitch
Team
Hand
#
MPH
Vertical
Drop
vs.
Comparable
Horizontal
Break
vs.
Comparable
Vertical
Break
vs. Avg
Horizontal
Break
vs. Avg
2024 Cutter TB R 87 87.8 27.5 -0.1 0.4GLV 0.2 7.9 -0.4 0.4GLV -2.3
2024 Sinker TB R 634 90.8 34.4 -1.1 17.7ARM 0.8 -1.0 8.2 17.7ARM 2.9
2024 Sweeper TB R 288 77.3 39.1 -0.3 19.6GLV 0.9 7.2 -5.6 19.6GLV 5.4
2024 4-Seam Fastball TB R 23 92.0 20.3 0.8 9.8ARM -1.8 12.2 -3.6 9.8ARM 2.3
2023 Sweeper TB R 430 76.3 41.0 -0.4 20.2GLV 0.6 6.6 -5.0 20.2GLV 6.1
2023 4-Seam Fastball TB R 13 91.7 19.9 0.8 9.7ARM -0.8 12.7 -3.0 9.7ARM 2.3
2023 Sinker TB R 505 90.6 33.7 -0.6 17.7ARM 0.5 -0.2 7.9 17.7ARM 2.9
2023 Cutter TB R 104 86.9 28.9 0.2 1.2GLV 1.0 7.4 -0.5 1.2GLV -1.4
! Note: Years are in reverse order.

Run Values by Pitch Type

Year
Pitch Type
Team
RV/100
Run Value
Pitches
%
PA
BA
SLG
wOBA
Whiff%
K%
PutAway %
xBA
xSLG
xwOBA
Hard Hit %
2024 Sinker 1.6 10 635 61.5 179 .255 .376 .304 13.9 16.8 18.8 .263 .398 .311 43.5
2024 Sweeper 0.8 2 288 27.9 71 .171 .271 .198 30.9 32.4 16.0 .190 .262 .204 17.0
2024 Cutter 0.4 0 87 8.4 20 .158 .316 .237 20.9 30.0 17.1 .245 .359 .282 30.8
2024 4-Seam Fastball -10.0 -2 23 2.2 7 .286 .714 .414 40.0 57.1 20.0 .250 .676 .389 66.7
2023 Sinker 1.8 9 510 47.8 134 .192 .267 .299 17.3 17.2 20.0 .243 .334 .294 41.2
2023 Sweeper 0.5 2 436 40.9 109 .212 .288 .248 27.5 22.0 14.6 .198 .278 .226 22.5
2023 Cutter -2.6 -3 105 9.8 30 .320 .600 .440 21.2 23.3 17.5 .347 .568 .439 33.3
2023 4-Seam Fastball 0.5 0 15 1.4 2 .000 .000 .000 40.0 100.0 14.3 -- -- .000 --
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: To better align with other values, positive numbers (red) are good, and negative numbers (blue) are poor.

Spin Direction

Year
Pitch Type
Pitches
MPH
Active Spin %
Total Movement (In.)
Spin-Based
Observed
Deviation
2024 Cutter 87 87.8 45 7.2 1:00 11:45 75
2024 4-Seam Fastball 22 91.9 78 15.2 1:45 1:30 15
2024 Sinker 610 90.8 82 18.9 2:15 3:15 -60
2024 Sweeper 287 77.3 74 21.5 9:00 9:30 -30
2023 Cutter 102 86.9 44 7.5 12:15 11:30 45
2023 4-Seam Fastball 15 91.8 82 15.7 1:45 1:15 30
2023 Sinker 483 90.5 82 18.8 2:15 3:15 -60
2023 Sweeper 431 76.3 77 21.8 9:00 9:30 -30
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
1212345678910114-SEAM FASTBALLSINKERCUTTERSWEEPERKevin KellySpin-Based Movement by Pitch TypeSPIN DIRECTION - PITCHER POV
1212345678910114-SEAM FASTBALLSINKERCUTTERSWEEPERKevin KellyObserved Movement by Pitch TypeSPIN DIRECTION - PITCHER POV
! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Pitcher Arm Angle

20232024All YearsClick a year to see pitches
ARM ANGLE2023 ARM ANGLE2024
! Note: Data is available from 2020 through the present.
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Statcast Pitching Run Value

Runs
Year
Team
PA
Pitches
Heart
Shadow
Chase
Waste
All
2023 275 1,066 8 13 -4 -8 9
2024 277 1,033 6 11 -2 -4 10
Player 552 2,099 14 24 -7 14 19
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Plate Discipline

