Kevin Kelly
P | Bats/Throws: R/R | 6' 2" 200LBS | Age: 26
Draft: 2019 | Rd: 19, #580, Cleveland Indians | James Madison University
W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2023 5 2 3.09 57 0 1 67 56 1.01
2024 3 1 4.36 44 0 1 43.1 41 1.15
2 Seasons 8 3 3.59 101 0 2 110.1 97 1.07
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2023 57 5-2 3.09 67 56 1.01
2024 44 3-1 4.36 43.1 41 1.15
2 Seasons 101 8-3 3.59 110.1 97 1.07
MLB Percentile Rankings
Pitch Distribution
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Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls		 Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity		 Max EV Launch
Angle		 LA Sweet-
Spot %		 XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2023 25 1066 195 7 3.6 2.5 87.0 110.0 10.3 32.3 .233 .331 .264 .282 .310 32.8 20.3 5.4 3.09 3.30
2024 26 650 129 7 5.4 3.9 87.8 114.9 4.5 31.8 .257 .407 .323 .301 .373 36.7 22.9 2.8 4.39 3.62
Player 1716 324 14 4.3 3.1 87.3 114.9 8.0 32.1 .242 .362 .287 .289 .335 34.4 21.3 4.4
MLB 7.0 4.8 88.5 122.4 12.3 33.1 .245 .406 .316 .315 .369 36.5 22.2 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Kelly relies on 4 pitches.
Sinker
(61.3%) ,
Sweeper
(28.7%) ,
Cutter
(9.7%) ,
Four Seamer
(0.3%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

Season GB % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2023 48.2 19.0 25.1 7.7 40.5 38.5 21.0 2.6 37.4 24.6 25.1 6.7 3.6 2.5
2024 54.3 18.6 24.0 3.1 32.6 45.7 21.7 7.0 36.4 18.6 27.1 4.7 5.4 3.9
Player 50.6 18.8 24.7 5.9 37.3 41.4 21.3 4.3 37.0 22.2 25.9 5.9 4.3 3.1
MLB 44.5 23.7 24.8 7.0 37.1 37.5 25.3 3.9 32.7 24.8 24.4 5.8 7.0 4.8
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement

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How this works: Every pitch is affected by the forces of gravity, which means that every pitch drops on its way from the mound to the plate. These numbers are reported with gravity, which makes them larger and different than other pitch movement numbers you may have seen. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren’t ‘better’ just because they have more time to move, the movement of a pitch is compared to ‘average’ movement by comparing it to other MLB pitch types within +/- 2 MPH and from within +/- 0.5 feet of extension and release.
Vertical Movement (inches) Horizontal Movement (inches)
Year Pitch Team Hand # MPH Inches of Drop vs Avg % vs Avg Inches of Break vs Avg % Break vs Avg
2024 4-Seam Fastball TB R 2 90.7 21.1 2.4 10 8.4 -4.4 -34
2024 Sinker TB R 397 90.7 34.3 -1.1 -3 17.4 0.7 4
2024 Cutter TB R 63 87.7 27.9 0.0 0 0.8 0.3 51
2024 Sweeper TB R 186 77.3 39.5 -0.2 -1 19.7 1.1 6
2023 Sweeper TB R 430 76.3 41.0 -0.3 -1 20.2 0.6 3
2023 4-Seam Fastball TB R 12 91.8 19.7 0.3 1 10.1 0.0 0
2023 Sinker TB R 505 90.6 33.7 -0.3 -1 17.7 0.6 3
2023 Cutter TB R 105 87.0 28.8 0.2 1 1.2 1.0 585
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2024 Sinker 0.4 2 398 61.2 116 .308 .477 .362 12.2 16.4 18.4 .283 .423 .321 39.6
2024 Sweeper 0.4 1 186 28.6 45 .182 .318 .224 34.5 40.0 22.0 .159 .263 .190 23.1
2024 Cutter -4.0 -3 63 9.7 15 .214 .429 .300 20.7 26.7 15.4 .311 .493 .366 40.0
2024 4-Seam Fastball -49.6 -1 2 0.3 1 1.000 4.000 2.000 0.0 0.0 0.0 .971 3.857 1.953 100.0
2023 Sinker 2.0 10 510 47.8 134 .192 .267 .299 17.3 17.2 20.0 .243 .334 .294 41.2
2023 Sweeper 0.0 0 436 40.9 109 .212 .288 .248 27.5 22.0 14.6 .198 .278 .226 22.5
2023 Cutter -4.0 -4 106 9.9 30 .320 .600 .440 21.2 23.3 17.5 .347 .568 .439 33.3
2023 4-Seam Fastball 2.9 0 14 1.3 2 .000 .000 .000 40.0 100.0 14.3 -- -- .000 --
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: To better align with other values, positive numbers (red) are good, and negative numbers (blue) are poor.
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Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2024 Cutter 63 87.7 45 6.9 12:45 11:45 60
2024 Sinker 385 90.8 82 18.6 2:15 3:15 -60
2024 Sweeper 185 77.3 73 21.5 9:00 9:30 -30
2023 Cutter 103 86.9 44 7.5 12:30 11:30 60
2023 4-Seam Fastball 14 91.9 84 15.9 1:45 1:15 30
2023 Sinker 483 90.5 82 18.8 2:15 3:15 -60
2023 Sweeper 431 76.3 77 21.8 9:00 9:30 -30
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! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Swing/Take

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2023 275 1,066 6 14 -5 -8 6
2024 177 649 -2 5 -2 -2 -1
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2023 1,066 51.8 62.3 82.8 25.9 64.7 40.6 63.0 44.7 22.2 9.1 72.2
2024 650 55.6 59.3 86.4 26.0 57.3 41.0 72.1 44.6 19.7 8.6 64.3
Player 1,716 53.2 61.1 84.2 25.9 62.0 40.8 66.6 44.7 21.3 8.9 69.3
MLB 48.6 67.0 82.0 28.4 57.9 42.6 61.0 47.2 24.8 7.3 76.2
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA /
xERA 		xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV Hard
Hit% 		K% BB% Whiff% Chase
Rate 		FB
Velo 		FB
Spin 		CB
Spin 		Extension
2023 85 65 88 94 67 92 95 87 87 29 89 22 16 9 30 98
2024 61 31 44 55 74 75 83 75 65 54 99 12 25 8 29 98
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Expected Home Runs

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %

Expected Home Runs by Park

Year HR

Year to Year Changes

Metric 2023 2024 +/-  
Fastball Velocity 90.0 90.3 0.3 ↑
Offspeed Velocity 0.0 0.0 0.0
Breaking Velocity 76.3 77.3 1.0 ↑
Exit Velocity 87.0 87.8 0.8 ↑
Launch Angle 10.3 4.5 -5.8 ↓
Barrel % 3.6 5.4 1.8 ↑
Hard Hit % 32.8 36.7 3.9 ↑
LA Sweet-Spot % 32.3 31.8 -0.5 ↓
xBA .233 .257 0.024 ↑
BA .211 .269 0.058 ↑
xwOBA .282 .301 0.019 ↑
wOBA .264 .323 0.059 ↑
xSLG .331 .407 0.076 ↑
SLG .307 .449 0.142 ↑
K% 20.3 22.9 2.6 ↑
BB% 5.4 2.8 -2.6 ↓
Swing % 44.7 44.6 -0.1 ↓
Whiff% 22.2 19.7 -2.5 ↓
In Zone % 51.8 55.6 3.8 ↑
Out of Zone % 48.2 44.4 -3.8 ↓
Out of Zone Swing % 25.9 26.0 0.1 ↑
First Pitch Swing % 25.0 26.8 1.8 ↑
First Pitch Strike % 63.0 72.1 9.1 ↑
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Statcast Fielder Positioning

vs RHHvs LHH
YearAlignment TypePAwOBAPATotal%PATotal%
2023 Shades 275 .264 172 8 4.7 103 39 37.9
2024 Shades 177 .325 110 10 9.1 67 41 61.2
! Note: Shifts are through the 2022 season, Shaded starting from the 2023 season, Shift: three or more infielders are on the same side of second base, Shade: positioned outside of their typical responsible slices of the field.
Learn more about how positioning is defined here

Pitch Tempo

Bases EmptyRunners On Base
SeasonTeamPitchesTempoFast %Slow %PitchesTempoFast %Slow %
2023 284 15.2 45.1% 0.7% 238 17.9 7.1% 0.4%
2024 175 14.8 52.6% 0.6% 124 17.8 8.1% 0.8%
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Pitch Distribution

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