Season
Pitches
Zone %
Zone Swing %
Zone Contact %
Chase %
Chase Contact %
Edge %
1st Pitch Strike %
Swing %
Whiff %
Meatball %
Meatball Swing %
2023 1,066 51.8 62.3 82.8 25.9 64.7 40.6 63.0 44.7 22.2 9.1 72.2
2024 1,033 55.9 59.6 85.2 26.1 61.3 42.7 70.1 44.8 20.1 8.4 64.4
Player 2,099 53.8 60.9 84.0 26.0 63.1 41.6 66.6 44.8 21.2 8.8 68.5
MLB 48.7 67.0 82.0 28.5 57.8 42.6 61.0 47.2 25.0 7.3 76.3
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Year
xwOBA /
xERA
xBA
xSLG
xISO
xOBP
Brl
Brl%
EV
Hard
Hit%
K%
BB%
Whiff%
Chase
Rate
FB
Velo
FB
Spin
CB
Spin
Extension
2023 85 65 88 94 69 92 95 87 87 29 89 21 16 9 30 98
2024 78 44 66 78 84 83 89 89 67 48 99 9 20 10 30 98
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Expected Home Runs

Adjusted

Year
Team
Avg HR Trot
Actual HR
xHR
HR-xHR
Doubters
Mostly Gone
No Doubters
No Doubter %
2023 25.5 2 2.2 0 2 1 1 50.0
2024 23.4 7 6.5 1 3 5 3 42.9
Player 23.8 9 8.6 0 5 6 4 44.4
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's home runs allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Expected Home Runs by Park

Adjusted

Year
HR
2023 2 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 2 2 3 3 2 2 2 3 2 2 2
2024 7 5 7 9 7 7 8 6 5 5 6 9 6 6 6 5 5 5 6 9 6 6 9 8 6 5 7 8 7 6 4
Player 9 6 9 11 9 9 10 8 7 7 8 12 9 8 8 7 7 7 8 12 8 8 12 11 8 7 9 11 9 8 6
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's home runs allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Year to Year Changes

Metric
2023
2024
+/-
 
Fastball Velocity 90.0 90.5 0.5
Offspeed Velocity 0.0 0.0 0.0
Breaking Velocity 76.3 77.3 1.0
Exit Velocity 87.0 86.9 -0.1
Launch Angle 10.3 4.9 -5.4
Barrel % 3.6 5.0 1.4
Hard Hit % 32.8 36.8 4.0
LA Sweet-Spot % 32.3 29.9 -2.4
xBA .233 .242 0.009
BA .211 .226 0.015
xwOBA .282 .283 0.001
wOBA .264 .268 0.004
xSLG .331 .366 0.035
SLG .307 .352 0.045
K% 20.3 22.7 2.4
BB% 5.4 3.2 -2.2
Swing % 44.7 44.8 0.1
Whiff% 22.2 20.1 -2.1
In Zone % 51.8 55.9 4.1
Out of Zone % 48.2 44.1 -4.1
Out of Zone Swing % 25.9 26.1 0.2
First Pitch Swing % 25.0 25.5 0.5
First Pitch Strike % 63.0 70.1 7.1
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Statcast Fielder Positioning

vs RHH
vs LHH
Year
Alignment Type
PA
wOBA
PA
Total
%
PA
Total
%
2023 Shades 275 .264 172 8 4.7 103 39 37.9
2024 Shades 277 .268 170 21 12.4 107 64 59.8
! Note: Shifts are through the 2022 season, Shaded starting from the 2023 season, Shift: three or more infielders are on the same side of second base, Shade: positioned outside of their typical responsible slices of the field.
Learn more about how positioning is defined here

Pitch Tempo

Bases Empty
Runners On Base
Season
Team
Pitches
Tempo
Fast %
Slow %
Pitches
Tempo
Fast %
Slow %
2023 284 15.2 45.1% 0.7% 238 17.9 7.1% 0.4%
2024 305 15.1 44.9% 0.0% 193 17.9 6.2% 0.5%

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Pitch Distribution

Kevin Kelly - 2024 Frequency of Pitches by Pitch Speed4-Seam FastballCutterSinkerSweeperAll Pitches75 MPH80 MPH85 MPH90 MPH95 MPHPitch Speed0%5%10%15%20%25%Frequency of Speed